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Abstract Background To determine the relationship between gastroesophageal reflux disease (GORD) and its treatment and interstitial lung disease in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Methods SSc patients from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) were included. GORD was defined as self-reported GORD symptoms, therapy with a proton pump inhibitor (PPI) or histamine 2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) and/or the presence of reflux oesophagitis diagnosed endoscopically. The impact of GORD and its treatment on ILD features (including severity and time to ILD development) and survival was evaluated. Results GORD was a common manifestation affecting 1539/1632 (94%) of SSc patients. GORD affected 450/469 (96%) of those with SSc-ILD cohort. In SSc-ILD, there was no relationship between the presence of GORD or its treatment and time to ILD development or ILD severity. However, GORD treatment was associated with improved survival in those with ILD (p = 0.002). Combination therapy with both a PPI and a H2RA was associated with a greater survival benefit than single agent therapy with PPI alone (HR 0.3 vs 0.5 p

Objective: The aim of this study was to determine the impact of season, temperature and humidity on the severity of Raynaud phenomenon (RP) in systemic sclerosis., Methods: Data from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study were used to assess associations of patient-reported worsened RP in the month preceding each study visit. Mean monthly weather data were obtained from the closest weather station to the patient's address. We evaluated the relationship between worsened RP and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measured using the Short Form 36 instrument., Results: Among 1,972 patients with systemic sclerosis, RP was a near-universal finding, and worsened RP in the preceding month was reported in 26.7% of 9,175 visits. "Worsened RP" showed significant environmental variability. On multivariable analysis, worsened RP was associated with low mean maximum temperatures (odds ratio [OR] 0.91, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.90-0.92, P < 0.001), high relative humidity (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.04-1.05, P < 0.001) and lower mean daily evaporation (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.73-0.81, P < 0.001). Worsened RP was strongly associated with telangiectasia, calcinosis, and digital ulceration, as well as demonstrating an association with anticentromere antibody and gastroesophageal reflux disease and a negative correlation with diffuse disease. Worsened RP was also strongly associated with worse HRQoL., Conclusion: Lower environmental temperature and higher relative humidity had significant associations with worsened RP in this systemic sclerosis cohort, suggesting an important role for dry warmth in managing this condition., (© 2024 American College of Rheumatology.)

Introduction/objectives: To identify the frequency, correlates and progression of frailty in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Method: All Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria with a calculable FRAIL Scale score were included. FRAIL Scale scores were calculated annually and were used to group participants as 'robust', 'pre-frail' or 'frail'. Progression of frailty over time was examined by comparing first-recorded, highest-recorded and last-recorded FRAIL Scale scores for each participant. Determinants of frailty at each visit were evaluated with ordinal logistic regression. Survival was analysed using Cox hazard modelling., Results: Of 1703 participants, 14% and 53% met criteria for frailty or pre-frailty respectively, with 33% consistently robust. Among initially frail participants, 40% remained frail and 60% improved to pre-frailty/robustness. Of pre-frail participants, 15% became frail while 32% improved to robustness. One-third of initially robust participants progressed to pre-frailty/frailty. SSc-specific determinants of frailty included diffuse SSc (odds ratio (OR) 1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.8, p < 0.01), pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR 7.1, 95% CI 5.1-9.9, p < 0.01), interstitial lung disease (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.3-2.0, p < 0.01), proximal weakness (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-2.0, p < 0.01) and lower-tract gastrointestinal symptoms (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3-1.8, p < 0.01). Older age (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.1-1.2, p < 0.01), raised CRP (OR 1.7, 95% CI 1.4-2.0, p < 0.01) and anaemia (OR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2-1.7, p < 0.01) were also significantly associated with frailty. A graded risk of death was observed with the diagnosis of pre-frailty and frailty states (hazard ratio (HR) 3.5, 95% CI 2.6-4.8, p < 0.01; and HR 9.8, 95% CI 6.8-14.1, p < 0.01 respectively). Frailty and pre-frailty were associated with reduced health-related quality-of-life and physical function (p < 0.05)., Conclusions: Frailty and pre-frailty are common in SSc and contribute to morbidity and mortality. Both SSc and non-SSc determinants of frailty exist. Frailty in SSc is a dynamic phenomenon with potential to deteriorate or improve over time., Competing Interests: Compliance with ethical standards. Competing interests: SP has received honoraria from Janssen and Boehringer Ingelheim. JS and JW have received honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim Pty Ltd. WS has received consultancies from Jansen and Boehringer-Ingelheim. MN has received honoraria or consultancies from Janssen, AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKlein, Boehringer-Ingelheim and Bristol-Myers Squibb. JF has received conference sponsorship from Pfizer and honoraria from Boehringer-Ingelheim. LH has been a paid speaker for the Limbic publication and received honoraria from Janssen and Abbvie. The other authors declare no competing interests. Disclosures: None., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to International League of Associations for Rheumatology (ILAR).)

