1. Development and validation of an AI-enabled digital breast cancer assay to predict early-stage breast cancer recurrence within 6 years
- Author
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Gerardo Fernandez, Marcel Prastawa, Abishek Sainath Madduri, Richard Scott, Bahram Marami, Nina Shpalensky, Krystal Cascetta, Mary Sawyer, Monica Chan, Giovanni Koll, Alexander Shtabsky, Aaron Feliz, Thomas Hansen, Brandon Veremis, Carlos Cordon-Cardo, Jack Zeineh, and Michael J. Donovan
- Subjects
Breast cancer ,Prognostic grade ,Artificial intelligent image analysis ,Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens ,RC254-282 - Abstract
Abstract Background Breast cancer (BC) grading plays a critical role in patient management despite the considerable inter- and intra-observer variability, highlighting the need for decision support tools to improve reproducibility and prognostic accuracy for use in clinical practice. The objective was to evaluate the ability of a digital artificial intelligence (AI) assay (PDxBr) to enrich BC grading and improve risk categorization for predicting recurrence. Methods In our population-based longitudinal clinical development and validation study, we enrolled 2075 patients from Mount Sinai Hospital with infiltrating ductal carcinoma of the breast. With 3:1 balanced training and validation cohorts, patients were retrospectively followed for a median of 6 years. The main outcome was to validate an automated BC phenotyping system combined with clinical features to produce a binomial risk score predicting BC recurrence at diagnosis. Results The PDxBr training model (n = 1559 patients) had a C-index of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.76–0.81) versus clinical 0.71 (95% CI, 0.67–0.74) and image feature models 0.72 (95% CI, 0.70–0.74). A risk score of 58 (scale 0–100) stratified patients as low or high risk, hazard ratio (HR) 5.5 (95% CI 4.19–7.2, p
- Published
- 2022
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