Search

Your search keyword '"Gualdi A."' showing total 4,711 results
Start Over Author "Gualdi A."
4,711 results on '"Gualdi A."'

1. Utilising Narrative Medicine to Identify Key Factors Affecting Quality of Life in Dry Eye Disease: An Italian Multicentre Study

Author

Aragona, Pasquale, Barabino, Stefano, Akbas, Ertugrul, Ryan, Robert, Landini, Linda, Marini, Maria G., Fiorencis, Alessandra, Cappuccio, Antonietta, Leonardi, Andrea, Vercesi, Antonio, Frisina, Rino, Bandello, Francesco, Berchicci, Luigi, Aragona, Emanuela, Semeraro, Francesco, Romano, Vito, Di Carlo, Igor, Reibaldi, Michele, Ghilardi, Andrea, De Cillà, Stefano, Marchini, Giorgio, Tognetto, Daniele, Fontana, Luigi, Versura, Piera, D’Eliseo, Domenico, Mularoni, Alessandro, Cagini, Carlo, Mencucci, Rita, Coassin, Marco, Di Zazzo, Antonio, Rizzo, Stanislao, Fasciani, Romina, Gualdi, Luca, Cusumano, Andrea, Spadea, Leopoldo, Cantera, Emily, Scorcia, Vincenzo, Giannaccare, Giuseppe, Rosa, Pasquale, Troisi, Salvatore, Provenzano, Antonio, Simonelli, Francesca, Marullo, Michele, Ciracì, Lorenza, Costagliola, Ciro, Primavera, Vito, Gagliano, Caterina, Pinna, Antonio, Giovanni, Alessio, Boscia, Francesco, Gelso, Aldo, Mastropasqua, Leonardo, Bonfiglio, Enza, Rolando, Maurizio, and Bonini, Stefano

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

3. A Framework for Joint Verification and Evaluation of Seasonal Climate Services across Socioeconomic Sectors

Author

Crochemore, Louise, Materia, Stefano, Delpiazzo, Elisa, Bagli, Stefano, Borrelli, Andrea, Bosello, Francesco, Contreras, Eva, Valle, Francesco Dalla, Gualdi, Silvio, Herrero, Javier, Larosa, Francesca, Lopez, Rafael, Luzzi, Valerio, Mazzoli, Paolo, Montani, Andrea, Moreno, Isabel, Pavan, Valentina, Pechlivanidis, Ilias, Tornei, Fausto, Villani, Giulia, Photiadou, Christiana, Polo, Maria Jose, and Mysiak, Jaroslav

Subjects
Decision analysis -- Methods, Weather forecasting -- Analysis, Hydrology -- Models, Climate models -- Usage, Business, Earth sciences
Abstract

Assessing the information provided by coproduced climate services is a timely challenge, given the continuously evolving scientific knowledge and its increasing translation to address societal needs. Here, we propose a joint evaluation and verification framework to assess prototype services that provide seasonal forecast information based on the experience from the Horizon 2020 (H2020) Climate forecasts enabled knowledge services (CLARA) project. The quality and value of the forecasts generated by CLARA services were first assessed for five climate services utilizing the Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecasts and responding to knowledge needs from the water resources management, agriculture, and energy production sectors. This joint forecast verification and service evaluation highlights various skills and values across physical variables, services, and sectors, as well as a need to bridge the gap between verification and user-oriented evaluation. We provide lessons learned based on the service developers' and users' experience and recommendations to consortia that may want to deploy such verification and evaluation exercises. Last, we formalize a framework for joint verification and evaluation in service development, following a transdisciplinary (from data purveyors to service users) and interdisciplinary chain (climate, hydrology, economics, and decision analysis). SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Tools to communicate climate-related information to users, typically dam managers, irrigation consortia, or energy producers, are fast evolving to answer societal needs. It is crucial to estimate the quality of the provided information, along with economic, environmental, and/or societal gains. Here, we exemplify how to assess information quality and potential gains in five services that provide data and information for hydropower, solar power, irrigation, and water reservoirs in Europe and South America. Based on this work, we recommend 1) service developers to well anticipate such quality and value assessments, due to the number of actors to be involved; 2) flexibility when screening how to quantify quality and gain to account for decision contexts; and 3) sustained funding or collaborating platforms to ensure the iterative coevaluation process. KEYWORDS: Forecast verification/skill; Seasonal forecasting; Climate services; Economic value, 1. Introduction Climate and water services convey climate-relevant knowledge and information (processed, structured, and well-communicated data interpreted for decision-making contexts) for horizons ranging from weeks to decades ahead. Climate services, [...]

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

4. Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy

Author

C. G. Jones, F. Adloff, B. B. B. Booth, P. M. Cox, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, K. Frieler, H. T. Hewitt, H. A. Jeffery, S. Joussaume, T. Koenigk, B. N. Lawrence, E. O'Rourke, M. J. Roberts, B. M. Sanderson, R. Séférian, S. Somot, P. L. Vidale, D. van Vuuren, M. Acosta, M. Bentsen, R. Bernardello, R. Betts, E. Blockley, J. Boé, T. Bracegirdle, P. Braconnot, V. Brovkin, C. Buontempo, F. Doblas-Reyes, M. Donat, I. Epicoco, P. Falloon, S. Fiore, T. Frölicher, N. S. Fučkar, M. J. Gidden, H. F. Goessling, R. G. Graversen, S. Gualdi, J. M. Gutiérrez, T. Ilyina, D. Jacob, C. D. Jones, M. Juckes, E. Kendon, E. Kjellström, R. Knutti, J. Lowe, M. Mizielinski, P. Nassisi, M. Obersteiner, P. Regnier, R. Roehrig, D. Salas y Mélia, C.-F. Schleussner, M. Schulz, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray, H. Thiemann, R. A. Wood, S. Yang, and S. Zaehle

Subjects
Science, Geology, QE1-996.5, Dynamic and structural geology, QE500-639.5
Abstract

We review how the international modelling community, encompassing integrated assessment models, global and regional Earth system and climate models, and impact models, has worked together over the past few decades to advance understanding of Earth system change and its impacts on society and the environment and thereby support international climate policy. We go on to recommend a number of priority research areas for the coming decade, a timescale that encompasses a number of newly starting international modelling activities, as well as the IPCC Seventh Assessment Report (AR7) and the second UNFCCC Global Stocktake. Progress in these priority areas will significantly advance our understanding of Earth system change and its impacts, increasing the quality and utility of science support to climate policy. We emphasize the need for continued improvement in our understanding of, and ability to simulate, the coupled Earth system and the impacts of Earth system change. There is an urgent need to investigate plausible pathways and emission scenarios that realize the Paris climate targets – for example, pathways that overshoot 1.5 or 2 °C global warming, before returning to these levels at some later date. Earth system models need to be capable of thoroughly assessing such warming overshoots – in particular, the efficacy of mitigation measures, such as negative CO2 emissions, in reducing atmospheric CO2 and driving global cooling. An improved assessment of the long-term consequences of stabilizing climate at 1.5 or 2 °C above pre-industrial temperatures is also required. We recommend Earth system models run overshoot scenarios in CO2-emission mode to more fully represent coupled climate–carbon-cycle feedbacks and, wherever possible, interactively simulate other key Earth system phenomena at risk of rapid change during overshoot. Regional downscaling and impact models should use forcing data from these simulations, so impact and regional climate projections cover a more complete range of potential responses to a warming overshoot. An accurate simulation of the observed, historical record remains a fundamental requirement of models, as does accurate simulation of key metrics, such as the effective climate sensitivity and the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions. For adaptation, a key demand is improved guidance on potential changes in climate extremes and the modes of variability these extremes develop within. Such improvements will most likely be realized through a combination of increased model resolution, improvement of key model parameterizations, and enhanced representation of important Earth system processes, combined with targeted use of new artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques. We propose a deeper collaboration across such efforts over the coming decade. With respect to sampling future uncertainty, increased collaboration between approaches that emphasize large model ensembles and those focussed on statistical emulation is required. We recommend an increased focus on high-impact–low-likelihood (HILL) outcomes – in particular, the risk and consequences of exceeding critical tipping points during a warming overshoot and the potential impacts arising from this. For a comprehensive assessment of the impacts of Earth system change, including impacts arising directly as a result of climate mitigation actions, it is important that spatially detailed, disaggregated information used to generate future scenarios in integrated assessment models be available for use in impact models. Conversely, there is a need to develop methods that enable potential societal responses to projected Earth system change to be incorporated into scenario development. The new models, simulations, data, and scientific advances proposed in this article will not be possible without long-term development and maintenance of a robust, globally connected infrastructure ecosystem. This system must be easily accessible and useable by modelling communities across the world, allowing the global research community to be fully engaged in developing and delivering new scientific knowledge to support international climate policy.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

5. Utilising Narrative Medicine to Identify Key Factors Affecting Quality of Life in Dry Eye Disease: An Italian Multicentre Study

Author

Pasquale Aragona, Stefano Barabino, Ertugrul Akbas, Robert Ryan, Linda Landini, Maria G. Marini, Alessandra Fiorencis, Antonietta Cappuccio, Andrea Leonardi, Antonio Vercesi, Rino Frisina, Francesco Bandello, Luigi Berchicci, Emanuela Aragona, Francesco Semeraro, Vito Romano, Igor Di Carlo, Michele Reibaldi, Andrea Ghilardi, Stefano De Cillà, Giorgio Marchini, Daniele Tognetto, Luigi Fontana, Piera Versura, Domenico D’Eliseo, Alessandro Mularoni, Carlo Cagini, Rita Mencucci, Marco Coassin, Antonio Di Zazzo, Stanislao Rizzo, Romina Fasciani, Luca Gualdi, Andrea Cusumano, Leopoldo Spadea, Emily Cantera, Vincenzo Scorcia, Giuseppe Giannaccare, Pasquale Rosa, Salvatore Troisi, Antonio Provenzano, Francesca Simonelli, Michele Marullo, Lorenza Ciracì, Ciro Costagliola, Vito Primavera, Caterina Gagliano, Antonio Pinna, Alessio Giovanni, Francesco Boscia, Aldo Gelso, Leonardo Mastropasqua, Enza Bonfiglio, Maurizio Rolando, and Stefano Bonini

Subjects
Dry eye disease, Patient experience, Narrative medicine, Quality of life, Coping strategies, Ophthalmology, RE1-994
Abstract

Abstract Introduction Despite an improved understanding of its pathogenesis, dry eye disease (DED) remains relatively underestimated and its treatment challenging. A better alignment between the clinical evaluation and the patient self-assessment also requires capturing the whole patient experience of DED. This project aimed to unveil this experience through narrative medicine (NM). Methods The project involved 38 expert centres in Italy and one in San Marino, targeting adult patients with DED, their informal caregivers and their treating ophthalmologists. Written narratives and sociodemographic and quality of life (QoL)-related data were anonymously collected through the project’s webpage. Narratives were analysed through MAXQDA (VERBI Software, Berlin, Germany), NM classifications and content analysis. Results A total of 171 patients with DED, 37 informal caregivers and 81 ophthalmologists participated in the research. DED was defined as a disabling condition by 19% of patients and 35% of caregivers; 70% of patients reported that a therapeutic alliance is an integral part of DED treatment and 32% hope for more effective therapies. Forty-four per cent of patients assessed their own QoL as good; however, DED emerged as importantly impacting work performance and social events. DED physical, emotional and economic burden and the cruciality of a trusting care relationship represent the main themes that emerged across all narratives, while empathy and effective treatment are among the factors favouring coping with DED. Conclusion This project marked a pioneering initiative investigating the lived experience of patients with DED through NM, simultaneously involving all viewpoints involved in the care pathway. NM enabled the unveiling of factors favouring the ability to cope with DED and its associated QoL implications and provided valuable insights to improve the therapeutic alliance.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

