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1. Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality burden of non-COVID-19 lower respiratory infections and aetiologies, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Author

Bender, Rose Grace, Sirota, Sarah Brooke, Swetschinski, Lucien R, Dominguez, Regina-Mae Villanueva, Novotney, Amanda, Wool, Eve E, Ikuta, Kevin S, Vongpradith, Avina, Rogowski, Emma Lynn Best, Doxey, Matthew, Troeger, Christopher E, Albertson, Samuel B, Ma, Jianing, He, Jiawei, Maass, Kelsey Lynn, A.F.Simões, Eric, Abdoun, Meriem, Abdul Aziz, Jeza Muhamad, Abdulah, Deldar Morad, Abu Rumeileh, Samir, Abualruz, Hasan, Aburuz, Salahdein, Adepoju, Abiola Victor, Adha, Rishan, Adikusuma, Wirawan, Adra, Saryia, Afraz, Ali, Aghamiri, Shahin, Agodi, Antonella, Ahmadzade, Amir Mahmoud, Ahmed, Haroon, Ahmed, Ayman, Akinosoglou, Karolina, AL-Ahdal, Tareq Mohammed Ali, Al-amer, Rasmieh Mustafa, Albashtawy, Mohammed, AlBataineh, Mohammad T., Alemi, Hediyeh, Al-Gheethi, Adel Ali Saeed, Ali, Abid, Ali, Syed Shujait Shujait, Alqahtani, Jaber S, AlQudah, Mohammad, Al-Tawfiq, Jaffar A., Al-Worafi, Yaser Mohammed, Alzoubi, Karem H, Amani, Reza, Amegbor, Prince M, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Amuasi, John H, Anil, Abhishek, Anyanwu, Philip Emeka, Arafat, Mosab, Areda, Damelash, Arefnezhad, Reza, Atalell, Kendalem Asmare, Ayele, Firayad, Azzam, Ahmed Y, Babamohamadi, Hassan, Babin, François-Xavier, Bahurupi, Yogesh, Baker, Stephen, Banik, Biswajit, Barchitta, Martina, Barqawi, Hiba Jawdat, Basharat, Zarrin, Baskaran, Pritish, Batra, Kavita, Batra, Ravi, Bayileyegn, Nebiyou Simegnew, Beloukas, Apostolos, Berkley, James A, Beyene, Kebede A, Bhargava, Ashish, Bhattacharjee, Priyadarshini, Bielicki, Julia A, Bilalaga, Mariah Malak, Bitra, Veera R, Brown, Colin Stewart, Burkart, Katrin, Bustanji, Yasser, Carr, Sinclair, Chahine, Yaacoub, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chichagi, Fatemeh, Chopra, Hitesh, Chukwu, Isaac Sunday, Chung, Eunice, Dadana, Sriharsha, Dai, Xiaochen, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Darban, Isaac, Dash, Nihar Ranjan, Dashti, Mohsen, Dashtkoohi, Mohadese, Dekker, Denise Myriam, Delgado-Enciso, Ivan, Devanbu, Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan, Dhama, Kuldeep, Diao, Nancy, Do, Thao Huynh Phuong, Dokova, Klara Georgieva, Dolecek, Christiane, Dziedzic, Arkadiusz Marian, Eckmanns, Tim, Ed-Dra, Abdelaziz, Efendi, Ferry, Eftekharimehrabad, Aziz, Eyre, David William, Fahim, Ayesha, Feizkhah, Alireza, Felton, Timothy William, Ferreira, Nuno, Flor, Luisa S, Gaihre, Santosh, Gebregergis, Miglas W, Gebrehiwot, Mesfin, Geffers, Christine, Gerema, Urge, Ghaffari, Kazem, Goldust, Mohamad, Goleij, Pouya, Guan, Shi-Yang, Gudeta, Mesay Dechasa, Guo, Cui, Gupta, Veer Bala, Gupta, Ishita, Habibzadeh, Farrokh, Hadi, Najah R, Haeuser, Emily, Hailu, Wase Benti, Hajibeygi, Ramtin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haller, Sebastian, Hamiduzzaman, Mohammad, Hanifi, Nasrin, Hansel, Jan, Hasnain, Md Saquib, Haubold, Johannes, Hoan, Nguyen Quoc, Huynh, Hong-Han, Iregbu, Kenneth Chukwuemeka, Islam, Md. Rabiul, Jafarzadeh, Abdollah, Jairoun, Ammar Abdulrahman, Jalili, Mahsa, Jomehzadeh, Nabi, Joshua, Charity Ehimwenma, Kabir, Md. Awal, Kamal, Zul, Kanmodi, Kehinde Kazeem, Kantar, Rami S., Karimi Behnagh, Arman, Kaur, Navjot, Kaur, Harkiran, Khamesipour, Faham, Khan, M Nuruzzaman, Khan suheb, Mahammed Ziauddin, Khanal, Vishnu, Khatab, Khaled, Khatib, Mahalaqua Nazli, Kim, Grace, Kim, Kwanghyun, Kitila, Aiggan Tamene Tamene, Komaki, Somayeh, Krishan, Kewal, Krumkamp, Ralf, Kuddus, Md Abdul, Kurniasari, Maria Dyah, Lahariya, Chandrakant, Latifinaibin, Kaveh, Le, Nhi Huu Hanh, Le, Thao Thi Thu, Le, Trang Diep Thanh, Lee, Seung Won, LEPAPE, Alain, Lerango, Temesgen L., Li, Ming-Chieh, Mahboobipour, Amir Ali, Malhotra, Kashish, Mallhi, Tauqeer Hussain, Manoharan, Anand, Martinez-Guerra, Bernardo Alfonso, Mathioudakis, Alexander G., Mattiello, Rita, May, Jürgen, McManigal, Barney, McPhail, Steven M, Mekene Meto, Tesfahun, Mendez-Lopez, Max Alberto Mendez, Meo, Sultan Ayoub, Merati, Mohsen, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Mhlanga, Laurette, Minh, Le Huu Nhat, Misganaw, Awoke, Mishra, Vinaytosh, Misra, Arup Kumar, Mohamed, Nouh Saad, Mohammadi, Esmaeil, Mohammed, Mesud, Mohammed, Mustapha, Mokdad, Ali H, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moore, Catrin E, Motappa, Rohith, Mougin, Vincent, Mousavi, Parsa, Mulita, Francesk, Mulu, Atsedemariam Andualem, Naghavi, Pirouz, Naik, Ganesh R, Nainu, Firzan, Nair, Tapas Sadasivan, Nargus, Shumaila, Negaresh, Mohammad, Nguyen, Hau Thi Hien, Nguyen, Dang H, Nguyen, Van Thanh, Nikolouzakis, Taxiarchis Konstantinos, Noman, Efaq Ali, Nri-Ezedi, Chisom Adaobi, Odetokun, Ismail A., Okwute, Patrick Godwin, Olana, Matifan Dereje, Olanipekun, Titilope O, Olasupo, Omotola O., Olivas-Martinez, Antonio, Ordak, Michal, Ortiz-Brizuela, Edgar, Ouyahia, Amel, Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pak, Anton, Pandey, Anamika, Pantazopoulos, Ioannis, Parija, Pragyan Paramita, Parikh, Romil R, Park, Seoyeon, Parthasarathi, Ashwaghosha, Pashaei, Ava, Peprah, Prince, Pham, Hoang Tran, Poddighe, Dimitri, Pollard, Andrew, Ponce-De-Leon, Alfredo, Prakash, Peralam Yegneswaran, Prates, Elton Junio Sady, Quan, Nguyen Khoi, Raee, Pourya, Rahim, Fakher, Rahman, Mosiur, Rahmati, Masoud, Ramasamy, Shakthi Kumaran, Ranjan, Shubham, Rao, Indu Ramachandra, Rashid, Ahmed Mustafa, Rattanavong, Sayaphet, Ravikumar, Nakul, Reddy, Murali Mohan Rama Krishna, Redwan, Elrashdy Moustafa Mohamed, Reiner, Robert C, Jr., Reyes, Luis Felipe, Roberts, Tamalee, Rodrigues, Mónica, Rosenthal, Victor Daniel, Roy, Priyanka, Runghien, Tilleye, Saeed, Umar, Saghazadeh, Amene, Saheb Sharif-Askari, Narjes, Saheb Sharif-Askari, Fatemeh, Sahoo, Soumya Swaroop, Sahu, Monalisha, Sakshaug, Joseph W, Salami, Afeez Abolarinwa, Saleh, Mohamed A., Salehi omran, Hossein, Sallam, Malik, Samadzadeh, Sara, Samodra, Yoseph Leonardo, Sanjeev, Rama Krishna, Sarasmita, Made Ary, Saravanan, Aswini, Sartorius, Benn, Saulam, Jennifer, Schumacher, Austin E, Seyedi, Seyed Arsalan, Shafie, Mahan, Shahid, Samiah, Sham, Sunder, Shamim, Muhammad Aaqib, Shamshirgaran, Mohammad Ali, Shastry, Rajesh P., Sherchan, Samendra P, Shiferaw, Desalegn, Shittu, Aminu, Siddig, Emmanuel Edwar, Sinto, Robert, Sood, Aayushi, Sorensen, Reed J D, Stergachis, Andy, Stoeva, Temenuga Zhekova, Swain, Chandan Kumar, Szarpak, Lukasz, Tamuzi, Jacques Lukenze, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Tessema, Melkamu B Tessema, Thangaraju, Pugazhenthan, Tran, Nghia Minh, Tran, Ngoc-Ha, Tumurkhuu, Munkhtuya, Ty, Sree Sudha, Udoakang, Aniefiok John, Ulhaq, Inam, Umar, Tungki Pratama, Umer, Abdurezak Adem, Vahabi, Seyed Mohammad, Vaithinathan, Asokan Govindaraj, Van den Eynde, Jef, Walson, Judd L, Waqas, Muhammad, Xing, Yuhan, Yadav, Mukesh Kumar, Yahya, Galal, Yon, Dong Keon, Zahedi Bialvaei, Abed, Zakham, Fathiah, Zeleke, Abyalew Mamuye, Zhai, Chunxia, Zhang, Zhaofeng, Zhang, Haijun, Zielińska, Magdalena, Zheng, Peng, Aravkin, Aleksandr Y, Vos, Theo, Hay, Simon I, Mosser, Jonathan F., Lim, Stephen S, Naghavi, Mohsen, Murray, Christopher J L, and Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe

Published
2024
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2. Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

