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For most health or well-being interventions, the process of evaluation is distinct from the activity itself, both in terms of who is involved, and how the actual data is collected and analyzed. Tangible interaction affords the opportunity to combine direct and embodied collaboration with a holistic approach to data collection and evaluation. We demonstrate this potential by describing our experiences designing and using the Communal Loom, an artifact for art therapy that translates quantitative data to collectively woven artifacts., Comment: Presented at CHI 2022 Tangible Interaction for Supporting Well-being Workshop

Virtual Reality (VR) is increasingly used in neuropsychological assessments due to its ability to simulate real-world environments. This study aimed to develop and evaluate the Trail Making Test in VR (TMT-VR) and investigate the effects of different interaction modes and gaming skills on cognitive performance. A total of 71 young female and male adults (aged 18-35) with high and low gaming skills participated in this study. Participants completed the TMT-VR using three interaction modes as follows: eye tracking, head movement, and controller. Performance metrics included task completion time and accuracy. User experience, usability, and acceptability of TMT-VR were also examined. Results showed that both eye tracking and head movement modes significantly outperformed the controller in terms of task completion time and accuracy. No significant differences were found between eye tracking and head movement modes. Gaming skills did not significantly influence task performance using any interaction mode. The TMT-VR demonstrates high usability, acceptability, and user experience among participants. The findings suggest that VR-based assessments can effectively measure cognitive performance without being influenced by prior gaming skills, indicating potential applicability for diverse populations., Comment: 25 Pages, 7 Figures, 4 Tables

We generalize the non-negative matrix factorization algorithm of Lee and Seung to accept a weighted norm, and to support ridge and Lasso regularization. We recast the Lee and Seung multiplicative update as an additive update which does not get stuck on zero values. We apply the companion R package rnnmf to the problem of finding a reduced rank representation of a database of cocktails., Comment: 6 figures

This study investigates the emerging phenomenon of "ghost hiring" or "ghost jobs", where employers advertise job openings without intending to fill them. Using a novel dataset from Glassdoor and employing a LLM-BERT technique, I find that up to 21% of job ads may be ghost jobs, and this is particularly prevalent in specialized industries and in larger firms. The trend could be due to the low marginal cost of posting additional job ads and to maintain a pipeline of talents. After adjusting for yearly trends, I find that ghost jobs can explain the recent disconnect in the Beveridge Curve in the past fifteen years. The results show that policy-makers should be aware of such a practice as it causes significant job fatigue and distorts market signals., Comment: 17 pages main text

Social media platforms have evolved rapidly in modernity without strong regulation. One clear obstacle faced by current users is that of toxicity. Toxicity on social media manifests through a number of forms, including harassment, negativity, misinformation or other means of divisiveness. In this paper, we characterize literature surrounding toxicity, formalize a definition of toxicity, propose a novel cycle of internet extremism, list current approaches to toxicity detection, outline future directions to minimize toxicity in future social media endeavors, and identify current gaps in research space. We present a novel perspective of the negative impacts of social media platforms and fill a gap in literature to help improve the future of social media platforms., Comment: 12 pages, 2 figures, 2 tables, Cycle of Internet Extremism

Network analysis is increasingly important across various fields, including the fragrance industry, where perfumes are represented as nodes and shared user preferences as edges in perfume networks. Community detection can uncover clusters of similar perfumes, providing insights into consumer preferences, enhancing recommendation systems, and informing targeted marketing strategies. This study aims to apply community detection techniques to group perfumes favored by users into relevant clusters for better recommendations. We constructed a bipartite network from user reviews on the Persian retail platform "Atrafshan," with nodes representing users and perfumes, and edges formed by positive comments. This network was transformed into a Perfume Co-Preference Network, connecting perfumes liked by the same users. By applying community detection algorithms, we identified clusters based on shared preferences, enhancing our understanding of user sentiment in the fragrance market. To improve sentiment analysis, we integrated emojis and a user voting system for greater accuracy. Emojis, aligned with their Persian counterparts, captured the emotional tone of reviews, while user ratings for scent, longevity, and sillage refined sentiment classification. Edge weights were adjusted by combining adjacency values with user ratings in a 60:40 ratio, reflecting both connection strength and user preferences. These enhancements led to improved modularity of detected communities, resulting in more accurate perfume groupings. This research pioneers the use of community detection in perfume networks, offering new insights into consumer preferences. Our advancements in sentiment analysis and edge weight refinement provide actionable insights for optimizing product recommendations and marketing strategies in the fragrance industry.

As humans venture deeper into space, the need for a lunar settlement, housing the first group of settlers, grows steadily. By means of new technologies such as in situ resource utilisation (ISRU) as well as computational design, this goal can be implemented in present years. Providing the first arrivals with an immediate underground habitat safe from radiation and other environmental constraints is of crucial importance to initialise a prolonged mission on the Moon. The project's proposal revolves around the idea of establishing a base which provides an immediately habitable space with the possibility for future expansion. Advanced construction methods and sustainable practices lay the groundwork for a permanent human presence, predominantly based on ISRU. This paper outlines a two-phase initiative aimed at the foundation of the Lunar Subterra, followed by an extension of the habitat above ground. Following our collaboration with the PoliSpace Sparc Student Association group, a Virtual Reality (VR) reproduction of the proposed habitat enabled quick iterative testing of the habitable space with the use of a Meta Quest 2 headset. This not only allowed an evaluation of the environment and its impact on human residents but also eradicated the need for tangible models to conceptualise the idea, enabling rapid user-centred design and implementation in the future of space exploration., Comment: 75th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Milan, Italy, 14-18 October 2024

Can neural networks be applied in voting theory, while satisfying the need for transparency in collective decisions? We propose axiomatic deep voting: a framework to build and evaluate neural networks that aggregate preferences, using the well-established axiomatic method of voting theory. Our findings are: (1) Neural networks, despite being highly accurate, often fail to align with the core axioms of voting rules, revealing a disconnect between mimicking outcomes and reasoning. (2) Training with axiom-specific data does not enhance alignment with those axioms. (3) By solely optimizing axiom satisfaction, neural networks can synthesize new voting rules that often surpass and substantially differ from existing ones. This offers insights for both fields: For AI, important concepts like bias and value-alignment are studied in a mathematically rigorous way; for voting theory, new areas of the space of voting rules are explored., Comment: 15 pages, 8 figures, 7 tables