Objective: The gastrointestinal tract (GIT) is the most commonly affected internal organ in systemic sclerosis (SSc). We sought to determine the prevalence and impact of GIT symptoms on survival and patient-reported outcomes., Methods: A total of 907 consecutive patients from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study who had prospectively completed the University of California, Los Angeles, Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Gastrointestinal Tract 2.0 Questionnaire (UCLA GIT) between 2015 and 2021 were included. The associations between UCLA GIT scores and physical function (Scleroderma Health Assessment Questionnaire), quality of life (QoL; Short Form 36), mood (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System [PROMIS] anxiety and depression domains), fatigue (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy-Fatigue score), and employment were investigated using multivariable population-averaged panel models using generalized estimating equations (GEEs). Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to evaluate survival according to total UCLA GIT scores., Results: GIT symptoms were reported in 87% of participants, with 46% to 52% reporting moderate to very severe symptoms of reflux, distension, diarrhea, and constipation. Higher total UCLA GIT scores were associated with worse QoL, physical function, fatigue, anxiety, and depression (P < 0.001). In the multivariable GEE analysis, moderate and severe to very severe total scores, reflux scores, and distension scores were associated with worse physical function, QoL, fatigue, anxiety, and depression compared to mild scores (P < 0.05). Patients with severe total scores and diarrhea scores were more likely to be unemployed compared to those with mild scores (P < 0.05). UCLA GIT total scores were not independently associated with death in our cohort., Conclusion: GIT manifestations are common in SSc and negatively impact QoL, physical function, and employment but are not directly associated with increased death., (© 2024 The Author(s). Arthritis Care & Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Objective: To define the frequency and associations of opioid use in SSc., Methods: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc were included. Current or previous opioid use was recorded at each visit, with long-term use defined as use on two or more consecutive visits. Groups were compared using two-sample t -test, Wilcoxon rank sum test or chi-squared test. Generalised estimating equations were used to model longitudinal data., Results: Of 1951 participants with a mean age of 46.7 years (s.d. 14.4), 88% were female and 12% had ever received any opioids since SSc onset. Of these, 46% recorded opioid use across multiple consecutive study visits. Digital ulcers (63% vs 52%), synovitis (57% vs 38%), interstitial lung disease (37% vs 27%), gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms (upper 97% vs 88%, lower 90% vs 80%) and immunosuppression (59% vs 46%) were all more frequent in opioid-exposed groups ( P  < 0.05). In multivariable modelling, current opioid use at each study visit was associated with digital ulcers [odds ratio (OR) 1.5 (95% CI 1.1, 2.0), P  = 0.01], synovitis [OR 1.5 (95% CI 1.1, 2.1), P  = 0.02], lower GI symptoms [OR 1.8 (95% CI 1.3, 2.6), P  < 0.01] and poorer physical [OR 1.8 (95% CI 1.3, 2.4), P  < 0.01] and mental [OR 1.8 (95% CI 1.1, 3.0), P  = 0.02] quality of life (QoL). Current opioid use was associated with worse fatigue [regression coefficient (RC) 3.0 units (95% CI 1.2, 4.8), P  < 0.01], functional disability [RC 0.2 (95% CI 0.2, 0.3), P  < 0.01], dyspnoea [RC 2.0 (95% CI 0.8, 3.1), P  < 0.01], depression [RC 2.5 (95% CI 0.9, 4.0), P  < 0.01] and anxiety [RC 2.5 (95% CI 0.9, 4.0), P  < 0.01]., Conclusions: Opioid use in SSc was associated with musculoskeletal, GI and lung involvement. Opioid prescription was associated with poorer QoL and physical function., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To investigate the prognostic utility of 28 serum biomarkers in systemic sclerosis (SSc), SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) and clinically relevant disease subgroups., Methods: Participants with sera, high-resolution CT and lung function within 12 months of baseline were identified from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study. Baseline was the time of serum collection. Twenty-seven of the prespecified 28 serum biomarkers were analysed and biomarker associations with mortality and ILD progression were investigated in univariable and multivariable analyses, including within disease subgroups and combined with established risk factors for poorer prognosis in SSc., Results: A total of 407 participants were identified, 252 (61.9%) with SSc-ILD. The median (interquartile range) follow-up after biomarker measurement was 6.31 (3.11-9.22) years. Sixteen biomarkers were associated with increased mortality. High levels of VCAM-1 were most strongly associated with mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 3.55; 95% CI 2.37-5.33; P < 0.001]. Five additional biomarkers had an HR >2: SP-D (2.28, 1.57-3.31; P < 0.001), E-selectin (2.19, 1.53-3.14; P < 0.001), IL-6 (2.15, 1.50-3.09; P < 0.001), MMP-3 (2.05, 1.42-2.95; P < 0.001) and ET-1 (2.03, 1.40-2.92; P < 0.001). Eleven biomarkers were independently associated with mortality following adjustment for sex, age and baseline forced vital capacity (FVC%predicted). Three biomarkers were associated with ILD progression at 1-year follow-up: CXCL4 (odds ratio 2.67, 1.46-4.88; P = 0.001), MMP-1 (2.56, 1.43-4.59; P = 0.002) and ET-1 (2.18, 1.24-3.83; P = 0.007)., Conclusion: Multiple biomarkers, especially VCAM-1, E-selectin, SP-D and CXCL4, provide prognostic utility beyond that of established risk factors for patients with SSc., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objective: Physician global assessments (PhyGAs) are variably applied in systemic sclerosis (SSc) clinical trials. The comparability of different PhyGA results is unknown. We sought to assess the comparability of results from three different PhyGA instruments simultaneously applied in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS)., Methods: Using data from 1,965 ASCS participants, we assessed the correlation between results of three PhyGA assessments: (1) overall health, (2) activity, and (3) damage. We evaluated the concordance of change in each PhyGA between study visits. Ordered logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the clinical associations of each PhyGA., Results: The absolute scores of each PhyGA were strongly correlated at individual study visits. Concordant changes of the PhyGA scores occurred between 50% of study visits. Only patient-reported breathlessness was associated with all three PhyGA scores (overall health: odds ratio [OR] 1.67, P < 0.01; activity: OR 1.44, P < 0.01; damage: OR 1.32, P < 0.01). Changes in physician-assessed activity scores were also associated with patient-reported worsening skin disease (OR 1.25, P = 0.03) and fecal incontinence (OR 1.23, P = 0.01), whereas damage scores were associated with respiratory disease (pulmonary arterial hypertension: OR 1.25, P = 0.03; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: OR 1.37, P = 0.04), as well as skin scores (OR 1.02, P < 0.01) and fecal incontinence (OR 1.21, P = 0.02)., Conclusion: PhyGAs of overall health, activity, and damage are each associated with different SSc features, and changes in different PhyGA scores are discordant 50% of the time. Our findings suggest results of variably worded PhyGAs are not directly interchangeable and support the development of a standardized PhyGA., (© 2024 The Author(s). Arthritis Care & Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To identify the trajectories and clinical associations of functional disability in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc recruited within 5 years of disease onset, with ≥2 Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index (HAQ-DI) scores were included. Group based trajectory modelling (GBTM) was used to identify the number and shape of HAQ-DI trajectories. Between group comparisons were made using the chi-squared test, two-sample t-test or Wilcoxon rank-sum test as appropriate. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify features associated with trajectory group membership. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan Meier and Cox proportional hazard modelling., Results: We identified two HAQ-DI trajectory groups within 426 ASCS participants with incident SSc: low-stable disability (n=221, 52%), and high-increasing disability (n=205, 48%). Participants with high-increasing disability were older at disease onset, more likely to have diffuse SSc (dcSSc), cardiopulmonary disease, multimorbidity, digital ulcers, and gastrointestinal involvement (all p≤0.01), as was use of immunosuppression (p<0.01). Multimorbidity was associated with high-increasing trajectory group membership (OR3.1, 95%CI1.1-8.8, p=0.04); independently, multiple SSc features were also strongly associated including dcSSc (OR2.3, 95%CI1.3-4.2, p<0.01), proximal weakness (OR7.3, 95%CI2.0-27.1, p<0.01) and joint contractures (OR2.7, 95%CI1.3-5.3, p<0.01). High-increasing physical disability was associated with an almost two-fold increased risk of mortality (HR1.9, 95%CI1.0-3.8, p=0.05), and higher symptom burden., Conclusions: Two trajectories of functional disability in SSc were identified. Those with high-increasing functional disability had a distinct clinical phenotype and worse survival compared to those with low-stable functional disability. These data highlight the pervasive nature of physical disability in SSc, and its prognostic importance.

Objective: The study objective was to determine the event-free survival (EFS) of Australian patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) who met eligibility criteria for autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT) in previously published randomized controlled trials but were not treated with ASCT., Methods: Patients who met inclusion criteria for the Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation International Scleroderma (ASTIS) and Scleroderma: Cyclophosphamide Or Transplantation (SCOT) trials were identified from the multicenter Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS). EFS (survival without cardiac, renal, or pulmonary failure or death) at 4 years was assessed. ASCS patients who had already undergone transplantation were excluded from analysis., Results: Of the 492 patients with dcSSc in the ASCS, 56 met ASTIS inclusion criteria for ASCT (56 of 492 [11.4%]) and 30 met SCOT inclusion criteria (30 of 492 [6.1%]). An additional 11 patients met ASTIS or SCOT inclusion criteria, but they were excluded due to severe organ manifestations. EFS at 4 years in ASCS patients meeting ASTIS inclusion criteria was 83.3% and in ASCS patients meeting SCOT inclusion criteria was 81.2%. EFS at 4 years in ASCS patients who met ASTIS and SCOT inclusion but also exclusion criteria was 46.7% and 45.7%, respectively., Conclusion: ASCS patients meeting ASTIS and/or SCOT inclusion criteria who were not treated with ASCT have similar EFS at 4 years as patients receiving ASCT and better EFS than those receiving cyclophosphamide in the ASTIS and SCOT trials. This may reflect confounders unable to be controlled for, including survivor bias, but may also reflect improved standard of care for dcSSc over time., (© 2024 The Authors. Arthritis & Rheumatology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To investigate the burden and clinical associations of fatigue in systemic sclerosis (SSc) as measured by FACIT-Fatigue scores., Methods: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants with ≥1 FACIT-Fatigue score were included. Participants were divided into those with incident SSc (≤5 years SSc duration at recruitment and FACIT-Fatigue score recorded within 5 years of disease onset) or prevalent SSc (first FACIT-Fatigue score recorded >5 years after SSc onset). Generalised estimating equations were used to model change in FACIT-Fatigue scores over time, expressed as an increasing (improving) or decreasing (worsening) score., Results: Of 859 participants, 215 had incident SSc and 644 prevalent SSc. First-recorded FACIT-Fatigue scores were similar in those with incident (37 units, IQR 25-45.5) and prevalent SSc (36 units, IQR 23-44; p=0.17), as were lowest-ever recorded FACIT-Fatigue scores (incident 23 units; prevalent 22 units, p=0.75). In incident SSc, higher skin scores (regression coefficient (RC) -1.5 units, 95%CI -2.3 to -0.8), PAH (RC -8.2, 95%CI -16.5 to 0.1) and reduced left ventricular function (RC -10.6, 95%CI -18.3 to -2.8) were associated with more severe fatigue. In prevalent SSc, higher skin scores (RC -0.6, 95%CI -1.3 to 0), gastrointestinal symptoms (RC -6.6, 95%CI -9.0 to -4.2), hypoalbuminaemia (RC -2.8, 95%CI -5.0 to -0.7), BMI<18.5kg/m2 (RC -6.3, 95%CI -10.3 to -2.2), raised CRP (RC -3.1, 95%CI -4.7 to -1.5), and anaemia (RC -1.7, 95%CI -3.5 to 0.1) were associated with more severe fatigue., Conclusions: The burden of fatigue is substantial in both incident and prevalent SSc. Cardiopulmonary and gastrointestinal involvement are associated with worse fatigue.

