80 results on '"Hertelendy AJ"'
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2. Averting flood-related deaths and injuries from hurricanes: enhancing hospital resilience.
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Hertelendy AJ and Ciottone GR
- Abstract
Competing Interests: We declare no competing interests.
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- 2024
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3. Accuracy of a Commercial Large Language Model (ChatGPT) to Perform Disaster Triage of Simulated Patients Using the Simple Triage and Rapid Treatment (START) Protocol: Gage Repeatability and Reproducibility Study.
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Franc JM, Hertelendy AJ, Cheng L, Hata R, and Verde M
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- Humans, Reproducibility of Results, Patient Simulation, Disaster Medicine methods, Disasters, Triage methods
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Background: The release of ChatGPT (OpenAI) in November 2022 drastically reduced the barrier to using artificial intelligence by allowing a simple web-based text interface to a large language model (LLM). One use case where ChatGPT could be useful is in triaging patients at the site of a disaster using the Simple Triage and Rapid Treatment (START) protocol. However, LLMs experience several common errors including hallucinations (also called confabulations) and prompt dependency., Objective: This study addresses the research problem: "Can ChatGPT adequately triage simulated disaster patients using the START protocol?" by measuring three outcomes: repeatability, reproducibility, and accuracy., Methods: Nine prompts were developed by 5 disaster medicine physicians. A Python script queried ChatGPT Version 4 for each prompt combined with 391 validated simulated patient vignettes. Ten repetitions of each combination were performed for a total of 35,190 simulated triages. A reference standard START triage code for each simulated case was assigned by 2 disaster medicine specialists (JMF and MV), with a third specialist (LC) added if the first two did not agree. Results were evaluated using a gage repeatability and reproducibility study (gage R and R). Repeatability was defined as variation due to repeated use of the same prompt. Reproducibility was defined as variation due to the use of different prompts on the same patient vignette. Accuracy was defined as agreement with the reference standard., Results: Although 35,102 (99.7%) queries returned a valid START score, there was considerable variability. Repeatability (use of the same prompt repeatedly) was 14% of the overall variation. Reproducibility (use of different prompts) was 4.1% of the overall variation. The accuracy of ChatGPT for START was 63.9% with a 32.9% overtriage rate and a 3.1% undertriage rate. Accuracy varied by prompt with a maximum of 71.8% and a minimum of 46.7%., Conclusions: This study indicates that ChatGPT version 4 is insufficient to triage simulated disaster patients via the START protocol. It demonstrated suboptimal repeatability and reproducibility. The overall accuracy of triage was only 63.9%. Health care professionals are advised to exercise caution while using commercial LLMs for vital medical determinations, given that these tools may commonly produce inaccurate data, colloquially referred to as hallucinations or confabulations. Artificial intelligence-guided tools should undergo rigorous statistical evaluation-using methods such as gage R and R-before implementation into clinical settings., (©Jeffrey Micheal Franc, Attila Julius Hertelendy, Lenard Cheng, Ryan Hata, Manuela Verde. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 30.09.2024.)
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- 2024
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4. Hospital vulnerabilities to a changing climate: climate-adaptive strategies in emergency care.
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Goniewicz K, Kusters RWJ, van Dijken T, Granholm F, and Hertelendy AJ
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- 2024
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5. Seasons of smoke and fire: preparing health systems for improved performance before, during, and after wildfires.
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Hertelendy AJ, Howard C, Sorensen C, Ranse J, Eboreime E, Henderson S, Tochkin J, and Ciottone G
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- Environmental Exposure, Disaster Planning, Delivery of Health Care, Seasons, Smoke adverse effects, Smoke prevention & control, Wildfires prevention & control
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Increased frequency, intensity, and duration of wildfires are intensifying exposure to direct and smoke-related hazards in many areas, leading to evacuation and smoke-related effects on health and health systems that can affect regions extending over thousands of kilometres. Effective preparation and response are currently hampered by inadequate training, continued siloing of disciplines, insufficient finance, and inadequate coordination between health systems and governance at municipal, regional, national, and international levels. This Review highlights the key health and health systems considerations before, during, and after wildfires, and outlines how a health system should respond to optimise population health outcomes now and into the future. The focus is on the implications of wildfires for air quality, mental health, and emergency management, with elements of international policy and finance also addressed. We discuss commonalities of existing climate-resilient health care and disaster management frameworks and integrate them into an approach that addresses issues of financing, leadership and governance, health workforce, health information systems, infrastructure, supply chain, technologies, community interaction and health-care delivery, before, during, and after a wildfire season. This Review is a practical briefing for leaders and health professionals facing severe wildfire seasons and a call to break down silos and join with other disciplines to proactively plan for and fund innovation and coordination in service of a healthier future., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests We declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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6. Hospital preparedness for one of the worst predicted hurricane seasons on record - why this time is different.
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Hertelendy AJ, Fugate C, and Ciottone GR
- Abstract
Competing Interests: We declare no competing interests.
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- 2024
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7. Investigating drivers of telecare acceptance to improve healthcare quality for independently living older adults.
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Lassar W and Hertelendy AJ
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- Humans, Aged, Female, Male, Surveys and Questionnaires, Aged, 80 and over, Middle Aged, Quality of Life, Patient Acceptance of Health Care psychology, Telemedicine, Quality of Health Care, Independent Living, Caregivers psychology
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Contemporary telecare systems facilitate the ability for older adults to age in place, keeping them out of residential care facilities and providing numerous quality-of-life advantages for both care receivers (CRs) and caregivers (CGs). However, despite the acceptance of digital health interventions among older adults and their CGs, telecare adoption has been slower than expected. This paper aimed to compare attitudes toward adopting telecare systems between CRs (aging adults) and their CGs (family/friends). Data were collected via an online survey. Respondents included aging adults concerned about their care (CRs) and older adults who cared for an aging loved one (CGs). Analysis of covariance and partial-least-squares techniques were used to examine the relationships between healthcare concerns for older adults, functional telecare benefits, and telecare acceptance. Concerns for healthcare status, mainly driven by CRs, positively impacted telecare acceptance. However, concerns for mental and physical stimulation had a negative relationship with telecare acceptance, while CGs showed a neutral relationship. Telecare's ability to improve healthcare quality and cognitive stimulation positively impacted its acceptance. CGs mainly drove the impact of healthcare quality on telecare acceptance, while the relationship was not significant for CRs. CRs' age reduced telecare acceptance, and higher educational levels of CGs increased telecare acceptance. We found significant differences in telecare acceptance and its drivers between CGs and CRs in the USA. In addition, we discerned that not all healthcare concerns or functional telecare characteristics influenced telecare acceptance equally between the two. Consequently, telecare providers must consider the different needs of constituencies interested in telecare to support the life quality of older adults., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of International Society for Quality in Health Care. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site–for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.)
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- 2024
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8. Mobile Apps to Support Mental Health Response in Natural Disasters: Scoping Review.