Recent technological advancements have significantly impacted the public sector's service delivery. Romanian city halls are embracing digitalization as part of their development strategies, aiming to deploy web-based platforms for public services, enhancing efficiency and accessibility for citizens. The COVID-19 pandemic has expedited this digital shift, prompting public institutions to transition from in-person to online services. This study assesses the adaptability of Romanian city halls to digitalization, offering fresh insights into public institutions' resilience amidst technological shifts. It evaluates the service provision through the official web portals of Romania's 103 municipalities, using 23 indicators for measuring e-service dissemination within local contexts. The research reveals notable progress in the digital transformation of services over time (2014-2023), with a majority of municipalities offering online functionalities, such as property tax payments, public transportation information, and civil status documentation. It also discovers disparities in service quality and availability, suggesting a need for uniform digitalization standards. The findings enlighten policymakers, assist public institutions in advancing digital service delivery, and contribute to research on technology in public sector reform., Comment: 11 pages

The use of eXtended Reality (XR) technologies in the space domain has increased significantly over the past few years as it can offer many advantages when simulating complex and challenging environments. Space agencies are currently using these disruptive tools to train astronauts for Extravehicular Activities (EVAs), to test equipment and procedures, and to assess spacecraft and hardware designs. With the Moon being the current focus of the next generation of space exploration missions, simulating its harsh environment is one of the key areas where XR can be applied, particularly for astronaut training. Peculiar lunar lighting conditions in combination with reduced gravity levels will highly impact human locomotion especially for movements such as walking, jumping, and running. In order to execute operations on the lunar surface and to safely live on the Moon for an extended period of time, innovative training methodologies and tools such as XR are becoming paramount to perform pre-mission validation and certification. This research work presents the findings of the experiments aimed at exploring the integration of XR technology and parabolic flight activities for astronaut training. In addition, the study aims to consolidate these findings into a set of guidelines that can assist future researchers who wish to incorporate XR technology into lunar training and preparation activities, including the use of such XR tools during long duration missions., Comment: 75th International Astronautical Congress (IAC), Milan, Italy, 14-18 October 2024

As the global food system faces increasing challenges from sustainability, climate change, and food security issues, alternative food networks like Community-Supported Agriculture (CSA) play an essential role in fostering stronger connections between consumers and producers. However, understanding consumer engagement with CSA is fragmented, particularly in Japan where CSA participation is still emerging. This study aims to identify potential CSA participants in Japan and validate existing theories on CSA participation through a quantitative analysis of 2,484 Japanese consumers. Using choice experiments, Latent Class Analysis, and Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling, we identified five distinct consumer segments. The "Sustainable Food Seekers" group showed the highest positive utility for CSA, driven primarily by "Food Education and Learning Opportunities" and "Contribution to Environmental and Social Issues." These factors were consistently significant across all segments, suggesting that many Japanese consumers value CSA for its educational and environmental benefits. In contrast, factors related to "Variety of Ingredients" were less influential in determining participation intentions. The findings suggest that promoting CSA in Japan may be most effective by emphasizing its role in environmental and social impact, rather than focusing solely on product attributes like organic certification, which is readily available in supermarkets. This reflects a key distinction between CSA adoption in Japan and in other cultural contexts, where access to organic produce is a primary driver. For "Sustainable Food Seekers," CSA offers a way to contribute to broader societal goals rather than just securing organic products., Comment: 29 pages, 5 figures

Recent advancements in generative AI, exemplified by ChatGPT, have dramatically transformed how people access information. Despite its powerful capabilities, the benefits it provides may not be equally distributed among individuals - a phenomenon referred to as the digital divide. Building upon prior literature, we propose two forms of digital divide in the generative AI adoption process: (i) the learning divide, capturing individuals' heterogeneous abilities to update their perceived utility of ChatGPT; and (ii) the utility divide, representing differences in individuals' actual utility derived from per use of ChatGPT. To evaluate these two divides, we develop a Bayesian learning model that incorporates demographic heterogeneities in both the utility and signal functions. Leveraging a six-month clickstream dataset, we estimate the model and find significant learning and utility divides across various demographic attributes. Interestingly, lower-educated and non-white individuals derive higher utility gains from ChatGPT but learn about its utility at a slower rate. Furthermore, males, younger individuals, and those with an IT background not only derive higher utility per use from ChatGPT but also learn about its utility more rapidly. Besides, we document a phenomenon termed the belief trap, wherein users underestimate ChatGPT's utility, opt not to use the tool, and consequently lack new experiences to update their perceptions, leading to continued underutilization. Our simulation further demonstrates that the learning divide can significantly affect the probability of falling into the belief trap, another form of the digital divide in adoption outcomes (i.e., outcome divide); however, offering training programs can alleviate the belief trap and mitigate the divide., Comment: 43 pages, 3 figures, 6 tables

This study investigates the emergence of collective identity among individuals critical of vaccination policies in France during the COVID-19 pandemic. As concerns grew over mandated health measures, a loose collective formed on Twitter to assert autonomy over vaccination decisions. Using analyses of pronoun usage, outgroup labeling, and tweet similarity, we examine how this identity emerged. A turning point occurred following President Macron's announcement of mandatory vaccination for health workers and the health pass, sparking substantial changes in linguistic patterns. We observed a shift from first-person singular (I) to first-person plural (we) pronouns, alongside an increased focus on vaccinated individuals as a central outgroup, in addition to authority figures. This shift in language patterns was further reflected in the behavior of new users. An analysis of incoming users revealed that a core group of frequent posters played a crucial role in fostering cohesion and shaping norms. New users who joined during the week of Macron's announcement and continued posting afterward showed an increased similarity with the language of the core group, contributing to the crystallization of the emerging collective identity., Comment: 12 pages, 7 figures