Objective: Patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) may be stratified as low, intermediate, or high risk of 1-year mortality. In 2022, the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) updated and simplified its risk stratification tool, based on three variables: World Health Organization functional class, serum N-terminal pro-brain type natriuretic peptide and six-minute walk distance, applied at follow-up visits, intended to guide therapy over time., Methods: We applied the 2022 ESC risk assessment tool at baseline and follow-up (within 2 years) to a multinational incident cohort of systemic sclerosis-associated PAH (SSc-PAH). Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox hazards regression, and accelerated failure time models were used to evaluate survival by risk score., Results: At baseline (n = 260), the majority of SSc-PAH (72.2%) were graded as intermediate risk of death according to the 2022 tool. At follow-up, according to 2022 tool, half (55.5%) of the cohort were classified as low or intermediate-low risk. The 2022 risk model at follow-up was able to differentiate survival between risk strata. All three individual parameters (World Health Organization functional class, N-terminal pro-brain type natriuretic peptide, six-minute walk distance) were significantly associated with mortality at baseline and/or follow-up., Conclusion: The 2022 ESC risk assessment strategy applied at baseline and follow-up predicts survival in SSc-PAH. Treatment decisions for SSc-PAH should include risk assessments, aiming to achieve low-risk status according to the 2022 ESC guidelines., (© 2024 The Authors. Arthritis Care & Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Objective: To describe the frequency of progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) in an incident cohort of systemic sclerosis (SSc)-related interstitial lung disease (ILD) and its impact on survival., Methods: Incident ILD was defined as the new development of characteristic fibrotic changes on chest HRCT scan. PPF was defined as per the 2022 American Thoracic Society. Determinants of PPF were identified using generalised estimating equations. Impact on survival was analysed using accelerated failure time regression modelling., Results: Of our incident SSc-ILD cases, 38.8% (n = 180) experienced PPF within a 12-month period after ILD diagnosis. Determinants of PPF included older age (OR 1.02, 95%CI 1.00-1.03, P = 0.011), dcSSc (OR 1.54, 95% CI 1.06-2.25, P = 0.024) and SSc-specific antibodies (anticentomere antibody OR 0.51, 95%CI 0.29-0.91, P = 0.021 and anti-Scl-70 antibody OR 1.46, 95%CI 1.01-2.09, P = 0.043). Raised CRP was numerically associated with PPF but did not reach statistical significance (OR 1.29, 95%CI 0.99-1.68, P = 0.064) nor did GORD or dysphagia (OR 1.18, 95%CI 0.57-2.42, P = 0.658 and OR 1.17, 95%CI 0.57-2.40, P = 0.664, respectively). The presence of PPF significantly impacted survival in SSc-ILD (hazard ratio 2.66, 95%CI 1.59-4.41, P < 0.001)., Conclusions: PPF occurred in a third of our incident SSc-ILD cohort; however, its occurrence was significantly associated with mortality indicating an at-risk group who may be suitable for earlier introduction of immunosuppressive and/or antifibrotic therapy., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: The importance of early integration of palliative care in the management of complex multisystem diseases has been recognized. In this study, we aimed to quantify the need for specialist palliative care in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Using data from 875 patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study, we defined the need for palliative care as a high symptom burden at two or more consecutive study visits, at ≥50% of overall study visits, or at the study visit immediately before death. Symptoms of interest included breathlessness, fatigue, pain, depression, anxiety, constipation, and diarrhea. Logistic regression analyses evaluated the association between individual symptoms and SSc manifestations. Linear regression analysis evaluated the relationship between palliative care needs and quality of life (QoL) and function., Results: Almost three-quarters of patients (72.69%) met the threshold for specialist palliative care needs. Severe fatigue (54.17%) was most common, followed by breathlessness (23.66%) and severe constipation (21.14%). Concurrent severe symptoms were frequently observed. Severe breathlessness (coefficient [coef] -7.95, P < 0.01) and pain (coef -7.70, P < 0.01) were associated with the largest reductions in physical QoL. Severe mood symptoms were associated with the greatest reduction in mental QoL (coef -12.91, P < 0.01). Severe pain (coef 0.56, P < 0.01), breathlessness (coef 0.49, P < 0.01), and mood symptoms (coef 0.40, P < 0.01) had a significant impact on function., Conclusion: SSc is frequently associated with multiple severe symptoms that may be amenable to palliative care intervention. Given the strong association between symptom burden and impaired QoL targeted, effective symptom management in parallel with standard-of-care treatments may improve overall patient outcomes., (© 2024 The Authors. Arthritis Care & Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Background: To determine the relationship between gastroesophageal reflux disease (GORD) and its treatment and interstitial lung disease in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: SSc patients from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) were included. GORD was defined as self-reported GORD symptoms, therapy with a proton pump inhibitor (PPI) or histamine 2 receptor antagonist (H2RA) and/or the presence of reflux oesophagitis diagnosed endoscopically. The impact of GORD and its treatment on ILD features (including severity and time to ILD development) and survival was evaluated., Results: GORD was a common manifestation affecting 1539/1632 (94%) of SSc patients. GORD affected 450/469 (96%) of those with SSc-ILD cohort. In SSc-ILD, there was no relationship between the presence of GORD or its treatment and time to ILD development or ILD severity. However, GORD treatment was associated with improved survival in those with ILD (p = 0.002). Combination therapy with both a PPI and a H2RA was associated with a greater survival benefit than single agent therapy with PPI alone (HR 0.3 vs 0.5 p < 0.050 respectively)., Conclusion: GORD is a common SSc disease manifestation. While the presence or treatment of GORD does not influence the development or severity of ILD, aggressive GORD treatment, in particular with a combination of PPI and H2RA, is associated with improved survival in those with SSc-ILD., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Objectives: To quantify the frequency and clinical implications of systemic sclerosis (SSc)-associated left ventricular function (LV) impairment., Methods: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc with ≥1 echocardiographic LVEF measurement were included. Overt LV dysfunction was indicated by reduced LV ejection fraction (LVEF) and subclinical LV dysfunction was measured using impaired LV global longitudinal strain (LV-GLS>-16 %). Those with secondary causes of LV dysfunction (myocardial ischaemia, valvulopathy and pulmonary arterial hypertension) were excluded. Chi-squared tests, two-sample t-tests or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used for between-group comparison as appropriate. Generalised estimating equations(GEE) were used to model longitudinal data. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analyses., Results: Of 1141 participants with no co-morbid cardiac disease, 2.4 % ever recorded a LVEF<50 %, while only 0.6 % ever recorded a LVEF≤40 %. LV-GLS data were available for 90 % of participants at one centre (n = 218). Impaired LV-GLS was detected in 21 % despite LVEF≥50 %. Those with a LVEF<50 % were more frequently male (p = 0.01) with dcSSc (p < 0.01), higher inflammatory markers (p < 0.02) and skeletal muscle disease (p < 0.05). In multivariable analyses, recording a LVEF<50 % was associated with increased mortality (HR2.3, 95 %CI1.0-4.8, p = 0.04). Impaired LV-GLS was also associated with poorer survival in univariable analyses (HR3.4, 95 %CI1.0-11.8, p = 0.05). Those with a LVEF<50 % more frequently recorded WHO Class III/IV dyspnoea (OR3.5, 95 %CI1.6-7.7, p < 0.01), with shorter six-minute walk distance (p = 0.01), higher Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index scores (p < 0.01) and lower Short Form-36 Physical Component Summary scores (p = 0.02). Increased dyspnoea (WHO Class III/IV dyspnoea; OR3.6, 95 %CI1.4-9.2, p < 0.01) was also seen in those with impaired LV-GLS., Conclusions: Both overt and subclinical SSc-associated LV dysfunction are associated with worse survival and impaired physical function. The frequency of abnormal LV-GLS in those with consistently normal LVEF suggests an under-appreciated burden of subtle LV systolic dysfunction in SSc that has a significant impact on patient symptomatology., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The Australian Scleroderma Interest Group received research support grants from Actelion. WS has received consulting fees from Boehringer Ingelheim. MN has received consulting fees from Janssen, Boehringer Ingelheim, Astra Zeneca and GSK, and honoraria from Janssen, Boehringer Ingelheim and GSK. JF has received honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim and conference sponsorship from Pfizer. DP has received speaker fees/honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim, Novartis and Janssen. LH has been a paid speaker for the Limbic publication and Abbvie. SP has received honoraria from Janssen and Boehringer Ingelheim. JS and JW have received honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim Pty Ltd., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objective: To describe the epidemiology, associations, and impact of inflammatory arthritis (IA) in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Patients with SSc prospectively enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study were included. IA was defined clinically as the presence of synovitis on examination. Logistic regression was used to determine the associations of IA with SSc manifestations and serological parameters. Patient-reported outcome measures were used to capture physical function and health-related quality of life (HRQoL)., Results: IA was a common SSc manifestation affecting one-third (33.3%) of patients over a median follow-up of 4.3 (1.7-8.4) years. Associations of IA included diffuse SSc (odds ratio [OR] 1.33, 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.01-1.74, P = 0.042), concurrent musculoskeletal manifestations (joint contractures and tendon friction rubs, OR 1.70, 95% CI 1.34-2.15, P < 0.001); myositis (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.39-3.20, P < 0.001), and sicca symptoms (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.14-2.16, P = 0.006), whereas IA was negatively associated with pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.35-0.78, P = 0.002). Neither the presence of rheumatoid factor nor U1 small nuclear RNP were associated with IA (OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.88-1.44, P = 0.331, OR 1.46, 95% CI 0.89-2.39, P = 0.129 respectively). Positive anticyclic citrullinated protein antibodies, although at low frequency, were more common in those with IA compared with those without IA (7.5% vs 1.5%, P < 0.001). IA was associated with significantly lower HRQoL score (P < 0.001) and more physical disability than in those without IA (P < 0.001)., Conclusion: IA is a common disease manifestation that is more frquently seen in diffuse disease. IA is associated with poor HRQoL and physical disability. Further research is needed into the effective management of IA in SSc., (© 2024 The Authors. Arthritis Care & Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Objectives: To determine the frequency, clinical correlates and implications of clinical evidence of muscle disease in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants with ≥1 creatine kinase (CK) and proximal power assessment were subdivided according to presence of proximal weakness (PW: proximal muscle power<5/5) and CK elevation(≥140IU/L). Participants were assigned to one of four groups: concurrent PW&CK elevation, PW alone, CK elevation alone or neither. Between-group comparisons were made with chi-squared, ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis tests. Survival analysis was performed using time-varying-covariate Cox regression modelling. Longitudinal data were modelled using multinomial logistic and linear regression., Results: Of 1786 participants, 4 % had concurrent PW&CK elevation, 15 % PW alone, 24 % CK elevation and 57 % neither. Participants with PW&CK elevation displayed a severe, inflammatory SSc phenotype, with more frequent dcSSc(p < 0.01), tendon friction rubs(p < 0.01), synovitis(p < 0.01) and digital ulceration(p = 0.03). Multimorbidity(p < 0.01) and cardiopulmonary disease, including ischaemic heart disease(p < 0.01) and pulmonary arterial hypertension(p < 0.01), were most common in those with PW, with and without CK elevation. Men with anti-Scl70 positivity most frequently had CK elevation alone, without other significant clinical differences. Multivariable modelling demonstrated 3.6-fold increased mortality in those with PW&CK elevation (95 %CI 1.9-6.6, p < 0.01) and 2.1-fold increased mortality in PW alone (95 %CI 1.4-3.0, p < 0.01) compared to those without PW or CK elevation. CK elevation alone conferred better survival (HR 0.7, 95 %CI 0.4-1.1, p = 0.09) compared to those with no PW or CK elevation. PW regardless of CK elevation was associated with impaired physical function, with reduced six-minute-walk-distance (p < 0.01), higher HAQ-DI scores (p < 0.01) and increased patient-reported dyspnoea (p = 0.04)., Conclusion: Clinical features of myopathy are highly prevalent in SSc, affecting almost half of our study cohort. Detection of PW and elevated CK alone, even without imaging or histopathological identification of SSc-myopathy, identified important clinical associations and are associated with poorer function and overall prognosis., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest SP has received honoraria from Janssen. JS and JW have received honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim Pty Ltd. WS has received consultancies from Jansenn and Boehringer-Ingelheim. MN has received honoraria or consultancies from Janssen, AstraZeneca, GlaxoSmithKlein, Boehringer-Ingelheim and Bristol-Myers Squibb. JF has received conference sponsorship from Pfizer and honoraria from Boehringer-Ingelheim. LH has been a paid speaker for the Limbic publication., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: To quantify the frequency and impact of malnutrition in systemic sclerosis (SSc), as diagnosed by the Global Leadership Initiative on Malnutrition (GLIM) criteria, based on weight loss, body mass index (BMI) and muscle atrophy., Methods: Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc with ≥1 concurrent weight and height measurement were included. Chi-squared tests, two-sample t-tests or Wilcoxon rank-sum tests were used for between-group comparison as appropriate. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to establish the determinants of malnutrition diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analyses, based on malnutrition diagnosis, and individual GLIM criteria (% weight loss, BMI thresholds and presence of muscle atrophy)., Results: In this study of 1903 participants, 43% were diagnosed with malnutrition according to GLIM criteria, of whom 33% had severe malnutrition. Participants diagnosed with malnutrition were older, and more likely to have dcSSc, higher SSc severity scores and RNA polymerase-3 positivity. Gastrointestinal (GI) involvement, multimorbidity, cardiopulmonary disease, raised inflammatory markers, hypoalbuminaemia and anaemia were more common in malnourished participants (p< 0.01). Multimorbidity (OR1.6, 95%CI1.2-2.0, p< 0.01), pulmonary arterial hypertension (OR2.1, 95%CI1.4-2.0, p< 0.01) and upper GI symptoms (OR1.6, 95%CI1.3-2.0, p< 0.01) were all associated with malnutrition.Health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) and physical function were poorer in malnourished participants. Survival was worse in those with malnutrition after adjusting for age, sex and dcSSc (HR 1.4, 95%CI1.1-1.7, p< 0.01)., Conclusions: Malnutrition is common in SSc and confers poorer survival, HRQoL and physical function., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology.)

