90 results on '"Kilmer B"'
Search Results
2. What America's Users Spend on Illegal Drugs, 2000–2010 : Technical Report
- Author
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Kilmer, B., Everingham, S., Caulkins, J., Midgette, G., Pacula, R., Reuter, P., Burns, R., Han, B., Lundberg, R., Kilmer, B., Everingham, S., Caulkins, J., Midgette, G., Pacula, R., Reuter, P., Burns, R., Han, B., and Lundberg, R.
- Published
- 2014
3. Police Costs of the Drug Market Intervention: Insights from Two Cities
- Author
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Burgdorf, J. R., primary and Kilmer, B., additional
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Vector-Borne Diseases - constant challenge for practicing veterinarians: recommendations from the CVBD World Forum
- Author
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Baneth, G., Bourdeau, P., Bourdoiseau, G., Bowman, D., Breitschwerdt, E., Capelli, G., Cardoso, L., Dantas-Torres, F., Day, M., Dedet, J-P, Dobler, G., Ferrer, L., Irwin, P., Kempf, V., Kohn, B., Lappin, M., Little, S., Maggi, R., Miro, G., Naucke, T., Oliva, G., Otranto, D., Penzhorn, B., Pfeffer, M., Roura, X., Sainz, A., Shaw, S., Shin, S-S, Solano-Gallego, L., Straubinger, R., Traub, R., Trees, A., Truyen, U., Demonceau, T., Fitzgerald, R., Gatti, D., Hostetler, J., Kilmer, B., Krieger, K., Mencke, N., Mendao, C., Mottier, L., Pachnicke, S., Rees, B., Siebert, S., Stanneck, D., Tarancon Mingote, M., von Simson, C., Weston, S., Baneth, G., Bourdeau, P., Bourdoiseau, G., Bowman, D., Breitschwerdt, E., Capelli, G., Cardoso, L., Dantas-Torres, F., Day, M., Dedet, J-P, Dobler, G., Ferrer, L., Irwin, P., Kempf, V., Kohn, B., Lappin, M., Little, S., Maggi, R., Miro, G., Naucke, T., Oliva, G., Otranto, D., Penzhorn, B., Pfeffer, M., Roura, X., Sainz, A., Shaw, S., Shin, S-S, Solano-Gallego, L., Straubinger, R., Traub, R., Trees, A., Truyen, U., Demonceau, T., Fitzgerald, R., Gatti, D., Hostetler, J., Kilmer, B., Krieger, K., Mencke, N., Mendao, C., Mottier, L., Pachnicke, S., Rees, B., Siebert, S., Stanneck, D., Tarancon Mingote, M., von Simson, C., and Weston, S.
- Abstract
The human-animal bond has been a fundamental feature of mankind's history for millennia. The first, and strongest of these, man's relationship with the dog, is believed to pre-date even agriculture, going back as far as 30,000 years. It remains at least as powerful today. Fed by the changing nature of the interactions between people and their dogs worldwide and the increasing tendency towards close domesticity, the health of dogs has never played a more important role in family life. Thanks to developments in scientific understanding and diagnostic techniques, as well as changing priorities of pet owners, veterinarians are now able, and indeed expected, to play a fundamental role in the prevention and treatment of canine disease, including canine vector-borne diseases (CVBDs). The CVBDs represent a varied and complex group of diseases, including anaplasmosis, babesiosis, bartonellosis, borreliosis, dirofilariosis, ehrlichiosis, leishmaniosis, rickettsiosis and thelaziosis, with new syndromes being uncovered every year. Many of these diseases can cause serious, even life-threatening clinical conditions in dogs, with a number having zoonotic potential, affecting the human population. Today, CVBDs pose a growing global threat as they continue their spread far from their traditional geographical and temporal restraints as a result of changes in both climatic conditions and pet dog travel patterns, exposing new populations to previously unknown infectious agents and posing unprecedented challenges to veterinarians. In response to this growing threat, the CVBD World Forum, a multidisciplinary group of experts in CVBDs from around the world which meets on an annual basis, gathered in Nice (France) in 2011 to share the latest research on CVBDs and discuss the best approaches to managing these diseases around the world. As a result of these discussions, we, the members of the CVBD Forum have developed the following recommendations to veterinarians for the management of CVBDs
- Published
- 2012
5. Vector-Borne Diseases - constant challenge for practicing veterinarians: recommendations from the CVBD World Forum
- Author
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Baneth, G, Bourdeau, P, Bourdoiseau, G, Bowman, D, Breitschwerdt, E, Capelli, G, Cardoso, L, Dantas-Torres, F, Day, M, Dedet, J-P, Dobler, G, Ferrer, L, Irwin, P, Kempf, V, Kohn, B, Lappin, M, Little, S, Maggi, R, Miro, G, Naucke, T, Oliva, G, Otranto, D, Penzhorn, B, Pfeffer, M, Roura, X, Sainz, A, Shaw, S, Shin, S, Solano-Gallego, L, Straubinger, R, Traub, R, Trees, A, Truyen, U, Demonceau, T, Fitzgerald, R, Gatti, D, Hostetler, J, Kilmer, B, Krieger, K, Mencke, N, Mendao, C, Mottier, L, Pachnicke, S, Rees, B, Siebert, S, Stanneck, D, Tarancon Mingote, M, von Simson, C, Weston, S, Baneth, G, Bourdeau, P, Bourdoiseau, G, Bowman, D, Breitschwerdt, E, Capelli, G, Cardoso, L, Dantas-Torres, F, Day, M, Dedet, J-P, Dobler, G, Ferrer, L, Irwin, P, Kempf, V, Kohn, B, Lappin, M, Little, S, Maggi, R, Miro, G, Naucke, T, Oliva, G, Otranto, D, Penzhorn, B, Pfeffer, M, Roura, X, Sainz, A, Shaw, S, Shin, S, Solano-Gallego, L, Straubinger, R, Traub, R, Trees, A, Truyen, U, Demonceau, T, Fitzgerald, R, Gatti, D, Hostetler, J, Kilmer, B, Krieger, K, Mencke, N, Mendao, C, Mottier, L, Pachnicke, S, Rees, B, Siebert, S, Stanneck, D, Tarancon Mingote, M, von Simson, C, and Weston, S
- Abstract
The human-animal bond has been a fundamental feature of mankind's history for millennia. The first, and strongest of these, man's relationship with the dog, is believed to pre-date even agriculture, going back as far as 30,000 years. It remains at least as powerful today. Fed by the changing nature of the interactions between people and their dogs worldwide and the increasing tendency towards close domesticity, the health of dogs has never played a more important role in family life. Thanks to developments in scientific understanding and diagnostic techniques, as well as changing priorities of pet owners, veterinarians are now able, and indeed expected, to play a fundamental role in the prevention and treatment of canine disease, including canine vector-borne diseases (CVBDs).The CVBDs represent a varied and complex group of diseases, including anaplasmosis, babesiosis, bartonellosis, borreliosis, dirofilariosis, ehrlichiosis, leishmaniosis, rickettsiosis and thelaziosis, with new syndromes being uncovered every year. Many of these diseases can cause serious, even life-threatening clinical conditions in dogs, with a number having zoonotic potential, affecting the human population.Today, CVBDs pose a growing global threat as they continue their spread far from their traditional geographical and temporal restraints as a result of changes in both climatic conditions and pet dog travel patterns, exposing new populations to previously unknown infectious agents and posing unprecedented challenges to veterinarians.In response to this growing threat, the CVBD World Forum, a multidisciplinary group of experts in CVBDs from around the world which meets on an annual basis, gathered in Nice (France) in 2011 to share the latest research on CVBDs and discuss the best approaches to managing these diseases around the world.As a result of these discussions, we, the members of the CVBD Forum have developed the following recommendations to veterinarians for the management of CVBDs.
- Published
- 2012
6. The dynamics of deterrence
- Author
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Kleiman, M., primary and Kilmer, B., additional
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
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7. Using thermal analysis to enhance fault isolation techniques.
- Author
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Rolke, D.L., Johnson, J., and Kilmer, B.