Author

Haeuser, Emily, Serfes, Audrey L, Cork, Michael A, Yang, Mingyou, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abhilash, ES, Adabi, Maryam, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adeyinka, Daniel Adedayo, Afzal, Saira, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akalu, Yonas, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Alahdab, Fares, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alanzi, Turki M, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alhassan, Robert Kaba, Alipour, Vahid, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Amini, Saeed, Amugsi, Dickson A, Ancuceanu, Robert, Anvari, Davood, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Asemahagn, Mulusew A, Jafarabadi, Mohammad Asghari, Awedew, Atalel Fentahun, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Aynalem, Yared Asmare, Azari, Samad, Azene, Zelalem Nigussie, Darshan, BB, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Baig, Atif Amin, Banach, Maciej, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Bell, Arielle Wilder, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bijani, Ali, Bitew, Zebenay Workneh, Bohlouli, Somayeh, Bolarinwa, Obasanjo Afolabi, Boloor, Archith, Bozicevic, Ivana, Butt, Zahid A, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Felix, Charan, Jaykaran, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Cowden, Richard G, Dahlawi, Saad MA, Damiani, Giovanni, Darteh, Eugene Kofuor Maafo, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, das Neves, José, Weaver, Nicole Davis, De Leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Deribe, Kebede, Deuba, Keshab, Dharmaratne, Samath, Dianatinasab, Mostafa, Diaz, Daniel, Didarloo, Alireza, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dorostkar, Fariba, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duko, Bereket, El Tantawi, Maha, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I, Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eyawo, Oghenowede, Ezeonwumelu, Ifeanyi Jude, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fattahi, Nazir, Fauk, Nelsensius Klau, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foigt, Nataliya A, Foroutan, Masoud, Fukumoto, Takeshi, and Gad, Mohamed M

Subjects
Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, Public Health, Health Sciences, Clinical Sciences, HIV/AIDS, Infectious Diseases, Prevention, Pediatric, Clinical Research, 2.4 Surveillance and distribution, Aetiology, Infection, Good Health and Well Being, Male, Female, Adult, Humans, Pregnancy, Adolescent, Young Adult, Middle Aged, HIV, Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome, Prevalence, Seroepidemiologic Studies, HIV Infections, Africa South of the Sahara, Mapping, Africa, Geostatistics, Spatial statistics, HIV prevalence, Demographics, Local Burden of Disease sub-Saharan Africa HIV Prevalence Collaborators, Medical and Health Sciences, General & Internal Medicine, Biomedical and clinical sciences, Health sciences
Abstract

BackgroundHuman immunodeficiency virus and acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is still among the leading causes of disease burden and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and the world is not on track to meet targets set for ending the epidemic by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Precise HIV burden information is critical for effective geographic and epidemiological targeting of prevention and treatment interventions. Age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence estimates are widely available at the national level, and region-wide local estimates were recently published for adults overall. We add further dimensionality to previous analyses by estimating HIV prevalence at local scales, stratified into sex-specific 5-year age groups for adults ages 15-59 years across SSA.MethodsWe analyzed data from 91 seroprevalence surveys and sentinel surveillance among antenatal care clinic (ANC) attendees using model-based geostatistical methods to produce estimates of HIV prevalence across 43 countries in SSA, from years 2000 to 2018, at a 5 × 5-km resolution and presented among second administrative level (typically districts or counties) units.ResultsWe found substantial variation in HIV prevalence across localities, ages, and sexes that have been masked in earlier analyses. Within-country variation in prevalence in 2018 was a median 3.5 times greater across ages and sexes, compared to for all adults combined. We note large within-district prevalence differences between age groups: for men, 50% of districts displayed at least a 14-fold difference between age groups with the highest and lowest prevalence, and at least a 9-fold difference for women. Prevalence trends also varied over time; between 2000 and 2018, 70% of all districts saw a reduction in prevalence greater than five percentage points in at least one sex and age group. Meanwhile, over 30% of all districts saw at least a five percentage point prevalence increase in one or more sex and age group.ConclusionsAs the HIV epidemic persists and evolves in SSA, geographic and demographic shifts in prevention and treatment efforts are necessary. These estimates offer epidemiologically informative detail to better guide more targeted interventions, vital for combating HIV in SSA.

Published
2022

4. Naomi: a new modelling tool for estimating HIV epidemic indicators at the district level in sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Eaton, Jeffrey W., Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura, Gutreuter, Steve, O'Driscoll, Megan, Stevens, Oliver, Bajaj, Sumali, Ashton, Rob, Hill, Alexandra, Russell, Emma, Esra, Rachel, Dolan, Nicolas, Anifowoshe, Yusuf O., Woodbridge, Mark, Fellows, Ian, Glaubius, Robert, Haeuser, Emily, Okonek, Taylor, Stover, John, Thomas, Matthew L., Wakefield, Jon, Wolock, Timothy M., Berry, Jonathan, Sabala, Tomasz, Heard, Nathan, Delgado, Stephen, Jahn, Andreas, Kalua, Thokozani, Chimpandule, Tiwonge, Auld, Andrew, Kim, Evelyn, Payne, Danielle, Johnson, Leigh F., FitzJohn, Richard G., Wanyeki, Ian, Mahy, Mary I., and Shiraishi, Ray W.

Subjects
Statistical models -- Methods -- Evaluation, Epidemics -- Models -- Forecasts and trends -- Sub-Saharan Africa, HIV infection -- Models -- Forecasts and trends -- Distribution, Market trend/market analysis, Company distribution practices, Health
Abstract

Introduction: HIV planning requires granular estimates for the number of people living with HIV (PLHIV), antiretroviral treatment (ART) coverage and unmet need, and new HIV infections by district, or equivalent subnational administrative level. We developed a Bayesian small-area estimation model, called Naomi, to estimate these quantities stratified by subnational administrative units, sex, and five-year age groups. Methods: Small-area regressions for HIV prevalence, ART coverage and HIV incidence were jointly calibrated using subnational household survey data on all three indicators, routine antenatal service delivery data on HIV prevalence and ART coverage among pregnant women, and service delivery data on the number of PLHIV receiving ART. Incidence was modelled by district-level HIV prevalence and ART coverage. Model outputs of counts and rates for each indicator were aggregated to multiple geographic and demographic stratifications of interest. The model was estimated in an empirical Bayes framework, furnishing probabilistic uncertainty ranges for all output indicators. Example results were presented using data from Malawi during 2016-2018. Results: Adult HIV prevalence in September 2018 ranged from 3.2% to 17.1% across Malawi's districts and was higher in southern districts and in metropolitan areas. ART coverage was more homogenous, ranging from 75% to 82%. The largest number of PLHIV was among ages 35 to 39 for both women and men, while the most untreated PLHIV were among ages 25 to 29 for women and 30 to 34 for men. Relative uncertainty was larger for the untreated PLHIV than the number on ART or total PLHIV. Among clients receiving ART at facilities in Lilongwe city, an estimated 71% (95% CI, 61% to 79%) resided in Lilongwe city, 20% (14% to 27%) in Lilongwe district outside the metropolis, and 9% (6% to 12%) in neighbouring Dowa district. Thirty-eight percent (26% to 50%) of Lilongwe rural residents and 39% (27% to 50%) of Dowa residents received treatment at facilities in Lilongwe city. Conclusions: The Naomi model synthesizes multiple subnational data sources to furnish estimates of key indicators for HIV programme planning, resource allocation, and target setting. Further model development to meet evolving HIV policy priorities and programme need should be accompanied by continued strengthening and understanding of routine health system data. Keywords: Bayesian statistics; HIV estimates; joint modelling; routine data; small-area estimation, 1 | INTRODUCTION The global community has established ambitious goals for expanding coverage of antiretroviral treatment (ART) and reducing new HIV infections to end AIDS as a public health threat [...]

Published
2021
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5. Measuring routine childhood vaccination coverage in 204 countries and territories, 1980–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2020, Release 1