Gender-affirming voice training is critical for the transition process for many transgender individuals, enabling their voice to align with their gender identity. Individualized voice goals guide and motivate the voice training journey, but existing voice training technologies fail to define clear goals. We interviewed six voice experts and ten transgender individuals with voice training experience (voice trainees), focusing on how they defined, triangulated, and used voice goals. We found that goal voice exploration involves navigation between approximate and clear goals, and continuous reevaluation throughout the voice training journey. Our study reveals how voice examples, character descriptions, and voice modification and training technologies inform goal exploration, and identifies risks of overemphasizing goals. We identified technological implications informed by the separation of voice goals and targets, and provide a framework for a voice-changer-based goal exploration tool based on brainstorming with trainees and experts., Comment: 17 pages, 0 figures, 2 tables (main text), 2 tables (appendix)

The paper focuses on the link between information, investors' expectations and market price movement. EUR/USD market is examined from communication-theoretical perspective on the dynamics of information and meaning. We build upon the quantitative theory of meaning as a complement to the quantitative theory of information. Different groups of investors entertain different criteria to process information, so that the same information can be supplied with different meanings. Meanings shape investors' expectations which are revealed in market asset price movement. This dynamics can be captured by non-linear evolutionary equation. We use a computationally efficient technique of logistic Continuous Wavelet Transformation (CWT) to analyze EUR/USD market. The results reveal the latent EUR/USD trend structure which coincides with the model predicted time series indicating that proposed model can adequately describe some patterns of investors' behavior. Proposed methodology can be used to better understand and forecast future market assets' price movement.

Classical finance models are based on the premise that investors act rationally and utilize all available information when making portfolio decisions. However, these models often fail to capture the anomalies observed in intertemporal choices and decision-making under uncertainty, particularly when accounting for individual differences in preferences and consumption patterns. Such limitations hinder traditional finance theory's ability to address key questions like: How do personal preferences shape investment choices? What drives investor behaviour? And how do individuals select their portfolios? One prominent contribution is Pompian's model of four Behavioral Investor Types (BITs), which links behavioural finance studies with Keirsey's temperament theory, highlighting the role of personality in financial decision-making. Yet, traditional parametric models struggle to capture how these distinct temperaments influence intertemporal decisions, such as how individuals evaluate trade-offs between present and future outcomes. To address this gap, the present study employs Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to specifically investigate temporal discounting behaviours revealing nuanced patterns in how different temperaments perceive and manage uncertainty over time. Our findings show heterogeneity within each temperament, suggesting that investor profiles are far more diverse than previously thought. This refined classification provides deeper insights into the role of temperament in shaping intertemporal financial decisions, offering practical implications for financial advisors to better tailor strategies to individual risk preferences and decision-making styles.

One-to-one tutoring is one of the most efficient methods of teaching. Following the rise in popularity of Large Language Models (LLMs), there have been efforts to use them to create conversational tutoring systems, which can make the benefits of one-to-one tutoring accessible to everyone. However, current LLMs are primarily trained to be helpful assistants and thus lack crucial pedagogical skills. For example, they often quickly reveal the solution to the student and fail to plan for a richer multi-turn pedagogical interaction. To use LLMs in pedagogical scenarios, they need to be steered towards using effective teaching strategies: a problem we introduce as Pedagogical Steering and believe to be crucial for the efficient use of LLMs as tutors. We address this problem by formalizing a concept of tutoring strategy, and introducing StratL, an algorithm to model a strategy and use prompting to steer the LLM to follow this strategy. As a case study, we create a prototype tutor for high school math following Productive Failure (PF), an advanced and effective learning design. To validate our approach in a real-world setting, we run a field study with 17 high school students in Singapore. We quantitatively show that StratL succeeds in steering the LLM to follow a Productive Failure tutoring strategy. We also thoroughly investigate the existence of spillover effects on desirable properties of the LLM, like its ability to generate human-like answers. Based on these results, we highlight the challenges in Pedagogical Steering and suggest opportunities for further improvements. We further encourage follow-up research by releasing a dataset of Productive Failure problems and the code of our prototype and algorithm., Comment: 18 pages, 9 figures, 6 tables

In the evolving landscape of human-autonomy teaming (HAT), fostering effective collaboration and trust between human and autonomous agents is increasingly important. To explore this, we used the game Overcooked AI to create dynamic teaming scenarios featuring varying agent behaviors (clumsy, rigid, adaptive) and environmental complexities (low, medium, high). Our objectives were to assess the performance of adaptive AI agents designed with hierarchical reinforcement learning for better teamwork and measure eye tracking signals related to changes in trust and collaboration. The results indicate that the adaptive agent was more effective in managing teaming and creating an equitable task distribution across environments compared to the other agents. Working with the adaptive agent resulted in better coordination, reduced collisions, more balanced task contributions, and higher trust ratings. Reduced gaze allocation, across all agents, was associated with higher trust levels, while blink count, scan path length, agent revisits and trust were predictive of the humans contribution to the team. Notably, fixation revisits on the agent increased with environmental complexity and decreased with agent versatility, offering a unique metric for measuring teammate performance monitoring. These findings underscore the importance of designing autonomous teammates that not only excel in task performance but also enhance teamwork by being more predictable and reducing the cognitive load on human team members. Additionally, this study highlights the potential of eye-tracking as an unobtrusive measure for evaluating and improving human-autonomy teams, suggesting eye gaze could be used by agents to dynamically adapt their behaviors.

We show differences between a language-and-vision model CLIP and two text-only models - FastText and SBERT - when it comes to the encoding of individuation information. We study latent representations that CLIP provides for substrates, granular aggregates, and various numbers of objects. We demonstrate that CLIP embeddings capture quantitative differences in individuation better than models trained on text-only data. Moreover, the individuation hierarchy we deduce from the CLIP embeddings agrees with the hierarchies proposed in linguistics and cognitive science.

