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We forecast that growth will pick up to 2.1% in 2024, from 1.7% in 2023. We expect growth to be supported by a rebound in private consumption as average annual [...]

We expect real GDP to grow by 3.2% in 2024, recovering from a 1.2% contraction in 2023. This reflects a temporary boost for the oil industry-and positive spill-over effects for [...]

After the Netherlands emerged from a shallow recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP contracted again in the first quarter of 2024. Although we do not expect the [...]

We forecast that Poland's economy will rebound by 2.9% in real terms in 2024. With real wage growth now strongly positive, the household sector is staging a strong recovery, boosting [...]

We forecast that real GDP will grow by 1.6% in 2024, down from 2.5% in 2023, when growth was boosted by exports and the pharmaceutical sector in particular. Subdued inflation [...]

We expect real GDP growth to remain robust at 3.4% in 2024. Domestic demand will remain relatively strong, in particular for services, as strong construction activity (the largest contributor to [...]

We forecast that real GDP will contract by 0.1% in 2024, after shrinking by 1.2% in 2023. Fiscal consolidation and the slow pace of monetary loosening by the ECB and [...]

We forecast that inflation will decelerate in 2024, to 0.7% (below the ECB's 2% target), down from 4.3% in 2023. The worst of the cost-of-living crisis has now abated, and [...]

We expect real GDP to grow by 4% in 2024, recovering from a 1.2% contraction in 2023. This reflects a temporary boost for the oil industry-and positive spill-over effects for [...]

After a 1.2% contraction in 2023, we expect real GDP growth to recover this year and expand by 4%, reflecting the temporary boost for the oil industry-and positive spillovers into [...]

We expect growth to pick up to 2.6% in 2024, from 1% in 2023. Growth will be supported by recovering consumption and a rise in public investment, particularly in the [...]

After the Netherlands emerged from a shallow recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP contracted again in the first quarter of 2024. Although we do not expect the [...]

We expect real GDP growth to weaken from 4.2% in 2023 to 3.4% in 2024 (revised down from 3.6%). The revision is due to a slowdown in the agriculture sector [...]

Hungary's economy has entered into a recovery phase, with real GDP growth forecast at 2.2% in 2024. A rebound in household spending will be the driver of improving growth prospects. [...]

Following robust GDP growth of 3.2% in 2023-a stronger performance than most of Mexico's regional peers-we forecast that growth will soften to 2.1% in 2024. This deceleration mainly reflects a [...]

Our forecasts for Belarus are subject to significant uncertainty, given the volatile geopolitical situation arising from the war in Ukraine and the uncertain impact of sanctions on economic performance. Real [...]

Real GDP growth will moderate from an estimated 5.1% in 2023 but remain relatively firm, at 4.8% in 2024 and 4.7% in 2025. The slightly slower pace of growth reflects [...]

We expect real GDP growth to accelerate to 3% in both 2024 and 2025, from 2.5% in 2023. Inflation and financial conditions have started to ease, and this will support [...]

We forecast that Poland's economy will rebound by 2.9% in real terms in 2024. With real wage growth now positive, the household sector is staging a strong recovery, boosting retail [...]

Even with trading partners in Europe, especially Germany, forecast to grow slowly at best, Hungary's economy has entered into a recovery phase, with real GDP growth forecast at 2.2% in [...]

We forecast that Poland's economy will rebound by 2.9% in real terms in 2024. With real wages now positive, the household sector is staging a strong recovery, boosting retail and [...]

After emerging from a shallow recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP contracted again in the first quarter of 2024. Although we do not expect the downturn to [...]

After a 1.2% contraction in 2023, real GDP growth is forecast to recover this year and expand by 3.6%, mostly reflecting the temporary boost for the oil industry-and positive spill-overs [...]

Following robust GDP growth of 3.2% in 2023-a stronger performance than most of Mexico's regional peers-we forecast that growth will soften to 2.3% in 2024. This deceleration mainly reflects a [...]