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Ezeonu NA, Hertelendy AJ, Adu MK, Kung JY, Itanyi IU, Dias RDL, Agyapong B, Hertelendy P, Ohanyido F, Agyapong VIO, and Eboreime E
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- Humans, Telemedicine statistics & numerical data, Disasters, Mobile Applications, Natural Disasters, Mental Health
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Background: Disasters are becoming more frequent due to the impact of extreme weather events attributed to climate change, causing loss of lives, property, and psychological trauma. Mental health response to disasters emphasizes prevention and mitigation, and mobile health (mHealth) apps have been used for mental health promotion and treatment. However, little is known about their use in the mental health components of disaster management., Objective: This scoping review was conducted to explore the use of mobile phone apps for mental health responses to natural disasters and to identify gaps in the literature., Methods: We identified relevant keywords and subject headings and conducted comprehensive searches in 6 electronic databases. Studies in which participants were exposed to a man-made disaster were included if the sample also included some participants exposed to a natural hazard. Only full-text studies published in English were included. The initial titles and abstracts of the unique papers were screened by 2 independent review authors. Full texts of the selected papers that met the inclusion criteria were reviewed by the 2 independent reviewers. Data were extracted from each selected full-text paper and synthesized using a narrative approach based on the outcome measures, duration, frequency of use of the mobile phone apps, and the outcomes. This scoping review was reported according to the PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews)., Results: Of the 1398 papers retrieved, 5 were included in this review. A total of 3 studies were conducted on participants exposed to psychological stress following a disaster while 2 were for disaster relief workers. The mobile phone apps for the interventions included Training for Life Skills, Sonoma Rises, Headspace, Psychological First Aid, and Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Behavioural Health Disaster Response Apps. The different studies assessed the effectiveness or efficacy of the mobile app, feasibility, acceptability, and characteristics of app use or predictors of use. Different measures were used to assess the effectiveness of the apps' use as either the primary or secondary outcome., Conclusions: A limited number of studies are exploring the use of mobile phone apps for mental health responses to disasters. The 5 studies included in this review showed promising results. Mobile apps have the potential to provide effective mental health support before, during, and after disasters. However, further research is needed to explore the potential of mobile phone apps in mental health responses to all hazards., (©Nwamaka Alexandra Ezeonu, Attila J Hertelendy, Medard Kofi Adu, Janice Y Kung, Ijeoma Uchenna Itanyi, Raquel da Luz Dias, Belinda Agyapong, Petra Hertelendy, Francis Ohanyido, Vincent Israel Opoku Agyapong, Ejemai Eboreime. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 17.04.2024.)
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- 2024
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9. Tanzania's and Germany's Digital Health Strategies and Their Consistency With the World Health Organization's Global Strategy on Digital Health 2020-2025: Comparative Policy Analysis.
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Holl F, Kircher J, Hertelendy AJ, Sukums F, and Swoboda W
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- Humans, Germany, Tanzania, World Health Organization, Artificial Intelligence, Digital Health
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Background: In recent years, the fast-paced adoption of digital health (DH) technologies has transformed health care delivery. However, this rapid evolution has also led to challenges such as uncoordinated development and information silos, impeding effective health care integration. Recognizing these challenges, nations have developed digital health strategies (DHSs), aligning with their national health priorities and guidance from global frameworks. The World Health Organization (WHO)'s Global Strategy on Digital Health 2020-2025 (GSDH) guides national DHSs., Objective: This study analyzes the DHSs of Tanzania and Germany as case studies and assesses their alignment with the GSDH and identifies strengths, shortcomings, and areas for improvement., Methods: A comparative policy analysis was conducted, focusing on the DHSs of Tanzania and Germany as case studies, selected for their contrasting health care systems and cooperative history. The analysis involved a three-step process: (1) assessing consistency with the GSDH, (2) comparing similarities and differences, and (3) evaluating the incorporation of emergent technologies. Primary data sources included national eHealth policy documents and related legislation., Results: Both Germany's and Tanzania's DHSs align significantly with the WHO's GSDH, incorporating most of its 35 elements, but each missing 5 distinct elements. Specifically, Tanzania's DHS lacks in areas such as knowledge management and capacity building for leaders, while Germany's strategy falls short in engaging health care service providers and beneficiaries in development phases and promoting health equity. Both countries, however, excel in other aspects like collaboration, knowledge transfer, and advancing national DHSs, reflecting their commitment to enhancing DH infrastructures. The high ratings of both countries on the Global Digital Health Monitor underscore their substantial progress in DH, although challenges persist in adopting the rapidly advancing technologies and in the need for more inclusive and comprehensive strategies., Conclusions: This study reveals that both Tanzania and Germany have made significant strides in aligning their DHSs with the WHO's GSDH. However, the rapid evolution of technologies like artificial intelligence and machine learning presents challenges in keeping strategies up-to-date. This study recommends the development of more comprehensive, inclusive strategies and regular revisions to align with emerging technologies and needs. The research underscores the importance of context-specific adaptations in DHSs and highlights the need for broader, strategic guidelines to direct the future development of the DH ecosystem. The WHO's GSDH serves as a crucial blueprint for national DHSs. This comparative analysis demonstrates the value and challenges of aligning national strategies with global guidelines. Both Tanzania and Germany offer valuable insights into developing and implementing effective DHSs, highlighting the importance of continuous adaptation and context-specific considerations. Future policy assessments require in-depth knowledge of the country's health care needs and structure, supplemented by stakeholder input for a comprehensive evaluation., (©Felix Holl, Jennifer Kircher, Attila J Hertelendy, Felix Sukums, Walter Swoboda. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 18.03.2024.)
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- 2024
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10. Determining the Impact of Hurricane Dorian and the Covid-19 Pandemic on Moral Distress in Emergency Medical Providers at the Rand Memorial Hospital: Moral distress in emergency medical personnel.
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Storr LE, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, Cheng L, Issa F, Benham T, and Ciottone G
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- Humans, Cross-Sectional Studies, Pandemics, Hospitals, Morals, COVID-19 epidemiology, Cyclonic Storms
- Abstract
Objectives: The aim of this work was to determine the impact of Moral Distress (MD) in emergency physicians, nurses, and emergency medical service staff at the Rand Memorial Hospital (RMH) in the Bahamas, and the impact of Hurricane Dorian and the COVID-19 pandemic on Moral Distress., Method: A cross-sectional study utilizing a 3-part survey, which collected sociodemographic information, Hurricane Dorian and COVID-19 experiences, as well as responses to a validated modified Moral Distress Scale (MDS)., Results: Participants with 2 negatively impactful experiences from COVID-19 had statistically significantly increased MD compared to participants with only 1 negatively impactful experience (40.4 vs. 23.6, P = 0 .014). Losing a loved one due to COVID-19 was associated with significantly decreased MD (B = - 0.42, 95% CI -19.70 to -0.88, P = 0.03). Losing a loved one due to Hurricane Dorian had a non-statistically significant trend towards higher MD scores (B = 0.34, 95% CI -1.23 to 28.75, P = 0.07)., Conclusion: The emergency medical staff at the RMH reported having mild - moderate MD. This is one of the first studies to look at the impact of concurrent disasters on MD in emergency medical providers in the Bahamas.
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- 2024
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11. Care in emergencies and disasters: Can it be person-centered?
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Khorram-Manesh A, Gray L, Goniewicz K, Cocco A, Ranse J, Phattharapornjaroen P, Achour N, Sørensen J, Peyravi M, Hertelendy AJ, Kupietz K, Bergholtz J, and Carlström E
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- Humans, Public Health, Disasters, Emergencies, Patient-Centered Care, Delivery of Health Care
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Objectives: While person-/patient-centered care aims to influence policymakers' rules and regulations to improve the care of individuals worldwide, exploration of the concept in the context of disaster and public health emergencies as an alternative ethical approach is lacking. This study aims to provide a nuanced understanding of the advantages and challenges of diverse ethical approaches in emergencies, to improve patient care., Methods: A survey, created after several rounds of Delphi methodology, with 22 statements, was applied to 39 participants from nine different countries. The questionnaire's results, including participants' comments, were analyzed., Results: The results show that practitioners chose to use a combination of diverse ethical approaches in managing victims of disasters and public health emergencies., Conclusion: The selection of an approach is context- and situation-dependent and seems to primarily respond to the nature of underlying etiology, creating a possibility to use diverse approaches to offer individualized care on a later occasion and when a flexible surge capacity is available., Practice Implications: The outcomes of this study will enhance the future ethical discussion in person/patient-centered care during situations with limited resources and help to develop necessary ethical and educational guidelines., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declared no potential conflicts of interest concerning the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article., (Copyright © 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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12. Pediatric disaster preparedness curriculum across emergency medicine residencies.
