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Background: The diagnosis of cardiac syncope remains a challenge in the emergency department (ED). Objective: Assessing the diagnostic accuracy of the early standardized clinical judgement (ESCJ) including a standardized syncope-specific case report form (CRF) in comparison with a recommended multivariable diagnostic score. Methods: In a prospective international observational multicentre study, diagnostic accuracy for cardiac syncope of ESCJ by the ED physician amongst patients ≥ 40 years presenting with syncope to the ED was directly compared with that of the Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study (EGSYS) diagnostic score. Cardiac syncope was centrally adjudicated independently of the ESCJ or conducted workup by two ED specialists based on all information available up to 1-year follow-up. Secondary aims included direct comparison with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentrations and a Lasso regression to identify variables contributing most to ESCJ. Results: Cardiac syncope was adjudicated in 252/1494 patients (15.2%). The diagnostic accuracy of ESCJ for cardiac syncope as quantified by the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.84–0.89), and higher compared with the EGSYS diagnostic score (0.73 (95% CI: 0.70–0.76)), hs-cTnI (0.77 (95% CI: 0.73–0.80)) and BNP (0.77 (95% CI: 0.74–0.80)), all P < 0.001. Both biomarkers (alone or in combination) on top of the ESCJ significantly improved diagnostic accuracy. Conclusion: ESCJ including a standardized syncope-specific CRF has very high diagnostic accuracy and outperforms the EGSYS score, hs-cTnI and BNP.

Background Emergency physicians frequently assess risk of acute cardiac events (ACEs) in patients with undifferentiated chest pain. Such estimates have been shown to have moderate to high sensitivity for ACE but are conservative. Little is known about the factors implicitly used by physicians to determine the pretest probability of risk. This study sought to identify the accuracy of physician risk estimates for ACE in patients presenting to the ED with chest pain and to identify the demographic and clinical information emergency physicians use in their determination of patient risk. Methods This study used data from two prospective studies of consenting adult patients presenting to the ED with symptoms of possible acute coronary syndrome. ED physicians estimated the pretest probability of ACE. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to identify predictors of physician risk estimates. Logistic regression was used to determine whether there was a correlation between physicians' estimated risk and ACE. Results Increasing age, male sex, abnormal ECG features, heavy/crushing chest pain and risk factors were correlated with physician risk estimates. Physician risk estimates were consistently found to be higher than the expected proportion of ACE from the sampled population. Conclusion Physicians systematically overestimate ACE risk. A range of factors are associated with physician risk estimates. These include factors strongly predictive of ACE, such as age and ECG characteristics. They also include other factors that have been shown to be unreliable predictors of ACE in an ED setting, such as typicality of pain and risk factors.

Aims It is unknown whether cardiac syncope, and possibly also other syncope aetiologies exhibit circadian, weekly, seasonal, and temperature-dependent patterns. Methods and results We prospectively recorded the exact time, date, and outside temperature of syncope of patients >40 years old presenting with syncope to the emergency department in a diagnostic multicentre study. Two independent cardiologists/emergency physicians adjudicated the final diagnosis based on all information becoming available during clinical work-up including 1-year follow-up. Among 1230 patients, the adjudicated aetiology was cardiac in 14.6%, reflex in 39.2%, orthostatic in 25.7%, other non-cardiac in 9.7%, and unknown in 10.8% of patients. All syncope aetiologies occurred much more frequently during the day when compared with the night (P < 0.01). While reflex and orthostatic syncope showed a broad peak of prevalence with 80.9% of these events occurring between 4 am and 4 pm, cardiac syncope showed a narrow peak of prevalence with 70.1% of all events occurring between 8 am and 2 pm. A weekly pattern was present for most syncope aetiologies, with events occurring mainly from Monday to Friday (P < 0.01). Reflex syncope displayed a seasonal rhythm and was more common in winter (P < 0.01), while cardiac syncope stayed constant over the year. Syncope occurred most often when the outside temperature was coldest. Overall the patterns observed for cardiac syncope were similar to the patterns observed for its differential diagnosis. Conclusion Syncope aetiologies in patients >40 years old display circadian, weekly, seasonal, and temperature-dependent patterns. Unfortunately, these patterns do not allow to reliably differentiate cardiac syncope from other aetiologies.