- Published
- 2001
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. Using thermal analysis to enhance fault isolation techniques
- Author
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Rolke, D.L., primary, Johnson, J., additional, and Kilmer, B., additional
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Vector-Borne Diseases - constant challenge for practicing veterinarians: recommendations from the CVBD World Forum
- Author
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Baneth Gad, Bourdeau Patrick, Bourdoiseau Gilles, Bowman Dwight, Breitschwerdt Edward, Capelli Gioia, Cardoso Luís, Dantas-Torres Filipe, Day Michael, Dedet Jean-Pierre, Dobler Gerhard, Ferrer Lluís, Irwin Peter, Kempf Volkhard, Kohn Babara, Lappin Michael, Little Susan, Maggi Ricardo, Miró Guadalupe, Naucke Torsten, Oliva Gaetano, Otranto Domenico, Penzhorn Banie, Pfeffer Martin, Roura Xavier, Sainz Angel, Shaw Susan, Shin SungShik, Solano-Gallego Laia, Straubinger Reinhard, Traub Rebecca, Trees Alexander, Truyen Uwe, Demonceau Thierry, Fitzgerald Ronan, Gatti Diego, Hostetler Joe, Kilmer Bruce, Krieger Klemens, Mencke Norbert, Mendão Cláudio, Mottier Lourdes, Pachnicke Stefan, Rees Bob, Siebert Susanne, Stanneck Dorothee, Tarancón Mingote Montserrat, von Simson Cristiano, and Weston Sarah
- Subjects
Infectious and parasitic diseases ,RC109-216 - Abstract
Abstract The human-animal bond has been a fundamental feature of mankind's history for millennia. The first, and strongest of these, man's relationship with the dog, is believed to pre-date even agriculture, going back as far as 30,000 years. It remains at least as powerful today. Fed by the changing nature of the interactions between people and their dogs worldwide and the increasing tendency towards close domesticity, the health of dogs has never played a more important role in family life. Thanks to developments in scientific understanding and diagnostic techniques, as well as changing priorities of pet owners, veterinarians are now able, and indeed expected, to play a fundamental role in the prevention and treatment of canine disease, including canine vector-borne diseases (CVBDs). The CVBDs represent a varied and complex group of diseases, including anaplasmosis, babesiosis, bartonellosis, borreliosis, dirofilariosis, ehrlichiosis, leishmaniosis, rickettsiosis and thelaziosis, with new syndromes being uncovered every year. Many of these diseases can cause serious, even life-threatening clinical conditions in dogs, with a number having zoonotic potential, affecting the human population. Today, CVBDs pose a growing global threat as they continue their spread far from their traditional geographical and temporal restraints as a result of changes in both climatic conditions and pet dog travel patterns, exposing new populations to previously unknown infectious agents and posing unprecedented challenges to veterinarians. In response to this growing threat, the CVBD World Forum, a multidisciplinary group of experts in CVBDs from around the world which meets on an annual basis, gathered in Nice (France) in 2011 to share the latest research on CVBDs and discuss the best approaches to managing these diseases around the world. As a result of these discussions, we, the members of the CVBD Forum have developed the following recommendations to veterinarians for the management of CVBDs.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
10. How psychedelics legalization debates could differ from cannabis.
- Author
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Kilmer B
- Published
- 2025
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11. Mortality Disparities Among Arrestees by Race, Sentencing Disposition, and Place.
- Author
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Zuo G, Kilmer B, and Nicosia N
- Subjects
- Adult, Female, Humans, Male, Young Adult, Health Status Disparities, South Dakota epidemiology, American Indian or Alaska Native statistics & numerical data, Mortality ethnology, Prisoners statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Importance: Understanding mortality disparities among justice system-involved populations is crucial for public health and policy, especially for marginalized racial groups such as American Indian/Alaska Native persons., Objective: To examine racial disparities in mortality within the broader justice system-involved population in South Dakota, focusing on different sentencing dispositions and the role of place., Design, Setting, and Participants: This observational study used administrative criminal records linked to mortality data from January 2000 to December 2016. The statewide data linked data from South Dakota Attorney General's Office and South Dakota Department of Health. Individuals aged 18 years and older with arrests were analyzed in this population-based sample. Data were analyzed from August 1, 2022, to July 30, 2023., Exposure: Sentencing dispositions were categorized as arrest only, fine, probation, jail, and prison., Main Outcomes and Measures: The main outcomes were mortality rates (both all-cause and cause-specific) calculated using Poisson regression models, adjusted for demographic and county variables., Results: Of 182 472 individuals with 422 987 arrests, the study sample included 29 690 American Indian/Alaska Native arrestees (17 900 [60%] male; mean [SD] age, 29.4 [11.0] years) and 142 248 White arrestees (103 471 [73%] male; mean [SD] age, 32.6 [12.9] years). American Indian/Alaska Native persons accounted for 16% of arrestees and 26% of arrests, but only 9% of the population in South Dakota. Across dispositions, mortality risk was greater for White individuals sentenced to probation, jail, and prison relative to White individuals who were arrested only. In terms of racial disparities, all-cause mortality risk was 2.37 (95% CI, 1.95-2.88) times higher for American Indian/Alaska Native than White arrestees in the arrest-only disposition. Disparities persisted across all dispositions but narrowed substantially for probation and prison. Results were similar for cause-specific mortality risk, except for cancer risk. In urban areas, mortality risk was 2.70 (95% CI, 1.29-2.44) times greater for American Indian/Alaska Native individuals relative to White individuals among those with arrest-only dispositions., Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-based observational study, mortality risk and associated racial disparities among justice system-involved individuals differed substantially across dispositions and places, underscoring the need for public health interventions tailored to these factors. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms through which sentencing and place shape these disparities.
- Published
- 2024
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12. An Overlooked Emergency: More Than One in Eight US Adults Have Had Their Lives Disrupted by Drug Overdose Deaths.
- Author
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Athey A, Kilmer B, and Cerel J
- Subjects
- Adult, Humans, Analgesics, Opioid, Drug Overdose, Opioid-Related Disorders
- Published
- 2024
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13. The Baltic and Nordic responses to the first Taliban poppy ban: Implications for Europe & synthetic opioids today.
- Author
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Caulkins JP, Tallaksen A, Taylor J, Kilmer B, and Reuter P
- Subjects
- Humans, United States, Analgesics, Opioid, Heroin, Fentanyl, Europe epidemiology, Papaver, Drug Overdose
- Abstract
The 2000-2001 and the 2022-2023 Taliban opium bans were and could be two of the largest ever disruptions to a major illegal drug market. To help understand potential implications of the current ban for Europe, this paper analyzes how opioid markets in seven Baltic and Nordic countries responded to the earlier ban, using literature review, key informant interviews, and secondary data analysis. The seven nations' markets responded in diverse ways, including rebounding with the same drug (heroin in Norway), substitution to a more potent opioid (fentanyl replacing heroin in Estonia), and substitution to one with lower risk of overdose (buprenorphine replacing heroin in Finland). The responses were not instantaneous, but rather evolved, sometimes over several years. This variety suggests that it can be hard to predict how drug markets will respond to disruptions, but two extreme views can be challenged. It would be naive to imagine that drug markets will not adapt to shocks, but also unduly nihilistic to presume that they will always just bounce back with no lasting effects. Substitution to another way of meeting demand is possible, but that does not always negate fully the benefits of disrupting the original market. Nonetheless, there is historical precedent for a European country's opioid market switching to synthetic opioids when heroin supplies were disrupted. Given how much that switch has increased overdose rates in Canada and the United States, that is a serious concern for Europe at present. A period of reduced opioid supply may be a particularly propitious time to expand treatment services (as Norway did in the early 2000s)., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier B.V.)
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- 2024
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14. Comparing organization-focused and state-focused financing strategies on provider-level reach of a youth substance use treatment model: a mixed-method study.
- Author
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Dopp AR, Hunter SB, Godley MD, González I, Bongard M, Han B, Cantor J, Hindmarch G, Lindquist K, Wright B, Schlang D, Passetti LL, Wright KL, Kilmer B, Aarons GA, and Purtle J
- Subjects
- Humans, Adolescent, Financing, Organized, Reinforcement, Psychology, Organizations, Evidence-Based Practice, Substance-Related Disorders therapy
- Abstract
Background: Financial barriers in substance use disorder service systems have limited the widespread adoption-i.e., provider-level reach-of evidence-based practices (EBPs) for youth substance use disorders. Reach is essential to maximizing the population-level impact of EBPs. One promising, but rarely studied, type of implementation strategy for overcoming barriers to EBP reach is financing strategies, which direct financial resources in various ways to support implementation. We evaluated financing strategies for the Adolescent Community Reinforcement Approach (A-CRA) EBP by comparing two US federal grant mechanisms, organization-focused and state-focused grants, on organization-level A-CRA reach outcomes., Method: A-CRA implementation took place through organization-focused and state-focused grantee cohorts from 2006 to 2021. We used a quasi-experimental, mixed-method design to compare reach between treatment organizations funded by organization-focused versus state-focused grants (164 organizations, 35 states). Using administrative training records, we calculated reach as the per-organization proportion of trained individuals who received certification in A-CRA clinical delivery and/or supervision by the end of grant funding. We tested differences in certification rate by grant type using multivariable linear regression models that controlled for key covariates (e.g., time), and tested threats to internal validity from our quasi-experimental design through a series of sensitivity analyses. We also drew on interviews and surveys collected from the treatment organizations and (when relevant) interviews with state administrators to identify factors that influenced reach., Results: The overall certification rates were 27 percentage points lower in state-focused versus organization-focused grants (p = .01). Sensitivity analyses suggested these findings were not explained by confounding temporal trends nor by organizational or state characteristics. We did not identify significant quantitative moderators of reach outcomes, but qualitative findings suggested certain facilitating factors were more influential for organization-focused grants (e.g., strategic planning) and certain barrier factors were more impactful for state-focused grants (e.g., states finding it difficult to execute grant activities)., Discussion: As the first published comparison of EBP reach outcomes between financing strategies, our findings can help guide state and federal policy related to financing strategies for implementing EBPs that reduce youth substance use. Future work should explore contextual conditions under which different financing strategies can support the widespread implementation of EBPs for substance use disorder treatment., (© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.)