Can human decision-makers learn from AI feedback? Using data on 52,000 decision-makers from a large online chess platform, we investigate how their AI use affects three interrelated long-term outcomes: Learning, skill gap, and diversity of decision strategies. First, we show that individuals are far more likely to seek AI feedback in situations in which they experienced success rather than failure. This AI feedback seeking strategy turns out to be detrimental to learning: Feedback on successes decreases future performance, while feedback on failures increases it. Second, higher-skilled decision-makers seek AI feedback more often and are far more likely to seek AI feedback after a failure, and benefit more from AI feedback than lower-skilled individuals. As a result, access to AI feedback increases, rather than decreases, the skill gap between high- and low-skilled individuals. Finally, we leverage 42 major platform updates as natural experiments to show that access to AI feedback causes a decrease in intellectual diversity of the population as individuals tend to specialize in the same areas. Together, those results indicate that learning from AI feedback is not automatic and using AI correctly seems to be a skill itself. Furthermore, despite its individual-level benefits, access to AI feedback can have significant population-level downsides including loss of intellectual diversity and an increasing skill gap.

The fusion of Large Language Models (LLMs) and robotic systems has led to a transformative paradigm in the robotic field, offering unparalleled capabilities not only in the communication domain but also in skills like multimodal input handling, high-level reasoning, and plan generation. The grounding of LLMs knowledge into the empirical world has been considered a crucial pathway to exploit the efficiency of LLMs in robotics. Nevertheless, connecting LLMs' representations to the external world with multimodal approaches or with robots' bodies is not enough to let them understand the meaning of the language they are manipulating. Taking inspiration from humans, this work draws attention to three necessary elements for an agent to grasp and experience the world. The roadmap for LLMs grounding is envisaged in an active bodily system as the reference point for experiencing the environment, a temporally structured experience for a coherent, self-related interaction with the external world, and social skills to acquire a common-grounded shared experience., Comment: Accepted Version of a conference paper presented at Robophilosophy Conference 2024

In recent years, in an effort to promote fairness in the election process, a wide variety of techniques and metrics have been proposed to determine whether a map is a partisan gerrymander. The most accessible measures, requiring easily obtained data, are metrics such as the Mean-Median Difference, Efficiency Gap, Declination, and GEO metric. But for most of these metrics, researchers have struggled to describe, given no additional information, how a value of that metric on a single map indicates the presence or absence of gerrymandering. Our main result is that each of these metrics is gameable when used as a single, isolated quantity to detect gerrymandering (or the lack thereof). That is, for each of the four metrics, we can find district plans for a given state with an extremely large number of Democratic-won (or Republican-won) districts while the metric value of that plan falls within a reasonable, predetermined bound. We do this by using a hill-climbing method to generate district plans that are constrained by the bounds on the metric but also maximize or nearly maximize the number of districts won by a party. In addition, extreme values of the Mean-Median Difference do not necessarily correspond to maps with an extreme number of districts won. Thus, the Mean- Median Difference metric is particularly misleading, as it cannot distinguish more extreme maps from less extreme maps. The other metrics are more nuanced, but when assessed on an ensemble, none perform substantially differently from simply measuring number of districts won by a fixed party. One clear consequence of these results is that they demonstrate the folly of specifying a priori bounds on a metric that a redistricting commission must meet in order to avoid gerrymandering., Comment: 46 pages, 27 figures

Previous studies have shown that faces are rated as more attractive when they are partially occluded. The cause of this observation remains unclear. One explanation is a mental reconstruction of the occluded face parts which is biased towards a more attractive percept as shown in face-attractiveness rating tasks. We aimed to test for this hypothesis by using a delayed matching-to-sample task, which directly requires mental reconstruction. In two online experiments, we presented observers with unattractive, neutral or attractive synthetic reconstructions of the occluded face parts using a state-of-the-art diffusion-based image generator. Our experiments do not support the initial hypothesis and reveal an unattractiveness bias for occluded faces instead. This suggests that facial attractiveness rating tasks do not prompt reconstructions. Rather, the attractivity bias may arise from global image features, and faces may actually be reconstructed with unattractive properties when mental reconstruction is applied., Comment: This paper and a corresponding poster were presented at the Cognitive Computational Neuroscience conference in 2024

In the context of AI decision support systems (AI-DSS), we argue that meeting the demands of ethical and explainable AI (XAI) is about developing AI-DSS to provide human decision-makers with three types of human-grounded explanations: reasons, counterfactuals, and confidence, an approach we refer to as the RCC approach. We begin by reviewing current empirical XAI literature that investigates the relationship between various methods for generating model explanations (e.g., LIME, SHAP, Anchors), the perceived trustworthiness of the model, and end-user accuracy. We demonstrate how current theories about what constitutes good human-grounded reasons either do not adequately explain this evidence or do not offer sound ethical advice for development. Thus, we offer a novel theory of human-machine interaction: the theory of epistemic quasi-partnerships (EQP). Finally, we motivate adopting EQP and demonstrate how it explains the empirical evidence, offers sound ethical advice, and entails adopting the RCC approach., Comment: 20 pages

Certain social media contents can achieve widespread virality. Prior research has identified that emotion and morality may play a role in this phenomenon. Yet, due to the variability in subjective perception of these factors, they may not consistently predict virality. Recent work in vision and memory has identified a property intrinsic to images - memorability - that can automatically drive human memory. Here, we present evidence that memorability can enhance social media virality by analyzing a naturalistic dataset from Reddit, a widely used social media platform. Specifically, we discover that more memorable images (as judged automatically by neural network ResMem) cause more comments and higher upvotes, and this effect replicates across three different timepoints. To uncover the mechanism of this effect, we employ natural language processing techniques finding that memorable images tend to evoke abstract and less emotional comments. Leveraging an object recognition neural network, we discover that memorable images result in comments directed to information external to the image, which causes them to be more abstract. Further analysis quantifying the representations within the ResMem neural network reveals that images with more semantically distinct features are more likely to be memorable, and consequently, more likely to go viral. These findings reveal that images that are easier to remember become more viral, offering new future directions such as the creation of predictive models of content virality or the application of these insights to enhance the design of impactful visual content., Comment: 36 pages, 4 figures

