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Background: Men with hip fractures are more likely to experience postoperative complications than women. The Medical Orthopaedic Trauma Service program at New York Presbyterian Hospital utilizes a multidisciplinary team approach to care for patients with hip fractures. The service is comanaged by an attending hospitalist and orthopaedic surgeon, with daily walking rounds attended by the hospitalist, orthopaedic resident, physical therapist, social worker, and a dedicated Medical Orthopaedic Trauma Service physician assistant.Questions/purposes: We asked whether a multidisciplinary service for patients with hip fracture decreases (1) the incidence of inpatient complications in men, (2) the length of hospitalization, and (3) 90-day and 1-year mortality.Patients and Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the charts of 74 men who had surgery for a nonperiprosthetic femoral neck, intertrochanteric, or subtrochanteric fracture for two 7-month periods before and after implementation of the Medical Orthopaedic Trauma Service. Age, ethnicity, comorbidity status, time to surgery, and postoperative complication data were collected. Regression modeling was used to evaluate the likelihood of postoperative complications, length of hospitalization, and 90-day and 1-year mortality while controlling for age, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, fracture type, and time from admission to surgery.Results: We observed a decrease in the likelihood of experiencing at least one inpatient complication in male patients after implementation of the Medical Orthopaedic Trauma Service (odds ratio = 0.264). There was no difference in length of hospitalization, 90-day mortality, or 1-year mortality.Conclusions: Multidisciplinary collaboration for patients with hip fractures can decrease the likelihood of experiencing inpatient complications in male patients.Level Of Evidence: Level III, therapeutic study. See Guidelines for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Importance: Identifying timely and important research questions using relevant patient-reported outcomes (PROs) in surgery remains paramount in the current medical climate. The inaugural Patient-Reported Outcomes in Surgery (PROS) Conference brought together stakeholders in PROs research in surgery with the aim of creating a research agenda to help determine future directions and advance cross-disciplinary collaboration., Objective: To create a research agenda to help determine future directions and advance cross-disciplinary collaboration on the use of PROs in surgery., Design, Setting, and Participants: An iterative web-based interface was used to create a conference-based, modified Delphi survey for registrants at the PROS Conference (January 29-30, 2015), including surgeons, PRO researchers, payers, and other stakeholders. In round 1, research items were generated from qualitative review of responses to open-ended prompts. In round 2, items were ranked using a 5-point Likert scale; attendees were also asked to submit any new items. In round 3, the top 30 items and newly submitted items were redistributed for final ranking using a 3-point Likert scale. The top 20 items by mean rating were selected for the research agenda., Main Outcomes and Measures: An expert-generated research agenda on PROs in surgery., Results: Of the 143 people registered for the conference, 137 provided valid email addresses. There was a wide range of attendees, with the 3 most common groups being plastic surgeons (28 [19.6%]), general surgeons (19 [13.3%]), and researchers (25 [17.5%]). In round 1, participants submitted 459 items, which were reduced through qualitative review to 53 distinct items across 7 themes of PROs research. A research agenda was formulated after 2 successive rounds of ranking. The research agenda identified 3 themes important for future PROs research in surgery: (1) PROs in the decision-making process, (2) integrating PROs into the electronic health record, and (3) measuring quality in surgery with PROs., Conclusions and Relevance: The PROS Conference research agenda was created using a modified Delphi survey of stakeholders that will help researchers, surgeons, and funders identify crucial areas of future PROs research in surgery.

Rapid and definitive diagnosis of viral respiratory infections is imperative in patient triage and management. We compared the outcomes for adult patients with positive tests for respiratory viruses at a tertiary care center across two consecutive influenza seasons (winters of 2010-2011 and 2012). Infections were diagnosed by conventional methods in the first season and by multiplex PCR (FilmArray) in the second season. FilmArray decreased the time to diagnosis of influenza compared to conventional methods (median turnaround times of 1.7 h versus 7.7 h, respectively; P = 0.015); FilmArray also decreased the time to diagnosis of non-influenza viruses (1.5 h versus 13.5 h, respectively; P < 0.0001). Multivariate logistic regression found that a diagnosis of influenza by FilmArray was associated with significantly lower odds ratios (ORs) for admission (P = 0.046), length of stay (P = 0.040), duration of antimicrobial use (P = 0.032), and number of chest radiographs (P = 0.005), when controlling for potential confounders. We conclude that the rapid turnaround time, multiplex nature of the test (allowing simultaneous detection of an array of viruses), and superior sensitivity of FilmArray may improve the evaluation and management of patients suspected of having respiratory virus infections., (Copyright © 2016, American Society for Microbiology. All Rights Reserved.)

