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Predictive information on plant diseases could help to reduce and optimize the usage of pesticides in agriculture. This research presents classification procedures with linear discriminant analysis to predict three possible severity levels of net blotch in spring barley in Finland. The weather data utilized for classification included mathematical transformations, namely features of outdoor temperature and air humidity with calculated dew point temperature values. Historical field observations of net blotch density were utilized as a target class for the identification of classifiers. The performance of classifiers was analyzed in sliding data windows of two weeks with selected, cumulative, summed feature values. According to classification results from 36 yearly data sets, the prediction of net blotch occurrence in spring barley in Finland can be considered as a linearly separable classification task. Furthermore, this can be achieved with linear discriminant analysis by combining the output probabilities of separate binary classifiers identified for each severity level of net blotch disease. In this case, perfect classification with a resolution of three different net blotch severity levels was achieved during the first 50 days from the beginning of the growing season. This strongly suggests that real-time classification based on a few weather variables measured on a daily basis can be applied to estimate the severity of net blotch in advance. This allows application of the principles of integrated pest management (IPM) and usage of pesticides only when there is a proven need.

The advanced steel grades and high productivity requirements in the modern steel industry subject production machines to increased mechanical stresses, which inflicts losses. Novel data-oriented solutions to the monitoring of machines have a pivotal role in loss prevention, but the industrial data with high sampling rates, noise, and dimensions bring challenges there. This study proposes a new monitoring approach for roller levelers based on vibration measurements and regression models for estimating steel strip properties including yield strength, width, and thickness. The regression residuals are monitored based on moving mean and range charts, which reveal changes from the expected normal operation. A high-dimensional feature set of 144,000 statistical features was studied with various feature selection methods, including filters and wrappers. Multiple linear regression and generalized regression neural network were applied in modeling. The approach was validated using data from an industrial roller leveler processing steel strips with diverse properties. The results reveal that the accurate prediction of the strip thickness from the strip properties is possible and multiple linear regression was generally the superior model therein. Additional simulations indicated that the control charts can detect deviant operation. Supplemental information about the momentary operation of the machine would improve the approach.

Easily adaptable indoor temperature and heat demand models were applied in the predictive optimization of the heat demand at the city level to improve energy efficiency in heating. Real measured district heating data from 201 large buildings, including apartment buildings, schools and commercial, public, and office buildings, was utilized. Indoor temperature and heat demand of all 201 individual buildings were modelled and the models were applied in the optimization utilizing two different optimization strategies. Results demonstrate that the applied modelling approach enables the utilization of buildings as short-term heat storages in the optimization of the heat demand leading to significant improvements in energy efficiency both at the city level and in individual buildings.

Cross direction (CD) control in sheet-forming process forms a challenging problem with high dimensions. Accounting the interactions between different properties and actuators, the dimensionality increases further and also computational issues arise. We present a multiple property controller feasible to be used especially with imaging measurements that provide high sampling frequency and therefore enable short control interval. The simulation results state the benefits of multiple property CD control over single property control and single property control using full feedforward compensation. The controller presented may also be tuned in automated manner and the results demonstrate the effect of tuning on input saturation.

The applications of evolutionary optimizers such as genetic algorithms, differential evolution, and various swarm optimizers to the parameter estimation of the fuel cell polarization curve models have increased. This study takes a novel approach on utilizing evolutionary optimization in fuel cell modeling. Model structure identification is performed with genetic algorithms in order to determine an optimized representation of a polarization curve model with linear model parameters. The optimization is repeated with a different set of input variables and varying model complexity. The resulted model can successfully be generalized for different fuel cells and varying operating conditions, and therefore be readily applicable to fuel cell system simulations.

A novel dynamic model for the temperature inside buildings is presented, aiming to improve energy efficiency by providing predictive information on the heat demand. To analyse the performance and generalizability of the modelling approach, real measurement data was gathered from five different types of buildings. Easily available data from various sources was utilized. The chosen model structure leads to a minimal number of input variables and free parameters. Simulations with real data from five buildings, and applying the identical model structure showed that the average modelling error during the 28-h prediction horizon was constantly below 5%. The results thus demonstrate that the model structure can be standardized and easily applied to predict the indoor temperatures of large buildings. This would finally enable demand side management and the predictive optimization of the heat demand at city level.

The performance of meteorological data-based methods to forecast plant diseases strongly depends on temporal weather information. In this paper, a data analysis procedure is presented for finding the optimal starting time for forecasting net blotch density in spring barley based on meteorological data. For this purpose, changes in the information content of typically measured weather variables were systemically quantified in sliding time windows and with additionally generated mathematical transformations, namely with features. Signal-to-noise statistics were applied in a novel way as a metric for identifying the optimal starting time instance and the most important features to successfully distinguish between two net blotch densities during springtime itself. According to the results, the information content of meteorological data used in classifying between nine years with and four years without net blotch reached its maximum in Finnish weather conditions on the 41st day from the beginning of the growing season. Specifically, utilising weather data at 41–55 days from the beginning of the growing season maximises successful forecasting potential of net blotch density. It also seems that this time instance enables a linear classification task with a selected feature subset, since the averages of the metrics in two data groups differ statistically with a minimum 68% confidence level for nine days in a 14-day time window.

A novel data analysis method for the evaluation of plant disease risk that utilizes weather information is presented in this paper. This research considers two different datasets: open weather data from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and long-term (1991–2017) plant disease severity observations in different hardiness zones in Finland. Historical net blotch severity data on spring barley were collected from official variety trials carried out by the Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke) and the analysis was performed with existing data without additional measurements. Feature generation was used to combine different datasets and to enrich the information content of the data. The t-test was applied to validate features and select the most suitable one for the identification of datasets with high net blotch risk. Based on the analysis, the selected daily measured variables for the estimation of net blotch density were the average temperature, minimum temperature, and rainfall. The results strongly indicate that thorough data analysis and feature generation methods enable new tools for plant disease prediction. This is crucial when predicting the disease risk and optimizing the use of pesticides in modern agriculture. Here, the developed system resolves the correlation between weather measurements and net blotch observations in a novel way.

Nitriding is a heat treatment process that is commonly used to enhance the surface properties of ferrous components. Traditional quality control uses sacrificial pieces that are destructively evaluated. However, efficient production requires quality control where the case depths produced are non-destructively evaluated. In this study, four different low alloy steel materials were studied. Nitriding times for the samples were varied to produce varying case depths. Traditional Barkhausen noise and Barkhausen noise sweep measurements were carried out for non-destructive case depth evaluation. A prediction model between traditional Barkhausen noise measurements and diffusion layer hardness was identified. The diffusion layer hardness was predicted and sweep measurement data was used to predict case depths. Modelling was carried out for non-ground and ground samples with good results.