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1. Global, regional, and national burden of chronic kidney disease, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author

Bikbov, B, Purcell, CA, Levey, AS, Smith, M, Abdoli, A, Abebe, M, Adebayo, OM, Afarideh, M, Agarwal, SK, Agudelo-Botero, M, Ahmadian, E, Al-Aly, Z, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Al-Raddadi, RM, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, S, Andrei, T, Andrei, CL, Andualem, Z, Anjomshoa, M, Arabloo, J, Ashagre, AF, Asmelash, D, Ataro, Z, Atout, MMW, Ayanore, MA, Badawi, A, Bakhtiari, A, Ballew, SH, Balouchi, A, Banach, M, Barquera, S, Basu, S, Bayih, MT, Bedi, N, Bello, AK, Bensenor, IM, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Borzì, AM, Cámera, LA, Carrero, JJ, Carvalho, F, Castro, F, Catalá-López, F, Chang, AR, Chin, KL, Chung, SC, Cirillo, M, Cousin, E, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Das Gupta, R, Demeke, FM, Demoz, GT, Desta, DM, Do, HP, Duncan, BB, Eftekhari, A, Esteghamati, A, Fatima, SS, Fernandes, JC, Fernandes, E, Fischer, F, Freitas, M, Gad, MM, Gebremeskel, GG, Gebresillassie, BM, Geta, B, Ghafourifard, M, Ghajar, A, Ghith, N, Gill, PS, Ginawi, IA, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hariyani, N, Hasan, M, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassen, HY, Hay, SI, Heidari, B, Herteliu, C, Hoang, CL, Hosseini, M, Hostiuc, M, Irvani, SSN, Islam, SMS, Jafari Balalami, N, James, SL, Jassal, SK, Jha, V, Jonas, JB, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, JJ, Kabir, A, Kahsay, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassa, TD, Kassaye, HG, Khader, YS, Khalilov, R, Khan, EA, Khan, MS, Khang, YH, Kisa, A, Kovesdy, CP, Kuate Defo, B, Kumar, GA, Larsson, AO, Lim, LL, Lopez, AD, Lotufo, PA, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, März, W, Masaka, A, Meheretu, HAA, Miazgowski, T, Mirica, A, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Mohammad, DK, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Morales, L, Moreno Velasquez, I, Mousavi, SM, Mukhopadhyay, S, Nachega, JB, Nadkarni, GN, Nansseu, JR, Natarajan, G, Nazari, J, Neal, B, Negoi, RI, Nguyen, CT, Nikbakhsh, R, Noubiap, JJ, Nowak, C, Olagunju, AT, Ortiz, A, Owolabi, MO, Palladino, R, Pathak, M, Poustchi, H, Prakash, S, Prasad, N, Rafiei, A, Raju, SB, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, DL, Rawal, L, Reiner RC, Rezapour, A, Ribeiro, DC, Roever, L, Rothenbacher, D, Rwegerera, GM, Saadatagah, S, Safari, S, Sahle, BW, Salem, H, Sanabria, J, Santos, IS, Sarveazad, A, Sawhney, M, Schaeffner, E, Schmidt, MI, Schutte, AE, Sepanlou, SG, Shaikh, MA, Sharafi, Z, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Silva, DAS, Singh, JA, Singh, NP, Sisay, MMM, Soheili, A, Sutradhar, I, Teklehaimanot, BF, Tesfay, BE, Teshome, GF, Thakur, JS, Tonelli, M, Tran, KB, Tran, BX, Tran Ngoc, C, Ullah, I, Valdez, PR, Varughese, S, Vos, T, Vu, LG, Waheed, Y, Werdecker, A, Wolde, HF, Wondmieneh, AB, Wulf Hanson, S, Yamada, T, Yeshaw, Y, Yonemoto, N, Yusefzadeh, H, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, L, Zaman, SB, Zamora, N, Zarghi, A, Zewdie, KA, Ärnlöv, J, Coresh, J, Perico, N, Remuzzi, G, Murray, CJL, Vos, T., Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa, Bikbov, B, Purcell, Ca, Levey, A, Smith, M, Abdoli, A, Abebe, M, Adebayo, Om, Afarideh, M, Agarwal, Sk, Agudelo-Botero, M, Ahmadian, E, Al-Aly, Z, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Al-Raddadi, Rm, Alvis-Guzman, N, Amini, S, Andrei, T, Andrei, Cl, Andualem, Z, Anjomshoa, M, Arabloo, J, Ashagre, Af, Asmelash, D, Ataro, Z, Atout, Mmw, Ayanore, Ma, Badawi, A, Bakhtiari, A, Ballew, Sh, Balouchi, A, Banach, M, Barquera, S, Basu, S, Bayih, Mt, Bedi, N, Bello, Ak, Bensenor, Im, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Borzì, Am, Cámera, La, Carrero, Jj, Carvalho, F, Castro, F, Catalá-López, F, Chang, Ar, Chin, Kl, Chung, Sc, Cirillo, M, Cousin, E, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Das, Gupta, R, Demeke, Fm, Demoz, Gt, Desta, Dm, Do, Hp, Duncan, Bb, Eftekhari, A, Esteghamati, A, Fatima, S, Fernandes, Jc, Fernandes, E, Fischer, F, Freitas, M, Gad, Mm, Gebremeskel, Gg, Gebresillassie, Bm, Geta, B, Ghafourifard, M, Ghajar, A, Ghith, N, Gill, P, Ginawi, Ia, Gupta, R, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hariyani, N, Hasan, M, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassen, Hy, Hay, Si, Heidari, B, Herteliu, C, Hoang, Cl, Hosseini, M, Hostiuc, M, Irvani, Ssn, Islam, Sm, Jafari, Balalami, N, James, Sl, Jassal, Sk, Jha, V, Jonas, Jb, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, Jj, Kabir, A, Kahsay, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassa, Td, Kassaye, Hg, Khader, Y, Khalilov, R, Khan, Ea, Khan, M, Khang, Yh, Kisa, A, Kovesdy, Cp, Kuate, Defo, B, Kumar, Ga, Larsson, Ao, Lim, Ll, Lopez, Ad, Lotufo, Pa, Majeed, A, Malekzadeh, R, März, W, Masaka, A, Meheretu, Haa, Miazgowski, T, Mirica, A, Mirrakhimov, Em, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Mohammad, Dk, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, Ah, Morales, L, Moreno, Velasquez, I, Mousavi, Sm, Mukhopadhyay, S, Nachega, Jb, Nadkarni, Gn, Nansseu, Jr, Natarajan, G, Nazari, J, Neal, B, Negoi, Ri, Nguyen, Ct, Nikbakhsh, R, Noubiap, Jj, Nowak, C, Olagunju, At, Ortiz, A, Owolabi, Mo, Palladino, R, Pathak, M, Poustchi, H, Prakash, S, Prasad, N, Rafiei, A, Raju, Sb, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, Dl, Rawal, L, Reiner, Rc, Jr, Rezapour, A, Ribeiro, Dc, Roever, L, Rothenbacher, D, Rwegerera, Gm, Saadatagah, S, Safari, S, Sahle, Bw, Salem, H, Sanabria, J, Santos, I, Sarveazad, A, Sawhney, M, Schaeffner, E, Schmidt, Mi, Schutte, Ae, Sepanlou, Sg, Shaikh, Ma, Sharafi, Z, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Silva, Da, Singh, Ja, Singh, Np, Sisay, Mmm, Soheili, A, Sutradhar, I, Teklehaimanot, Bf, Tesfay, Be, Teshome, Gf, Thakur, J, Tonelli, M, Tran, Kb, Tran, Bx, Tran, Ngoc, Ullah, I, Valdez, Pr, Varughese, S, Vos, T, Vu, Lg, Waheed, Y, Werdecker, A, Wolde, Hf, Wondmieneh, Ab, Wulf, Hanson, S, Yamada, T, Yeshaw, Y, Yonemoto, N, Yusefzadeh, H, Zaidi, Z, Zaki, L, Zaman, Sb, Zamora, N, Zarghi, A, Zewdie, Ka, Ärnlöv, J, Coresh, J, Perico, N, Remuzzi, G, Murray, Cjl, Vos, T., and GBD Chronic Kidney Disease Collaboration

Subjects
Systems Analysis, Gout, Cost effectiveness, 030204 cardiovascular system & hematology, Global Health, GLOMERULAR-FILTRATION-RATE, Global Burden of Disease, COST-EFFECTIVENESS, 0302 clinical medicine, Cause of Death, Prevalence, Global health, Diabetic Nephropathies, Registries, 030212 general & internal medicine, SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA, 11 Medical and Health Sciences, Incidence, Mortality rate, 1. No poverty, General Medicine, Hälsovetenskaper, GBD Chronic Kidney Disease Collaboration, CKD-EPI EQUATION, 3. Good health, Europe, Cardiovascular Diseases, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Life Sciences & Biomedicine, Asia, Oceania, 195 COUNTRIES, ATHEROSCLEROSIS RISK, CARDIOVASCULAR OUTCOMES, Risk Assessment, Article, 03 medical and health sciences, Medicine, General & Internal, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, RISK-FACTOR, General & Internal Medicine, Environmental health, Health Sciences, medicine, Humans, GBD, chronic kidney disease, Mortality, Risk factor, Renal Insufficiency, Chronic, Disease burden, QM, Science & Technology, Australasia, business.industry, PERIPHERAL ARTERIAL-DISEASE, Bayes Theorem, medicine.disease, Health Surveys, Quality-adjusted life year, RENAL-DISEASE, Latin America, Years of potential life lost, Africa, North America, Human medicine, business, RC, Kidney disease
Abstract

Background Health system planning requires careful assessment of chronic kidney disease (CKD) epidemiology, but data for morbidity and mortality of this disease are scarce or non-existent in many countries. We estimated the global, regional, and national burden of CKD, as well as the burden of cardiovascular disease and gout attributable to impaired kidney function, for the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017. We use the term CKD to refer to the morbidity and mortality that can be directly attributed to all stages of CKD, and we use the term impaired kidney function to refer to the additional risk of CKD from cardiovascular disease and gout. Methods The main data sources we used were published literature, vital registration systems, end-stage kidney disease registries, and household surveys. Estimates of CKD burden were produced using a Cause of Death Ensemble model and a Bayesian meta-regression analytical tool, and induded incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, mortality, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). A comparative risk assessment approach was used to estimate the proportion of cardiovascular diseases and gout burden attributable to impaired kidney function. Findings Globally, in 2017,1.2 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 1.2 to 1.3) people died from CKD. The global all-age mortality rate from CKD increased 41.5% (95% UI 35.2 to 46.5) between 1990 and 2017, although there was no significant change in the age-standardised mortality rate (2.8%, -1.5 to 6.3). In 2017,697.5 million (95% UI 649.2 to 752.0) cases of all-stage CKD were recorded, for a global prevalence of 9.1% (8.5 to 9.8). The global all-age prevalence of CKD increased 29.3% (95% UI 26.4 to 32.6) since 1990, whereas the age-standardised prevalence remained stable (1.2%, -1.1 to 3.5). CKD resulted in 35.8 million (95% UI 33.7 to 38.0) DALYs in 2017, with diabetic nephropathy accounting for almost a third of DALYs. Most of the burden of CKD was concentrated in the three lowest quintiles of Socio-demographic Index (SDI). In several regions, particularly Oceania, sub-Saharan Africa, and Latin America, the burden of CKD was much higher than expected for the level of development, whereas the disease burden in western, eastern, and central sub-Saharan Africa, east Asia, south Asia, central and eastern Europe, Australasia, and western Europe was lower than expected. 1.4 million (95% UI 1.2 to 1.6) cardiovascular disease-related deaths and 25.3 million (22.2 to 28.9) cardiovascular disease DALYs were attributable to impaired kidney function. Interpretation Kidney disease has a major effect on global health, both as a direct cause of global morbidity and mortality and as an important risk factor for cardiovascular disease. CKD is largely preventable and treatable and deserves greater attention in global health policy decision making, particularly in locations with low and middle SDI. Copyright (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Published
2020

2. Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author

James, SL, Castle, CD, Dingels, ZV, Fox, JT, Hamilton, EB, Liu, Z, S Roberts, NL, Sylte, DO, Henry, NJ, LeGrand, KE, Abdelalim, A, Abdoli, A, Abdollahpour, I, Abdulkader, RS, Abedi, A, Abosetugn, AE, Abushouk, AI, Adebayo, OM, Agudelo-Botero, M, Ahmad, T, Ahmed, R, Ahmed, MB, Eddine Aichour, MT, Alahdab, F, Alamene, GM, Alanezi, FM, Alebel, A, Alema, NM, Alghnam, SA, Al-Hajj, S, Ali, BA, Ali, S, Alikhani, M, Alinia, C, Alipour, V, Aljunid, SM, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almasri, NA, Altirkawi, K, Abdeldayem Amer, YS, Amini, S, Loreche Amit, AM, Andrei, CL, Ansari-Moghaddam, A, T Antonio, CA, Yaw Appiah, SC, Arabloo, J, Arab-Zozani, M, Arefi, Z, Aremu, O, Ariani, F, Arora, A, Asaad, M, Asghari, B, Awoke, N, Ayala Quintanilla, BP, Ayano, G, Ayanore, MA, Azari, S, Azarian, G, Badawi, A, Badiye, AD, Bagli, E, Baig, AA, Bairwa, M, Bakhtiari, A, Balachandran, A, Banach, M, Banerjee, SK, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, TW, Barrero, LH, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Baye, BA, Bedi, N, Behzadifar, M, Bekuma, TT, Belete, H, Benjet, C, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhe, K, Bhardwaj, P, Bhat, AG, Bhattacharyya, K, Bibi, S, Bijani, A, Bin Sayeed, MS, Borges, G, Borzì, AM, Boufous, S, Brazinova, A, Briko, NI, Budhathoki, SS, Car, J, Cárdenas, R, Carvalho, F, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Castelpietra, G, Catalá-López, F, Cerin, E, Chandan, JS, Chanie, WF, Chattu, SK, Chattu, VK, Chatziralli, I, Chaudhary, N, Cho, DY, Kabir Chowdhury, MA, Chu, D-T, Colquhoun, SM, Constantin, M-M, Costa, VM, Damiani, G, Daryani, A, Dávila-Cervantes, CA, Demeke, FM, Demis, AB, Demoz, GT, Demsie, DG, Derakhshani, A, Deribe, K, Desai, R, Nasab, MD, da Silva, DD, Dibaji Forooshani, ZS, Doyle, KE, Driscoll, TR, Dubljanin, E, Adema, BD, Eagan, AW, Eftekhari, A, Ehsani-Chimeh, E, Sayed Zaki, ME, Elemineh, DA, El-Jaafary, SI, El-Khatib, Z, Ellingsen, CL, Emamian, MH, Endalew, DA, Eskandarieh, S, Faris, PS, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fatahi, Y, Fekadu, W, Ferede, TY, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, E, Ferrara, P, Feyissa, GT, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Folayan, MO, Foroutan, M, Francis, JM, Franklin, RC, Fukumoto, T, Geberemariyam, BS, Gebre, AK, Gebremedhin, KB, Gebremeskel, GG, Gebremichael, B, Gedefaw, GA, Geta, B, Ghafourifard, M, Ghamari, F, Ghashghaee, A, Gholamian, A, Gill, TK, Goulart, AC, Grada, A, Grivna, M, Mohialdeen Gubari, MI, Guimarães, RA, Guo, Y, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hafezi-Nejad, N, Bidgoli, HH, Hall, BJ, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Haro, JM, Hasan, MM, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassanipour, S, Hassankhani, H, Hassen, HY, Havmoeller, R, Hayat, K, Hendrie, D, Heydarpour, F, Híjar, M, Ho, HC, Hoang, CL, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hu, G, Ibitoye, SE, Ilesanmi, OS, Ilic, I, Ilic, MD, Inbaraj, LR, Indriasih, E, Naghibi Irvani, SS, Shariful Islam, SM, Islam, MM, Ivers, RQ, Jacobsen, KH, Jahani, MA, Jahanmehr, N, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilian, F, Jayaraman, S, Jayatilleke, AU, Jha, RP, John-Akinola, YO, Jonas, JB, Joseph, N, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, JJ, Jungari, SB, Jürisson, M, Kabir, A, Kadel, R, Kahsay, A, Kalankesh, LR, Kalhor, R, Kamil, TA, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Karami, M, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, HG, Kavetskyy, T, Kebede, HK, Keiyoro, PN, Kelbore, AG, Kelkay, B, Khader, YS, Khafaie, MA, Khalid, N, Khalil, IA, Khalilov, R, Khammarnia, M, Khan, EA, Khan, M, Khanna, T, Khazaie, H, Shadmani, FK, Khundkar, R, Kiirithio, DN, Kim, Y-E, Kim, D, Kim, YJ, Kisa, A, Kisa, S, Komaki, H, M Kondlahalli, SK, Korshunov, VA, Koyanagi, A, G Kraemer, MU, Krishan, K, Bicer, BK, Kugbey, N, Kumar, V, Kumar, N, Kumar, GA, Kumar, M, Kumaresh, G, Kurmi, OP, Kuti, O, Vecchia, CL, Lami, FH, Lamichhane, P, Lang, JJ, Lansingh, VC, Laryea, DO, Lasrado, S, Latifi, A, Lauriola, P, Leasher, JL, Huey Lee, SW, Lenjebo, TL, Levi, M, Li, S, Linn, S, Liu, X, Lopez, AD, Lotufo, PA, Lunevicius, R, Lyons, RA, Madadin, M, El Razek, MMA, Mahotra, NB, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Malagon-Rojas, JN, Maled, V, Malekzadeh, R, Malta, DC, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Manda, A-L, Manjunatha, N, Mansour-Ghanaei, F, Mansouri, B, Mansournia, MA, Maravilla, JC, March, LM, Mason-Jones, AJ, Masoumi, SZ, Massenburg, BB, Maulik, PK, Meles, GG, Melese, A, Melketsedik, ZA, N Memiah, PT, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Mengesha, MB, Mengesha, MM, Meretoja, TJ, Meretoja, A, Merie, HE, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miazgowski, T, Miller, TR, Mini, GK, Mirica, A, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, M, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohamadi, E, Mohammad, Y, Mohammad, KA, Darwesh, AM, Gholi Mezerji, NM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadoo-Khorasani, M, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohammed, S, Mohammed, JA, Mohebi, F, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Moodley, Y, Moosazadeh, M, Moradi, M, Moradi, G, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moradpour, F, Morawska, L, Velásquez, IM, Morisaki, N, Morrison, SD, Mossie, TB, Muluneh, AG, Murthy, S, Musa, KI, Mustafa, G, Nabhan, AF, Nagarajan, AJ, Naik, G, Naimzada, MD, Najafi, F, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Naserbakht, M, Nayak, V, Ndwandwe, DE, Negoi, I, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, CT, Thi Nguyen, HL, Nikbakhsh, R, Anggraini Ningrum, DN, Nnaji, CA, Nyasulu, PS, Ogbo, FA, Oghenetega, OB, Oh, I-H, Okunga, EW, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Bali, AO, Onwujekwe, OE, Asante, KO, Orpana, HM, Ota, E, Otstavnov, N, Otstavnov, SS, A, MP, Padubidri, JR, Pakhale, S, Pakshir, K, Panda-Jonas, S, Park, E-K, Patel, SK, Pathak, A, Pati, S, Patton, GC, Paulos, K, Peden, AE, Filipino Pepito, VC, Pereira, J, Pham, HQ, Phillips, MR, Pinheiro, M, Polibin, RV, Polinder, S, Poustchi, H, Prakash, S, Angga Pribadi, DR, Puri, P, Syed, ZQ, Rabiee, M, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafay, A, Rafiee, A, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahimi, S, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rahman, MA, Rajabpour-Sanati, A, Rajati, F, Rakovac, I, Ranganathan, K, Rao, SJ, Rashedi, V, Rastogi, P, Rathi, P, Rawaf, S, Rawal, L, Rawassizadeh, R, Renjith, V, N Renzaho, AM, Resnikoff, S, Rezapour, A, Ribeiro, AI, Rickard, J, Rios González, CM, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Saad, AM, Sabde, YD, Sabour, S, Saddik, B, Safari, S, Safari-Faramani, R, Safarpour, H, Safdarian, M, Sajadi, SM, Salamati, P, Salehi, F, Zahabi, SS, Rashad Salem, MR, Salem, H, Salman, O, Salz, I, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Riera, LS, Santric Milicevic, MM, Sarker, AR, Sarveazad, A, Sathian, B, Sawhney, M, Sawyer, SM, Saxena, S, Sayyah, M, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Senthilkumaran, S, Sepanlou, SG, Seyedmousavi, S, Sha, F, Shaahmadi, F, Shahabi, S, Shaikh, MA, Shams-Beyranvand, M, Shamsizadeh, M, Sharif-Alhoseini, M, Sharifi, H, Sheikh, A, Shigematsu, M, Shin, JI, Shiri, R, Siabani, S, Sigfusdottir, ID, Singh, PK, Singh, JA, Sinha, DN, Smarandache, C-G, R Smith, EU, Soheili, A, Soleymani, B, Soltanian, AR, Soriano, JB, Sorrie, MB, Soyiri, IN, Stein, DJ, Stokes, MA, Sufiyan, MB, Rasul Suleria, HA, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taddele, BW, Tadesse, DB, Tamiru, AT, Tarigan, IU, Tefera, YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekle, MG, Tekulu, GH, Tesema, AK, Tesfay, BE, Thapar, R, Tilahune, AB, Tlaye, KG, Tohidinik, HR, Topor-Madry, R, Tran, BX, Tran, KB, Tripathy, JP, Tsai, AC, Car, LT, Ullah, S, Ullah, I, Umar, M, Unnikrishnan, B, Upadhyay, E, Uthman, OA, Valdez, PR, Vasankari, TJ, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vlassov, V, Waheed, Y, Weldesamuel, GT, Werdecker, A, Wiangkham, T, Wolde, HF, Woldeyes, DH, Wondafrash, DZ, Wondmeneh, TG, Wondmieneh, AB, Wu, A-M, Yadav, R, Yadollahpour, A, Yano, Y, Yaya, S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V, Yip, P, Yisma, E, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Youm, Y, Younis, MZ, Yousefi, Z, Yu, Y, Yu, C, Yusefzadeh, H, Moghadam, TZ, Zaidi, Z, Zaman, SB, Zamani, M, Zamanian, M, Zandian, H, Zarei, A, Zare, F, Zhang, Z-J, Zhang, Y, Zodpey, S, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Degenhardt, L, Dharmaratne, SD, Hay, SI, Mokdad, AH, Reiner, RC, Sartorius, B, and Vos, T

Subjects
Life Expectancy, Incidence, burden of disease, descriptive epidemiology, global, Humans, Wounds and Injuries, Public Health, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Morbidity, Global Health, 1106 Human Movement and Sports Sciences, 1117 Public Health and Health Services, 1701 Psychology, Global Burden of Disease
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries.; METHODS: We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).; FINDINGS: In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100000. In 1990, there were 354064302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338174876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505).; INTERPRETATION: Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care. © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.