7. Limit heights and special values of the Riemann zeta function

Author

Gualdi, Roberto and Sombra, Martín

Subjects
Mathematics - Number Theory, Mathematics - Algebraic Geometry, Primary 11G50, Secondary 11M06, 14G40
Abstract

We study the distribution of the height of the intersection between the projective line defined by the linear polynomial $x_{0}+x_{1}+x_{2}$ and its translate by a torsion point. We show that for a strict sequence of torsion points, the corresponding heights converge to a real number that is a rational multiple of a quotient of special values of the Riemann zeta function. We also determine the range of these heights, characterize the extremal cases, and study their limit for sequences of torsion points that are strict in proper algebraic subgroups. In addition, we interpret our main result from the viewpoint of Arakelov geometry, showing that for a strict sequence of torsion points the limit of the corresponding heights coincides with an Arakelov height of the cycle of the projective plane over the integers defined by the same linear polynomial. This is a particular case of a conjectural asymptotic version of the arithmetic B\'ezout theorem. Using the interplay between arithmetic and convex objects from the Arakelov geometry of toric varieties, we show that this Arakelov height can be expressed as the mean of a piecewise linear function on the amoeba of the projective line, which in turn can be computed as the aforementioned real number., Comment: 47 pages, 6 figures

Published
2023

8. GEO-FPT: a model of the galaxy bispectrum at mildly non-linear scales

Author

Novell-Masot, Sergi, Gualdi, Davide, Gil-Marín, Héctor, and Verde, Licia

Subjects
Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Abstract

We present GEO-FPT (Geometric Fitted Perturbation Theory), a new model for the galaxy bispectrum anisotropic signal in redshift space, with functional form rooted in perturbation theory. It also models the dependence of the bispectrum with the geometric properties of the triangles in Fourier space, and has a broader regime of validity than state-of-the-art theoretical models based on perturbation theory. We calibrate the free parameters of this model using high-resolution dark matter simulations and perform stringent tests to show that GEO-FPT describes the galaxy bispectrum accurately up to scales of $k\simeq0.12 h{\rm Mpc}^{-1}$ for different cosmological models, as well as for biased tracers of the dark matter field, considering a survey volume of $100$ (Gpc $h^{-1})^3$. In particular, a joint analysis of the power spectrum and bispectrum anisotropic signals, taking into account their full covariance matrix, reveals that the relevant physical quantities -- the BAO peak position (along and across the line-of-sight), and the growth of structure parameters times the amplitude of dark matter fluctuations, $f\sigma_8$-- are recovered in an unbiased way, with an accuracy better than $0.4\%$ and $2\%$ respectively (which is our $2\sigma$ statistical limit of the systematic error estimate). In addition, the bispectrum signal breaks the $f\sigma_8$ degeneracy without detectable bias: $f$ and $\sigma_8$ are recovered with better than $2.7\%$ and $3.8\%$ accuracy respectively (which is our $2\sigma$ statistical limit of the systematic error estimate). GEO-FPT boosts the applicability of the bispectrum signal of galaxy surveys beyond the current limitation of $k\lesssim 0.08\,h$ Mpc$^{-1}$ % and makes the bispectrum a key statistic to unlock the information content from the mildly non-linear regime in the on-going and forthcoming galaxy redshift surveys., Comment: 37 pages, 14 figures. To be submitted to JCAP, comments welcome

Published
2023
Full Text
View/download PDF

9. Septic Shock, Tubular Necrosis, and Central Diabetes Insipidus: A Challenging Syndrome

Author

Gabriele Melegari, Antonio Manenti, Federica Arturi, Eugenia Gualdi, Sonia Filoni, Gabriele Zelent, and Alberto Barbieri

Subjects
Central diabetes insipidus, Campylobacter Upsaliensis, Septic shock, Medical emergencies. Critical care. Intensive care. First aid, RC86-88.9, Medicine
Abstract

Abstract Background The association between septic shock, acute tubular necrosis, and central diabetes insipidus is infrequent: our recent clinical observation invited us to deepen its pathophysiological features. Methods We reported an unusual case report of a young, healthy man with a septic shock, severe dehydration with a hematocrit of 70.6% caused by gastrointestinal infection and refractory renal failure, and persistent polyuria. Results The patient presented severe dehydration, hypovolemic shock with a hematocrit of 70.6%, and acute renal failure. The subsequent laboratory exams demonstrated a gastrointestinal infection of Campylobacter Upsaliensis and Helicobacter pylori. The persistent renal failure and polyuria later 20 days made it mandatory for further investigations. A Magnetic brain Resonance excluded encephalic lesions but demonstrated a posterior pituitary lobe hypointense. Conclusions This cascade of pathological events seems originated from a septic shock: the consequent increase in hematocrit and blood viscosity, estimated double the normal, with severe hypotensive shock correlated, decelerated the microcirculatory blood flow, until a proper blood stasis in the venous system. These factors caused hypoxia and possible venous thromboses, electively affecting the pituitary hypothalamic nuclei and their axons in the post-hypophysis and its portal system.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

12. Bioactive TiO2 Fibers Prepared by Solution Blow Spinning: A Promising Approach for Microbial Control

Author

Tiago Cesar Gimenes, Guilherme Schiavão Padovani, Eloisa Aparecida Carvalho Silva, Higor de Souza Silva, Gabriel Menegolo De Castro Meira, Alex Otávio Sanches, José Antônio Malmonge, Alexandre J. Gualdi, and Fernando R. de Paula

Subjects
TiO2 fibers, solution blow spinning, photocatalytic property, PEO/TiP, Materials of engineering and construction. Mechanics of materials, TA401-492
Abstract

PEO/TiP fibers were obtained using the Solution Blow Spinning (SBS) apparatus and heat treated to produce TiO2 fibers. The morphological and structural characteristics were assessed using SEM and X-ray diffraction. The fibers, with a thickness of 12 μm, showed a change in crystalline structure with heat treatment. At temperatures as low as 800 °C, only the anatase phase was identified, while at 900 °C, both anatase and rutile phases coexisted. The addition of TiP to the polymer matrix reduced the initial breakdown temperature, and the DSC curves showed exothermic peaks due to the amorphous phase transition to TiO2/anatase. The fibers' photocatalytic capacity was tested, revealing that TiO2-fibers in the anatase phase achieved 97% degradation of Rhodamine-B dye in 40 minutes. The study found that the biocide efficacy of TiO2-fibers depends on their heat treatment. Fibers with anatase/rutile or pure rutile phases did not show significant efficiency. However, fibers treated at 600°C with pure anatase phase were more effective in eliminating E. coli and total coliforms. Finally, we can state that the TiO2 fibers obtained in this work using the SBS technique can be used to produce filters to purify water contaminated by pathogens dangerous to human health or even to purify the air.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

14. FE Models of Cold-Formed Steel Panels with Burring Holes for the Seismic Retrofit of Existing Buildings

Author

Gualdi, Michelle, Belleri, Andrea, Labò, Simone, Marini, Alessandra, Sato, Atsushi, di Prisco, Marco, Series Editor, Chen, Sheng-Hong, Series Editor, Vayas, Ioannis, Series Editor, Kumar Shukla, Sanjay, Series Editor, Sharma, Anuj, Series Editor, Kumar, Nagesh, Series Editor, Wang, Chien Ming, Series Editor, Cui, Zhen-Dong, Series Editor, Mazzolani, Federico M., editor, Piluso, Vincenzo, editor, Nastri, Elide, editor, and Formisano, Antonio, editor

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

16. Hospitalisations and fatality due to respiratory diseases according to a national database in Brazil: a longitudinal study

Author

Lucien Peroni Gualdi, Darllane Azevedo Lemos, Luiza Gabriela de Araújo Fonseca, Rencio Bento Florêncio, José Alexandre Barbosa de Almeida, and Illia Nadinne Dantas Florentino Lima

Subjects
Medicine, Diseases of the respiratory system, RC705-779
Abstract

Background Respiratory diseases (RDs) cause millions of hospitalisations and deaths worldwide, resulting in economic and social impacts. Strategies for health promotion and disease prevention based on the epidemiological profile of the population may reduce hospital costs.Aim To characterise hospitalisations and deaths due to RDs in Brazilian adults above 20 years old between 2008 and 2021.Methods This ecological study used secondary data of hospitalisations and deaths due to RDs from the Hospital Information System of the Brazilian Unified Health System between 2008 and 2021. Data were grouped according to region, age group and sex. The period was divided into first (2008–2011), second (2012–2015) and third (2016–2019) quadrennia and one biennium (2020–2021), and all data were analysed using the GraphPad Prism; statistical significance was set at p

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

19. Integrated trispectrum detection from BOSS DR12 NGC CMASS

Author

Gualdi, Davide and Verde, Licia

Subjects
Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Abstract

We present the first detection of the integrated trispectrum ($\mathit{i}$-trispectrum) monopole and quadrupoles signal from BOSS CMASS NGC DR12. Extending the FKP estimators formalism to the Fourier transform of the four-point correlation function, we test shot-noise subtraction, Gaussianity of the i-trispectrum data-vector, significance of the detection and similarity between the signal from the data and from the galaxy mock catalogues used to numerically estimate the covariance matrix. Using scales corresponding to modes from minimum $k_\mathrm{min}=0.03\,h/\mathrm{Mpc}$ to maximum $k_\mathrm{min}=0.15\,h/\mathrm{Mpc}$, we find a detection in terms of distance from the null hypothesis of $(10.4,5.2,8.3,1.1,3.1)$ $\sigma$-intervals for the i-trispectrum monopole and quadrupoles respectively. This quantifies the presence of the physical signal of the four-points statistics on BOSS data. For completeness the same analysis is also performed for power spectrum and bispectrum, both monopoles and quadrupoles., Comment: 17 pages plus appendix, 11 figures, matching published version on JCAP

Published
2022
Full Text
View/download PDF

21. Improving the Theranostic Potential of Magnetic Nanoparticles by Coating with Natural Rubber Latex for Ultrasound, Photoacoustic Imaging, and Magnetic Hyperthermia: An In Vitro Study

Author

Thiago T. Vicente, Saeideh Arsalani, Mateus S. Quiel, Guilherme S. P. Fernandes, Keteryne R. da Silva, Sandra Y. Fukada, Alexandre J. Gualdi, Éder J. Guidelli, Oswaldo Baffa, Antônio A. O. Carneiro, Ana Paula Ramos, and Theo Z. Pavan

Subjects
magnetic nanoparticles, natural rubber latex, theranostics, ultrasound, magnetomotive ultrasound, photoacoustic imaging, Pharmacy and materia medica, RS1-441
Abstract

