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Objectives: Using electronic health records, we derived and internally validated a prediction model to estimate risk factors for long COVID and predict individual risk of developing long COVID. Design: Population-based, retrospective cohort study. Setting: Scotland. Participants: Adults (≥18 years) with a positive COVID-19 test, registered with a general medical practice between 1 March 2020 and 20 October 2022. Main outcome measures: Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for predictors of long COVID, and patients' predicted probabilities of developing long COVID. Results: A total of 68,486 (5.6%) patients were identified as having long COVID. Predictors of long COVID were increasing age (aOR: 3.84; 95% CI: 3.66–4.03 and aOR: 3.66; 95% CI: 3.27–4.09 in first and second splines), increasing body mass index (BMI) (aOR: 3.17; 95% CI: 2.78–3.61 and aOR: 3.09; 95% CI: 2.13–4.49 in first and second splines), severe COVID-19 (aOR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.72–1.84); female sex (aOR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.53–1.60), deprivation (most versus least deprived quintile, aOR: 1.40; 95% CI: 1.36–1.44), several existing health conditions. Predictors associated with reduced long COVID risk were testing positive while Delta or Omicron variants were dominant, relative to when the Wild-type variant was dominant (aOR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.81–0.88 and aOR: 0.64; 95% CI: 0.61–0.67, respectively) having received one or two doses of COVID-19 vaccination, relative to unvaccinated (aOR: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.86–0.95 and aOR: 0.96; 95% CI: 0.93–1.00). Conclusions: Older age, higher BMI, severe COVID-19 infection, female sex, deprivation and comorbidities were predictors of long COVID. Vaccination against COVID-19 and testing positive while Delta or Omicron variants were dominant predicted reduced risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Author(s): Vicky Hammersley 1, Richard Parker 1, Mary Paterson 1, Janet Hanley 2, Hilary Pinnock 1, Paul Padfield 1, Andrew Stoddart 1, Hyeon Gyeong Park 1, Aziz Sheikh 1, Brian [...], Background While evidence from randomised controlled trials shows that telemonitoring for hypertension is associated with improved blood pressure (BP) control, healthcare systems have been slow to implement it, partly because of inadequate integration with existing clinical practices and electronic records. Neither is it clear if trial findings will be replicated in routine clinical practice at scale. We aimed to explore the feasibility and impact of implementing an integrated telemonitoring system for hypertension into routine primary care. Methods and findings This was a quasi-experimental implementation study with embedded qualitative process evaluation set in primary care in Lothian, Scotland. We described the overall uptake of telemonitoring and uptake in a subgroup of representative practices, used routinely acquired data for a records-based controlled before-and-after study, and collected qualitative data from staff and patient interviews and practice observation. The main outcome measures were intervention uptake, change in BP, change in clinician appointment use, and participants' views on features that facilitated or impeded uptake of the intervention. Seventy-five primary care practices enrolled 3,200 patients with established hypertension. In an evaluation subgroup of 8 practices (905 patients of whom 427 [47%] were female and with median age of 64 years [IQR 56-70, range 22-89] and median Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation 2012 decile of 8 [IQR 6-10]), mean systolic BP fell by 6.55 mm Hg (SD 15.17), and mean diastolic BP by 4.23 mm Hg (SD 8.68). Compared with the previous year, participating patients made 19% fewer face-to-face appointments, compared with 11% fewer in patients with hypertension who were not telemonitoring. Total consultation time for participants fell by 15.4 minutes (SD 68.4), compared with 5.5 minutes (SD 84.4) in non-telemonitored patients. The convenience of remote collection of BP readings and integration of these readings into routine clinical care was crucial to the success of the implementation. Limitations include the fact that practices and patient participants were self-selected, and younger and more affluent than non-participating patients, and the possibility that regression to the mean may have contributed to the reduction in BP. Routinely acquired data are limited in terms of completeness and accuracy. Conclusions Telemonitoring for hypertension can be implemented into routine primary care at scale with little impact on clinician workload and results in reductions in BP similar to those in large UK trials. Integrating the telemonitoring readings into routine data handling was crucial to the success of this initiative.