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- 2023
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15. Prices and Purchase Sources for Dried Cannabis Flower in the United States, 2019-2020.
- Author
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Wadsworth E, Driezen P, Pacula RL, Kilmer B, and Hammond D
- Subjects
- United States, Cross-Sectional Studies, Legislation, Drug, Cannabinoid Receptor Agonists, Flowers, Cannabis, Medical Marijuana, Hallucinogens
- Abstract
Introduction: The price of cannabis has major implications for public health, public safety, social equity, and government revenues. This article examines prices and sources of purchased dried cannabis flower among consumers facing different state laws in the United States. Methods: Repeat cross-sectional survey data were collected from the International Cannabis Policy Study in 2019 and 2020. U.S. respondents were recruited through online commercial panels, ages 16-65, and purchased dried flower in the past year ( n =9766). Weighted binary logistic regression models examined legal purchasing in states that had legalized recreational cannabis. Results: Compared with respondents in states with recreational stores, respondents living in "illegal," "medical," and "recreational" states without stores were associated with paying a higher unit price of dried flower (+20.5%, +23.6%, +27.4%, respectively; all p <0.05). The majority of respondents in states with recreational stores last purchased from stores/dispensaries (2019: 66.6%; 2020: 62.0%) and the odds of purchasing legally was greater with each additional year after stores opened (adjusted odds ratio=1.48, 95% confidence interval: 1.37, 1.60). Conclusions: Cannabis prices and purchase behaviors are strongly influenced by its legal status and presence of stores. After states legalize for recreational purposes, it takes multiple years for the legal market to become established as the number of retail stores increase and prices decrease. The findings demonstrate that consumers use sources that they are legally allowed to access, suggesting an increased number of physical retail stores and online delivery services could expand uptake of legal sources in states with recreational cannabis laws.
- Published
- 2023
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16. Modeling cartel size to inform violence reduction in Mexico.
- Author
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Caulkins JP, Kilmer B, and Reuter P
- Abstract
Estimating stocks and flows is an innovative first step.
- Published
- 2023
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17. America's Opioid Ecosystem: How Leveraging System Interactions Can Help Curb Addiction, Overdose, and Other Harms.
- Author
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Stein BD, Kilmer B, Taylor J, Vaiana ME, Barnes-Proby D, Caulkins JP, Davis LM, Dworsky M, Gates SM, Iguchi MY, Osilla KC, Pacula RL, Pardo B, Sherry TB, and Smucker S
- Abstract
Opioids play an outsized role in America's drug problems, but they also play a critically important role in medicine. Thus, they deserve special attention. Illegally manufactured opioids (such as fentanyl) are involved in a majority of U.S. drug overdoses, but the problems are broader and deeper than drug fatalities. Depending on the drugs involved, there can be myriad physical and mental health consequences associated with having a substance use disorder. And it is not just those using drugs who suffer. Substance use and related behaviors can significantly affect individuals' families, friends, employers, and wider communities. Efforts to address problems related to opioids are insufficient and sometimes contradictory. Researchers provide a nuanced assessment of America's opioid ecosystem, highlighting how leveraging system interactions can reduce addiction, overdose, suffering, and other harms. At the core of the opioid ecosystem are the individuals who use opioids and their families. Researchers also include detail on ten major components of the opioid ecosystem: substance use disorder treatment, harm reduction, medical care, the criminal legal system, illegal supply and supply control, first responders, the child welfare system, income support and homeless services, employment, and education. The primary audience for this study is policymakers, but it should also be useful for foundations looking for opportunities to create change that have often been overlooked. This study can help researchers better consider the full consequences of policy changes and help members of the media identify the dynamics of interactions that deserve more attention., (Copyright © 2023 RAND Corporation.)
- Published
- 2023
18. Cannabis Retail Market Indicators in Five Legal States in the United States: A Public Health Perspective.
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Dilley JA, Johnson JK, Colby AM, Sheehy TJ, Muse EJ, Filley JR, Segawa MB, Schauer GL, and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Adult, United States, Humans, Public Health, Washington, Commerce, Legislation, Drug, Cannabis, Marijuana Use, COVID-19
- Abstract
Purpose: Adult-use cannabis markets are operating in multiple US states and abroad. Sales and licensing data for alcohol and tobacco are often used to understand consumption patterns and evaluate policy changes. Cannabis market data may provide similar insights, although these newly legal markets are complex and evolving, and the state data structures can differ. This study describes variations in market indicators and discusses the utility of cannabis market metrics from a public health perspective., Methods: We collected data from 5 early-adopting adult-use cannabis states: Alaska, Colorado, Massachusetts, Oregon, and Washington. Analyses focused on licensed retail outlets and retail sales revenues (pretax). Monthly data were collected from the opening of each state's adult-use market through June 2022. Joinpoint software was used to assess state trends and identify points of inflection in trends. Average sales per retailer for June 2019 and June 2022 were compared. Also described are retailers and revenue per population for 2022., Findings: All states showed 4 distinct periods of growth in retail licensee numbers. The greatest increases typically occurred in the first 3 to 4 months. Growth rates slowed to <1% per month for Colorado, Oregon, and Washington at months 25, 24, and 34, respectively. The number of cannabis retailers per 100,000 residents in June 2022 ranged widely, from 16.8 in Oregon to 3.0 in Massachusetts. Colorado, Oregon, and Washington each showed 4 distinct trend periods in adult-use retail sales: early rapid growth lasting <1 year, subsequent varied growth periods, and then declining sales in the most recent months, following early coronavirus disease 2019 period increases. Sales in Alaska and Massachusetts displayed more stable, consistent growth patterns. Sales per state resident for July 2021 to June 2022 also ranged widely, from $382.97 in Alaska to $180.94 in Washington., Implications: We found some consistencies and some variations in both point-in-time measures and trends in states' adult-use cannabis markets. Differences may relate to varied state policies and general contexts (eg, economies). Market data can be useful for public health monitoring, including understanding the effects of policies intended to protect health and safety. States providing publicly accessible cannabis market data create opportunities for such use. Our results underscore the importance of considering individual state regulatory frameworks and implementation timelines in studies of cannabis legalization., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest None declared., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2023
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19. Nine Insights From 10 Years of Legal Cannabis for Nonmedical Purposes.
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Kilmer B and Pérez-Dávila S
- Subjects
- Humans, Legislation, Drug, Commerce, Public Policy, Canada, Cannabis
- Abstract
Whereas the 20th century could be largely characterized as the age of cannabis prohibition, the 21st century may ultimately be known as the era of cannabis legalization. Although several countries and subnational jurisdictions have relaxed laws to allow cannabis to be used for medical purposes, the policy landscape shifted dramatically in 2012 when voters in Colorado and Washington passed ballot initiatives to allow cannabis to be sold to adults for nonmedical purposes. Since then, Canada, Uruguay, and Malta have legalized nonmedical cannabis, and >47% of the US population live in states that have passed laws allowing commercial production and for-profit retail sales. Some countries are now implementing pilot programs for legal supply (eg, the Netherlands, Switzerland), and others are seriously contemplating changing their laws (eg, Germany, Mexico). This commentary offers 9 insights from the first 10 years of legal cannabis for nonmedical purposes, with the goal of informing policy discussions in places considering, implementing, or revising their approach to cannabis legalization: (1) cannabis prices are declining in places with commercial regimes and this matters for several outcomes; (2) noncommercial models are being implemented and seriously considered in some places; (3) policy discussions about cannabis taxes are evolving; (4) the number of cannabis products available in commercial regimes is proliferating; (5) emerging research on higher potency cannabis products raises some public health concerns, but there is still a lot to learn; (6) social equity is playing a larger role in many legalization debates; (7) it takes time to move consumers to the legal market; (8) data collection about cannabis consumption is getting better, but there is much work to do; and (9) ongoing methodological advances should improve our understanding of cannabis policy changes., Competing Interests: Declaration of Interest None., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2023
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20. Clarifying 'safer supply' to enrich policy discussions.