Objective: To identify those with concurrent pulmonary hypertension (PH) and interstitial lung disease (ILD) in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and determine their disease severity, therapeutic approach, and survival., Methods: Consecutive SSc patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) who were diagnosed on right heart catherisation with pulmonary hypertension were included. Logistic regression was used to determine the associations of ILD with PH hemodynamic parameters and therapeutic approach. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to estimate survival., Results: Of 1,883 SSc patients, 164 (8.7%) developed incident PH over a median follow up of 4.3 (1.7-7.9) years. Of these, 43.9% had concurrent ILD at PH diagnosis (PH-ILD) and 56.1% had Group 1 PAH. Extensive ILD was present at PH diagnosis in 40.3%. Despite these distinct PH cohorts, a similar frequency of each PH cohort was treated with vasodilatory therapy at PH diagnosis, regardless of the presence or severity of ILD. The majority (87.5%) of those with extensive ILD and PH received upfront vasodilatory therapy at PH diagnosis with no difference in its tolerability or therapy cessation compared with Group 1 PAH. Although vasodilator therapy was not associated with a survival advantage in those with extensive ILD, its use was associated with an improvement in symptoms, physical function, and quality of life (QoL)., Conclusion: Despite vasodilator therapy, survival in SSc-PH is poor, with the presence of concurrent ILD associated with worse survival. Although vasodilator therapy commenced at PH diagnosis does not portray an improved survival in PH with extensive ILD, it appears well tolerated and may improve symptoms, physical function, and QoL., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: Regular clinical assessment for complications of systemic sclerosis (SSc) such as pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) is essential for early institution of therapy and improved outcomes. The objective of this study was to determine the impact of COVID-19 pandemic-related restrictions on health care access of patients with SSc, including screening for PAH., Methods: South Australian and Victorian patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study were surveyed about their perceptions of the impact of the pandemic on mental well-being, access to medications, investigations, and management of SSc. Frequency of annual rheumatology assessments, pulmonary function tests (PFT), and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) to screen for PAH were compared with rates from before the pandemic., Results: A total of 312 of 810 patients with SSc responded (38.5% response); 273 were female (87.5%), the median age was 64.7 years, 77.2% had limited disease, the median illness duration was 15.6 years, 15.7% were immunosuppressed, 32.1% had interstitial lung disease, and 6.4% had PAH. A total of 65.7% of consultations were by telehealth, of which 81.2% were by telephone. Compared with respondents in South Australia (n = 109), Victorian respondents (n = 203) experiencing prolonged lockdown, reported reduced access to their rheumatologist (49.3% vs 27.9%; P = 0.004), greater use of consultation by video (17.3% vs 2.1%; P = 0.008), greater health care disruption (49.0% vs 23.2%; P < 0.001), and worse mental health (P = 0.002). Respondents reported reduced access to PFT and TTE (31.7% and 22.5%, respectively). Annual visits, PFT, TTE, and new diagnoses of PAH were reduced in 2020 to 2022 compared with 2011 to 2019., Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic-related disruption to health care for patients with SSc was associated with worse mental health and reduced screening and diagnosis of PAH, which may impact long-term outcomes., (© 2023 The Authors. Arthritis Care & Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Digital ulcers (DU) are a common, severe vascular manifestation of systemic sclerosis (SSc) with few effective treatment options. Using data from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS), we sought to evaluate the effect of calcium channel blockers (CCB) on the treatment and prevention of DU.Using data from 1953 participants, with a median of 4.34 years of follow-up, we used generalised estimating equations to evaluate the clinical characteristics associated with CCB use and ascertain the risk factors for the presence of DU at subsequent study visits. A time-dependent Cox-proportional hazard model was applied to evaluate the risk of future occurrence of DU with CCB use.Sixty-six percent of participants received CCB and patients with a history of DU were more likely to be prescribed a CCB (76.76% vs 53.70%, p < 0.01). CCB use was more frequent in patients with severe complications of DU including chronic DU (OR 1.47, p = 0.02), need for hospitalisation for iloprost (OR 1.30, p = 0.01) or antibiotics (OR 1.36, p = 0.04) and digital amputation (OR 1.48, p < 0.01). Use of CCB was more likely in patients who experienced DU at subsequent study visits (OR 1.32, p < 0.01) and was not associated with a decreased risk of the development of a first DU (HR 0.94, p = 0.65).CCB are frequently used in the management of SSc in the ASCS and their use is associated with severe peripheral vascular manifestations of SSc. However, our results suggest that CCB may not be effective in the healing or prevention of DU., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Objectives: Damage accrual in SSc can be tracked using the Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Damage Index (DI). Our goal was to develop a prediction model for damage accrual in SSc patients with early disease., Methods: Using patients with <2 years disease duration from Canada and Australia as a derivation cohort, and from the Netherlands as a validation cohort, we used group-based trajectory modelling (GBTM) to determine 'good' and 'bad' latent damage trajectories. We developed a prediction model from this analysis and applied it to patients from derivation and validation cohorts. We plotted the actual DI trajectories of the patients predicted to be in 'good' or 'bad' groups., Results: We found that the actual trajectories of damage accumulation for lcSSc and dcSSc were very different, so we studied each subset separately. GBTM found two distinct trajectories in lcSSc and three in dcSSc. We collapsed the two worse trajectories in the dcSSc into one group and developed a prediction model for inclusion in either 'good' or 'bad' trajectories. The performance of models using only baseline DI and sex was excellent with ROC AUC of 0.9313 for lcSSc and 0.9027 for dcSSc. Using this model, we determined whether patients would fall into 'good' or 'bad' trajectory groups and then plotted their actual trajectories which showed clear differences between the predicted 'good' and 'bad' cases in both derivation and validation cohorts., Conclusions: A simple model using only cutaneous subset, baseline DI and sex can predict damage accumulation in early SSc., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: In patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc), we investigated composite serum biomarker panels for the diagnosis and risk stratification of SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD)., Methods: We analyzed 28 biomarkers in 640 participants: 259 patients with SSc-ILD and 179 SSc patients without ILD (Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study), 172 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF-controls) (Australian IPF Registry), and 30 healthy controls. A composite index was developed from biomarkers associated with ILD in multivariable analysis derived at empirical thresholds. We evaluated the performance of the index to identify ILD, and specifically SSc-ILD, and its association with lung function, disease extent on radiography, and patient health-related quality of life in derivation and validation cohorts. Biomarkers to distinguish SSc-ILD from IPF-controls were identified., Results: A composite biomarker index, comprising surfactant protein D (SP-D), Ca15-3, and intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM-1), was strongly associated with SSc-ILD diagnosis, independent of age, sex, smoking history, and lung function (for biomarker index score 3, pooled adjusted odds ratio was 12.72 (95% confidence interval 4.59-35.21) (P < 0.001). The composite index strengthened the performance of individual biomarkers for SSc-ILD identification. In SSc patients, a higher index was associated with worse baseline disease severity (for biomarker index score 3 relative to biomarker index score 0, the adjusted absolute change in forced vital capacity percent predicted was -17.84% and the diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide percent predicted was -20.16%; both P < 0.001)., Conclusion: A composite serum biomarker index, comprising SP-D, Ca15-3, and ICAM-1, may improve the identification and risk stratification of ILD in SSc patients at baseline., (© 2023 The Authors. Arthritis & Rheumatology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Background: Bronchiectasis has been observed in association with systemic sclerosis (SSc). Theorised aetiology includes aspiration related to oesophageal dysmotility, immunosuppressant medication use and the direct effect of collagen deposition on airway calibre., Aims: To detail bronchiectasis prevalence in an SSc population who have had a high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) of the thorax. We assessed whether oesophageal dysmotility, demographic variables, SSc duration or subclass were associated with bronchiectasis., Methods: Participants in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) with a HRCT were included. The ASCS provided demographic and clinical data. HRCT studies were reviewed for bronchiectasis, oesophageal dilatation and interstitial lung disease (ILD). Traction bronchiectasis associated with ILD was recorded as a separate entity to bronchiectasis. Oesophageal dysmotility was defined by symptoms and/or oesophageal dilatation., Results: Of the 256 participants, 16.4% (n = 42) had bronchiectasis. Logistic regression analysis revealed no significant association between bronchiectasis and oesophageal dysmotility (observed in 95.7%), any demographic variable, SSc duration or subclass. A negative association between bronchiectasis and ILD was observed (P = 0.009; odds ratio 0.322; 95% confidence intervals 0.137-0.756)., Conclusion: Those with SSc appear to have an increased risk for bronchiectasis. Since bronchiectasis was not more frequent in participants with a longer duration of SSc, we hypothesise that its development is not related to immunosuppression alone. Oesophageal dysmotility was almost universal in our population such that its effect on bronchiectasis development could not be concluded. A negative association between bronchiectasis and ILD reflects that bronchiectasis occurring alongside ILD was recorded as a separate entity., (© 2021 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.)

