1. The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990–2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
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Sepanlou, S, Safiri, S, Bisignano, C, Ikuta, K, Merat, S, Saberifiroozi, M, Poustchi, H, Tsoi, D, Colombara, D, Abdoli, A, Adedoyin, R, Afarideh, M, Agrawal, S, Ahmad, S, Ahmadian, E, Ahmadpour, E, Akinyemiju, T, Akunna, C, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almulhim, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Angus, C, Anoushiravani, A, Arabloo, J, Araya, E, Asmelash, D, Ataeinia, B, Ataro, Z, Atout, M, Ausloos, F, Awasthi, A, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Bejarano Ramirez, D, Bhagavathula, A, Bhala, N, Bhattacharyya, K, Biondi, A, Bolla, S, Boloor, A, Borzì, A, Butt, Z, Cámera, L, Campos-Nonato, I, Carvalho, F, Chu, D, Chung, S, Cortesi, P, Costa, V, Cowie, B, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demoz, G, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, S, Djalalinia, S, Do, H, Dorostkar, F, Drake, T, Dubey, M, Duncan, B, Effiong, A, Eftekhari, A, Elsharkawy, A, Etemadi, A, Farahmand, M, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremedhin, K, Geta, B, Gilani, S, Gill, P, Gutirrez, R, Haile, M, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hamid, S, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hashemian, M, Hassen, H, Hay, S, Hayat, K, Heidari, B, Henok, A, Hoang, C, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hsieh, V, Igumbor, E, Ilesanmi, O, Irvani, S, Jafari Balalami, N, James, S, Jeemon, P, Jha, R, Jonas, J, Jozwiak, J, Kabir, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, H, Kefale, A, Khalilov, R, Khan, M, Khan, E, Khater, A, Kim, Y, Koyanagi, A, La Vecchia, C, Lim, L, Lopez, A, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, P, Lozano, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Mai, H, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mansournia, M, Mantovani, L, Mazzaglia, G, Mehta, D, Mendoza, W, Menezes, R, Mengesha, M, Meretoja, T, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miller, T, Mirrakhimov, E, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Montero-Zamora, P, Moradi, G, Naimzada, M, Nayak, V, Negoi, I, Nguyen, T, Ofori-Asenso, R, Oh, I, Olagunju, T, Padubidri, J, Pakshir, K, Pana, A, Pathak, M, Pourshams, A, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, S, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, D, Reiner RC, J, Roever, L, Room, R, Roshandel, G, Safari, S, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Sartorius, B, Schmidt, M, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaikh, M, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Shigematsu, M, Singh, J, Soheili, A, Suleria, H, Teklehaimanot, B, Tesfay, B, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valdez, P, Vasankari, T, Vu, G, Waheed, Y, Weldegwergs, K, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wondafrash, D, Wondmieneh, A, Yeshitila, Y, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zarghi, A, Zelber-Sagi, S, Zewdie, K, Zhang, Z, Zhao, X, Naghavi, M, Malekzadeh, R, Sepanlou SG, Safiri S, Bisignano C, Ikuta KS, Merat S, Saberifiroozi M, Poustchi H, Tsoi D, Colombara DV, Abdoli A, Adedoyin RA, Afarideh M, Agrawal S, Ahmad S, Ahmadian E, Ahmadpour E, Akinyemiju T, Akunna CJ, Alipour V, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almulhim AM, Al-Raddadi RM, Alvis-Guzman N, Anber NH, Angus C, Anoushiravani A, Arabloo J, Araya EM, Asmelash D, Ataeinia B, Ataro Z, Atout MMW, Ausloos F, Awasthi A, Badawi A, Banach M, Bejarano Ramirez DF, Bhagavathula AS, Bhala N, Bhattacharyya K, Biondi A, Bolla SR, Boloor A, Borzì AM, Butt ZA, Cámera LA, Campos-Nonato IR, Carvalho F, Chu DT, Chung SC, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Cowie BC, Daryani A, de Courten B, Demoz GT, Desai R, Dharmaratne SD, Djalalinia S, Do HT, Dorostkar F, Drake TM, Dubey M, Duncan BB, Effiong A, Eftekhari A, Elsharkawy A, Etemadi A, Farahmand M, Farzadfar F, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Gebremedhin KBB, Geta B, Gilani SA, Gill PS, Gutirrez RA, Haile MT, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamid SS, Hasankhani M, Hasanzadeh A, Hashemian M, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Hayat K, Heidari B, Henok