Background: The prevalence of pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients presenting with syncope to the emergency department (ED) is largely unknown. This information, however, is necessary to balance the potential medical benefit or harm of systematic PE screening in patients presenting with syncope to the ED. Objectives: This study sought to determine the prevalence of PE in patients with syncope. Methods: Unselected patients presenting with syncope to the ED were prospectively enrolled in a diagnostic multicenter study. Pre-test clinical probability for PE was assessed using the 2-level Wells score and the results of D-dimer testing using age-adapted cutoffs. Presence of PE was evaluated by imaging modalities, when ordered as part of the clinical assessment by the treating ED physician or by long-term follow-up data. Results: Long-term follow-up was complete in 1,380 patients (99%) at 360 days and 1,156 patients (83%) at 720 days. Among 1,397 patients presenting with syncope to the ED, PE was detected at presentation in 19 patients (1.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.87% to 2.11%). The incidence of new PEs or cardiovascular death during 2-year follow-up was 0.9% (95% CI: 0.5% to 1.5%). In the subgroup of patients hospitalized (47%), PE was detected at presentation in 15 patients (2.3%; 95% CI: 1.4% to 3.7%). The incidence of new PEs or cardiovascular death during 2-year follow-up was 0.9% (95% CI: 0.4% to 2.0%). Conclusions: PE seems to be a rather uncommon cause of syncope among patients presenting to the ED. Therefore, systematic PE-screening in all patients with syncope does not seem warranted. (BAsel Syncope EvaLuation Study [BASEL IX]; NCT01548352)

BACKGROUND Low concentrations of cardiac troponin (cTn) have been recommended for rapid rule-out of acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We examined the Beckman Coulter Access high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) assay to identify a single test threshold that can safely rule out AMI. METHODS This analysis used stored samples collected in 2 prospective observational studies. In all, 1871 patients presenting to a tertiary emergency department with symptoms of acute coronary syndrome had blood taken for measurement of cTnI on presentation. The endpoint was type 1 myocardial infarction (T1MI). Sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated for hs-cTnI values below the 99th percentile. RESULTS Ninety-eight patients had T1MI (5.2%), and 638 (34.1%) patients had an hs-cTnI <2 ng/L (limit of detection), with sensitivity of 99.0% (95% CI, 94.4%–100%) and NPV of 99.8% (95% CI, 99.1%–100%). No hs-cTnI value above a concentration of 2 ng/L achieved sensitivity of 99%. However, an NPV of 99.5% was achieved at values <6 ng/L. A cutoff <6 ng/L enabled 1475 (78.8%) patients to be ruled out on presentation with sensitivity of 93.9% (95% CI, 87.1%–97.7%). CONCLUSIONS A single baseline cTn <2 ng/L measured with the Access hs-cTnI assay performed well for rule-out of AMI. This cutoff concentration identified 99% of patients with AMI and could reduce the number of patients requiring lengthy assessment. A cutoff of <6 ng/L yielded a high NPV but missed more cases of AMI than would be acceptable to clinicians.