Among patients with chronic cardiopulmonary disease, increasing healthy behaviors improves outcomes, but such behavior changes are difficult for patients to make and sustain over time. This study aims to demonstrate how positive affect and self-affirmation improve health behaviors compared with a patient education control group. The patient education (PE control) patients completed a behavioral contract, promising to increase their physical activity or their medication adherence and received an educational guide. In addition to the contract and guide, the positive affect/self-affirmation intervention (PA intervention) patients also learned to use positive affect and self-affirmation to facilitate behavior change. Follow-up was identical. In 756 patients, enrolled in three randomized trials, the PA intervention resulted in increased positive affect and more success in behavior change than the PE control (p < .01). Behavior-specific self-efficacy also predicted success (p < .01). Induction of positive affect played a critical role in buffering against the adverse behavioral consequences of stress. Patients who experienced either negative psychosocial changes (p < .05) or interval negative life events (p < .05) fared better with the PA intervention than without it. The PA intervention increased self-efficacy and promoted success in behavior change by buffering stress.

Objective: This study's objective was to quantify the impact (utility) of common complications of early cervical cancer treatment on quality of life (QOL). Utilities assigned by survivors were compared to those assigned by providers., Methods: 30 survivors of early cervical cancer identified from our Tumor Registry and 10 gynecologic oncology providers were interviewed. Participants evaluated complications (health states) using the standard gamble (SG) and visual analogue scale (VAS). Each participant was randomly assigned to rate 5 of 13 health states. Mixed-effects linear models were used to generate confidence intervals for utility means, and evaluate the effect of group (survivors versus providers). Higher utilities indicate the health state is closer to perfect health., Results: Survivors and providers mean ages were similar (44 and 40). Mean time from diagnosis was 6.7 years. 28 of 30 survivors had no evidence of disease. 56% of survivors had complications. Using SG, providers consistently assigned utilities 7% higher than survivors (p=0.035) for all health states except "ileostomy", which survivors rated higher than providers. Survivors assigned the lowest utility to small bowel obstruction (SBO) (fixable without an ostomy) and ureteral obstruction (UO). Survivors rated SBO 16% and UO 21% lower than providers. Personal history of complications or higher stage did not have a consistent effect on QOL adjustments., Discussion: Providers assign higher utilities than survivors to health states. Providers and survivors diverge on which complications impact QOL the most. Data on patient preferences should be considered when weighing treatment options with similar survival but different associated complications., (Copyright © 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Within 1 year after percutaneous coronary intervention, more than 20% of patients experience new adverse events. Physical activity confers a 25% reduction in mortality; however, physical activity is widely underused. Thus, there is a need for more powerful behavioral interventions to promote physical activity. Our objective was to motivate patients to achieve an increase in expenditure of 336 kcal/wk or more at 12 months as assessed by the Paffenbarger Physical Activity and Exercise Index., Methods: Two hundred forty-two patients were recruited immediately after percutaneous coronary intervention between October 2004 and October 2006. Patients were randomized to 1 of 2 groups. The patient education (PE) control group (n = 118) (1) received an educational workbook, (2) received a pedometer, and (3) set a behavioral contract for a physical activity goal. The positive-affect/self-affirmation (PA) intervention group (n = 124) received the 3 PE control components plus (1) a PA workbook chapter, (2) bimonthly induction of PA by telephone, and (3) small mailed gifts. All patients were contacted with standardized bimonthly telephone follow-up for 12 months., Results: Attrition was 4.5%, and 2.1% of patients died. Significantly more patients in the PA intervention group increased expenditure by 336 kcal/wk or more at 12 months, our main outcome, compared with the PE control group (54.9% vs 37.4%, P = .007). The PA intervention patients were 1.7 times more likely to reach the goal of a 336-kcal/wk or more increase by 12 months, controlling for demographic and psychosocial measures. In multivariate analysis, the PA intervention patients had nearly double the improvement in kilocalories per week at 12 months compared with the PE control patients (602 vs 328, P = .03)., Conclusion: Patients who receive PA intervention after percutaneous coronary intervention are able to achieve a sustained and clinically significant increase in physical activity by 12 months. Trial Registration clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT00248846.