A, Hoang CL, Hostiuc M, Hostiuc S, Hsieh VC, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Jafari Balalami N, James SL, Jeemon P, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Jozwiak JJ, Kabir A, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kefale AT, Khalilov R, Khan MA, Khan EA, Khater A, Kim YJ, Koyanagi A, La Vecchia C, Lim LL, Lopez AD, Lorkowski S, Lotufo PA, Lozano R, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Mai HT, Manafi N, Manafi A, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Mazzaglia G, Mehta D, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miller TR, Mirrakhimov EM, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Montero-Zamora PA, Moradi G, Naimzada MD, Nayak V, Negoi I, Nguyen TH, Ofori-Asenso R, Oh IH, Olagunju TO, Padubidri JR, Pakshir K, Pana A, Pathak M, Pourshams A, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rafiei A, Ramezanzadeh K, Rana SMM, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Reiner RC Jr, Roever L, Room R, Roshandel G, Safari S, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sartorius B, Schmidt MI, Senthilkumaran S, Shaikh MA, Sharif M, Sharifi A, Shigematsu M, Singh JA, Soheili A, Suleria HAR, Teklehaimanot BF, Tesfay BE, Vacante M, Vahedian-Azimi A, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Vu GT, Waheed Y, Weldegwergs KG, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmieneh AB, Yeshitila YG, Yonemoto N, Yu C, Zaidi Z, Zarghi A, Zelber-Sagi S, Zewdie KA, Zhang ZJ, Zhao XJ, Naghavi M, Malekzadeh R., Sepanlou, S, Safiri, S, Bisignano, C, Ikuta, K, Merat, S, Saberifiroozi, M, Poustchi, H, Tsoi, D, Colombara, D, Abdoli, A, Adedoyin, R, Afarideh, M, Agrawal, S, Ahmad, S, Ahmadian, E, Ahmadpour, E, Akinyemiju, T, Akunna, C, Alipour, V, Almasi-Hashiani, A, Almulhim, A, Al-Raddadi, R, Alvis-Guzman, N, Anber, N, Angus, C, Anoushiravani, A, Arabloo, J, Araya, E, Asmelash, D, Ataeinia, B, Ataro, Z, Atout, M, Ausloos, F, Awasthi, A, Badawi, A, Banach, M, Bejarano Ramirez, D, Bhagavathula, A, Bhala, N, Bhattacharyya, K, Biondi, A, Bolla, S, Boloor, A, Borzì, A, Butt, Z, Cámera, L, Campos-Nonato, I, Carvalho, F, Chu, D, Chung, S, Cortesi, P, Costa, V, Cowie, B, Daryani, A, de Courten, B, Demoz, G, Desai, R, Dharmaratne, S, Djalalinia, S, Do, H, Dorostkar, F, Drake, T, Dubey, M, Duncan, B, Effiong, A, Eftekhari, A, Elsharkawy, A, Etemadi, A, Farahmand, M, Farzadfar, F, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremedhin, K, Geta, B, Gilani, S, Gill, P, Gutirrez, R, Haile, M, Haj-Mirzaian, A, Hamid, S, Hasankhani, M, Hasanzadeh, A, Hashemian, M, Hassen, H, Hay, S, Hayat, K, Heidari, B, Henok, A, Hoang, C, Hostiuc, M, Hostiuc, S, Hsieh, V, Igumbor, E, Ilesanmi, O, Irvani, S, Jafari Balalami, N, James, S, Jeemon, P, Jha, R, Jonas, J, Jozwiak, J, Kabir, A, Kasaeian, A, Kassaye, H, Kefale, A, Khalilov, R, Khan, M, Khan, E, Khater, A, Kim, Y, Koyanagi, A, La Vecchia, C, Lim, L, Lopez, A, Lorkowski, S, Lotufo, P, Lozano, R, Magdy Abd El Razek, M, Mai, H, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mansournia, M, Mantovani, L, Mazzaglia, G, Mehta, D, Mendoza, W, Menezes, R, Mengesha, M, Meretoja, T, Mestrovic, T, Miazgowski, B, Miller, T, Mirrakhimov, E, Mithra, P, Moazen, B, Moghadaszadeh, M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammed, S, Mokdad, A, Montero-Zamora, P, Moradi, G, Naimzada, M, Nayak, V, Negoi, I, Nguyen, T, Ofori-Asenso, R, Oh, I, Olagunju, T, Padubidri, J, Pakshir, K, Pana, A, Pathak, M, Pourshams, A, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rafiei, A, Ramezanzadeh, K, Rana, S, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, D, Reiner RC, J, Roever, L, Room, R, Roshandel, G, Safari, S, Samy, A, Sanabria, J, Sartorius, B, Schmidt, M, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaikh, M, Sharif, M, Sharifi, A, Shigematsu, M, Singh, J, Soheili, A, Suleria, H, Teklehaimanot, B, Tesfay, B, Vacante, M, Vahedian-Azimi, A, Valdez, P, Vasankari, T, Vu, G, Waheed, Y, Weldegwergs, K, Werdecker, A, Westerman, R, Wondafrash, D, Wondmieneh, A, Yeshitila, Y, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Zaidi, Z, Zarghi, A, Zelber-Sagi, S, Zewdie, K, Zhang, Z, Zhao, X, Naghavi, M, Malekzadeh, R, Sepanlou SG, Safiri S, Bisignano C, Ikuta KS, Merat S, Saberifiroozi M, Poustchi H, Tsoi D, Colombara DV, Abdoli