OpenAI's ChatGPT (GPT-4 and GPT-4o) and other Large Language Models (LLMs) like Microsoft's Copilot, Google's Gemini 1.5 Pro, and Antrophic's Claude 3.5 Sonnet can be effectively used in various phases of scientific research. Their performance in diverse verbal tasks and reasoning is close to or above the average human level and rapidly increasing, providing those models with a capacity that resembles a relatively high level of theory of mind. The current ability of LLMs to process information about human psychology and communication creates an opportunity for their scientific use in the fields of personality psychology and interpersonal communication skills. This article illustrates the possible uses of GPT-4o and other advanced LLMs for typical tasks in designing self-assessment scales for interpersonal communication skills measurement like the selection and improvement of scale items and evaluation of content validity of scales. The potential for automated item generation and application is illustrated as well. The case study examples are accompanied by prompts for LLMs that can be useful for these purposes. Finally, a summary is provided of the potential benefits of using LLMs in the process of evaluation, design, and improvement of interpersonal communication skills self-assessment scales., Comment: 41 pages

This paper studies a novel stochastic compartmental model that describes the dynamics of trust in society. The population is split into three compartments representing levels of trust in society: trusters, skeptics and doubters. The focus lies on assessing the long-term dynamics, under `bounded confidence' i.e., trusters and doubters do not communicate). We state and classify the stationary points of the system's mean behavior. We find that an increase in life-expectancy, and a greater population may increase the proportion of individuals who lose their trust completely. In addition, the relationship between the rate at which doubters convince skeptics to join their cause and the expected number of doubters is not monotonic -- it does not always help to be more convincing to ensure the survival of your group. We numerically illustrate the workings of our analysis. Because the study of stochastic compartmental models for social dynamics is not common, we in particular shed light on the limitations of deterministic compartmental models. In our experiments we make use of fluid and diffusion approximation techniques as well as Gillespie simulation., Comment: 22 pages including references and appendices, 9 Figures, comments welcome

On social media, the boundaries between people's private and public lives often blur. The need to navigate both roles, which are governed by distinct norms, impacts how individuals conduct themselves online, and presents methodological challenges for researchers. We conduct a systematic exploration on how an organization's official Twitter accounts and its members' personal accounts differ. Using a climate change Twitter data set as our case, we find substantial differences in activity and connectivity across the organizational levels we examined. The levels differed considerably in their overall retweet network structures, and accounts within each level were more likely to have similar connections than accounts at different levels. We illustrate the implications of these differences for applied research by showing that the levels closer to the core of the organization display more sectoral homophily but less triadic closure, and how each level consists of very different group structures. Our results show that the common practice of solely analyzing accounts from a single organizational level, grouping together all levels, or excluding certain levels can lead to a skewed understanding of how organizations are represented on social media., Comment: 21 pages, 10 figures

Timely and adequate risk communication before natural hazards can reduce losses from extreme weather events and provide more resilient disaster preparedness. However, existing natural hazard risk communications have been abstract, ineffective, not immersive, and sometimes counterproductive. The implementation of virtual reality (VR) for natural hazard risk communication presents a promising alternative to the existing risk communication system by offering immersive and engaging experiences. However, it is still unknown how different modalities in VR could affect individuals' mitigation behaviors related to incoming natural hazards. In addition, it is also not clear how the repetitive risk communication of different modalities in the VR system leads to the effect of risk habituation. To fill the knowledge gap, we developed a VR system with a tornado risk communication scenario and conducted a mixed-design human subject experiment (N = 24). We comprehensively investigated our research using both quantitative and qualitative results., Comment: 14 pages, 10 figures, 3 tables, submitted to CHI'25

This study utilizes neural networks to evaluate the 2024 judicial reform in Mexico, a proposal designed to overhaul the judicial system by increasing transparency, judicial autonomy, and introducing the popular election of judges. The neural network model analyzes both converging and diverging factors that influence the reforms viability and public acceptance. Key areas of convergence include enhanced transparency and judicial autonomy, which are seen as improvements to the system. However, major points of divergence, such as the high costs of implementation and concerns about the legitimacy of electing judges, pose significant challenges. By integrating variables like transparency, decision quality, judicial independence, and implementation costs, the model predicts levels of public and professional acceptance of the reform. The neural networks multilayered structure allows for the modeling of complex relationships, offering predictive insights into how the reform may impact the Mexican judicial system. Initial findings suggest that while the reform could strengthen judicial autonomy, the risks of politicizing the judiciary and the financial burden it entails may reduce its overall acceptance. This research highlights the importance of using advanced AI tools to simulate public policy outcomes, providing valuable data to guide lawmakers in refining their proposals., Comment: 12 pages, 1 figure

Generative agents have demonstrated impressive capabilities in specific tasks, but most of these frameworks focus on independent tasks and lack attention to social interactions. We introduce a generative agent architecture called ITCMA-S, which includes a basic framework for individual agents and a framework called LTRHA that supports social interactions among multi-agents. This architecture enables agents to identify and filter out behaviors that are detrimental to social interactions, guiding them to choose more favorable actions. We designed a sandbox environment to simulate the natural evolution of social relationships among multiple identity-less agents for experimental evaluation. The results showed that ITCMA-S performed well on multiple evaluation indicators, demonstrating its ability to actively explore the environment, recognize new agents, and acquire new information through continuous actions and dialogue. Observations show that as agents establish connections with each other, they spontaneously form cliques with internal hierarchies around a selected leader and organize collective activities., Comment: 13 pages, 8 figures

Global trade is shaped by a complex mix of factors beyond supply and demand, including tangible variables like transport costs and tariffs, as well as less quantifiable influences such as political and economic relations. Traditionally, economists model trade using gravity models, which rely on explicit covariates but often struggle to capture these subtler drivers of trade. In this work, we employ optimal transport and a deep neural network to learn a time-dependent cost function from data, without imposing a specific functional form. This approach consistently outperforms traditional gravity models in accuracy while providing natural uncertainty quantification. Applying our framework to global food and agricultural trade, we show that the global South suffered disproportionately from the war in Ukraine's impact on wheat markets. We also analyze the effects of free-trade agreements and trade disputes with China, as well as Brexit's impact on British trade with Europe, uncovering hidden patterns that trade volumes alone cannot reveal.

