6 results on '"Joyce Nyiro"'
Search Results
2. Estimating the cost-effectiveness of maternal vaccination and monoclonal antibodies for respiratory syncytial virus in Kenya and South Africa
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Mihaly Koltai, Jocelyn Moyes, Bryan Nyawanda, Joyce Nyiro, Patrick K. Munywoki, Stefano Tempia, Xiao Li, Marina Antillon, Joke Bilcke, Stefan Flasche, Philippe Beutels, D. James Nokes, Cheryl Cohen, and Mark Jit
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Respiratory syncytial virus ,Cost-effectiveness analysis ,Maternal vaccination ,Monoclonal antibodies ,Disease burden ,Hospital data ,Medicine - Abstract
Abstract Background Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial burden of acute lower respiratory infection in children under 5 years, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Maternal vaccine (MV) and next-generation monoclonal antibody (mAb) candidates have been shown to reduce RSV disease in infants in phase 3 clinical trials. The cost-effectiveness of these biologics has been estimated using disease burden data from global meta-analyses, but these are sensitive to the detailed age breakdown of paediatric RSV disease, for which there have previously been limited data. Methods We use original hospital-based incidence data from South Africa (ZAF) and Kenya (KEN) collected between 2010 and 2018 of RSV-associated acute respiratory infection (ARI), influenza-like illness (ILI), and severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) as well as deaths with monthly age-stratification, supplemented with data on healthcare-seeking behaviour and costs to the healthcare system and households. We estimated the incremental cost per DALY averted (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio or ICER) of public health interventions by MV or mAb for a plausible range of prices (5–50 USD for MV, 10–125 USD for mAb), using an adjusted version of a previously published health economic model of RSV immunisation. Results Our data show higher disease incidence for infants younger than 6 months of age in the case of Kenya and South Africa than suggested by earlier projections from community incidence-based meta-analyses of LMIC data. Since MV and mAb provide protection for these youngest age groups, this leads to a substantially larger reduction of disease burden and, therefore, more favourable cost-effectiveness of both interventions in both countries. Using the latest efficacy data and inferred coverage levels based on antenatal care (ANC-3) coverage (KEN: 61.7%, ZAF: 75.2%), our median estimate of the reduction in RSV-associated deaths in children under 5 years in Kenya is 10.5% (95% CI: 7.9, 13.3) for MV and 13.5% (10.7, 16.4) for mAb, while in South Africa, it is 27.4% (21.6, 32.3) and 37.9% (32.3, 43.0), respectively. Starting from a dose price of 5 USD, in Kenya, net cost (for the healthcare system) per (undiscounted) DALY averted for MV is 179 (126, 267) USD, rising to 1512 (1166, 2070) USD at 30 USD per dose; for mAb, it is 684 (543, 895) USD at 20 USD per dose and 1496 (1203, 1934) USD at 40 USD per dose. In South Africa, a MV at 5 USD per dose would be net cost-saving for the healthcare system and net cost per DALY averted is still below the ZAF’s GDP per capita at 40 USD dose price (median: 2350, 95% CI: 1720, 3346). For mAb in ZAF, net cost per DALY averted is 247 (46, 510) USD at 20 USD per dose, rising to 2028 (1565, 2638) USD at 50 USD per dose and to 6481 (5364, 7959) USD at 125 USD per dose. Conclusions Incorporation of new data indicating the disease burden is highly concentrated in the first 6 months of life in two African settings suggests that interventions against RSV disease may be more cost-effective than previously estimated.