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Kilmer B and Pardo B
- Subjects
- Humans, Heroin therapeutic use, Policy, Analgesics, Opioid therapeutic use, Drug Overdose drug therapy
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- 2023
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21. Association of an Alcohol Abstinence Program With Mortality in Individuals Arrested for Driving While Alcohol Impaired.
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Nicosia N, Kilmer B, Midgette G, and Suttorp Booth M
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- Humans, Accidents, Traffic prevention & control, Ethanol, Alcohol Drinking, Alcohol Abstinence, Automobile Driving
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Rapid changes in illegally manufactured fentanyl products and prices in the United States.
- Author
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Kilmer B, Pardo B, Pujol TA, and Caulkins JP
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- Analgesics, Opioid, Heroin, Humans, New York, Powders, Seizures, United States, Drug Overdose, Fentanyl
- Abstract
Background and Aims: Synthetic opioids, mostly illegally manufactured fentanyl (IMF), were mentioned in 60% of United States (US) drug overdose deaths in 2020, with dramatic variation across states that mirrors variation in IMF supply. However, little is known about IMF markets in the United States and how they are changing. Researchers have previously used data from undercover cocaine, heroin, and methamphetamine purchases and seizures to examine how their use and related harms respond to changes in price and availability. This analysis used US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) data to address two questions: (i) "To what extent does IMF supply vary over time and geography?" and (ii) "What has happened to the purity-adjusted price of IMF?", Methods: We developed descriptive statistics and visualizations using data from 66 713 observations mentioning IMF and/or heroin from the DEA's System to Retrieve Information from Drug Evidence (STRIDE; now STARLIMS) from 2013 to 2021. Price regressions were estimated with city-level fixed effects examining IMF-only powder observations with purity and price information at the low-to-medium wholesale level (>1 g to ≤100 g; n = 964)., Results: From 2013 to 2021, the share of heroin and/or IMF observations mentioning IMF grew from near zero to more than two-thirds. The share of heroin observations also containing IMF grew from <1% to ~40%. There is important geographic variation: in California, most IMF seizures involved counterfeit tablets, whereas New York and Massachusetts largely involved powder formulation. The median price per pure gram of IMF powder sold at the >10 to ≤100 g level fell by more than 50% from 2016 to 2021; regression analyses suggested an average annual decline of 17% (P < 0.001). However, this price decline appears to have been driven by observations from the Northeast., Conclusions: Since 2013, the illegally manufactured fentanyl problem in the United States has become more deadly and more diverse., (© 2022 RAND Corporation. Addiction published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society for the Study of Addiction.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
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23. Cannabis legalization and traffic injuries: exploring the role of supply mechanisms.
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Kilmer B, Rivera-Aguirre A, Queirolo R, Ramirez J, and Cerdá M
- Subjects
- Accidents, Traffic, Adolescent, Data Collection, Ethanol, Humans, Legislation, Drug, Cannabis, Hallucinogens
- Abstract
Background and Aim: In Uruguay, residents age 18 and older seeking legal cannabis must register with the government and choose one of three supply mechanisms: self-cultivation, non-profit cannabis clubs or pharmacies. This is the first paper to measure the association between type of legal cannabis supply mechanism and traffic crashes involving injuries., Design: Ecological study using ordinary least squares regression to examine how department-level variation in registrations (overall and by type) is associated with traffic crashes involving injuries., Setting: Uruguay., Cases: 532 department-quarters., Measurements: Quarterly cannabis registration counts at the department level and incident-level traffic crash data were obtained from government agencies. The analyses controlled for department-level economic and demographic characteristics and, as a robustness check, we included traffic violations involving alcohol for departments reporting this information. Department-level data on crashes, registrations and alcohol violations were denominated by the number of residents ages 18 and older., Findings: From 2013 to 2019, the average number of registrations at the department-quarter level per 10 000 residents age 18 and older for self-cultivation, club membership and pharmacy purchasing were 17.7 (SD = 16.8), 3.6 (SD = 8.6), and 25.1 (SD = 50.4), respectively. In our multivariate regression analyses, we did not find a statistically significant association between the total number of registrations and traffic crashes with injuries (β = -0.007; P = 0.398; 95% CI = -0.023, 0.01). Analyses focused on the specific supply mechanisms found a consistent, positive and statistically significant association between the number of individuals registered as self-cultivators and the number of traffic crashes with injuries (β = 0.194; P = 0.008; 95% CI = 0.058, 0.329). Associations for other supply mechanisms were inconsistent across the various model specifications., Conclusions: In Uruguay, the number of people allowed to self-cultivate cannabis is positively associated with traffic crashes involving injuries. Individual-level analyses are needed to assess better the factors underlying this association., (© 2022 Society for the Study of Addiction.)
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- 2022
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24. Rating the comparative efficacy of state-level cannabis policies on recreational cannabis markets in the United States.
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Blanchette JG, Pacula RL, Smart R, Lira MC, Boustead AE, Caulkins JP, Kilmer B, Kerr WC, Treffers R, and Naimi TS
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- Adolescent, Adult, Analgesics, Cannabinoid Receptor Agonists, Commerce, Humans, Legislation, Drug, Policy, Taxes, United States, Cannabis, Hallucinogens
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Background: Cannabis policy is developing faster than empirical evidence about policy effects. With a panel of experts in substance use policy development and research, we identified key cannabis policies and their provisions enacted by U.S. states; rated their theoretical efficacy in a restrictive form for reducing problematic use and impaired driving in the context of a recreational cannabis market as judged by experts; and rated the strength of evidence for each policy., Methods: Using a modified Delphi approach, 9 panelists rated the comparative efficacy of 18 state cannabis policies for reducing youth use of cannabis, excessive cannabis use among the general population, and cannabis-impaired driving. Each outcome was rated separately using a Likert scale, and panelists also rated the strength of evidence supporting each efficacy rating. Investigators provided descriptions of each policy so that the nine panelists had similar conceptions of each policy., Results: State monopoly (state owns all production, manufacturing, wholesale, and retail operations) was rated as the most effective policy for all three outcome areas. Restrictions on retail physical availability, taxes, retail price restrictions, and retail operations restrictions were also highly rated for all three outcomes. Policies regulating cannabis businesses and products were judged more effective than policies targeting consumer use and behavior. Panelists reported there was little or no direct evidence from the cannabis policy literature for most of the included policies., Conclusion: These ratings can facilitate research as well as policy-making decisions. A relatively small number of policies were judged to be highly effective across all three domains, indicating that for the most part adult excessive use, youth use, and impaired driving can all be reduced with the same set of policies; these policies tended to target the behaviors of businesses rather than consumers. The low levels of direct evidence available to inform policy ratings, as reported by the policy panelists, makes clear the need for ongoing and sustained cannabis policy research., Competing Interests: Declarations of Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier B.V.)
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- 2022
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25. How much illegally manufactured fentanyl could the U.S. be consuming?
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Kilmer B, Pardo B, Caulkins JP, and Reuter P
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- Analgesics, Opioid, Fentanyl, Heroin, Humans, United States epidemiology, Drug Overdose epidemiology, Opioid-Related Disorders epidemiology
- Abstract
The spread of illegally manufactured opioids, including fentanyl, has brought unprecedented levels of drug overdose deaths in North America. In some markets, illegally manufactured fentanyl (IMF) is essentially displacing heroin, not just being used to adulterate it. It is not possible at this time to provide an accurate point estimate of the amount of IMF consumed in the United States. Yet for various purposes (e.g. assessing changes in production levels and the appropriate role for various supply reduction efforts), it is important to have a sense of scale. This article provides guidance through two thought experiments that provide a hypothetical upper bound on U.S. consumption. The first considers a scenario in which IMF replaces heroin in all illegal opioid markets. The second starts with the number of individuals with an opioid use disorder and considers what total consumption would be if IMF was the only opioid they consumed. Both calculations suggest it is unlikely that the annual consumption of IMF in 2021 could have been more than single digit pure metric tons. For comparison, the most recent best estimates of the amount of cocaine and heroin consumed in the U.S. are 145 and 47 pure metric tons, respectively. The article also raises questions about the limitations of using traditional equianalgesic morphine equivalent dose conversions to estimate the total market consumption of IMF.
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- 2022
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26. Assessing options for cannabis law reform: A Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) with stakeholders in New Zealand.
