1. Risk assessment tools for bleeding in patients with unprovoked venous thromboembolism: an analysis of the PLATO-VTE study.
- Author
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Guman NAM, Becking AL, Weijers SS, Kraaijpoel N, Mulder FI, Carrier M, Jara-Palomares L, Di Nisio M, Ageno W, Beyer-Westendorf J, Klok FA, Vanassche T, Otten JMMB, Cosmi B, Peters MJL, Wolde MT, Delluc A, Sanchez-Lopez V, Porreca E, Bossuyt PMM, Gerdes VEA, Büller HR, van Es N, and Kamphuisen PW
- Subjects
- Humans, Risk Assessment, Middle Aged, Male, Female, Prospective Studies, Aged, Risk Factors, Decision Support Techniques, Time Factors, Predictive Value of Tests, Adult, Treatment Outcome, Hemorrhage diagnosis, Hemorrhage chemically induced, Venous Thromboembolism diagnosis, Venous Thromboembolism drug therapy, Venous Thromboembolism epidemiology, Anticoagulants therapeutic use, Anticoagulants adverse effects
- Abstract
Background: Guidelines suggest indefinite anticoagulation after unprovoked venous thromboembolism (VTE) unless the bleeding risk is high, yet there is no consistent guidance on assessing bleeding risk., Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of 5 bleeding risk tools (RIETE, VTE-BLEED, CHAP, VTE-PREDICT, and ABC-Bleeding)., Methods: PLATO-VTE, a prospective cohort study, included patients aged ≥40 years with a first unprovoked VTE. Risk estimates were calculated at VTE diagnosis and after 3 months of treatment. Primary outcome was clinically relevant bleeding, as per International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria, during 24-month follow-up. Discrimination was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Patients were classified as having a "high risk" and "non-high risk" of bleeding according to predefined thresholds; bleeding risk in both groups was compared by hazard ratios (HRs)., Results: Of 514 patients, 38 (7.4%) had an on-treatment bleeding. AUROCs were 0.58 (95% CI, 0.48-0.68) for ABC-Bleeding, 0.56 (95% CI, 0.46-0.66) for RIETE, 0.53 (95% CI, 0.43-0.64) for CHAP, 0.50 (95% CI, 0.41-0.59) for VTE-BLEED, and 0.50 (95% CI, 0.40-0.60) for VTE-PREDICT. The proportion of high-risk patients ranged from 1.4% with RIETE to 36.9% with VTE-BLEED. The bleeding incidence in the high-risk groups ranged from 0% with RIETE to 13.0% with ABC-Bleeding, and in the non-high-risk groups, it varied from 7.7% with ABC-Bleeding to 9.6% with RIETE. HRs ranged from 0.93 (95% CI, 0.46-1.9) for VTE-BLEED to 1.67 (95% CI, 0.86-3.2) for ABC-Bleeding. Recalibration at 3-month follow-up did not alter the results., Conclusion: In this cohort, discrimination of currently available bleeding risk tools was poor. These data do not support their use in patients with unprovoked VTE., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interests N.A.M.G., A.-M.L.B., S.S.W., N.K., F.I.M., M.J.L.P., M.t.W, J.M.M.B.O., E.P., V.S.-L., and P.M.M.B. have no competing interests to disclose. M.C. has received research funding from BMS, Pfizer, and LEO Pharma. He has also received Honoria from Bayer, BMS, Pfizer, Servier, and LEO Pharma. A.D. has received research funding from BMS-Pfizer and Honoria from Bayer, BMS-Pfizer, Servier, and LEO Pharma. L.J.-P. has received research funding from LEO Pharma and MSD. He has also received honoraria from Bayer Hispania, Actelion, Pfizer, Rovi, LEO Pharma, Menarini, and MSD. M.D. has received research funding from LEO Pharma and honoraria and consultancy fees from Daiichi Sankyo, Bayer, BMS-Pfizer, Sanofi, and LEO Pharma outside the submitted work. W.A. has received research funding from Bayer and honoraria from Bayer, BMS-Pfizer, Aspen, Sanofi, Janssen, Werfen, LEO Pharma, and Portola. J.B.-W. has received research funding from Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Pfizer, and Portola/Alexion. He has also received honoraria from Bayer, Daiichi Sankyo, Pfizer, and Portola/Alexion. T.V. has served as a speaker and/or advisor for Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi Sankyo, BMS/Pfizer, Bayer, Sanofi, and LEO Pharma. F.A.K. reports research grants from Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, MSD, Daiichi Sankyo, Actelion, the Dutch Thrombosis Association, and the Dutch Heart foundation. B.C. reports speakers’ fees from Daiichi Sankyo and Sanofi. V.E.A.G. reports lecture fees from Novo Nordisk, and funding of studies by Dutch Thrombosis Foundation, AstraZeneca, and Zambon. H.B. reports consulting fees from Daiichi Sankyo, Bayer Healthcare, BMS/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Portola, Medscape, Eli Lilly, Sanofi Aventis, and Ionis. N.v.E. has received advisory board honoraria from Daiichi Sankyo, Bayer, and LEO Pharma, which were transferred to his institute. P.W.K. received research grants from Daiichi Sankyo and Roche Diagnostics., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Inc.)
- Published
- 2024
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