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Cahan LO, Hart A, Hertelendy AJ, Voskanyan A, Weiner DL, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, United States, Child, Curriculum, Surveys and Questionnaires, Internship and Residency, Mass Casualty Incidents, Emergency Medicine education, Disaster Medicine education
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Objective: To assess pediatric disaster medicine (PDM) instruction in emergency medicine (EM) residency programs and to identify barriers to integrating these skills into EM training., Methods: National survey study of United States EM Residency Program Directors (PDs) and Assistant PDs during the 2021-2022 academic year., Results: Of the 186 EM residency programs identified, a total of 24 responses were recorded with a response rate of 12.9 percent. Importance of training was rated 5.79 (standard deviation 2.51) using the Likert scale ranging from 1 to 10. Out of 24 programs, 17 (70.8 percent) do not have any PDM training as part of residency training. Live drill, simulation, and tabletop were identified as most effective methods to deliver PDM training with the Likert scale score of 4.78, 4.6, and 4.47, respectively. Senior trainees' level of -knowledge/skills with family reunification (Likert 2.09/5; chemical-biological-radiological-nuclear explosive 2.95/5) and mass casualty preparation of the emergency department (3.3/5) as assessed by the respondents. The main barrier to education included logistics, eg, space and costs (Likert 3.7/5), lack of didactic time (3.7/5), and limited faculty knowledge, skill, or experience (3.3/5)., Conclusion: PDM training is lacking and requires standardization. This study highlights the opportunity for the creation of a model for EM resident education in PDM.
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- 2024
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13. Quantitative Analysis of United States National Guard COVID-19 Disaster Relief Activities April-June 2020.
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Davis T, Pilcher K, Novaro R, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, Nouaime G, and Ciottone GR
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- United States epidemiology, Humans, COVID-19 epidemiology, Disasters, Disaster Planning, Military Personnel, Relief Work
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- 2023
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14. We are not prepared for the next pandemic: why learning from the COVID-19 pandemic is vital.
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Hertelendy AJ, Easthope L, FitzGerald G, and Lee ACK
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- Humans, Pandemics, COVID-19
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- 2023
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15. Disasters in the Northern Triangle: A Descriptive Analysis Using the EM-DAT Database 1902-2022.
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Dickason RM, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, and Ciottone GR
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Introduction: Since 1902, disasters in the Northern Triangle of Central America, which consists of the countries Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador, have caused over one-hundred-thousand deaths, affected millions of people, and caused tens of billions of dollars in damages. Understanding the nature and frequency of these events will allow stakeholders to decrease both the acute damages and the long-term deleterious consequences of disasters., Study Objective: This study provides a descriptive analysis of all disasters recorded in the Emergency Events Database (EM-DAT) affecting Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador from 1902-2022., Methods: Data were collected and analyzed from the EM-DAT, which categorizes disasters by frequency, severity, financial cost, distribution by country, burden of death, number of people affected, financial cost by country, and type of disasters most prevalent in each country. Results are presented as absolute numbers and as a percentage of the overall disaster burden. These trends are then graphed over the time period of the database., Results: The EM-DAT recorded 359 disasters in the Northern Triangle from 1902 through 2022. Meteorologic events (floods and storms) were the most common types of disaster (44%), followed by transport accidents (13%). Meteorologic events and earthquakes were the most severe, as measured by deaths (62%), people affected (60%), and financial cost (86%). Guatemala had the greatest number of disasters (45%), deaths (68%), and affected people (52%). The financial costs of the disasters were evenly distributed between the three countries., Conclusion: Meteorologic disasters are the most common and most severe type of disaster in the Northern Triangle. Earthquakes and transport accidents are also common. As climate change causes more severe storms in the region, disasters are likely to increase in severity as well. Governments and aid organizations should develop disaster preparedness and mitigation strategies to lessen the catastrophic effects of future disasters. Missing data limit the conclusions of this study to general trends.
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- 2023
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16. Combating the Opioid Crisis and Its National Security Threat Through CReDO: A Multidisciplinary Solution With Disaster Medicine Implications.
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Woodward CA, Issa FS, Caneva DC, Voskanyan A, Gadhia RA, Hart A, Hertelendy AJ, DiGregorio DA, Ciottone RG, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, United States, Opioid Epidemic, Analgesics, Opioid adverse effects, Fentanyl, Disaster Medicine, Drug Overdose prevention & control, Drug Overdose epidemiology
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For the first time in history, the United States surpassed 100 000 overdose-related deaths in a 12-month period, driven by synthetic opioids such as fentanyl. Also, for the first time, potential chemical weapons are readily available on the streets and the dark web. Opioids represent a rare trifecta, used for licit pain management, as an illicit drug of abuse, and with potential use as a weapon of terror. Community-based Response to Drug Overdose (CReDO) is an initiative to unite agencies, disciplines, government, and private partners in 1 coordinated opioid emergencies response plan under nationwide standards, and can be integrated into the disaster medicine discipline due to the risk of mass casualty incidents involving fentanyl or its derivatives. Attention to the opioid crisis through CReDO will save lives by promoting information sharing between disciplines, shortened response time to overdose clusters, community collaboration to identify criminal distribution networks, and holistic approaches to addiction.
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- 2023
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17. Adaptive Leadership in a Post-Pandemic World: The Urgent Need for Transformative Change.
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Goniewicz K and Hertelendy AJ
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- Humans, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, Leadership, COVID-19 epidemiology
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- 2023
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18. Building resilient hospital information technology services through organizational learning: Lessons in CIO leadership during an international systemic crisis in the United States and Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
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Cousins K, Hertelendy AJ, Chen M, Durneva P, and Wang S
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- Humans, United States, United Arab Emirates epidemiology, Information Technology, Pandemics, Hospitals, Leadership, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic was an international systemic crisis which required an unprecedented response to quickly drive the digital transformation of hospitals and health care systems to support high quality health care while adhering to contagion management protocols., Objective: To identify and assess the best practices during the COVID-19 pandemic by Chief Information Officers (CIOs) about how to build resilient healthcare IT (HIT) to improve pandemic preparedness and response across global settings and to develop recommendations for future pandemics., Methods: We conducted a qualitative, interview-based study to sample CIOs in hospitals. We interviewed 16 CIOs from hospitals and health systems in the United States and Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. We used in-depth interviews to capture their perspectives of the preparedness of hospitals' information technology departments for the pandemic and how they lead their IT department out of the pandemic., Results: Results showed that healthcare CIOs were ambidextrous IT leaders who built resilient HIT by rapidly improving existing digital business practices and creating innovative IT solutions. Ambidextrous IT leadership involved exploiting existing IT resources as well as exploring and innovating for continuous growth. IT resiliency focused on four inter-related capabilities: ambidextrous leadership, governance, innovation and learning, and HIT infrastructure., Conclusions: We propose conceptual frameworks to guide the development of healthcare IT resilience and highlight the importance of organizational learning as an integral component of HIT resiliency., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
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- 2023
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19. Factors associated with international humanitarian aid appeal for disasters from 1995 to 2015: A retrospective database study.
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Cheng L, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, Law LS, Hata R, Nouaime G, Issa F, Echeverri L, Voskanyan A, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, Altruism, Retrospective Studies, Asia, Disasters, Earthquakes, Relief Work
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Introduction: International humanitarian aid during disasters should be needs-based and coordinated in response to appeals from affected governments. We identify disaster and population factors associated with international aid appeal during disasters and hence guide preparation by international humanitarian aid providers., Methods: In this retrospective database analysis, we searched the Emergency Events Database for all disasters from 1995 to 2015. Disasters with and without international aid appeals were compared by location, duration, type of disaster, deaths, number of people affected, and total estimated damage. Logistic regression was used to examine the association of each factor with international aid appeal., Results: Of 13,961 disasters recorded from 1995 to 2015, 168 (1.2%) involved international aid appeals. Aid appeals were more likely to be triggered by disasters which killed more people (OR 1.29 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.64] log10 persons), affected more people (OR 1.85 [95%CI 1.57-2.18] / log10 persons), and occurred in Africa (OR 1.67 [95%CI 1.06-2.62). Earthquakes (OR 4.07 [95%CI 2.16-7.67]), volcanic activity (OR 6.23 [95%CI 2.50-15.53]), and insect infestations (OR 12.14 [95%CI 3.05-48.35]) were more likely to trigger international aid appeals. International aid appeals were less likely to be triggered by disasters which occurred in Asia (OR 0.46 [95%CI 0.29-0.73]) and which were transport accidents (OR 0.12 [95%CI 0.02-0.89])., Conclusion: International aid appeal during disasters was associated with greater magnitude of damage, disasters in Africa, and specific types of disasters such as earthquakes, volcanic activity, and insect infestations. Humanitarian aid providers can focus preparation on these identified factors., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Cheng et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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20. Descriptive Analysis of the Healthcare Aspects of Industrial Disasters Around the World.
