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The optimal therapeutic strategy in nucleoside analogue (NA) experienced chronic hepatitis B (CHB) using peginterferon is still unclear; hence we explored a switch to or add-on peginterferon strategy versus continued NA.We conducted a randomized controlled trial of CHB patients on NA12 months with HBV DNA(-) randomized to switch or add-on peginterferon-alpha2b (1.5 μg/kg/weekly) for 48 weeks versus continuing NA (controls) (allocation 2:2:1; Clinicaltrial.gov: NCT01928511) in tertiary Singapore hospitals. The primary composite endpoint at week 72 was hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) loss or quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg)1 log IU/mL reduction, and secondary endpoints were HBsAg loss, HBsAg seroconversion, qHBsAg200 IU/mL, qHBsAg100 IU/mL, HBV DNA(-), viral relapse, and safety. Analysis was by intention-to-treat (ITT).A total of 253 patients (controls 51, switch 103, add-on 99) were randomized. The primary ITT endpoint was achieved in 3.9% of controls, 33.3% of switch, and 26.7% of add-on (P.0001, switch/add-on versus controls). HBsAg loss occurred in 0% of controls, 7.8% of switch, and 10.1% of add-on (ITT, P.001, switch/add-on versus controls). HBeAg(+) patients on peginterferon had higher HBeAg loss than controls but poor HBsAg responses, whereas HBeAg(-) patients on peginterferon achieved better HBsAg responses than controls. Reduction in qHBsAg in HBeAg(+) was 0.14 log IU/mL versus 0.51 log IU/mL in HBeAg(-) (P.0001) in peginterferon-treated patients. Clinical relapse was higher in switch (13.6% overall, 27% in HBeAg(+)) versus 1% add-on and 0% controls. Adverse events were typically interferon-related symptoms, with one death (myocardial infarction unrelated to therapy).ITT analysis showed that either peginterferon strategies were superior to NA for the primary endpoint and HBsAg loss, but add-on peginterferon is preferred to switch due to improved safety and similar efficacy. ClincialTrials.gov number: NCT01928511.

Background and Aim: Risk stratification for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is recommended. However, scoring system accuracy is suboptimal, and score calculation can be complex. Our aim was to develop a new score, the MAP(ASH) score, with information available in the emergency room and to validate it. Methods: The score was built from a prospective database of patients with UGIB and validated in an international database of 3012 patients from six hospitals. Outcomes were 30-day mortality, endoscopic intervention, any intervention (red blood transfusion, endoscopic treatment, interventional radiology, surgery, or death), and rebleeding. Accuracy to predict outcomes was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results: Five hundred forty-seven patients were included in the development cohort. Impaired mental status, albumin 100, American Society of Anesthesiologists score > 2, systolic blood pressure

Background & Aims: Anti-thrombotic agents are risk factors for upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). However, few studies have evaluated their effects on patient outcomes. We assessed the effects of anti-thrombotic agents on outcomes of patients with high-risk UGIB. Methods: We performed a prospective study of 619 patients with acute UGIB (defined by hematemesis, coffee-ground vomit or melena) who required intervention and underwent endoscopy at 8 centers in North America, Asia, and Europe, from March 2014 through March 2015. We collected data recorded on use of anti-thrombotic agents, clinical features, and laboratory test results to calculate AIMS65, Glasgow-Blatchford Score, and full Rockall scores. We also collected and analyzed data on co-morbidities, endoscopic findings, blood transfusion, interventional radiology results, surgeries, length of hospital stay, rebleeding, and mortality. Results: Of the 619 patients who required endoscopic therapy, data on use of anti-thrombotic agents was available for 568; 253 of these patients (44%) used anti-thrombotic agents. Compared to patients not taking anti-thrombotic agents, patients treated with anti-thrombotics were older (P

Background Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is an immune-mediated liver disease of unknown etiology. Increasing incidence of AIH in Asian patients has been reported. However, the phenotypic difference of Asian patients in Europe and Asia has still not been explored. Aim To evaluate the clinical presentation, biochemical and immunological profiles, treatment response and survival outcome of type 1 AIH from two tertiary liver transplant centres (United Kingdom and Singapore). Method Patients who fulfilled the simplified diagnostic scoring criteria of AIH were included in the study. Patients with overlap syndrome were excluded. Results Totals of 40 Asian patients and 159 Caucasian patients from the University Hospital of Birmingham National Health Service Foundation Trust, UK, were compared with 57 Asian patients from Singapore General Hospital, Singapore. Asian patients from Singapore present significantly much later (median 55 vs. 32 years, p