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- 2023
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3. Human rhinovirus spatial-temporal epidemiology in rural coastal Kenya, 2015-2016, observed through outpatient surveillance [version 1; referees: 2 approved]
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John Mwita Morobe, Joyce Nyiro, Samuel Brand, Everlyn Kamau, Elijah Gicheru, Fredrick Eyase, Grieven P. Otieno, Patrick Munywoki, Charles N. Agoti, and James D. Nokes
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Background: Human rhinovirus (HRV) is the predominant cause of upper respiratory tract infections, resulting in a significant public health burden. The virus circulates as many different types (~160), each generating strong homologous, but weak heterotypic, immunity. The influence of these features on transmission patterns of HRV in the community is understudied. Methods: Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from patients with symptoms of acute respiratory infection (ARI) at nine out-patient facilities across a Health and Demographic Surveillance System between December 2015 and November 2016. HRV was diagnosed by real-time RT-PCR, and the VP4/VP2 genomic region of the positive samples sequenced. Phylogenetic analysis was used to determine the HRV types. Classification models and G-test statistic were used to investigate HRV type spatial distribution. Demographic characteristics and clinical features of ARI were also compared. Results: Of 5,744 NPS samples collected, HRV was detected in 1057 (18.4%), of which 817 (77.3%) were successfully sequenced. HRV species A, B and C were identified in 360 (44.1%), 67 (8.2%) and 390 (47.7%) samples, respectively. In total, 87 types were determined: 39, 10 and 38 occurred within species A, B and C, respectively. HRV types presented heterogeneous temporal patterns of persistence. Spatially, identical types occurred over a wide distance at similar times, but there was statistically significant evidence for clustering of types between health facilities in close proximity or linked by major road networks. Conclusion: This study records a high prevalence of HRV in out-patient presentations exhibiting high type diversity. Patterns of occurrence suggest frequent and independent community invasion of different types. Temporal differences of persistence between types may reflect variation in type-specific population immunity. Spatial patterns suggest either rapid spread or multiple invasions of the same type, but evidence of similar types amongst close health facilities, or along road systems, indicate type partitioning structured by local spread.
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- 2018
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4. Symptom prevalence and Secondary Attack Rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Rural Kenyan Households: a prospective cohort study
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Katherine Gallagher, Joyce Nyiro, Charles Agoti, James Nyagwange, Angela Karani, Christian Bottomley, Nickson Murunga, George Githinji, Martin Mutunga, Lynette Ochola-Oyier, Ivy Kombe, Amek Nyaguara, E Wangeci Kagucia, George Warimwe, Ambrose Agweyu, Benjamin Tsofa, Philip Bejon, J Scott, and David Nokes
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Background We estimated the secondary attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 among household contacts of PCR-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in rural Kenya and analysed risk factors for transmission. Methods We enrolled incident PCR-confirmed cases and their household members. At baseline, a questionnaire, a blood sample, and naso-oropharyngeal swabs were collected. Household members were followed 4, 7, 10, 14, 21 and 28 days after the date of the first PCR-positive in the household; naso-oropharyngeal swabs were collected at each visit and used to define secondary cases. Blood samples were collected every 1-2 weeks. Symptoms were collected in a daily symptom diary. We used binomial regression to estimate secondary attack rates and survival analysis to analyze risk factors for transmission. Results A total of 119 households with at least one positive household member were enrolled between October 2020 and September 2022, comprising 503 household members; 226 remained in follow up at day-14 (45%). A total of 43 secondary cases arose within 14 days of identification of the primary case, 81 household members remained negative. The 7-day secondary attack rate was 4% (95%CI 1-10%), the 14-day secondary attack rate was 28% (95%CI 17-40%). Of 38 secondary cases with data, 8 reported symptoms (21%, 95%CI 8-34%). Antibody to SARS-CoV-2 spike protein at enrolment was not associated with risk of becoming a secondary case. Conclusion Households in our setting experienced a lower 7-day attack rate than a recent meta-analysis indicated as the global average (23-43% depending on variant), and infection is mostly asymptomatic in our setting.