Background: Supported asthma self-management, incorporating an asthma action plan and annual clinical review, has been recommended by UK/global guidelines for over three decades. However, implementation remains poor, as only around a third of individuals receive basic asthma care, according to the UKs leading respiratory charity Asthma and Lung UK. A systematic review of implementation studies recommended that a whole systems approach targeting patients, healthcare professional education, and organisations is needed to improve implementation of supported asthma self-management in primary care. The IMPlementing IMProved Asthma self-management as RouTine (IMP2ART) is a national Hybrid-II implementation cluster randomised controlled trial that aims to evaluate such an approach. This paper describes the development of the implementation strategy for IMP2ART with particular focus on the integration of multiple level theories. Methods: The Medical Research Council design and evaluation of complex interventions framework and the Person-Based Approach to intervention development were used as guidance for stages of strategy development. Specifically, we (i) set up a multidisciplinary team (including practicing and academic clinicians, health psychologists, public health and patient colleagues), (ii) reviewed and integrated evidence and theory, (iii) developed guiding principles, (iv) developed prototype materials, and (v) conducted a pre-pilot study before final refinement. Results: The implementation strategy included resources for patients, team-based and individual healthcare professional education, practice audit and feedback, and an asthma review template, as well as a facilitator role accessible to primary care practices for 12 months. The synthesis of the integrated Promoting Action on Research Implementation in Health Services (iPARIHS) and Capability, Opportunity, Motivation and Behaviour (COM-B) frameworks led to an evolved framework bringing together important implementation and behaviour change elements which will be used as a basis for the study process evaluation. Conclusions: A description of rigorous implementation strategy development for the IMP2ART study is provided along with newly theorised integration of implementation and behaviour change science which may be of benefit to others targeting implementation in primary care. Trial registration: ISRCTN15448074. Registered on 2nd December 2019. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Asthma is a common long-term condition and major public health problem. Supported self-management for asthma that includes a written personalised asthma action plan, supported by regular professional review, reduces unscheduled consultations and improves asthma outcomes and quality of life. However, despite unequivocal inter/national guideline recommendations, supported self-management is poorly implemented in practice. The IMPlementing IMProved Asthma self-management as RouTine (IMP2ART) implementation strategy has been developed to address this challenge. The aim of this implementation trial is to determine whether facilitated delivery of the IMP2ART strategy increases the provision of asthma action plans and reduces unscheduled care in the context of routine UK primary care. Methods: IMP2ART is a parallel group, cluster randomised controlled hybrid II implementation trial. One hundred forty-four general practices will be randomly assigned to either the IMP2ART implementation strategy or control group. Following a facilitation workshop, implementation group practices will receive organisational resources to help them prioritise supported self-management (including audit and feedback; an IMP2ART asthma review template), training for professionals and resources to support patients to self-manage their asthma. The control group will continue with usual asthma care. The primary clinical outcome is the between-group difference in unscheduled care in the second year after randomisation (i.e. between 12 and 24 months post-randomisation) assessed from routine data. Additionally, a primary implementation outcome of asthma action plan ownership at 12 months will be assessed by questionnaire to a random sub-group of people with asthma. Secondary outcomes include the number of asthma reviews conducted, prescribing outcomes (reliever medication and oral steroids), asthma symptom control, patients' confidence in self-management and professional support and resource use. A health economic analysis will assess cost-effectiveness, and a mixed methods process evaluation will explore implementation, fidelity and adaptation. Discussion: The evidence for supported asthma self-management is overwhelming. This study will add to the literature regarding strategies that can effectively implement supported self-management in primary care to reduce unscheduled consultations and improve asthma outcomes and quality of life. Trial registration: ISRCTN15448074. Registered on 2 December 2019. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: We sought to assess the accuracy of different search terms to identify individuals with active seasonal allergic rhinitis (SAR) in general practice. Methods: A reference search strategy was developed to identify patients with active SAR. This was applied through inspection of electronic health records of patients aged 15-45 years in a 10% random sample of a general practice database. Searches used Read codes and medication relating to SAR. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated. Results: Using the reference search strategy, 54/1092 (4.9%) of 15-45 year-old patients had current SAR. Searching for drugs used in nasal allergy had the highest sensitivity (85%) and good specificity (86%). Searching for a recorded history of SAR (H170) in the last two years was more specific (100%) but this approach only had limited sensitivity (17%). Conclusions: Electronic searches can be used to identify patients with current SAR, but the accuracy varies widely. Larger numbers of sufferers can be identified using broader search parameters, but with increasing numbers of false positives. In contrast, more focused search strategies give a smaller yield needing less cleaning of data to identify true positives, but there is an associated increase in the number of false negatives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Health experiences differ between men and women. The health services have focused their attention on gynaecological health problems in women, however women with non-gynaecological health problems could be unintentionally neglected. Given the increased prevalence of diabetes, the healthcare needs and experiences of women with diabetes are increasing.Aim: To determine the extent of sex inequalities in access to care for diabetes in primary care.Design Of Study: Cross-sectional population-based questionnaire study.Setting: Twenty-three general practices spread through 23 different primary care trusts in the former Trent Region, UK.Method: The study consisted of a random sample of 1,673 patients with diabetes. Outcomes measured were odds ratios adjusted for age for measures of physical access to the GP's surgery; ease of obtaining appointments; access to primary care professionals; levels of routine diabetes care received; barriers to physical activity, problems eating and psychological distress as measured by the 18 score Diabetes Health Profile.Results: Women were less likely than men to report that they had talked to their GP or practice nurse about their diabetes in the previous 12 months and were less likely to report that they were able to book routine appointments at convenient times. Almost 40% of all patients with diabetes reported difficulty in visiting the GP's surgery for their diabetes care, and women were more likely to report difficulties in visiting the surgery than men. Women were more likely than men to be afraid to go out alone (7.9% versus 3.6%) and more likely to be housebound (6.8% versus 2.4%). Women had significantly higher scores for eating problems and barriers to physical activity than men.Conclusions: Women report more problems with access to diabetes care than men. If the ambitions of the National Service Framework are to be met, then positive action needs to be taken to improve access to care for women with diabetes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: This article reports on the development of patient resources for the IMPlementing IMProved Asthma self-management as RouTine (IMP 2 ART) programme that aimed to encourage patients to attend asthma reviews (invitation letters), encourage patients to enquire about asthma action plans (posters), and equip patients with the knowledge to manage their asthma (information website)., Background: To improve supported asthma self-management in UK primary care, the IMP 2 ART programme developed a whole-systems approach (patient resources, professional education, and organisational strategies)., Methods: Linked to behaviour change theory, we developed a range of patient resources for primary care general practices (an information website, invitation letters to invite patients for asthma reviews, and posters to encourage asthma action plan ownership). We elicited qualitative feedback on the resources from people living with asthma in the UK ( n = 17). In addition, we conducted an online survey with volunteers in the UK-wide REgister for Asthma researCH (REACH) database to identify where they source asthma information, whether their information needs are met, and what information would be useful ( n = 95)., Findings: Following feedback gathered from the interviews and the online survey, we refined our patient resources for the IMP 2 ART programme. Refinements included highlighting the seriousness of asthma, enhancing trustworthiness, and including social support resources. We also made necessary colour and formatting changes to the resources. In addition, the patient resources were updated following the COVID-19 pandemic. The multi-stage development process enabled us to refine and optimise the patient resources. The IMP 2 ART strategy is now being tested in a UK-wide cluster RCT (ref: ISRCTN15448074).