OBJECTIVES: Numerous reviews indicate bloody hematemesis signifies more severe bleeding than coffee-grounds hematemesis. We assessed severity and outcomes related to bleeding symptoms in a prospective study. METHODS: Consecutive patients presenting with hematemesis or melena were categorized as bloody emesis (N =1209), coffee-grounds emesis without bloody emesis (N =701), or melena without hematemesis (N =1069). We assessed bleeding severity (pulse, blood pressure) and predictors of outcome (hemoglobin, risk stratification scores) at presentation, and outcomes of bleeding episodes. The primary outcome was a composite of transfusion, intervention, or mortality. RESULTS: Bloody and coffee-grounds emesis were similar in pulse ≥100 beats/min (35 vs. 37%), systolic blood pressure ≤100 mm Hg (12 vs. 12%), and hemoglobin ≤100 g/l (25 vs. 27%). Risk stratification scores were lower with bloody emesis. The composite end point was 34.7 vs. 38.2% for bloody v. coffee-grounds emesis; mortality was 6.6 vs. 9.3%. Hemostatic intervention was more common (19.4 vs. 14.4%) with bloody emesis (due to a higher frequency of varices necessitating endoscopic therapy), as was rebleeding (7.8 vs. 4.5%). Outcomes were worse with hematemesis plus melena vs. isolated hematemesis for bloody (composite: 62.4 vs. 25.6%; hemostatic intervention: 36.5 vs. 13.8%) and coffee-grounds emesis (composite: 59.1 vs. 27.1%; hemostatic intervention: 26.4 vs. 8.1%). CONCLUSIONS: Bloody emesis is not associated with more severe bleeding episodes at presentation or higher mortality than coffee-grounds emesis, but is associated with modestly higher rates of hemostatic intervention and rebleeding. Outcomes with hematemesis are worsened with concurrent melena. The presence of bloody emesis plus melena potentially could be considered in decisions regarding timing of endoscopy.

Background and Aims We performed a prospective multi-national study of patients presenting to the emergency department with upper GI bleeding (UGIB) and assessed the relationship of time to presentation after onset of UGIB symptoms with patient characteristics and outcomes. Methods Consecutive patients presenting with overt UGIB (red-blood emesis, coffee-ground emesis, and/or melena) from March 2014 to March 2015 at 6 hospitals were included. Multiple predefined patient characteristics and outcomes were collected. Rapid presentation was defined as ≤6 hours. Results Among 2944 patients, 1068 (36%) presented within 6 hours and 576 (20%) beyond 48 hours. Significant independent factors associated with presentation ≤6 hours versus >6 hours on logistic regression included melena (odds ratio [OR], 0.22; 95% CI, 0.18-0.28), hemoglobin ≤80 g/L (OR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.36-0.61), altered mental status (OR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.55-2.73), albumin ≤30 g/L (OR, 1.43; 95% CI, 1.14-1.78), and red-blood emesis (OR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.06-1.59). Patients presenting ≤6 hours versus >6 hours required transfusion less often (286 [27%] vs 791 [42%]; difference, −15%; 95% CI, −19% to −12%) because of a smaller proportion with low hemoglobin levels, but were similar with regard to hemostatic intervention (189 [18%] vs 371 [20%]), 30-day mortality (80 [7%] vs 121 [6%]), and hospital days (5.0 ± 0.2 vs 5.0 ± 0.2). Conclusions Patients with melena alone delay their presentation to the hospital. A delayed presentation is associated with a decreased hemoglobin level and increases the likelihood of transfusion. Other outcomes are similar with rapid versus delayed presentation. Time to presentation should not be used as an indicator for poor outcome. Patients with delayed presentation should be managed with the same degree of care as those with rapid presentation.

Introduction: Out of hours admissions have higher mortality for many conditions but upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage studies have produced variable outcomes.Methods: Prospective study of 12 months consecutive admissions of upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage from four international high volume centres. Admission period (weekdays, weeknights or weekends), demographics, haemodynamic parameters, laboratory results, endoscopy findings, further procedures and 30-day mortality were recorded. Five upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage risk scores were calculated.Results: 2118 patients, 60% male, median age 66 years were studied. Compared with patients presenting on weekdays, patients presenting at weekends had no significant differences in comorbidity, pulse, systolic BP, risk scores, frequency of peptic ulcers or varices. Those presenting on weekdays had lower haemoglobin ( p = 0.007) and were more likely to have a normal endoscopy ( p Conclusion: This multi-centre international study in large centres found no difference in demographics, comorbidity or haemodynamic stability and no increase in mortality for patients presenting with upper gastrointestinal haemorrhage out of hours.