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Tin D, Cheng L, Hata R, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, and Ciottone G
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- Humans, Retrospective Studies, Delivery of Health Care, Disaster Planning, Disasters, Petroleum Pollution
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Objective: Industrial disasters can have a myriad of repercussions ranging from deaths, injuries, and long-term adverse health impacts on nearby populations, to political fallout and environmental damage. This is a descriptive epidemiological analysis of industrial disasters occurring between 1995 and 2021 which may provide useful insight for health-care systems and disaster medicine specialists to better prevent and mitigate the effects of future industrial disasters., Methods: Data were collected using a retrospective database search of the Emergency Events Database (EM-DATS) for all industrial disasters occurring between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 2021., Results: A total of 1054 industrial disasters were recorded from 1995 to 2021. Most of these disasters occurred in Asia (720; 68.3%), with 131 (12.4%) in Africa, 107 (10.2%) in Europe, 94 (8.9%) in the Americas, and 2 (0.2%) in Oceania. Half of these disasters were explosions (533; 50.6%), 147 (13.9%) were collapses, 143 (13.6%) were fires, 46 (4.4%) were chemical spills, 41 (3.9%) were gas leaks, and 34 (3.2%) were poisonings. There were 6 (0.6%) oil spills and 3 (0.3%) radiation events., Conclusions: A total of 29,708 deaths and 57,605 injuries were recorded as a result of industrial disasters, and they remain a significant contributor to the health-care risks of both workers and regional communities. The need for specialized emergency response training, the potential devastation of an industrial accident, and the vulnerability of critical infrastructure as terror targets highlight the need to better understand the potential immediate and long-term consequences of such events and to improve health-care responses in the future.
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- 2023
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21. Health Sector Transformation in Saudi Arabia: The Integration of Drones to Augment Disaster and Prehospital Care Delivery.
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Hertelendy AJ, Al-Wathinani AM, Ali Salem Sultan M, and Goniewicz K
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- Humans, Unmanned Aerial Devices, Saudi Arabia, Disasters, Disaster Planning, Emergency Medical Services
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- 2023
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22. The impact of war on emergency departments visits by Ukrainian refugees in Poland.
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Goniewicz K, Burkle FM, Hertelendy AJ, and Khorram-Manesh A
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- Humans, Poland, Emergency Service, Hospital, Ethnicity, Refugees
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- 2023
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23. Terrorism-Related Attacks in East Asia from 1970 through 2020.
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Shin H, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, Tin D, Issa F, Hata R, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, Asia, Eastern epidemiology, China, Republic of Korea, Terrorism, Emergency Medical Services, Disaster Planning
- Abstract
Aim: This study aims to analyze and describe terrorism-related attacks in East Asia from 1970 through 2020., Background: East Asia consists of South Korea, North Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, China, Japan, Taiwan, and Macao. According to the Global Terrorism Index (GTI) 2022, the impact of terrorism in East Asia is very low. However, the assassination of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on July 8, 2022 demonstrates that East Asia is not safe from terrorist attacks. This descriptive analysis of terrorist attacks in East Asia will help first responders, Emergency Medical Services (EMS), hospital-based medical providers, and policymakers establish a more refined hazard vulnerability assessment (HVA) framework and develop a Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM) mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery plan., Methods: This is a descriptive observational study drawing data from the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) from January 1, 1970 through December 31, 2020. Epidemiology outcomes included primary weapon type, primary target type, the country where the incident occurred, and the number of total deaths and injured collected. Data from 2021 were not yet available at the time of this study. Results were exported into an Excel spreadsheet (Microsoft Corp.; Redmond, Washington USA) for analysis., Results: There were 779 terrorism-related events in East Asia from 1970 through 2020. In total, the attacks resulted in 1,123 deaths and 9,061 persons injured. The greatest number of attacks (371; 47.63%) occurred in Japan and the second most occurred in China (268; 34.4%). Explosives were the most used primary weapon type (308; 39.54%) in the region, followed by incendiary devices (260; 33.38%). Terrorist attacks drastically diminished from their peak of 92 in 1990, but there were additional peaks of 88 in 1996, 18 in 2000, 20 in 2008, and 36 attacks in 2014., Conclusions: A total of 779 terrorist attacks occurred from 1970 through 2020 in East Asia, resulting in 1,123 deaths and 9,061 injuries. Of those, 82.03% attacks occurred in Japan and China. Terrorist attacks drastically diminished since their peak in 1996, but there is an overall uptrend in attacks since 1999.
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- 2023
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24. COVID-19 pandemic 3 years in: We are NOT ready for the next pandemic!
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Hertelendy AJ and Waugh WL
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- Humans, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19
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- 2023
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25. Malaysian Disaster Medicine Research: A Bibliographic Study of Publication Trends.
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Adnan MSB, Hart A, Hertelendy AJ, Tin D, Abelanes SM, Issa F, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, SARS-CoV-2, Bibliographies as Topic, COVID-19 epidemiology, Disaster Medicine, Disasters
- Abstract
Introduction: Despite the increasing risks and complexity of disasters, education for Malaysian health care providers in this domain is limited. This study aims to assess scholarly publications by Malaysian scholars on Disaster Medicine (DM)-related topics., Methodology: An electronic search of five selected journals from 1991 through 2021 utilizing multiple keywords relevant to DM was conducted for review and analysis., Results: A total of 154 articles were included for analysis. The mean number of publications per year from 1991 through 2021 was 5.1 publications. Short reports were the most common research type (53.2%), followed by original research (32.4%) and case reports (12.3%). Mean citations among the included articles were 12.4 citations. Most author collaborations were within the same agency or institution, and there was no correlation between the type of collaboration and the number of citations (P = .942). While a few clusters of scholars could build a strong network across institutions, most research currently conducted in DM was within small, isolated clusters., Conclusion: Disaster Medicine in Malaysia is a growing medical subspecialty with a significant recent surge in research activity, likely due to the SARS-CoV-2/coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) global pandemic. Since most publications in DM have been on infectious diseases, the need to expand DM-related research on other topics is essential.
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- 2022
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26. Emergency Medical Services Preparedness in Dual Disasters: War in the Era of COVID-19 in Armenia.