This article gives an integrative review of research using projective methods in the consumer research domain. We give a general historical overview of the use of projective methods, both in psychology and in consumer research applications, and discuss the reliability and validity aspects and measurement for projective techniques. We review the literature on projective techniques in the areas of marketing, hospitality & tourism, and consumer & food science, with a mixed methods research focus on the interplay of qualitative and quantitative techniques. We review the use of several quantitative techniques used for structuring and analyzing projective data and run an empirical reanalysis of previously gathered data. We give recommendations for improved rigor and for potential future work involving mixed methods in projective techniques.

When discussing difficult topics online, is it common to meaningfully engage with people from diverse perspectives? Why or why not? Could features of the online environment be redesigned to encourage civil conversation across difference? In this paper, we study discussions of gun policy on Reddit, with the overarching goal of developing insights into the potential of the internet to support understanding across difference. We use two methods: a clustering analysis of Reddit posts to contribute insights about what people discuss, and an interview study of twenty Reddit users to help us understand why certain kinds of conversation take place and others don't. We find that the discussion of gun politics falls into three groups: conservative pro-gun, liberal pro-gun, and liberal anti-gun. Each type of group has its own characteristic topics. While our subjects state that they would be willing to engage with others across the ideological divide, in practice they rarely do. Subjects are siloed into like-minded subreddits through a two-pronged effect, where they are simultaneously pushed away from opposing-view communities while actively seeking belonging in like-minded ones. Another contributing factor is Reddit's "karma" mechanism: fear of being downvoted and losing karma points and social approval of peers causes our subjects to hesitate to say anything in conflict with group norms. The pseudonymous nature of discussion on Reddit plays a complex role, with some subjects finding it freeing and others fearing reprisal from others not bound by face-to-face norms of politeness. Our subjects believe that content moderation can help ameliorate these issues; however, our findings suggest that moderators need different tools to do so effectively. We conclude by suggesting platform design changes that might increase discussion across difference., Comment: CSCW 2024

Wider access to therapeutic care is one of the biggest challenges in mental health treatment. Due to institutional barriers, some people seeking mental health support have turned to large language models (LLMs) for personalized therapy, even though these models are largely unsanctioned and untested. We investigate the potential and limitations of using LLMs as providers of evidence-based therapy by using mixed methods clinical metrics. Using HELPERT, a prompt run on a large language model using the same process and training as a comparative group of peer counselors, we replicated publicly accessible mental health conversations rooted in Cognitive Behavioral Therapy (CBT) to compare session dynamics and counselor's CBT-based behaviors between original peer support sessions and their reconstructed HELPERT sessions. Two licensed, CBT-trained clinical psychologists evaluated the sessions using the Cognitive Therapy Rating Scale and provided qualitative feedback. Our findings show that the peer sessions are characterized by empathy, small talk, therapeutic alliance, and shared experiences but often exhibit therapist drift. Conversely, HELPERT reconstructed sessions exhibit minimal therapist drift and higher adherence to CBT methods but display a lack of collaboration, empathy, and cultural understanding. Through CTRS ratings and psychologists' feedback, we highlight the importance of human-AI collaboration for scalable mental health. Our work outlines the ethical implication of imparting human-like subjective qualities to LLMs in therapeutic settings, particularly the risk of deceptive empathy, which may lead to unrealistic patient expectations and potential harm.

"Harden" is a Progressive Web Application (PWA) for Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) developed mostly in R, which runs on all platforms with an internet connection, including iOS and Android. It leverages the shinyMobile package for creating a reactive mobile user interface (UI), PostgreSQL for the database backend, and Google Cloud Run for scalable hosting in the cloud, with serverless execution. Using this technology stack, it was possible to rapidly prototype a fully CRUD-capable (Create, Read, Update, Delete) mobile app, with persistent user data across sessions, interactive graphs, and real-time statistical calculation. This framework is compared with current alternative frameworks for creating data science apps; it is argued that the shinyMobile package provides one of the most efficient methods for rapid prototyping and creation of statistical mobile apps that require advanced graphing capabilities. This paper outlines the methodology used to create the Harden application, and discusses the advantages and limitations of the shinyMobile approach to app development. It is hoped that this information will encourage other programmers versed in R to consider developing mobile apps with this framework., Comment: 10 pages, 2 figures

With the expansion of cities over time, URT (Urban Rail Transit) networks have also grown significantly. Demand prediction plays an important role in supporting planning, scheduling, fleet management, and other operational decisions. In this study, we propose an Origin-Destination (OD) demand prediction model called Multi-Graph Inductive Representation Learning (mGraphSAGE) for large-scale URT networks under operational uncertainties. Our main contributions are twofold: we enhance prediction results while ensuring scalability for large networks by relying simultaneously on multiple graphs, where each OD pair is a node on a graph and distinct OD relationships, such as temporal and spatial correlations; we show the importance of including operational uncertainties such as train delays and cancellations as inputs in demand prediction for daily operations. The model is validated on three different scales of the URT network in Copenhagen, Denmark. Experimental results show that by leveraging information from neighboring ODs and learning node representations via sampling and aggregation, mGraphSAGE is particularly suitable for OD demand prediction in large-scale URT networks, outperforming reference machine learning methods. Furthermore, during periods with train cancellations and delays, the performance gap between mGraphSAGE and other methods improves compared to normal operating conditions, demonstrating its ability to leverage system reliability information for predicting OD demand under uncertainty., Comment: 18 pages, 3 figures

Graphs are often used to model relationships between entities. The identification and visualization of clusters in graphs enable insight discovery in many application areas, such as life sciences and social sciences. Force-directed graph layouts promote the visual saliency of clusters, as they bring adjacent nodes closer together, and push non-adjacent nodes apart. At the same time, matrices can effectively show clusters when a suitable row/column ordering is applied, but are less appealing to untrained users not providing an intuitive node-link metaphor. It is thus worth exploring layouts combining the strengths of the node-link metaphor and node ordering. In this work, we study the impact of node ordering on the visual saliency of clusters in orderable node-link diagrams, namely radial diagrams, arc diagrams and symmetric arc diagrams. Through a crowdsourced controlled experiment, we show that users can count clusters consistently more accurately, and to a large extent faster, with orderable node-link diagrams than with three state-of-the art force-directed layout algorithms, i.e., `Linlog', `Backbone' and `sfdp'. The measured advantage is greater in case of low cluster separability and/or low compactness. A free copy of this paper and all supplemental materials are available at https://osf.io/kc3dg/.

