1. SARS-CoV-2 Genome-Based Severity Predictions Correspond to Lower qPCR Values and Higher Viral Load
- Author
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Martin Skarzynski, Erin M. McAuley, Ezekiel J. Maier, Anthony C. Fries, Jameson D. Voss, and Richard R. Chapleau
- Subjects
Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
The 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has demonstrated the importance of predicting, identifying, and tracking mutations throughout a pandemic event. As the COVID-19 global pandemic surpassed one year, several variants had emerged resulting in increased severity and transmissibility. Here, we used PCR as a surrogate for viral load and consequent severity to evaluate the real-world capabilities of a genome-based clinical severity predictive algorithm. Using a previously published algorithm, we compared the viral genome-based severity predictions to clinically derived PCR-based viral load of 716 viral genomes. For those samples predicted to be “severe” (probability of severe illness >0.5), we observed an average cycle threshold (Ct) of 18.3, whereas those in in the “mild” category (severity probability
- Published
- 2022
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