Background: Patient care provided by primary care physicians outside of office visits is important for care coordination and may serve as a substitute for office visits., Objectives: To describe primary care physicians' ambulatory patient care activities outside of office visits ("AOVs") and their perceptions of the extent to which AOVs substitute for visits and may be performed by support staff., Design: Cross-sectional direct observational study., Participants: Thirty-three general internists in 20 practices in two health care systems (one public, one private) in the New York metropolitan area., Main Measures: Duration of AOVs by type of activity and whether they pertain to a patient visit on the study day (visit specific) or not (non-visit specific). Physician perceptions of the: (1) extent that non-visit-specific AOVs substitute for visits that would have otherwise occurred, (2) extent that visits that occurred could have been substituted for by AOVs, and (3) potential role of support staff in AOVs., Key Results: Physicians spent 20% of their workday performing AOVs, 62% of which was for non-visit specific AOVs. They perceived that a median of 37% of non-visit-specific AOV time substituted for visits, representing a potential five visits saved per day. They also perceived that 15% of total AOV time (excluding charting) could be performed by support staff. Forty-two percent of physicians indicated that one or more visits during the study day could be substituted for by AOVs., Conclusions: Though time spent on AOVs is generally not reimbursed, primary care general internists spent significant time performing AOVs, much of which they perceived to substitute for visits that would otherwise have occurred. Policies supporting physician and staff time spent on AOVs may reduce health care costs, save time for patients and physicians, and improve care coordination.

Objectives: To compare health benefits and costs associated with performing bone densitometry for all men with those of risk-stratifying using the Osteoporosis Self-Assessment Tool (OST) and performing bone densitometry only for a high-risk group., Design: A decision analytical model was developed using a Markov process. Three strategies were compared: no bone densitometry, selective bone densitometry using the OST, and universal bone densitometry. Data sources were U.S. epidemiological studies and healthcare cost figures., Setting: Hypothetical cohort., Participants: Community-dwelling 70-year-old U.S. white men with no history of clinical osteoporotic fractures., Intervention: Five years of alendronate therapy for those diagnosed with osteoporosis., Measurements: Life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios., Results: Selective bone densitometry using the OST would cost $100,700 per additional life year gained compared to the no bone densitometry strategy. Universal bone densitometry would cost $483,500 for additional life year gained compared to selective bone densitometry. When quality of life was considered, both strategies became approximately 15% more cost-effective. Compared with the no bone densitometry strategy, selective bone densitometry would be cost saving for those aged 84 and older, with a reduction of alendronate price (< or =$110 per year), or with a higher efficacy of alendronate (a relative risk reduction of nonvertebral fracture > or =82%)., Conclusion: Universal bone densitometry for 70-year-old men is not a good investment for society. It is reasonably cost-effective to risk-stratify with the OST, perform bone densitometry only for high-risk group, and then give men diagnosed with osteoporosis generic alendronate.

Objective: (1) To determine chronic illness costs for large cohort of primary care patients, (2) to develop prospective model predicting total costs over one year, using demographic and clinical information including widely used comorbidity index., Study Design and Setting: Data including diagnostic, medication, and resource utilization were obtained for 5,861 patients from practice-based computer system over a 1-year period beginning December 1, 1993, for retrospective analysis. Hospital cost data were obtained from hospital cost accounting system., Results: Average annual per patient cost was $2,655. Older patients and those with Medicare or Medicaid had higher costs. Hospital costs were $1,558, accounting for 58.7% of total costs. In the predictive model, individuals with higher comorbidity incurred exponentially higher annual costs, from $4,317 with comorbidity score of two, to $5,986 with score of three, to $13,326 with scores greater than seven. To use an adapted comorbidity index to predict total yearly costs, four conditions should be added to the index: hypertension, depression, and use of warfarin with a weight of one, skin ulcers/cellulitis, a weight of two., Conclusion: The adapted comorbidity index can be used to predict resource utilization. Predictive models may help to identify targets for reducing high costs, by prospectively identifying those at high risk.