Colorectal cancer, which is the leading cancer in Singapore, can be prevented by increased use of screening and polypectomy. A range of screening strategies such as stool-based tests, flexible sigmoidoscopy, colonoscopy and computed tomography colonography are available, each with different strengths and limitations. Primary care physicians should discuss appropriate screening modalities with their patients, tailored to their individual needs. Physicians, patients and the government should work in partnership to improve uptake of colorectal cancer screening to reduce the morbidity and mortality from colorectal cancer.

The International Bleeding Risk Score: A New Risk Score that can Accurately Predict Mortality in Patients with Upper GI-Bleeding.

The etiology of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) likely involves a complex interaction of genetic and environmental factors. We aim to investigate the associations between exposure to putative environmental factors and AIH and to quantify AIH risk in a first-degree relative. We conducted a population-based case-control study. Cases were AIH patients who were alive and resided in Canterbury, New Zealand, between 1 July 2011 and 30 June 2012. Controls were randomly selected from the Electoral Roll and were matched 2:1 to each case by age and gender. Self-reporting questionnaires that cover lifestyle factors, childhood factors and family history were used. 72 AIH cases and 144 controls were included. We found that exposure to antibiotics within 12 months prior to AIH diagnosis (OR 12.98, 95 % CI 2.49–67.67, p

Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) can lead to cirrhosis, hepatic failure, and death. We aimed to identify predictors of advanced liver fibrosis at presentation, predictors of incomplete response to initial immunosuppression, and predictors of poor liver-related outcomes in the population-based AIH cohort from Canterbury, New Zealand. Cases diagnosed after 1980 that fulfilled standard diagnostic criteria were included. Cases were censored at death or liver transplantation and had a median follow-up of 9 years. Analyses were performed with Cox proportional hazards regression and logistic binary regression. The times to event outcomes were summarized using Kaplan-Meier curves. A total of 133 AIH patients were included. Predictors for advanced liver fibrosis at diagnosis were age at presentation of ≤20 years or60 years (P = 0.02), serum albumin36 g/L (P0.01), platelet150 U/L (P0.01), and International Normalized Ratio (INR)1.2 (P0.01). The only independent predictor for incomplete normalization of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) at 6 months was age at presentation ≤20 years. Independent predictors of poor liver-related outcomes were incomplete normalization of ALT at 6 months (P0.01), serum albumin36 g/L (P0.01), and age at presentation of ≤20 years or60 years (P = 0.01). Kaplan-Meier estimates showed that 10-year adverse liver event-free survival was 80% for age at presentation ≤20 years and60 years, and 93% and 100% for age at presentation between 21-40 years and 41-60 years, respectively.Incomplete normalization of ALT at 6 months, low serum albumin concentration at diagnosis, and age at presentation of ≤20 years or60 years were significant independent predictors of liver-related death or requirement for liver transplantation. Histological cirrhosis at diagnosis was not associated with poor prognosis and did not influence the response to initial immunosuppressive treatment. (HEPATOLOGY 2013;57:2399-2406).

The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing rapidly with the obesity and diabetes mellitus epidemics. It is rapidly becoming the most common cause of liver disease worldwide. NAFLD can progress to serious complications such as cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and death. Therefore, it is important to recognise this condition so that early intervention can be implemented. Lifestyle modifications and strict control of metabolic risk factors are the mainstay of treatment. As disease progression is slow in the majority of NAFLD patients, most can be managed well by primary care physicians. NAFLD patients with advanced liver fibrosis should be referred to specialist care for further assessment.

Background & Aims Little is known about the exact etiology of primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC); epidemiologic data are scarce. We performed a population-based epidemiologic study of PSC in Canterbury, New Zealand. Methods By using multiple case-finding methods, we searched public and private adult and pediatric outpatient clinics, hospital discharge summaries, and radiology and pathology reports to identify all cases of PSC in the region. Cases were included if PSC was identified by endoscopic retrograde cholangiography, magnetic resonance cholangiography, or liver biopsy analysis (n = 79). Results The incidence of PSC in 2008 was 1.6 per 100,000 persons (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5–2.7). The point prevalence on December 31, 2008, was 11.7 per 100,000 persons (95% CI, 8.7–14.8). The mean and median ages at diagnosis were 50 years (95% CI, 46–53 years) and 49 years (range, 17–80 years), respectively. Patients who had inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) presented with PSC earlier than those without IBD ( P = .003), were more likely to develop serious malignant complications ( P = .017), and were more likely to require liver transplantation or die ( P = .03). Conclusions In a population-based epidemiology study of PSC in Canterbury, New Zealand, we observed large differences between PSC patients with or without concurrent IBD in age at diagnosis, development of cancer, mortality, and requirement for liver transplantation. IBD therefore affects outcomes of patients with PSC, an important observation that requires further study.

