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The capabilities of 23 global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 were evaluated for six extreme precipitation indices from 1961 to 2010 using interannual variability and Taylor skill scores in the Yellow River Basin and its eight subregions. The temporal variations and spatial distributions of extreme precipitation indices were projected from 2021 to 2050 under the shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios (SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5). The results show that most GCMs perform well in simulating extreme values (1-day maximum precipitation (RX1day) and 5-day maximum precipitation (RX5day)), duration (consecutive dry days), and intensity index (simple daily intensity index (SDII)), and perform poor in simulating the threshold indices (precipitation on very wet days (R95p) and number of heavy precipitation days (R10mm)). The projected changes in extreme precipitation indicate that under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, future extreme precipitation will increase by 15.7% (RX1day), 15.8% (RX5day), 30.3% (R95p), 1d (R10mm), and 6.6% (SDII), respectively, decrease by 2.1d (CDD). The aforementioned changes are further enhanced under the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Extreme precipitation changes widely in Hekou Town to Longmen, in the northeastern part of the region from Longmen to Sanmenxia, below Huayuankou, and in the interflow basin. HIGHLIGHTS The study evaluated the biases of 23 global climate models (GCMs) from observations and the spatial distribution of the biases.; Interannual variability score, Taylor diagram, and Taylor skill score were used to evaluate CMIP6 GCMs.; The future changes of the Yellow River Basin and its subregions extreme precipitation under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios were projected by using six ETCCDI indices.;

The aim of this study is to evaluate the performance of the Global Climate Model (GCM) of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) in historical simulations of temperature and precipitation. The goal is to select the best performing GCMs for future projection of temperature and precipitation in the Second Songhua River Basin under multiple shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Interannual variability skill (IVS) and Taylor diagrams are used to evaluate the spatiotemporal performance of GCMs against temperature and precipitation data published by the China Meteorological Science Commons during 1956–2016. In addition, five relatively independent models are selected to simulate the temperature and precipitation for 2021–2050 using Hierarchical Clustering. The selected models are CMCC-ESM2, EC-Earth3-Veg-LR, IPSL-CM6A-LR, MIROC-ES2L, and MPI-ESM1-2-HR. The projected results find that SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios show an increasing trend of future annual mean temperature and precipitation. However, for annual precipitation, there is a mixed state of increase and decrease among different models on the seasonal scale. In general, future temperature and precipitation changes still show a trend of growth and uneven distribution in the Second Songhua River Basin, which may be further accelerated by human activities.

This study aims to investigate the critical state of the saddle-shaped unstable region of the axial-flow pump and propose a suitable criterion for identifying this state. The bifurcation SST k–ω model considered the rotation effect is used in the present work and verified in the numerical calculation of a water jet pump. Then, it is used to simulate the critical state of the axial-flow pump. Results show that the leading-edge separation vortex generates at 0.6Qd, while the head declines only at 0.55Qd. Therefore, using the inflection point of the head-flow curve as the critical state criterion is unsuitable. In addition, the fixed monitoring point is unsuitable for identifying the critical state due to the insensitivity to the amplitude, main frequency, and periodicity changes at the critical state. Finally, to identify the critical state, it is essential to arrange a monitoring point at the leading edge of the blade suction near the shroud, which should rotate with the impeller. The critical state criterion is that the main frequency position of the pressure fluctuation signal is offset at the monitoring point, and the amplitude is increased by 10 times.

Abstract: This study aims to research the prediction performance of a bifurcated adaptive DDES (BADDES) model in different turbulent flows with rotation and curvature [...]