Objectives: To describe the clinical phenotype and prognosis of people in the Australian Scleroderma (SSc) Cohort Study with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) with or without interstitial lung disease (ILD)., Methods: Participants meeting ACR/EULAR criteria for SSc were divided into four mutually exclusive groups: those meeting criteria for PAH (PAH-only), ILD (ILD-only), concurrent PAH and ILD (PAH-ILD) or neither PAH nor ILD (SSc-only). Logistic or linear regression analyses were used for associations between clinical features, health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and physical function. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox-regression modelling., Results: Of 1561 participants, 7% fulfilled criteria for PAH-only, 24% ILD-only, 7% PAH-ILD and 62% SSc-only. People with PAH-ILD were more frequently male, with diffuse skin involvement, higher inflammatory markers, older age of SSc onset and higher frequency of extensive ILD than the cohort overall (p < 0.001). People of Asian race more frequently developed PAH-ILD (p < 0.001). People with PAH-ILD or PAH-only had worse WHO functional class and 6-min-walk-distance than ILD-only (p < 0.001). HRQoL scores were worst in those with PAH-ILD (p < 0.001). Survival was reduced in the PAH-only and PAH-ILD groups (p < 0.01). Multivariable hazard modelling demonstrated the worst prognosis in extensive ILD and PAH (HR = 5.65 95% CI 3.50-9.12 p < 0.01), followed by PAH-only (HR = 4.21 95% CI 2.89-6.13 p < 0.01) and PAH with limited ILD (HR = 2.46 95% CI 1.52-3.99 p < 0.01)., Conclusions: The prevalence of concurrent PAH-ILD in the ASCS is 7%, with poorer survival in those patients with PAH-ILD compared to ILD or SSc alone. The presence of PAH confers a poorer overall prognosis than even extensive ILD; however, further data are required to better understand the clinical outcomes of this high-risk patient group., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Objective: Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is an autoimmune disease characterized by progressive organ damage, which can be measured using the Scleroderma Clinical Trials Consortium Damage Index (SCTC-DI). We aimed to identify whether distinct trajectories of damage accrual exist and to determine which variables are associated with different trajectory groups., Methods: Incident cases of SSc (<2 years) were identified in the Australian Scleroderma Interest Group and Canadian Scleroderma Research Group prospective registries. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify SCTC-DI trajectories over the cohort's first 5 annual visits. Baseline variables associated with trajectory membership in a univariate analysis were examined in multivariable models., Results: A total of 410 patients were included. Three trajectory groups were identified: low (54.6%), medium (36.2%), and high (10.3%) damage. Patients with faster damage accrual had higher baseline SCTC-DI scores. Older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.57 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.18-2.10]), male sex (OR 2.55 [95% CI 1.10-5.88]), diffuse disease (OR 6.7 [95% CI 2.57-17.48]), tendon friction rubs (OR 5.4 [95% CI 1.86-15.66]), and elevated C-reactive protein level (OR 1.98 [95% CI 1.49-2.63]) increased the odds of being in the high-damage group versus the reference (low damage), whereas White ethnicity (OR 0.31 [95% CI 0.12-0.75]) and anticentromere antibodies (OR 0.24 [95% CI 0.07-0.77]) decreased the odds., Conclusion: We identified 3 trajectories of damage accrual in a combined incident SSc cohort. Several characteristics increased the odds of belonging to worse trajectories. These findings may be helpful in recognizing patients in whom early aggressive treatment is necessary., (© 2022 American College of Rheumatology.)

