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© 2020 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Aim: Knowledge of the drivers of ecosystem changes in the past is key to understanding present ecosystem responses to changes in climate, fire regimes and anthropogenic impacts. Northern Hemisphere-focussed studies suggest that climate and human activities drove turnover during the Holocene in temperate ecosystems. Various drivers have been invoked to explain changes in Southern Hemisphere temperate vegetation, but the region lacks a quantitative assessment of these drivers. To better understand the regional drivers of past diversity, we present a quantitative meta-analysis study of turnover and richness during the lateglacial and Holocene in Australian temperate ecosystems. Location: South-east Australia (Tasmania, Bass Strait, SE mainland). Methods: We conducted a meta-analysis study of 24 fossil pollen records across south-east Australian temperate ecosystems, applying an empirical turnover threshold to fossil records to identify periods of major turnover for the first time in Australia. We tested pollen richness as a proxy for vegetation richness to estimate past richness and applied this to fossil pollen data. The resulting reconstructions were compared to independent records of climate, sea-level change and fire through generalized linear modelling. Results and conclusion: Our results show changes in available moisture and sea level drove turnover and richness in most parts of SE Australia in the past, explaining up to c.97% deviance. However, fire mainly drove turnover in Bass Strait. Our richness reconstructions also support the intermediate disturbance hypothesis, suggesting that high biodiversity was partially maintained by anthropogenic-managed fire regimes. While temperature change is considered key to Northern Hemisphere palaeodiversity, past turnover and richness in Southern Hemisphere temperate ecosystems responded mainly to moisture availability and sea-level change (considering its role in modulating regional oceanic climate).

Supplemental material, sj-docx-1-anr-10.1177_20530196211044630 for European colonization and the emergence of novel fire regimes in southeast Australia by Matthew Adesanya Adeleye, Simon Edward Connor, Simon Graeme Haberle, Annika Herbert and Josephine Brown in The Anthropocene Review

Pollen exposure weakens the immunity against certain seasonal respiratory viruses by diminishing the antiviral interferon response. Here we investigate whether the same applies to the pandemic severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which is sensitive to antiviral interferons, if infection waves coincide with high airborne pollen concentrations. Our original hypothesis was that more airborne pollen would lead to increases in infection rates. To examine this, we performed a cross-sectional and longitudinal data analysis on SARS-CoV-2 infection, airborne pollen, and meteorological factors. Our dataset is the most comprehensive, largest possible worldwide from 130 stations, across 31 countries and five continents. To explicitly investigate the effects of social contact, we additionally considered population density of each study area, as well as lockdown effects, in all possible combinations: without any lockdown, with mixed lockdown?no lockdown regime, and under complete lockdown. We found that airborne pollen, sometimes in synergy with humidity and temperature, explained, on average, 44% of the infection rate variability. Infection rates increased after higher pollen concentrations most frequently during the four previous days. Without lockdown, an increase of pollen abundance by 100 pollen/m3 resulted in a 4% average increase of infection rates. Lockdown halved infection rates under similar pollen concentrations. As there can be no preventive measures against airborne pollen exposure, we suggest wide dissemination of pollen?virus coexposure dire effect information to encourage high-risk individuals to wear particle filter masks during high springtime pollen concentrations. © 2021 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved., 1.1.1.2/VIAA/2/18/283; European Cooperation in Science and Technology, COST: CA18226; Academy of Finland, AKA: 318194, PS4A; Ministerio de Educación, Cultura y Deporte, MECD: FPU15/01668; Department of the Environment, Australian Government; Lietuvos Mokslo Taryba; Ministarstvo Prosvete, Nauke i Tehnološkog Razvoja, MPNTR: 451-03-68/2020-14/200358; European Social Fund, ESF: 09.3.3-LMT-K-712-01-0066; Helmholtz Association; Christine Kühne – Center for Allergy Research and Education, CK-CARE, ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. We thank Mr. Luis-Leopold Moelter and Mr. Mehmet Gökkaya for assistance in overall data curation. The study was partly implemented in the frame of the European Cooperation in Science and Technology (EU-COST) program, "New approaches in detection of pathogens and aeroallergens (ADOPT)," Grant CA18226 (EU Framework Program Horizon 2020). D.B. and C.T.-H. were supported by the Helmholtz Climate Initiative (HI-CAM), Mitigation and Adaptation. A.Ch. and D.V. were supported by the Municipality of Thessaloniki, Greece (Directorate for the Management of the Urban Environment, Department of Environment). This research has been partly supported by the European Social Fund (Project 09.3.3-LMT-K-712-01-0066) under grant agreement with the Research Council of Lithuania (LMTLT). The study was also partly conducted within the frame of the project of the European Community European Regional Development Fund (EC ERDF) and PostDoc Latvia (Grant 1.1.1.2/VIAA/2/18/283). M.S. acknowledges the Academy of Finland (Project PS4A, Grant 318194). We thank the Department of Health and Rehabilitation of Vinnytsia Regional Council, Ukraine, for providing the numbers of COVID-19 cases. A.H.A. acknowledges Angel Chaves and the Government of Navarra: Institute of Public and Labor Health of Navarra, within LIFE-IP NAdatpa-CC (LIFE16 IPC/ES/000001). A.P. was supported by a predoctoral grant financed by the Ministry of Education, Culture and Sports of Spain, in the Program for the Promotion of Talent and its Employability (Grant FPU15/01668). B.S. acknowledges the Ministry of Education, Science, and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (Grant 451-03-68/2020-14/200358). C.T.H. acknowledges the Christine Kühne–Center for Allergy Research and Education (CK-CARE), and The Initiative and Networking Fund of the Helmholtz Association (Immunology & Inflammation). We thank Jan Bumberger, Marcus Karsten, Paul Remmler, Jan C. Simon, and Regina Treudler for data provision and curation from Leipzig, Germany. We thank Claudia Langford Brown and Dana Flanders for statistical advice and scientific discussions. We thank Penelope Jones, Edith Bucher, Reyhan Gumusburun, Haydar Soydaner Karakus, Su Ozgur, and Asli Tetik Vardarli for data curation.