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Wilkins C, Rychert M, Queirolo R, Lenton SR, Kilmer B, Fischer B, Decorte T, Hansen P, and Ombler F
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- Decision Support Techniques, Humans, Law Enforcement, New Zealand, Public Policy, Cannabis
- Abstract
Background: A number of jurisdictions are considering or implementing different options for cannabis law reform, including New Zealand. Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) helps facilitate the resolution of complex policy decisions by breaking them down into key criteria and drawing on the combined knowledge of experts from various backgrounds., Aims: To rank cannabis law reform options by facilitating expert stakeholders to express preferences for projected reform outcomes using MCDA., Methods: A group of cannabis policy experts projected the outcomes of eight cannabis policy options (i.e., prohibition, decriminalization, social clubs, government monopoly, not-for-profit trusts, strict regulation, light regulation, and unrestricted market) based on five criteria (i.e., health and social harm, illegal market size, arrests, tax income, treatment services). A facilitated workshop of 42 key national stakeholders expressed preferences for different reform outcomes and doing so generated relative weights for each criterion and level. The resulting weights were then used to rank the eight policy options., Results: The relative weighting of the criteria were: "reducing health and social harm" (46%), "reducing arrests" (31%), "reducing the illegal market" (13%), "expanding treatment" (8%) and "earning tax" (2%). The top ranked reform options were: "government monopoly" (81%), "not-for-profit" (73%) and "strict market regulation" (65%). These three received higher scores due to their projected lower impact on health and social harm, medium reduction in arrests, and medium reduction in the illegal market. The "lightly regulated market" option scored lower largely due its projected greater increase in health and social harm. "Prohibition" ranked lowest due to its lack of impact on reducing the number of arrests or size of the illegal market., Conclusion: Strictly regulated legal market options were ranked higher than both the current prohibition, and alternatively, more lightly regulated legal market options, as they were projected to minimize health and social harms while substantially reducing arrests and the illegal market., Competing Interests: Declarations of Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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27. Trends in the use of cannabis products in Canada and the USA, 2018 - 2020: Findings from the International Cannabis Policy Study.
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Hammond D, Goodman S, Wadsworth E, Freeman TP, Kilmer B, Schauer G, Pacula RL, and Hall W
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- Analgesics, Canada epidemiology, Cannabinoid Receptor Agonists, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Male, Oils, Public Policy, United States epidemiology, Cannabis, Hallucinogens
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Background and Aims: There is little information on consumption patterns across the diverse range of cannabis product types. This paper examines trends in consumption patterns in Canada and the United States (US) between 2018-2020., Design: Repeat cross-sectional surveys were conducted as part of the International Cannabis Policy Study online survey in 2018 (n=27,024), 2019 (n=45,426), and 2020 (n=45,180)., Setting: Respondents were recruited from commercial panels in Canada and US states that had and had not legalized non-medical cannabis (US 'legal' and 'illegal' states, respectively)., Participants: Respondents were male and female participants aged 16-65 years., Measurements: Data on frequency and consumption amounts were collected for nine types of cannabis products, including dried flower and processed products (e.g., oils and concentrates). Consumers were also asked about mixing cannabis with tobacco. Socio-demographic information was collected., Findings: Dried flower was the most commonly used product, although use in the past 12 months declined between 2018 and 2020 in Canada (81% to 73%), US legal (78% to 72%) and illegal states (81% to 76%; p<0.05 for all). Prevalence of past 12-month use increased for virtually all other product forms, although prevalence of daily use remained stable across years. In 2020, edibles and vape oils were the most commonly used products after flower. Use of non-flower products was highest in US legal states, although similar trends were observed in all jurisdictions. Males were more likely to report using processed products, and vape oils were the most commonly processed product among 16-20-year-olds. Daily use of cannabis flower increased in US legal and illegal states, and average joint size increased across all jurisdictions over time., Conclusions: Dried flower remains the dominant product in Canada and the US; however, use of processed cannabis products has increased, with the largest increases observed in legal cannabis markets., Competing Interests: Declarations of Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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28. Comparing two federal financing strategies on penetration and sustainment of the adolescent community reinforcement approach for substance use disorders: protocol for a mixed-method study.
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Dopp AR, Hunter SB, Godley MD, Pham C, Han B, Smart R, Cantor J, Kilmer B, Hindmarch G, González I, Passetti LL, Wright KL, Aarons GA, and Purtle J
- Abstract
Background: Sustained, widespread availability of evidence-based practices (EBPs) is essential to address the public health and societal impacts of adolescent substance use disorders (SUD). There remains a particularly significant need to identify effective financing strategies, which secure and direct financial resources to support the costs associated with EBP implementation and sustainment. This protocol describes a new project comparing two types of U.S. federal grant mechanisms (i.e., a type of financing strategy), which supported the implementation of the Adolescent Community Reinforcement Approach (A-CRA) EBP for SUD, through either organization-focused or state-focused granting of funds. The Exploration-Preparation-Implementation-Sustainment (EPIS) framework will guide our study aims, hypotheses, and selection of measures., Method: We will employ a longitudinal, mixed-method (i.e., web surveys, semi-structured interviews, document review, focus groups, administrative data), quasi-experimental design to compare the grant types' outcomes and examine theoretically informed mediators and moderators. Aim 1 will examine the proportion of eligible clinicians certified in A-CRA with adequate fidelity levels (i.e., penetration outcomes) at the end of grant funding. Aim 2 will examine the sustainment of A-CRA up to 5 years post-funding, using a 10-element composite measure of treatment delivery and supervision activities. We will integrate the new data collected from state-focused grant recipients (~85 organizations in 19 states) with previously collected data from organization-focused grant recipients (Hunter et al., Implement Sci 9:104, 2014) (82 organizations in 26 states) for analysis. We will also use sensitivity analyses to characterize the effects of observed and unobserved secular trends in our quasi-experimental design. Finally, aim 3 will use comparative case study methods (integrating diverse quantitative and qualitative measures) to identify and disseminate policy implications about the roles of state- and organization-focused federal grants in efforts to promote adolescent SUD EBP implementation and sustainment., Discussion: The proposed research will have direct, practical implications for behavioral health administrators, policymakers, implementation experts, and the public. It will offer new knowledge that can directly inform financing strategies to support large-scale, sustained EBP delivery in behavioral health-while advancing implementation science through the use of novel methods to study financing strategies and sustainment., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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29. Licensed and unlicensed cannabis outlets in Los Angeles County: the potential implications of location for social equity.
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Firth CL, Warren KM, Perez L, Kilmer B, Shih RA, Tucker JS, D'Amico EJ, and Pedersen ER
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Background: Cannabis social equity programs intend to redress inequities experienced by low income and Black, Indigenous, and People of Color (BIPOC) during cannabis prohibition in the United States. In Los Angeles County (LA), the approach is to increase cannabis outlet licensure and employment for low income and BIPOC communities. Monitoring locations of both licensed and unlicensed outlets over time is critical to informing how local social equity programs may affect communities., Methods: We identified locations of licensed and unlicensed cannabis outlets in LA, from February to April 2019 and again from March to April 2020, and calculated the number and type of outlets by socio-demographic characteristics of census tracts (race/ethnicity, poverty, education, unemployment) using the 2013-2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates., Results: Licensed outlets increased in LA from 162 in 2019 to 195 in 2020; unlicensed outlets decreased from 286 to 137 over the same time period. In 2020, more licensed outlets were in tracts with majority white residents and adults with at least a bachelor's degree; fewer licensed outlets were in tracts with larger Latinx or Black populations, whereas 71% of unlicensed outlets in 2020 were in low-income tracts, and more unlicensed outlets were in predominately Latinx tracts, high poverty and high unemployment tracts, and tracts with more single female-headed households., Conclusions: Neighborhood-level analyses are an important first step, but more data are needed for comprehensive evaluations of social equity programs-from individual businesses to the communities living nearby-to understand the impacts on low income and BIPOC populations., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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30. Community perspectives on supervised consumption sites: Insights from four U.S. counties deeply affected by opioids.
