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This study introduces machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict hydrogen (H 2) thermodynamic properties for geological storage, focusing on its mixtures with natural gas, nitrogen (N 2), and carbon dioxide (CO 2). Employing 1167 data samples, this research utilizes multiple linear regression (MLR), random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), and decision tree (DT) models, enhanced by sensitivity analysis for feature engineering. GB model's superior accuracy and efficiency over conventional statistical linear regression methods. The finding reveals that the GB model achieves superior performance, with an R2 value of 0.9998 for thermal capacity and the lowest mean absolute error (MAE)/root mean square error (RMSE) across all H 2 properties—density (1.51%, 2.06 kg/m3), viscosity (0.000078%, 0.000117 cp), thermal conductivity (0.000427%, 0.000849 W/m.K), and thermal capacity (8.79%, 26.06 J/g.K). Moreover, this ML-based approach not only demonstrates remarkable accuracy and efficiency but also suggests the potential of smart paradigms to further enhance the safety and transportability of underground hydrogen storage projects. Ultimately, this work will help the reservoir simulation at field scale to be more robust and reliable. [Display omitted] • Machine learning employed in the prediction of hydrogen's thermodynamic properties. • Four advanced ML-based models constructed by variables such as pressure, temperature, and hydrogen fraction. • Gradient boosting algorithm comparatively showed the highest accuracies. • ML achieved the lowest MAE/RMSE values for viscosity 0.000078/0.000117. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Developmental toxicity tests are extremely expensive, require a large number of animals, and are time-consuming. It is necessary to develop a new approach to simplify the analysis of developmental endpoints. One of these endpoints is malformation, and one group of ongoing methods for simplifying is in silico models. In this study, we aim to develop a quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR) model and identify the best algorithm for predicting malformations, as well as the most important and effective physicochemical properties associated with malformation. Methods: The dataset was extracted from a reliable database called COMPTOX. Physicochemical properties (descriptors) were calculated using Mordred and RDKit chemoinformatics software. The data were cleaned, preprocessed, and then split into training and testing sets. Machine learning algorithms, such as gradient boosting model (GBM) and logistic regression (LR), as well as deep learning models, including multilayer perceptron (MLP) and neural networks (NNs) trained with train set data and different sets of descriptors. The models were then validated with test set and various statistical parameters, such as Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC) and balanced accuracy (BAC) score, were used to compare the models. Results: A set of descriptors containing with 78% AUC was identified as the best set of descriptors. Gradient boosting was determined to be the best algorithm with 78% predictive power. Conclusions: The descriptors that were the most effective for developing models directly impact the mechanism of malformation, and GBM is the best model due to its MCC and BAC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper proposes a predictive approach to forecast future hedge fund performances and reporting stops to a commercial database within a subsequent year. We found that gradient boosting of decision trees is well suited to make a prognosis about the future development and reporting stops of hedge funds. The derived models are trained and evaluated using a panel of 5,592 individual hedge funds. We rank the impact of 22 variables that are computed out of hedge fund reporting (micro variables) and three different market environments (macro variables) on the predictability of hedge fund performance. In this way, we show the economic reasonability of the computed models and demonstrate the superiority of statistical learning algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cervical cancer is one of the most dangerous malignancies in women. Prolonged survival times are made possible by breakthroughs in early recognition and efficient treatment of a disease.The existing methods are lagging on finding the important attributes to predict the survival outcome. The main objective of this study is to find individuals with cervical cancer who are at greater risk of death from recurrence by predicting the survival.A novel approach in a proposed technique is Triangulating feature importance to find the important risk factors through which the treatment may vary to improve the survival outcome.Five algorithms Support vector machine, Naive Bayes, supervised logistic regression, decision tree algorithm, Gradient boosting, and random forest are used to build the concept. Conventional attribute selection methods like information gain (IG), FCBF, and ReliefFare employed. The recommended classifier is evaluated for Precision, Recall, F1, Mathews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), Classification Accuracy (CA), and Area under curve (AUC) using various methods. Gradient boosting algorithm (CAT BOOST) attains the highest accuracy value of 0.99 to predict survival outcome of recurrence cervical cancer patients. The proposed outcome of the research is to identify the important risk factors through which the survival outcome of the patients improved. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study focuses on developing machine learning models to detect subtle alterations in hepatocyte chromatin organization due to Iron (II, III) oxide nanoparticle exposure, hypothesizing that exposure will significantly alter chromatin texture. A total of 2000 hepatocyte nuclear regions of interest (ROIs) from mouse liver tissue were analyzed, and for each ROI, 5 different parameters were calculated: Long Run Emphasis, Short Run Emphasis, Run Length Nonuniformity, and 2 wavelet coefficient energies obtained after the discrete wavelet transform. These parameters served as input for supervised machine learning models, specifically random forest and gradient boosting classifiers. The models demonstrated relatively robust performance in distinguishing hepatocyte chromatin structures belonging to the group exposed to IONPs from the controls. The study's findings suggest that iron oxide nanoparticles induce substantial changes in hepatocyte chromatin distribution and underscore the potential of AI techniques in advancing hepatocyte evaluation in physiological and pathological conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We conducted a study to evaluate the potential and robustness of gradient boosting algorithms in rock burst assessment, established a variational autoencoder (VAE) to address the imbalance rock burst dataset, and proposed a multilevel explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) tailored for tree-based ensemble learning. We collected 537 data from real-world rock burst records and selected four critical features contributing to rock burst occurrences. Initially, we employed data visualization to gain insight into the data's structure and performed correlation analysis to explore the data distribution and feature relationships. Then, we set up a VAE model to generate samples for the minority class due to the imbalanced class distribution. In conjunction with the VAE, we compared and evaluated six state-of-theart ensemble models, including gradient boosting algorithms and the classical logistic regression model, for rock burst prediction. The results indicated that gradient boosting algorithms outperformed the classical single models, and the VAE-classifier outperformed the original classifier, with the VAE-NGBoost model yielding the most favorable results. Compared to other resampling methods combined with NGBoost for imbalanced datasets, such as synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE), SMOTE-edited nearest neighbours (SMOTE-ENN), and SMOTE-tomek links (SMOTE-Tomek), the VAE-NGBoost model yielded the best performance. Finally, we developed a multilevel XAI model using feature sensitivity analysis, Tree Shapley Additive exPlanations (Tree SHAP), and Anchor to provide an in-depth exploration of the decision-making mechanics of VAE-NGBoost, further enhancing the accountability of treebased ensemble models in predicting rock burst occurrences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, graph neural networks (GNNs) have been extensively used to analyze graph data across various domains because of their powerful capabilities in learning complex graph-structured data. However, recent research has focused on improving the performance of a single GNN with only two or three layers. This is because stacking layers deeply causes the over-smoothing problem of GNNs, which degrades the performance of GNNs significantly. On the other hand, ensemble methods combine individual weak models to obtain better generalization performance. Among them, gradient boosting is a powerful supervised learning algorithm that adds new weak models in the direction of reducing the errors of the previously created weak models. After repeating this process, gradient boosting combines the weak models to produce a strong model with better performance. Until now, most studies on GNNs have focused on improving the performance of a single GNN. In contrast, improving the performance of GNNs using multiple GNNs has not been studied much yet. In this paper, we propose gradient boosted graph neural networks (GBGNN) that combine multiple shallow GNNs with gradient boosting. We use shallow GNNs as weak models and create new weak models using the proposed gradient boosting-based loss function. Our empirical evaluations on three real-world datasets demonstrate that GBGNN performs much better than a single GNN. Specifically, in our experiments using graph convolutional network (GCN) and graph attention network (GAT) as weak models on the Cora dataset, GBGNN achieves performance improvements of 12.3%p and 6.1%p in node classification accuracy compared to a single GCN and a single GAT, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Conventional concrete causes significant environmental problems, including resource depletion, high CO2 emissions, and high energy consumption. Steel slag aggregate (SSA), a by-product of the steelmaking industry, offers a sustainable alternative due to its environmental benefits and improved mechanical properties. This study examined the predictive power of four modeling techniques—Gene Expression