Background/Objectives: Magnetic nanoparticles (MNPs) have gained attention in theranostics for their ability to combine diagnostic imaging and therapeutic capabilities in a single platform, enhancing targeted treatment and monitoring. Surface coatings are essential for stabilizing MNPs, improving biocompatibility, and preventing oxidation that could compromise their functionality. Natural rubber latex (NRL) offers a promising coating alternative due to its biocompatibility and stability-enhancing properties. While NRL-coated MNPs have shown potential in applications such as magnetic resonance imaging, their effectiveness in theranostics, particularly magnetic hyperthermia (MH) and photoacoustic imaging (PAI), remains underexplored. Methods: In this study, iron oxide nanoparticles were synthesized via coprecipitation, using NRL as the coating agent. The samples were labeled by NRL amount used during synthesis: NRL-100 for 100 μL and NRL-400 for 400 μL. Results: Characterization results showed that NRL-100 and NRL-400 samples exhibited improved stability with zeta potentials of −27 mV and −30 mV, respectively and higher saturation magnetization values of 79 emu/g and 88 emu/g of Fe3O4. Building on these findings, we evaluated the performance of these nanoparticles in biomedical applications, including magnetomotive ultrasound (MMUS), PAI, and MH. NRL-100 and NRL-400 samples showed greater displacements and higher contrast in MMUS than uncoated samples (5, 8, and 9 µm) at 0.5 wt%. In addition, NRL-coated samples demonstrated an improved signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in PAI. SNR values were 24.72 (0.51), 31.44 (0.44), and 33.81 (0.46) dB for the phantoms containing uncoated MNPs, NRL-100, and NRL-400, respectively. Calorimetric measurements for MH confirmed the potential of NRL-coated MNPs as efficient heat-generating agents, showing values of 43 and 40 W/g for NRL-100 and NRL-400, respectively. Conclusions: Overall, NRL-coated MNPs showed great promise as contrast agents in MMUS and PAI imaging, as well as in MH applications.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

28. Skill assessment of seasonal forecasts of ocean variables

Author

Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda, Ronan McAdam, Simona Masina, Michael Mayer, Retish Senan, Eric de Bosisséson, and Silvio Gualdi

Subjects
seasonal forecasts, skill, trend, essential climate/ocean variables, SST, sea level, Science, General. Including nature conservation, geographical distribution, QH1-199.5
Abstract

There is growing demand for seasonal forecast products for marine applications. The availability of consistent and sufficiently long observational records of ocean variables permits the assessment of the spatial distribution of the skill of ocean variables from seasonal forecasts. Here we use state-of-the-art temporal records of sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface height (SSH) and upper 300m ocean heat content (OHC) to quantify the distribution of skill, up to 2 seasons ahead, of two operational seasonal forecasting systems contributing to the seasonal multi-model of the Copernicus Climate Change Services (C3S). This study presents the spatial distribution of the skill of the seasonal forecast ensemble mean in terms of anomaly correlation and root mean square error and compares it to the persistence and climatological benchmarks. The comparative assessment of the skill among variables sheds light on sources/limits of predictability at seasonal time scales, as well as the nature of model errors. Beyond these standard verification metrics, we also evaluate the ability of the models to represent the observed long-term trends. Results show that long-term trends contribute to the skill of seasonal forecasts. Although the forecasts capture the long-term trends in general, some regional aspects remain challenging. Part of these errors can be attributed to specific aspects of the ocean initialization, but others, such as the overestimation of the warming in the Eastern Pacific are also influenced by model error. Skill gains can be obtained by improving the trend representation in future forecasting systems. In the meantime, a forecast calibration procedure that corrects the linear trends can produce substantial skill gains. The results show that calibrated seasonal forecasts beat both the climatological and persistence benchmark almost at every location for all initial dates and lead times. Results demonstrate the value of the seasonal forecasts for marine applications and highlight the importance of representing the decadal variability and trends in ocean heat content and sea level.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

29. Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: a pooled analysis of 3663 population-representative studies with 222 million children, adolescents, and adults

