1. Development and validation of a predictive model for severe white matter hyperintensity with obesity
- Author
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Fu Chen, Lin-hao Cao, Fei-yue Ma, Li-li Zeng, and Ji-rong He
- Subjects
white matter hyperintensity ,obesity ,prediction models ,uric acid ,complement C3 ,interleukin 8 ,Neurosciences. Biological psychiatry. Neuropsychiatry ,RC321-571 - Abstract
PurposeThe purpose of the present study was to identify predictors of severe white matter hyperintensity (WMH) with obesity (SWO), and to build a prediction model for screening obese people with severe WMH without Nuclear Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) examination.Patients subjects and methodsFrom September 2020 to October 2021, 650 patients with WMH were recruited consecutively. The subjects were divided into two groups, SWO group and non-SWO group. Univariate and Logistic regression analysis were was applied to explore the potential predictors of SWO. The Youden index method was adopted to determine the best cut-off value in the establishment of the prediction model of SWO. Each parameter had two options, low and high. The score table of the prediction model and nomogram based on the logistic regression were constructed. Of the 650 subjects, 487 subjects (75%) were randomly assigned to the training group and 163 subjects (25%) to the validation group. By resampling the area under the curve (AUC) of the subject’s operating characteristics and calibration curves 1,000 times, nomogram performance was verified. A decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the nomogram’s clinical usefulness. By resampling the area under the curve (AUC) of the subject’s operating characteristics and calibration curves 1,000 times, nomogram performance was verified. A decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the nomogram’s clinical usefulness.ResultsLogistic regression demonstrated that hypertension, uric acid (UA), complement 3 (C3) and Interleukin 8 (IL-8) were independent risk factors for SWO. Hypertension, UA, C3, IL-8, folic acid (FA), fasting C-peptide (FCP) and eosinophil could be used to predict the occurrence of SWO in the prediction models, with a good diagnostic performance, Areas Under Curves (AUC) of Total score was 0.823 (95% CI: 0.760–0.885, p
- Published
- 2024
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