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is an autoinflammatory, fibrotic condition of unknown aetiology. The presence of detectable autoantibodies against diverse nuclear antigens, as well as strong HLA associations with disease, suggest autoimmune involvement, however the links between endogenous and exogenous risk factors and SSc pathology remain undetermined. We have conducted a genetic analysis of HLA inheritance in two independent and meta-analysed cohorts of 1,465 SSc cases and 13,273 controls, including stratified association analyses in clinical and autoantibody positive subgroups of disease. Additionally, we have used patient genotypes to impute gene dosages across the KIR locus, encoding paired activating and inhibitory lymphocyte receptors for Class I HLA ligands, to conduct the largest analysis of KIR-HLA epistatic interactions in SSc to date. We confirm previous Class II HLA associations with SSc risk and report a new Class I association with haplotype HLA-B*44:03-HLA-C*16:01  at genome-wide significance (GWS). We further report statistically significant HLA associations with clinical and serological subtypes of disease through direct case-case comparison, and report a new association of HLA-DRB1*15:01 , previously shown to bind topoisomerase-1 derived peptides, with anti-topoisomerase (ATA) positive disease. Finally, we identify genetic epistasis between KIRs and HLA class I ligands, suggesting genetic modulation of lymphocyte activation may further contribute to an individual's underlying disease risk. Taken together, these findings support future functional investigation into endogenous immunological and environmental stimuli for disrupted immune tolerance in SSc., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Hanson, Sahhar, Ngian, Roddy, Walker, Stevens, Nikpour, Assassi, Proudman, Mayes, Kenna and Brown.)

Objective: We undertook this study to examine the X chromosome complement in participants with systemic sclerosis (SSc) as well as idiopathic inflammatory myopathies., Methods: The participants met classification criteria for the diseases. All participants underwent single-nucleotide polymorphism typing. We examined X and Y single-nucleotide polymorphism heterogeneity to determine the number of X chromosomes. For statistical comparisons, we used χ 2 analyses with calculation of 95% confidence intervals., Results: Three of seventy men with SSc had 47,XXY (P = 0.0001 compared with control men). Among the 435 women with SSc, none had 47,XXX. Among 709 men with polymyositis or dermatomyositis (PM/DM), seven had 47,XXY (P = 0.0016), whereas among the 1783 women with PM/DM, two had 47,XXX. Of 147 men with inclusion body myositis (IBM), six had 47,XXY, and 1 of the 114 women with IBM had 47,XXX. For each of these myositis disease groups, the excess 47,XXY and/or 47,XXX was significantly higher compared with in controls as well as the known birth rate of Klinefelter syndrome or 47,XXX., Conclusion: Klinefelter syndrome (47,XXY) is associated with SSc and idiopathic inflammatory myopathies, similar to other autoimmune diseases with type 1 interferon pathogenesis, namely, systemic lupus erythematosus and Sjögren syndrome., (© 2022 The Authors. ACR Open Rheumatology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)

Background: To describe the epidemiology, determinants and survival impact of gastric antral vascular ectasia (GAVE) in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Consecutive SSc patients prospectively enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study (ASCS) were included. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression were used to determine the associations of GAVE with clinical manifestations and serological parameters. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves were used to estimate survival., Results: The prevalence of GAVE in this SSc cohort of 2039 SSc patients was 10.6% (n = 216) over a median follow-up period of 4.3(1.7-8.4) years. SSc patients with a history of GAVE compared with those without a history of GAVE were older at SSc onset [49.5 (40.0-58.2) vs 46.7 (36.0-56.7) years, p = 0.05]; more likely to have diffuse disease subtype (dcSSc) (35.3% vs 24.1%, p < 0.001); be negative for Scl-70, U1RNP and Scl/PM antibody (4.0% vs 16.1%, p < 0.001, 3.5% vs 7.4%, p = 0.041, 0.0% vs 2.0%, p = 0.042; and respectively) and positive for RNAP III antibody (24.9% vs 8.3%, p < 0.001). Those with GAVE had a worse HRQoL (p = 0.002). Independent determinants of GAVE included the presence of RNAP III antibody (OR 3.46, p < 0.001), absence of Scl-70 antibody (OR 0.23, p = 0.001), presence of GIT dysmotility (OR 1.64, p = 0.004), and digital ulcers; pits; or digital amputation (OR 1.59, p = 0.014)., Conclusions: GAVE is an underestimated and underappreciated SSc manifestation of SSc, which occurs with a relatively high frequency. Identifying an at-risk GAVE phenotype, as presented herein, is of practical importance as screening may prove advantageous given GAVE can be easily diagnosed and treated., (© 2022. The Author(s).)

Aim: Despite reports of decreased bone mineral density in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in international cohorts, the prevalence of osteoporosis in Australian SSc patients remains unknown. We report rates of dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scanning in an SSc cohort at a tertiary hospital specialized outpatient clinic and the prevalence and associations of osteoporosis in screened patients., Method: We performed retrospective chart review to determine if patients underwent DXA scanning between 2007 and 2018 and extracted lumbar spine and femoral neck T-scores, fracture history, and osteoporosis therapy., Results: Of 244 patients, 104 (42.6%) underwent DXA scanning and among patients in whom T-scores were available (n = 91), 30 (33.0%) had osteoporosis and 48 (52.7%) had osteopenia. Screened patients were more likely to have longer disease duration (19.9 vs 15.2 years, P = 0.002), calcinosis (50.5% vs 36.4%, P = 0.028), myositis (12.6% vs 0.7%, P < 0.001), synovitis (42.7% vs 28.6%, P = 0.022), ever used prednisolone (76.7% vs 47.1%, P < 0.001) or fractures (23.0% vs 0.0%, P < 0.001). Patients with osteoporosis more commonly had a history of nasogastric feeding, percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy feeding or intravenous total parenteral nutrition (6.9% vs 0.0%, P = 0.038) and, unexpectedly, less commonly ever used prednisolone (58.6% vs 85.2%, P = 0.005) compared with patients with osteopenia or normal bone density., Conclusion: We identified high rates of osteoporosis among screened Australian SSc patients. Further assessment in larger, prospective studies is needed to establish guidelines for formal osteoporosis screening in SSc patients., (© 2021 Asia Pacific League of Associations for Rheumatology and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd.)