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Woodward CA, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, Voskanyan A, Harutyunyan H, Virabyan A, Mukhaelyan A, Mahon SE, Issa FS, Adnan MS, Stepanyan T, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, Adult, Armenia epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, Wounds, Gunshot, Emergency Medical Services, Mass Casualty Incidents
- Abstract
Introduction: Emergency Medical Services (EMS) is a critical part of Disaster Medicine and has the ability to limit morbidity and mortality in a disaster event with sufficient training and experience. Emergency systems in Armenia are in an early stage of development and there is no Emergency Medicine residency training in the country. As a result, EMS physicians are trained in a variety of specialties.Armenia is also a country prone to disasters, and recently, the Armenian EMS system was challenged by two concurrent disasters when the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War broke out in the midst of the SARS-CoV-2/coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic., Study Objective: This study aims to assess the current state of disaster preparedness of the Armenian EMS system and the effects of the simultaneous pandemic and war on EMS providers., Methods: This was a cross-sectional study conducted by anonymous survey distributed to physicians still working in the Yerevan EMS system who provided care to war casualties and COVID-19 patients., Results: Survey response rate was 70.6%. Most participants had been a physician (52.1%) or EMS physician (66.7%) for three or less years. The majority were still in residency (64.6%). Experience in battlefield medicine was limited prior to the war, with the majority reporting no experience in treating mass casualties (52.1%), wounds from explosives (52.1%), or performing surgical procedures (52.1%), and many reporting minimal to no experience in treating gunshot wounds (62.5%), severe burns (64.6%), and severe orthopedic injuries (64.6%). Participants had moderate experience in humanitarian medicine prior to war. Greater experience in battlefield medicine was found in participants with more than three years of experience as a physician (z-score -3.26; P value <.01) or as an EMS physician (z-score -2.76; P value <.01) as well as being at least 30 years old (z-score -2.11; P value = .03). Most participants felt they were personally in danger during the war at least sometimes (89.6%)., Conclusion: Prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and simultaneous 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War, EMS physicians in Armenia had limited training and experience in Disaster Medicine. This system, and the frontline physicians on whom it relies, was strained by the dual disaster, highlighting the need for Disaster Medicine training in all prehospital medical providers.
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- 2022
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27. A Literature Review on the Impact of Wildfires on Emergency Departments: Enhancing Disaster Preparedness.
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Skinner R, Luther M, Hertelendy AJ, Khorram-Manesh A, Sørensen J, Goniewicz K, and Ranse J
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- Climate Change, Databases, Factual, Emergency Service, Hospital, Humans, United States, Disasters, Wildfires
- Abstract
Introduction: Global climate change (global warming) has been identified as the primary factor responsible for the observed increase in frequency and severity of wildfires (also known as bushfires in some countries) throughout the majority of the world's vegetated environments. This trend is predicted to continue, causing significant adverse health effects to nearby residential populations and placing a potential strain on local emergency departments (EDs)., Study Objective: The aim of this literature review was to identify papers relating to wildfires and their impact on EDs, specifically patient presentation characteristics, resource utilization, and patient outcomes., Method: This integrative literature review was guided by the Preferred Reporting Items of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines for data collection, and Whittemore and Knafl's framework for data analysis. Data were collected from OvidSP, MEDLINE, DARE, CINAHL, PubMed, and Scopus databases. Various Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) and keywords identified papers relevant to wildfires/bushfires and EDs., Results: Literature regarding the relationship between ED presentations and wildfire events, however, is primarily limited to studies from the United States and Australia and indicates particulate matter (PM) is principally linked to adverse respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes. Observable trends in the literature principally included a significant increase in respiratory presentations, primarily with a lag of one to two days from the initial event. Respiratory and cardiovascular studies that stratified results by age indicated individuals under five, over 65, or those with pre-existing conditions formed the majority of ED presentations., Conclusion: Key learnings from this review included the need for effective and targeted community advisory programs/procedures, prior to and during wildfire events, as well as pre-event planning, development, and robust resilience strategies for EDs.
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- 2022
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28. Mitigating Moral Distress in Leaders of Healthcare Organizations: A Scoping Review.
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Hertelendy AJ, Gutberg J, Mitchell C, Gustavsson M, Rapp D, Mayo M, and von Schreeb J
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- Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Leadership, Morals, Organizational Culture, Stress, Psychological
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Goal: Moral distress literature is firmly rooted in the nursing and clinician experience, with a paucity of literature that considers the extent to which moral distress affects clinical and administrative healthcare leaders. Moreover, the little evidence that has been collected on this phenomenon has not been systematically mapped to identify key areas for both theoretical and practical elaboration. We conducted a scoping review to frame our understanding of this largely unexplored dynamic of moral distress and better situate our existing knowledge of moral distress and leadership., Methods: Using moral distress theory as our conceptual framework, we evaluated recent literature on moral distress and leadership to understand how prior studies have conceptualized the effects of moral distress. Our search yielded 1,640 total abstracts. Further screening with the PRISMA process resulted in 72 included articles., Principal Findings: Our scoping review found that leaders-not just their employees- personally experience moral distress. In addition, we identified an important role for leaders and organizations in addressing the theoretical conceptualization and practical effects of moral distress., Practical Applications: Although moral distress is unlikely to ever be eliminated, the literature in this review points to a singular need for organizational responses that are intended to intervene at the level of the organization itself, not just at the individual level. Best practices require creating stronger organizational cultures that are designed to mitigate moral distress. This can be achieved through transparency and alignment of personal, professional, and organizational values., Competing Interests: The authors declare no conflicts of interest. Drs. Hertelendy and Mitchell and Ms. Gutberg contributed equally as cofirst authors of this work., (Copyright © 2022 Foundation of the American College of Healthcare Executives.)
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- 2022
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29. Employees Perception of Organizational Crises and Their Reactions to Them - A Norwegian Organizational Case Study.
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Sørensen JL, Ranse J, Gray L, Khorram-Manesh A, Goniewicz K, and Hertelendy AJ
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Organizational sensemaking is crucial for resource planning and crisis management since facing complex strategic problems that exceed their capacity and ability, such as crises, forces organizations to engage in inter-organizational collaboration, which leads to obtaining individual and diverse perspectives to comprehend the issues and find solutions. This online qualitative survey study examines how Norwegian Sea Rescue Society employees perceived the concept of an organizational crisis and how they sensed their co-workers react to it. The scope was the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, a global event affecting all countries and organizations and responding similarly globally. Data were collected during the Fall of 2020. The instrument of choice was the Internal Crisis Management and Crisis Communication survey (ICMCC). The results showed that the overall sample strongly believed in their organization's overall resilience level. However, a somewhat vague understanding of roles and responsibilities in a crisis where detected, together with some signs of informal communication, rumor spreading, misunderstanding, frustration, and insecurity. This study contributes to the academic field of organizational research, hence crisis management and sensemaking, and could be valuable to managers and decision-makers across sectors. Increased knowledge about how employees react to a crisis may help optimize internal crisis management planning and utilize robust mitigation and response strategies., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2022 Sørensen, Ranse, Gray, Khorram-Manesh, Goniewicz and Hertelendy.)
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- 2022
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30. Public Health and Health Sector Crisis Leadership During Pandemics: A Review of the Medical and Business Literature.
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Sriharan A, Hertelendy AJ, Banaszak-Holl J, Fleig-Palmer MM, Mitchell C, Nigam A, Gutberg J, Rapp DJ, and Singer SJ
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- Humans, Leadership, Public Health, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Pandemics
- Abstract
The global scale and unpredictable nature of the current COVID-19 pandemic have put a significant burden on health care and public health leaders, for whom preparedness plans and evidence-based guidelines have proven insufficient to guide actions. This article presents a review of empirical articles on the topics of "crisis leadership" and "pandemic" across medical and business databases between 2003 (since SARS) and-December 2020 and has identified 35 articles for detailed analyses. We use the articles' evidence on leadership behaviors and skills that have been key to pandemic responses to characterize the types of leadership competencies commonly exhibited in a pandemic context. Task-oriented competencies, including preparing and planning, establishing collaborations, and conducting crisis communication, received the most attention. However, people-oriented and adaptive-oriented competencies were as fundamental in overcoming the structural, political, and cultural contexts unique to pandemics.
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- 2022
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31. Canadian Wildfires: A Plague on Societies Well-Being, Inequities and Cohesion.