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Taylor J, Ober AJ, Kilmer B, Caulkins JP, and Iguchi MY
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- Analgesics, Opioid therapeutic use, Harm Reduction, Humans, New Hampshire, United States, Drug Overdose drug therapy, Drug Overdose prevention & control, Opioid-Related Disorders drug therapy
- Abstract
Background: To address the overdose crisis in the United States, expert groups have been nearly unanimous in calls for increasing access to evidence-based treatment and overdose reversal drugs. In some places there have also been calls for implementing supervised consumption sites (SCSs). Some cities-primarily in coastal urban areas-have explored the feasibility and acceptability of introducing them. However, the perspectives of community stakeholders from more inland and rural areas that have also been hard hit by opioids are largely missing from the literature., Methods: To examine community attitudes about implementing SCSs for people who use opioids (PWUO) in areas with acute opioid problems, the research team conducted in-depth interviews and focus groups in four counties: Ashtabula and Cuyahoga Counties in Ohio, and Carroll and Hillsborough Counties in New Hampshire, two states with high rates of opioid overdose. Participants were policy, treatment, and criminal justice professionals, frontline harm reduction and service providers, and PWUO., Results: Key informants noted benefits to SCSs, but also perceived potential drawbacks such as that they may enable opioid use, and potential practical barriers, including lack of desire among PWUO to travel to an SCS after purchasing opioids and fear of arrest. Key informants generally believed their communities likely would not currently accept SCSs due to cultural, resource, and practical barriers. They viewed publication of evidence on SCSs and community education as essential for fostering acceptance., Conclusions: Despite cultural and other barriers, implementation of SCSs may be more feasible in urban communities with existing (and perhaps more long-standing) harm reduction programs, greater treatment resources, and adequate transportation, particularly if there is strong evidence to support them., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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31. Can novel 'swift-certain-fair' programs work outside of pioneering jurisdictions? An analysis of 24/7 Sobriety in Montana, USA.
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Midgette G and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Alcohol Abstinence, Alcohol Drinking, Ethanol, Humans, Law Enforcement, Montana, Automobile Driving, Driving Under the Influence
- Abstract
Background and Aims: The US state of South Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Program (24/7) requires individuals charged or convicted of alcohol-involved offenses to avoid alcohol and submit to twice-daily or continuous alcohol testing. We evaluated the impact of the 24/7 program in the US state of Montana., Methods: Using data from everyone in Montana who was convicted of their second driving under the influence (DUI) offense from 2009 to August 2013, we described program violations among 24/7 participants and then estimated the effect of 24/7 participation on the probability of DUI re-arrest. To address potential selection issues related to individual-level 24/7 participation, we used an instrumental variables approach that exploits county-level variation in program adoption., Results: Among 2768 people convicted of a second DUI in our analytical sample, 356 participated in 24/7 and were monitored for an average of 173 days (median = 112 days). Among the 332 participants monitored by breath test, 95.5% of scheduled alcohol breath tests were completed and did not lead to a program violation. After controlling for individual- and community-level covariates as well as year and county fixed effects, our instrumental variable models suggested that participation in 24/7 reduced the 1-year DUI re-arrest probability by at least 80% (preferred model: 86% decrease; 8.9 percentage points) compared with a counterfactual group of people convicted of a second DUI over the same period but not assigned to the program., Conclusions: South Dakota USA's 24/7 Sobriety Program appears to work in Montana as well. Certain delivery of immediate but modest sanctions for repeat driving under the influence (DUI) arrestees who violate alcohol abstinence orders appears to be able to reduce future DUI arrests., (© 2021 Society for the Study of Addiction.)
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- 2021
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32. A Natural Experiment to Test the Effect of Sanction Certainty and Celerity on Substance-Impaired Driving: North Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety Program.
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Midgette G, Kilmer B, Nicosia N, and Heaton P
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Objectives: Evaluate the deterrent effect of a program that increases the certainty and celerity of sanction for arrestees ordered to abstain from alcohol and other drugs on substance-impaired driving arrests., Methods: We examine participant compliance with orders to abstain from alcohol and other drug use via breathalyzer, body-worn continuous alcohol monitoring (CAM) devices, transdermal drug patches, and urinalyses. We then evaluate the impact of the 24/7 Sobriety program on substance-impaired driving arrests. Using variation across counties in the timing of program implementation in North Dakota as a natural experiment, we use differences-in-differences fixed effects Poisson regressions to measure the program's effect on county-level arrests for substance-impaired driving., Results: Over half of participants ordered to abstain from substance use complete 24/7 Sobriety without a detected substance use event. At the county level, the program is associated with a 9 percent reduction in substance-impaired driving arrests after accounting for the impact of oil exploration in the Bakken region, law enforcement intensity, alcohol availability, whether the state's large universities were in session, and socio-demographic characteristics., Conclusions: The results suggest frequent monitoring combined with increased sanction celerity deters substance use-involved crime. While the results are generally consistent with an earlier study of 24/7 Sobriety in another state, differences in the study outcome measures and implementation choices across states make direct comparisons difficult. More can be learned by conducting randomized controlled trials that vary time on program, testing technology, and/or level of sanction.
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- 2021
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33. Estimating the impact of state cigarette tax rates on smoking behavior: Addressing endogeneity using a natural experiment.
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Dunbar MS, Nicosia N, and Kilmer B
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- Adult, Cross-Sectional Studies, Humans, Smoking epidemiology, Smoking Prevention, Taxes, Tobacco Products
- Abstract
Introduction: Cigarette excise taxes are a well-established policy lever for reducing tobacco use. However, estimating the effect of taxes on smoking behavior can be confounded by endogeneity concerns such as selection. This study leverages a unique natural experiment -compulsory relocation of U.S. military service members to installations - to estimate the relationship between state cigarette taxes and smoking behavior without concerns about selection into environments., Methods: The current study uses data from the Department of Defense's 2011 Health-Related Behaviors Survey and 2011 state cigarette excise taxes from the CDC STATE System. Logistic and Poisson regression analyses estimate the cross-sectional associations between state cigarette excise taxes and the following smoking behaviors: current cigarette smoking, frequency of smoking, heaviness of consumption, and cigarette cessation among individuals who smoked while at the current installation., Results: Higher taxes are associated with lower odds of current cigarette smoking (AOR = 0.94; 95 % CI: 0.89-0.98), fewer smoking days per month among current cigarette smokers (IRR = 0.98, 95 % CI 0.97-0.996), and higher likelihood of quitting smoking among individuals who had smoked at their current installation (AOR = 1.14, 95 % CI 1.05-1.25). Taxes are not associated with the number of cigarettes smoked per day among current smokers., Conclusions: Exogenous assignment to installations in states with higher cigarette taxes is associated with lower likelihood of smoking and greater likelihood of quitting. Findings provide novel evidence in support of a causal impact of cigarette taxes on lower smoking levels among adults., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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34. Exposure to new smoking environments and individual-level cigarette smoking behavior: Insights from exogenous assignment of military personnel.
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Dunbar MS, Nicosia N, and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Child, Cross-Sectional Studies, Female, Humans, Prevalence, Smoking epidemiology, United States epidemiology, Young Adult, Cigarette Smoking, Military Personnel, Smoking Cessation
- Abstract
Despite overall declines in cigarette smoking prevalence in the United States (U.S.) in the past several decades, smoking rates remain highly variable across geographic areas. Past work suggests that smoking norms and exposure to other smokers in one's social environment may correlate with smoking risk and cessation, but little is known about how exposure to other smokers in one's community is causally linked to smoking behavior - in part due to endogeneity and inability to randomly assign individuals to different 'smoking environments.' The goal of this study was to evaluate how exposure to localities with high population-level smoking prevalence affects individual-level cigarette smoking behaviors, including quitting. The study addresses key limitations in the literature by leveraging a unique natural experiment: the plausibly exogenous compulsory assignment of military personnel to installations. Logistic and multivariate regressions estimated cross-sectional associations between smoking/quitting behaviors and our proxy for social environments for smoking, county-level smoking prevalence (CSP). Across 563 U.S. counties, CSP ranged from 3.8 to 37.9%. Among the full sample, a 10 percentage point increase in CSP was associated with an 11% greater likelihood of smoking. In subgroup analyses, young adults, women, those without children in the household, and risk/sensation-seekers were more likely to smoke and less likely to quit when exposed to counties with higher CSP. Relocation to areas with high population-level smoking prevalence may increase likelihood of smoking and impede quitting, and may disparately affect some population subgroups. Findings provide novel evidence that community smoking environments affect adult smoking risk and underscore a need for sustained, targeted efforts to reduce smoking in areas where prevalence remains high., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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35. The dawn of a new synthetic opioid era: the need for innovative interventions.
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Pardo B, Taylor J, Caulkins J, Reuter P, and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Heroin, Humans, Illicit Drugs, Analgesics, Opioid, Drug Overdose prevention & control, Fentanyl, Naloxone
- Abstract
Background: Overdose deaths related to illegal drugs in North American markets are now dominated by potent synthetic opioids such as fentanyl, a circumstance foreshadowed by often-overlooked events in Estonia since the turn of the century. Market transitions generate important and far-reaching implications for drug policy., Argument and Analysis: The supplier-driven introduction of illegally manufactured synthetic opioids into street opioids is elevating the risk of fatal overdose. Using the most recent overdose mortality and drug seizure data in North America, we find that overdose deaths and seizures involving synthetic opioids are geographically concentrated, but this might be changing. Examination here suggests that in some places fentanyl and its analogues have virtually displaced traditional opioids, such as heroin. The concealing of synthetic opioids in powders sold as heroin or pressed into counterfeit medications substantially increases harms. The nature and scale of the challenge posed by synthetic opioids is unprecedented in recent drug policy history., Conclusions: There is urgent need for policy and technological innovation to meet the challenges posed by illegally produced synthetic opioids. Novel interventions worth examining include supervising drug use, proactively deterring on-line distribution and new technologies aimed at improving transparency, such as point-of-use drug content testing. Continuing to approach this problem only with existing policies and available methods, such as naloxone, is unlikely to be enough and will result in many premature deaths., (© 2020 Society for the Study of Addiction.)