Programming (GEP), an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest Regression (RFR), and Gradient Boosting (GB)—to predict the compressive strength (CS) of SSA concrete. Using 367 datasets from the literature, six input variables (cement, water, granulated furnace slag, superplasticizer, coarse aggregate, fine aggregate, and age) were utilized to predict compressive strength. The models' performance was evaluated using statistical measures such as the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), mean values, and coefficient of determination (R2). Results indicated that the GB model consistently outperformed RFR, GEP, and the ANN, achieving the highest R2 values of 0.99 and 0.96 for the training and testing dataset, respectively, followed by RFR with R2 values of 0.97 (training) and 0.93 (testing), GEP with R2 values of 0.85 (training) and 0.87 (testing), and ANN with R2 values of 0.61 (training) and 0.82 (testing). Additionally, the GB model had the lowest MAE values of 0.79 MPa (training) and 2.61 MPa (testing) and RMSE values of 1.90 MPa (training) and 3.95 MPa (testing). This research aims to advance predictive modeling in sustainable construction through analysis and well-defined conclusions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study focuses on the dynamics of the profit margin within the aviation MRO industry, using operational data from a small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) MRO company between 2013 and 2021. Especially in SME MROs, profit margin analysis provides an advantage in competing with the large companies that dominate the industry. Therefore, the operational data were prepared for analysis to identify the variables related to the profit margin. This study's data cleaning and transformation processes can serve as a guideline for similarly sized companies. The research aims to address the complex relationships among the factors influencing profit margins in this industry. The objective is to utilise these factors in making strategic decisions to increase the profit margin of an SME MRO company. Applying gradient boosting algorithms as the analytical framework should allow identifying the correct relationships between the profit margin and input variables according to time for the SME MRO company. Another important aspect of this study is to increase the accuracy of the gradient boosting model by utilising the interactive grouping methodology. The variable selection was performed by using the Gini indexes of the variables using interactive grouping as a criterion in selecting the variables to be included in the model. After the data cleaning, transformation, and selection, the input variables for the gradient boosting model were Part Description, Parts Billed Current (part cost), Labour Billed Current (labour cost), Diff Shipping Entry (turnaround time (TAT)), Diff Quote Entry (time to quotation (TTQ)), Manager, Department, and Status. In this study, the profitability model indicates that the SME MRO company should initially focus on part numbers and the departments, secondly on standardisation of and expertise in preferred workshop units, and lastly, on highly qualified and effective technical department leaders and increasing labour. The aviation industry emerges as a sector that requires such analytical studies. It is hoped that the study will serve as a foundational work for SME MRO companies in the aviation industry. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: To develop and validate machine learning models for predicting coronary artery disease (CAD) within a Taiwanese cohort, with an emphasis on identifying significant predictors and comparing the performance of various models. Methods: This study involved a comprehensive analysis of clinical, demographic, and laboratory data from 8,495 subjects in Taiwan Biobank (TWB) after propensity score matching to address potential confounding factors. Key variables included age, gender, lipid profiles (T-CHO, HDL_C, LDL_C, TG), smoking and alcohol consumption habits, and renal and liver function markers. The performance of multiple machine learning models was evaluated. Results: The cohort comprised 1,699 individuals with CAD identified through self-reported questionnaires. Significant differences were observed between CAD and non-CAD individuals regarding demographics and clinical features. Notably, the Gradient Boosting model emerged as the most accurate, achieving an AUC of 0.846 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.819–0.873), sensitivity of 0.776 (95% CI, 0.732–0.820), and specificity of 0.759 (95% CI, 0.736–0.782), respectively. The accuracy was 0.762 (95% CI, 0.742–0.782). Age was identified as the most influential predictor of CAD risk within the studied dataset. Conclusion: The Gradient Boosting machine learning model demonstrated superior performance in predicting CAD within the Taiwanese cohort, with age being a critical predictor. These findings underscore the potential of machine learning models in enhancing the prediction accuracy of CAD, thereby supporting early detection and targeted intervention strategies. Trial registration: Not applicable. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is an acute heart failure syndrome with symptoms similar to acute myocardial infarction. TTS is often triggered by acute emotional or physical stress and is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Predictors of mortality in patients with TS are not well understood, and there is a need to identify high-risk patients and tailor treatment accordingly. This study aimed to assess the importance of various clinical factors in predicting 30-day mortality in TTS patients using a machine learning algorithm. Methods: We analyzed data from the nationwide Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR) for all patients with TTS in Sweden between 2015 and 2022. Gradient boosting was used to assess the relative importance of variables in predicting 30-day mortality in TTS patients. Results: Of 3,180 patients hospitalized with TTS, 76.0% were women. The median age was 71.0 years (interquartile range 62–77). The crude all-cause mortality rate was 3.2% at 30 days. Machine learning algorithms by gradient boosting identified treating hospitals as the most important predictor of 30-day mortality. This factor was followed in significance by the clinical indication for angiography, creatinine level, Killip class, and age. Other less important factors included weight, height, and certain medical conditions such as hyperlipidemia and smoking status. Conclusions: Using machine learning with gradient boosting, we analyzed all Swedish patients diagnosed with TTS over seven years and found that the treating hospital was the most significant predictor of 30-day mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Most algorithms that are used to predict the effects of variants rely on evolutionary conservation. However, a majority of such techniques compute evolutionary conservation by solely using the alignment of multiple sequences while overlooking the evolutionary context of substitution events. We had introduced PHACT, a scoring-based pathogenicity predictor for missense mutations that can leverage phylogenetic trees, in our previous study. By building on this foundation, we now propose PHACTboost, a gradient boosting tree–based classifier that combines PHACT scores with information from multiple sequence alignments, phylogenetic trees, and ancestral reconstruction. By learning from data, PHACTboost outperforms PHACT. Furthermore, the results of comprehensive experiments on carefully constructed sets of variants demonstrated that PHACTboost can outperform 40 prevalent pathogenicity predictors reported in the dbNSFP, including conventional tools, metapredictors, and deep learning–based approaches as well as more recent tools such as AlphaMissense, EVE, and CPT-1. The superiority of PHACTboost over these methods was particularly evident in case of hard variants for which different pathogenicity predictors offered conflicting results. We provide predictions of 215 million amino acid alterations over 20,191 proteins. PHACTboost is available at https://github.com/CompGenomeLab/PHACTboost. PHACTboost can improve our understanding of genetic diseases and facilitate more accurate diagnoses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This research explores the effectiveness of ensemble learning techniques, including Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Stacking, in improving the accuracy and reliability of stock price predictions. Leveraging a dataset of daily trading data for Amicorp Inc. spanning three years, we conducted a comprehensive analysis to investigate the impact of feature engineering, model performance, robustness, and adaptability to varying market conditions. Our findings reveal that feature engineering significantly enhances model performance, with models incorporating additional financial indicators consistently outperforming those without. Among the ensemble methods evaluated, the Random Forest ensemble emerged as the top performer, demonstrating its superiority with the lowest prediction errors. Furthermore, the model displayed robustness in volatile market conditions and resistance to outliers. Market regime analysis highlighted the adaptability of ensemble methods, with consistent performance across bull, bear, and sideways markets. Practical implications were exemplified through a strategic trading strategy based on Random Forest predictions, achieving favorable risk-adjusted returns. These results contribute valuable insights to researchers and practitioners seeking to employ ensemble learning in stock price prediction, underlining its potential for enhancing forecasting accuracy in real-world financial markets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There are many different kinds of skin cancer, and an early and precise diagnosis is crucial because skin cancer is both frequent and deadly. The key to effective treatment is accurately classifying the various skin cancers, which have unique traits. Dermoscopy and other advanced imaging techniques have enhanced early detection by providing detailed images of lesions. However, accurately interpreting these images to distinguish between benign and malignant tumors remains a difficult task. Improved predictive modeling techniques are necessary due to the frequent occurrence of erroneous and inconsistent outcomes in the present diagnostic processes. Machine learning (ML) models have become essential in the field of dermatology for the automated identification and categorization of skin cancer lesions using image data. The aim of this work is to develop improved skin cancer predictions by using ensemble