Background and Aim: The etiology of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is unknown, and limited epidemiological data are available. Our aim was to perform a population based epidemiological study of AIH in Canterbury, New Zealand. Methods: To calculate point prevalence, all adult and pediatric outpatient clinics and hospital discharge summaries were searched to identify all cases of AIH in the Canterbury region. Incident cases were recruited prospectively in 2008. Demographic and clinical data were extracted from case notes. Both the original revised AIH criteria and the simplified criteria were applied and cases were included in the study if they had definite or probable AIH. Results: When the original revised criteria were used, 138 cases (123 definite and 14 probable AIH), were identified. Prospective incidence in 2008 was 2.0/100 000 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.8–3.3/100 000). Point prevalence on 31 December 2008 was 24.5/100 000 (95% CI 20.1–28.9). Age-standardized (World Health Organization standard population) incidence and prevalence were 1.7 and 18.9 per 100 000, respectively. Gender-specific prevalence confirmed a female predominance, while ethnicity-specific prevalence showed higher prevalence in Caucasians. 72% of cases presented after 40 years of age and the peak age of presentation was in the sixth decade of life. Conclusions: This is the first and largest population-based epidemiology study of AIH in a geographically defined region using standardized inclusion criteria. The observed incidence and prevalence rates are among the highest reported. The present study confirms that AIH presents predominantly in older women, with a peak in the sixth decade, contrary to the classical description of the disease.

Objective: To compare the predictive accuracy and clinical utility of five risk scoring systems in the assessment of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding.\ud \ud Design: International multicentre prospective study.\ud \ud Setting: Six large hospitals in Europe, North America, Asia, and Oceania.\ud \ud Participants: 3012 consecutive patients presenting over 12 months with upper gastrointestinal bleeding.\ud \ud Main outcome measures: Comparison of pre-endoscopy scores (admission Rockall, AIMS65, and Glasgow Blatchford) and post-endoscopy scores (full Rockall and PNED) for their ability to predict predefined clinical endpoints: a composite endpoint (transfusion, endoscopic treatment, interventional radiology, surgery, or 30 day mortality), endoscopic treatment, 30 day mortality, rebleeding, and length of hospital stay. Optimum score thresholds to identify low risk and high risk patients were determined.\ud \ud Results: The Glasgow Blatchford score was best (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.86) at predicting intervention or death compared with the full Rockall score (0.70), PNED score (0.69), admission Rockall score (0.66, and AIMS65 score (0.68) (all P

Purpose The precise etiology of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) remains unknown, although a number of genetic loci have been implicated in the susceptibility of type 1 AIH. The purpose of this study was to test for association of these loci with type 1 AIH in New Zealand Caucasians. Methods 77 AIH patients and 485 healthy controls were genotyped for the SNPs rs2187668 (HLA-DRB*03:01), rs660895 (HLA-DRB*04:01), rs3749971 (HLA-A1-B8-DR3), rs231775 (CLTLA4), rs1800629 (TNF), and rs1800682 (FAS) using predesigned TaqMan SNP genotyping assays. Chi square analysis was used to test for association of allele and genotype with overall AIH, and with severe fibrosis and ALT levels at 6 months. Results Significant risk of AIH was conferred by the minor alleles of rs2187668 (OR = 2.45, 95% CI 1.65-3.61, p FAS SNP rs1800682 was associated with increased risk of severe fibrosis at diagnosis (OR = 2.03, 95% CI 1.05-3.93, p = 0.035) and with incomplete normalization of ALT levels at 6 months post-diagnosis (OR = 3.94, 95% CI 1.62-9.54, p = 0.0015). Conclusions This is the first population-based study to investigate genetic risk loci for type 1 AIH in New Zealand Caucasians. We report significant independent association of HLA-DRB1*03:01 with overall susceptibility to type 1 AIH, as well as FAS with a more aggressive disease phenotype.