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- 2023
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5. Genomic epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 within households in coastal Kenya: a case ascertained cohort study
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Charles N. Agoti, Katherine E. Gallagher, Joyce Nyiro, Arnold W. Lambisia, Nickson Murunga, Khadija Said Mohammed, Leonard Ndwiga, John M. Morobe, Maureen W. Mburu, Edidah M. Ongera, Timothy O. Makori, My V.T. Phan, Matthew Cotten, Lynette Isabella Ochola-Oyier, Simon Dellicour, Philip Bejon, George Githinji, and D. James Nokes
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Analysis of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) genomic sequences from household infections may provide useful epidemiological information for future control measures. Between December 2020 and July 2022, we conducted a case-ascertained household cohort study whereby households were recruited if a member was either a SARS-CoV-2 case or contact of a confirmed case. A total of 765 members of 214 households were prospectively monitored for SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission. Follow-up visits collected a nasopharyngeal/oropharyngeal (NP/OP) swab on days 1, 4 and 7 for RT-PCR diagnosis. If any of these were positive, further swabs were collected on days 10, 14, 21 and 28. Of 2,780 NP/OP swabs collected, 540 (19.4%) tested SARS-CoV-2 positive and viral genome sequences were recovered for 288 (53.3%) positive samples. The genomes belonged to 23 different Pango lineages. Phylogenetic analysis including contemporaneous Coastal Kenya data estimated 233 putative transmission events involving 162 members of the 89 households, of which 60 (25%) were intra-household transmission events while 173 (75%) were infections that likely occurred outside the households. In 34 (38%) households, multiple virus introductions were observed (up to six) within the one-month follow-up period, in contrast to high-income settings, where a single introduction seemed to occur during epidemic waves. Our findings suggests that in this setting control of respiratory virus spread by household member isolation will be ineffective.
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- 2022
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6. Determinants of self-reported hypertension among women in South Africa: evidence from the population-based survey
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Peter Austin Morton Ntenda, Walaa Mamdouh Reyad El-Meidany, Fentanesh Nibret Tiruneh, Mfundi President Sebenele Motsa, Joyce Nyirongo, Gowokani Chijere Chirwa, Arnold Kapachika, and Owen Nkoka
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Hypertension ,Diabetes mellitus ,Hypercholesterolemia ,Self report ,Overweight ,Obesity ,Medicine ,Internal medicine ,RC31-1245 - Abstract
Abstract Background Hypertension (HTN), characterized by an elevation of blood pressure, is a serious public health chronic condition that significantly raises the risks of heart, brain, kidney, and other diseases. In South Africa, the prevalence of HTN (measured objectively) was reported at 46.0% in females, nonetheless little is known regarding the prevalence and risks factors of self-reported HTN among the same population. Therefore, the aim of this study was to examine determinants of self-reported HTN among women in South Africa. Methods The study used data obtained from the 2016 South African Demographic and Health Survey. In total, 6,027 women aged ≥ 20 years were analyzed in this study. Self-reported HTN was defined as a case in which an individual has not been clinically diagnosed with this chronic condition by a medical doctor, nurse, or health worker. Multiple logistic regression models were employed to examine the independent factors of self-reported HTN while considering the complex survey design. Results Overall, self-reported HTN was reported in 23.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 23.1–24.1) of South African women. Being younger (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.04; 95% CI, 0.03–0.06), never married (aOR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.56–0.85), and not covered by health insurance (aOR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.58–0.95) reduced the odds of self-reported HTN. On the other hand, being black/African (aOR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.17–2.54), perception of being overweight (aOR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.40–2.11), and perception of having poor health status (aOR, 3.53; 95% CI, 2.53–5.21) and the presence of other comorbidities (aOR, 7.92; 95% CI, 3.63–17.29) increased the odds of self-reported HTN. Conclusions Self-reported HTN was largely associated with multiple sociodemographic, health, and lifestyle factors and the presence of other chronic conditions. Health promotion and services aiming at reducing the burden of HTN in South Africa should consider the associated factors reported in this study to ensure healthy aging and quality of life among women.
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- 2022
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