1. Macro-environment oscillation notably up risk of water quality degradation: A case study in Shanxi Reservoir, China
- Author
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Wangwei Cai, Jihong Xia, Zewen Liu, Jiayi Zu, Shuyi Ji, Yue Wang, and Qihua Wang
- Subjects
Macro-environment Index ,Water Quality Index ,Reservoir ,Bayesian ,Ecology ,QH540-549.5 - Abstract
Water quality deterioration in reservoirs threats human drinking water safety. It can be influenced by the macro-processes of meteorology, hydrology, and pollution. However, the mechanism of macro-environment affect water quality risk still is unclear. Water quality is a complex system which should be able to adapt to small fluctuation of macro-environment, but turn into deterioration under significant macro-environment oscillation. Shanxi Reservoir in Zhejiang, China, a large reservoir with a total storage capacity of 1.82 billion m3 was used as the study area to test this hypothesis. Monthly macro-environment data from 2014 to 2022 (sample size = 108), including 10 factors of meteorology, hydrology, and pollution, was used to create a Macro-Environment Index (MEI) by Principal Component Analysis. And the water quality data (sample size = 2914) was used to develop a Water Quality Index (WQI) based on Mahalanobis Distance. Bayes methods were used to analyze the relationship between monthly MEI changes (|ΔMEI|) and WQI variations (ΔWQI). Results showed that macro-environment change weakly (|ΔMEI| 0), significantly increasing (P
- Published
- 2025
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