Author

Galles, Natalie C, Liu, Patrick Y, Updike, Rachel L, Fullman, Nancy, Nguyen, Jason, Rolfe, Sam, Sbarra, Alyssa N, Schipp, Megan F, Marks, Ashley, Abady, Gdiom Gebreheat, Abbas, Kaja M, Abbasi, Sumra Wajid, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdoli, Amir, Abolhassani, Hassan, Abosetugn, Akine Eshete, Adabi, Maryam, Adamu, Abdu A, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O, Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah, Advani, Shailesh M, Afzal, Saira, Aghamir, Seyed Mohammad Kazem, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmad, Sohail, Ahmad, Tauseef, Ahmadi, Sepideh, Ahmed, Haroon, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Ahmed Rashid, Tarik, Ahmed Salih, Yusra, Akalu, Yonas, Aklilu, Addis, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Al Hamad, Hanadi, Alahdab, Fares, Albano, Luciana, Alemayehu, Yosef, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Alhassan, Robert Kaba, Ali, Liaqat, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almustanyir, Sami, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amu, Hubert, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Andrei, Tudorel, Ansar, Adnan, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, Antonazzo, Ippazio Cosimo, Antony, Benny, Arabloo, Jalal, Arab-Zozani, Morteza, Artanti, Kurnia Dwi, Arulappan, Judie, Awan, Asma Tahir, Awoke, Mamaru Ayenew, Ayza, Muluken Altaye, Azarian, Ghasem, Azzam, Ahmed Y, B, Darshan B, Babar, Zaheer-Ud-Din, Balakrishnan, Senthilkumar, Banach, Maciej, Bante, Simachew Animen, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Barqawi, Hiba Jawdat, Barrow, Amadou, Bassat, Quique, Bayarmagnai, Narantuya, Bejarano Ramirez, Diana Fernanda, Bekuma, Tariku Tesfaye, Belay, Habtamu Gebrehana, Belgaumi, Uzma Iqbal, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhandari, Dinesh, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhaskar, Sonu, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bibi, Sadia, Bijani, Ali, Biondi, Antonio, Boloor, Archith, Braithwaite, Dejana, Buonsenso, Danilo, Butt, Zahid A, Camargos, Paulo, Carreras, Giulia, Carvalho, Felix, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Chakinala, Raja Chandra, Charan, Jaykaran, Chatterjee, Souranshu, Chattu, Soosanna Kumary, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chowdhury, Fazle Rabbi, Christopher, Devasahayam J, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Chung, Sheng-Chia, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Costa, Vera Marisa, Couto, Rosa A S, Dadras, Omid, Dagnew, Amare Belachew, Dagnew, Baye, Dai, Xiaochen, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Derbew Molla, Meseret, Derseh, Behailu Tariku, Desai, Rupak, Desta, Abebaw Alemayehu, Dhamnetiya, Deepak, Dhimal, Mandira Lamichhane, Dhimal, Meghnath, Dianatinasab, Mostafa, Diaz, Daniel, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dorostkar, Fariba, Edem, Bassey, Edinur, Hisham Atan, Eftekharzadeh, Sahar, El Sayed, Iman, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Elhadi, Muhammed, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I, Elsharkawy, Aisha, Enany, Shymaa, Erkhembayar, Ryenchindorj, Esezobor, Christopher Imokhuede, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Ezeonwumelu, Ifeanyi Jude, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Fares, Jawad, Faris, Pawan Sirwan, Feleke, Berhanu Elfu, Ferede, Tomas Y, Fernandes, Eduarda, Fernandes, João C, Ferrara, Pietro, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Francis, Mark Rohit, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gad, Mohamed M, Gaidhane, Shilpa, Gallus, Silvano, Garg, Tushar, Geberemariyam, Biniyam Sahiledengle, Gebre, Teshome, Gebregiorgis, Birhan Gebresillassie, Gebremedhin, Ketema Bizuwork, Gebremichael, Berhe, Gessner, Bradford D, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghafourifard, Mansour, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Gilani, Syed Amir, Glăvan, Ionela-Roxana, Glushkova, Ekaterina Vladimirovna, Golechha, Mahaveer, Gonfa, Kebebe Bekele, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Goudarzi, Houman, Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Veer Bala, Gupta, Vivek Kumar, Gutiérrez, Reyna Alma, Haeuser, Emily, Halwani, Rabih, Hamidi, Samer, Hanif, Asif, Haque, Shafiul, Harapan, Harapan, Hargono, Arief, Hashi, Abdiwahab, Hassan, Shoaib, Hassanein, Mohamed H, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hay, Simon I, Hayat, Khezar, Hegazy, Mohamed I, Heidari, Golnaz, Hezam, Kamal, Holla, Ramesh, Hoque, Mohammad Enamul, Hosseini, Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hostiuc, Mihaela, Househ, Mowafa, Hsieh, Vivian Chia-rong, Huang, Junjie, Humayun, Ayesha, Hussain, Rabia, Hussein, Nawfal R, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Irena M, Ilic, Milena D, Inamdar, Sumant, Iqbal, Usman, Irham, Lalu Muhammad, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Ismail, Nahlah Elkudssiah, Itumalla, Ramaiah, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Joukar, Farahnaz, Kabir, Ali, Kabir, Zubair, Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamal, Zul, Kamande, Stanley M, Kandel, Himal, Karch, André, Kassahun, Getinet, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Katoto, Patrick DMC, Kelkay, Bayew, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khajuria, Himanshu, Khalil, Ibrahim A, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Junaid, Khan, Maseer, Khan, Moien AB, Khang, Young-Ho, Khoja, Abdullah T, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Gyu Ri, Kim, Min Seo, Kim, Yun Jin, Kimokoti, Ruth W, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Korshunov, Vladimir Andreevich, Kosen, Soewarta, Kuate Defo, Barthelemy, Kulkarni, Vaman, Kumar, Avinash, Kumar, G Anil, Kumar, Nithin, Kwarteng, Alexander, La Vecchia, Carlo, Lami, Faris Hasan, Landires, Iván, Lasrado, Savita, Lassi, Zohra S, Lee, Hankil, Lee, Yeong Yeh, Levi, Miriam, Lewycka, Sonia, Li, Shanshan, Liu, Xuefeng, Lobo, Stany W, Lopukhov, Platon D, Lozano, Rafael, Lutzky Saute, Ricardo, Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed, Makki, Alaa, Malik, Ahmad Azam, Mansour-Ghanaei, Fariborz, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Mantovani, Lorenzo Giovanni, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Matthews, Philippa C, Medina, John Robert Carabeo, Mendoza, Walter, Menezes, Ritesh G, Mengesha, Endalkachew Worku, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Mersha, Amanual Getnet, Mesregah, Mohamed Kamal, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Milne, George J, Mirica, Andreea, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Mirzaei, Hamid Reza, Misra, Sanjeev, Mithra, Prasanna, Moghadaszadeh, Masoud, Mohamed, Teroj Abdulrahman, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammadi, Mokhtar, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammed, Arif, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohapatra, Archisman, Mokdad, Ali H, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moni, Mohammad Ali, Montasir, Ahmed Al, Moore, Catrin E, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradzadeh, Rahmatollah, Moraga, Paula, Mueller, Ulrich Otto, Munro, Sandra B, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Naveed, Muhammad, Nayak, Biswa Prakash, Negoi, Ionut, Neupane Kandel, Sandhya, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nikbakhsh, Rajan, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nixon, Molly R, Nnaji, Chukwudi A, Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nuñez-Samudio, Virginia, Nwatah, Vincent Ebuka, Oancea, Bogdan, Ochir, Chimedsuren, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olakunde, Babayemi Oluwaseun, Onwujekwe, Obinna E, Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, Owolabi, Mayowa O, Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pakshir, Keyvan, Park, Eun-Cheol, Pashazadeh Kan, Fatemeh, Pathak, Mona, Paudel, Rajan, Pawar, Shrikant, Pereira, Jeevan, Peres, Mario F P, Perianayagam, Arokiasamy, Pinheiro, Marina, Pirestani, Majid, Podder, Vivek, Polibin, Roman V, Pollok, Richard Charles G, Postma, Maarten J, Pottoo, Faheem Hyder, Rabiee, Mohammad, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mosiur, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Rahmawaty, Setyaningrum, Rajesh, Aashish, Ramshaw, Rebecca E, Ranasinghe, Priyanga, Rao, Chythra R, Rao, Sowmya J, Rathi, Priya, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Renzaho, Andre M N, Rezaei, Negar, Rezai, Mohammad Sadegh, Rios-Blancas, Maria, Rogowski, Emma L B, Ronfani, Luca, Rwegerera, Godfrey M, Saad, Anas M, Sabour, Siamak, Saddik, Basema, Saeb, Mohammad Reza, Saeed, Umar, Sahebkar, Amirhossein, Sahraian, Mohammad Ali, Salam, Nasir, Salimzadeh, Hamideh, Samaei, Mehrnoosh, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Sanmarchi, Francesco, Santric-Milicevic, Milena M, Sartorius, Benn, Sarveazad, Arash, Sathian, Brijesh, Sawhney, Monika, Saxena, Deepak, Saxena, Sonia, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, Seylani, Allen, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shetty, Pavanchand H, Shigematsu, Mika, Shin, Jae Il, Sidemo, Negussie Boti, Singh, Ambrish, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sinha, Smriti, Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich, Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna, Soheili, Amin, Tadesse, Eyayou Girma, Tamiru, Animut Tagele, Tan, Ker-Kan, Tekalegn, Yohannes, Temsah, Mohamad-Hani, Thakur, Bhaskar, Thapar, Rekha, Thavamani, Aravind, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Tohidinik, Hamid Reza, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Traini, Eugenio, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tripathi, Manjari, Tsegaye, Berhan, Tsegaye, Gebiyaw Wudie, Ullah, Anayat, Ullah, Saif, Ullah, Sana, Unim, Brigid, Vacante, Marco, Velazquez, Diana Zuleika, Vo, Bay, Vollmer, Sebastian, Vu, Giang Thu, Vu, Linh Gia, Waheed, Yasir, Winkler, Andrea Sylvia, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Yiğit, Vahit, Yirdaw, Birhanu Wubale, Yon, Dong Keon, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yu, Chuanhua, Yuce, Deniz, Yunusa, Ismaeel, Zamani, Mohammad, Zamanian, Maryam, Zewdie, Dejene Tesfaye, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Zhong, Chenwen, Zumla, Alimuddin, Murray, Christopher J L, Lim, Stephen S, and Mosser, Jonathan F

Published
2021
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6. Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study