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Hertelendy AJ, Burkle FM, and Ciottone GR
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- Canada epidemiology, Humans, Wildfires
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Extreme heat and wildfires have health implications for everyone; however, minority and low-income populations are disproportionately negatively affected due to generations of social inequities and discriminatory practices. Indigenous people in Canada are at a higher risk of many chronic respiratory diseases, as well as other non-communicable diseases and hospitalization, compared to the general population. These wildfires occurring during the COVID-19 pandemic have demonstrated how disruptive compounding disasters can be, putting minority populations such as First Nations, Metis, and Inuit tribes at increased risk and decreased priority. Going forward, if the necessarily proactive mitigation and preparedness steps are not undertaken, the ability to attenuate health inequity in the indigenous community by building resiliency to wildfire disasters will be significantly hampered.
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- 2022
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32. Crisis leadership: a case for inclusion in accredited Master of Public Health program curricula.
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Hertelendy AJ, Chekijian S, McNulty E, Mitchell CL, Grimes JO, Durneva P, Ranse J, Voskanyan A, Nazarian V, Rawaf S, Tabche C, and Ciottone GR
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- Curriculum, Humans, Pandemics, Public Health education, United States, COVID-19 prevention & control, Leadership
- Abstract
Objectives: To evaluate the exposure to crisis leadership theory already present in Council on Education for Public Health (CEPH) accredited Master of Public Health (MPH) programs in the United States and provide a compelling case for its future inclusion., Study Design: This was a narrative review., Methods: We compiled a comprehensive list of 179 CEPH schools that offered an MPH program. During January through March 2021, we examined 179 websites for the core courses and elective courses offered in the MPH degree program to determine if any courses covered the topics of leadership, crisis leadership, or crisis management in either the course title or description., Results: Leadership courses were available in only 55.31% of CEPH-accredited schools. Only a single program (0.56%) offers a crisis leadership course., Conclusions: The current global COVID-19 pandemic and reality of climate-induced disasters have brought crises to the forefront for health systems. Successful leadership for the future requires public health leaders to have training in crisis leadership. The evaluation and revision of public health curricula must focus on leadership competency development to prepare graduates to lead complex multiple crisis events and system shocks simultaneously., (Copyright © 2022 The Royal Society for Public Health. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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33. Preparing for the next COVID-19 wave in Canada: managing the crisis facing emergency management leaders in healthcare organisations.
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Hertelendy AJ, Tochkin J, Richmond J, and Ciottone GR
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- Canada epidemiology, Delivery of Health Care, Health Facilities, Humans, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared.
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- 2022
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34. Developing Telemedicine Curriculum Competencies for Graduate Medical Education: Outcomes of a Modified Delphi Process.
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Hart A, Romney D, Sarin R, Mechanic O, Hertelendy AJ, Larson D, Rhone K, Sidel K, Voskanyan A, and Ciottone GR
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- Clinical Competence, Curriculum, Delphi Technique, Education, Medical, Graduate, Humans, Pandemics, COVID-19 epidemiology, Telemedicine
- Abstract
Purpose: Telemedical applications have only recently begun to coalesce into the field of telemedicine due to varying definitions of telemedicine and issues around reimbursement. This process has been accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic and the ensuing expansion of telemedicine delivery. This article demonstrates the development of a set of proposed competencies for a telemedicine curriculum in graduate medical education., Method: A modified Delphi process was used to create a panel of competencies. This included a systematic review of the telemedicine literature through November 2019 to create an initial set of competencies, which were analyzed and edited by a focus group of experts in January 2020. Initial competencies were distributed in a series of 3 rounds of surveys to a group of 23 experts for comments and rating from April to August 2020. Competencies that obtained a score of 4.0 or greater on a 5-point Likert scale in at least 2 rounds were recommended., Results: Fifty-five competencies were developed based on the systematic review. A further 32 were added by the expert group for a total of 87. After 3 rounds of surveys, 34 competencies reached the recommendation threshold. These were 10 systems-based practice competencies, 7 professionalism, 6 patient care, 4 practice-based learning and improvement, 4 interpersonal and communication skills, and 3 medical knowledge competencies., Conclusions: Half (17/34) of the competencies approved by the focus group and surveyed expert panel pertained to either systems-based practice or professionalism. Both categories exhibit more variation between telemedicine and in-person practice than other categories. The authors offer a set of proposed educational competencies that can be used in the development of curricula for a wide range of providers and are based on the best evidence and expert opinion available., (Copyright © 2021 by the Association of American Medical Colleges.)
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- 2022
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35. Surge Capacity Crisis and Mitigation Plan in Trauma Setting Based on Real-Time National Trauma Registry Data.
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Al-Thani H, Frazier T, Hertelendy AJ, Asim M, and El-Menyar A
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- Female, Humans, Male, Registries, Surge Capacity, Disaster Planning, Emergency Medical Services, Mass Casualty Incidents
- Abstract
Background: The objective of this study was to assess the current breaking point of crisis surge capacity of trauma services in Qatar and to develop a mitigation plan., Methods: The study utilized real-time data from the National Trauma Registry. Data was explored cumulatively by weeks, months and a year's interval and all trauma admissions within this time frame were considered as 1 'Disaster Incident.', Results: A total of 2479 trauma patients were included in the study over 1 year. The mean age of patients was 31.5 ± 15.9 and 84% were males. The number of patients who sustained severe trauma which necessitated Level 1 activation was 16%. The emergency medical services (EMS) surge attained crisis of operational capacity at 5 months of disaster incident for priority 1 cases. Bed capacity at the floor was the first to reach operational crisis followed by the ICU and operating room. The gap in the surge for surgical interventions was specific to the specialty and surgery type which reached operational crisis at 3 months., Conclusion: The study highlights the surge capacity and capability of the healthcare system at a Level 1 trauma center. The identified gaps in surge capacity require several key components of healthcare resources to be addressed across the continuum of care.
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- 2022
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36. Does the Prosperity of a Country Play a Role in COVID-19 Outcomes?
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Khorram-Manesh A, Carlström E, Hertelendy AJ, Goniewicz K, Casady CB, and Burkle FM
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- Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, Physical Distancing, Triage, COVID-19 epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2
- Abstract
Objective: This study aims to clarify the association between prosperity and the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outcomes and its impact on the future management of pandemics., Methods: This is an observational study using information from 2 online registries. The numbers of infected individuals and deaths and the prosperity rank of each country were obtained from worldometer.info and the Legatum Institute's Prosperity Index, respectively., Results: There is a combination of countries with high and low prosperity on the list of COVID-19-infected countries. The risk of the virus pandemic seems to be more extensive in countries with high prosperity. A Spearman's rho test confirmed a significant correlation between prosperity, the number of COVID-19 cases, and the number of deaths at the 99% level., Conclusion: New emerging pandemics affect all nations. In order to increase the likelihood of successfully managing future events, it is important to consider preexisting health security, valid population-based management approaches, medical decision-making, communication, continuous assessment, triage, treatment, early and complete physical distancing strategies, and logistics. These elements cannot be taught on-site and on occasion. There is a need for innovative and regular educational activities for all stakeholders committed to safeguarding our future defense systems concerning diagnostic, protection, treatment, and rehabilitation in pandemics, as well as other emergencies.
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- 2022
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37. Evaluation of a prototype decontamination mobile unit (UMDEO) for COVID-19 vaccination: A cross-sectional survey in France.