A, Adedoyin RA, Afarideh M, Agrawal S, Ahmad S, Ahmadian E, Ahmadpour E, Akinyemiju T, Akunna CJ, Alipour V, Almasi-Hashiani A, Almulhim AM, Al-Raddadi RM, Alvis-Guzman N, Anber NH, Angus C, Anoushiravani A, Arabloo J, Araya EM, Asmelash D, Ataeinia B, Ataro Z, Atout MMW, Ausloos F, Awasthi A, Badawi A, Banach M, Bejarano Ramirez DF, Bhagavathula AS, Bhala N, Bhattacharyya K, Biondi A, Bolla SR, Boloor A, Borzì AM, Butt ZA, Cámera LA, Campos-Nonato IR, Carvalho F, Chu DT, Chung SC, Cortesi PA, Costa VM, Cowie BC, Daryani A, de Courten B, Demoz GT, Desai R, Dharmaratne SD, Djalalinia S, Do HT, Dorostkar F, Drake TM, Dubey M, Duncan BB, Effiong A, Eftekhari A, Elsharkawy A, Etemadi A, Farahmand M, Farzadfar F, Fernandes E, Filip I, Fischer F, Gebremedhin KBB, Geta B, Gilani SA, Gill PS, Gutirrez RA, Haile MT, Haj-Mirzaian A, Hamid SS, Hasankhani M, Hasanzadeh A, Hashemian M, Hassen HY, Hay SI, Hayat K, Heidari B, Henok A, Hoang CL, Hostiuc M, Hostiuc S, Hsieh VC, Igumbor EU, Ilesanmi OS, Irvani SSN, Jafari Balalami N, James SL, Jeemon P, Jha RP, Jonas JB, Jozwiak JJ, Kabir A, Kasaeian A, Kassaye HG, Kefale AT, Khalilov R, Khan MA, Khan EA, Khater A, Kim YJ, Koyanagi A, La Vecchia C, Lim LL, Lopez AD, Lorkowski S, Lotufo PA, Lozano R, Magdy Abd El Razek M, Mai HT, Manafi N, Manafi A, Mansournia MA, Mantovani LG, Mazzaglia G, Mehta D, Mendoza W, Menezes RG, Mengesha MM, Meretoja TJ, Mestrovic T, Miazgowski B, Miller TR, Mirrakhimov EM, Mithra P, Moazen B, Moghadaszadeh M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Mohammed S, Mokdad AH, Montero-Zamora PA, Moradi G, Naimzada MD, Nayak V, Negoi I, Nguyen TH, Ofori-Asenso R, Oh IH, Olagunju TO, Padubidri JR, Pakshir K, Pana A, Pathak M, Pourshams A, Rabiee N, Radfar A, Rafiei A, Ramezanzadeh K, Rana SMM, Rawaf S, Rawaf DL, Reiner RC Jr, Roever L, Room R, Roshandel G, Safari S, Samy AM, Sanabria J, Sartorius B, Schmidt MI, Senthilkumaran S, Shaikh MA, Sharif M, Sharifi A, Shigematsu M, Singh JA, Soheili A, Suleria HAR, Teklehaimanot BF, Tesfay BE, Vacante M, Vahedian-Azimi A, Valdez PR, Vasankari TJ, Vu GT, Waheed Y, Weldegwergs KG, Werdecker A, Westerman R, Wondafrash DZ, Wondmieneh AB, Yeshitila YG, Yonemoto N, Yu C, Zaidi Z, Zarghi A, Zelber-Sagi S, Zewdie KA, Zhang ZJ, Zhao XJ, Naghavi M, and Malekzadeh R.
- Abstract
Background: Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (collectively referred to as cirrhosis in this paper) are a major cause of morbidity and mortality globally, although the burden and underlying causes differ across locations and demographic groups. We report on results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 on the burden of cirrhosis and its trends since 1990, by cause, sex, and age, for 195 countries and territories. Methods: We used data from vital registrations, vital registration samples, and verbal autopsies to estimate mortality. We modelled prevalence of total, compensated, and decompensated cirrhosis on the basis of hospital and claims data. Disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of years of life lost due to premature death and years lived with disability. Estimates are presented as numbers and age-standardised or age-specific rates per 100 000 population, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). All estimates are presented for five causes of cirrhosis: hepatitis B, hepatitis C, alcohol-related liver disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and other causes. We compared mortality, prevalence, and DALY estimates with those expected according to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI) as a proxy for the development status of regions and countries. Findings: In 2017, cirrhosis caused more than 1·32 million (95% UI 1·27–1·45) deaths (440 000 [416 000–518 000; 33·3%] in females and 883 000 [838 000–967 000; 66·7%] in males) globally, compared with less than 899 000 (829 000–948 000) deaths in 1990. Deaths due to cirrhosis constituted 2·4% (2·3–2·6) of total deaths globally in 2017 compared with 1·9% (1·8–2·0) in 1990. Despite an increase in the number of deaths, the age-standardised death rate decreased from 21·0 (19·2–22·3) per 100 000 population in 1990 to 16·5 (15·8–18·1) per 100 000 population in 2017. Sub-Saharan Africa had the highest age-standardised death rate among GBD super-regions fo
- Published
- 2020