Author

Sartorius, Benn, VanderHeide, John D, Yang, Mingyou, Goosmann, Erik A, Hon, Julia, Haeuser, Emily, Cork, Michael A, Perkins, Samantha, Jahagirdar, Deepa, Schaeffer, Lauren E, Serfes, Audrey L, LeGrand, Kate E, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abebo, Zeleke Hailemariam, Abosetugn, Akine Eshete, Abu-Gharbieh, Eman, Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adegbosin, Adeyinka Emmanuel, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O, Adeyinka, Daniel Adedayo, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akalu, Yonas, Akinyemi, Oluwaseun Oladapo, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Aklilu, Addis, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Noore, Alamneh, Alehegn Aderaw, Alanzi, Turki M, Alemu, Biresaw Wassihun, Alhassan, Robert Kaba, Ali, Tilahun, Alipour, Vahid, Amini, Saeed, Ancuceanu, Robert, Ansari, Fereshteh, Anteneh, Zelalem Alamrew, Anvari, Davood, Anwer, Razique, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Arabloo, Jalal, Asemahagn, Mulusew A, Asghari Jafarabadi, Mohammad, Asmare, Wondwossen Niguse, Atnafu, Desta Debalkie, Atout, Maha Moh'd Wahbi, Atreya, Alok, Ausloos, Marcel, Awedew, Atalel Fentahun, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Aynalem, Yared Asmare, Ayza, Muluken Altaye, Azari, Samad, Azene, Zelalem Nigussie, Babar, Zaheer-Ud-Din, Baig, Atif Amin, Balakrishnan, Senthilkumar, Banach, Maciej, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Basu, Sanjay, Bayati, Mohsen, Bedi, Neeraj, Bekuma, Tariku Tesfaye, Bezabhe, Woldesellassie M Mequanint, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bibi, Sadia, Bikbov, Boris, Birhan, Tsegaye Adane, Bitew, Zebenay Workneh, Bockarie, Moses John, Boloor, Archith, Brady, Oliver J, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Briko, Andrey Nikolaevich, Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich, Burugina Nagaraja, Sharath, Butt, Zahid A, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Felix, Charan, Jaykaran, Chatterjee, Souranshu, Chattu, Soosanna Kumary, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Cook, Aubrey J, Cormier, Natalie Maria, Cowden, Richard G, Culquichicon, Carlos, Dagnew, Baye, Dahlawi, Saad M A, Damiani, Giovanni, Daneshpajouhnejad, Parnaz, Daoud, Farah, Daryani, Ahmad, das Neves, José, Davis Weaver, Nicole, Derbew Molla, Meseret, Deribe, Kebede, Desta, Abebaw Alemayehu, Deuba, Keshab, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Dhungana, Govinda Prasad, Diaz, Daniel, Djalalinia, Shirin, Doku, Paul Narh, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duko, Bereket, Eagan, Arielle Wilder, Earl, Lucas, Eaton, Jeffrey W, Effiong, Andem, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, El Tantawi, Maha, Elayedath, Rajesh, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I, Elsharkawy, Aisha, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eyawo, Oghenowede, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Fasanmi, Abidemi Omolara, Fasil, Alebachew, Fauk, Nelsensius Klau, Feigin, Valery L, Ferede, Tomas Y, Fernandes, Eduarda, Fischer, Florian, Foigt, Nataliya A, Folayan, Morenike Oluwatoyin, Foroutan, Masoud, Francis, Joel Msafiri, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gad, Mohamed M, Geberemariyam, Biniyam Sahiledengle, Gebregiorgis, Birhan Gebresillassie, Gebremichael, Berhe, Gesesew, Hailay Abrha, Getacher, Lemma, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Gilani, Syed Amir, Ginindza, Themba G, Glagn, Mustefa, Golechha, Mahaveer, Gona, Philimon N, Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guido, Davide, Guled, Rashid Abdi, Hall, Brian J, Hamidi, Samer, Handiso, Demelash Woldeyohannes, Hargono, Arief, Hashi, Abdiwahab, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hayat, Khezar, Herteliu, Claudiu, Hidru, Hagos Degefa de, Holla, Ramesh, Hosgood, H Dean, Hossain, Naznin, Hosseini, Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Househ, Mowafa, Hwang, Bing-Fang, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Irena M, Ilic, Milena D, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Iwu, Chidozie C D, Iwu, Chinwe Juliana, Iyamu, Ihoghosa Osamuyi, Jain, Vardhmaan, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jalilian, Farzad, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Johnson, Kimberly B, Joshua, Vasna, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Kabir, Ali, Kalankesh, Leila R, Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamath, Ashwin, Kamyari, Naser, Kanchan, Tanuj, Karami Matin, Behzad, Karch, André, Karimi, Salah Eddin, Kasa, Ayele Semachew, Kassahun, Getinet, Kayode, Gbenga A, Kazemi Karyani, Ali, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kelkay, Bayew, Khalid, Nauman, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Junaid, Khan, Md Nuruzzaman, Khatab, Khaled, Khazaei, Salman, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Kochhar, Sonali, Kopec, Jacek A, Kosen, Soewarta, Koulmane Laxminarayana, Sindhura Lakshmi, Koyanagi, Ai, Krishan, Kewal, Kuate Defo, Barthelemy, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kulkarni, Vaman, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, Nithin, Kurmi, Om P, Kusuma, Dian, Kuupiel, Desmond, Kyu, Hmwe Hmwe, La Vecchia, Carlo, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Lam, Jennifer O, Landires, Iván, Lasrado, Savita, Lazarus, Jeffrey V, Lazzar-Atwood, Alice, Lee, Paul H, Leshargie, Cheru Tesema, Li, Bingyu, Liu, Xuefeng, Lopukhov, Platon D, M. Amin, Hawraz Ibrahim, Madi, Deepak, Mahasha, Phetole Walter, Majeed, Azeem, Maleki, Afshin, Maleki, Shokofeh, Mamun, Abdullah A, Manafi, Navid, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Masoumi, Seyedeh Zahra, Mayala, Benjamin K, Meharie, Birhanu Geta, Meheretu, Hailemariam Abiy Alemu, Meles, Hagazi Gebre, Melku, Mulugeta, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Endalkachew Worku, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Mersha, Abera M, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miller, Ted R, Mirica, Andreea, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Mehdi, Mohamad, Osama, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammed, Jemal Abdu, Mohammed, Salahuddin, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H, Mokonnon, Taklu Marama, Molokhia, Mariam, Moradi, Masoud, Moradi, Yousef, Moradzadeh, Rahmatollah, Moraga, Paula, Mosser, Jonathan F, Munro, Sandra B, Mustafa, Ghulam, Muthupandian, Saravanan, Naderi, Mehdi, Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naveed, Muhammad, Nayak, Vinod C, Nazari, Javad, Ndejjo, Rawlance, Nepal, Samata, Netsere, Henok Biresaw, Ngalesoni, Frida N, Nguefack-Tsague, Georges, Ngunjiri, Josephine W, Nigatu, Yeshambel T, Nigussie, Samuel Negash, Nnaji, Chukwudi A, Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nuñez-Samudio, Virginia, Oancea, Bogdan, Odukoya, Oluwakemi Ololade, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Omer, Muktar Omer, Omonisi, Abidemi E Emmanuel, Onwujekwe, Obinna E, Orisakwe, Orish Ebere, Otstavnov, Nikita, Owolabi, Mayowa O, P A, Mahesh, Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pakhale, Smita, Pana, Adrian, Pandi-Perumal, Seithikurippu R, Patel, Urvish K, Pathak, Mona, Patton, George C, Pawar, Shrikant, Peprah, Emmanuel K, Pokhrel, Khem Narayan, Postma, Maarten J, Pottoo, Faheem Hyder, Pourjafar, Hadi, Pribadi, Dimas Ria Angga, Quazi Syed, Zahiruddin, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Ram, Pradhum, Rana, Juwel, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Rao, Satish, Rao, Sowmya J, Rathi, Priya, Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Rawassizadeh, Reza, Renjith, Vishnu, Reta, Melese Abate, Rezaei, Nima, Rezapour, Aziz, Ribeiro, Ana Isabel, Ross, Jennifer M, Rumisha, Susan Fred, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahu, Maitreyi, Sajadi, S. Mohammad, Salem, Marwa Rashad, Samy, Abdallah M, Sathian, Brijesh, Schutte, Aletta Elisabeth, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, Sha, Feng, Shafaat, Omid, Shahbaz, Mohammad, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shaka, Mohammed Feyisso, Sheikh, Aziz, Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Jae Il, Shivakumar, K M, Sidemo, Negussie Boti, Singh, Jasvinder A, Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich, Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna, Soheili, Amin, Soltani, Shahin, Somefun, Oluwaseyi Dolapo, Sorrie, Muluken Bekele, Spurlock, Emma Elizabeth, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Taddele, Biruk Wogayehu, Tadesse, Eyayou Girma, Tamir, Zemenu, Tamiru, Animut Tagele, Tanser, Frank C, Taveira, Nuno, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekalegn, Yohannes, Tesfay, Fisaha Haile, Tessema, Belay, Tessema, Zemenu Tadesse, Thakur, Bhaskar, Tolani, Musliu Adetola, Topor-Madry, Roman, Torrado, Marco, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Traini, Eugenio, Tsai, Alexander C, Tsegaye, Gebiyaw Wudie, Ullah, Irfan, Ullah, Saif, Umeokonkwo, Chukwuma David, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Vardavas, Constantine, Violante, Francesco S, Vo, Bay, Wado, Yohannes Dibaba, Waheed, Yasir, Wamai, Richard G, Wang, Yanzhong, Ward, Paul, Werdecker, Andrea, Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana, Wijeratne, Tissa, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Wondmeneh, Temesgen Gebeyehu, Yamada, Tomohide, Yaya, Sanni, Yeshaw, Yigizie, Yeshitila, Yordanos Gizachew, Yilma, Mekdes Tigistu, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yosef, Tewodros, Yusefzadeh, Hasan, Zaidi, Syed Saoud, Zaki, Leila, Zamanian, Maryam, Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich, Zastrozhina, Anasthasia, Zewdie, Dejene Tesfaye, Zhang, Yunquan, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Ziapour, Arash, Hay, Simon I, and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Published
2021
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7. European ornamental garden flora as an invasion debt under climate change

Author

Haeuser, Emily, Block, Svenja, Dawson, Wayne, Thuiller, Wilfried, Dullinger, Stefan, Bossdorf, Oliver, Carboni, Marta, Conti, Luisa, Dullinger, Iwona, Essl, Franz, Klonner, Günther, Moser, Dietmar, Kreft, Holger, Münkemüller, Tamara, Parepa, Madalin, Talluto, Matthew V., Pergl, Jan, Hermy, Martin, Pyšek, Petr, Weigelt, Patrick, Winter, Marten, Van der Veken, Sebastiaan, Roquet, Cristina, and van Kleunen, Mark

Published
2018

11. Estimating vaccine coverage in conflict settings using geospatial methods: a case study in Borno state, Nigeria

Author

Sbarra, Alyssa N., primary, Rolfe, Sam, additional, Haeuser, Emily, additional, Nguyen, Jason Q., additional, Adamu, Aishatu, additional, Adeyinka, Daniel, additional, Ajumobi, Olufemi, additional, Akunna, Chisom, additional, Amusa, Ganiyu, additional, Dahiru, Tukur, additional, Ekholuenetale, Michael, additional, Esezobor, Christopher, additional, Fowobaje, Kayode, additional, Hay, Simon I., additional, Ibeneme, Charles, additional, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, additional, Ilesanmi, Olayinka, additional, Kayode, Gbenga, additional, Krohn, Kris, additional, Lim, Stephen S., additional, Medeiros, Lyla E., additional, Mohammed, Shafiu, additional, Nwatah, Vincent, additional, Okoro, Anselm, additional, Olagunju, Andrew T., additional, Olusanya, Bolajoko O., additional, Osarenotor, Osayomwanbo, additional, Owolabi, Mayowa, additional, Pickering, Brandon, additional, Sufiyan, Mu’awiyyah Babale, additional, Uzochukwu, Benjamin, additional, Walker, Ally, additional, and Mosser, Jonathan F., additional

Published
2023
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13. Mapping male circumcision for HIV prevention efforts in sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Cork, Michael A., Wilson, Kate F., Perkins, Samantha, Collison, Michael L., Deshpande, Aniruddha, Eaton, Jeffrey W., Earl, Lucas, Haeuser, Emily, Justman, Jessica E., Kinyoki, Damaris K., Mayala, Benjamin K., Mosser, Jonathan F., Murray, Christopher J. L., Nkengasong, John N., Piot, Peter, Sartorius, Benn, Schaeffer, Lauren E., Serfes, Audrey L., Sligar, Amber, Steuben, Krista M., Tanser, Frank C., VanderHeide, John D., Yang, Mingyou, Wabiri, Njeri, Hay, Simon I., and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Published
2020
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15. Additional file 1 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