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Ribera-Cano A, Dupont M, Houzé-Cerfon CH, Houzé-Cerfon V, Hart A, Hertelendy AJ, Ciottone G, and Bounes V
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- Cross-Sectional Studies, Decontamination, France, Humans, Mass Vaccination, SARS-CoV-2, Vaccination, COVID-19, COVID-19 Vaccines
- Abstract
Aim of the Study: In the context of the worldwide vaccination campaign against COVID-19, France has been deploying multiple sites for mass vaccination. This study aimed to assess the perceived usefulness of a prototype decontamination mobile unit (UMDEO) for COVID-19 vaccination among both the patient and healthcare providers perspectives., Methods: This was a descriptive cross-sectional study conducted in Toulouse over two days. UMDEO is a fully comprehensive, versatile solution that was deployed as a 5-row vaccination unit. A written questionnaire was distributed from March 6th-7th, 2021 among all patients presenting for vaccination at the mobile center, as well as the team participating in the vaccination campaign., Results: Among the vaccinated patients (n = 1659), 1409 participants (84.9%) filled out the survey, as well as 68 out of 85 (80%) within the UMDEO team. The maximum patient rate was 98 people per hour. The majority of participants and caregivers (1307 [93.2%] and 67 [98.5%] respectively) agreed that the mobile unit increased access to vaccination. A total of 91.3% patients (n = 1281) and 95.6% caregivers (n = 65) believed that it would speed up the overall vaccination campaign., Conclusion: The majority of the vaccinated population and of the team participating in the survey were satisfied with the usefulness of UMDEO as a vaccination center. Toulouse is currently the only city to have used such a structure for vaccination, but it could be used as a basis for planning other mobile units to increase vaccination access., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2021
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38. Opioid Attack and the Implications for Counter-Terrorism Medicine.
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Tin D, Kallenborn Z, Hart A, Hertelendy AJ, and Ciottone GR
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- Analgesics, Opioid adverse effects, Humans, United States, Disaster Planning, Terrorism
- Abstract
While the opioid epidemic engulfing the United States and the globe is well-documented, the potential use of powerful fentanyl derivatives as a weapon of terror is increasingly a concern. Carfentanyl, a powerful and deadly fentanyl derivative, is seeing a surge in popularity as an illegal street drug, and there is increasing congressional interest surrounding the classification of opioid derivatives under the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC) given their potential to cause harm. The combination of the potency of opioid derivatives along with the ease of accessibility poses a potential risk of the use of these deadly agents as chemical weapons, particularly by terrorist organizations. Disaster Medicine specialists in recent years have established a sub-specialty in Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM) to address and research the unique terrorism-related issues relating to mitigation, preparedness, and response measures to asymmetric, multi-modality terrorist attacks.
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- 2021
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39. Rise of the Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: An Imminent Public Health Threat Mandating Counter-Terrorism Medicine Preparedness for Potential Mass-Casualty Attacks.
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Tin D, Kallenborn Z, Hart A, Hertelendy AJ, and Ciottone GR
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- Humans, Public Health, Disaster Planning, Emergency Medical Services, Mass Casualty Incidents, Terrorism
- Abstract
The mass proliferation and increasing affordability of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in recent years has given rise to weaponized UAV use by terrorists, leading to mounting and credible concerns this attack methodology will be the next terrorism modus operandi. Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM) specialists need to consider how UAVs alter or create new mass-casualty scenarios that can further exploit existing medical preparedness vulnerabilities. With an opportunity to be proactive in disaster prevention, mitigation, and preparedness, it is imperative this gathering storm be acknowledged and stakeholders explore how best to prepare for, respond to, and mitigate the consequences of UAV incidents.
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- 2021
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40. The Psychosocial Impact of Compounding Humanitarian Crises Caused by War and COVID-19 Informing Future Disaster Response.
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Harutyunyan H, Mukhaelyan A, Hertelendy AJ, Voskanyan A, Benham T, Issa F, Hart A, and Ciottone GR
- Subjects
- Humans, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Disasters, Relief Work
- Abstract
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused the greatest global loss of life and economic impact due to a respiratory virus since the 1918 influenza pandemic. While health care systems around the world faced the enormous challenges of managing COVID-19 patients, health care workers in the Republic of Armenia were further tasked with caring for the surge of casualties from a concurrent, large-scale war. These compounding events put a much greater strain on the health care system, creating a complex humanitarian crisis that resulted in significant psychosocial consequences for health care workers in Armenia.
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- 2021
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41. Wildfires: A conflagration of climate-related impacts to health and health systems. Recommendations from 4 continents on how to manage climate-related planetary disasters.
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Hertelendy AJ, Howard C, de Almeida R, Charlesworth K, and Maki L
- Abstract
Competing Interests: None declared
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- 2021
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42. Novel Respiratory Viruses in the Context of Mass-Gathering Events: A Systematic Review to Inform Event Planning from a Health Perspective.
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Ranse J, Beckwith D, Khan A, Yezli S, Hertelendy AJ, Hutton A, and Zimmerman PA
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- Humans, Public Health, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Influenza A Virus, H1N1 Subtype, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus
- Abstract
Background: Mass-gathering events (MGEs) occur regularly throughout the world. As people congregate at MGEs, there is an increased risk of transmission of communicable diseases. Novel respiratory viruses, such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-1 (SARS-CoV-1), Influenza A Virus Subtype H1N1 Strain 2009 (H1N1pdm09), Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS-CoV), and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), or Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), may require specific infection prevention and control strategies to minimize the risk of transmission when planning MGEs. This literature review aimed to identify and analyze papers relating to novel respiratory viruses with pandemic potential and to inform MGE planning., Method: This paper used a systematic literature review method. Various health care databases were searched using keywords relating to MGEs and novel respiratory viruses. Information was extracted from identified papers into various tables for analysis. The analysis identified infection prevention and control strategies used at MGEs to inform planning before, during, and following events., Results: In total, 27 papers met the criteria for inclusion. No papers were identified regarding SARS-CoV-1, while the remainder reported on H1N1pdm09 (n = 9), MERS-CoV (n = 15), and SARS-CoV-2 (n = 3). Various before, during, and after event mitigation strategies were identified that can be implemented for future events., Conclusions: This literature review provided an overview of the novel respiratory virus epidemiology at MGEs alongside related public health mitigation strategies that have been implemented at these events. This paper also discusses the health security of event participants and host communities in the context of cancelling, postponing, and modifying events due to a novel respiratory virus. In particular, ways to recommence events incorporating various mitigation strategies are outlined.
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- 2021
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43. Geographic Information System Technology: Review of the Challenges for Its Establishment as a Major Asset for Disaster and Emergency Management in Poland.
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Goniewicz K, Magiera M, Rucińska D, Pawłowski W, Burkle FM, Hertelendy AJ, and Goniewicz M
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- Geographic Information Systems, Humans, Poland, Software, Disaster Planning, Disasters
- Abstract
Technical and technological progress in the 21st century, especially emerging geographic information system (GIS) technology, offers new and unprecedented opportunities to counteract the impact of crisis situations and emergencies. Computerization and development of GIS enabled the digital visualization of space for interactive analysis of multiple data in the form of models or simulations. Additionally, computerization, which gives rise to a new quality of database management, requires continuous modernization of computer hardware and software. This study examines selected examples of the implications and impact of the GIS commonly used in Poland.
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- 2021
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44. 50 Years of Mass-Fatality Terrorist Attacks: A Retrospective Study of Target Demographics, Modalities, and Injury Patterns to Better Inform Future Counter-Terrorism Medicine Preparedness and Response.