models, which combine numerous machine learning approaches to maximize their combined strengths and reduce their individual shortcomings. This paper proposes a fresh and special approach for ensemble model optimization for skin cancer classification: the Max Voting method. We trained and assessed five different ensemble models using the ISIC 2018 and HAM10000 datasets: AdaBoost, CatBoost, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Extra Trees. Their combined predictions enhance the overall performance with the Max Voting method. Moreover, the ensemble models were fed with feature vectors that were optimally generated from the image data by a genetic algorithm (GA). We show that, with an accuracy of 95.80%, the Max Voting approach significantly improves the predictive performance when compared to the five ensemble models individually. Obtaining the best results for F1-measure, recall, and precision, the Max Voting method turned out to be the most dependable and robust. The novel aspect of this work is that skin cancer lesions are more robustly and reliably classified using the Max Voting technique. Several pre-trained machine learning models' benefits are combined in this approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study investigates the use of developed machine learning techniques for modeling the performance of AlHayer, Saudi Arabia, wastewater treatment plant (ALWTP). Three physio-chemical characteristics were measured and predicted, including chemical oxygen demand (COD), biological oxygen demand (BOD), and suspended solids (SS), at ALWTP. The pre-evaluation of collected data revealed the effective capabilities of ALWTP for the removal of suspended solids, organic, and nutrient pollutants. To estimate the physio-chemical characteristics of ALWATP, four developed machine learning techniques were evaluated and compared. Logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB), and support vector regression (SVR) were designed. The evaluation of the proposed models showed RF outperformed other proposed models for estimating COD and SS with accuracy 91 % and 95 % in terms coefficient of determination (R2 ); however, GB was found the best, with accuracy 92 %, for detecting the BOD performance of ALWATP. This indicates ensemble learning models, RF and GB, can be considered a superiority soft solution for estimating physio-chemical characteristics of wastewater treatment plant. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The machining learning-based predictive model of double disc chemo-magnetorheological finishing process of silicon was proposed in the present manuscript. Six different methods such as CatBoost Regressor, XGBoost, Random Forest Regressor, Gradient Boosting Regressor, Linear Regression, and AdaBoost Regressor were used to predict the surface roughness. The models were trained by the experimental data of surface roughness of silicon wafer polished at combination of different set of parameters. The gradient boosting algorithm was introduced to train the dataset of the models for the surface roughness of the silicon wafer. The robustness of the models was verified with K-fold cross method. The models were verified with the condition monitoring data collected by experimental results. The models were also developed for ultrasonic assistance during the double disc chemo-magnetorheological finishing process. The CatBoost approach outperformed the other models. The accuracy of the CatBoost model was 99.92% and 98.35% for the experimental data without and with ultrasonic vibration assistance. The optimised values from the predicted model were 4.21 nm and 3.4 nm without and with the assistance of vibration for the chemo-magnetorheological finishing process and have good agreement with the experimental results. The acquired experimental findings indicate that the suggested data-driven predictive modelling methodology can accurately forecast the surface roughness of polished silicon wafers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Cervical cancer is one of the most dangerous malignancies in women. Prolonged survival times are made possible by breakthroughs in early recognition and efficient treatment of a disease.The existing methods are lagging on finding the important attributes to predict the survival outcome. The main objective of this study is to find individuals with cervical cancer who are at greater risk of death from recurrence by predicting the survival.A novel approach in a proposed technique is Triangulating feature importance to find the important risk factors through which the treatment may vary to improve the survival outcome.Five algorithms Support vector machine, Naive Bayes, supervised logistic regression, decision tree algorithm, Gradient boosting, and random forest are used to build the concept. Conventional attribute selection methods like information gain (IG), FCBF, and ReliefFare employed. The recommended classifier is evaluated for Precision, Recall, F1, Mathews Correlation Coefficient (MCC), Classification Accuracy (CA), and Area under curve (AUC) using various methods. Gradient boosting algorithm (CAT BOOST) attains the highest accuracy value of 0.99 to predict survival outcome of recurrence cervical cancer patients. The proposed outcome of the research is to identify the important risk factors through which the survival outcome of the patients improved.

