1. Dynamical Modeling of Fault Slip Rates at the New Zealand Plate Boundary Indicates Fault Weakness.
- Author
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Hirschberg, H. and Sutherland, R.
- Subjects
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SHEARING force , *EARTHQUAKES , *SUBDUCTION zones , *RHEOLOGY , *FRICTION - Abstract
We construct a thin‐sheet dynamical model of the New Zealand plate boundary that includes faults. Our model fits fault slip rates, style of distributed deformation, and is constrained by relative plate boundary motion. We assume a pseudo‐plastic rheology and achieve a best fit to slip rate observations with a deviatoric stress magnitude of 20 MPa. Modeled local forces are significant at Puysegur and Hikurangi subduction zones, and smaller forces are related to mantle downwelling beneath South Island and Havre Trough mantle upwelling. Modeled tractions on faults are mostly 5–20 MPa, similar to or slightly smaller than stress magnitudes adjacent to faults. Modeled shear tractions are generally 2–10 MPa, comparable to stress drops during earthquakes. Modeled stress orientations and fault dips suggest that many faults are not optimally oriented for their style of faulting. Notably small traction magnitudes of <5 MPa and shear tractions of <0.5 MPa are modeled for faults in the central North Island Dextral Fault Belt (NIDFB), which we infer to be very poorly oriented. Friction coefficients on faults (ratio of shear stress to effective normal stress) are in the range 0.1–0.3 for major crustal faults such as the Alpine Fault and Marlborough faults, but subduction zones and the NIDFB have values <0.1. We propose that low values of long‐term fault strength, shear stress resolved onto the fault, and overall magnitudes of deviatoric stress in the crust are a consequence of dynamic weakening of faults during fault slip. Plain Language Summary: Earthquakes occur when there is movement along faults. However, the strength of friction resisting movement on faults is debated. We construct a model of major faults through New Zealand that fits observed long‐term fault movement rates. We estimate forces driving movement on faults along with the physical properties of those major faults and of the crust between major faults. We find that many faults are not optimally oriented to move in the direction they are observed to move given the modeled forces acting on them. We estimate low levels of friction on faults, indicating that relatively small forces (averaged over thousands of years) are required to cause movement on faults. Key Points: Crustal deviatoric stress magnitudes are ∼20 MPa and fault tractions are 5–20 MPaShear tractions on faults are 0.5–10 MPa, comparable to earthquake stress dropsFriction coefficients are 0.05–0.3 for most crustal faults and are <0.1 for most subduction‐related faults [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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