Author

Phelps, Nowell H, Singleton, Rosie K, Zhou, Bin, Heap, Rachel A, Mishra, Anu, Bennett, James E, Paciorek, Christopher J, Lhoste, Victor PF, Carrillo-Larco, Rodrigo M, Stevens, Gretchen A, Rodriguez-Martinez, Andrea, Bixby, Honor, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Rayner, Archie W, Barradas-Pires, Ana, Cowan, Melanie J, Savin, Stefan, Riley, Leanne M, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A, Baker, Jennifer L, Barkat, Amina, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Branca, Francesco, Caixeta, Roberta B, Cuschieri, Sarah, Farzadfar, Farshad, Ganapathy, Shubash, Ikeda, Nayu, Iotova, Violeta, Kengne, Andre P, Khang, Young-Ho, Laxmaiah, Avula, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Ma, Jun, Mbanya, Jean Claude N, Miranda, J Jaime, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Rodríguez-Artalejo, Fernando, Sorić, Maroje, Turley, Maria, Wang, Limin, Webster-Kerr, Karen, Aarestrup, Julie, Abarca-Gómez, Leandra, Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen, Abdeen, Ziad A, Abdrakhmanova, Shynar, Abdul Ghaffar, Suhaila, Abdul Rahim, Hanan F, Abdurrahmonova, Zulfiya, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M, Abubakar Garba, Jamila, Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adam, Ishag, Adamczyk, Marzena, Adams, Robert J, Adu-Afarwuah, Seth, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Afsana, Kaosar, Afzal, Shoaib, Agbor, Valirie N, Agdeppa, Imelda A, Aghazadeh-Attari, Javad, Ågren, Åsa, Aguenaou, Hassan, Agyemang, Charles, Ahmad, Mohamad Hasnan, Ahmad, Noor Ani, Ahmadi, Ali, Ahmadi, Naser, Ahmadi, Nastaran, Ahmed, Imran, Ahmed, Soheir H, Ahrens, Wolfgang, Aitmurzaeva, Gulmira, Ajlouni, Kamel, Al-Hazzaa, Hazzaa M, Al-Hinai, Halima, Al-Lahou, Badreya, Al-Lawati, Jawad A, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Al Asfoor, Deena, Al Hourani, Huda M, Al Qaoud, Nawal M, Alarouj, Monira, AlBuhairan, Fadia, AlDhukair, Shahla, Aldwairji, Maryam A, Alexius, Sylvia, Ali, Mohamed M, Alieva, Anna V, Alkandari, Abdullah, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alkhatib, Buthaina M, Allin, Kristine, Alomary, Shaker A, Alomirah, Husam F, Alshangiti, Arwa M, Alvarez-Pedrerol, Mar, Aly, Eman, Amarapurkar, Deepak N, Amiano Etxezarreta, Pilar, Amoah, John, Amougou, Norbert, Amouyel, Philippe, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A, Androutsos, Odysseas, Ängquist, Lars, Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, Anufrieva, Elena, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Araújo, Joana, Ariansen, Inger, Aris, Tahir, Arku, Raphael E, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Aryal, Krishna K, Assefa, Nega, Aspelund, Thor, Assah, Felix K, Assembekov, Batyrbek, Assunção, Maria Cecília F, Aung, May Soe, Aurélio de Valois, Correia Júnior Marco, Auvinen, Juha, Avdičová, Mária, Avi, Shina, Azad, Kishwar, Azevedo, Ana, Azimi-Nezhad, Mohsen, Azizi, Fereidoun, Babu, Bontha V, Bacopoulou, Flora, Bæksgaard Jørgensen, Maja, Baharudin, Azli, Bahijri, Suhad, Bajramovic, Izet, Bakacs, Marta, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Balanova, Yulia, Bamoshmoosh, Mohamed, Banach, Maciej, Banegas, José R, Baran, Joanna, Baran, Rafał, Barbagallo, Carlo M, Barbosa Filho, Valter, Barceló, Alberto, Baretić, Maja, Barnoya, Joaquin, Barrera, Lena, Barreto, Marta, Barros, Aluisio JD, Barros, Mauro Virgílio Gomes, Bartosiewicz, Anna, Basit, Abdul, Bastos, Joao Luiz, Bata, Iqbal, Batieha, Anwar M, Batista, Aline P, Batista, Rosangela L, Battakova, Zhamilya, Baur, Louise A, Bayauli, Pascal M, Beaglehole, Robert, Bel-Serrat, Silvia, Belavendra, Antonisamy, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Benedek, Theodora, Benedics, Judith, Benet, Mikhail, Benitez Rolandi, Gilda Estela, Benzeval, Michaela, Bere, Elling, Berger, Nicolas, Bergh, Ingunn Holden, Berhane, Yemane, Berkinbayev, Salim, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bernotiene, Gailute, Berrios Carrasola, Ximena, Bettiol, Heloísa, Beutel, Manfred E, Beybey, Augustin F, Bezerra, Jorge, Bhagyalaxmi, Aroor, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K, Bi, Hongsheng, Bi, Yufang, Bia, Daniel, Biasch, Katia, Bika Lele, Elysée Claude, Bikbov, Mukharram M, Bista, Bihungum, Bjelica, Dusko J, Bjerregaard, Anne A, Bjerregaard, Peter, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B, Björkelund, Cecilia, Bloch, Katia V, Blokstra, Anneke, Blychfeld Magnazu, Moran, Bo, Simona, Bobak, Martin, Boddy, Lynne M, Boehm, Bernhard O, Boer, Jolanda MA, Boggia, Jose G, Bogova, Elena, Boissonnet, Carlos P, Bojesen, Stig E, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Bongard, Vanina, Bonilla-Vargas, Alice, Bopp, Matthias, Borghs, Herman, Botomba, Steve, Bourne, Rupert RA, Bovet, Pascal, Boymatova, Khadichamo, Braeckevelt, Lien, Braeckman, Lutgart, Bragt, Marjolijn CE, Braithwaite, Tasanee, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Breda, João, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M, Brian, Garry R, Briceño, Yajaira, Brinduse, Lacramioara, Bringolf-Isler, Bettina, Brito, Miguel, Brophy, Sinead, Brug, Johannes, Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Buoncristiano, Marta, Burazeri, Genc, Burns, Con, Cabrera de León, Antonio, Cacciottolo, Joseph, Cai, Hui, Cama, Tilema, Cameron, Christine, Camolas, José, Can, Günay, Cândido, Ana Paula c, Cañete, Felicia, Capanzana, Mario V, Čapková, Naděžda, Capuano, Eduardo, Capuano, Rocco, Capuano, Vincenzo, Cardol, Marloes, Cardoso, Viviane C, Carlsson, Axel C, Carmuega, Esteban, Carvalho, Joana, Casajús, José A, Casanueva, Felipe F, Casas, Maribel, Celikcan, Ertugrul, Censi, Laura, Cervantes-Loaiza, Marvin, Cesar, Juraci A, Chamnan, Parinya, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chan, Angelique, Chan, Queenie, Charchar, Fadi J, Charles, Marie-Aline, Chaturvedi, Himanshu K, Chaturvedi, Nish, Che Abdul Rahim, Norsyamlina, Chee, Miao Li, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Huashuai, Chen, Long-Sheng, Chen, Shuohua, Chen, Zhengming, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Cheng, Yiling J, Cheraghian, Bahman, Chetrit, Angela, Chikova-Iscener, Ekaterina, Chinapaw, Mai JM, Chinnock, Anne, Chiolero, Arnaud, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Chirita-Emandi, Adela, Chirlaque, María-Dolores, Cho, Belong, Christensen, Kaare, Christofaro, Diego G, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Cilia, Michelle, Cinteza, Eliza, Cirillo, Massimo, Claessens, Frank, Clare, Philip, Clarke, Janine, Clays, Els, Cohen, Emmanuel, Cojocaru, Cosmin R, Colorado-Yohar, Sandra, Compañ-Gabucio, Laura-María, Concin, Hans, Confortin, Susana C, Cooper, Cyrus, Coppinger, Tara C, Corpeleijn, Eva, Cortés, Lilia Yadira, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Craig, Cora L, Crampin, Amelia C, Cross, Amanda J, Crujeiras, Ana B, Cruz, Juan J, Csányi, Tamás, Csilla, Semánová, Cucu, Alexandra M, Cui, Liufu, Cureau, Felipe V, Czenczek-Lewandowska, Ewelina, D'Arrigo, Graziella, d'Orsi, Eleonora, da Silva, Alanna G, Dacica, Liliana, Dahm, Christina C, Dallongeville, Jean, Damasceno, Albertino, Damsgaard, Camilla T, Dankner, Rachel, Dantoft, Thomas M, Dasgupta, Parasmani, Dastgiri, Saeed, Dauchet, Luc, Davletov, Kairat, de Assis Guedes de Vasconcelos, Francisco, de Assis, Maria Alice Altenburg, De Backer, Guy, De Bacquer, Dirk, De Bacquer, Jaco, de Bont, Jeroen, De Curtis, Amalia, de Fragas Hinnig, Patrícia, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, De Miguel-Etayo, Pilar, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Duarte de Oliveira, Paula, De Ridder, David, De Ridder, Karin, de Rooij, Susanne R, de Sá, Ana Carolina MGN, De Smedt, Delphine, Deepa, Mohan, Deev, Alexander D, DeGennaro, Vincent Jr, Delisle, Hélène, Delpeuch, Francis, Demarest, Stefaan, Dennison, Elaine, Dereń, Katarzyna, Deschamps, Valérie, Devrishov, Ruslan D, Dhimal, Meghnath, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Dias-da-Costa, Juvenal Soares, Díaz-Sánchez, María Elena, Diaz, Alejandro, Díaz Fernández, Pedro, Díez Ripollés, María Pilar, Dika, Zivka, Djalalinia, Shirin, Djordjic, Visnja, Do, Ha TP, Dobson, Annette J, Dominguez, Liria, Donati, Maria Benedetta, Donfrancesco, Chiara, Dong, Guanghui, Dong, Yanhui, Donoso, Silvana P, Döring, Angela, Dorobantu, Maria, Dorosty, Ahmad Reza, Dörr, Marcus, Doua, Kouamelan, Dragano, Nico, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Shufa, Duan, Jia Li, Duante, Charmaine A, Duboz, Priscilla, Duleva, Vesselka L, Dulskiene, Virginija, Dumith, Samuel C, Dushpanova, Anar, Dwyer, Terence, Dyussupova, Azhar, Dzerve, Vilnis, Dziankowska-Zaborszczyk, Elzbieta, Ebrahimi, Narges, Echeverría, Guadalupe, Eddie, Ricky, Eftekhar, Ebrahim, Efthymiou, Vasiliki, Egbagbe, Eruke E, Eggertsen, Robert, Eghtesad, Sareh, Eiben, Gabriele, Ekelund, Ulf, El-Khateeb, Mohammad, El Ammari, Laila, El Ati, Jalila, Eldemire-Shearer, Denise, Elliott, Paul, Enang, Ofem, Endevelt, Ronit, Engle-Stone, Reina, Erasmus, Rajiv T, Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Eriksson, Johan G, Escobedo-de la Peña, Jorge, Eslami, Saeid, Esmaeili, Ali, Evans, Alun, Evans, Roger G, Faeh, David, Fagherazzi, Guy, Fakhradiyev, Ildar, Fakhretdinova, Albina A, Fall, Caroline H, Faramarzi, Elnaz, Farjam, Mojtaba, Farrugia Sant'Angelo, Victoria, Farzi, Yosef, Fattahi, Mohammad Reza, Fawwad, Asher, Fawzi, Wafaie W, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J, Ferguson, Trevor S, Fernandes, Romulo A, Fernández-Bergés, Daniel, Ferrante, Daniel, Ferrao, Thomas, Ferrari, Gerson, Ferrari, Marika, Ferrario, Marco M, Ferreccio, Catterina, Ferreira, Haroldo S, Ferrer, Eldridge, Ferrieres, Jean, Figueiró, Thamara Hubler, Fijalkowska, Anna, Fink, Günther, Fisberg, Mauro, Fischer, Krista, Foo, Leng Huat, Forsner, Maria, Fottrell, Edward F, Fouad, Heba M, Francis, Damian K, Franco, Maria do Carmo, Fras, Zlatko, Fraser, Brooklyn, Frontera, Guillermo, Fuchs, Flavio D, Fuchs, Sandra C, Fujiati, Isti I, Fujita, Yuki, Fumihiko, Matsuda, Furdela, Viktoriya, Furusawa, Takuro, Gabriela, Stefan Adela, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Gafencu, Mihai, Galán Cuesta, Manuel, Galbarczyk, Andrzej, Galcheva, Sonya V, Galenkamp, Henrike, Galeone, Daniela, Galfo, Myriam, Galvano, Fabio, Gao, Jingli, Gao, Pei, Garcia-de-la-Hera, Manoli, García Mérida, María José, García Solano, Marta, Gareta, Dickman, Garnett, Sarah P, Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gaya, Adroaldo Cesar Araujo, Gaya, Anelise Reis, Gazzinelli, Andrea, Gehring, Ulrike, Geiger, Harald, Geleijnse, Johanna M, George, Ronnie, Gerdts, Eva, Ghaderi, Ebrahim, Ghamari, Seyyed-Hadi, Ghanbari, Ali, Ghasemi, Erfan, Gheorghe-Fronea, Oana-Florentina, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Gieger, Christian, Gill, Tiffany K, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Gironella, Glen, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gkiouras, Konstantinos, Glushkova, Natalya, Godara, Ramesh, Godos, Justyna, Gogen, Sibel, Goldberg, Marcel, Goltzman, David, Gómez, Georgina, Gómez Gómez, Jesús Humberto, Gomez, Luis F, Gómez, Santiago F, Gomula, Aleksandra, Gonçalves Cordeiro da Silva, Bruna, Gonçalves, Helen, Gonçalves, Mauer, González-Alvarez, Ana D, Gonzalez-Chica, David A, González-Gil, Esther M, Gonzalez-Gross, Marcela, González-Leon, Margot, González-Rivas, Juan P, González-Villalpando, Clicerio, González-Villalpando, María-Elena, Gonzalez, Angel R, Gottrand, Frederic, Graça, Antonio Pedro, Grafnetter, Dušan, Grajda, Aneta, Grammatikopoulou, Maria G, Gregg, Edward W, Gregor, Ronald D, Gregório, Maria João, Grøholt, Else Karin, Grøntved, Anders, Grosso, Giuseppe, Gruden, Gabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guajardo, Viviana, Gualdi-Russo, Emanuela, Guallar-Castillón, Pilar, Gualtieri, Andrea, Gudmundsson, Elias