1. Dual-strain dynamics of COVID-19 variants in India: Modeling, analysis, and implications for pandemic control.
- Author
-
Singh Negi S, Sharma N, and Mehmet Baskonus H
- Subjects
- Humans, India epidemiology, Basic Reproduction Number, COVID-19 Vaccines immunology, Pandemics, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 virology, SARS-CoV-2 immunology
- Abstract
This study introduces a detailed compartmental model developed to understand the complex dynamics of COVID-19 transmission, focusing on the Delta and Omicron variants in India. The model tracks disease progression through different population compartments, considering factors like vaccination, time-dependent transmission, economic burden and COVID-19 death rates, loss of vaccine-induced immunity, and the transition of asymptomatic cases to recovery. The model is validated against established epidemiological knowledge and real-world data, emphasizing dynamic parameterization and accurate representation of immunity dynamics. The basic reproduction number for both variants is calculated, and sensitivity analysis for various parameters is conducted. Time-dependent parameters are estimated using the discrete inverse method. The study also explores the economic burden, impact of different types of masks, vaccine efficacy, and vaccine-induced immunity through numerical analysis., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2024
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