Background and Aim of the Study: The objective of this randomized trial was to compare the efficacy of two strategies of hemodynamic management during cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) on morbidity, mortality, cognitive complications and deterioration in functional status., Methods: Patients scheduled to undergo primary elective CABG were eligible. In one group, mean arterial pressure target during CPB was 80 mmHg ("high" MAP group); in the other group, MAP target was determined by patients' pre-bypass MAP ("custom" MAP group). The principal outcomes were mortality, major neurologic or cardiac complications, cognitive complications or deterioration in functional status., Results: Of 412 enrolled patients, 36% were women, with overall mean age of 64.7 +/- 12.3 years. Duration of bypass was identical for the two randomization groups. Overall complication rates were similar: 16.5% of the high group and 14.6% of the custom group experienced one or more neurologic, cardiac or cognitive complications. When only cardiac and neurologic morbidity and mortality were considered, the rates were 11.7% and 12.6%, in the high and custom groups, respectively. The aggregate outcome rate, including functional deterioration, was 31.6% in the high group and 29.6% in the custom group., Conclusions: There were no statistically significant differences between the high MAP group and the custom MAP group for the combined outcome of mortality cardiac, neurologic or cognitive complications, and deterioration in the quality of life.

Objective: To assess the potential impact over 10 years of a partially effective HIV vaccine in a cohort of 15-year-old adolescent girls in South Africa in terms of HIV infections and deaths prevented in mothers and infants., Methods: A computer simulation was constructed using a population of all 15-year-old adolescent girls in South Africa followed for 10 years. A partially effective vaccine is introduced into this population with the ability to reduce the HIV incidence rates of the adolescents and vertical transmission to their infants through birth and breast-feeding. At the end of this 10 year period, the number of HIV infections and death prevented in adolescents and infants is analyzed., Results: Using a 5% HIV incidence rate, a 50% effective vaccine decreases the number of HIV cases among adolescents by 57,653 (28.7%) and the number of cases among infants by 13,765 (28.9%) over 10 years. In addition, assuming a vaccine cost of $20 per dose, the vaccination program can save approximately $120 million for the South African government over 10 years., Conclusion: A partially effective HIV vaccine has an important role in HIV prevention in adolescents and infants in South Africa irrespective of other public policy implementations.

Objective: To compare the utilization of health care resources and patterns of chronic disease care by patients of medical residents and patients of their attending physicians., Materials and Methods: This study involved a longitudinal cohort of 14,554 patients seen over a 1-year period by 149 residents and 36 attendings located in an urban academic medical center. Data were acquired prospectively through a practice management system used to order tests, write prescriptions, and code ambulatory visits. We assessed resource utilization by measuring the total direct costs of care over a 1-year period, including ambulatory and inpatient costs, and the numbers and types of resources used., Results: Residents' patients were similar to attendings' patients in age and gender, but residents' patients were more likely to have Medicaid or Medicare and to have a higher burden of comorbidity. Total annual ambulatory care costs were almost 60% higher for residents' patients than for attendings' patients in unadjusted analyses, and 30% higher in analyses adjusted for differences in case mix (adjusted mean 888 dollars vs 750 dollars; P=.0001). The primary cost drivers on the outpatient side were consultations and radiological procedures. Total inpatient costs were almost twice as high for residents' patients compared to attendings' patients in unadjusted analyses, but virtually identical in analyses adjusted for case mix differences (adjusted mean of 849 dollars vs 860 dollars). Admission rates were almost double for residents' patients. Total adjusted costs for residents' patients were slightly, but not significantly, higher than for attendings' patients (adjusted mean 1,651 dollars vs 1,540 dollars; P>.05). Residents' and attendings' patients generally did not differ in the patterns of care for diabetes, asthma/chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), congestive heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and depression, except that residents' patients with asthma/COPD, ischemic heart disease, and diabetes were admitted more frequently than attendings' patients., Conclusions: Our results indicate that residents' patients had higher costs than attendings' patients, but the differences would have been seriously overestimated without adjustment. We conclude that it costs about 7% more for residents to manage patients than for attendings. On the ambulatory side, the larger number of procedures and consults ordered for residents' patients appears to drive the higher costs.

The authors analyzed the relationship between a provider's diagnosis of depression and health services utilization among all elderly patients (N=3,481) seen in a primary care practice over 12 months. Of patients with a diagnosis of depression, 29.7% were given an antidepressant. Depressed patients had increased outpatient resource utilization, including frequency of appointments, number of laboratory tests, X-rays and scans, and consultations. This association remained significant after controlling for comorbidity. On average, patients who were depressed had two more appointments per year. No difference in total cost of hospitalization was observed between the two groups. This study also demonstrated a higher incidence of nonspecific medical complaints in depressed vs. non-depressed elderly primary care patients, and all such nonspecific symptoms were associated with increased total ambulatory costs, tests and consultations. The somatic presentation of depression may contribute to the increased services utilization.

