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(1) Background: Patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) who are at biologically high risk for the development of loco-regional recurrences af-ter postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) but at intermediate risk according to clinical risk factors may benefit from additional concurrent chemotherapy. In this matched-pair study, we aimed to identify a corresponding predictive gene signature. (2) Methods: Gene expression analysis was performed on a multicentre retrospective cohort of 221 patients that were treated with postoper-ative radiochemotherapy (PORT-C) and 283 patients that were treated with PORT alone. Propen-sity score analysis was used to identify matched patient pairs from both cohorts. From differen-tial gene expression analysis and Cox regression, a predictive gene signature was identified. (3) Results: 108 patient matched patient pairs were selected. We identified a 2-metagene signature that stratified patients into risk groups in both cohorts. The comparison of the high-risk patients between the two types of treatment showed higher LRC after treatment with PORT-C (p<0.001), which was confirmed by a significant interaction term in Cox regression (p=0.027), i.e. the 2-metagene signature was indicative for the type of treatment. (4) Conclusion: We have identi-fied a novel gene signature that may be helpful to identify patients with high-risk HNSCC amongst those at intermediate clinical risk treated with PORT, who may benefit from additional concurrent chemotherapy.

Purpose To assess the relation of the previously reported classification of molecular subtypes to the outcome of patients with HNSCC treated with postoperative radio(chemo)therapy (PORT-C), and to assess the association of these subtypes with gene expressions reflecting known mechanisms of radioresistance. Material and methods Gene expression analyses were performed using the GeneChip Human Transcriptome Array 2.0 on a multicentre retrospective patient cohort (N = 128) of the German Cancer Consortium Radiation Oncology Group (DKTK-ROG) with locally advanced HNSCC treated with PORT-C. Tumours were assigned to four molecular subtypes, and correlation analyses between subtypes and clinical risk factors were performed. In addition, the classifications of eight genes or gene signatures related to mechanisms of radioresistance, which have previously shown an association with outcome of patients with HNSCC, were compared between the molecular subtypes. The endpoints loco-regional control (LRC) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated by log-rank tests and Cox regression. Results Tumours were classified into the four subtypes basal (19.5%), mesenchymal (18.8%), atypical (15.6%) and classical (14.1%). The remaining tumours could not be classified (32.0%). Tumours of the mesenchymal subtype showed a lower LRC compared to the other subtypes (p = 0.012). These tumours were associated with increased epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) and overexpression of a gene signature enriched in DNA repair genes. The majority of the eight considered gene classifiers were significantly associated to LRC or OS in the whole cohort. Conclusion Molecular subtypes, previously identified on HNSCC patients treated with primary radio(chemo)therapy or surgery, were related to LRC for patients treated with PORT-C, where mesenchymal tumours presented with worse prognosis. After prospective validation, subtype-based patient stratification, potentially in combination with other molecular classifiers

Purpose: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a novel gene signature from full-transcriptome data using machine-learning approaches to predict loco-regional control (LRC) of patients with human papilloma virus (HPV)-negative locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), who received postoperative radio(chemo)therapy (PORT-C). Materials and methods: Gene expression analysis was performed using Affymetrix GeneChip Human Transcriptome Array 2.0 on a multicentre retrospective training cohort of 128 patients and an independent validation cohort of 114 patients from the German Cancer Consortium - Radiation Oncology Group (DKTK-ROG). Genes were filtered based on differential gene expression analyses and Cox regression. The identified gene signature was combined with clinical parameters and with previously identified genes related to stem cells and hypoxia. Technical validation was performed using nanoString technology. Results: We identified a 6-gene signature consisting of four individual genes CAV1, GPX8, IGLV3-25, TGFBI, and one metagene combining the highly correlated genes INHBA and SERPINE1. This signature was prognostic for LRC on the training data (ci = 0.84) and in validation (ci = 0.63) with a significant patient stratification into two risk groups (p = 0.005). Combining the 6-gene signature with the clinical parameters T stage and tumour localisation as well as the cancer stem cell marker CD44 and the 15-gene hypoxia-associated signature improved the validation performance (ci = 0.69, p = 0.001). Conclusion: We have developed and validated a novel prognostic 6-gene signature for LRC of HNSCC patients with HPV-negative tumours treated by PORT-C. After successful prospective validation the signature can be part of clinical trials on the individualization of radiotherapy.

Purpose: We tested the hypothesis that gene expressions from biopsies of locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) patients can supplement dose-volume parameters to predict dysphagia and xerostomia following primary radiochemotherapy (RCTx). Material and methods: A panel of 178 genes previously related to radiochemosensitivity of HNSCC was considered for nanoString analysis based on tumour biopsies of 90 patients with locally advanced HNSCC treated by primary RCTx. Dose-volume parameters were extracted from the parotid, subman- dibular glands, oral cavity, larynx, buccal mucosa, and lips. Normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models were developed for acute, late, and for the improvement of xerostomia grade ≥2 and dysphagia grade ≥3 using a cross-validation-based least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) approach combined with stepwise logistic regression for feature selection. The final signatures were included in a logistic regression model with optimism correction. Performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: NTCP models for acute and late xerostomia and the improvement of dysphagia resulted in optimism-corrected AUC values of 0.84, 0.76, and 0.70, respectively. The minimum dose to the contra-lateral parotid was selected for both acute and late xerostomia and the minimum dose to the larynx was selected for dysphagia improvement. For the xerostomia endpoints, the following gene expressions were selected: RPA2 (cellular response to DNA damage), TCF3 (salivary gland cells development), GBE1 (glycogen storage and regulation), and MAPK3 (regulation of cellular processes). No gene expression features were selected for the prediction of dysphagia. Conclusion: This hypothesis-generating study showed the potential of improving NTCP models using gene expression data for HNSCC patients. The presented models require independent validation before potential application in clini