Objective : We undertook a comprehensive cross-sectional analysis of a multicentred Australian cohort of systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients to evaluate the associations of anti-Ro52/TRIM21 with SSc pulmonary involvement. Method : The study included 596 patients from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study database whose anti-Ro52/TRIM21 status was known. Anti-Ro52/TRIM21 was measured via line immunoassay. Data on demographic variables, autoantibody profiles, presence of interstitial lung disease (ILD), presence of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), oxygen saturation, Six-Minute Walk Test distance, Borg dyspnoea score, and lung function tests were extracted. SPSS software was used to examine associations using univariate and multivariate analyses. Results : Anti-Ro52/TRIM21 was present in 34.4% of SSc patients. In the cross-sectional analysis, anti-Ro52/TRIM21 was independently associated with PAH [odds ratio 1.75, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-2.90], but not ILD or other surrogate measures of pulmonary involvement such as average patient oxygen saturation. The antibody, however, was also associated with a higher forced vital capacity/diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide ratio. Prospectively, anti-Ro52/TRIM21 was also associated with an increased risk of death in patients with SSc (hazard ratio 1.62, 95% CI 1.11-2.35), independent of confounding factors. The primary cause of death appeared to be related to PAH and/or ILD, and anti-Ro52/TRIM21 was associated with PAH-related complications. Conclusion : Anti-Ro52/TRIM21 was independently associated with PAH and mortality in SSc patients. Future longitudinal studies are recommended to investigate the timing and pathogenic mechanisms of this autoantibody in PAH.

Background: Abnormalities of left ventricular (LV) structure, filling and long-axis function have all been reported in subjects with systemic sclerosis (SSc) and a normal LV ejection fraction (EF), but previous study findings have not been consistent. The aim of this study was to identify factors which could have confounded the analyses in previous studies of SSc, and in particular to consider the variables of body surface area (BSA), sex, age, heart rate, blood pressure (BP), disease duration (DD), disease type (limited versus diffuse) and interstitial lung disease (ILD)., Methods: Echocardiography was performed on 100 subjects with SSc (79 women; age 56±15 years) with a LVEF ≥50% and free of pulmonary arterial hypertension, coronary artery disease, more than mild valvular heart disease and atrial fibrillation. Measurements were performed of the LV end-diastolic dimension (LVEDD) and septal wall thickness (SWT), the transmitral Doppler E, A and deceleration time (DT), and the peak systolic (s') and early diastolic (e') LV long-axis velocities. Multivariate analyses were performed to investigate correlations of the above LV variables with BSA, sex, age, heart rate, BP, DD, disease type, and the presence of ILD., Results: DD varied between 0.1 and 41.2 years, 25% had diffuse and 75% had limited disease, and 37% had ILD. SWT and LVEDD were positively correlated with BSA, SWT was also positively correlated with age and larger in males, and LVEDD was larger in diffuse disease. Age was positively correlated with A and DT, and inversely correlated with E and E/A, and heart rate was inversely correlated with E and E/A. None of E, A, E/A, or DT were independently associated with DD or disease type. Septal and lateral LV wall s' and e' were all inversely correlated with age, and there was a small independent contribution to the prediction of lateral s' from DD, but no association of either s' or e' with disease type. The presence of ILD was not a predictor of any of the LV variables., Conclusion: In SSc there are associations of sex, body size, age and disease type with LV structural variables, of age and heart rate with E/A, and of age with both systolic and early diastolic LV long-axis velocities. Appropriate adjustment for these variables could help to resolve current uncertainties regarding SSc effects on the left ventricle., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Objective: To describe the clinical characteristics and outcomes of systemic sclerosis-mixed connective tissue disease (SSc-MCTD) and SSc overlap syndrome., Methods: We included patients from the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study who met American College of Rheumatology/European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology criteria for SSc. Three mutually exclusive groups were created: SSc-MCTD, SSc overlap, and SSc only. Univariate comparison of clinical features was performed by analysis of variance or chi-square test. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves and Cox proportional hazards regression models., Results: Of 1,728 patients, 97 (5.6%) had SSc-MCTD, and 126 (7.3%) had SSc overlap. Those with MCTD-SSc were more commonly Asian (18.3% versus 10.1% in SSc overlap, and 3.6% in SSc only; P < 0.0001) and younger at disease onset (38.4 years versus 46.5 or 46.8 years, P < 0.0001). Those with SSc-MCTD or SSc overlap were more likely to have limited cutaneous SSc. All 3 groups had similar frequency of interstitial lung disease (ILD), although pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) was less common in SSc overlap. Synovitis and myositis were more common in SSc overlap and SSc-MCTD than in SSc only. KM curves showed better survival in SSc-MCTD than SSc overlap or SSc only (P = 0.011), but this was not significant after adjustment for sex and age at disease onset. SSc-specific antibodies were survival prognostic markers, with antinuclear antibody centromere or anti-RNP conferring better survival than anti-Scl-70 or anti-RNA polymerase III (P = 0.005). Patients with SSc-MCTD and SSc overlap had lower mortality following diagnosis of ILD and PAH than patients with SSc only., Conclusion: This study provides insights into the clinical characteristics of patients with SSc-MCTD, SSc overlap, and SSc only and shows that anti-RNP antibodies are associated with better survival than anti-Scl-70 and anti-RNA polymerase III antibodies., (© 2020, American College of Rheumatology.)

Background To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of combination pulmonary arterial hypertension specific therapy in systemic sclerosis-related PAH. Methods and Results Health outcomes and costs were captured through data linkage. Health utility was derived from Medical Outcomes Study Short Form-36 scores. A probabilistic discrete-time model was developed to simulate lifetime changes in costs and health utility. Mortality was predicted using a Gompertz parametric survival model. For both treatment arms, the simulations were started using the same cohort of 10 000 patients. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed using the Monte Carlo simulation with 1000 sets of sampled parameter values. Of 143 patients with systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension, 89 were on monotherapy and 54 on combination therapy. Mean simulated costs per patient per year in monotherapy and combination therapy groups were AU$23 411 (US$16 080) and AU$29 129 (US$19 982), respectively. Mean life years and quality-adjusted life years from pulmonary arterial hypertension diagnosis to death of patients receiving monotherapy were 7.1 and 3.0, respectively, and of those receiving combination therapy were 9.2 and 3.9, respectively. Incremental costs per life year and quality-adjusted life year gained of combination therapy compared with monotherapy were AU$47 989 (US$32 920) and AU$113 823 (US$78 082), respectively. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of AU$102 000 (US$69 972) per life year gained, and of AU$177 222 (US$121 574) per quality-adjusted life year gained, the probability of combination therapy being cost-effective was 0.95. Conclusions The incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year gained of combination therapy compared with monotherapy was substantial in the base case analysis. Given the fatal prognosis of systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension and the incremental cost per life year of AU$47 989 (US$32 920), combination therapy could be considered cost-effective in systemic sclerosis-related pulmonary arterial hypertension.

Assessment of disease activity in systemic sclerosis (SSc) is limited by the absence of a fully validated, multisystem measure of disease activity. The European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group (EUSTAR) SSc activity index (EScSG-AI) was recently revised, and a validation study within the EUSTAR cohort was performed. In this study, we evaluated the performance of the revised EScSG-AI in an external Australian cohort. The association between the EScSG-AI and the physician global assessment of disease activity (PhGA), both collected prospectively at each annual visit over up to 12 years follow-up, was evaluated using Pearson's correlation coefficient and Cohen's kappa coefficient. Generalized linear modelling and time-dependent Cox regression analysis were performed to determine the association of disease activity measured by the EScSG-AI and the summed Medsger Severity Scale (MSS) and death, respectively. There was a moderate correlation between EScSG-AI and PhGA scores (r 0.42, p < 0.001) and moderate association between rising EScSG-AI and summed MSS (r 0.60, p < 0.001). High disease activity, measured by the EScSG-AI at any time during follow-up, was associated with a hazard ratio of 2.07 (95% CI 1.51-2.79) for mortality. The EScSG-AI has a moderate correlation with physician-assessed SSc disease activity. This suggests that the criterion and construct validity of the EScSG-AI are yet to be demonstrated in an external cohort of SSc patients. Key Points •There remains no gold standard measure of SSc disease activity. •The revised 2017 EUSTAR SSc disease activity index shows moderate correlation with physician-rated global disease activity. •Significant work remains to develop a validated multisystem measure of disease activity in SSc.