Author

Haeuser, Emily, Serfes, Audrey L., Cork, Michael A., Yang, Mingyou, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abhilash, E. S., Adabi, Maryam, Adebayo, Oladimeji M., Adekanmbi, Victor, Adeyinka, Daniel Adedayo, Afzal, Saira, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akalu, Yonas, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Alahdab, Fares, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alanzi, Turki M., Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alhassan, Robert Kaba, Alipour, Vahid, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Amini, Saeed, Amugsi, Dickson A., Ancuceanu, Robert, Anvari, Davood, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Asemahagn, Mulusew A., Jafarabadi, Mohammad Asghari, Awedew, Atalel Fentahun, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Aynalem, Yared Asmare, Azari, Samad, Azene, Zelalem Nigussie, Darshan, B. B., Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Baig, Atif Amin, Banach, Maciej, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Bell, Arielle Wilder, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bijani, Ali, Bitew, Zebenay Workneh, Bohlouli, Somayeh, Bolarinwa, Obasanjo Afolabi, Boloor, Archith, Bozicevic, Ivana, Butt, Zahid A., Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Felix, Charan, Jaykaran, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Cowden, Richard G., Dahlawi, Saad M. A., Damiani, Giovanni, Darteh, Eugene Kofuor Maafo, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, das Neves, José, Weaver, Nicole Davis, De Leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Deribe, Kebede, Deuba, Keshab, Dharmaratne, Samath, Dianatinasab, Mostafa, Diaz, Daniel, Didarloo, Alireza, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dorostkar, Fariba, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duko, Bereket, El Tantawi, Maha, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I., Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eyawo, Oghenowede, Ezeonwumelu, Ifeanyi Jude, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fattahi, Nazir, Fauk, Nelsensius Klau, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foigt, Nataliya A., Foroutan, Masoud, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gad, Mohamed M., Gaidhane, Abhay Motiramji, Gebregiorgis, Birhan Gebresillassie, Gebremedhin, Ketema Bizuwork, Getacher, Lemma, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Golechha, Mahaveer, Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guimarães, Rafael Alves, Haider, Mohammad Rifat, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Hamidi, Samer, Hashi, Abdiwahab, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hayat, Khezar, Herteliu, Claudiu, Ho, Hung Chak, Holla, Ramesh, Hosseini, Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hwang, Bing-Fang, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Irena M., Ilic, Milena D., Islam, Rakibul M., Iwu, Chidozie C. D., Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Ji, John S., Johnson, Kimberly B., Joseph, Nitin, Joshua, Vasna, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Kalankesh, Leila R., Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamyari, Naser, Kanchan, Tanuj, Matin, Behzad Karami, Karimi, Salah Eddin, Kayode, Gbenga A., Karyani, Ali Kazemi, Keramati, Maryam, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Md Nuruzzaman, Khatab, Khaled, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Kopec, Jacek A., Kosen, Soewarta, Laxminarayana, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane, Koyanagi, Ai, Krishan, Kewal, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kulkarni, Vaman, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, Nithin, Kusuma, Dian, La Vecchia, Carlo, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Landires, Iván, Larson, Heidi Jane, Lasrado, Savita, Lee, Paul H., Li, Shanshan, Liu, Xuefeng, Maleki, Afshin, Malik, Preeti, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Mendoza, Walter, Menezes, Ritesh G., Mengesha, Endalkachew Worku, Meretoja, Tuomo J., Mestrovic, Tomislav, Mirica, Andreea, Moazen, Babak, Mohamad, Osama, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammadpourhodki, Reza, Mohammed, Salahuddin, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H., Moradi, Masoud, Moraga, Paula, Mubarik, Sumaira, Mulu, Getaneh Baye B., Mwanri, Lillian, Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Naveed, Muhammad, Nazari, Javad, Ndejjo, Rawlance, Negoi, Ionut, Ngalesoni, Frida N., Nguefack-Tsague, Georges, Ngunjiri, Josephine W., Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi, Nnaji, Chukwudi A., Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nuñez-Samudio, Virginia, Nwatah, Vincent Ebuka, Oancea, Bogdan, Odukoya, Oluwakemi Ololade, Olagunju, Andrew T., Olakunde, Babayemi Oluwaseun, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Bali, Ahmed Omar, Onwujekwe, Obinna E., Orisakwe, Orish Ebere, Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S., Owolabi, Mayowa O., Mahesh, P. A., Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pana, Adrian, Pandey, Ashok, Pandi-Perumal, Seithikurippu R., Kan, Fatemeh Pashazadeh, Patton, George C., Pawar, Shrikant, Peprah, Emmanuel K., Postma, Maarten J., Preotescu, Liliana, Syed, Zahiruddin Quazi, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Ramezanzadeh, Kiana, Rana, Juwel, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Rao, Sowmya J., Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Rawassizadeh, Reza, Regassa, Lemma Demissie, Rezaei, Nima, Rezapour, Aziz, Riaz, Mavra A., Ribeiro, Ana Isabel, Ross, Jennifer M., Rubagotti, Enrico, Rumisha, Susan Fred, Rwegerera, Godfrey M., Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahiledengle, Biniyam, Sahu, Maitreyi, Salem, Marwa Rashad, Kafil, Hossein Samadi, Samy, Abdallah M., Sartorius, Benn, Sathian, Brijesh, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, Shaheen, Amira A., Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shiferaw, Wondimeneh Shibabaw, Shin, Jae Il, Shrestha, Roman, Singh, Jasvinder A., Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich, Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna, Soltani, Shahin, Sufiyan, Mu’awiyyah Babale, Tabuchi, Takahiro, Tadesse, Eyayou Girma, Taveira, Nuno, Tesfay, Fisaha Haile, Thapar, Rekha, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Tsegaye, Gebiyaw Wudie, Umeokonkwo, Chukwuma David, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Villafañe, Jorge Hugo, Violante, Francesco S., Vo, Bay, Vu, Giang Thu, Wado, Yohannes Dibaba, Waheed, Yasir, Wamai, Richard G., Wang, Yanzhong, Ward, Paul, Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana, Wilson, Katherine, Yaya, Sanni, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yu, Chuanhua, Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich, Zhang, Yunquan, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Hay, Simon I., and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Abstract

Additional file 1: Supplemental information.1. Compliance with the Guidlines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). 2. HIV data sources and data processing. 3. Covariate and auxiliary data. 4. Statistical model. 5. References.

Published
2023
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16. Additional file 2 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

Author

Haeuser, Emily, Serfes, Audrey L., Cork, Michael A., Yang, Mingyou, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abhilash, E. S., Adabi, Maryam, Adebayo, Oladimeji M., Adekanmbi, Victor, Adeyinka, Daniel Adedayo, Afzal, Saira, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akalu, Yonas, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Alahdab, Fares, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alanzi, Turki M., Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alhassan, Robert Kaba, Alipour, Vahid, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Amini, Saeed, Amugsi, Dickson A., Ancuceanu, Robert, Anvari, Davood, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Asemahagn, Mulusew A., Jafarabadi, Mohammad Asghari, Awedew, Atalel Fentahun, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Aynalem, Yared Asmare, Azari, Samad, Azene, Zelalem Nigussie, Darshan, B. B., Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Baig, Atif Amin, Banach, Maciej, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Bell, Arielle Wilder, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bijani, Ali, Bitew, Zebenay Workneh, Bohlouli, Somayeh, Bolarinwa, Obasanjo Afolabi, Boloor, Archith, Bozicevic, Ivana, Butt, Zahid A., Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Felix, Charan, Jaykaran, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Cowden, Richard G., Dahlawi, Saad M. A., Damiani, Giovanni, Darteh, Eugene Kofuor Maafo, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, das Neves, José, Weaver, Nicole Davis, De Leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Deribe, Kebede, Deuba, Keshab, Dharmaratne, Samath, Dianatinasab, Mostafa, Diaz, Daniel, Didarloo, Alireza, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dorostkar, Fariba, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duko, Bereket, El Tantawi, Maha, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I., Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eyawo, Oghenowede, Ezeonwumelu, Ifeanyi Jude, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fattahi, Nazir, Fauk, Nelsensius Klau, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foigt, Nataliya A., Foroutan, Masoud, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gad, Mohamed M., Gaidhane, Abhay Motiramji, Gebregiorgis, Birhan Gebresillassie, Gebremedhin, Ketema Bizuwork, Getacher, Lemma, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Golechha, Mahaveer, Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guimarães, Rafael Alves, Haider, Mohammad Rifat, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Hamidi, Samer, Hashi, Abdiwahab, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hayat, Khezar, Herteliu, Claudiu, Ho, Hung Chak, Holla, Ramesh, Hosseini, Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hwang, Bing-Fang, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Irena M., Ilic, Milena D., Islam, Rakibul M., Iwu, Chidozie C. D., Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Ji, John S., Johnson, Kimberly B., Joseph, Nitin, Joshua, Vasna, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Kalankesh, Leila R., Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamyari, Naser, Kanchan, Tanuj, Matin, Behzad Karami, Karimi, Salah Eddin, Kayode, Gbenga A., Karyani, Ali Kazemi, Keramati, Maryam, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Md Nuruzzaman, Khatab, Khaled, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Kopec, Jacek A., Kosen, Soewarta, Laxminarayana, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane, Koyanagi, Ai, Krishan, Kewal, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kulkarni, Vaman, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, Nithin, Kusuma, Dian, La Vecchia, Carlo, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Landires, Iván, Larson, Heidi Jane, Lasrado, Savita, Lee, Paul H., Li, Shanshan, Liu, Xuefeng, Maleki, Afshin, Malik, Preeti, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Mendoza, Walter, Menezes, Ritesh G., Mengesha, Endalkachew Worku, Meretoja, Tuomo J., Mestrovic, Tomislav, Mirica, Andreea, Moazen, Babak, Mohamad, Osama, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammadpourhodki, Reza, Mohammed, Salahuddin, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H., Moradi, Masoud, Moraga, Paula, Mubarik, Sumaira, Mulu, Getaneh Baye B., Mwanri, Lillian, Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Naveed, Muhammad, Nazari, Javad, Ndejjo, Rawlance, Negoi, Ionut, Ngalesoni, Frida N., Nguefack-Tsague, Georges, Ngunjiri, Josephine W., Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi, Nnaji, Chukwudi A., Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nuñez-Samudio, Virginia, Nwatah, Vincent Ebuka, Oancea, Bogdan, Odukoya, Oluwakemi Ololade, Olagunju, Andrew T., Olakunde, Babayemi Oluwaseun, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Bali, Ahmed Omar, Onwujekwe, Obinna E., Orisakwe, Orish Ebere, Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S., Owolabi, Mayowa O., Mahesh, P. A., Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pana, Adrian, Pandey, Ashok, Pandi-Perumal, Seithikurippu R., Kan, Fatemeh Pashazadeh, Patton, George C., Pawar, Shrikant, Peprah, Emmanuel K., Postma, Maarten J., Preotescu, Liliana, Syed, Zahiruddin Quazi, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Ramezanzadeh, Kiana, Rana, Juwel, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Rao, Sowmya J., Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Rawassizadeh, Reza, Regassa, Lemma Demissie, Rezaei, Nima, Rezapour, Aziz, Riaz, Mavra A., Ribeiro, Ana Isabel, Ross, Jennifer M., Rubagotti, Enrico, Rumisha, Susan Fred, Rwegerera, Godfrey M., Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahiledengle, Biniyam, Sahu, Maitreyi, Salem, Marwa Rashad, Kafil, Hossein Samadi, Samy, Abdallah M., Sartorius, Benn, Sathian, Brijesh, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, Shaheen, Amira A., Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shiferaw, Wondimeneh Shibabaw, Shin, Jae Il, Shrestha, Roman, Singh, Jasvinder A., Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich, Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna, Soltani, Shahin, Sufiyan, Mu’awiyyah Babale, Tabuchi, Takahiro, Tadesse, Eyayou Girma, Taveira, Nuno, Tesfay, Fisaha Haile, Thapar, Rekha, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Tsegaye, Gebiyaw Wudie, Umeokonkwo, Chukwuma David, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Villafañe, Jorge Hugo, Violante, Francesco S., Vo, Bay, Vu, Giang Thu, Wado, Yohannes Dibaba, Waheed, Yasir, Wamai, Richard G., Wang, Yanzhong, Ward, Paul, Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana, Wilson, Katherine, Yaya, Sanni, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yu, Chuanhua, Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich, Zhang, Yunquan, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Hay, Simon I., and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Abstract

Additional file 2: Supplemental tables.Table S1. HIV seroprevalence survey data. Table S2. ANC sentinel surveillance data. Table S3. HIV and covariates surveys excluded from this analysis. Table S4. Sources for pre-existing covariates. Table S5. HIV covariate survey data. Table S6. Fitted model parameters.