Purpose: We sought to determine whether illness severity and anticipated level of function, as evaluated at the time of admission, were associated with outcomes and costs of care for patients admitted to the medical service., Methods: All 1,759 patients admitted to the medical service at a large urban academic medical center between July 1, 1997, and September 30, 1997 (excluding those admitted directly to the intensive care units or for protocol chemotherapy), were evaluated and categorized by the admitting intern by illness severity (not ill, mildly ill, moderately ill, severely ill, or moribund) and anticipated level of function at discharge (excellent, good, fair, or poor) as part of their routine sign-out process. Interns' ratings were always available within 24 to 28 hours of admission. In-hospital mortality, length of stay, cost of hospitalization, and anticipated billing revenue were evaluated., Results: Patients who were more severely ill had significantly greater in-hospital mortality. For example, mortality was 1.1% (11 of 972) among those who were not ill or mildly ill, 3.6% (26 of 724) among those who were moderately ill, and 15% (9 of 60) among those who were severely ill. Illness severity (P = 0.003) and anticipated functional status (P < 0.01) were significant predictors of in-hospital mortality. Illness severity and function were also significant predictors of greater length of stay and greater costs of hospitalization (all P < 0.0001). The 389 patients who were moderately ill with fair or poor anticipated function were associated with the largest cumulative losses (about $330,000 during the 3-month period), whereas the 798 mildly ill patients with good or excellent function were associated with the largest cumulative profits ($550,000)., Conclusion: Physicians' estimates of patients' illness severity and anticipated function at the time of discharge, as made by interns using a system designed to help them sign out to their colleagues, predict outcomes and costs of hospitalization. Such a system may be useful in developing new approaches to management strategies based on prognosis.

Objective: The objective of the study was to determine the effect of depression on the utilization of health care resources, after adjusting for age and comorbidity from data obtained on routine clinical practice., Method: The study is an observational cohort of 15,186 patients followed over a one-year period beginning December 1993. Comprehensive demographic, clinical, and utilization data were available from the computerized medical information system generated database of a general internal medicine practice in an urban academic medical center., Results: Four point seven percent of patients carried a provider-coded diagnosis of depression. With regards to utilization of health care resources, even after controlling for age and comorbidity, depressed patients had more primary care visits (5.3 vs. 2.9 visits, p < .001), higher rates of referral to specialists (1.1 vs. 0.5, p < .002), and radiologic tests (0.9 vs. 0.4 tests, p < .001). They had higher total outpatient charges ($1,324 vs. $701, p < .001) and total charges ($2,808 vs. $1,891, p < .001). Depressed patients also had longer length of stay when hospitalized (14.1 vs. 9.5 days, p < .002)., Conclusions: Patients diagnosed as depressed had significantly higher resource utilization of all types, even after controlling for the higher burden of comorbid medical illness associated with depression.

Objective: To investigate variability between hand-written and computerized anesthesia records and evaluate any associated bias., Design and Measurements: A computer system that was used to collect intraoperative data for a study of hemodynamic management during coronary artery bypass graft surgery is described. The system collected and recorded hemodynamic data automatically downloaded from the anesthesia monitor as well as surgical events and drug administration data entered through menu options. The system then combined, summarized, and graphed the data as well as formatted it for export to a commercially available database program. In a sample of 14 patients, blood pressure data collected by the computer system was compared with the blood pressure data charted in the hand-written anesthesia record., Main Results: Although general linear models controlling for within-patient variation and randomization assignment for mean arterial pressure range on cardiopulmonary bypass showed a significant relationship; low R2 values indicated that much of the variability could not be explained and that there was, therefore, poor agreement between the two records. Furthermore, a systematic bias in the hand-written anesthesia record was found when the computer system record was compared with the hand-written record and to the difference of the two records, so that extremes seen in the computer system record tended to be minimized in the hand-written anesthesia record., Conclusions: Because of the lack of explained variability between the computer system and hand-written anesthesia records and the bias in the hand-written anesthesia record, the hand-written anesthesia record should not be relied on as a source of accurate data for research purposes.

