Wang X, Li Y, Deloria-Knoll M, Madhi SA, Cohen C, Arguelles VL, Basnet S, Bassat Q, Brooks WA, Echavarria M, Fasce RA, Gentile A, Goswami D, Homaira N, Howie SRC, Kotloff KL, Khuri-Bulos N, Krishnan A, Lucero MG, Lupisan S, Mathisen M, McLean KA, Mira-Iglesias A, Moraleda C, Okamoto M, Oshitani H, O'Brien KL, Owor BE, Rasmussen ZA, Rath BA, Salimi V, Sawatwong P, Scott JAG, Simões EAF, Sotomayor V, Thea DM, Treurnicht FK, Yoshida LM, Zar HJ, Campbell H, and Nair H
Background: Human parainfluenza virus (hPIV) is a common virus in childhood acute lower respiratory infections (ALRI). However, no estimates have been made to quantify the global burden of hPIV in childhood ALRI. We aimed to estimate the global and regional hPIV-associated and hPIV-attributable ALRI incidence, hospital admissions, and mortality for children younger than 5 years and stratified by 0-5 months, 6-11 months, and 12-59 months of age., Methods: We did a systematic review of hPIV-associated ALRI burden studies published between Jan 1, 1995, and Dec 31, 2020, found in MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Web of Science, Global Health Library, three Chinese databases, and Google search, and also identified a further 41 high-quality unpublished studies through an international research network. We included studies reporting community incidence of ALRI with laboratory-confirmed hPIV; hospital admission rates of ALRI or ALRI with hypoxaemia in children with laboratory-confirmed hPIV; proportions of patients with ALRI admitted to hospital with laboratory-confirmed hPIV; or in-hospital case-fatality ratios (hCFRs) of ALRI with laboratory-confirmed hPIV. We used a modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale to assess risk of bias. We analysed incidence, hospital admission rates, and hCFRs of hPIV-associated ALRI using a generalised linear mixed model. Adjustment was made to account for the non-detection of hPIV-4. We estimated hPIV-associated ALRI cases, hospital admissions, and in-hospital deaths using adjusted incidence, hospital admission rates, and hCFRs. We estimated the overall hPIV-associated ALRI mortality (both in-hospital and out-hospital mortality) on the basis of the number of in-hospital deaths and care-seeking for child pneumonia. We estimated hPIV-attributable ALRI burden by accounting for attributable fractions for hPIV in laboratory-confirmed hPIV cases and deaths. Sensitivity analyses were done to validate the estimates of overall hPIV-associated ALRI mortality and hPIV-attributable ALRI mortality. The systematic review protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42019148570)., Findings: 203 studies were identified, including 162 hPIV-associated ALRI burden studies and a further 41 high-quality unpublished studies. Globally in 2018, an estimated 18·8 million (uncertainty range 12·8-28·9) ALRI cases, 725 000 (433 000-1 260 000) ALRI hospital admissions, and 34 400 (16 400-73 800) ALRI deaths were attributable to hPIVs among children younger than 5 years. The age-stratified and region-stratified analyses suggested that about 61% (35% for infants aged 0-5 months and 26% for 6-11 months) of the hospital admissions and 66% (42% for infants aged 0-5 months and 24% for 6-11 months) of the in-hospital deaths were in infants, and 70% of the in-hospital deaths were in low-income and lower-middle-income countries. Between 73% and 100% (varying by outcome) of the data had a low risk in study design; the proportion was 46-65% for the adjustment for health-care use, 59-77% for patient groups excluded, 54-93% for case definition, 42-93% for sampling strategy, and 67-77% for test methods. Heterogeneity in estimates was found between studies for each outcome., Interpretation: We report the first global burden estimates of hPIV-associated and hPIV-attributable ALRI in young children. Globally, approximately 13% of ALRI cases, 4-14% of ALRI hospital admissions, and 4% of childhood ALRI mortality were attributable to hPIV. These numbers indicate a potentially notable burden of hPIV in ALRI morbidity and mortality in young children. These estimates should encourage and inform investment to accelerate the development of targeted interventions., Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests YL reports grants from WHO outside the submitted work. MD-K reports grants from Merck and Pfizer, and personal fees from Merck outside the submitted work. SAM reports grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, GlaxoSmithKline, Minervax, and Pfizer; and personal fees from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation outside the submitted work. CC reports grants from PATH, Sanofi Pasteur, and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; and non-financial support (funds to travel to meeting) from Parexel during the conduct of the study. SRCH reports grants from Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation during the conduct of the study. HO reports grants from the Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development during the conduct of the study. EAFS reports grants, personal fees, and non-financial support (travel to Investigator meetings and to consultation meetings) from AstraZeneca, Merck, Pfizer, Regeneron, and Roche; personal fees from AbbVie, Alere, and Cidara; non-financial support (travel to meetings) from AbbVie and Novavax; other support fees for being on data and safety monitoring board from AbbVie and GlaxoSmithKline; and grants from Johnson and Johnson and Novavax, outside the submitted work. JAGS reports grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Gavi, The Vaccine Alliance, the UK Medical Research Council, the UK National Institute for Health Research, and the Wellcome Trust, outside the submitted work. L-MY reports grants from Japan Initiative for Global Research Network on Infectious Diseases and Agency for Medical Research and Development during the conduct of the study. HJZ reports grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the South Africa Medical Research Council, and the South Africa National Research Foundation, outside the submitted work. HC reports grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Johns Hopkins University, Sanofi, and WHO; and personal fees from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Johns Hopkins University, Sanofi, and WHO, during the conduct of the study. HN reports grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and personal fees from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation during the conduct of the study; and grants from the Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, Innovative Medicines Initiative, Sanofi, UK National Institute for Health Research, and WHO, and personal fees from AbbVie, Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology, Janssen, Reviral, and Sanofi, outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)