1. Large vessel occlusion prediction scales provide high negative but low positive predictive values in prehospital suspected stroke patients
- Author
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Keenan, Kevin J, Smith, Wade S, Cole, Sara B, Martin, Christine, Hemphill, J Claude, and Madhok, Debbie Y
- Subjects
Health Services and Systems ,Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Health Sciences ,Stroke ,Neurosciences ,Brain Disorders ,Clinical Research ,Emergency Care ,Cerebrovascular ,Health Services ,4.2 Evaluation of markers and technologies ,STROKE ,Public health - Abstract
IntroductionWe studied a registry of Emergency Medical Systems (EMS) identified prehospital suspected stroke patients brought to an academic endovascular capable hospital over 1 year to assess the prevalence of disease and externally validate large vessel occlusion (LVO) stroke prediction scales with a focus on predictive values.MethodsAll patients had last known well times within 6 hours and a positive prehospital Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale. LVO prediction scale scores were retrospectively calculated from emergency department arrival National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale scores. Final diagnoses were determined by chart review. Prevalence and diagnostic performance statistics were calculated. We prespecified analyses to identify scale thresholds with positive predictive values (PPVs) ≥80% and negative predictive values (NPVs) ≥95%. A secondary analysis identified thresholds with PPVs ≥50%.ResultsOf 220 EMS transported patients, 13.6% had LVO stroke, 15.9% had intracranial haemorrhage, 20.5% had non-LVO stroke and 50% had stroke mimic diagnoses. LVO stroke prevalence was 15.8% among the 184 diagnostic performance study eligible patients. Only Field Assessment Stroke Triage for Emergency Destination (FAST-ED) ≥7 had a PPV ≥80%, but this threshold missed 83% of LVO strokes. FAST-ED ≥6, Prehospital Acute Severity Scale =3 and Rapid Arterial oCclusion Evaluation ≥7 had PPVs ≥50% but sensitivities were
- Published
- 2022