F, Gudnason, Vilmundur, Guerchet, Maëlenn, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L, Gujral, Unjali P, Gulliford, Martin C, Gunnlaugsdottir, Johanna, Gunter, Marc J, Guo, Xiu-Hua, Guo, Yin, Gupta, Prakash C, Gupta, Rajeev, Gureje, Oye, Gurinović, Mirjana A, Gutiérrez González, Enrique, Gutierrez, Laura, Gutzwiller, Felix, Gwee, Xinyi, Ha, Seongjun, Hadaegh, Farzad, Hadjigeorgiou, Charalambos A, Haghshenas, Rosa, Hakimi, Hamid, Halkjær, Jytte, Hambleton, Ian R, Hamzeh, Behrooz, Hanekom, Willem A, Hange, Dominique, Hanif, Abu AM, Hantunen, Sari, Hao, Jie, Hardman, Carla Menêses, Hardy, Louise, Hari Kumar, Rachakulla, Harmer Lassen, Tina, Harooni, Javad, Hashemi-Shahri, Seyed Mohammad, Hassapidou, Maria, Hata, Jun, Haugsgjerd, Teresa, Hayes, Alison J, He, Jiang, He, Yuan, He, Yuna, Heidinger-Felső, Regina, Heier, Margit, Heinen, Mirjam, Hejgaard, Tatjana, Hendriks, Marleen Elisabeth, Henrique, Rafael dos Santos, Henriques, Ana, Hernandez Cadena, Leticia, Herrala, Sauli, Herrera-Cuenca, Marianella, Herrera, Victor M, Herter-Aeberli, Isabelle, Herzig, Karl-Heinz, Heshmat, Ramin, Heude, Barbara, Hill, Allan G, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C, Hobbs, Michael, Höfelmann, Doroteia A, Holdsworth, Michelle, Homayounfar, Reza, Homs, Clara, Hoogendijk, Emiel, Hopman, Wilma M, Horimoto, Andrea RVR, Hormiga, Claudia M, Horta, Bernardo L, Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yonghua, Huerta, José María, Huhtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Huiart, Laetitia, Huidumac Petrescu, Constanta, Husseini, Abdullatif, Huu, Chinh Nguyen, Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Hyska, Jolanda, Iacoviello, Licia, Iakupova, Ellina M, Ibarluzea, Jesús, Ibrahim, Mohsen M, Ibrahim Wong, Norazizah, Igland, Jannicke, Ijoma, Chinwuba, Ikram, M Arfan, Iñiguez, Carmen, Irazola, Vilma E, Ishida, Takafumi, Isiguzo, Godsent C, Islam, Muhammad, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Islek, Duygu, Ittermann, Till, Ivanova-Pandourska, Ivaila Y, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jääskeläinen, Tuija, Jackson, Rod T, Jacobs, Jeremy M, Jadoul, Michel, Jafar, Tazeen, Jallow, Bakary, James, Kenneth, Jamil, Kazi M, Jamrozik, Konrad, Jan, Nataša, Jansson, Anna, Janszky, Imre, Janus, Edward, Jarani, Juel, Jarnig, Gerald, Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta, Jasienska, Grazyna, Jelaković, Ana, Jelaković, Bojan, Jennings, Garry, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jimenez, Ramon O, Jöckel, Karl-Heinz, Joffres, Michel, Jokelainen, Jari J, Jonas, Jost B, Jonnagaddala, Jitendra, Jøran Kjerpeseth, Lars, Jørgensen, Torben, Joshi, Pradeep, Joshi, Rohina, Josipović, Josipa, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jóźwiak, Jacek J, Judge, Debra S, Juolevi, Anne, Jurak, Gregor, Jurca Simina, Iulia, Juresa, Vesna, Kaaks, Rudolf, Kaducu, Felix O, Kadvan, Agnes L, Kafatos, Anthony, Kaj, Mónika, Kajantie, Eero O, Kakutia, Natia, Kállayová, Daniela, Kalmatayeva, Zhanna, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kameli, Yves, Kanala, Kodanda R, Kannan, Srinivasan, Kapantais, Efthymios, Karaglani, Eva, Karakosta, Argyro, Kårhus, Line L, Karki, Khem B, Karlsson, Omat, Kassi Anicet, Adoubi, Katchunga, Philippe B, Katibeh, Marzieh, Katz, Joanne, Katzmarzyk, Peter T, Kauhanen, Jussi, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kazakbaeva, Gyulli M, Kaze, François F, Kazembe, Benson M, Ke, Calvin, Keil, Ulrich, Keinan Boker, Lital, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi, Sirkka, Kelishadi, Roya, Kelleher, Cecily, Kemper, Han CG, Keramati, Maryam, Kerimkulova, Alina, Kersting, Mathilde, Key, Timothy, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khaledifar, Arsalan, Khalili, Davood, Kheiri, Bahareh, Kheradmand, Motahareh, Khosravi, Alireza, Khouw, Ilse MSL, Kiechl-Kohlendorfer, Ursula, Kiechl, Sophia J, Kiechl, Stefan, Killewo, Japhet, Kim, Hyeon Chang, Kim, Jeongseon, Kindblom, Jenny M, Kingston, Andrew, Klakk, Heidi, Klanarong, Suntara, Klanova, Jana, Klimek, Magdalena, Klimont, Jeannette, Klumbiene, Jurate, Knoflach, Michael, Kobel, Susanne, Koirala, Bhawesh, Kolle, Elin, Kolo, Sanda M, Kolsteren, Patrick, König, Jürgen, Korpelainen, Raija, Korrovits, Paul, Korzycka, Magdalena, Kos, Jelena, Koskinen, Seppo, Kouda, Katsuyasu, Koussoh Simone, Malik, Kovács, Éva, Kovacs, Viktoria Anna, Kovalskys, Irina, Kowlessur, Sudhir, Koziel, Slawomir, Kratenova, Jana, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kriaucioniene, Vilma, Kriemler, Susi, Kristensen, Peter Lund, Krizan, Helena, Kroker-Lobos, Maria F, Krokstad, Steinar, Kromhout, Daan, Kruger, Herculina S, Kruger, Ruan, Kryst, Łukasz, Kubinova, Ruzena, Kuciene, Renata, Kujala, Urho M, Kujundzic, Enisa, Kulaga, Zbigniew, Kulimbet, Mukhtar, Kulothungan, Vaitheeswaran, Kumar, R Krishna, Kumari, Meena, Kunešová, Marie, Kurjata, Pawel, Kusuma, Yadlapalli S, Kutsenko, Vladimir, Kuulasmaa, Kari, Kyobutungi, Catherine, La, Quang Ngoc, Laamiri, Fatima Zahra, Laatikainen, Tiina, Labadarios, Demetre, Lachat, Carl, Lackner, Karl J, Lai, Daphne, Laid, Youcef, Lall, Lachmie, Lam, Tai Hing, Landaeta Jimenez, Maritza, Landais, Edwige, Lankila, Tiina, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Larijani, Bagher, Larissa, Simo Pone, Lateva, Mina P, Latt, Tint Swe, Laurenzi, Martino, Lauria, Laura, Lazo-Porras, Maria, Le Coroller, Gwenaëlle, Le Nguyen Bao, Khanh, Le Port, Agnès, Le, Tuyen D, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lee, Paul H, Lehtimäki, Terho, Lemogoum, Daniel, Leong, Elvynna, Leskošek, Branimir, Leszczak, Justyna, Leth-Møller, Katja B, Leung, Gabriel M, Levitt, Naomi S, Li, Yanping, Liivak, Merike, Lilly, Christa L, Lim, Charlie, Lim, Wei-Yen, Lima-Costa, M Fernanda, Lin, Xu, Lind, Lars, Lingam, Vijaya, Linkohr, Birgit, Linneberg, Allan, Lissner, Lauren, Litwin, Mieczyslaw, Liu, Jing, Liu, Lijuan, Liu, Liping, Liu, Xiaotian, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Loit, Helle-Mai, Long, Khuong Quynh, Longo Abril, Guadalupe, Lopes, Luis, Lopes, Marcus SS, Lopes, Oscar, Lopez-Garcia, Esther, Lopez, Tania, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lozano, José Eugenio, Lukrafka, Janice L, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lunet, Nuno, Lunogelo, Charles, Lustigová, Michala, Łuszczki, Edyta, M'Buyamba-Kabangu, Jean-René, Ma, Guansheng, Ma, Xu, Machado-Coelho, George LL, Machado-Rodrigues, Aristides M, Macia, Enguerran, Macieira, Luisa M, Madar, Ahmed A, Madraisau, Sherilynn, Madsen, Anja L, Maestre, Gladys E, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J, Magnacca, Sara, Magriplis, Emmanuella, Mahasampath, Gowri, Maire, Bernard, Majer, Marjeta, Makdisse, Marcia, Mäki, Päivi, Malekpour, Mohammad-Reza, Malekzadeh, Fatemeh, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malhotra, Rahul, Mallikharjuna Rao, Kodavanti, Malta, Deborah C, Malyutina, Sofia K, Maniego, Lynell V, Manios, Yannis, Mann, Jim I, Mannix, Masimango Imani, Mansour-Ghanaei, Fariborz, Manyanga, Taru, Manzato, Enzo, Mapatano, Mala Ali, Marcil, Anie, Margozzini, Paula, Maria-Magdalena, Rosu, Mariño, Joany, Markaki, Anastasia, Markey, Oonagh, Markidou Ioannidou, Eliza, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Marques, Larissa Pruner, Marrugat, Jaume, Martin-Prevel, Yves, Martin, Rosemarie, Martorell, Reynaldo, Martos, Eva, Maruf, Fatai A, Maruszczak, Katharina, Marventano, Stefano, Masala, Giovanna, Mascarenhas, Luis P, Masinaei, Masoud, Masoodi, Shariq R, Mathiesen, Ellisiv B, Mathur, Prashant, Matijasevich, Alicia, Matłosz, Piotr, Matsha, Tandi E, Matsudo, Victor, Matteo, Giletta, Maulik, Pallab K, Mavrogianni, Christina, Mazur, Artur, McFarlane, Shelly R, McGarvey, Stephen T, McKee, Martin, McLean, Rachael M, McLean, Scott B, McNairy, Margaret L, McNulty, Breige A, Mediene Benchekor, Sounnia, Medzioniene, Jurate, Mehlig, Kirsten, Mehrparvar, Amir Houshang, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Meisfjord, Jørgen, Meisinger, Christa, Melgarejo, Jesus D, Melkumova, Marina, Mello, Júlio, Méndez, Fabián, Mendivil, Carlos O, Menezes, Ana Maria B, Menon, Geetha R, Mensink, Gert BM, Menzano, Maria Teresa, Meshram, Indrapal I, Meto, Diane T, Meyer, Haakon E, Mi, Jie, Michaelsen, Kim F, Michels, Nathalie, Mikkel, Kairit, Miłkowska, Karolina, Miller, Jody C, Milushkina, Olga, Minderico, Cláudia S, Mini, GK, Miquel, Juan Francisco, Mirjalili, Mohammad Reza, Mirkopoulou, Daphne, Mirrakhimov, Erkin, Mišigoj-Duraković, Marjeta, Mistretta, Antonio, Mocanu, Veronica, Modesti, Pietro A, Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi, Mohamed, Shukri F, Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadi, Mohammad Reza, Mohammadi, Zahra, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohammadpourhodki, Reza, Mohan, Viswanathan, Mohanna, Salim, Mohd Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli, Mohebbi, Iraj, Moitry, Marie, Møllehave, Line T, Møller, Niels C, Molnár, Dénes, Momenan, Amirabbas, Mondo, Charles K, Monroy-Valle, Michele, Montenegro Mendoza, Roger A, Monterrubio-Flores, Eric, Monyeki, Kotsedi Daniel K, Moon, Jin Soo, Moosazadeh, Mahmood, Mopa, Hermine T, Moradpour, Farhad, Moreira, Leila B, Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A, Morey, Francis, Morgan, Karen, Morin, Suzanne N, Mortensen, Erik Lykke, Moschonis, George, Moslem, Alireza, Mosquera, Mildrey, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mostafavi, Seyed-Ali, Mota-Pinto, Anabela, Mota, Jorge, Motlagh, Mohammad Esmaeel, Motta, Jorge, Moura-dos-Santos, Marcos André, Movsesyan, Yeva, Mridha, Malay K, Msyamboza, Kelias P, Mu, Thet Thet, Muc, Magdalena, Muca, Florian, Mugoša, Boban, Muiesan, Maria L, Müller-Nurasyid, Martina, Münzel, Thomas, Mursu, Jaakko, Murtagh, Elaine M, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Musić Milanović, Sanja, Musil, Vera, Musinguzi, Geofrey, Muyer, Muel Telo, Nabipour, Iraj, Nagel, Gabriele, Najafi, Farid, Nakamura, Harunobu, Nalecz, Hanna, Námešná, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K, Nangia, Vinay B, Nankap, Martin, Narake, Sameer, Narayan, KM Venkat, Nardone, Paola, Naseri, Take, Nathalie, Michels, Neal, William A, Neelapaichit, Nareemarn, Nejatizadeh, Azim, Nekkantti, Chandini, Nelis, Keiu, Nenko, Ilona, Neovius, Martin, Nervi, Flavio, Ng, Tze Pin, Nguyen, Chung T, Nguyen, Nguyen D, Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Ni, Michael Y, Nicolescu, Rodica, Nie, Peng, Nieto-Martínez, Ramfis E, Nikitin, Yury P, Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Nishi, Nobuo, Nishtar, Sania, Noale, Marianna, Noboa, Oscar A, Nogueira, Helena, Nordendahl, Maria, Nordestgaard, Børge G, Norton, Kevin I, Noto, Davide, Nowak-Szczepanska, Natalia, Nsour, Mohannad Al, Nuhoğlu, Irfan, Nunes, Baltazar, Nurk, Eha, Nuwaha, Fred, Nyirenda, Moffat, O'Neill, Terence W, O'Reilly, Dermot, Obreja, Galina, Ochimana, Caleb, Ochoa-Avilés, Angélica M, Oda, Eiji, Odili, Augustine N, Oh, Kyungwon, Ohara, Kumiko, Ohlsson, Claes, Ohtsuka, Ryutaro, Olafsson, Örn, Oldenburg, Brian, Olinto, Maria Teresa A, Oliveira, Isabel O, Omar, Mohd Azahadi, Omar, Saeed M, Onat, Altan, Ong, Sok King, Onland-Moret, N Charlotte, Ono, Lariane M, Onodugo, Obinna, Ordunez, Pedro, Ornelas, Rui, Ortiz, Ana P, Ortiz, Pedro J, Osler, Merete, Osmond, Clive, Ostojic, Sergej M, Ostovar, Afshin, Otero, Johanna A, Ottendahl, Charlotte B, Otu, Akaninyene, Overvad, Kim, Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Oyeyemi, Adetoyeje Y, Oyeyemi, Adewale L, Paccaud, Fred Michel, Padez, Cristina P, Pagkalos, Ioannis, Pahomova, Elena, de Paiva, Karina Mary, Pająk, Andrzej, Pajula, Natalja, Palloni, Alberto, Palmieri, Luigi, Pan, Wen-Harn, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Pandey, Arvind, Pang, Zengchang, Panza, Francesco, Paoli, Mariela, Papadopoulou, Sousana