Abstract This study focuses on developing machine learning models to detect subtle alterations in hepatocyte chromatin organization due to Iron (II, III) oxide nanoparticle exposure, hypothesizing that exposure will significantly alter chromatin texture. A total of 2000 hepatocyte nuclear regions of interest (ROIs) from mouse liver tissue were analyzed, and for each ROI, 5 different parameters were calculated: Long Run Emphasis, Short Run Emphasis, Run Length Nonuniformity, and 2 wavelet coefficient energies obtained after the discrete wavelet transform. These parameters served as input for supervised machine learning models, specifically random forest and gradient boosting classifiers. The models demonstrated relatively robust performance in distinguishing hepatocyte chromatin structures belonging to the group exposed to IONPs from the controls. The study's findings suggest that iron oxide nanoparticles induce substantial changes in hepatocyte chromatin distribution and underscore the potential of AI techniques in advancing hepatocyte evaluation in physiological and pathological conditions.

Abstract Objective To develop and validate machine learning models for predicting coronary artery disease (CAD) within a Taiwanese cohort, with an emphasis on identifying significant predictors and comparing the performance of various models. Methods This study involved a comprehensive analysis of clinical, demographic, and laboratory data from 8,495 subjects in Taiwan Biobank (TWB) after propensity score matching to address potential confounding factors. Key variables included age, gender, lipid profiles (T-CHO, HDL_C, LDL_C, TG), smoking and alcohol consumption habits, and renal and liver function markers. The performance of multiple machine learning models was evaluated. Results The cohort comprised 1,699 individuals with CAD identified through self-reported questionnaires. Significant differences were observed between CAD and non-CAD individuals regarding demographics and clinical features. Notably, the Gradient Boosting model emerged as the most accurate, achieving an AUC of 0.846 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.819–0.873), sensitivity of 0.776 (95% CI, 0.732–0.820), and specificity of 0.759 (95% CI, 0.736–0.782), respectively. The accuracy was 0.762 (95% CI, 0.742–0.782). Age was identified as the most influential predictor of CAD risk within the studied dataset. Conclusion The Gradient Boosting machine learning model demonstrated superior performance in predicting CAD within the Taiwanese cohort, with age being a critical predictor. These findings underscore the potential of machine learning models in enhancing the prediction accuracy of CAD, thereby supporting early detection and targeted intervention strategies. Trial registration Not applicable.

Abstract Background Takotsubo syndrome (TTS) is an acute heart failure syndrome with symptoms similar to acute myocardial infarction. TTS is often triggered by acute emotional or physical stress and is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Predictors of mortality in patients with TS are not well understood, and there is a need to identify high-risk patients and tailor treatment accordingly. This study aimed to assess the importance of various clinical factors in predicting 30-day mortality in TTS patients using a machine learning algorithm. Methods We analyzed data from the nationwide Swedish Coronary Angiography and Angioplasty Registry (SCAAR) for all patients with TTS in Sweden between 2015 and 2022. Gradient boosting was used to assess the relative importance of variables in predicting 30-day mortality in TTS patients. Results Of 3,180 patients hospitalized with TTS, 76.0% were women. The median age was 71.0 years (interquartile range 62–77). The crude all-cause mortality rate was 3.2% at 30 days. Machine learning algorithms by gradient boosting identified treating hospitals as the most important predictor of 30-day mortality. This factor was followed in significance by the clinical indication for angiography, creatinine level, Killip class, and age. Other less important factors included weight, height, and certain medical conditions such as hyperlipidemia and smoking status. Conclusions Using machine learning with gradient boosting, we analyzed all Swedish patients diagnosed with TTS over seven years and found that the treating hospital was the most significant predictor of 30-day mortality.

Significantly frolicking under the management of large developers, the housing and utilities sector, just like some other business, requires clear financial and resource planning. A qualitative forecast that takes into account relevant data not only retrospective data on sales volumes of services, but also the size of utility payments, prices for housing and communal services, etc., allows effective planning of business management activities. This paper is devoted to the problem of forecasting cash receipts for a management company. Based on the analysis of publications devoted to the issues of forecasting and planning income for management companies, it is revealed that the list is limited, indicating the narrow focus of the problem and its certain complexity. The study proposes a variant algorithm for forecasting the income of a management company engaged in integrated services in the domain of housing and communal services and providing living conditions for residents of apartment buildings, which is based on the method of machine learning.