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The vast majority of products we use daily are supplied to us through complex global supply chains that transform raw materials into finished goods and distribute them to end consumers. This paper proposes a modeling methodology for dynamic competitive supply chains based on game theory and model predictive control. We model each manufacturer in the supply chain as a rational utility maximizing agent that selects their actions by finding an open-loop generalized Nash equilibrium of a multi-stage game. To react to competitors and the state of the market, every agent re-plans their actions in a receding horizon manner based on estimates of market and supplier parameters thereby creating an approximate closed-loop equilibrium policy. We demonstrate through numerical simulations that this modeling approach is computationally tractable and generates economically interpretable behaviors in a variety of settings such as demand spikes, supply shocks, and information asymmetry.

Increasing urbanization and exacerbation of sustainability goals threaten the operational efficiency of current transportation systems and confront cities with complex choices with huge impact on future generations. At the same time, the rise of private, profit-maximizing Mobility Service Providers leveraging public resources, such as ride-hailing companies, entangles current regulation schemes. This calls for tools to study such complex socio-technical problems. In this paper, we provide a game-theoretic framework to study interactions between stakeholders of the mobility ecosystem, modeling regulatory aspects such as taxes and public transport prices, as well as operational matters for Mobility Service Providers such as pricing strategy, fleet sizing, and vehicle design. Our framework is modular and can readily accommodate different types of Mobility Service Providers, actions of municipalities, and low-level models of customers choices in the mobility system. Through both an analytical and a numerical case study for the city of Berlin, Germany, we showcase the ability of our framework to compute equilibria of the problem, to study fundamental tradeoffs, and to inform stakeholders and policy makers on the effects of interventions. Among others, we show tradeoffs between customers satisfaction, environmental impact, and public revenue, as well as the impact of strategic decisions on these metrics., Comment: 8 pages, 6 figures, Published in the Proceedings of the 2021 IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems (Awarded the Best Paper Award - First Place)