This paper presents a Bayesian multilevel modeling approach for estimating well-level oil and gas production capacities across small geographic areas over multiple time periods. Focusing on a basin, which is a geologically and economically distinct drilling region, we model the production level of wells grouped by area and time, using priors as regulators of inferences. Our model accounts for area-level and time-level variations as well as well-level variations, incorporating lateral length, water usage, and sand usage. The Maidenhead Coordinate System is used to define uniform (small) geographic areas, many of which contain only a small number of wells in a given time period. The Bayesian small-area model is first built and checked, using data from the Eagle Ford region, covering the years 2014 to 2019. The model is expanded to accommodate temporal dynamics by introducing time-effect components, allowing for the analysis of production trends over times. We explore the impact of technological advancements by modeling water-sand intensity as a proxy for production efficiency. The Bayesian multilevel modeling provides robust and flexible tools for understanding oil and gas production at area and time levels, offering valuable insights for energy production prediction and management., Comment: 16 pages, 2 charts, 3 tables

This study explores whether labeling AI as "trustworthy" or "reliable" influences user perceptions and acceptance of automotive AI technologies. Using a one-way between-subjects design, the research involved 478 online participants who were presented with guidelines for either trustworthy or reliable AI. Participants then evaluated three vignette scenarios and completed a modified version of the Technology Acceptance Model, which included variables such as perceived ease of use, human-like trust, and overall attitude. Although labeling AI as "trustworthy" did not significantly influence judgments on specific scenarios, it increased perceived ease of use and human-like trust, particularly benevolence. This suggests a positive impact on usability and an anthropomorphic effect on user perceptions. The study provides insights into how specific labels can influence attitudes toward AI technology., Comment: 36 pages, 12 figures

In this paper, we present Deep-MacroFin, a comprehensive framework designed to solve partial differential equations, with a particular focus on models in continuous time economics. This framework leverages deep learning methodologies, including conventional Multi-Layer Perceptrons and the newly developed Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks. It is optimized using economic information encapsulated by Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations and coupled algebraic equations. The application of neural networks holds the promise of accurately resolving high-dimensional problems with fewer computational demands and limitations compared to standard numerical methods. This versatile framework can be readily adapted for elementary differential equations, and systems of differential equations, even in cases where the solutions may exhibit discontinuities. Importantly, it offers a more straightforward and user-friendly implementation than existing libraries., Comment: 25 pages, 8 figures

This study investigates the meta-issues surrounding social media, which, while theoretically designed to enhance social interactions and improve our social lives by facilitating the sharing of personal experiences and life events, often results in adverse psychological impacts. Our investigation reveals a paradoxical outcome: rather than fostering closer relationships and improving social lives, the algorithms and structures that underlie social media platforms inadvertently contribute to a profound psychological impact on individuals, influencing them in unforeseen ways. This phenomenon is particularly pronounced among teenagers, who are disproportionately affected by curated online personas, peer pressure to present a perfect digital image, and the constant bombardment of notifications and updates that characterize their social media experience. As such, we issue a call to action for policymakers, platform developers, and educators to prioritize the well-being of teenagers in the digital age and work towards creating secure and safe social media platforms that protect the young from harm, online harassment, and exploitation., Comment: 7 pages, 0 figures, 2 tables, 2024 IEEE Conference on Digital Platforms and Societal Harms

Urban mobility and transportation systems have been profoundly transformed by the advancement of autonomous vehicle technologies. Baidu Apollo Go, a pioneer robotaxi service from the Chinese tech giant Baidu, has recently been widely deployed in major cities like Beijing and Wuhan, sparking increased conversation and offering a glimpse into the future of urban mobility. This study investigates public attitudes towards Apollo Go across China using Sentiment Analysis with a hybrid BERT model on 36,096 Weibo posts from January to July 2024. The analysis shows that 89.56\% of posts related to Apollo Go are clustered in July. From January to July, public sentiment was mostly positive, but negative comments began to rise after it became a hot topic on July 21. Spatial analysis indicates a strong correlation between provinces with high discussion intensity and those where Apollo Go operates. Initially, Hubei and Guangdong dominated online posting volume, but by July, Guangdong, Beijing, and international regions had overtaken Hubei. Attitudes varied significantly among provinces, with Xinjiang and Qinghai showing optimism and Tibet and Gansu expressing concerns about the impact on traditional taxi services. Sentiment analysis revealed that positive comments focused on technology applications and personal experiences, while negative comments centered on job displacement and safety concerns. In summary, this study highlights the divergence in public perceptions of autonomous ride-hailing services, providing valuable insights for planners, policymakers, and service providers. The model is published on Hugging Face at https://huggingface.co/wsqstar/bert-finetuned-weibo-luobokuaipao and the repository on GitHub at https://github.com/GIStudio/trb2024.