Objective: To determine the frequency of self-reported occupational exposure to silica in SSc patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study, and to compare the disease characteristics of the silica-exposed patients with those of the non-exposed patients., Method: Data collected over a 12-year period from 1670 SSc patients were analysed. We compared the demographic and clinical characteristics of those who reported occupational silica exposure with those who did not. A subgroup analysis of male patients was performed, as well as a multivariable analysis of correlates of silica exposure., Results: Overall, 126 (7.5%) of the cohort reported occupational silica exposure. These individuals were more likely to be male (73 of 231, i.e. 31.6% males exposed) and to have worked in mining and construction industries. Those who reported silica exposure were younger at the onset of SSc skin involvement [odds ratio (OR) 0.9, P = 0.02], of male gender (OR 14.9, P < 0.001), have joint contractures (OR 1.8, P = 0.05) and have higher physical disability as defined by scleroderma HAQ (OR 1.4, P = 0.01)., Conclusion: The highest percentage of silica exposure was found in males. These patients were more likely to have the presence of certain clinical manifestations and Scl-70 antibody, which is known to confer a poor prognosis. These findings support the association between occupational silica exposure and the subsequent development of SSc. Further investigation is required to describe the range of clinical manifestations and disease course, including prognosis and treatment response, in those diagnosed with occupationally induced SSc compared with idiopathic SSc., (© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Objective: To quantify the burden of cancer in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and standardized mortality ratios relative to the general Australian population were derived. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate survival in patients with SSc with cancer compared to patients without. Determinants of cancer were identified using logistic regression. Health care cost was quantified through cross-jurisdictional data linkage., Results: This SSc cohort of 1,727 had a cancer incidence of 1.3% per year and a prevalence of 14.2%, with a SIR of 2.15 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.84-2.49). The most common cancers were breast, melanoma, hematologic, and lung. Anti-RNA polymerase III (RNAP) antibody was associated with an increased risk of cancer (odds ratio [OR] 2.9, P = 0.044), diagnosed within 5 years of SSc disease onset. Calcium channel blockers were associated with a higher risk of overall cancer (OR 1.47, P = 0.016), breast cancer (OR 1.61, P = 0.051), and melanoma (OR 2.01, P = 0.042). Interstitial lung disease (ILD) was associated with lung cancer (OR 2.83, P = 0.031). Incident SSc cancer patients had >2-fold increased mortality compared to patients with SSc without cancer (hazard ratio 2.85 [95% CI 1.51-5.37], P = 0.001). Patients with SSc and cancer utilized more health care than those without cancer, with an excess annual health care cost of $1,496 Australian (P < 0.001)., Conclusion: SSc carries an increased risk of developing cancer, particularly lung cancer associated with ILD, and breast cancer and melanoma occurring close to SSc disease onset in association with RNAP antibodies. Compared to those patients without cancer, patients with SSc and cancer had higher mortality and an increased health care cost, with an annual excess per patient cost of $1,496 Australian (P < 0.001)., (© 2020, American College of Rheumatology.)

Objective: To evaluate the association between patient-reported symptoms and changes in disease activity over time in systemic sclerosis (SSc)., Methods: Using data from 1,636 patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study, we used generalized estimating equations to determine the relationship between patient-reported worsening of Raynaud's phenomenon (RP), skin involvement, and breathlessness in the month preceding each study visit and features of disease activity in the corresponding organ systems. The associations between the following parameters were analyzed: patient-reported worsening RP and the presence of new-onset digital pitting and digital ulcers; patient-reported worsening skin involvement and increasing modified Rodnan skin thickness score (MRSS); new areas of skin involvement and new-onset joint contractures; patient-reported worsening breathlessness and deteriorating respiratory functions test (RFT) results, indicated by a 10% decrease in forced vital capacity (FVC) and a 15% decrease in diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLco), new-onset interstitial lung disease (ILD), and new-onset pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH)., Results: We found a significant association between patient-reported worsening RP and the presence of digital ulcers (odds ratio [OR] 1.53 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.60-0.93]), patient-reported worsening skin involvement and increasing MRSS (OR 2.10 [95% CI 1.54-2.86]), and worsening patient breathlessness and deteriorating RFTs (FVC OR 2.12 [95% CI 1.70-2.65]; DLco OR 1.97 [95% CI 1.34-2.02]), new-onset ILD (OR 1.91 [95% CI 1.40-2.61]), and new-onset PAH (OR 5.08 [95% CI 3.59-7.19])., Conclusion: These results demonstrate that patient-reported symptoms are associated with clinically meaningful changes in disease activity in patients with SSc. This suggests that when objective measures of change in disease status are unavailable, patient-reported symptoms could be used to indicate a change in SSc disease activity., (© 2019, American College of Rheumatology.)

Objective: To quantify the burden of interstitial lung disease (ILD) in SSc., Methods: Clinical data for SSc patients enrolled in the Australian Scleroderma Cohort Study were linked with healthcare databases for the period 2008-2015. ILD was defined by characteristic fibrotic changes on high-resolution CT (HRCT) lung, while severity was defined by the extent lung involvement on HRCT (mild <10%, moderate 10-30%, severe >30%). Determinants of healthcare cost were estimated using logistic regression., Results: SSc-ILD patients utilized more healthcare resources, including hospitalization, emergency department presentation and ambulatory care services, than those without ILD with a total cost per patient of AUD$48 368 (26 230-93 615) vs AUD$33 657 (15 144-66 905), P<0.001) between 2008-2015. Healthcare utilization was associated with an annual median (25th-75th) excess cost per SSc-ILD patient compared with those without ILD of AUD$1192 (807-1212), P<0.001. Increasing ILD severity was associated with significantly more healthcare utilization and costs with an annual excess cost per patient with severe ILD compared with mild ILD of AUD$2321 (645-1846), P<0.001. ILD severity and the presence of coexistent PAH were the main determinants of overall healthcare cost above median for this SSc-ILD cohort (OR 5.1, P<0.001, and OR 2.6, P=0.01, respectively). Furthermore, SSc-ILD patients reported worse physical HRQoL compared with those without ILD [34.3 (10.5) vs 39.1 (10.8), P<0.001], with a progressive decline with increasing ILD severity (P=0.002)., Conclusion: SSc-ILD places a large burden on the healthcare system and the patient through poor HRQoL in addition to incremental healthcare resource utilization and associated direct cost., (© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Society for Rheumatology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: To determine the frequency and clinical characteristics of systemic sclerosis-related digital ulcers, and associated direct health care costs, quality of life, and survival., Methods: Digital ulcers (DUs) were defined as an area with a visually discernible depth and a loss of continuity of epithelial coverage. DU severity was calculated based on the physician reported highest number of new DUs at clinical review (mild = 1-5 DUs, moderate 6-10 DUs, severe > 10 DUs). Healthcare use was captured through data linkage, wherein SSc clinical data captured prospectively in a dedicated clinical database were linked with health services databases to capture hospital admissions, emergency department (ED) presentations and ambulatory care (MBS) utilization and cost for the period 2008-2015. Healthcare cost determinants were estimated using logistic regression., Results: Among 1085 SSc patients, 48.6% experienced a DU over a mean follow-up of 5.2 ± 2.5 years. Those who developed DUs were more likely to have diffuse disease subtype (34.9% vs 18.2%, p < 0.001), anti-Scl-70 antibody (18.9% vs 9.3%, p < 0.001), and a younger age at SSc onset (43.6 ± 13.9 vs 48.8 ± 14.0 years, p < 0.001) in addition to reduced health-related quality of life (HRQoL) measured by the SF-36 but without a significant impact on survival. SSc patients with a history of a DU utilized significantly more healthcare resources per annum than those without a DU, including hospitalizations, ED presentation, and ambulatory care services. Total healthcare services, excluding medications, were associated with an annual excess cost per DU patient of AUD$12,474 (8574-25,677), p < 0.001, driven by hospital admission and ED presentation costs., Conclusion: DUs place a large burden on the patient and healthcare system through reduced HRQoL and increased healthcare resource utilization and associated cost.