Published
2020

3. The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author

Sepanlou, S, Safiri, S, Bisignano, C, Ikuta, K, Merat, S, Saberifiroozi, M, Poustchi, H, Tsoi, D, Colombara, D, Abdoli, A, Adedoyin, R, Afarideh, M, Agrawal, S, Ahmad, S, Ahmadian, E, Ahmadpour, E, Akinyemiju, T, Akunna, C, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almulhim, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Angus, C, Anoushiravani, A, Arabloo, J, Araya, E, Asmelash, D, Ataeinia, B, Ataro, Z, Atout, M, Ausloos, F, Awasthi, A, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Bejarano Ramirez, D, Bhagavathula, A, Bhala, N, Bhattacharyya, K, Biondi, A, Bolla, S, Boloor, A, Borzì, A, Butt, Z, Cámera, L, Campos-Nonato, I, Carvalho, F, Chu, D, Chung, S, Cortesi, P, Costa, V, Cowie, B, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demoz, G, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, S, Djalalinia, S, Do, H, Dorostkar, F, Drake, T, Dubey, M, Duncan, B, Effiong, A, Eftekhari, A, Elsharkawy, A, Etemadi, A, Farahmand, M, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremedhin, K, Geta, B, Gilani, S, Gill, P, Gutirrez, R, Haile, M, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hamid, S, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hashemian, M, Hassen, H, Hay, S, Hayat, K, Heidari, B, Henok, A, Hoang, C, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hsieh, V, Igumbor, E, Ilesanmi, O, Irvani, S, Jafari Balalami, N, James, S, Jeemon, P, Jha, R, Jonas, J, Jozwiak, J, Kabir, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, H, Kefale, A, Khalilov, R, Khan, M, Khan, E, Khater, A, Kim, Y, Koyanagi, A, La Vecchia, C, Lim, L, Lopez, A, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, P, Lozano, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Mai, H, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mansournia, M, Mantovani, L, Mazzaglia, G, Mehta, D, Mendoza, W, Menezes, R, Mengesha, M, Meretoja, T, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miller, T, Mirrakhimov, E, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Montero-Zamora, P, Moradi, G, Naimzada, M, Nayak, V, Negoi, I, Nguyen, T, Ofori-Asenso, R, Oh, I, Olagunju, T, Padubidri, J, Pakshir, K, Pana, A, Pathak, M, Pourshams, A, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, S, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, D, Reiner RC, J, Roever, L, Room, R, Roshandel, G, Safari, S, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Sartorius, B, Schmidt, M, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaikh, M, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Shigematsu, M, Singh, J, Soheili, A, Suleria, H, Teklehaimanot, B, Tesfay, B, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valdez, P, Vasankari, T, Vu, G, Waheed, Y, Weldegwergs, K, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wondafrash, D, Wondmieneh, A, Yeshitila, Y, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zarghi, A, Zelber-Sagi, S, Zewdie, K, Zhang, Z, Zhao, X, Naghavi, M, Malekzadeh, R, Sepanlou SG, Safiri S, Bisignano C, Ikuta KS, Merat S, Saberifiroozi M, Poustchi H, Tsoi D, Colombara DV, Abdoli A, Adedoyin RA, Afarideh M, Agrawal S, Ahmad S, Ahmadian E, Ahmadpour E, Akinyemiju T, Akunna CJ, Alipour V, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almulhim AM, Al-Raddadi RM, Alvis-Guzman N, Anber NH, Angus C, Anoushiravani A, Arabloo J, Araya EM, Asmelash D, Ataeinia B, Ataro Z, Atout MMW, Ausloos F, Awasthi A, Badawi A, Banach M, Bejarano Ramirez DF, Bhagavathula AS, Bhala N, Bhattacharyya K, Biondi A, Bolla SR, Boloor A, Borzì AM, Butt ZA, Cámera LA, Campos-Nonato IR, Carvalho F, Chu DT, Chung SC, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Cowie BC, Daryani A, de Courten B, Demoz GT, Desai R, Dharmaratne SD, Djalalinia S, Do HT, Dorostkar F, Drake TM, Dubey M, Duncan BB, Effiong A, Eftekhari A, Elsharkawy A, Etemadi A, Farahmand M, Farzadfar F, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Gebremedhin KBB, Geta B, Gilani SA, Gill PS, Gutirrez RA, Haile MT, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamid SS, Hasankhani M, Hasanzadeh A, Hashemian M, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Hayat K, Heidari B, Henok A, Hoang CL, Hostiuc M, Hostiuc S, Hsieh VC, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Jafari Balalami N, James SL, Jeemon P, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Jozwiak JJ, Kabir A, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kefale AT, Khalilov R, Khan MA, Khan EA, Khater A, Kim YJ, Koyanagi A, La Vecchia C, Lim LL, Lopez AD, Lorkowski S, Lotufo PA, Lozano R, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Mai HT, Manafi N, Manafi A, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Mazzaglia G, Mehta D, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miller TR, Mirrakhimov EM, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Montero-Zamora PA, Moradi G, Naimzada MD, Nayak V, Negoi I, Nguyen TH, Ofori-Asenso R, Oh IH, Olagunju TO, Padubidri JR, Pakshir K, Pana A, Pathak M, Pourshams A, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rafiei A, Ramezanzadeh K, Rana SMM, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Reiner RC Jr, Roever L, Room R, Roshandel G, Safari S, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sartorius B, Schmidt MI, Senthilkumaran S, Shaikh MA, Sharif M, Sharifi A, Shigematsu M, Singh JA, Soheili A, Suleria HAR, Teklehaimanot BF, Tesfay BE, Vacante M, Vahedian-Azimi A, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Vu GT, Waheed Y, Weldegwergs KG, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmieneh AB, Yeshitila YG, Yonemoto N, Yu C, Zaidi Z, Zarghi A, Zelber-Sagi S, Zewdie KA, Zhang ZJ, Zhao XJ, Naghavi M, Malekzadeh R., Sepanlou, S, Safiri, S, Bisignano, C, Ikuta, K, Merat, S, Saberifiroozi, M, Poustchi, H, Tsoi, D, Colombara, D, Abdoli, A, Adedoyin, R, Afarideh, M, Agrawal, S, Ahmad, S, Ahmadian, E, Ahmadpour, E, Akinyemiju, T, Akunna, C, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almulhim, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Angus, C, Anoushiravani, A, Arabloo, J, Araya, E, Asmelash, D, Ataeinia, B, Ataro, Z, Atout, M, Ausloos, F, Awasthi, A, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Bejarano Ramirez, D, Bhagavathula, A, Bhala, N, Bhattacharyya, K, Biondi, A, Bolla, S, Boloor, A, Borzì, A, Butt, Z, Cámera, L, Campos-Nonato, I, Carvalho, F, Chu, D, Chung, S, Cortesi, P, Costa, V, Cowie, B, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demoz, G, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, S, Djalalinia, S, Do, H, Dorostkar, F, Drake, T, Dubey, M, Duncan, B, Effiong, A, Eftekhari, A, Elsharkawy, A, Etemadi, A, Farahmand, M, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremedhin, K, Geta, B, Gilani, S, Gill, P, Gutirrez, R, Haile, M, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hamid, S, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hashemian, M, Hassen, H, Hay, S, Hayat, K, Heidari, B, Henok, A, Hoang, C, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hsieh, V, Igumbor, E, Ilesanmi, O, Irvani, S, Jafari Balalami, N, James, S, Jeemon, P, Jha, R, Jonas, J, Jozwiak, J, Kabir, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, H, Kefale, A, Khalilov, R, Khan, M, Khan, E, Khater, A, Kim, Y, Koyanagi, A, La Vecchia, C, Lim, L, Lopez, A, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, P, Lozano, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Mai, H, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mansournia, M, Mantovani, L, Mazzaglia, G, Mehta, D, Mendoza, W, Menezes, R, Mengesha, M, Meretoja, T, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miller, T, Mirrakhimov, E, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Montero-Zamora, P, Moradi, G, Naimzada, M, Nayak, V, Negoi, I, Nguyen, T, Ofori-Asenso, R, Oh, I, Olagunju, T, Padubidri, J, Pakshir, K, Pana, A, Pathak, M, Pourshams, A, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, S, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, D, Reiner RC, J, Roever, L, Room, R, Roshandel, G, Safari, S, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Sartorius, B, Schmidt, M, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaikh, M, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Shigematsu, M, Singh, J, Soheili, A, Suleria, H, Teklehaimanot, B, Tesfay, B, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valdez, P, Vasankari, T, Vu, G, Waheed, Y, Weldegwergs, K, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wondafrash, D, Wondmieneh, A, Yeshitila, Y, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zarghi, A, Zelber-Sagi, S, Zewdie, K, Zhang, Z, Zhao, X, Naghavi, M, Malekzadeh, R, Sepanlou SG, Safiri S, Bisignano C, Ikuta KS, Merat S, Saberifiroozi M, Poustchi H, Tsoi D, Colombara DV, Abdoli A, Adedoyin RA, Afarideh M, Agrawal S, Ahmad S, Ahmadian E, Ahmadpour E, Akinyemiju T, Akunna CJ, Alipour V, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almulhim AM, Al-Raddadi RM, Alvis-Guzman N, Anber NH, Angus C, Anoushiravani A, Arabloo J, Araya EM, Asmelash D, Ataeinia B, Ataro Z, Atout MMW, Ausloos F, Awasthi A, Badawi A, Banach M, Bejarano Ramirez DF, Bhagavathula AS, Bhala N, Bhattacharyya K, Biondi A, Bolla SR, Boloor A, Borzì AM, Butt ZA, Cámera LA, Campos-Nonato IR, Carvalho F, Chu DT, Chung SC, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Cowie BC, Daryani A, de Courten B, Demoz GT, Desai R, Dharmaratne SD, Djalalinia S, Do HT, Dorostkar F, Drake TM, Dubey M, Duncan BB, Effiong A, Eftekhari A, Elsharkawy A, Etemadi A, Farahmand M, Farzadfar F, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Gebremedhin KBB, Geta B, Gilani SA, Gill PS, Gutirrez RA, Haile MT, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamid SS, Hasankhani M, Hasanzadeh A, Hashemian M, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Hayat K, Heidari B, Henok A, Hoang CL, Hostiuc M, Hostiuc S, Hsieh VC, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Jafari Balalami N, James SL, Jeemon P, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Jozwiak JJ, Kabir A, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kefale AT, Khalilov R, Khan MA, Khan EA, Khater A, Kim YJ, Koyanagi A, La Vecchia C, Lim LL, Lopez AD, Lorkowski S, Lotufo PA, Lozano R, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Mai HT, Manafi N, Manafi A, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Mazzaglia G, Mehta D, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miller TR, Mirrakhimov EM, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Montero-Zamora PA, Moradi G, Naimzada MD, Nayak V, Negoi I, Nguyen TH, Ofori-Asenso R, Oh IH, Olagunju TO, Padubidri JR, Pakshir K, Pana A, Pathak M, Pourshams A, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rafiei A, Ramezanzadeh K, Rana SMM, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Reiner RC Jr, Roever L, Room R, Roshandel G, Safari S, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sartorius B, Schmidt MI, Senthilkumaran S, Shaikh MA, Sharif M, Sharifi A, Shigematsu M, Singh JA, Soheili A, Suleria HAR, Teklehaimanot BF, Tesfay BE, Vacante M, Vahedian-Azimi A, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Vu GT, Waheed Y, Weldegwergs KG, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmieneh AB, Yeshitila YG, Yonemoto N, Yu C, Zaidi Z, Zarghi A, Zelber-Sagi S, Zewdie KA, Zhang ZJ, Zhao XJ, Naghavi M, and Malekzadeh R.