We forecast that growth will pick up to 2.6% in 2024, from 1.7% in 2023. We expect growth to be supported by a rebound in private consumption as average annual [...]

After emerging from a shallow recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP contracted again in the first quarter of 2024. Although we do not expect the downturn to [...]

Even with trading partners in Europe, especially Germany, forecast to grow slowly at best, Hungary's economy has entered into a recovery phase, driven mostly by a strong rebound in household [...]

We expect real GDP growth to remain at 3.4% in 2024. Domestic demand will remain relatively robust, in particular for services, as strong construction activity (the largest contributor to services [...]

We forecast that real GDP will grow by 1.4% in 2024, down from 1.9% in 2023, when growth was boosted by exports and the pharmaceutical sector in particular. Subdued inflation [...]

Following robust GDP growth of 3.2% in 2023-a stronger performance than most of Mexico's regional peers-we forecast that growth will soften to 2.3% in 2024. This deceleration mainly reflects a [...]

We forecast that inflation will decelerate in 2024, to 1.4% (below the ECB's 2% target), down from 4.3% in 2023. The worst of the cost-of-living crisis has now abated, and [...]

We forecast that Hong Kong's GDP will expand by 3.2% in 2024, repeating the rate of expansion recorded in 2023. Private consumption growth will slow as the post-pandemic rebound settles [...]

We expect growth to pick up to 2.9% in 2024, from 1% in 2023-a slower pace than other regional economies in light of a large contraction in investment. Growth will [...]

After emerging from a shallow recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, the economy will grow weakly in 2024, by 1%, with firmer growth likely in 2025-28. Monetary policy in [...]

With major trading partners in Europe, especially Germany, forecast to grow slowly at best, Hungary's economic recovery will be tepid in 2024 at 1.8%. Growth will pick up in the [...]

Our forecasts for Belarus are subject to significant uncertainty, given the volatile geopolitical situation arising from the war in Ukraine and the uncertain impact of sanctions on economic performance. Real [...]

Real GDP growth will decelerate to 1.9% in 2024, from 2.5% in 2023. In 2024 moderate inflation and tight financial conditions will constrain private consumption and investment. Domestic demand will [...]

We forecast real GDP growth of 3.6% in 2024, down from 4.2% in 2023. The deceleration reflects tight domestic and global monetary policies, which are only expected to ease from [...]

We expect growth to pick up marginally to 2.9% in 2024, well above the EU average (1%) following growth of 2.8% in 2023. Domestic demand has remained resilient despite elevated [...]

Following robust GDP growth of 3.2% in 2023-a stronger performance than most of Mexico's regional peers-we forecast that growth will soften to 2.3% in 2024. This deceleration mainly reflects a [...]

We forecast that economic growth in Spain will slow from 2.5% in 2023 to 1.7% in 2024 but remain just above the EU average (of 1%). Easing inflationary pressures, strong [...]

We forecast that Hong Kong's GDP will expand by 3.2% in 2024, repeating the rate of expansion recorded in 2023. Private consumption growth will slow as the post-pandemic rebound settles [...]

With major trading partners in Europe, especially Germany, forecast to grow slowly at best, Hungary's economic recovery will be tepid in 2024 at 1.8%. Growth will pick up in the [...]

We expect real GDP growth to slow to 5.6% in 2024 (from an estimated 6% in 2023). Robust export growth, growing consumption and fixed investment will be the primary drivers [...]

We forecast that Hong Kong's GDP will expand by 3.2% in 2024, repeating the estimated rate of expansion in 2023. Private consumption growth will slow as the post-pandemic rebound settles [...]

After emerging from a shallow recession in the fourth quarter of 2023, the economy will grow weakly in 2024, by 0.9%, with firmer growth likely in 2025-28. Monetary policy, both [...]

Following robust GDP growth estimated at 3.2% in full-year 2023-a stronger performance than most of Mexico's regional peers-we forecast that growth will soften to 2.3% in 2024. This deceleration mainly [...]