Transient elastography (TE) is a reliable tool for the non-invasive assessment of liver fibrosis in routine clinical practice. TE is currently approved for use in Europe, Asia and the United States. The widespread adoption of this technology is certain to increase the use of TE worldwide. Although TE has been well validated in chronic viral hepatitis, its clinical role in other liver diseases remains less clear. The advent of new treatment for chronic hepatitis C and emerging prevalence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis raises new questions on the role of TE in current clinical practice. This review aims to examine the clinical applications, limitations and future role of TE in current clinical practice in light of the changing epidemiology of liver diseases and new clinical management paradigms. In current clinical practice, TE is the most accurate non-invasive method for diagnosis of liver cirrhosis. TE is useful to rule out fibrosis and cirrhosis but does not have sufficient accuracy to discern between various stages of fibrosis. The clinical role of TE has evolved from cross-sectional point-in-time assessment of fibrosis and cirrhosis to the more relevant role of prediction of vital clinical end-points. This provides clinicians with the ability to modify treatment strategies based on the information provided by TE. TE has evolved over the past decade to become an essential tool to assist the clinician in the management of chronic liver disease.

Population-based quantitative data on the mortality and cancer incidence of autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC), and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are scarce. Our aim was to systematically investigate the survival and risk of malignancy on population-based cohorts of AIH, PBC, and PSC in Canterbury, New Zealand. Multiple case-finding methods were employed, including searches of all public and private, adult and pediatric outpatient clinics, hospital notes, laboratory, radiology, and pathology reports. Cases that fulfilled standardized diagnostic criteria were included. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, standardized mortality ratios (SMR), and standard incidence ratios (SIR) for malignancy were calculated. A total of 130 AIH, 70 PBC, and 81 PSC patients were included contributing to 1,156, 625, and 613 person-years at risk, respectively. For AIH, PBC, and PSC cohorts, SMRs for all-cause mortality were 2.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-3.1), 2.7 (95% CI 1.7-4.0), and 4.1 (95% CI 2.6-6.3), SMRs for hepatobiliary mortality were 42.3 (95% CI 20.3-77.9), 71.2 (95% CI 30.7-140.3), and 116.9 (95% CI 66.8-189.8), SIRs for all cancers were 3.0 (95% CI 2.0-4.3), 1.6 (95% CI 0.8-2.9), and 5.2 (95% CI 3.3-7.8), and SIRs for extrahepatic malignancy were 2.7 (95% CI 1.8-3.9), 1.6 (95% CI 0.8-2.9), and 3.0 (95% CI 1.6-5.1), respectively. Conclusion: This is the first population-based study to examine and compare the survival and cancer incidence in AIH, PBC, and PSC in the same population. The mortality for all three cohorts was significantly increased due to liver-related death, demonstrating the inadequacy of current management strategies. The risk of hepatic and extrahepatic malignancy was significantly increased in AIH and PSC patients. (HEPATOLOGY 2012)

Epidemiological data on primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) in the Southern Hemisphere is scarce. Our aim was to perform a population-based epidemiological study of PBC in Canterbury, New Zealand. Multiple case-finding methods were employed. All public and private, adult and pediatric outpatient clinics, hospital discharge summaries, and laboratory and pathology reports were searched to identify all cases in the region. Cases were included if at least two of the following criteria were fulfilled: (1) positive anti-mitochondrial antibodies, (2) elevated alkaline phosphatase for greater than 6 months, and (3) compatible liver histology. A total of 71 cases of PBC were included. The incidence in 2008 was 0.8 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1–1.6) per 100,000. The point prevalence on December 31, 2008 was 9.9 (95% CI 7.1–12.7) per 100,000. Male to female ratio was 1:11. At presentation, 45% were asymptomatic. Age at diagnosis peaked at the seventh decade with mean age at diagnosis of 61 (95% CI 58–64). This is the first population-based epidemiological study of PBC conducted in New Zealand and only the second in the Southern Hemisphere. The incidence and prevalence are lower than the Northern Hemisphere, even though the majority of our population has shared genetic background with some of these countries. Our study has provided further support to the hypothesis that there may be a protective effect or lack of a risk factor for PBC in New Zealand.

Dear Editor, We read with interest the paper by Halliday et al.1 describing the characteristics of patients with concomitant primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and Crohn's disease (CD). In this article, patients with PSC/CD were as likely to be female as male, more commonly had small duct PSC and had much better prognosis when compared to patients with PSC and ulcerative colitis (UC). Based on the Kaplan–Meier survival plot, their PSC/UC …