Abstract

Background: Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (collectively referred to as cirrhosis in this paper) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality globally, although the burden and underlying causes differ across locations and demographic groups. We report on results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 on the burden of cirrhosis and its trends since 1990, by cause, sex, and age, for 195 countries and territories. Methods: We used data from vital registrations, vital registration samples, and verbal autopsies to estimate mortality. We modelled prevalence of total, compensated, and decompensated cirrhosis on the basis of hospital and claims data. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of years of life lost due to premature death and years lived with disability. Estimates are presented as numbers and age-standardised or age-specific rates per 100 000 population, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). All estimates are presented for five causes of cirrhosis: hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcohol-related liver disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and other causes. We compared mortality, prevalence, and DALY estimates with those expected according to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) as a proxy for the development status of regions and countries. Findings: In 2017, cirrhosis caused more than 1·32 million (95% UI 1·27–1·45) deaths (440 000 [416 000–518 000; 33·3%] in females and 883 000 [838 000–967 000; 66·7%] in males) globally, compared with less than 899 000 (829 000–948 000) deaths in 1990. Deaths due to cirrhosis constituted 2·4% (2·3–2·6) of total deaths globally in 2017 compared with 1·9% (1·8–2·0) in 1990. Despite an increase in the number of deaths, the age-standardised death rate decreased from 21·0 (19·2–22·3) per 100 000 population in 1990 to 16·5 (15·8–18·1) per 100 000 population in 2017. Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest age-standardised death rate among GBD super-regions fo

Published
2020

4. The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author

Sepanlou, SG, Safiri, S, Bisignano, C, Ikuta, KS, Merat, S, Saberifiroozi, M, Poustchi, H, Tsoi, D, Colombara, DV, Abdoli, A, Adedoyin, RA, Afarideh, M, Agrawal, S, Ahmad, S, Ahmadian, E, Ahmadpour, E, Akinyemiju, T, Akunna, CJ, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almulhim, AM, Al-Raddadi, RM, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, NH, Angus, C, Anoushiravani, A, Arabloo, J, Araya, EM, Asmelash, D, Ataeinia, B, Ataro, Z, Atout, MMW, Ausloos, F, Awasthi, A, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Bejarano Ramirez, DF, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhala, N, Bhattacharyya, K, Biondi, A, Bolla, SR, Boloor, A, Borzi, AM, Butt, ZA, Alberto Camera, LLA, Campos-Nonato, IR, Carvalho, F, Dinh-Toi, C, Chung, S-C, Cortesi, PA, Costa, VM, Cowie, BC, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demoz, GT, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Hoa, TD, Dorostkar, F, Drake, TM, Dubey, M, Duncan, BB, Effiong, A, Eftekhari, A, Elsharkawy, A, Etemadi, A, Farahmand, M, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremedhin, KBB, Geta, B, Gilani, SA, Gill, PS, Alma Gutierrez, R, Haile, MT, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hamid, SS, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hashemian, M, Hassen, HY, Hay, SI, Hayat, K, Heidari, B, Henok, A, Chi, LH, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hsieh, VC-R, Igumbor, EU, Ilesanmi, OS, Irvani, SSN, Balalami, NJ, James, SL, Jeemon, P, Jha, RP, Jonas, JB, Jozwiak, JJ, Kabir, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, HG, Kefale, AT, Khan, RKMA, Khan, EA, Khater, A, Kim, YJ, Koyanagi, A, La Vecchia, C, Lim, L-L, Lopez, AD, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Abd El Razek, MM, Hue, TM, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mansournia, MA, Mantovani, LG, Mazzaglia, G, Mehta, D, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Mengesha, MM, Meretoja, TJ, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Montero-Zamora, PA, Moradi, G, Naimzada, MD, Nayak, V, Negoi, I, Trang, HN, Ofori-Asenso, R, Oh, I-H, Olagunju, TO, Padubidri, JR, Pakshir, K, Pana, A, Pathak, M, Pourshams, A, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, SMM, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, DL, Reiner, RC, Roever, L, Room, R, Roshandel, G, Safari, S, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Sartorius, B, Schmidt, MI, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaikh, MA, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Shigematsu, M, Singh, JA, Soheili, A, Suleria, HAR, Teklehaimanot, BF, Tesfay, BE, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valdez, PR, Vasankari, TJ, Giang, TV, Waheed, Y, Weldegwergs, KG, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wondafrash, DZ, Wondmieneh, AB, Yeshitila, YG, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zarghi, A, Zelber-Sagi, S, Zewdie, KA, Zhang, Z-J, Zhao, X-J, Naghavi, M, Malekzadeh, R, Sepanlou, SG, Safiri, S, Bisignano, C, Ikuta, KS, Merat, S, Saberifiroozi, M, Poustchi, H, Tsoi, D, Colombara, DV, Abdoli, A, Adedoyin, RA, Afarideh, M, Agrawal, S, Ahmad, S, Ahmadian, E, Ahmadpour, E, Akinyemiju, T, Akunna, CJ, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almulhim, AM, Al-Raddadi, RM, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, NH, Angus, C, Anoushiravani, A, Arabloo, J, Araya, EM, Asmelash, D, Ataeinia, B, Ataro, Z, Atout, MMW, Ausloos, F, Awasthi, A, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Bejarano Ramirez, DF, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhala, N, Bhattacharyya, K, Biondi, A, Bolla, SR, Boloor, A, Borzi, AM, Butt, ZA, Alberto Camera, LLA, Campos-Nonato, IR, Carvalho, F, Dinh-Toi, C, Chung, S-C, Cortesi, PA, Costa, VM, Cowie, BC, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demoz, GT, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Djalalinia, S, Hoa, TD, Dorostkar, F, Drake, TM, Dubey, M, Duncan, BB, Effiong, A, Eftekhari, A, Elsharkawy, A, Etemadi, A, Farahmand, M, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremedhin, KBB, Geta, B, Gilani, SA, Gill, PS, Alma Gutierrez, R, Haile, MT, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hamid, SS, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hashemian, M, Hassen, HY, Hay, SI, Hayat, K, Heidari, B, Henok, A, Chi, LH, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hsieh, VC-R, Igumbor, EU, Ilesanmi, OS, Irvani, SSN, Balalami, NJ, James, SL, Jeemon, P, Jha, RP, Jonas, JB, Jozwiak, JJ, Kabir, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, HG, Kefale, AT, Khan, RKMA, Khan, EA, Khater, A, Kim, YJ, Koyanagi, A, La Vecchia, C, Lim, L-L, Lopez, AD, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, PA, Lozano, R, Abd El Razek, MM, Hue, TM, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mansournia, MA, Mantovani, LG, Mazzaglia, G, Mehta, D, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Mengesha, MM, Meretoja, TJ, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miller, TR, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, AH, Montero-Zamora, PA, Moradi, G, Naimzada, MD, Nayak, V, Negoi, I, Trang, HN, Ofori-Asenso, R, Oh, I-H, Olagunju, TO, Padubidri, JR, Pakshir, K, Pana, A, Pathak, M, Pourshams, A, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, SMM, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, DL, Reiner, RC, Roever, L, Room, R, Roshandel, G, Safari, S, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Sartorius, B, Schmidt, MI, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaikh, MA, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Shigematsu, M, Singh, JA, Soheili, A, Suleria, HAR, Teklehaimanot, BF, Tesfay, BE, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valdez, PR, Vasankari, TJ, Giang, TV, Waheed, Y, Weldegwergs, KG, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wondafrash, DZ, Wondmieneh, AB, Yeshitila, YG, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zarghi, A, Zelber-Sagi, S, Zewdie, KA, Zhang, Z-J, Zhao, X-J, Naghavi, M, and Malekzadeh, R

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (collectively referred to as cirrhosis in this paper) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality globally, although the burden and underlying causes differ across locations and demographic groups. We report on results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 on the burden of cirrhosis and its trends since 1990, by cause, sex, and age, for 195 countries and territories. METHODS: We used data from vital registrations, vital registration samples, and verbal autopsies to estimate mortality. We modelled prevalence of total, compensated, and decompensated cirrhosis on the basis of hospital and claims data. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of years of life lost due to premature death and years lived with disability. Estimates are presented as numbers and age-standardised or age-specific rates per 100 000 population, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). All estimates are presented for five causes of cirrhosis: hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcohol-related liver disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and other causes. We compared mortality, prevalence, and DALY estimates with those expected according to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) as a proxy for the development status of regions and countries. FINDINGS: In 2017, cirrhosis caused more than 1·32 million (95% UI 1·27-1·45) deaths (440 000 [416 000-518 000; 33·3%] in females and 883 000 [838 000-967 000; 66·7%] in males) globally, compared with less than 899 000 (829 000-948 000) deaths in 1990. Deaths due to cirrhosis constituted 2·4% (2·3-2·6) of total deaths globally in 2017 compared with 1·9% (1·8-2·0) in 1990. Despite an increase in the number of deaths, the age-standardised death rate decreased from 21·0 (19·2-22·3) per 100 000 population in 1990 to 16·5 (15·8-18·1) per 100 000 population in 2017. Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest age-standardised death rate among GBD super-regions fo

Published
2020

5. Estimating global injuries morbidity and mortality: methods and data used in the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study.