Published
2023
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17. Additional file 3 of Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–2018

Author

Haeuser, Emily, Serfes, Audrey L., Cork, Michael A., Yang, Mingyou, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abhilash, E. S., Adabi, Maryam, Adebayo, Oladimeji M., Adekanmbi, Victor, Adeyinka, Daniel Adedayo, Afzal, Saira, Ahinkorah, Bright Opoku, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akalu, Yonas, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akunna, Chisom Joyqueenet, Alahdab, Fares, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alanzi, Turki M., Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alhassan, Robert Kaba, Alipour, Vahid, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Ameyaw, Edward Kwabena, Amini, Saeed, Amugsi, Dickson A., Ancuceanu, Robert, Anvari, Davood, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Asemahagn, Mulusew A., Jafarabadi, Mohammad Asghari, Awedew, Atalel Fentahun, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Aynalem, Yared Asmare, Azari, Samad, Azene, Zelalem Nigussie, Darshan, B. B., Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Baig, Atif Amin, Banach, Maciej, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Bell, Arielle Wilder, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Nikha, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bijani, Ali, Bitew, Zebenay Workneh, Bohlouli, Somayeh, Bolarinwa, Obasanjo Afolabi, Boloor, Archith, Bozicevic, Ivana, Butt, Zahid A., Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Felix, Charan, Jaykaran, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul Kabir, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Cowden, Richard G., Dahlawi, Saad M. A., Damiani, Giovanni, Darteh, Eugene Kofuor Maafo, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, das Neves, José, Weaver, Nicole Davis, De Leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Deribe, Kebede, Deuba, Keshab, Dharmaratne, Samath, Dianatinasab, Mostafa, Diaz, Daniel, Didarloo, Alireza, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dorostkar, Fariba, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duko, Bereket, El Tantawi, Maha, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I., Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eyawo, Oghenowede, Ezeonwumelu, Ifeanyi Jude, Ezzikouri, Sayeh, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fattahi, Nazir, Fauk, Nelsensius Klau, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Foigt, Nataliya A., Foroutan, Masoud, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gad, Mohamed M., Gaidhane, Abhay Motiramji, Gebregiorgis, Birhan Gebresillassie, Gebremedhin, Ketema Bizuwork, Getacher, Lemma, Ghadiri, Keyghobad, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Golechha, Mahaveer, Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guimarães, Rafael Alves, Haider, Mohammad Rifat, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Hamidi, Samer, Hashi, Abdiwahab, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hayat, Khezar, Herteliu, Claudiu, Ho, Hung Chak, Holla, Ramesh, Hosseini, Mostafa, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hwang, Bing-Fang, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Irena M., Ilic, Milena D., Islam, Rakibul M., Iwu, Chidozie C. D., Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Ji, John S., Johnson, Kimberly B., Joseph, Nitin, Joshua, Vasna, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Kalankesh, Leila R., Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamyari, Naser, Kanchan, Tanuj, Matin, Behzad Karami, Karimi, Salah Eddin, Kayode, Gbenga A., Karyani, Ali Kazemi, Keramati, Maryam, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Gulfaraz, Khan, Md Nuruzzaman, Khatab, Khaled, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Kopec, Jacek A., Kosen, Soewarta, Laxminarayana, Sindhura Lakshmi Koulmane, Koyanagi, Ai, Krishan, Kewal, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kulkarni, Vaman, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, Nithin, Kusuma, Dian, La Vecchia, Carlo, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Landires, Iván, Larson, Heidi Jane, Lasrado, Savita, Lee, Paul H., Li, Shanshan, Liu, Xuefeng, Maleki, Afshin, Malik, Preeti, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Mendoza, Walter, Menezes, Ritesh G., Mengesha, Endalkachew Worku, Meretoja, Tuomo J., Mestrovic, Tomislav, Mirica, Andreea, Moazen, Babak, Mohamad, Osama, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammadpourhodki, Reza, Mohammed, Salahuddin, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mokdad, Ali H., Moradi, Masoud, Moraga, Paula, Mubarik, Sumaira, Mulu, Getaneh Baye B., Mwanri, Lillian, Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Naveed, Muhammad, Nazari, Javad, Ndejjo, Rawlance, Negoi, Ionut, Ngalesoni, Frida N., Nguefack-Tsague, Georges, Ngunjiri, Josephine W., Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi, Nnaji, Chukwudi A., Noubiap, Jean Jacques, Nuñez-Samudio, Virginia, Nwatah, Vincent Ebuka, Oancea, Bogdan, Odukoya, Oluwakemi Ololade, Olagunju, Andrew T., Olakunde, Babayemi Oluwaseun, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Bali, Ahmed Omar, Onwujekwe, Obinna E., Orisakwe, Orish Ebere, Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S., Owolabi, Mayowa O., Mahesh, P. A., Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pana, Adrian, Pandey, Ashok, Pandi-Perumal, Seithikurippu R., Kan, Fatemeh Pashazadeh, Patton, George C., Pawar, Shrikant, Peprah, Emmanuel K., Postma, Maarten J., Preotescu, Liliana, Syed, Zahiruddin Quazi, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahmani, Amir Masoud, Ramezanzadeh, Kiana, Rana, Juwel, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Rao, Sowmya J., Rawaf, David Laith, Rawaf, Salman, Rawassizadeh, Reza, Regassa, Lemma Demissie, Rezaei, Nima, Rezapour, Aziz, Riaz, Mavra A., Ribeiro, Ana Isabel, Ross, Jennifer M., Rubagotti, Enrico, Rumisha, Susan Fred, Rwegerera, Godfrey M., Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi, Sagar, Rajesh, Sahiledengle, Biniyam, Sahu, Maitreyi, Salem, Marwa Rashad, Kafil, Hossein Samadi, Samy, Abdallah M., Sartorius, Benn, Sathian, Brijesh, Seidu, Abdul-Aziz, Shaheen, Amira A., Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shiferaw, Wondimeneh Shibabaw, Shin, Jae Il, Shrestha, Roman, Singh, Jasvinder A., Skryabin, Valentin Yurievich, Skryabina, Anna Aleksandrovna, Soltani, Shahin, Sufiyan, Mu’awiyyah Babale, Tabuchi, Takahiro, Tadesse, Eyayou Girma, Taveira, Nuno, Tesfay, Fisaha Haile, Thapar, Rekha, Tovani-Palone, Marcos Roberto, Tsegaye, Gebiyaw Wudie, Umeokonkwo, Chukwuma David, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Villafañe, Jorge Hugo, Violante, Francesco S., Vo, Bay, Vu, Giang Thu, Wado, Yohannes Dibaba, Waheed, Yasir, Wamai, Richard G., Wang, Yanzhong, Ward, Paul, Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana, Wilson, Katherine, Yaya, Sanni, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yu, Chuanhua, Zastrozhin, Mikhail Sergeevich, Zhang, Yunquan, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Hay, Simon I., and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Abstract

Additional file 3: Supplemental figures.Figure S1. Prevalence of male circumcision. Figure S2. Prevalence of signs and symptoms of sexually transmitted infections. Figure S3. Prevalence of marriage or living as married. Figure S4. Prevalence of partner living elsewhere among females. Figure S5. Prevalence of condom use during most recent sexual encounter. Figure S6. Prevalence of sexual activity among young females. Figure S7. Prevalence of multiple partners among males in the past year. Figure S8. Prevalence of multiple partners among females in the past year. Figure S9. HIV prevalence predictions from the boosted regression tree model. Figure S10. HIV prevalence predictions from the generalized additive model. Figure S11. HIV prevalence predictions from the lasso regression model. Figure S12. Modeling regions. Figure S13. Age- and sex-specific vs. adult prevalence modeling. Figure S14. Data sensitivity. Figure S15. Model specification validation. Figure S16. Modeled and re-aggregated adult prevalence comparison. Figure S17. HIV prevalence raking factors for males. Figure S18. HIV prevalence raking factors for females. Figure S19. Age-specific HIV prevalence in males, 2000. Figure S20. Age-specific HIV prevalence in females, 2000. Figure S21. Age-specific HIV prevalence in males, 2005. Figure S22. Age-specific HIV prevalence in females, 2005. Figure S23. Age-specific HIV prevalence in males, 2010. Figure S24. Age-specific HIV prevalence in females, 2010. Figure S25. Age-specific HIV prevalence in males, 2018. Figure S26. Age-specific HIV prevalence in females, 2018. Figure S27. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in males, 2000. Figure S28. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in females, 2000. Figure S29. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in males, 2005. Figure S30. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in females, 2005. Figure S31. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in males, 2010. Figure S32. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in females, 2010. Figure S33. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in males, 2018. Figure S34. Age-specific uncertainty interval range estimates in females, 2018. Figure S35. Change in HIV prevalence in males, 2000-2005. Figure S36. Change in HIV prevalence in females, 2000-2005. Figure S37. Change in HIV prevalence in males, 2005-2010. Figure S38. Change in HIV prevalence in females, 2005-2010. Figure S39. Change in HIV prevalence in males, 2010-2018. Figure S40. Change in HIV prevalence in females, 2010-2018. Figure S41. Space mesh for geostatistical models.

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2023
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19. Additional file 1 of Mapping male circumcision for HIV prevention efforts in sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Cork, Michael A., Wilson, Kate F., Perkins, Samantha, Collison, Michael L., Aniruddha Deshpande, Eaton, Jeffrey W., Earl, Lucas, Haeuser, Emily, Justman, Jessica E., Kinyoki, Damaris K., Mayala, Benjamin K., Mosser, Jonathan F., Murray, Christopher J. L., Nkengasong, John N., Piot, Peter, Sartorius, Benn, Schaeffer, Lauren E., Serfes, Audrey L., Sligar, Amber, Steuben, Krista M., Tanser, Frank C., VanderHeide, John D., Mingyou Yang, Njeri Wabiri, Hay, Simon I., and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Subjects
Data_FILES
Abstract

Additional file 1.

Published
2020
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22. Effects of climate change and horticultural use on the spread of naturalized alien garden plants in Europe

Author

Klonner, Günther, Wessely, Johannes, Gattringer, Andreas, Moser, Dietmar, Dullinger, Iwona, Hülber, Karl, Dawson, Wayne, Haeuser, Emily Sutton, and van Kleunen, Mark

Subjects
ddc:570, biological invasions, climate change, horticulture, plant naturalization, propagule pressure, range dynamics
Abstract

Climate warming is supposed to enlarge the area climatically suitable to the naturalization of alien garden plants in temperate regions. However, the effects of a changing climate on the spread of naturalized ornamentals have not been evaluated by spatially and temporarily explicit range modelling at larger scales so far. Here, we assess how climate change and the frequency of cultivation interactively determine the spread of 15 ornamental plants over the 21st century in Europe. We coupled species distribution modelling with simulations of demography and dispersal to predict range dynamics of these species in annual steps across a 250 × 250 m raster of the study area. Models were run under four scenarios of climate warming and six levels of cultivation intensity. Cultivation frequency was implemented as size of the area used for planting a species. Although the area climatically suitable to the 15 species increases, on average, the area predicted to be occupied by them in 2090 shrinks under two of the three climate change scenarios. This contradiction obviously arises from dispersal limitations that were pronounced although we assumed that cultivation is spatially adapting to the changing climate. Cultivation frequency had a much stronger effect on species spread than climate change, and this effect was non‐linear. The area occupied increased sharply from low to moderate levels of cultivation intensity, but levelled off afterwards. Our simulations suggest that climate warming will not necessarily foster the spread of alien garden plants in Europe over the next decades. However, climatically suitable areas do increase and hence an invasion debt is likely accumulating. Restricting cultivation of species can be effective in preventing species spread, irrespective of how the climate develops. However, for being successful, they depend on high levels of compliance to keep propagule pressure at a low level. published

Published
2019

23. Effects of climate change and horticultural use on the spread of naturalized alien garden plants in Europe

Author

Klonner, Günther, primary, Wessely, Johannes, additional, Gattringer, Andreas, additional, Moser, Dietmar, additional, Dullinger, Iwona, additional, Hülber, Karl, additional, Rumpf, Sabine B., additional, Block, Svenja, additional, Bossdorf, Oliver, additional, Carboni, Marta, additional, Conti, Luisa, additional, Dawson, Wayne, additional, Haeuser, Emily, additional, Hermy, Martin, additional, Münkemüller, Tamara, additional, Parepa, Madalin, additional, Thuiller, Wilfried, additional, Van der Veken, Sebastiaan, additional, Verheyen, Kris, additional, van Kleunen, Mark, additional, Essl, Franz, additional, and Dullinger, Stefan, additional