K, Papandreou, Dimitrios, Pareja, Rossina G, Park, Soon-Woo, Park, Suyeon, Parnell, Winsome R, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Pascanu, Ionela M, Pasquet, Patrick, Patel, Nikhil D, Pattussi, Marcos, Pavlyshyn, Halyna, Pechlaner, Raimund, Pećin, Ivan, Pednekar, Mangesh S, Pedro, João M, Peer, Nasheeta, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Pereira, Alexandre C, Peres, Marco A, Perez-Londoño, Agustín, Pérez, Cynthia M, Peterkova, Valentina, Peters, Annette, Petkeviciene, Janina, Petrauskiene, Ausra, Petrovna Kovtun, Olga, Pettenuzzo, Emanuela, Peykari, Niloofar, Pfeiffer, Norbert, Phall, Modou Cheyassin, Pham, Son Thai, Phiri, Felix P, Pichardo, Rafael N, Pierannunzio, Daniela, Pierre-Marie, Preux, Pigeot, Iris, Pikhart, Hynek, Pilav, Aida, Piler, Pavel, Pilotto, Lorenza, Pistelli, Francesco, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Pizarro, Andreia N, Plans-Rubió, Pedro, Platonova, Alina G, Poh, Bee Koon, Pohlabeln, Hermann, Polka, Nadija S, Pop, Raluca M, Popkin, Barry M, Popovic, Stevo R, Porta, Miquel, Posch, Georg, Poudyal, Anil, Poulimeneas, Dimitrios, Pouraram, Hamed, Pourfarzi, Farhad, Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Price, Alison J, Price, Jacqueline F, Prista, Antonio, Providencia, Rui, Puder, Jardena J, Pudule, Iveta, Puhakka, Solie, Puiu, Maria, Punab, Margus, Qadir, Muhammed S, Qasrawi, Radwan F, Qiao, Qing, Qorbani, Mostafa, Quintana, Hedley K, Quiroga-Padilla, Pedro J, Quoc Bao, Tran, Rach, Stefan, Radic, Ivana, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahimikazerooni, Salar, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Raj, Manu, Rajabov, Tamerlan, Rakhmatulloev, Sherali, Rakovac, Ivo, Ramachandra Rao, Sudha, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ramadan, Otim PC, Ramires, Virgílio V, Ramirez-Zea, Manuel, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Elisabete, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Lekhraj, Rampal, Sanjay, Ramsay, Sheena E, Rangelova, Lalka S, Rarra, Vayia, Rascon-Pacheco, Ramon A, Rashidi, Mohammad-Mahdi, Rech, Cassiano Ricardo, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M, Regecová, Valéria, Renner, Jane DP, Repasy, Judit A, Reuter, Cézane P, Revilla, Luis, Reynolds, Andrew, Rezaei, Negar, Rezaianzadeh, Abbas, Rho, Yeunsook, Ribas-Barba, Lourdes, Ribeiro, Robespierre, Riboli, Elio, Rigo, Fernando, Rigotti, Attilio, Rinaldo, Natascia, Rinke de Wit, Tobias F, Risérus, Ulf, Rito, Ana I, Ritti-Dias, Raphael M, Rivera, Juan A, Roa, Reina G, Robinson, Louise, Roccaldo, Romana, Rodrigues, Daniela, Rodriguez-Perez, María del Cristo, Rodríguez-Villamizar, Laura A, Rodríguez, Andrea Y, Roggenbuck, Ulla, Rohloff, Peter, Rohner, Fabian, Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Rojroongwasinkul, Nipa, Romaguera, Dora, Romeo, Elisabetta L, Rosario, Rafaela V, Rosengren, Annika, Rouse, Ian, Rouzier, Vanessa, Roy, Joel GR, Ruano, Maira H, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rühli, Frank J, Ruidavets, Jean-Bernard, Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra, Ruiz-Castell, Maria, Ruiz Moreno, Emma, Rusakova, Iuliia A, Rusek, Wojciech, Russell Jonsson, Kenisha, Russo, Paola, Rust, Petra, Rutkowski, Marcin, Saamel, Marge, Saar, Crizian G, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sabbaghi, Hamideh, Sacchini, Elena, Sachdev, Harshpal S, Sadjadi, Alireza, Safarpour, Ali Reza, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Saghi, Mohammad Hossien, Saidi, Olfa, Saieva, Calogero, Sakata, Satoko, Saki, Nader, Šalaj, Sanja, Salanave, Benoit, Salazar Martinez, Eduardo, Salhanova, Akkumis, Salmerón, Diego, Salomaa, Veikko, Salonen, Jukka T, Salvetti, Massimo, Samoutian, Margarita, Sánchez-Abanto, Jose, Sánchez Rodríguez, Inés, Sandjaja, Sans, Susana, Santa-Marina, Loreto, Santacruz, Ethel, Santos, Diana A, Santos, Ina S, Santos, Lèlita C, Santos, Maria Paula, Santos, Osvaldo, Santos, Rute, Santos, Tamara R, Saramies, Jouko L, Sardinha, Luis B, Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Sathish, Thirunavukkarasu, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Savva, Savvas, Savy, Mathilde, Sawada, Norie, Sbaraini, Mariana, Scazufca, Marcia, Schaan, Beatriz D, Schaffrath Rosario, Angelika, Schargrodsky, Herman, Schienkiewitz, Anja, Schindler, Karin, Schipf, Sabine, Schmidt, Börge, Schmidt, Carsten O, Schmidt, Ida Maria, Schneider, Andrea, Schnohr, Peter, Schöttker, Ben, Schramm, Sara, Schramm, Stine, Schröder, Helmut, Schultsz, Constance, Schultz, Gry, Schulze, Matthias B, Schutte, Aletta E, Sebert, Sylvain, Sedaghattalab, Moslem, Selamat, Rusidah, Sember, Vedrana, Sen, Abhijit, Senbanjo, Idowu O, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Sequera, Guillermo, Serra-Majem, Luis, Servais, Jennifer, Ševčíková, Ľudmila, Sewpaul, Ronel, Shalnova, Svetlana, Shamah-Levy, Teresa, Shamshirgaran, Seyed Morteza, Shanthirani, Coimbatore Subramaniam, Sharafkhah, Maryam, Sharma, Sanjib K, Sharman, Almaz, Shaw, Jonathan E, Shayanrad, Amaneh, Shayesteh, Ali Akbar, Shengelia, Lela, Shi, Zumin, Shibuya, Kenji, Shimizu-Furusawa, Hana, Shimony, Tal, Shiri, Rahman, Shrestha, Namuna, Si-Ramlee, Khairil, Siani, Alfonso, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M, Sidossis, Labros S, Silitrari, Natalia, Silva, Antonio M, Silva, Caroline Ramos de Moura, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Silva, Kelly Samara, Sim, Xueling, Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A, Sjöberg, Agneta, Sjöström, Michael, Skoblina, Elena V, Skoblina, Natalia A, Slazhnyova, Tatyana, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemysław, Smeeth, Liam, So, Hung-Kwan, Soares, Fernanda Cunha, Sobek, Grzegorz, Sobngwi, Eugène, Sodemann, Morten, Söderberg, Stefan, Soekatri, Moesijanti YE, Soemantri, Agustinus, Sofat, Reecha, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Solovieva, Yuliya V, Somi, Mohammad Hossein, Sonestedt, Emily, Song, Yi, Soofi, Sajid, Sørensen, Thorkild IA, Sørgjerd, Elin P, Sossa Jérome, Charles, Soto-Rojas, Victoria E, Soumaré, Aïcha, Sousa-Poza, Alfonso, Sovic, Slavica, Sparboe-Nilsen, Bente, Sparrenberger, Karen, Spencer, Phoebe R, Spinelli, Angela, Spiroski, Igor, Staessen, Jan A, Stamm, Hanspeter, Stang, Andreas, Starc, Gregor, Staub, Kaspar, Stavreski, Bill, Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D, Steinsbekk, Silje, Stergiou, George S, Stessman, Jochanan, Stevanović, Ranko, Stieber, Jutta, Stöckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stoyanova, Ekaterina, Stratton, Gareth, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sturua, Lela, Suárez-Medina, Ramón, Suarez-Ortegón, Milton F, Suebsamran, Phalakorn, Sugiyama, Mindy, Suka, Machi, Sulo, Gerhard, Sun, Chien-An, Sun, Liang, Sund, Malin, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Sunyer, Jordi, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sweis, Nabil William G, Swinburn, Boyd A, Sy, Rody G, Sylva, René Charles, Szponar, Lucjan, Tabone, Lorraine, Tai, E Shyong, Takuro, Furusawa, Tambalis, Konstantinos D, Tammesoo, Mari-Liis, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tan, Eng Joo, Tang, Xun, Tanrygulyyeva, Maya, Tanser, Frank, Tao, Yong, Tarawneh, Mohammed Rasoul, Tarp, Jakob, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B, Taxová Braunerová, Radka, Taylor, Anne, Taylor, Julie, Tchibindat, Félicité, Te Velde, Saskia, Tebar, William R, Tell, Grethe S, Tello, Tania, Tessema, Masresha, Tham, Yih Chung, Thankappan, KR, Theobald, Holger, Theodoridis, Xenophon, Thomas, Nihal, Thorand, Barbara, Thrift, Amanda G, Tichá, Ľubica, Timmermans, Erik J, Tjandrarini, Dwi Hapsari, Tjonneland, Anne, Tolonen, Hanna K, Tolstrup, Janne S, Tomaszewski, Maciej, Topbas, Murat, Topór-Mądry, Roman, Torheim, Liv Elin, Tornaritis, Michael J, Torrent, Maties, Torres-Collado, Laura, Toselli, Stefania, Touloumi, Giota, Traissac, Pierre, Tran, Thi Tuyet-Hanh, Tremblay, Mark S, Triantafyllou, Areti, Trichopoulos, Dimitrios, Trichopoulou, Antonia, Trinh, Oanh TH, Trivedi, Atul, Tshepo, Lechaba, Tsigga, Maria, Tsintavis, Panagiotis, Tsugane, Shoichiro, Tuitele, John, Tuliakova, Azaliia M, Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K, Tullu, Fikru, Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Tuomilehto, Jaakko, Twig, Gilad, Tynelius, Per, Tzala, Evangelia, Tzotzas, Themistoklis, Tzourio, Christophe, Udoji, Nwannedimma, Ueda, Peter, Ugel, Eunice, Ukoli, Flora AM, Ulmer, Hanno, Unal, Belgin, Usupova, Zhamyila, Uusitalo, Hannu MT, Uysal, Nalan, Vaitkeviciute, Justina, Valdivia, Gonzalo, Vale, Susana, Valvi, Damaskini, van Dam, Rob M, van den Born, Bert-Jan, Van der Heyden, Johan, van der Schouw, Yvonne T, Van Herck, Koen, Van Lippevelde, Wendy, Van Minh, Hoang, Van Schoor, Natasja M, van Valkengoed, Irene GM, Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Varbo, Anette, Varela-Moreiras, Gregorio, Vargas, Luz Nayibe, Varona-Pérez, Patricia, Vasan, Senthil K, Vasques, Daniel G, Vatasescu, Radu, Vega, Tomas, Veidebaum, Toomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Velika, Biruta, Verloigne, Maïté, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, WM Monique, Victora, Cesar G, Viegi, Giovanni, Viet, Lucie, Vik, Frøydis N, Vilar, Monica, Villalpando, Salvador, Vioque, Jesus, Viriyautsahakul, Napaphan, Virtanen, Jyrki K, Visser, Marjolein, Visvikis-Siest, Sophie, Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vladulescu, Mihaela, Vlasoff, Tiina, Vocanec, Dorja, Vollenweider, Peter, Völzke, Henry, Vourli, Georgia, Voutilainen, Ari, Vrijheid, Martine, Vrijkotte, Tanja GM, Vuletić, Silvije, Wade, Alisha N, Waldhör, Thomas, Walton, Janette, Wambiya, Elvis OA, Wan Bebakar, Wan Mohamad, Wan Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon, Wanderley Júnior, Rildo de Souza, Wang, Chongjian, Wang, Huijun, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Ningli, Wang, Qian, Wang, Xiangjun, Wang, Ya Xing, Wang, Ying-Wei, Wannamethee, S Goya, Wareham, Nicholas, Wartha, Olivia, Weber, Adelheid, Wedderkopp, Niels, Weghuber, Daniel, Wei, Wenbin, Weres, Aneta, Werner, Bo, Westbury, Leo D, Whincup, Peter H, Wichstrøm, Lars, Wickramasinghe, Kremlin, Widhalm, Kurt, Widyahening, Indah S, Więcek, Andrzej, Wild, Philipp S, Wilks, Rainford J, Willeit, Johann, Willeit, Peter, Williams, Julianne, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wirth, James P, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Woldeyohannes, Meseret, Wolf, Kathrin, Wong-McClure, Roy A, Wong, Andrew, Wong, Emily B, Wong, Jyh Eiin, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C, Wu, Hon-Yen, Wu, Jianfeng, Wu, Li Juan, Wu, Shouling, Wyszyńska, Justyna, Xu, Haiquan, Xu, Liang, Yaacob, Nor Azwany, Yamborisut, Uruwan, Yan, Li, Yan, Weili, Yang, Ling, Yang, Xiaoguang, Yang, Yang, Yardim, Nazan, Yasuharu, Tabara, Yépez García, Martha, Yiallouros, Panayiotis K, Yngve, Agneta, Yoosefi, Moein, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Yotov, Yoto, You, Qi Sheng, You, San-Lin, Younger-Coleman, Novie O, Yu, Yu-Ling, Yu, Yunjiang, Yusof, Safiah Md, Yusoff, Ahmad Faudzi, Zaccagni, Luciana, Zafiropulos, Vassilis, Zainuddin, Ahmad A, Zakavi, Seyed Rasoul, Zamani, Farhad, Zambon, Sabina, Zampelas, Antonis, Zamrazilová, Hana, Zapata, Maria Elisa, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zaw, Ko Ko, Zayed, Ayman A, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Żegleń, Magdalena, Zejglicova, Kristyna, Zeljkovic Vrkic, Tajana, Zeng, Yi, Zentai, Andrea, Zhang, Bing, Zhang, Luxia, Zhang, Zhen-Yu, Zhao, Dong, Zhao, Ming-Hui, Zhao, Wenhua, Zhecheva, Yanitsa V, Zhen, Shiqi, Zheng, Wei, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zholdin, Bekbolat, Zhou, Maigeng, Zhu, Dan, Zimmet, Paul, Zins, Marie, Zitt, Emanuel, Zocalo, Yanina, Zoghlami, Nada, Zuñiga Cisneros, Julio, Zuziak, Monika, and Ezzati, Majid