Objective: Simple forms of blood pressure (BP) telemonitoring require patients to text readings to central servers creating an opportunity for both entry error and manipulation. We wished to determine if there was an apparent preference for particular end digits and entries which were just below target BPs which might suggest evidence of data manipulation., Design: Prospective cohort study SETTING: 37 socioeconomically diverse primary care practices from South East Scotland., Participants: Patients were recruited with hypertension to a telemonitoring service in which patients submitted home BP readings by manually transcribing the measurements into text messages for transmission ('patient-texted system'). These readings were compared with those from primary care patients with uncontrolled hypertension using a system in which readings were automatically transmitted, eliminating the possibility of manipulation of values ('automatic-transmission system')., Methods: A generalised estimating equations method was used to compare BP readings between the patient-texted and automatic-transmission systems, while taking into account clustering of readings within patients., Results: A total of 44 150 BP readings were analysed on 1068 patients using the patient-texted system compared with 20 705 readings on 199 patients using the automatic-transmission system. Compared with the automatic-transmission data, the patient-texted data showed a significantly higher proportion of occurrences of both systolic and diastolic BP having a zero end digit (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.7 to 2.6) although incidence was <2% of readings. Similarly, there was a preference for systolic 134 and diastolic 84 (the threshold for alerts was 135/85) (134 systolic BP OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3 to 1.8; 84 diastolic BP OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.3 to 1.9)., Conclusion: End-digit preference for zero numbers and specific-value preference for readings just below the alert threshold exist among patients in self-reporting their BP using telemonitoring. However, the proportion of readings affected is small and unlikely to be clinically important., Trial Registration Number: ISRCTN72614272; Post-results., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2018. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.)

There are large variations in reported diabetes prevalence within United Kingdom (UK) populations. Linear regression was used to investigate whether population characteristics could explain the variation in prevalence between 19 practices with relatively complete diagnostic recording. Population obesity and South Asian ethnicity largely explained observed variation in prevalence (adjusted R2 = 0.80). When adjusted for obesity and ethnicity, the deprivation score was no longer a predictor of diabetes prevalence. If true variation in prevalence between practices is largely predicted by population ethnicity and obesity, these population characteristics could be used to predict expected prevalence and to assess the completeness of practice registers.

Background: When interpreting results of studies undertaken by research networks we need to know how representative volunteer practices and their registered patients are of the total population of practices and patients in their locality., Aim: To compare the following in research and non-research general practices in one region: practice and population demography, morbidity and mortality, selected performance indicators, and health outcomes., Design of Study: Cross-sectional survey., Setting: Sixty-six Trent Focus Collaborative Research Network general practices and 749 other general practices in Trent, United Kingdom., Method: Practice characteristics and GP contract data were obtained from the NHS Executive, Quarry House, Leeds. The Trent Regional NHS Hospital Admission Database was searched to identify all relevant admissions to hospital from all practices between 1 April 1993 and 31 March 1997. Ward-linked data on cancer were obtained from the Trent Cancer Registry., Results: Of the 815 general practices in Trent Region in the study period, 66 (8%) were in the Trent Focus network. They were more likely to be involved in training GPs and to have a female partner. They tended to be larger, with fewer single-handed doctors and younger GPs. Network practices prescribed a higher proportion of generics (median % prescribed/practice = 70%, versus 51%, Mann-Whitney U = 1615, P<0.0001). There were no clinically important differences between hospital admission rates between the two groups or waiting times for surgical procedures. There was no difference in the incidence of cancer and standardised mortality ratios related to the electoral wards of the GP surgery., Conclusion: Although there were differences in practice structure and some aspects of performance, we found no important differences in the demography of registered patients, nor in morbidity, mortality, or access to or use of secondary care.