Background: The objective of this randomized clinical trial of elective coronary artery bypass grafting was to investigate whether intraoperative mean arterial pressure below autoregulatory limits of the coronary and cerebral circulations was a principal determinant of postoperative complications. The trial compared the impact of two strategies of hemodynamic management during cardiopulmonary bypass on outcome. Patients were randomized to a low mean arterial pressure of 50 to 60 mm Hg or a high mean arterial pressure of 80 to 100 mm Hg during cardiopulmonary bypass., Methods: A total of 248 patients undergoing primary, nonemergency coronary bypass were randomized to either low (n = 124) or high (n = 124) mean arterial pressure during cardiopulmonary bypass. The impact of the mean arterial pressure strategies on the following outcomes was assessed: mortality, cardiac morbidity, neurologic morbidity, cognitive deterioration, and changes in quality of life. All patients were observed prospectively to 6 months after the operation., Results: The overall incidence of combined cardiac and neurologic complications was significantly lower in the high pressure group at 4.8% than in the low pressure group at 12.9% (p = 0.026). For each of the individual outcomes, the trend favored the high pressure group. At 6 months after coronary bypass for the high and low pressure groups, respectively, total mortality rate was 1.6% versus 4.0%, stroke rate 2.4% versus 7.2%, and cardiac complication rate 2.4% versus 4.8%. Cognitive and functional status outcomes did not differ between the groups., Conclusion: Higher mean arterial pressures during cardiopulmonary bypass can be achieved in a technically safe manner and effectively improve outcomes after coronary bypass.

Objective: To assess the impact of a new organizational model designed to stimulate multidisciplinary clinical research., Methods: We conducted a prospective, 3 1/2-year followup of a research training program for residents, fellows, faculty, nurses, and allied health professionals in rheumatology and orthopedic surgery. Program components included a multidisciplinary clinical research conference, a clinical research methods curriculum, consultations, a patient registry, and regular meetings of a Research Methodology Core group. Measures included participation in each program component and the number of new investigators who developed funded clinical research projects., Results: The multidisciplinary clinical research conference was attended by 369 new health professionals; 218 professionals participated in at least one of the courses; and 280 consultations were provided to 108 professionals. Thirteen new investigators developed 17 new grant proposals, of which 14 were externally funded. Investigators who successfully procured funding for new projects demonstrated significantly more participation in program components compared with those who did not (P < 0.001 overall)., Conclusion: Participation in the program was significantly correlated with the development of new prospective patient-based studies. We conclude that our model has the potential to foster such research in other settings.

We analyzed the variations in the rates of elective total hip and total knee arthroplasties for 1988 in the United States to determine whether the rates correlated with the numbers of surgeons. There were 56,204 total hip arthroplasties and 68,491 total knee arthroplasties, performed in the home states of the patients among all of the Medicare beneficiaries. Medicare beneficiaries include most people who are more than sixty-five years old in the United States and a small proportion of younger people who are eligible for Medicare for other reasons. Seventy-nine per cent of the patients who had had a total hip arthroplasty and 89 per cent of those who had had a total knee arthroplasty had been managed with the operation because of osteoarthrosis. Both operations were most common in the seventy to seventy-four-year age-group. We calculated the rate of operations per 100 beneficiaries for each state and age-adjusted the results. Across all of the states, bilateral procedures constituted 1.6 per cent of the total hip arthroplasties and 4.8 per cent of the total knee arthroplasties. The in-hospital rates of mortality were 0.72 per cent for total hip arthroplasties and 0.45 per cent for total knee arthroplasties. The destinations after discharge from the hospital were similar for the two groups of patients, with more than 65 per cent of the patients being discharged directly to their homes. There were no significant differences among states in terms of the length of stay in the hospital or reimbursement of the hospital.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Objective: To determine whether breast cancer screening extends life for women aged 65 years or more with and without comorbid medical conditions., Setting: A provider-patient encounter., Design: A decision analysis of the utility of screening for breast cancer., Measurements: Clinical examination and mammography among four groups of women aged 65 to 85 or more years: average health, mild hypertension, congestive heart failure, and average-health black women. The effects of screening were estimated using the best quality data available., Results: Screening saved life at all ages among patients studied. Savings were highest for black women and decreased with increasing age and comorbidity. Screening all average-health women aged 65 or more saved 67,912 years of life. For women who had cancer, screening extended life by 617 days for average-health women between 65 and 69 years of age and 178 days for those aged 85 years or more. Perioperative mortality and test characteristics had little effect on the results. The risks equaled the benefits of screening only when operative mortality was between 27% and 62%. The marginal costs of screening during a routine office visit were $138 and increased with advancing age and decreasing test specificity. Benefits persisted after adjustment for changes in long-term quality of life; however, for women aged 85 years and older (with and without comorbidities), the short-term morbidity of anxiety or discomfort associated with screening may have outweighed the benefits., Conclusion: No inherent reason exists to impose an upper-age limit for breast cancer screening; however, more data are needed on women's preferences for screening strategies.