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

30. Thermal buckling of thin injection-molded FRP plates with fiber orientation varying over the thickness

Author

Gualdi, A., van de Ven, A. A. F., and Slot, J. J. M.

Subjects
Condensed Matter - Materials Science, 74, I.6, J.2
Abstract

The different thermo-elastic properties of glass fibers and polymer matrices can generate residual thermal stresses in injection-molded fiber-reinforced plastic (FRP) objects. During cooling from mold to room temperature, these stresses can be relaxed by large deformations resulting from an instability of the unwarped configuration (i.e., buckling). This article investigates the thermal buckling of thin FRP disks via an analytical formulation based on the Foppl-von Karman theory. Expanding on our previous work, cylindrical orthotropy with material parameters varying over the disk thickness is assumed in order to account for thickness dependency of the glass fiber orientation distribution. A disk parameter generalizing the thermal anisotropy ratio for homogeneous orthotropic disks is introduced and its relation with the occurrence and periodicity of buckling is discussed. This is done for a skin-coreskin model, for which the core-to-total thickness ratio is defined. For fiber orientation distributions typical of injection-molded disks, it is found that there exists a value of the thickness ratio for which no buckling occurs. It is also demonstrated that the periodicity of the first buckling mode is described by the generalized thermal anisotropy ratio, thus extending the results obtained for a homogeneous fiber orientation distribution. Improvements in the accuracy of the predictions for experimental data available in the literature when using the skin-core-skin model are shown. Finally, we study the relation between buckling temperature and disk thickness and propose an expression for the dependence of the normalized buckling temperature on the thermal anisotropy ratio. Results of FEM simulations are used to validate the proposed expression, proving its applicability and accuracy., Comment: 34 pages, 3 figures

Published
2021

31. Joint analysis of anisotropic power spectrum, bispectrum and trispectrum: application to N-body simulations

Author

Gualdi, Davide, Gil-Marin, Hector, and Verde, Licia

Subjects
Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Abstract

We perform for the first time a joint analysis of the monopole and quadrupoles for power spectrum, bispectrum and integrated trispectrum (i-trispectrum) from the redshift space matter field in N-body simulations. With a full Markov Chain Monte Carlo exploration of the posterior distribution, we quantify the constraints on cosmological parameters for an object density of $n_\mathrm{p}=5\times10^{-4} (h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1})^{3}$, redshift $z=0.5$, and a covariance corresponding to a survey volume of $V_\mathrm{survey} =25\,(h^{-1}\mathrm{Gpc})^3$, a set up which is representative of forthcoming galaxy redshift surveys. We demonstrate the complementarity of the bispectrum and i-trispectrum in constraining key cosmological parameters. In particular, compared to the state-of-the-art power spectrum (monopole plus quadrupole) and bispectrum (monopole) analyses, we find 1D $68\%$ credible regions smaller by a factor of $(72\%,78\%,72\%,47\%,46\%)$ for the parameters $(f,\sigma_8,f_\mathrm{nl},\alpha_\parallel,\alpha_\perp)$ respectively. This work motivates the additional effort necessary to include the redshift-space anisotropic signal of higher-order statistics in the analysis and interpretation of ongoing and future galaxy surveys., Comment: 42 pages (21 + appendixes and references), 12 figures, 3 tables, matching accepted version after minor revision

Published
2021
Full Text
View/download PDF

33. Assessing the Relationship between Body Image Satisfaction and Physical Activity in Italian Adolescents: A Cross-Sectional Investigation

Author

Sabrina Masotti, Tommaso Piva, Valentina Zerbini, Andrea Raisi, Erica Menegatti, Anselmo Pagani, Costanza Bigoni, Elena Ballarin, Federica De Luca, Luciana Zaccagni, Natascia Rinaldo, Stefania Toselli, Emanuela Gualdi-Russo, Antonio Argentoni, Arli Veli, Gianni Mazzoni, and Simona Mandini

Subjects
body image, anthropometry, physical activity, body satisfaction, body dissatisfaction, Pediatrics, RJ1-570
Abstract

Background: Body image perception can significantly influence various aspects of adolescent lives. The study analyzed the relationship between body image satisfaction and sports participation in adolescents, examining various factors that contribute to body image concerns and their implications for sports engagement. Methods: A total of 237 schoolchildren were recruited from lower secondary Italian schools. Anthropometric characteristics were measured directly. Assessment of body image perception was performed using Body Silhouette Charts for preadolescent children. The Italian version of the International Physical Activity Questionnaire for Adolescents questionnaire was administered to assess physical activity (PA) levels at school and during leisure time in the last 7 days. Analysis of variance was used to test differences in PA levels, while multiple regression models were carried out to assess possible predictors of body dissatisfaction. Results: In total, 42.6% of children were not satisfied with their figure and 23.2% were very dissatisfied; among them, the vast majority would have liked to be thinner. The dissatisfaction and satisfaction were similar in boys and girls. The frequency of satisfaction with one’s body image was higher in children who practiced extracurricular sports compared to those who did not. The percentage of dissatisfaction with one’s body image was similar in the two groups, but the frequency of children being very dissatisfied was double in the group that does not practice extracurricular sport (31.2% vs. 17.7%). Body dissatisfaction increases with increasing body mass index in both genders but decreases in children involved in extracurricular sports. Conclusions: Encouraging teenagers to engage in regular physical activity should be a key component of therapies supporting positive body image. This study found a relationship between extracurricular sports and body image satisfaction, suggesting that physical activity protects teenagers’ body image satisfaction.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

34. 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT in Recurrent Prostate Cancer after Radical Prostatectomy Using PSMA-RADS Version 2.0

Author

Gabriele Masselli, Saadi Sollaku, Cristina De Angelis, Elisabetta Polettini, Gianfranco Gualdi, and Emanuele Casciani

Subjects
prostate cancer, 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT, 68Ga-PSMA, biochemical recurrence, PSMA-RADS, Medicine (General), R5-920
Abstract

Background: 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT is superior to standard-of-care imaging for detecting regional and distant metastatic recurrent prostate cancer. The objective of our study was to evaluate the performance of 68Ga-PSMAPET/CT in our patient population, using the new PSMA-RADS version 2.0. Methods: A total of 128 patients scanned with 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT for detection of recurrence after RP were analyzed with PSMA-RADS version 2.0. For the analysis of the detection rate, categories PSMA-RADS 3 to 5 were considered as “positive for malignancy” and 1–2 as “negative”. Results: According to PSMA-RADS v2.0, we classified patients as follows: 23 patients without PSMA-RADS because they were negative; PSMA-RADS 1: 10 patients; PSMA-RADS 2: 4 patients; PSMA-RADS 3A: 11 patients; PSMA-RADS 3B: 2 patients; PSMA-RADS 3C: 2 patients; PSMA-RADS 3D: 2 patients; PSMA-RADS 4: 13 patients; PSMA-RADS 5: 61 patients. Conclusions: The overall detection rate of 68Ga-PSMA PET/CT was 71%. By dividing the patients into fourgroups according to PSA level before examination, we obtained the following detection rates: PSA < 0.2 ng/mL 38%; 0.2 ≤ PSA < 0.5 ng/mL 57%; 0.5 ≤ PSA ≤ 1 ng/mL 77%; and PSA > 1 ng/mL 95%. Conclusion: Using PSMA-RADS version 2.0, we obtained detection rate values comparable with recent literature both in absolute terms and in relation to different PSA levels.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

35. The COVID-19 Experience in Adolescents: Emotional and Behavioral Recall at the End of the Pandemic

Author

Luciana Zaccagni, Federica De Luca, Natascia Rinaldo, Gianni Mazzoni, Simona Mandini, and Emanuela Gualdi-Russo

Subjects
COVID-19, adolescents, weight status, emotion, mental health, post-COVID, Medicine
Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting lockdown countermeasure may have significantly affected adolescents’ physical and mental health. This study aims to assess adolescents’ recollections of this period, also analyzing their current weight status along with factors they traced back to the epidemic phase and their current sports practice. A survey among 233 Italian adolescents aged 12.4 ± 0.9 years was conducted in October 2023. To achieve the research objectives, a new questionnaire was developed: the COVID-19 AdolesceNt/chilDren Lockdown Experience questionnaire (CANDLE). The new questionnaire was employed to gather data on the adolescents’ recollections of the lockdown situation they experienced. The stature and weight of participants were measured directly. The results indicated that middle schoolers remember both positive and negative experiences of the lockdown: the change perceived as the most positive was spending more time with family, while social detachment from peers represents the most negative aspect. According to multivariate regression analysis, certain behaviors they assumed during the lockdown, such as comfort food consumption in boys and sleeping disturbances in girls, in addition to their current sports practice, affected their actual Body Mass Index. This study supports the evidence that changes caused by the COVID-19 lockdown affected adolescents’ physical and mental health, albeit with sex differences.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

37. Linking Intensive Care Unit functional scales to the International Classification of Functioning: proposal of a new assessment approach

Author

Juliana S. F. dos Santos, Gabriely A. G. Silva, Nubia M. F. V. Lima, Lucien P. Gualdi, Diego de S. Dantas, and Íllia N. D. F. Lima

Subjects
International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health, Intensive Care Unit, Physical therapy, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270
Abstract

Abstract Background There are several tools to assess functional and physical status in critical ill patients. These tools can guide rehabilitation strategies in Intensive care units (ICU). However, they are not standardized, and this can compromise their applicability. The aim of the study is to identify common contents between International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF) and Medical Research Council sum score (MRC-ss), Functional Status Score for the ICU (FSS-ICU), and Physical Function in ICU Test-scored (PFIT-s). As well as to propose a new assessment approach based on the ICF to ICU patients. Methods Pilot cross-sectional study. ICU in-patients, both genders, aged between 50 and 75 years were assessed with MRC-ss, FSS-ICU, PFIT-s and the linking rules used were proposed by Cieza et al. The inter-rater agreement for the linking process was performed using the Kappa coefficient. Results The ICF categories identified in the tools covered a total of 14 items. Common contents were identified in 13 of the 14 and two were related to body functions, six to body structures and five to activities and participation. The inter-rater agreement was considered substantial for the linking of MRC-ss (k = 0.665) and PFIT-s (k = 0.749) to the ICF, and almost perfect for the FSS-ICU (k = 0.832). Conclusions This study synthesizes and categorizes commonly used tools and presents a new proposal based on the ICF to guide future studies. The proposed model combines the ICF with the contents of the most relevant instruments used in critical care.

