Elodie Bailly, Magali Giral, Christophe Legendre, Marc Ladrière, Dorry L. Segev, Daniel Yoo, Xavier Jouven, Marc Raynaud, Nassim Kamar, Enver Akalin, Edmund Huang, Mark D. Stegall, Carmen Lefaucheur, Peter P. Reese, Moglie Le Quintrec, Olivier Aubert, Stanley C. Jordan, Robert A. Montgomery, Nikolina Bašić-Jukić, Morgan E. Grams, Chen-Shan Chin, Georg A. Böhmig, Josef Coresh, Jean Philippe Empana, Andrew Bentall, Gaurav Gupta, Yassine Bouatou, Denis Glotz, Cécile Proust-Lima, Maarten Naesens, Michel Delahousse, Ivana Jurić, Rainer Oberbauer, Alexandre Loupy, Paris-Centre de Recherche Cardiovasculaire (PARCC (UMR_S 970/ U970)), Hôpital Européen Georges Pompidou [APHP] (HEGP), Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Hôpitaux Universitaires Paris Ouest - Hôpitaux Universitaires Île de France Ouest (HUPO)-Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Hôpitaux Universitaires Paris Ouest - Hôpitaux Universitaires Île de France Ouest (HUPO)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université de Paris (UP), CHU Necker - Enfants Malades [AP-HP], Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP), University of Pennsylvania [Philadelphia], Catholic University of Leuven - Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KU Leuven), Hôpital Purpan [Toulouse], CHU Toulouse [Toulouse], Hôpital de Rangueil, Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées, Hôpital Bretonneau, Centre hospitalier universitaire de Nantes (CHU Nantes), Service de Néphrologie [CHRU Nancy], Centre Hospitalier Régional Universitaire de Nancy (CHRU Nancy), Centre Hospitalier Régional Universitaire [Montpellier] (CHRU Montpellier), Hôpital Foch [Suresnes], University of Zagreb, Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU), Albert Einstein College of Medicine [New York], Bordeaux population health (BPH), Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Institut de Santé Publique, d'Épidémiologie et de Développement (ISPED)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), General Hospital of Vienna, Medizinische Universität Wien = Medical University of Vienna, Mayo Clinic [Rochester], Hopital Saint-Louis [AP-HP] (AP-HP), Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine [Baltimore], Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, and Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine
International audience; Although the gold standard of monitoring kidney transplant function relies on glomerular filtration rate (GFR), little is known about GFR trajectories after transplantation, their determinants, and their association with outcomes. To evaluate these parameters we examined kidney transplant recipients receiving care at 15 academic centers. Patients underwent prospective monitoring of estimated GFR (eGFR) measurements, with assessment of clinical, functional, histological and immunological parameters. Additional validation took place in seven randomized controlled trials that included a total of 14,132 patients with 403,497 eGFR measurements. After a median follow-up of 6.5 years, 1,688 patients developed end-stage kidney disease. Using unsupervised latent class mixed models, we identified eight distinct eGFR trajectories. Multinomial regression models identified seven significant determinants of eGFR trajectories including donor age, eGFR, proteinuria, and several significant histological features: graft scarring, graft interstitial inflammation and tubulitis, microcirculation inflammation, and circulating anti-HLA donor specific antibodies. The eGFR trajectories were associated with progression to end stage kidney disease. These trajectories, their determinants and respective associations with end stage kidney disease were similar across cohorts, as well as in diverse clinical scenarios, therapeutic eras and in the seven randomized control trials. Thus, our results provide the basis for a trajectory-based assessment of kidney transplant patients for risk stratification and monitoring.