Objective To identify differences in prevalence, demographics, clinical features and outcomes for type 1 myocardial infarction (T1MI) and type 2 myocardial infarction (T2MI) in a cohort of patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) with chest pain. Methods This was a post hoc analysis of data collected from two prospective studies. Data were collected between November 2008 and February 2011 for the first study, and between February 2011 and March 2014 for the second. Participants were patients presenting to the ED with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). The outcome was 30-day diagnosis; classified into T1MI, T2MI or non-MI. Descriptive statistics were used to compare the demographics, clinical history and presenting symptoms across diagnoses (T1MI, T2MI and non-MI). Cumulative mortality over 1 year was compared for T1MI and T2MI. Results 147 patients (6.3%; 95% CI 5.3% to 7.3%) were classified as T1MI and 52 (2.2%; 95% CI 1.7% to 2.9%) were classified as T2MI. T2MIs were more likely to be female (OR 4.71, 95% CI 2.28 to 9.76), have an abnormal but non-ischaemic ECG (OR 2.95, 95% CI 1.45 to 6.00), report prior hypertension (OR 2.83, 95% CI 1.35 to 6.12), have tachycardia (OR 9.26, 95% CI 3.08 to 30.77) and pain at rest (OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.28 to 8.02) compared with T1MI. One-year mortality was similar between T1MI and T2MI (9% and 14.6%, respectively, p=0.37). Conclusions T2MIs comprised one quarter of all MIs diagnosed in the ED. Among patients presenting to the ED with symptoms of ACS, symptoms do not allow clinicians to reliably differentiate patients with T1MI and T2MI. Prior hypertension, tachycardia and abnormal non-ischaemic ECGs are seen more often in T2MI compared with T1MI. One-year mortality was substantial in patients with T1MI and T2MI, but low power precludes conclusions about mortality differences between groups.

Objective: To develop a modified Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) score to effectively risk stratify patients presenting to the ED with chest pain. Methods: A prospective observational study was conducted at two metropolitan EDs. Data were obtained during patient interview. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) within 30 days of presentation. Two separate modifications of the TIMI score were developed. These scores were compared to the original TIMI in terms of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and diagnostic accuracy statistics (sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values). Results: Of 1760 patients, 364 (20.7%) experienced 30 day MACE. The first modified TIMI score was a simplified TIMI (s-TIMI) including four variables: age ≥65 years, three or more risk factors, high-sensitivity troponin (hs-cTnI) and electrocardiogram changes. The second score included the same four variables plus two Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) variables (systolic blood pressure and estimated glomerular filtration rate). This score was termed the GRACE TIMI (g-TIMI). s-TIMI had a lower sensitivity compared to the original TIMI score (93.41 and 96.98%), but higher specificity (45.49 and 24.50%). The g-TIMI had a sensitivity of 98.90% and specificity of 14.90%. Conclusions: Attempts to modify the TIMI score yielded two scores with added predictive utility in comparison to the original TIMI model. The addition of GRACE variables (g-TIMI) increased sensitivity for MACE, but decreased the specificity of the model. The s-TIMI score yielded good specificity but had sensitivity that would not be acceptable by emergency physicians. The s-TIMI may be useful as part of an accelerated chest pain protocol.

Free to read Abstract BACKGROUND: The early triage of patients toward rule-out and rule-in of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is challenging. Therefore, we aimed to develop a 2-h algorithm that uses high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI). METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 1435 (derivation cohort) and 1194 (external validation cohort) patients presenting with suspected AMI to the emergency department. The final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. hs-cTnI was measured at presentation and after 2 h in a blinded fashion. We derived and validated a diagnostic algorithm incorporating hs-cTnI values at presentation and absolute changes within the first 2 h. RESULTS: AMI was the final diagnosis in 17% of patients in the derivation and 13% in the validation cohort. The 2-h algorithm developed in the derivation cohort classified 56% of patients as rule-out, 17% as rule-in, and 27% as observation. Resulting diagnostic sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) were 99.2% and 99.8% for rule-out; specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) were 95.2% and 75.8% for rule-in. Applying the 2-h algorithm in the external validation cohort, 60% of patients were classified as rule-out, 13% as rule-in, and 27% as observation. Diagnostic sensitivity and NPV were 98.7% and 99.7% for rule-out; specificity and PPV were 97.4% and 82.2% for rule-in. Thirty-day survival was 100% for rule-out patients in both cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: A simple algorithm incorporating hs-cTnI baseline values and absolute 2-h changes allowed a triage toward safe rule-out or accurate rule-in of AMI in the majority of patients.