Author

James, SL, Castle, CD, Dingels, ZV, Fox, JT, Hamilton, EB, Liu, Z, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Bertolacci, GJ, Cunningham, M, Henry, NJ, Catalá-López, F, Cerin, E, Chandan, JS, Chapman, JR, Chattu, VK, Chattu, SK, Chatziralli, I, Chaudhary, N, Cho, DY, Choi, J-YJ, LeGrand, KE, Kabir Chowdhury, MA, Christopher, DJ, Chu, D-T, Cicuttini, FM, Coelho, JM, Costa, VM, Dahlawi, SMA, Daryani, A, Dávila-Cervantes, CA, Leo, DD, Abdelalim, A, Demeke, FM, Demoz, GT, Demsie, DG, Deribe, K, Desai, R, Nasab, MD, Silva, DDD, Dibaji Forooshani, ZS, Do, HT, Doyle, KE, Abdollahpour, I, Driscoll, TR, Dubljanin, E, Adema, BD, Eagan, AW, Elemineh, DA, El-Jaafary, SI, El-Khatib, Z, Ellingsen, CL, Zaki, MES, Eskandarieh, S, Abdulkader, RS, Eyawo, O, Faris, PS, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, E, Ferrara, P, Fischer, F, Folayan, MO, Fomenkov, AA, Abedi, A, Foroutan, M, Francis, JM, Franklin, RC, Fukumoto, T, Geberemariyam, BS, Gebremariam, H, Gebremedhin, KB, Gebremeskel, LG, Gebremeskel, GG, Gebremichael, B, Abegaz, KH, Gedefaw, GA, Geta, B, Getenet, AB, Ghafourifard, M, Ghamari, F, Gheshlagh, RG, Gholamian, A, Gilani, SA, Gill, TK, Goudarzian, AH, Abosetugn, AE, Goulart, AC, Grada, A, Grivna, M, Guimarães, RA, Guo, Y, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hall, BJ, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Abushouk, AI, Handiso, DW, Haro, JM, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassan, S, Hassanipour, S, Hassankhani, H, Hassen, HY, Havmoeller, R, Hendrie, D, Heydarpour, F, Adebayo, OM, Híjar, M, Ho, HC, Hoang, CL, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hu, G, Ibitoye, SE, Adsuar, JC, Ilesanmi, OS, Inbaraj, LR, Naghibi Irvani, SS, Mofizul Islam, M, Shariful Islam, SM, Ivers, RQ, Jahani, MA, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilian, F, Jayaraman, S, Advani, SM, Jayatilleke, AU, Jha, RP, John-Akinola, YO, Jonas, JB, Jones, KM, Joseph, N, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, JJ, Jungari, SB, Jürisson, M, Agudelo-Botero, M, Kabir, A, Kahsay, A, Kalankesh, LR, Kalhor, R, Kamil, TA, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Karami, M, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, HG, Ahmad, T, Kavetskyy, T, Kayode, GA, Keiyoro, PN, Kelbore, AG, Khader, YS, Khafaie, MA, Khalid, N, Khalil, IA, Khalilov, R, Khan, M, Ahmed, MB, Khan, EA, Khan, J, Khanna, T, Khazaei, S, Khazaie, H, Khundkar, R, Kiirithio, DN, Kim, Y-E, Kim, YJ, Kim, D, Ahmed, R, Kisa, S, Kisa, A, Komaki, H, Kondlahalli, SKM, Koolivand, A, Korshunov, VA, Koyanagi, A, Kraemer, MUG, Krishan, K, Defo, BK, Eddine Aichour, MT, Bicer, BK, Kugbey, N, Kumar, N, Kumar, M, Kumar, V, Kumaresh, G, Lami, FH, Lansingh, VC, Lasrado, S, Alahdab, F, Latifi, A, Lauriola, P, Vecchia, CL, Leasher, JL, Huey Lee, SW, Li, S, Liu, X, Lopez, AD, Lotufo, PA, Lyons, RA, Alanezi, FM, Machado, DB, Madadin, M, Abd El Razek, MM, Mahotra, NB, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Maled, V, Malta, DC, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Alema, NM, Manda, A-L, Manjunatha, N, Mansour-Ghanaei, F, Mansournia, MA, Maravilla, JC, Mason-Jones, AJ, Masoumi, SZ, Massenburg, BB, Maulik, PK, Mehndiratta, MM, Alemu, BW, Melketsedik, ZA, Memiah, PTN, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Mengesha, MM, Meretoja, TJ, Meretoja, A, Merie, HE, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Alghnam, SA, Miazgowski, T, Miller, TR, Mini, GK, Mirica, A, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, M, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohamadi, E, Ali, BA, Mohammad, Y, Darwesh, AM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohammed, S, Mohammed, JA, Mohebi, F, Mohseni Bandpei, MA, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Ali, S, Moodley, Y, Moradi, M, Moradi, G, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moradzadeh, R, Morawska, L, Velásquez, IM, Morrison, SD, Mossie, TB, Muluneh, AG, Alinia, C, Musa, KI, Mustafa, G, Naderi, M, Nagarajan, AJ, Naik, G, Naimzada, MD, Najafi, F, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Naserbakht, M, Alipour, V, Nayak, V, Nazari, J, Ndwandwe, DE, Negoi, I, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, TH, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, DN, Thi Nguyen, HL, Nikbakhsh, R, Aljunid, SM, Anggraini Ningrum, DN, Nnaji, CA, Ofori-Asenso, R, Ogbo, FA, Oghenetega, OB, Oh, I-H, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Bali, AO, Onwujekwe, OE, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Orpana, HM, Ota, E, Otstavnov, N, Otstavnov, SS, P A, M, Padubidri, JR, Pakhale, S, Pakshir, K, Panda-Jonas, S, Park, E-K, Almasri, NA, Patel, SK, Pathak, A, Pati, S, Paulos, K, Peden, AE, Filipino Pepito, VC, Pereira, J, Phillips, MR, Polibin, RV, Polinder, S, Altirkawi, K, Pourmalek, F, Pourshams, A, Poustchi, H, Prakash, S, Angga Pribadi, DR, Puri, P, Syed, ZQ, Rabiee, N, Rabiee, M, Radfar, A, Abdeldayem Amer, YS, Rafay, A, Rafiee, A, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahimi, S, Rahman, MA, Rajabpour-Sanati, A, Rajati, F, Rakovac, I, Rao, SJ, Andrei, CL, Rashedi, V, Rastogi, P, Rathi, P, Rawaf, S, Rawal, L, Rawassizadeh, R, Renjith, V, Resnikoff, S, Rezapour, A, Ribeiro, AI, Ansari-Moghaddam, A, Rickard, J, Rios González, CM, Roever, L, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Saddik, B, Safarpour, H, Safdarian, M, Mohammad Sajadi, S, Salamati, P, T Antonio, CA, Rashad Salem, MR, Salem, H, Salz, I, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Riera, LS, Santric Milicevic, MM, Sarker, AR, Sarveazad, A, Sathian, B, Anvari, D, Sawhney, M, Sayyah, M, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Senthilkumaran, S, Seyedmousavi, S, Sha, F, Shaahmadi, F, Shahabi, S, Shaikh, MA, Yaw Appiah, SC, Shams-Beyranvand, M, Sheikh, A, Shigematsu, M, Shin, JI, Shiri, R, Siabani, S, Sigfusdottir, ID, Singh, JA, Singh, PK, Sinha, DN, Arabloo, J, Soheili, A, Soriano, JB, Sorrie, MB, Soyiri, IN, Stokes, MA, Sufiyan, MB, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taddele, BW, Arab-Zozani, M, Tefera, YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekulu, GH, Tesema Tesema, AK, Tesfay, BE, Thapar, R, Titova, MV, Tlaye, KG, Tohidinik, HR, Topor-Madry, R, Arefi, Z, Tran, KB, Tran, BX, Tripathy, JP, Tsai, AC, Tsatsakis, A, Car, LT, Ullah, I, Ullah, S, Unnikrishnan, B, Upadhyay, E, Aremu, O, Uthman, OA, Valdez, PR, Vasankari, TJ, Veisani, Y, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vlassov, V, Waheed, Y, Wang, Y-P, Wiangkham, T, Ariani, F, Wolde, HF, Woldeyes, DH, Wondmeneh, TG, Wondmieneh, AB, Wu, A-M, Wyper, GMA, Yadav, R, Yadollahpour, A, Yano, Y, Yaya, S, Arora, A, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V, Ye, P, Yip, P, Yisma, E, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Youm, Y, Younis, MZ, Yousefi, Z, Yu, C, Asaad, M, Yu, Y, Moghadam, TZ, Zaidi, Z, Zaman, SB, Zamani, M, Zandian, H, Zarei, F, Zhang, Z-J, Zhang, Y, Ziapour, A, Ayala Quintanilla, BP, Zodpey, S, Dandona, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Hay, SI, Mokdad, AH, Pigott, DM, Reiner, RC, Vos, T, Ayano, G, Ayanore, MA, Azarian, G, Badawi, A, Badiye, AD, Baig, AA, Bairwa, M, Bakhtiari, A, Balachandran, A, Banach, M, Banerjee, SK, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, TW, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Behzadifar, M, Belete, H, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhe, K, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhardwaj, P, Bhat, AG, Bhattacharyya, K, Bhutta, ZA, Bibi, S, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Borges, G, Borschmann, R, Borzì, AM, Boufous, S, Braithwaite, D, Briko, NI, Brugha, T, Budhathoki, SS, Car, J, Cárdenas, R, Carvalho, F, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, Castelpietra, G, James, SL, Castle, CD, Dingels, ZV, Fox, JT, Hamilton, EB, Liu, Z, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Bertolacci, GJ, Cunningham, M, Henry, NJ, Catalá-López, F, Cerin, E, Chandan, JS, Chapman, JR, Chattu, VK, Chattu, SK, Chatziralli, I, Chaudhary, N, Cho, DY, Choi, J-YJ, LeGrand, KE, Kabir