Recent ethnographic research reveals that gang dynamics in Chicago's Southside have evolved with decentralized micro-gang "set" factions and cross-gang interpersonal networks marking the contemporary landscape. However, standard police datasets lack the depth to analyze gang violence with such granularity. To address this, we employed a natural language processing strategy to analyze text from a Chicago gangs message board. By identifying proper nouns, probabilistically linking them to gang sets, and assuming social connections among names mentioned together, we created a social network dataset of 271 individuals across 11 gang sets. Using Louvain community detection, we found that these individuals often connect with gang-affiliated peers from various gang sets that are physically proximal. Hierarchical logistic regression revealed that individuals with ties to homicide victims and central positions in the overall gang network were at increased risk of victimization, regardless of gang affiliation. This research demonstrates that utilizing crowd-sourced information online can enable the study of otherwise inaccessible topics and populations., Comment: 24 pages, 5 figures

The kendallknight package introduces an efficient implementation of Kendall's correlation coefficient computation, significantly improving the processing time for large datasets without sacrificing accuracy. The kendallknight package, following Knight (1966) and posterior literature, reduces the computational complexity resulting in drastic reductions in computation time, transforming operations that would take minutes or hours into milliseconds or minutes, while maintaining precision and correctly handling edge cases and errors. The package is particularly advantageous in econometric and statistical contexts where rapid and accurate calculation of Kendall's correlation coefficient is desirable. Benchmarks demonstrate substantial performance gains over the base R implementation, especially for large datasets., Comment: 9 pages with references, 2 tables, 2 figures

Image-with-text memes combine text with imagery to achieve comedy, but in today's world, they also play a pivotal role in online communication, influencing politics, marketing, and social norms. A "meme template" is a preexisting layout or format that is used to create memes. It typically includes specific visual elements, characters, or scenes with blank spaces or captions that can be customized, allowing users to easily create their versions of popular meme templates by adding personal or contextually relevant content. Despite extensive research on meme virality, the task of automatically identifying meme templates remains a challenge. This paper presents a comprehensive comparison and evaluation of existing meme template identification methods, including both established approaches from the literature and novel techniques. We introduce a rigorous evaluation framework that not only assesses the ability of various methods to correctly identify meme templates but also tests their capacity to reject non-memes without false assignments. Our study involves extensive data collection from sites that provide meme annotations (Imgflip) and various social media platforms (Reddit, X, and Facebook) to ensure a diverse and representative dataset. We compare meme template identification methods, highlighting their strengths and limitations. These include supervised and unsupervised approaches, such as convolutional neural networks, distance-based classification, and density-based clustering. Our analysis helps researchers and practitioners choose suitable methods and points to future research directions in this evolving field., Comment: 10 pages, 3 figures

Social bots-automated accounts that generate and spread content on social media-are exploiting vulnerabilities in these platforms to manipulate public perception and disseminate disinformation. This has prompted the development of public bot detection services; however, most of these services focus primarily on Twitter, leaving niche platforms vulnerable. Fringe social media platforms such as Parler, Gab, and Gettr often have minimal moderation, which facilitates the spread of hate speech and misinformation. To address this gap, we introduce Entendre, an open-access, scalable, and platform-agnostic bot detection framework. Entendre can process a labeled dataset from any social platform to produce a tailored bot detection model using a random forest classification approach, ensuring robust social bot detection. We exploit the idea that most social platforms share a generic template, where users can post content, approve content, and provide a bio (common data features). By emphasizing general data features over platform-specific ones, Entendre offers rapid extensibility at the expense of some accuracy. To demonstrate Entendre's effectiveness, we used it to explore the presence of bots among accounts posting racist content on the now-defunct right-wing platform Parler. We examined 233,000 posts from 38,379 unique users and found that 1,916 unique users (4.99%) exhibited bot-like behavior. Visualization techniques further revealed that these bots significantly impacted the network, amplifying influential rhetoric and hashtags (e.g., #qanon, #trump, #antilgbt). These preliminary findings underscore the need for tools like Entendre to monitor and assess bot activity across diverse platforms., Comment: 6 pages

All over the world, political parties, politicians, and campaigns explore how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can help them win elections. However, the effects of these activities are unknown. We propose a framework for assessing AI's impact on elections by considering its application in various campaigning tasks. The electoral uses of AI vary widely, carrying different levels of concern and need for regulatory oversight. To account for this diversity, we group AI-enabled campaigning uses into three categories -- campaign operations, voter outreach, and deception. Using this framework, we provide the first systematic evidence from a preregistered representative survey and two preregistered experiments (n=7,635) on how Americans think about AI in elections and the effects of specific campaigning choices. We provide three significant findings. 1) the public distinguishes between different AI uses in elections, seeing AI uses predominantly negative but objecting most strongly to deceptive uses; 2) deceptive AI practices can have adverse effects on relevant attitudes and strengthen public support for stopping AI development; 3) Although deceptive electoral uses of AI are intensely disliked, they do not result in substantial favorability penalties for the parties involved. There is a misalignment of incentives for deceptive practices and their externalities. We cannot count on public opinion to provide strong enough incentives for parties to forgo tactical advantages from AI-enabled deception. There is a need for regulatory oversight and systematic outside monitoring of electoral uses of AI. Still, regulators should account for the diversity of AI uses and not completely disincentivize their electoral use.

This paper responds to a commentary by Neal (2024) regarding the Distinctiveness centrality metrics introduced by Fronzetti Colladon and Naldi (2020). Distinctiveness centrality offers a novel reinterpretation of degree centrality, particularly emphasizing the significance of direct connections to loosely connected peers within (social) networks. This response paper presents a more comprehensive analysis of the correlation between Distinctiveness and the Beta and Gamma measures. All five distinctiveness measures are considered, as well as a more meaningful range of the {\alpha} parameter and different network topologies, distinguishing between weighted and unweighted networks. Findings indicate significant variability in correlations, supporting the viability of Distinctiveness as alternative or complementary metrics within social network analysis. Moreover, the paper presents computational complexity analysis and simplified R code for practical implementation. Encouraging initial findings suggest potential applications in diverse domains, inviting further exploration and comparative analyses.

This paper explores use of multiple large language model (LLM) agents to simulate complex, dynamic characters in dramatic scenarios. We introduce a drama machine framework that coordinates interactions between LLM agents playing different 'Ego' and 'Superego' psychological roles. In roleplay simulations, this design allows intersubjective dialogue and intra-subjective internal monologue to develop in parallel. We apply this framework to two dramatic scenarios - an interview and a detective story - and compare character development with and without the Superego's influence. Though exploratory, results suggest this multi-agent approach can produce more nuanced, adaptive narratives that evolve over a sequence of dialogical turns. We discuss different modalities of LLM-based roleplay and character development, along with what this might mean for conceptualization of AI subjectivity. The paper concludes by considering how this approach opens possibilities for thinking of the roles of internal conflict and social performativity in AI-based simulation., Comment: 28 pages, 2 figures