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Tin D, Hertelendy AJ, Hart A, and Ciottone GR
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- Demography, Humans, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Disaster Planning, Terrorism
- Abstract
Background: Terrorism-related deaths have fallen year after year since peaking in 2014, and whilst the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has disrupted terrorist organizations capacity to conduct attacks and limited their potential targets, counter-terrorism experts believe this is a short-term phenomenon with serious concerns of an escalation of violence and events in the near future. This study aims to provide an epidemiological analysis of all terrorism-related mass-fatality events (>100 fatalities) sustained between 1970-2019, including historical attack strategies, modalities used, and target selection, to better inform health care responders on the injury types they are likely to encounter., Methods: The Global Terrorism Database (GTD) was searched for all attacks between the years 1970-2019. Attacks met inclusion criteria if they fulfilled the three terrorism-related criteria as set by the GTD codebook. Ambiguous events were excluded. State-sponsored terrorist events do not meet the codebook's definition, and as such, are excluded from the study. Data analysis and subsequent discussions were focused on events causing 100+ fatal injuries (FI)., Results: In total, 168,003 events were recorded between the years 1970-2019. Of these, 85,225 (50.73%) events recorded no FI; 67,356 (40.10%) events recorded 1-10 FI; 5,791 (3.45%) events recorded 11-50 FI; 405 (0.24%) events recorded 51-100 FI; 149 (0.09%) events recorded over 100 FI; and 9,077 (5.40%) events recorded unknown number of FI.Also, 96,905 events recorded no non-fatal injuries (NFI); 47,425 events recorded 1-10 NFI; 8,313 events recorded 11-50 NFI; 867 events recorded 51-100 NFI; 360 events recorded over 100 NFI; and 14,130 events recorded unknown number of NFI. Private citizens and property were the primary targets in 67 of the 149 high-FI events (100+ FI). Of the 149 events recording 100+ FI, 46 (30.87%) were attributed to bombings/explosions as the primary attack modality, 43 (28.86%) were armed assaults, 23 (15.44%) hostage incidents, two (1.34%) were facility/infrastructure attacks (incendiary), one (0.67%) was an unarmed assault, seven (4.70%) had unknown modalities, and 27 (18.12%) were mixed modality attacks., Conclusions: The most common attack modality causing 100+ FI was the use of bombs and explosions (30.87%), followed by armed assaults (28.86%). Private citizens and properties (44.97%) were most commonly targeted, followed by government (6.04%), businesses (5.37%), police (4.70%), and airports and aircrafts (4.70%). These data will be useful for the development of training programs in Counter-Terrorism Medicine (CTM), a rapidly emerging Disaster Medicine sub-specialty.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Disaster medicine training: The case for virtual reality.
- Author
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Tin D, Hertelendy AJ, and Ciottone GR
- Subjects
- Humans, Disaster Medicine education, Simulation Training, Virtual Reality
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Preparing emergency and disaster medicine physicians to lead future responses: Crisis leadership a core competency.
- Author
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Hertelendy AJ, Goniewicz K, and Khorram-Manesh A
- Subjects
- Humans, Leadership, Disaster Medicine, Disaster Planning, Physicians
- Abstract
Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest None.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. The Holy Month of Ramadan: Mass-Gathering Event Implications for Hospital Surge Capacity Planning in Saudi Arabia.
- Author
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Almalki Y, Hart A, Issa F, Hertelendy AJ, Mahon S, Voskanyan A, and Ciottone GR
- Subjects
- Hospitals, Humans, Retrospective Studies, Saudi Arabia, Emergency Service, Hospital, Surge Capacity
- Abstract
Objectives: The goal of this study is to determine the impact of the Holy Month of Ramadan on emergency department (ED) and hospital resource utilization in comparison to the time of Hajj and the rest of the year, so as to better define future resource needs of hospitals responding to events of this large size and duration., Methods: A retrospective chart review was conducted of electronic medical records, ED visits, and hospital admissions during Ramadan, Hajj, and all other months over a three-year period on the Hijra calendar (1438-1440) or Gregorian (2016-2019). Primary outcomes were the change in the number of ED visits, hospital admissions, and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions during Ramadan in comparison to during Hajj and other months. Secondary outcomes included mortality; number of surgeries by specialty; and admissions to cardiac, respiratory, orthopedic, and neurosurgery wards., Results: During the three years, ED visits increased during Ramadan by 83.0%, 74.8%, and 40.3%, respectively, when compared to non-Hajj, non-Ramadan months. Hospital admissions rose by 21.05%, 50.96% and 48.22%. Combined ED and in-hospital mortality rose by 15.21%, 21.47%, and 1.39%. While there was a large increase in ICU admissions during Ramadan of 1440 (May 2019), this was not a trend seen in other years. Despite there only being two years of data for comparison, there was a trend towards increased admissions to all specialty wards. There was an average 46.69% increase in admissions to the general surgery ward during Ramadan months compared to other months, a 31.06% increase in admissions to the orthopedic surgery ward, and a 44.05% increase in admissions to the cardiac care unit., Conclusions: Ramadan is associated with a significant increase in the population of Makkah (Mecca), Saudi Arabia. Despite this study only focusing on a three-year period, and some variables with only two years of data available, it demonstrates a significant increase in ED visits, hospital admissions, and mortality during Ramadan compared to non-Hajj/non-Ramadan months. During mass gatherings of this size, it would benefit local and regional hospital systems to devote increased resources to patient care, especially to the ED, to prevent morbidity and mortality.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. What we learned from the 2019-2020 Australian Bushfire disaster: Making counter-terrorism medicine a strategic preparedness priority.
- Author
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Tin D, Hertelendy AJ, and Ciottone GR
- Subjects
- Australia, Humans, Disaster Planning methods, Fires, Natural Disasters, Terrorism
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Emergency Physician Twitter Use in the COVID-19 Pandemic as a Potential Predictor of Impending Surge: Retrospective Observational Study.
- Author
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Margus C, Brown N, Hertelendy AJ, Safferman MR, Hart A, and Ciottone GR
- Subjects
- COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 Vaccines administration & dosage, Humans, Latent Class Analysis, Longitudinal Studies, Pandemics, Retrospective Studies, SARS-CoV-2, Vaccination statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 epidemiology, Communication, Emergency Medicine, Forecasting methods, Hospitalization statistics & numerical data, Hospitalization trends, Physicians, Social Media statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: The early conversations on social media by emergency physicians offer a window into the ongoing response to the COVID-19 pandemic., Objective: This retrospective observational study of emergency physician Twitter use details how the health care crisis has influenced emergency physician discourse online and how this discourse may have use as a harbinger of ensuing surge., Methods: Followers of the three main emergency physician professional organizations were identified using Twitter's application programming interface. They and their followers were included in the study if they identified explicitly as US-based emergency physicians. Statuses, or tweets, were obtained between January 4, 2020, when the new disease was first reported, and December 14, 2020, when vaccination first began. Original tweets underwent sentiment analysis using the previously validated Valence Aware Dictionary and Sentiment Reasoner (VADER) tool as well as topic modeling using latent Dirichlet allocation unsupervised machine learning. Sentiment and topic trends were then correlated with daily change in new COVID-19 cases and inpatient bed utilization., Results: A total of 3463 emergency physicians produced 334,747 unique English-language tweets during the study period. Out of 3463 participants, 910 (26.3%) stated that they were in training, and 466 of 902 (51.7%) participants who provided their gender identified as men. Overall tweet volume went from a pre-March 2020 mean of 481.9 (SD 72.7) daily tweets to a mean of 1065.5 (SD 257.3) daily tweets thereafter. Parameter and topic number tuning led to 20 tweet topics, with a topic coherence of 0.49. Except for a week in June and 4 days in November, discourse was dominated by the health care system (45,570/334,747, 13.6%). Discussion of pandemic response, epidemiology, and clinical care were jointly found to moderately correlate with COVID-19 hospital bed utilization (Pearson r=0.41), as was the occurrence of "covid," "coronavirus," or "pandemic" in tweet texts (r=0.47). Momentum in COVID-19 tweets, as demonstrated by a sustained crossing of 7- and 28-day moving averages, was found to have occurred on an average of 45.0 (SD 12.7) days before peak COVID-19 hospital bed utilization across the country and in the four most contributory states., Conclusions: COVID-19 Twitter discussion among emergency physicians correlates with and may precede the rising of hospital burden. This study, therefore, begins to depict the extent to which the ongoing pandemic has affected the field of emergency medicine discourse online and suggests a potential avenue for understanding predictors of surge., (©Colton Margus, Natasha Brown, Attila J Hertelendy, Michelle R Safferman, Alexander Hart, Gregory R Ciottone. Originally published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research (https://www.jmir.org), 14.07.2021.)
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- 2021
- Full Text
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50. The new normal: A catalyst for leadership adaptation in a tumultuous world-Let's stop applying 20th century solutions to 21st century problems in emergency management.
- Author
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Hertelendy AJ, McNulty EJ, and Burkle FM
- Subjects
- History, 20th Century, Humans, Leadership
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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