Chowdhury, MA, Christopher, DJ, Chu, D-T, Cicuttini, FM, Coelho, JM, Costa, VM, Dahlawi, SMA, Daryani, A, Dávila-Cervantes, CA, Leo, DD, Abdelalim, A, Demeke, FM, Demoz, GT, Demsie, DG, Deribe, K, Desai, R, Nasab, MD, Silva, DDD, Dibaji Forooshani, ZS, Do, HT, Doyle, KE, Abdollahpour, I, Driscoll, TR, Dubljanin, E, Adema, BD, Eagan, AW, Elemineh, DA, El-Jaafary, SI, El-Khatib, Z, Ellingsen, CL, Zaki, MES, Eskandarieh, S, Abdulkader, RS, Eyawo, O, Faris, PS, Faro, A, Farzadfar, F, Fereshtehnejad, S-M, Fernandes, E, Ferrara, P, Fischer, F, Folayan, MO, Fomenkov, AA, Abedi, A, Foroutan, M, Francis, JM, Franklin, RC, Fukumoto, T, Geberemariyam, BS, Gebremariam, H, Gebremedhin, KB, Gebremeskel, LG, Gebremeskel, GG, Gebremichael, B, Abegaz, KH, Gedefaw, GA, Geta, B, Getenet, AB, Ghafourifard, M, Ghamari, F, Gheshlagh, RG, Gholamian, A, Gilani, SA, Gill, TK, Goudarzian, AH, Abosetugn, AE, Goulart, AC, Grada, A, Grivna, M, Guimarães, RA, Guo, Y, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hall, BJ, Hamadeh, RR, Hamidi, S, Abushouk, AI, Handiso, DW, Haro, JM, Hasanzadeh, A, Hassan, S, Hassanipour, S, Hassankhani, H, Hassen, HY, Havmoeller, R, Hendrie, D, Heydarpour, F, Adebayo, OM, Híjar, M, Ho, HC, Hoang, CL, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hossain, N, Hosseinzadeh, M, Hostiuc, S, Hu, G, Ibitoye, SE, Adsuar, JC, Ilesanmi, OS, Inbaraj, LR, Naghibi Irvani, SS, Mofizul Islam, M, Shariful Islam, SM, Ivers, RQ, Jahani, MA, Jakovljevic, M, Jalilian, F, Jayaraman, S, Advani, SM, Jayatilleke, AU, Jha, RP, John-Akinola, YO, Jonas, JB, Jones, KM, Joseph, N, Joukar, F, Jozwiak, JJ, Jungari, SB, Jürisson, M, Agudelo-Botero, M, Kabir, A, Kahsay, A, Kalankesh, LR, Kalhor, R, Kamil, TA, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Karami, M, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, HG, Ahmad, T, Kavetskyy, T, Kayode, GA, Keiyoro, PN, Kelbore, AG, Khader, YS, Khafaie, MA, Khalid, N, Khalil, IA, Khalilov, R, Khan, M, Ahmed, MB, Khan, EA, Khan, J, Khanna, T, Khazaei, S, Khazaie, H, Khundkar, R, Kiirithio, DN, Kim, Y-E, Kim, YJ, Kim, D, Ahmed, R, Kisa, S, Kisa, A, Komaki, H, Kondlahalli, SKM, Koolivand, A, Korshunov, VA, Koyanagi, A, Kraemer, MUG, Krishan, K, Defo, BK, Eddine Aichour, MT, Bicer, BK, Kugbey, N, Kumar, N, Kumar, M, Kumar, V, Kumaresh, G, Lami, FH, Lansingh, VC, Lasrado, S, Alahdab, F, Latifi, A, Lauriola, P, Vecchia, CL, Leasher, JL, Huey Lee, SW, Li, S, Liu, X, Lopez, AD, Lotufo, PA, Lyons, RA, Alanezi, FM, Machado, DB, Madadin, M, Abd El Razek, MM, Mahotra, NB, Majdan, M, Majeed, A, Maled, V, Malta, DC, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Alema, NM, Manda, A-L, Manjunatha, N, Mansour-Ghanaei, F, Mansournia, MA, Maravilla, JC, Mason-Jones, AJ, Masoumi, SZ, Massenburg, BB, Maulik, PK, Mehndiratta, MM, Alemu, BW, Melketsedik, ZA, Memiah, PTN, Mendoza, W, Menezes, RG, Mengesha, MM, Meretoja, TJ, Meretoja, A, Merie, HE, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Alghnam, SA, Miazgowski, T, Miller, TR, Mini, GK, Mirica, A, Mirrakhimov, EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, M, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohamadi, E, Ali, BA, Mohammad, Y, Darwesh, AM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohammed, S, Mohammed, JA, Mohebi, F, Mohseni Bandpei, MA, Molokhia, M, Monasta, L, Ali, S, Moodley, Y, Moradi, M, Moradi, G, Moradi-Lakeh, M, Moradzadeh, R, Morawska, L, Velásquez, IM, Morrison, SD, Mossie, TB, Muluneh, AG, Alinia, C, Musa, KI, Mustafa, G, Naderi, M, Nagarajan, AJ, Naik, G, Naimzada, MD, Najafi, F, Nangia, V, Nascimento, BR, Naserbakht, M, Alipour, V, Nayak, V, Nazari, J, Ndwandwe, DE, Negoi, I, Ngunjiri, JW, Nguyen, TH, Nguyen, CT, Nguyen, DN, Thi Nguyen, HL, Nikbakhsh, R, Aljunid, SM, Anggraini Ningrum, DN, Nnaji, CA, Ofori-Asenso, R, Ogbo, FA, Oghenetega, OB, Oh, I-H, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Bali, AO, Onwujekwe, OE, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Orpana, HM, Ota, E, Otstavnov, N, Otstavnov, SS, P A, M, Padubidri, JR, Pakhale, S, Pakshir, K, Panda-Jonas, S, Park, E-K, Almasri, NA, Patel, SK, Pathak, A, Pati, S, Paulos, K, Peden, AE, Filipino Pepito, VC, Pereira, J, Phillips, MR, Polibin, RV, Polinder, S, Altirkawi, K, Pourmalek, F, Pourshams, A, Poustchi, H, Prakash, S, Angga Pribadi, DR, Puri, P, Syed, ZQ, Rabiee, N, Rabiee, M, Radfar, A, Abdeldayem Amer, YS, Rafay, A, Rafiee, A, Rafiei, A, Rahim, F, Rahimi, S, Rahman, MA, Rajabpour-Sanati, A, Rajati, F, Rakovac, I, Rao, SJ, Andrei, CL, Rashedi, V, Rastogi, P, Rathi, P, Rawaf, S, Rawal, L, Rawassizadeh, R, Renjith, V, Resnikoff, S, Rezapour, A, Ribeiro, AI, Ansari-Moghaddam, A, Rickard, J, Rios González, CM, Roever, L, Ronfani, L, Roshandel, G, Saddik, B, Safarpour, H, Safdarian, M, Mohammad Sajadi, S, Salamati, P, T Antonio, CA, Rashad Salem, MR, Salem, H, Salz, I, Samy, AM, Sanabria, J, Riera, LS, Santric Milicevic, MM, Sarker, AR, Sarveazad, A, Sathian, B, Anvari, D, Sawhney, M, Sayyah, M, Schwebel, DC, Seedat, S, Senthilkumaran, S, Seyedmousavi, S, Sha, F, Shaahmadi, F, Shahabi, S, Shaikh, MA, Yaw Appiah, SC, Shams-Beyranvand, M, Sheikh, A, Shigematsu, M, Shin, JI, Shiri, R, Siabani, S, Sigfusdottir, ID, Singh, JA, Singh, PK, Sinha, DN, Arabloo, J, Soheili, A, Soriano, JB, Sorrie, MB, Soyiri, IN, Stokes, MA, Sufiyan, MB, Sykes, BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos, R, Tabb, KM, Taddele, BW, Arab-Zozani, M, Tefera, YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi, A, Tekulu, GH, Tesema Tesema, AK, Tesfay, BE, Thapar, R, Titova, MV, Tlaye, KG, Tohidinik, HR, Topor-Madry, R, Arefi, Z, Tran, KB, Tran, BX, Tripathy, JP, Tsai, AC, Tsatsakis, A, Car, LT, Ullah, I, Ullah, S, Unnikrishnan, B, Upadhyay, E, Aremu, O, Uthman, OA, Valdez, PR, Vasankari, TJ, Veisani, Y, Venketasubramanian, N, Violante, FS, Vlassov, V, Waheed, Y, Wang, Y-P, Wiangkham, T, Ariani, F, Wolde, HF, Woldeyes, DH, Wondmeneh, TG, Wondmieneh, AB, Wu, A-M, Wyper, GMA, Yadav, R, Yadollahpour, A, Yano, Y, Yaya, S, Arora, A, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, V, Ye, P, Yip, P, Yisma, E, Yonemoto, N, Yoon, S-J, Youm, Y, Younis, MZ, Yousefi, Z, Yu, C, Asaad, M, Yu, Y, Moghadam, TZ, Zaidi, Z, Zaman, SB, Zamani, M, Zandian, H, Zarei, F, Zhang, Z-J, Zhang, Y, Ziapour, A, Ayala Quintanilla, BP, Zodpey, S, Dandona, R, Dharmaratne, SD, Hay, SI, Mokdad, AH, Pigott, DM, Reiner, RC, Vos, T, Ayano, G, Ayanore, MA, Azarian, G, Badawi, A, Badiye, AD, Baig, AA, Bairwa, M, Bakhtiari, A, Balachandran, A, Banach, M, Banerjee, SK, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Bärnighausen, TW, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bazargan-Hejazi, S, Bedi, N, Behzadifar, M, Belete, H, Bennett, DA, Bensenor, IM, Berhe, K, Bhagavathula, AS, Bhardwaj, P, Bhat, AG, Bhattacharyya, K, Bhutta, ZA, Bibi, S, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Borges, G, Borschmann, R, Borzì, AM, Boufous, S, Braithwaite, D, Briko, NI, Brugha, T, Budhathoki, SS, Car, J, Cárdenas, R, Carvalho, F, Castaldelli-Maia, JM, Castañeda-Orjuela, CA, and Castelpietra, G

