Møller, Stine, Langer, Seppo W., Slott, Cecilie, Krogh, Jesper, Hansen, Carsten Palnæs, Kjaer, Andreas, Holmager, Pernille, Klose, Marianne, Garbyal, Rajendra Singh, Knigge, Ulrich, and Andreassen, Mikkel
Simple Summary: The survival and disease recurrence for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors differs greatly. The aim of our retrospective study was to investigate prognostic factors influencing recurrence and survival of 413 patients. For outcome evaluation the cohort was split in three groups: those under surveillance, those who had surgery with the intention to cure, and those with unresectable disease. For small tumors (<2 cm) under surveillance only 1 of 59 required surgery. For those who had surgery 20% had recurrence within 5-years with tumor size, high Ki-67 index, and location in the pancreatic head as risk factors. Half of the patients with unresectable tumors survived longer than approximately 2 years with high age, high chromogranin A levels, and increased markers of tumor proliferation being linked to survival. In conclusion, the current results add valuable knowledge in terms of predicting outcomes for individuals with pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms. Introduction: The prognosis and impact of different prognostic factors in pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasms (pNEN) remain controversial. Aim: To investigate prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival and disease-specific survival in patients with pNEN, divided into three groups: patients undergoing surveillance (tumor size < 2 cm, group 1), patients followed after curative-intended surgery (group 2), and patients with unresectable disease or residual tumors after resection (group 3). Method: A single-center retrospective study including consecutive patients over a 20-year period. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors. Results: 413 patients were included, with a mean (SD) age of 62 ± 14 years. In group 1 (n = 51), median (IQR) follow-up was 29 (21–34) months, and tumor size was 1.0 (0.8–1.4) cm. One progressed and had a tumor resection. In group 2 (n = 165), follow-up 59 (31–102) months, median tumor size 2 (1.2–3.4) cm, median Ki-67 index 5 (3–10)%, the 5-year recurrence rate was 21%. Tumor size (p < 0.001), Ki-67 index (p = 0.02), and location in the pancreatic head (p < 0.001) were independent risk factors. In group 3 (n = 197), follow-up 19 (6–46) months, median tumor size 4.2 (2.6–7.0) cm, Ki-67 index 17 (9–64)%, the median disease-specific survival was 22 (6–75) months—99 in NET G1; 54 in NET G2; 14 in NET G3; and 6 months in neuroendocrine carcinomas (NEC). Age (p = 0.029), plasma chromogranin A (p = 0.014), and proliferation, expressed by grade (p = 0.001) and Ki-67 index (p < 0.001), were risk factors. Conclusion: Growth in pNET < 2 cm requiring surgery was observed in 1/51. Tumor size, Ki-67 index, and location in the head were prognostic factors for disease recurrence, while age, plasma chromogranin A, and proliferation predicted mortality in patients with unresectable disease or residual tumors after resection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]