Published
2019
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25. An innovative vegetation survey design in Mediterranean cliffs shows evidence of higher tolerance of specialized rock plants to rock climbing activity

Author

Lauchlan Fraser, March-Salas, Martí, Moreno-Moya, Miguel, Tejero-Ibarra, Pablo, Haeuser, Emily, Pertierra, Luis, Palomar García, Gemma, Lauchlan Fraser, March-Salas, Martí, Moreno-Moya, Miguel, Tejero-Ibarra, Pablo, Haeuser, Emily, Pertierra, Luis, and Palomar García, Gemma

Abstract

We thank the Polytechnic University of Valencia and Botanical Garden of the University of Valencia for institutional support. W, Questions Is rock climbing pressure, together with microtopographic conditions, disturbing cliff plant cover and composition? What are the climbing impacts on rock specialist and non-specialist species? Can a case-control approach, not previously implemented in cliff environments, offer additional value for actual and long-term ecological research? Methods. We surveyed in situ nine rock climbing routes in order to examine differences in plant species richness and vegetation cover between unclimbed and climbed transects. To evaluate the effect of rock climbing on vegetation, we implemented a case-control methodology using the two zones immediately adjacent to common climbing routes as control points (i.e. unclimbed transects). Three quadrats of 3 m × 3 m were established at different cliff heights. All identified species were categorized as either specialized rock species or non-specialized rock species based on their habitat preferences from literature. Non-specialized rock species were further differentiated as either moderately associated with rocky environments or strict generalists. The rock climbing impact on each group of species was analysed using LMM. Results. Our results provide evidence of the effects of rock climbing on a Mediterranean cliff, which has received little attention so far. Significantly fewer generalist species were present on climbed compared to unclimbed transects, while specialized and moderately specialized rock species were not significantly affected by rock climbing intensity. Furthermore, while rock-specific and moderately specialized species could cope with microsite heterogeneity, areas with fewer cracks had significantly negative effects on generalist species. Conclusions. Moderate rock climbing activity on cliff environments might not reduce the presence of specialized rock-dwelling species; however, this activity inherently impacts the biodiversity of cliff ecosystems due to its large effect on generalist species. We recommend tha, Depto. de Genética, Fisiología y Microbiología, Fac. de Ciencias Biológicas, TRUE, pub

Published
2018

26. An innovative vegetation survey design in Mediterranean cliffs shows evidence of higher tolerance of specialized rock plants to rock climbing activity

Author

March‐Salas, Martí, Moreno‐Moya, Miguel, Palomar, Gemma, Tejero-Ibarra, Pablo, Haeuser, Emily, Pertierra, Luis R., March‐Salas, Martí, Moreno‐Moya, Miguel, Palomar, Gemma, Tejero-Ibarra, Pablo, Haeuser, Emily, and Pertierra, Luis R.

Abstract

[Questions]: Is rock climbing pressure, together with microtopographic conditions, disturbing cliff plant cover and composition? What are the climbing impacts on rock specialist and non‐specialist species? Can a case‐control approach, not previously implemented in cliff environments, offer additional value for actual and long‐term ecological research?., [Location]: Chulilla, Levante coast, Spain., [Methods]: We surveyed in situ nine rock climbing routes in order to examine differences in plant species richness and vegetation cover between unclimbed and climbed transects. To evaluate the effect of rock climbing on vegetation, we implemented a case‐control methodology using the two zones immediately adjacent to common climbing routes as control points (i.e. unclimbed transects). Three quadrats of 3 m × 3 m were established at different cliff heights. All identified species were categorized as either specialized rock species or non‐specialized rock species based on their habitat preferences from literature. Non‐specialized rock species were further differentiated as either moderately associated with rocky environments or strict generalists. The rock climbing impact on each group of species was analysed using LMM., [Results]: Our results provide evidence of the effects of rock climbing on a Mediterranean cliff, which has received little attention so far. Significantly fewer generalist species were present on climbed compared to unclimbed transects, while specialized and moderately specialized rock species were not significantly affected by rock climbing intensity. Furthermore, while rock‐specific and moderately specialized species could cope with microsite heterogeneity, areas with fewer cracks had significantly negative effects on generalist species., [Conclusions]: Moderate rock climbing activity on cliff environments might not reduce the presence of specialized rock‐dwelling species; however, this activity inherently impacts the biodiversity of cliff ecosystems due to its large effect on generalist species. We recommend that future conservation studies account for the degree of species dependence on rocky habitats to better understand rock‐climbing impacts in these singular ecosystems. According to our experience, the implementation of an adjacent case‐control survey design for monitoring cliff vegetation can help improve and unify methodology for such studies, as this is still an underdeveloped field.

Published
2018

28. Simulating plant invasion dynamics in mountain ecosystems under global change scenarios

Author

Carboni, Marta, primary, Guéguen, Maya, additional, Barros, Ceres, additional, Georges, Damien, additional, Boulangeat, Isabelle, additional, Douzet, Rolland, additional, Dullinger, Stefan, additional, Klonner, Guenther, additional, van Kleunen, Mark, additional, Essl, Franz, additional, Bossdorf, Oliver, additional, Haeuser, Emily, additional, Talluto, Matthew V., additional, Moser, Dietmar, additional, Block, Svenja, additional, Conti, Luisa, additional, Dullinger, Iwona, additional, Münkemüller, Tamara, additional, and Thuiller, Wilfried, additional

Published
2017
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29. Introduced garden plants are strong competitors of native and alien residents under simulated climate change.

Author

Buckley, Yvonne, Haeuser, Emily, Kleunen, Mark, and Dawson, Wayne

Subjects
*INTRODUCED species, *ORNAMENTAL plants, *CLIMATE change, *GREENHOUSES, *DROUGHTS
Abstract

Most invasive plants have been originally introduced for horticultural purposes. Still, most alien garden plants have not naturalized yet, probably due in part to inadequate climatic conditions. Climate change may alter this, but few experimental studies have addressed this for non‐naturalized alien garden plants, and those that have, addressed only singular aspects of climate change.In a greenhouse experiment, we examined the performance of nine non‐naturalized alien herbaceous garden plants of varying climatic origins in response to simulated climate warming and reduced water availability, in a factorial design, as projected for southern Germany. To assess their invasion potential, we grew the species in competition with resident native and already‐naturalized alien species.Reduced watering negatively affected non‐naturalized garden plants, as well as the native and naturalized competitors, particularly at higher temperatures. However, non‐naturalized aliens performed better relative to competitors when temperatures increased. Naturalized and native resident competitor responses to climate change were both negative, but across climate treatments, non‐naturalized aliens, irrespective of their climatic origins, performed better against native than against naturalized competitors.Synthesis. We conclude that relative performance compared to resident species may increase for non‐naturalized alien garden plants under climate change, as resident species become less competitive. Ongoing climate change is therefore likely to promote naturalization of commonly planted alien herbaceous species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2019
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30. Simulating plant invasion dynamics in mountain ecosystems under global change scenarios.

Author

Carboni, Marta, Guéguen, Maya, Barros, Ceres, Georges, Damien, Boulangeat, Isabelle, Douzet, Rolland, Dullinger, Stefan, Klonner, Guenther, van Kleunen, Mark, Essl, Franz, Bossdorf, Oliver, Haeuser, Emily, Talluto, Matthew V., Moser, Dietmar, Block, Svenja, Conti, Luisa, Dullinger, Iwona, Münkemüller, Tamara, and Thuiller, Wilfried

Subjects
PLANT invasions, BIOLOGICAL invasions, INVASIVE plants, CLIMATE change, PLANT species
Abstract

Across the globe, invasive alien species cause severe environmental changes, altering species composition and ecosystem functions. So far, mountain areas have mostly been spared from large-scale invasions. However, climate change, land-use abandonment, the development of tourism and the increasing ornamental trade will weaken the barriers to invasions in these systems. Understanding how alien species will react and how native communities will influence their success is thus of prime importance in a management perspective. Here, we used a spatially and temporally explicit simulation model to forecast invasion risks in a protected mountain area in the French Alps under future conditions. We combined scenarios of climate change, land-use abandonment and tourism-linked increases in propagule pressure to test if the spread of alien species in the region will increase in the future. We modelled already naturalized alien species and new ornamental plants, accounting for interactions among global change components, and also competition with the native vegetation. Our results show that propagule pressure and climate change will interact to increase overall species richness of both naturalized aliens and new ornamentals, as well as their upper elevational limits and regional range-sizes. Under climate change, woody aliens are predicted to more than double in range-size and herbaceous species to occupy up to 20% of the park area. In contrast, land-use abandonment will open new invasion opportunities for woody aliens, but decrease invasion probability for naturalized and ornamental alien herbs as a consequence of colonization by native trees. This emphasizes the importance of interactions with the native vegetation either for facilitating or potentially for curbing invasions. Overall, our work highlights an additional and previously underestimated threat for the fragile mountain flora of the Alps already facing climate changes, land-use transformations and overexploitation by tourism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2018
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31. Does greater specific leaf area plasticity help plants to maintain a high performance when shaded?

Author

Yanjie Liu, Dawson, Wayne, Prati, Daniel, Haeuser, Emily, Yanhao Feng, and van Kleunen, Mark

Subjects
LEAF area, LEAF area index, PLANT species, PLANT classification, PLANT biomass
Abstract

• Background and Aims It is frequently assumed that phenotypic plasticity can be very advantageous for plants, because it may increase environmental tolerance (fitness homeostasis). This should, however, only hold for plastic responses that are adaptive, i.e. increase fitness. Numerous studies have shown shade-induced increases in specific leaf area (SLA), and there is wide consensus that this plastic response optimizes light capture and thus has to be adaptive. However, it has rarely been tested whether this is really the case. • Methods In order to identify whether SLA plasticity does contribute to the maintenance of high biomass of plant species under shaded conditions, a meta-analytical approach was employed. The data set included 280 species and 467 individual studies from 32 publications and two unpublished experiments. • Key Results Plants increased their SLA by 55.4 % on average when shaded, while they decreased their biomass by 59.9 %. Species with a high SLA under high-light control conditions showed a significantly greater ability to maintain biomass production under shade overall. However, in contrast to the expectation of a positive relationship between SLA plasticity and maintenance of plant biomass, the results indicated that species with greater SLA plasticity were less able to maintain biomass under shade. • Conclusions Although a high SLA per se contributes to biomass homeostasis, there was no evidence that plasticity in SLA contributes to this. Therefore, it is argued that some of the plastic changes that are frequently thought to be adaptive might simply reflect passive responses to the environment, or result as by-products of adaptive plastic responses in other traits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2016
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32. Mapping male circumcision for HIV prevention efforts in sub-Saharan Africa