Abstract

BACKGROUND: While there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria. METHODS: In this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced. RESULTS: GBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: GBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future.

Published
2020

6. Estimating global injuries morbidity and mortality: methods and data used in the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study.

Author

James SL, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, Roberts NLS, Sylte DO, Bertolacci GJ, Cunningham M, Henry NJ, LeGrand KE, Abdelalim A, Abdollahpour I, Abdulkader RS, Abedi A, Abegaz KH, Abosetugn AE, Abushouk AI, Adebayo OM, Adsuar JC, Advani SM, Agudelo-Botero M, Ahmad T, Ahmed MB, Ahmed R, Eddine Aichour MT, Alahdab F, Alanezi FM, Alema NM, Alemu BW, Alghnam SA, Ali BA, Ali S, Alinia C, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almasri NA, Altirkawi K, Abdeldayem Amer YS, Andrei CL, Ansari-Moghaddam A, T Antonio CA, Anvari D, Yaw Appiah SC, Arabloo J, Arab-Zozani M, Arefi Z, Aremu O, Ariani F, Arora A, Asaad M, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayano G, Ayanore MA, Azarian G, Badawi A, Badiye AD, Baig AA, Bairwa M, Bakhtiari A, Balachandran A, Banach M, Banerjee SK, Banik PC, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Barzegar A, Bayati M, Bazargan-Hejazi S, Bedi N, Behzadifar M, Belete H, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Berhe K, Bhagavathula AS, Bhardwaj P, Bhat AG, Bhattacharyya K, Bhutta ZA, Bibi S, Bijani A, Boloor A, Borges G, Borschmann R, Borzì AM, Boufous S, Braithwaite D, Briko NI, Brugha T, Budhathoki SS, Car J, Cárdenas R, Carvalho F, Castaldelli-Maia JM, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castelpietra G, Catalá-López F, Cerin E, Chandan JS, Chapman JR, Chattu VK, Chattu SK, Chatziralli I, Chaudhary N, Cho DY, Choi JJ, Kabir Chowdhury MA, Christopher DJ, Chu DT, Cicuttini FM, Coelho JM, Costa VM, Dahlawi SMA, Daryani A, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Leo D, Demeke FM, Demoz GT, Demsie DG, Deribe K, Desai R, Nasab MD, Silva DDD, Dibaji Forooshani ZS, Do HT, Doyle KE, Driscoll TR, Dubljanin E, Adema BD, Eagan AW, Elemineh DA, El-Jaafary SI, El-Khatib Z, Ellingsen CL, Zaki MES, Eskandarieh S, Eyawo O, Faris PS, Faro A, Farzadfar F, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Ferrara P, Fischer F, Folayan MO, Fomenkov AA, Foroutan M, Francis JM, Franklin RC, Fukumoto T, Geberemariyam BS, Gebremariam H, Gebremedhin KB, Gebremeskel LG, Gebremeskel GG, Gebremichael B, Gedefaw GA, Geta B, Getenet AB, Ghafourifard M, Ghamari F, Gheshlagh RG, Gholamian A, Gilani SA, Gill TK, Goudarzian AH, Goulart AC, Grada A, Grivna M, Guimarães RA, Guo Y, Gupta G, Haagsma JA, Hall BJ, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Handiso DW, Haro JM, Hasanzadeh A, Hassan S, Hassanipour S, Hassankhani H, Hassen HY, Havmoeller R, Hendrie D, Heydarpour F, Híjar M, Ho HC, Hoang CL, Hole MK, Holla R, Hossain N, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc S, Hu G, Ibitoye SE, Ilesanmi OS, Inbaraj LR, Naghibi Irvani SS, Mofizul Islam M, Shariful Islam SM, Ivers RQ, Jahani MA, Jakovljevic M, Jalilian F, Jayaraman S, Jayatilleke AU, Jha RP, John-Akinola YO, Jonas JB, Jones KM, Joseph N, Joukar F, Jozwiak JJ, Jungari SB, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kahsay A, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kamil TA, Kanchan T, Kapoor N, Karami M, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kavetskyy T, Kayode GA, Keiyoro PN, Kelbore AG, Khader YS, Khafaie MA, Khalid N, Khalil IA, Khalilov R, Khan M, Khan EA, Khan J, Khanna T, Khazaei S, Khazaie H, Khundkar R, Kiirithio DN, Kim YE, Kim YJ, Kim D, Kisa S, Kisa A, Komaki H, Kondlahalli SKM, Koolivand A, Korshunov VA, Koyanagi A, Kraemer MUG, Krishan K, Defo BK, Bicer BK, Kugbey N, Kumar N, Kumar M, Kumar V, Kumar N, Kumaresh G, Lami FH, Lansingh VC, Lasrado S, Latifi A, Lauriola P, Vecchia C, Leasher JL, Huey Lee SW, Li S, Liu X, Lopez AD, Lotufo PA, Lyons RA, Machado DB, Madadin M, Abd El Razek MM, Mahotra NB, Majdan M, Majeed A, Maled V, Malta DC, Manafi N, Manafi A, Manda AL, Manjunatha N, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Mansournia MA, Maravilla JC, Mason-Jones AJ, Masoumi SZ, Massenburg BB, Maulik PK, Mehndiratta MM, Melketsedik ZA, Memiah PTN, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Meretoja A, Merie HE, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirica A, Mirrakhimov EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh M, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohamadi E, Mohammad Y, Darwesh AM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohammed S, Mohammed JA, Mohebi F, Mohseni Bandpei MA, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Moodley Y, Moradi M, Moradi G, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moradzadeh R, Morawska L, Velásquez IM, Morrison SD, Mossie TB, Muluneh AG, Musa KI, Mustafa G, Naderi M, Nagarajan AJ, Naik G, Naimzada MD, Najafi F, Nangia V, Nascimento BR, Naserbakht M, Nayak V, Nazari J, Ndwandwe DE, Negoi I, Ngunjiri JW, Nguyen TH, Nguyen CT, Nguyen DN, Thi Nguyen HL, Nikbakhsh R, Anggraini Ningrum DN, Nnaji CA, Ofori-Asenso R, Ogbo FA, Oghenetega OB, Oh IH, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Bali AO, Onwujekwe OE, Orpana HM, Ota E, Otstavnov N, Otstavnov SS, P A M, Padubidri JR, Pakhale S, Pakshir K, Panda-Jonas S, Park EK, Patel SK, Pathak A, Pati S, Paulos K, Peden AE, Filipino Pepito VC, Pereira J, Phillips MR, Polibin RV, Polinder S, Pourmalek F, Pourshams A, Poustchi H, Prakash S, Angga Pribadi DR, Puri P, Syed ZQ, Rabiee N, Rabiee M, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rafiee A, Rafiei A, Rahim F, Rahimi S, Rahman MA, Rajabpour-Sanati A, Rajati F, Rakovac I, Rao SJ, Rashedi V, Rastogi P, Rathi P, Rawaf S, Rawal L, Rawassizadeh R, Renjith V, Resnikoff S, Rezapour A, Ribeiro AI, Rickard J, Rios González CM, Roever L, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Saddik B, Safarpour H, Safdarian M, Mohammad Sajadi S, Salamati P, Rashad Salem MR, Salem H, Salz I, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Riera LS, Santric Milicevic MM, Sarker AR, Sarveazad A, Sathian B, Sawhney M, Sayyah M, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Senthilkumaran S, Seyedmousavi S, Sha F, Shaahmadi F, Shahabi S, Shaikh MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Sheikh A, Shigematsu M, Shin JI, Shiri R, Siabani S, Sigfusdottir ID, Singh JA, Singh PK, Sinha DN, Soheili A, Soriano JB, Sorrie MB, Soyiri IN, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabb KM, Taddele BW, Tefera YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tekulu GH, Tesema Tesema AK, Tesfay BE, Thapar R, Titova MV, Tlaye KG, Tohidinik HR, Topor-Madry R, Tran KB, Tran BX, Tripathy JP, Tsai AC, Tsatsakis A, Car LT, Ullah I, Ullah S, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Uthman OA, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Veisani Y, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Waheed Y, Wang YP, Wiangkham T, Wolde HF, Woldeyes DH, Wondmeneh TG, Wondmieneh AB, Wu AM, Wyper GMA, Yadav R, Yadollahpour A, Yano Y, Yaya S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi V, Ye P, Yip P, Yisma E, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Youm Y, Younis MZ, Yousefi Z, Yu C, Yu Y, Moghadam TZ, Zaidi Z, Zaman SB, Zamani M, Zandian H, Zarei F, Zhang ZJ, Zhang Y, Ziapour A, Zodpey S, Dandona R, Dharmaratne SD, Hay SI, Mokdad AH, Pigott DM, Reiner RC, and Vos T

Subjects
Female, Humans, Incidence, Life Expectancy, Male, Morbidity, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Global Burden of Disease, Global Health, Wounds and Injuries mortality
Abstract

Background: While there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria., Methods: In this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced., Results: GBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes., Conclusions: GBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Dr. James reports grants from Sanofi Pasteur, outside the submitted work. Dr. Driscoll reports grants from World Health Organisation, during the conduct of the study. Dr Shariful Islam is funded by a Fellowship from National Heart Foundation of Australia and Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University. Dr. Ivers reports grants from National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Jozwiak reports personal fees from TEVA, personal fees from ALAB, personal fees from BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, personal fees from SYNEXUS, non-financial support from SERVIER, non-financial support from MICROLIFE, non-financial support from MEDICOVER, outside the submitted work. Walter Mendoza is currently Program Analyst Population and Development at the Peru Country Office of the United Nations Population Fund-UNFPA, which does not necessarily endorses this study. Dr. Rakovac reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Sheikh reports grants from Health Data Research UK, outside the submitted work. Dr. Singh reports personal fees from Crealta/Horizon, Medisys, Fidia, UBM LLC, Trio health, Medscape, WebMD, Clinical Care options, Clearview healthcare partners, Putnam associates, Spherix, Practice Point communications, the National Institutes of Health and the American College of Rheumatology, personal fees from Speaker’s bureau of Simply Speaking. Dr. Singh owns stock options in Amarin pharmaceuticals and Viking pharmaceuticals. Dr. Singh serves on the steering committee of OMERACT, an international organization that develops measures for clinical trials and receives arms-length funding from 12 pharmaceutical companies. Dr. Singh serves on the FDA Arthritis Advisory Committee. Dr. Singh is a member of the Veterans Affairs Rheumatology Field Advisory Committee. Dr. Singh is the editor and the Director of the UAB Cochrane Musculoskeletal Group Satellite Center on Network Meta-analysis, outside the submitted work. Dr. Stein reports personal fees from Lundbeck and Sun, outside the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)

Published
2020
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7. Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Author