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- 2021
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36. New synthetic drugs require new policies.
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Pardo B, Taylor J, Caulkins J, Reuter P, and Kilmer B
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- Analgesics, Opioid, Fentanyl, Humans, Policy, Opioid-Related Disorders, Synthetic Drugs
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- 2021
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37. Assessment of the impact of implementation of a zero blood alcohol concentration law in Uruguay on moderate/severe injury and fatal crashes: a quasi-experimental study.
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Davenport S, Robbins M, Cerdá M, Rivera-Aguirre A, and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Accidents, Traffic prevention & control, Adult, Alcohol Drinking, Chile, Humans, United States, Uruguay, Automobile Driving, Blood Alcohol Content
- Abstract
Background and Aims: Debates regarding lowering the blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limit for drivers are intensifying in the United States and other countries, and the World Health Organization recommends that the limit for adults should be 0.05%. In January 2016, Uruguay implemented a law setting a zero BAC limit for all drivers. This study aimed to assess the effect of this policy on the frequency of moderate/severe injury and fatal traffic crashes., Design: A quasi-experimental study in which a synthetic control model was used with controls consisting of local areas in Chile as the counterfactual for outcomes in Uruguay, matched across population counts and pre-intervention period outcomes. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted., Setting: Uruguay and Chile., Cases: Panel data with crash counts by outcome per locality-month (2013-2017)., Intervention and Comparator: A zero blood alcohol concentration law implemented on 9 January 2016 in Uruguay, alongside a continued 0.03 g/dl BAC threshold in Chile., Measurements: Per-capita moderate/severe injury (i.e. moderate or severe), severe injury and fatal crashes (2013-2017)., Findings: Our base synthetic control model results suggested a reduction in fatal crashes at 12 months [20.9%; P-value = 0.018, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.340, -0.061]. Moderate/severe injury crashes did not decrease significantly (10.2%, P = 0.312, 95% CI = -0.282, 0.075). The estimated effect at 24 months was smaller and with larger confidence intervals for fatal crashes (14%; P = 0.048, 95% CI = -0.246, -0.026) and largely unchanged for moderate/severe injury crashes (-9.4%, P = 0.302, 95% CI = -0.248, 0.058). Difference-in-differences analyses yielded similar results. As a sensitivity test, a synthetic control model relying on an inferior treatment-control match pre-intervention (measured by mean squared error) yielded similar-sized differences that were not statistically significant., Conclusions: Implementation of a law setting a zero blood alcohol concentration threshold for all drivers in Uruguay appears to have resulted in a reduction in fatal crashes during the following 12 and 24 months., (© 2020 Society for the Study of Addiction.)
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- 2021
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38. Examining Associations Between Licensed and Unlicensed Outlet Density and Cannabis Outcomes From Preopening to Postopening of Recreational Cannabis Outlets.
- Author
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Pedersen ER, Firth CL, Rodriguez A, Shih RA, Seelam R, Kraus L, Dunbar MS, Tucker JS, Kilmer B, and D'Amico EJ
- Subjects
- Commerce organization & administration, Female, Humans, Los Angeles epidemiology, Male, Surveys and Questionnaires, Young Adult, Cannabis, Commerce statistics & numerical data, Illicit Drugs legislation & jurisprudence, Licensure statistics & numerical data, Marijuana Smoking epidemiology
- Abstract
Background and Objectives: To expand on epidemiologic studies examining associations between the legalization of recreational cannabis and use among young adults, we examined the associations between licensed and unlicensed cannabis outlet density and cannabis outcomes., Methods: A total of 1097 young adults aged 21 and older living in Los Angeles County were surveyed before licensed recreational cannabis outlets opened (Time 1: July to December 2017) and after (Time 2: July 2018 to June 2019). Using a database of open licensed and unlicensed cannabis retailers to calculate individual-level cannabis outlet density measures, we examined associations between outlet density within a 4-mile radius of participants' residences with Time 2 outcomes of any past-month use, daily use, intentions to use, quantity used, consequences, and cannabis use disorder (CUD) symptoms., Results: After controlling for demographic factors and cannabis outcomes at a time point prior to their opening (Time 1), licensed cannabis outlets were associated with young adults' cannabis use, heavy use, and intentions, and unlicensed outlets were associated with young adults' heavy cannabis use and CUD symptoms., Conclusion and Scientific Significance: This study expands beyond studies of outlet prevalence to find that, after controlling for outcomes 1 year prior, licensed and unlicensed outlets were associated with young adults' cannabis outcomes. The current study is among the first to find associations between cannabis use outcomes and density of cannabis outlets among young adults using data from two time points: preopening and postopening of recreational cannabis retailers. Findings can inform policies around the density and placement of cannabis outlets. (Am J Addict 2020;00:00-00)., (© 2020 American Academy of Addiction Psychiatry.)
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- 2021
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39. Illicit synthetic opioid consumption in Asia and the Pacific: Assessing the risks of a potential outbreak.
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Taylor J, Pardo B, Hulme S, Bouey J, Greenfield V, Zhang S, and Kilmer B
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- Asia epidemiology, Australia epidemiology, China epidemiology, Drug Overdose epidemiology, Fentanyl poisoning, Heroin poisoning, Humans, India epidemiology, Myanmar epidemiology, Opioid-Related Disorders epidemiology, Synthetic Drugs adverse effects
- Abstract
Background: Illegally manufactured potent synthetic opioids (IMPSO) like fentanyl have contributed to rises in overdose deaths in parts of North America and Europe. While many of these substances are produced in Asia, there is little evidence they have entered markets there. We consider the susceptibility to IMPSO's encroachment in markets in the Asia-Pacific region., Methods: Our analysis focuses on Australia, China, India, and Myanmar. Using a mixed-methods approach comprising interviews, literature review, and secondary data analyses, we examine factors facilitating or impeding incursion of IMPSO. Finally, we illustrate the potential for IMPSO fatalities in Australia., Results: Australia reports some signs of three facilitating factors to IMPSO's emergence: 1) existing illicit opioid markets, 2) disruption of opioid supply, and 3) user preferences. The other three countries report only existing illicit opioid markets. While diverted pharmaceutical opioids are a noted problem in Australia and India, heroin is the dominant opioid in all four countries. There are divergent trends in heroin use, with use declining in China, increasing in India, and stable in Australia and Myanmar. If IMPSO diffused in Australia as in North America from 2014 to 2018, and our assumptions generally hold, deaths from IMPSO could range from 1500-5700 over a five-year period., Conclusions: This analysis and illustrative calculations serve as an early indication for policymakers. With the exception of Australia, many countries in the region fail to properly record overdose deaths or monitor changes in local drug markets. Early assessment and monitoring can give officials a better understanding of these changing threats., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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40. Still HOPEful: Reconsidering a "failed" replication of a swift, certain, and fair approach to reducing substance use among individuals under criminal justice supervision.
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Humphreys K and Kilmer B
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- Hawaii, Humans, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Substance Abuse Detection legislation & jurisprudence, United States, Criminal Law methods, Substance-Related Disorders rehabilitation
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- 2020
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41. Variation in the degree of concentration of prescription opioid utilization using different measures.
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Heins SE, Caulkins JP, Kilmer B, and Stein BD
- Abstract
Background: Studies of opioid prescribing patterns have shown that a small percentage of prescribers are responsible for a large portion of total prescriptions. There is some evidence that prescription opioid use may be similarly concentrated, but patterns may differ by population and choice of opioid utilization measure. The objective of this study is to determine what proportion of prescription opioid utilization was attributable to the top utilizers among Medicaid beneficiaries and how this proportion varies by the measure used., Methods: We analyzed 2008-2009 Medicaid claims data from 14 states and created three claims-based measures of aggregate opioid utilization: total number of annual prescriptions, total annual milligrams morphine equivalent, and total days supply. We tested two versions of the total days supply measure: one assuming consecutive use and the other assuming concurrent use of prescriptions., Results: The top 20 % of prescription opioid users accounted for 66 % of prescriptions, 82-85 % of days supply depending on assumption, and 90 % of morphine milligram equivalents (MME). The degree to which prescription opioid utilization was concentrated among the top 20 % of users varied minimally across states., Conclusions: A small percentage of prescription opioid users account for a large share of prescription opioid use. Policy efforts should use metrics pertaining to days supply and total MME, not numbers of prescriptions, to more efficiently target heavy utilization. Policies targeting high-dose prescribing should consider the different ways that overlapping prescriptions may be taken., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest No conflict declared., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2020
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42. Being thoughtful about cannabis legalization and social equity.