Author

Cork, Michael A., Wilson, Kate F., Perkins, Samantha, Collison, Michael L., Deshpande, Aniruddha, Eaton, Jeffrey W., Earl, Lucas, Haeuser, Emily, Justman, Jessica E., Kinyoki, Damaris K., Mayala, Benjamin K., Mosser, Jonathan F., Murray, Christopher J. L., Nkengasong, John N., Piot, Peter, Sartorius, Benn, Schaeffer, Lauren E., Serfes, Audrey L., Sligar, Amber, Steuben, Krista M., Tanser, Frank, VanderHeide, John D., Yang, Mingyou, Wabiri, Njeri, Hay, Simon I., Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura, Cork, Michael A., Wilson, Kate F., Perkins, Samantha, Collison, Michael L., Deshpande, Aniruddha, Eaton, Jeffrey W., Earl, Lucas, Haeuser, Emily, Justman, Jessica E., Kinyoki, Damaris K., Mayala, Benjamin K., Mosser, Jonathan F., Murray, Christopher J. L., Nkengasong, John N., Piot, Peter, Sartorius, Benn, Schaeffer, Lauren E., Serfes, Audrey L., Sligar, Amber, Steuben, Krista M., Tanser, Frank, VanderHeide, John D., Yang, Mingyou, Wabiri, Njeri, Hay, Simon I., and Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura

Abstract

Background HIV remains the largest cause of disease burden among men and women of reproductive age in sub-Saharan Africa. Voluntary medical male circumcision (VMMC) reduces the risk of female-to-male transmission of HIV by 50–60%. The World Health Organization (WHO) and Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) identified 14 priority countries for VMMC campaigns and set a coverage goal of 80% for men ages 15–49. From 2008 to 2017, over 18 million VMMCs were reported in priority countries. Nonetheless, relatively little is known about local variation in male circumcision (MC) prevalence. Methods We analyzed geo-located MC prevalence data from 109 household surveys using a Bayesian geostatistical modeling framework to estimate adult MC prevalence and the number of circumcised and uncircumcised men aged 15–49 in 38 countries in sub-Saharan Africa at a 5 × 5-km resolution and among first administrative level (typically provinces or states) and second administrative level (typically districts or counties) units. Results We found striking within-country and between-country variation in MC prevalence; most (12 of 14) priority countries had more than a twofold difference between their first administrative level units with the highest and lowest estimated prevalence in 2017. Although estimated national MC prevalence increased in all priority countries with the onset of VMMC campaigns, seven priority countries contained both subnational areas where estimated MC prevalence increased and areas where estimated MC prevalence decreased after the initiation of VMMC campaigns. In 2017, only three priority countries (Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania) were likely to have reached the MC coverage target of 80% at the national level, and no priority country was likely to have reached this goal in all subnational areas. Conclusions Despite MC prevalence increases in all priority countries since the onset of VMMC campaigns in 2008, MC prevalence remains below the 80% coverage target

33. European ornamental garden flora as an invasion debt under climate change

Author

Oliver Bossdorf, Dietmar Moser, Wayne Dawson, Matthew V. Talluto, Svenja Block, Franz Essl, Patrick Weigelt, Cristina Roquet, Marta Carboni, Martin Hermy, Luisa Conti, Günther Klonner, Mark van Kleunen, Emily Haeuser, Holger Kreft, Jan Pergl, Marten Winter, Iwona Dullinger, Wilfried Thuiller, Madalin Parepa, Sebastiaan Van der Veken, Tamara Münkemüller, Stefan Dullinger, Petr Pyšek, Haeuser, Emily, Dawson, Wayne, Thuiller, Wilfried, Dullinger, Stefan, Block, Svenja, Bossdorf, Oliver, Carboni, Marta, Conti, Luisa, Dullinger, Iwona, Essl, Franz, Klonner, Günther, Moser, Dietmar, Münkemüller, Tamara, Parepa, Madalin, Talluto, Matthew V., Kreft, Holger, Pergl, Jan, Pyšek, Petr, Weigelt, Patrick, Winter, Marten, Hermy, Martin, Van der Veken, Sebastiaan, Roquet, Cristina, van Kleunen, Mark, Department of Ecology [Warsaw], Institute of Zoology [Warsaw], Faculty of Biology [Warsaw], University of Warsaw (UW)-University of Warsaw (UW)-Faculty of Biology [Warsaw], University of Warsaw (UW)-University of Warsaw (UW), Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine (LECA ), Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB [Université de Savoie] [Université de Chambéry])-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes [2016-2019] (UGA [2016-2019]), Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, University of Vienna [Vienna], Plant Evolutionary Ecology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany, Università degli Studi Roma Tre, Umweltbundesamt, Department of Biodiversity, Macroecology and Biogeography, Georg-August-University [Göttingen], Institute of Botany, Czech Academy of Sciences [Prague] (CAS), German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), and Université Catholique de Louvain = Catholic University of Louvain (UCL)

Subjects
0106 biological sciences, Flora, Range (biology), [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, Climate change, biological invasion, Alien, 010603 evolutionary biology, 01 natural sciences, Invasive species, naturalisation succe, ddc:570, Ornamental plant, garden plant, propagule pressure, ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS, climatic suitability, biological invasions, climatic suitability, garden plants, invasion modelling, invasive plants, naturalisation success, propagule pressure, risk assessment, Ecology, 010604 marine biology & hydrobiology, Propagule pressure, risk assessment, 15. Life on land, Naturalization, invasive plant, Geography, 13. Climate action, invasion modelling, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, [SDE.BE]Environmental Sciences/Biodiversity and Ecology
Abstract

1. Most naturalised and invasive alien plant species were originally introduced to regions for horticultural purposes. However, many regions now face an invasion debt from ornamental alien species, which have not yet naturalised. In this regard, climate change represents a threat as it may lower the barriers to naturalisation for some ornamental alien species. Identifying those species is extremely important for anticipating impending invasions.2. To identify predictors of naturalisation, we modelled the effects of climate, nursery availability and species characteristics on the current European naturalisation success of 2,073 ornamental aliens commonly planted in European gardens. We then used the resulting model together with climate projections for 2050 to forecast future naturalisation risks for the 1,583 species not yet naturalised in Europe.3. We found that non-European naturalised range size, climatic suitability, propagule pressure, having a dioecious sexual system and plant height jointly explained current naturalisation success in Europe. By 2050, naturalisation probability projections increased by more than 0.1 for 41 species, and only decreased by more than 0.1 for one species.4. Policy implications. Using predictions based on our integrated model of alien ornamental naturalisation success, we identified species with high future naturalisation risk and species with high projected increases in naturalisation potential in Europe under climate change. This species list allows for prioritisation of monitoring and regulation of ornamental plants to mitigate the invasion debt. published

Published
2018

34. Simulating plant invasion dynamics in mountain ecosystems under global change scenarios

Author

Luisa Conti, Rolland Douzet, Matthew V. Talluto, Mark van Kleunen, Ceres Barros, Svenja Block, Dietmar Moser, Stefan Dullinger, Isabelle Boulangeat, Oliver Bossdorf, Guenther Klonner, Iwona Dullinger, Damien Georges, Tamara Münkemüller, Marta Carboni, Wilfried Thuiller, Maya Guéguen, Emily Haeuser, Franz Essl, Laboratoire d'Ecologie Alpine (LECA ), Université Savoie Mont Blanc (USMB [Université de Savoie] [Université de Chambéry])-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes [2016-2019] (UGA [2016-2019]), Centre International de Recherche contre le Cancer - International Agency for Research on Cancer (CIRC - IARC), Organisation Mondiale de la Santé / World Health Organization Office (OMS / WHO), Laboratoire des EcoSystèmes et des Sociétés en Montagne (UR LESSEM), Institut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture (IRSTEA), Station alpine Joseph Fourier - UMS 3370 (SAJF ), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Grenoble Alpes [2016-2019] (UGA [2016-2019]), Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, University of Vienna [Vienna], Department of Ecology [Warsaw], Institute of Zoology [Warsaw], Faculty of Biology [Warsaw], University of Warsaw (UW)-University of Warsaw (UW)-Faculty of Biology [Warsaw], University of Warsaw (UW)-University of Warsaw (UW), Plant Evolutionary Ecology, University of Tübingen, Plant Evolutionary Ecology, University of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany, Università degli Studi Roma Tre, University of Klagenfurt, FP7 People: Marie-Curie Actions : FP7-PEOPLE-2012-IEF, IASIMOV : 327616, ERA-Net BiodivERsA : I-1443-B25, Marie Curie Intra European Fellowship within the European Commission's Seventh Framework Program : IASIMOV 327616, French National Research Agency (ANR) : ANR-11-INBS-0001AnaEE-Services, Austrian Science Fund (FWF) : I 1443, Carboni, Marta, Guéguen, Maya, Barros, Cere, Georges, Damien, Boulangeat, Isabelle, Douzet, Rolland, Dullinger, Stefan, Klonner, Guenther, van Kleunen, Mark, Essl, Franz, Bossdorf, Oliver, Haeuser, Emily, Talluto, Matthew V., Moser, Dietmar, Block, Svenja, Conti, Luisa, Dullinger, Iwona, Münkemüller, Tamara, Thuiller, Wilfried, and Umweltbundesamt

Subjects
0106 biological sciences, alien specie, [SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio], alien species, biotic interactions, dynamic vegetation model, European Alps, mountain environments, ornamental species, propagule pressure, DIVERSITY, Introduced species, alien species, European Alp, 01 natural sciences, DISTRIBUTION MODELS, biotic interactions, propagule pressure, ornamental specie, ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS, General Environmental Science, Introduced Specie, Global and Planetary Change, Travel, Flora of the Alps, CLIMATE-CHANGE, Ecology, mountain environments, Altitude, Vegetation, Plants, Geography, VEGETATION STRUCTURE, Human, Climate Change, Climate change, 010603 evolutionary biology, Models, Biological, ddc:570, LAND ABANDONMENT, Environmental Chemistry, Humans, Ecosystem, SWISS ALPS, Computer Simulation, Demography, ALIEN PLANTS, 010604 marine biology & hydrobiology, Propagule pressure, dynamic vegetation model, Plant, 15. Life on land, biotic interaction, mountain environment, ornamental species, SPECIES INVASIONS, 13. Climate action, BIODIVERSITY, Species richness, European Alps, Introduced Species
Abstract

International audience; Across the globe, invasive alien species cause severe environmental changes, altering species composition and ecosystem functions. So far, mountain areas have mostly been spared from large-scale invasions. However, climate change, land-use abandonment, the development of tourism and the increasing ornamental trade will weaken the barriers to invasions in these systems. Understanding how alien species will react and how native communities will influence their success is thus of prime importance in a management perspective. Here, we used a spatially and temporally explicit simulation model to forecast invasion risks in a protected mountain area in the French Alps under future conditions. We combined scenarios of climate change, land-use abandonment and tourism-linked increases in propagule pressure to test if the spread of alien species in the region will increase in the future. We modelled already naturalized alien species and new ornamental plants, accounting for interactions among global change components, and also competition with the native vegetation. Our results show that propagule pressure and climate change will interact to increase overall species richness of both naturalized aliens and new ornamentals, as well as their upper elevational limits and regional range-sizes. Under climate change, woody aliens are predicted to more than double in range-size and herbaceous species to occupy up to 20% of the park area. In contrast, land-use abandonment will open new invasion opportunities for woody aliens, but decrease invasion probability for naturalized and ornamental alien herbs as a consequence of colonization by native trees. This emphasizes the importance of interactions with the native vegetation either for facilitating or potentially for curbing invasions. Overall, our work highlights an additional and previously underestimated threat for the fragile mountain flora of the Alps already facing climate changes, land-use transformations and overexploitation by tourism.

Published
2017

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