James SL, Castle CD, Dingels ZV, Fox JT, Hamilton EB, Liu Z, S Roberts NL, Sylte DO, Henry NJ, LeGrand KE, Abdelalim A, Abdoli A, Abdollahpour I, Abdulkader RS, Abedi A, Abosetugn AE, Abushouk AI, Adebayo OM, Agudelo-Botero M, Ahmad T, Ahmed R, Ahmed MB, Eddine Aichour MT, Alahdab F, Alamene GM, Alanezi FM, Alebel A, Alema NM, Alghnam SA, Al-Hajj S, Ali BA, Ali S, Alikhani M, Alinia C, Alipour V, Aljunid SM, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almasri NA, Altirkawi K, Abdeldayem Amer YS, Amini S, Loreche Amit AM, Andrei CL, Ansari-Moghaddam A, T Antonio CA, Yaw Appiah SC, Arabloo J, Arab-Zozani M, Arefi Z, Aremu O, Ariani F, Arora A, Asaad M, Asghari B, Awoke N, Ayala Quintanilla BP, Ayano G, Ayanore MA, Azari S, Azarian G, Badawi A, Badiye AD, Bagli E, Baig AA, Bairwa M, Bakhtiari A, Balachandran A, Banach M, Banerjee SK, Banik PC, Banstola A, Barker-Collo SL, Bärnighausen TW, Barrero LH, Barzegar A, Bayati M, Baye BA, Bedi N, Behzadifar M, Bekuma TT, Belete H, Benjet C, Bennett DA, Bensenor IM, Berhe K, Bhardwaj P, Bhat AG, Bhattacharyya K, Bibi S, Bijani A, Bin Sayeed MS, Borges G, Borzì AM, Boufous S, Brazinova A, Briko NI, Budhathoki SS, Car J, Cárdenas R, Carvalho F, Castaldelli-Maia JM, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Castelpietra G, Catalá-López F, Cerin E, Chandan JS, Chanie WF, Chattu SK, Chattu VK, Chatziralli I, Chaudhary N, Cho DY, Kabir Chowdhury MA, Chu DT, Colquhoun SM, Constantin MM, Costa VM, Damiani G, Daryani A, Dávila-Cervantes CA, Demeke FM, Demis AB, Demoz GT, Demsie DG, Derakhshani A, Deribe K, Desai R, Nasab MD, da Silva DD, Dibaji Forooshani ZS, Doyle KE, Driscoll TR, Dubljanin E, Adema BD, Eagan AW, Eftekhari A, Ehsani-Chimeh E, Sayed Zaki ME, Elemineh DA, El-Jaafary SI, El-Khatib Z, Ellingsen CL, Emamian MH, Endalew DA, Eskandarieh S, Faris PS, Faro A, Farzadfar F, Fatahi Y, Fekadu W, Ferede TY, Fereshtehnejad SM, Fernandes E, Ferrara P, Feyissa GT, Filip I, Fischer F, Folayan MO, Foroutan M, Francis JM, Franklin RC, Fukumoto T, Geberemariyam BS, Gebre AK, Gebremedhin KB, Gebremeskel GG, Gebremichael B, Gedefaw GA, Geta B, Ghafourifard M, Ghamari F, Ghashghaee A, Gholamian A, Gill TK, Goulart AC, Grada A, Grivna M, Mohialdeen Gubari MI, Guimarães RA, Guo Y, Gupta G, Haagsma JA, Hafezi-Nejad N, Bidgoli HH, Hall BJ, Hamadeh RR, Hamidi S, Haro JM, Hasan MM, Hasanzadeh A, Hassanipour S, Hassankhani H, Hassen HY, Havmoeller R, Hayat K, Hendrie D, Heydarpour F, Híjar M, Ho HC, Hoang CL, Hole MK, Holla R, Hossain N, Hosseinzadeh M, Hostiuc S, Hu G, Ibitoye SE, Ilesanmi OS, Ilic I, Ilic MD, Inbaraj LR, Indriasih E, Naghibi Irvani SS, Shariful Islam SM, Islam MM, Ivers RQ, Jacobsen KH, Jahani MA, Jahanmehr N, Jakovljevic M, Jalilian F, Jayaraman S, Jayatilleke AU, Jha RP, John-Akinola YO, Jonas JB, Joseph N, Joukar F, Jozwiak JJ, Jungari SB, Jürisson M, Kabir A, Kadel R, Kahsay A, Kalankesh LR, Kalhor R, Kamil TA, Kanchan T, Kapoor N, Karami M, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kavetskyy T, Kebede HK, Keiyoro PN, Kelbore AG, Kelkay B, Khader YS, Khafaie MA, Khalid N, Khalil IA, Khalilov R, Khammarnia M, Khan EA, Khan M, Khanna T, Khazaie H, Shadmani FK, Khundkar R, Kiirithio DN, Kim YE, Kim D, Kim YJ, Kisa A, Kisa S, Komaki H, M Kondlahalli SK, Korshunov VA, Koyanagi A, G Kraemer MU, Krishan K, Bicer BK, Kugbey N, Kumar V, Kumar N, Kumar GA, Kumar M, Kumaresh G, Kurmi OP, Kuti O, Vecchia C, Lami FH, Lamichhane P, Lang JJ, Lansingh VC, Laryea DO, Lasrado S, Latifi A, Lauriola P, Leasher JL, Huey Lee SW, Lenjebo TL, Levi M, Li S, Linn S, Liu X, Lopez AD, Lotufo PA, Lunevicius R, Lyons RA, Madadin M, El Razek MMA, Mahotra NB, Majdan M, Majeed A, Malagon-Rojas JN, Maled V, Malekzadeh R, Malta DC, Manafi N, Manafi A, Manda AL, Manjunatha N, Mansour-Ghanaei F, Mansouri B, Mansournia MA, Maravilla JC, March LM, Mason-Jones AJ, Masoumi SZ, Massenburg BB, Maulik PK, Meles GG, Melese A, Melketsedik ZA, N Memiah PT, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MB, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Meretoja A, Merie HE, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miazgowski T, Miller TR, Mini GK, Mirica A, Mirrakhimov EM, Mirzaei-Alavijeh M, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohamadi E, Mohammad Y, Mohammad KA, Darwesh AM, Gholi Mezerji NM, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammadoo-Khorasani M, Mohammadpourhodki R, Mohammed S, Mohammed JA, Mohebi F, Molokhia M, Monasta L, Moodley Y, Moosazadeh M, Moradi M, Moradi G, Moradi-Lakeh M, Moradpour F, Morawska L, Velásquez IM, Morisaki N, Morrison SD, Mossie TB, Muluneh AG, Murthy S, Musa KI, Mustafa G, Nabhan AF, Nagarajan AJ, Naik G, Naimzada MD, Najafi F, Nangia V, Nascimento BR, Naserbakht M, Nayak V, Ndwandwe DE, Negoi I, Ngunjiri JW, Nguyen CT, Thi Nguyen HL, Nikbakhsh R, Anggraini Ningrum DN, Nnaji CA, Nyasulu PS, Ogbo FA, Oghenetega OB, Oh IH, Okunga EW, Olagunju AT, Olagunju TO, Bali AO, Onwujekwe OE, Asante KO, Orpana HM, Ota E, Otstavnov N, Otstavnov SS, A MP, Padubidri JR, Pakhale S, Pakshir K, Panda-Jonas S, Park EK, Patel SK, Pathak A, Pati S, Patton GC, Paulos K, Peden AE, Filipino Pepito VC, Pereira J, Pham HQ, Phillips MR, Pinheiro M, Polibin RV, Polinder S, Poustchi H, Prakash S, Angga Pribadi DR, Puri P, Syed ZQ, Rabiee M, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rafay A, Rafiee A, Rafiei A, Rahim F, Rahimi S, Rahimi-Movaghar V, Rahman MA, Rajabpour-Sanati A, Rajati F, Rakovac I, Ranganathan K, Rao SJ, Rashedi V, Rastogi P, Rathi P, Rawaf S, Rawal L, Rawassizadeh R, Renjith V, N Renzaho AM, Resnikoff S, Rezapour A, Ribeiro AI, Rickard J, Rios González CM, Ronfani L, Roshandel G, Saad AM, Sabde YD, Sabour S, Saddik B, Safari S, Safari-Faramani R, Safarpour H, Safdarian M, Sajadi SM, Salamati P, Salehi F, Zahabi SS, Rashad Salem MR, Salem H, Salman O, Salz I, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Riera LS, Santric Milicevic MM, Sarker AR, Sarveazad A, Sathian B, Sawhney M, Sawyer SM, Saxena S, Sayyah M, Schwebel DC, Seedat S, Senthilkumaran S, Sepanlou SG, Seyedmousavi S, Sha F, Shaahmadi F, Shahabi S, Shaikh MA, Shams-Beyranvand M, Shamsizadeh M, Sharif-Alhoseini M, Sharifi H, Sheikh A, Shigematsu M, Shin JI, Shiri R, Siabani S, Sigfusdottir ID, Singh PK, Singh JA, Sinha DN, Smarandache CG, R Smith EU, Soheili A, Soleymani B, Soltanian AR, Soriano JB, Sorrie MB, Soyiri IN, Stein DJ, Stokes MA, Sufiyan MB, Rasul Suleria HA, Sykes BL, Tabarés-Seisdedos R, Tabb KM, Taddele BW, Tadesse DB, Tamiru AT, Tarigan IU, Tefera YM, Tehrani-Banihashemi A, Tekle MG, Tekulu GH, Tesema AK, Tesfay BE, Thapar R, Tilahune AB, Tlaye KG, Tohidinik HR, Topor-Madry R, Tran BX, Tran KB, Tripathy JP, Tsai AC, Car LT, Ullah S, Ullah I, Umar M, Unnikrishnan B, Upadhyay E, Uthman OA, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Venketasubramanian N, Violante FS, Vlassov V, Waheed Y, Weldesamuel GT, Werdecker A, Wiangkham T, Wolde HF, Woldeyes DH, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmeneh TG, Wondmieneh AB, Wu AM, Yadav R, Yadollahpour A, Yano Y, Yaya S, Yazdi-Feyzabadi V, Yip P, Yisma E, Yonemoto N, Yoon SJ, Youm Y, Younis MZ, Yousefi Z, Yu Y, Yu C, Yusefzadeh H, Moghadam TZ, Zaidi Z, Zaman SB, Zamani M, Zamanian M, Zandian H, Zarei A, Zare F, Zhang ZJ, Zhang Y, Zodpey S, Dandona L, Dandona R, Degenhardt L, Dharmaratne SD, Hay SI, Mokdad AH, Reiner RC Jr, Sartorius B, and Vos T

Subjects
Humans, Incidence, Life Expectancy, Morbidity, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Global Burden of Disease, Global Health, Wounds and Injuries mortality
Abstract

Background: Past research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries., Methods: We reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)., Findings: In 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505)., Interpretation: Injuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Dr. James reports grants from Sanofi Pasteur, outside the submitted work. Dr. Driscoll reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Ivers reports grants from National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, during the conduct of the study. Dr. Jozwiak reports personal fees from TEVA, personal fees from ALAB, personal fees from BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM, personal fees from SYNEXUS, non-financial support from SERVIER, non-financial support from MICROLIFE, non-financial support from MEDICOVER, outside the submitted work. Dr. Rakovac reports grants from World Health Organization, during the conduct of the study. Dr Shariful Islam is funded by National Heart Foundation of Australia and Institute for Physical Activity and Nutrition, Deakin University. Dr. Sheikh reports grants from Health Data Research UK, outside the submitted work. Dr. Singh reports personal fees from Crealta/Horizon, Medisys, Fidia, UBM LLC, Trio health, Medscape, WebMD, Clinical Care options, Clearview healthcare partners, Putnam associates, Spherix, Practice Point communications, the National Institutes of Health and the American College of Rheumatology, and Speaker’s bureau of Simply Speaking, owns stock options in Amarin pharmaceuticals and Viking pharmaceuticals, serves on the steering committee of OMERACT, an international organization that develops measures for clinical trials and receives arm’s length funding from 12 pharmaceutical companies, serves on the FDA Arthritis Advisory Committee, is a member of the Veterans Affairs Rheumatology Field Advisory Committee, and is the editor and the Director of the UAB Cochrane Musculoskeletal Group Satellite Center on Network Meta-analysis, outside the submitted work. Dr. Stein reports personal fees from Lundbeck, personal fees from Sun, outside the submitted work. Dr. Degenhardt reports grants from Indivior, Seqirus, Reckitt Benckiser, outside the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)

Published
2020
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