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Kilmer B and Neel EK
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- 2020
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43. Intensity of cannabis use: Findings from three online surveys.
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Caulkins JP, Pardo B, and Kilmer B
- Abstract
Background: Drug use is often measured in terms of prevalence, meaning the number of people who used any amount in the last month or year, but measuring the quantity consumed is critical for making informed regulatory decisions and estimating the effects of policy changes. Quantity is the product of frequency (e.g., number of use days in the last month) and intensity (amount consumed per use day). Presently, there is imperfect understanding of the extent to which more frequent users also consume more intensively., Methods and Data: We examine cannabis flower consumption reported in three similar online surveys fielded in times and places where cannabis was and was not legal. These convenience samples returned enough valid responses (n = 2,618) to examine consumption across different frequencies of use via analyses of measures of central tendency, data visualizations, and multivariate regressions. Additional calculations incorporate data from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health., Findings: Respondents who reported using daily (i.e., 30 days in the past month) consumed almost twice as much per day of use on average as did those reporting less than daily. We find only modest increases in intensity among those using less than daily, but then a substantial increase (p< 0.001) for those who use daily. Most respondents report that on heavy or light use days their consumption differs from a typical day of use by a factor of 2 or more, but only about 25% of days were described as heavy or light. We estimate those using cannabis 21+ days a month account for 80% of consumption vs. 71% of the days of use., Discussion: Daily cannabis users consume more intensively than others, including near-daily users. When possible, survey questions should move beyond the presence or absence of use and number of days used., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest None, (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2020
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44. Disagreeing on whether we agree.
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Caulkins JP, Kilmer B, and Pardo B
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- Humans, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Substance-Related Disorders
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- 2020
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45. Supervised consumption sites: a nuanced assessment of the causal evidence.
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Caulkins JP, Pardo B, and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Causality, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Harm Reduction, Humans, Outcome Assessment, Health Care, Program Evaluation, Needle-Exchange Programs, Substance Abuse Treatment Centers, Substance-Related Disorders prevention & control
- Abstract
Background and Aims: Supervised consumption sites (SCS) operate in more than 10 countries. SCS have mostly emerged as a bottom-up response to crises, first to HIV/AIDS and now overdose deaths, in ways that make rigorous evaluation difficult. Opinions vary about how much favorable evidence must accumulate before implementation. Our aim was to assess the nature and quality of evidence on the consequences of implementing SCS., Methods: We reviewed the higher-quality SCS literature, focusing on articles evaluating natural experiments and mathematical modeling studies that estimate costs and benefits. We discuss the evidence through the lens of three types of decision-makers and from three intellectual perspectives., Results: Millions of drug use episodes have been supervised at SCS with no reported overdose deaths; however, uncertainties remain concerning the magnitude of the population-level effects. The published literature on SCS is large and almost unanimous in its support, but limited in nature and the number of sites evaluated. It can also overlook four key distinctions: (1) between outcomes that occur within the facility and possible spillover effects on behavior outside the SCS; (2) between effects of supervising consumption and the effects of other services offered, such as syringe or naloxone distribution; (3) between association and causation; and (4) between effectiveness and the cost-effectiveness of SCS compared to other interventions., Conclusions: The causal evidence for favorable outcomes of supervised consumption sites is minimal, but there appears to be little basis for concern about adverse effects. This raises the question of how context and priors can affect how high the bar is set when deciding whether to endorse supervised consumption sites. The literature also understates distinctions and nuances that need to be appreciated to gain a rich understanding of how a range of stakeholders should interpret and apply that evidence to a variety of decisions., (© 2019 Society for the Study of Addiction.)
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- 2019
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46. The benefits of evaluating literatures with essays.
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Caulkins JP, Pardo B, and Kilmer B
- Subjects
- Harm Reduction, Health Policy
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- 2019
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47. Triangulating web & general population surveys: Do results match legal cannabis market sales?
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Caulkins JP, Davenport S, Doanvo A, Furlong K, Siddique A, Turner M, and Kilmer B
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- Adult, Cannabis, Commerce statistics & numerical data, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Female, Humans, Internet statistics & numerical data, Legislation, Drug, Male, Marijuana Smoking economics, Marijuana Smoking epidemiology, Marketing, Surveys and Questionnaires statistics & numerical data, Washington epidemiology, Young Adult, Marijuana Use economics, Marijuana Use epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: This paper combines complementary attributes of web and general population surveys to estimate cannabis consumption and spending in Washington State. It compares those estimates to legal sales recorded by the state's seed-to-sale tracking system, and thus exploits a rare opportunity to contrast two independent estimates for the same cannabis market. This sheds light on the question of whether nontrivial amounts of black market sales continue even after a state allows licensed production and sale., Methods: Prevalence of past-month use is estimated from the 2015/16 U.S. National Survey on Drug Use and Health, adjusted for under-reporting. Estimates of consumption and spending per user broken down by age, gender, and frequency of use are developed from RAND's 2013 survey of cannabis users in Washington State. Supply side estimates come from the Washington State Liquor and Cannabis Board's seed-to-sale tracking system. They are expressed in terms of spending, equivalent-weight of flowers, and THC, with THC for edibles imputed using a machine learning technique called random forests., Results: For the period July 1, 2016 to June 30, 2017, Washington's seed-to-sale data record sales from licensed cannabis stores of $1.17B and across all products an amount of THC that is equivalent to roughly 120-150 MT of flower. Survey responses suggest that amounts spent and quantities consumed are larger than that, perhaps on the order of $1.66B and over 200 MT, respectively., Conclusion: A perfect match is not expected because of sales to tourists, residual black market activity, production for medical purposes, and diversion across state lines. Nonetheless, the results suggest that three years after state-licensed stores opened, there remained considerable consumption of cannabis supplied outside of the licensed system., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2019
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48. Commentary on Bainbridge (2019): Improving the evidence base for 24/7 Sobriety.
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Kilmer B
- Subjects
- London, South Dakota, Alcohol Abstinence
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- 2019
- Full Text
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49. Prescribing diamorphine in the United States: Insights from a nationally representative survey.
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Kilmer B, Smart R, Taylor J, and Caulkins JP
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- Adult, Drug Prescriptions, Female, Heroin Dependence psychology, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Narcotics therapeutic use, United States epidemiology, Young Adult, Analgesics, Opioid therapeutic use, Heroin therapeutic use, Heroin Dependence drug therapy, Heroin Dependence epidemiology, Surveys and Questionnaires
- Abstract
Background: Some countries allow physicians to prescribe pharmaceutical-grade diamorphine to dependent users who have previously undergone treatment but are still using street-sourced heroin; this is not allowed in the US. This study provides the first nationally representative US data concerning public support for prescribing diamorphine to dependent users. We also test the hypothesis that calling it "diamorphine" instead of "heroin" increases support for this approach., Methods: The RAND American Life Panel is a nationally representative, probability-based survey of US adults. Of the 3345 panel members invited to take the survey, 2530 (75.6%) provided a valid response to our question module. Respondents were randomly assigned to have the question refer to the prescribed drug as either "heroin" or "diamorphine." The groups did not significantly differ on sex, age, race/ethnicity, or education. We compare the distribution of responses for the two groups and conduct Pearson's chi-squared test with the Rao-Scott correction., Results: For those asked whether the US should try prescribing pharmaceutical-grade "heroin," the share answering "Yes" (20.8%) was 15 percentage points lower than those responding "No" (35.8%). When the question asked about "diamorphine," the results were nearly reversed: the share answering "Yes" (30.6%) was almost 12 percentage points higher than those responding "No" (18.9%). The distributions of responses were significantly different (p < 0.001)., Conclusions: Support for prescribing diamorphine to dependent users is low in the US. While the results are consistent with the hypothesis that referring to heroin as diamorphine may reduce stigma associated with the substance and increase support for prescribing it, opinions may change as individuals learn they are different names for the same substance., (Copyright © 2019. Published by Elsevier B.V.)
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- 2019
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50. Prevalence of Cannabis Use in Youths After Legalization in Washington State.
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Dilley JA, Richardson SM, Kilmer B, Pacula RL, Segawa MB, and Cerdá M
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- Adolescent, Child, Health Surveys, Humans, Prevalence, Washington epidemiology, Marijuana Use epidemiology, Marijuana Use legislation & jurisprudence
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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