Published
2023
Full Text
View/download PDF

38. Effect of irrigation protocols on bone temperature control during guided implant surgery

Author

Theo Gualdi Alves, Leonardo Hoffmann de Barcellos, Hélio Radke Bittencourt, Rogerio Belle de Oliveira, Eduardo Rolim Teixeira, and Rosemary Sadami Arai Shinkai

Subjects
bone-implant interface, dental implant, irrigation, temperature, Dentistry, RK1-715
Abstract

Objectives: This experimental laboratory study aimed to compare the effect of four external irrigation protocols on bone tissue heating during guided implant drilling. Methods: Forty perforations were made in ten bovine rib specimens using customized surgical templates. Four experimental groups (n=10/group) were tested: Control group = 10-ml syringe with 25°C saline solution, Group 1 = 10-ml syringe with 10°C saline solution, Group 2 = combined external irrigation using a handpiece and a 10-ml syringe with 25°C saline solution, and Group 3 = combined external irrigation using a handpiece and a 10-ml syringe with 10°C saline solution. The temperature was measured at cervical and apical points using K-type thermocouples, a digital thermometer, and a video recorder. Data were analyzed by ANOVA and Pearson’s correlation coefficients (alpha=0.05). Results: The maximum temperature was 42°C (cervical) and 44°C (apical). No difference in temperature changes was found among groups, but the difference between bone specimens was statistically significant. Temperature and time were positively associated for most groups, mainly in the cervical region. Conclusions: All irrigation methods were equally effective in controlling the bone temperature in cervical and apical regions. However, longer drilling times caused a greater increase in temperature.

Published
2023
Full Text
View/download PDF

39. Seasonal forecasting of subsurface marine heatwaves

Author

Ronan McAdam, Simona Masina, and Silvio Gualdi

Subjects
Geology, QE1-996.5, Environmental sciences, GE1-350
Abstract

Abstract Marine heatwaves damage marine ecosystems and services, with effects identified mostly below the ocean surface. To create a truly user-relevant detection system, it is necessary to provide subsurface forecasts. Here, we demonstrate the feasibility of seasonal forecasting of subsurface marine heatwaves by using upper ocean heat content. We validate surface and subsurface events forecast by an operational dynamical seasonal forecasting system against satellite observations and an ocean reanalysis, respectively. We show that indicators of summer events (number of days, strongest intensity, and number of events) are predicted with greater skill than surface equivalents across much of the global ocean. We identify regions which do not display significant surface skill but could still benefit from accurate subsurface early warning tools (e.g., the mid-latitudes). The dynamical system used here outperforms a persistence model and is not widely influenced by warming trends, demonstrating the ability of the system to capture relevant subseasonal variability.

Published
2023
Full Text
View/download PDF

40. Country-level energy demand for cooling has increased over the past two decades

Author

Enrico Scoccimarro, Oreste Cattaneo, Silvio Gualdi, Francesco Mattion, Alexandre Bizeul, Arnau Martin Risquez, and Roberta Quadrelli

Subjects
Geology, QE1-996.5, Environmental sciences, GE1-350
Abstract

Abstract Cooling degree days provide a simple indicator to represent how temperature drives energy demand for cooling. We investigate, at country level, the changes in cooling degree days worldwide in a recent twenty-one-year period starting in 2000. A new database, jointly generated by CMCC and IEA based on ERA5 reanalysis’ global gridded data, is used for the analysis. In contrast to the existent literature, the factors of population-weighting and humidity are considered, which affect the magnitude and the spatial distribution of these changes. Annual tendencies show a general increase of cooling degree days over the different countries, fostering more energy consumption for cooling demand, as confirmed by some regional studies. We also focus on the temporal clustering, to measure if peaks occur evenly random or tend to cluster in shorter periods. We stress that including humidity is important both for general tendencies and clustering. India, Cambodia, Thailand and Vietnam represent the emerging countries where this effect is stronger.

Published
2023
Full Text
View/download PDF

41. 'Sorting hat' flap as a modification of the classic A-T flap

Author

Giulio Gualdi, Alessandra Petruzzellis, Cesare Ariasi, Paolo Amerio, and Paola Monari

Subjects
Flap, skin cancer, dermatologic surgery, Dermatology, RL1-803
Abstract

This article presents a case study featuring a novel modification of the A-T flap, termed the "Sorting Hat" flap, employed in dermatologic surgery for facial reconstruction. In the treatment of an 89-year-old male's squamous cell carcinoma lesion on the forehead, the "Sorting Hat" flap, introduced as an innovative alternative, eliminates the need for Burrow triangles and relies on flap shape for inconspicuous scarring and favorable cosmetic outcomes.

Published
2024
Full Text
View/download PDF

47. Numerical equivalence of $\mathbb R$-divisors and Shioda-Tate formula for arithmetic varieties

Author

Dolce, Paolo and Gualdi, Roberto

Subjects
Mathematics - Number Theory, 14G40, 14C17, 11G35
Abstract

Let $X$ be an arithmetic variety over the ring of integers of a number field $K$, with smooth generic fiber $X_K$. We give a formula that relates the dimension of the first Arakelov-Chow vector space of $X$ with the Mordell-Weil rank of the Albanese variety of $X_K$ and the rank of the N\'eron-Severi group of $X_K$. This is a higher dimensional and arithmetic version of the classical Shioda-Tate formula for elliptic surfaces. Such analogy is strengthened by the fact that we show that the numerically trivial arithmetic $\mathbb{R}$-divisors on $X$ are exactly the linear combinations of principal ones. This result is equivalent to the non-degeneracy of the arithmetic intersection pairing in the argument of divisors, partially confirming [GS94, Conjecture 1]., Comment: 18 pages. Minor changes. New Lemma 3.9

Published
2020
Full Text
View/download PDF

48. Matter trispectrum: theoretical modelling and comparison to N-body simulations

Author

Gualdi, Davide, Novell-Masot, Sergi, Gil-Marín, Héctor, and Verde, Licia

Subjects
Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Abstract

The power spectrum has long been the workhorse summary statistics for large-scale structure cosmological analyses. However, gravitational non-linear evolution moves precious cosmological information from the two-point statistics (such as the power spectrum) to higher-order correlations. Moreover, information about the primordial non-Gaussian signal lies also in higher-order correlations. Without tapping into these, that information remains hidden. While the three-point function (or the bispectrum), even if not extensively, has been studied and applied to data, there has been only limited discussion about the four point/trispectrum. This is because the high-dimensionality of the statistics (in real space a skew-quadrilateral has 6 degrees of freedom), and the high number of skew-quadrilaterals, make the trispectrum numerically and algorithmically very challenging. Here we address this challenge by introducing the i-trispectrum, an integrated trispectrum that only depends on four $k$-modes moduli. We model and measure the matter i-trispectrum from a set of 5000 \textsc{Quijote} N-body simulations both in real and redshift space, finding good agreement between simulations outputs and model up to mildly non-linear scales. Using the power spectrum, bispectrum and i-trispectrum joint data-vector covariance matrix estimated from the simulations, we begin to quantify the added-value provided by the i-trispectrum. In particular, we forecast the i-trispectrum improvements on constraints on the local primordial non-Gaussianity amplitude parameters $f_\mathrm{nl}$ and $g_\mathrm{nl}$. For example, using the full joint data-vector, we forecast $f_\mathrm{nl}$ constraints up to two times ($\sim32\%$) smaller in real (redshift) space than those obtained without i-trispectrum., Comment: accepted: 6th of November 2020, published: 11th of January 2021 , 64 pages (35 pages for the main text), 15 figures

Published
2020
Full Text
View/download PDF

49. V-, U-, L-, or W-shaped economic recovery after COVID: Insights from an Agent Based Model

Author

Sharma, Dhruv, Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, Gualdi, Stanislao, Tarzia, Marco, and Zamponi, Francesco

Subjects
Economics - General Economics, Physics - Physics and Society
Abstract

We discuss the impact of a Covid-19--like shock on a simple model economy, described by the previously developed Mark-0 Agent-Based Model. We consider a mixed supply and demand shock, and show that depending on the shock parameters (amplitude and duration), our model economy can display V-shaped, U-shaped or W-shaped recoveries, and even an L-shaped output curve with permanent output loss. This is due to the economy getting trapped in a self-sustained "bad" state. We then discuss two policies that attempt to moderate the impact of the shock: giving easy credit to firms, and the so-called helicopter money, i.e. injecting new money into the households savings. We find that both policies are effective if strong enough. We highlight the potential danger of terminating these policies too early, although inflation is substantially increased by lax access to credit. Finally, we consider the impact of a second lockdown. While we only discuss a limited number of scenarios, our model is flexible and versatile enough to accommodate a wide variety of situations, thus serving as a useful exploratory tool for a qualitative, scenario-based understanding of post-Covid recovery. The corresponding code is available on-line., Comment: 20 Pages. Model description within the main text. Discussion on multiple lockdowns added. See code for paper at https://gitlab.com/sharma.dhruv/markovid

Published
2020
Full Text
View/download PDF

50. Galaxy redshift-space bispectrum: the Importance of Being Anisotropic

Author

Gualdi, Davide and Verde, Licia

Subjects
Astrophysics - Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Abstract

We forecast the benefits induced by adding the bispectrum anisotropic signal to the standard, two- and three-point, clustering statistics analysis. In particular, we forecast cosmological parameter constraints including the bispectrum higher multipoles terms together with the galaxy power spectrum (monopole plus quadrupole) and isotropic bispectrum (monopole) data vectors. To do so, an analytical covariance matrix model is presented. This template is carefully calibrated on well-known terms of a numerical covariance matrix estimated from a set of simulated galaxy catalogues. After testing the calibration using the power spectrum and isotropic bispectrum measurements from the same set of simulations, we extend the covariance modelling to the galaxy bispectrum higher multipoles. Using this covariance matrix we proceed to perform cosmological parameter inference using a suitably generated mock data vector. Including the bispectrum mutipoles up to the hexadecapole, yields 1-D $68\%$ credible regions for the set of parameters $(b_1,b_2,f,\sigma_8,f_\mathrm{NL},\alpha_\perp, \alpha_\parallel)$ tighter by a factor of 30$\%$ on average for $k_\mathrm{max}=0.09\,h$/Mpc, significantly reducing at the same time the degeneracies present in the posterior distribution., Comment: Accepted version for publication in JCAP, 26 pages + Appendix, 15 figures

Published
2020
Full Text
View/download PDF

Catalog

Books, media, physical & digital resources
See catalog results