Object: To assess the effect consultants had on the diagnostic process in the management of patients admitted to the medical service of a university hospital., Design: Cohort study utilizing prospective evaluation by residents, retrospective chart review, and direct communication with the patient, a family member, or the patient's physician one year after admission to the hospital., Setting: The medical inpatient service of an urban university hospital., Patients: The 580 patients admitted to the medical service during one month in 1984 for whom complete data were available., Main Results: Sixty-three percent of the patients had consultations. Seventy percent (198/284) of the patients admitted by generalists had consultations, while 57% (170/296) of the patients admitted by subspecialists had consultations. Of the 1,422 major diagnostic tests performed on these patients, 504 (35%) were first recommended by consultants, and the consultants recommended cancellation of only ten major diagnostic tests. Patients who were seen by consultants had a length of stay that was more than double that of patients not seen by consultants. Consultation was associated with prolonged stay when patients were stratified by important clinical variables and remained an important independent factor in a multivariate model. The prolongation of hospitalization was principally due to delays in scheduling and interpreting sophisticated tests recommended by the consultants. When stratified into prognostically similar clinical groupings, there was no significant difference in in-hospital mortality between patients seen and those not seen by a consultant., Conclusion: Efforts to foster diagnostic restraint in the management of hospitalized patients should be broadened to include attention to the specialty consultation process.

Infusions of intravenous gamma-globulin (IVGG) are an effective, nontoxic therapy for chronic idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) that would be more widely accepted if the therapeutic agent were not so expensive. The costs and outcomes of managing such children with splenectomy and IVGG were modeled with Markov processes. Children unresponsive to one treatment were considered to have received the alternative. The model accounted for spontaneous remissions, therapeutic responses, traumatic events, episodes of sepsis, and operative deaths. For a 10-year-old child with chronic ITP, the strategy of initial treatment with splenectomy had associated costs of $17,000 and a 97.9% ten-year survival rate, whereas the strategy of initial treatment with IVGG had associated costs of $21,000 but a 98.6% survival rate. Each additional life saved by employing the IVGG strategy cost $540,000, or $8,000 per year for a life expectancy of 70 years. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated that for older children the IVGG strategy continued to result in improved survival rates but was more costly than the splenectomy strategy. For younger children, the IVGG strategy dominated, with improved survival rates and lower costs.

Postmenopausal estrogens can delay or prevent osteoporosis and decrease the frequency of fractures, but they also increase the risk of endometrial cancer. A decision analytic model was developed using a Markov process with 18 different states to estimate quality-adjusted life expectancy with and without estrogen therapy. The model considered fractures of the hip, wrist, pelvis, humerus and spine with potential outcomes of short-term morbidity, long-term disability, nursing home placement, and death. Quality adjustments were based on expert opinions. In sensitivity analyses, various risks of endometrial cancer and hysterectomy due to estrogens were examined. The effect of estrogen therapy on cardiac mortality also was considered. For a cohort of 50-year-old white women who would take estrogens for 15 years, the analysis showed a benefit of 0.47 years but 0.67 quality-adjusted years. For every five-fold increase in the relative risk of endometrial cancer, the benefit decreases by 0.07 quality years. The benefit would increase by 0.17 quality years for each 10 percent decrease in the fracture rate and 0.32 for each 10 percent decrease in cardiovascular mortality rate. Thus, estrogen therapy provides a significant gain in quality-adjusted life expectancy. In considering the efficacy of any drug, all the benefits of the drug as well as all its risks must be included. If the beneficial effect of estrogens on cardiovascular mortality is confirmed, it will overshadow all other effects. Any recommendation about postmenopausal estrogens with respect to osteoporosis that excludes their cardiovascular effects markedly underestimates the potential gains from therapy.