92 results on '"Grépin KA"'
Search Results
2. Achilles' heel: elderly COVID-19 vaccination policy in China.
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Deng Z and Grépin KA
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- Humans, China, Aged, Retrospective Studies, Aged, 80 and over, COVID-19 prevention & control, Health Policy, COVID-19 Vaccines, Vaccination, Vaccination Coverage, SARS-CoV-2
- Abstract
Background: Despite high overall COVID-19 vaccine coverage, the continuously low elderly vaccination rate in mainland China remains a dangerous threat as the country shifts away from its zero-Covid policy. This retrospective study uses the Multiple Streams Framework to examine how macro-level factors may explain poor elderly vaccination outcomes., Methods: We performed a thematic analysis of qualitative data obtained from 95 official press conferences from October 20, 2020, to February 27, 2023, vaccination-related policy documents, and media coverage, using both inductive and deductive coding approaches., Results: Our findings suggest that in the problem stream, elderly vaccination was not a "focusing event" during the initial vaccine rollout, resulting in delayed outreach to this population. Additionally, ideologically driven complacency and discrepancies in top-down implementation undermined elderly vaccination in the political stream. In the policy stream, precautious and ambiguous statements, inconsistent policy content, radical shifting media messages, and less age-friendly digital technologies also affected elderly vaccination., Conclusions: The poor convergence of the three streams led the elderly to be the Achilles' heel of China's COVID-19 containment strategy. Future studies should focus on priority identification, adoption of enforcement measures, and timely and effective policy dissemination. The empirical lessons from China can inform and optimize elderly vaccination policy design and implementation in the post-pandemic era., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
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- 2024
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3. Understanding China's shifting priorities and priority-setting processes in development assistance for health.
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Guo B, Fan V, Strange A, and Grépin KA
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- Humans, Asia, China, Africa, Pandemics, COVID-19 epidemiology
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Over the past two decades, China has become a distinctive and increasingly important donor of development assistance for health (DAH). However, little is known about what factors influence China's priority-setting for DAH. In this study, we provide an updated analysis of trends in the priorities of Chinese DAH and compare them to comparable trends among OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) donors using data from the AidData's Global Chinese Development Finance Dataset (2000-2017, version 2.0) and the Creditor Reporting System (CRS) database (2000-2017). We also analyse Chinese medical aid exports before and after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic using a Chinese Aid Exports Database. We further explore the potential factors influencing China's shifting priority-setting processes by reviewing Chinese official documents following Walt and Gilson's policy analysis framework (context-actors-process-content) and by testing our conjectures empirically. We find that China has become an important DAH donor to most regions if measured using project value, including but not limited to Africa. China has prioritized aid to African and Asian countries as well as to CRS subsectors that are not prioritized by DAC donors, such as medical services and basic health infrastructure. Chinese quarterly medical aid exports almost quintupled after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Noticeably, China has allocated more attention to Asia, eye diseases and infectious disease outbreaks over time. In contrast, the priority given to malaria has declined over the same period. Regarding factors affecting priority shifts, the outbreaks of SARS and Ebola, the launch of the Belt and Road Initiative and the COVID-19 pandemic appear to be important milestones in the timeline of Chinese DAH. Unlike stereotypes of China as a 'lone wolf' donor, our analysis suggests multilateral processes are influential in informing and setting Chinese DAH priorities., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.)
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- 2024
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4. The impact of COVID-19 and national pandemic responses on health service utilisation in seven low- and middle-income countries.
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Fejfar D, Andom AT, Msuya M, Jeune MA, Lambert W, Varney PF, Aron MB, Connolly E, Juárez A, Aranda Z, Niyigena A, Cubaka VK, Boima F, Reed V, Law MR, Grépin KA, Mugunga JC, Hedt-Gauthier B, and Fulcher I
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- Humans, Developing Countries, Pandemics, Health Facilities, Ambulatory Care, COVID-19 epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted health services worldwide, which may have led to increased mortality and secondary disease outbreaks. Disruptions vary by patient population, geographic area, and service. While many reasons have been put forward to explain disruptions, few studies have empirically investigated their causes., Objective: We quantify disruptions to outpatient services, facility-based deliveries, and family planning in seven low- and middle-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic and quantify relationships between disruptions and the intensity of national pandemic responses., Methods: We leveraged routine data from 104 Partners In Health-supported facilities from January 2016 to December 2021. We first quantified COVID-19-related disruptions in each country by month using negative binomial time series models. We then modelled the relationship between disruptions and the intensity of national pandemic responses, as measured by the stringency index from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker., Results: For all the studied countries, we observed at least one month with a significant decline in outpatient visits during the COVID-19 pandemic. We also observed significant cumulative drops in outpatient visits across all months in Lesotho, Liberia, Malawi, Rwanda, and Sierra Leone. A significant cumulative decrease in facility-based deliveries was observed in Haiti, Lesotho, Mexico, and Sierra Leone. No country had significant cumulative drops in family planning visits. For a 10-unit increase in the average monthly stringency index, the proportion deviation in monthly facility outpatient visits compared to expected fell by 3.9% (95% CI: -5.1%, -1.6%). No relationship between stringency of pandemic responses and utilisation was observed for facility-based deliveries or family planning., Conclusions: Context-specific strategies show the ability of health systems to sustain essential health services during the pandemic. The link between pandemic responses and healthcare utilisation can inform purposeful strategies to ensure communities have access to care and provide lessons for promoting the utilisation of health services elsewhere.
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- 2023
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5. Identifying barriers to the production and use of routine health information in Western Province, Zambia.
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Lee NM, Singini D, Janes CR, Grépin KA, and Liu JA
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Recent decades of improvements to routine health information systems in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) have increased the volume of health data collected. However, countries continue to face several challenges with quality production and use of information for decision-making at sub-national levels, limiting the value of health information for policy, planning and research. Improving the quality of data production and information use is thus a priority in many LMICs to improve decision-making and health outcomes. This qualitative study identified the challenges of producing and using routine health information in Western Province, Zambia. We analysed the interview responses from 37 health and social sector professionals at the national, provincial, district and facility levels to understand the barriers to using data from the Zambian health management information system (HMIS). Respondents raised several challenges that we categorized into four themes: governance and health system organization, geographic barriers, technical and procedural barriers, and challenges with human resource capacity and staff training. Staff at the facility and district levels were arguably the most impacted by these barriers as they are responsible for much of the labour to collect and report routine data. However, facility and district staff had the least authority and ability to mitigate the barriers to data production and information use. Expectations for information use should therefore be clearly outlined for each level of the health system. Further research is needed to understand to what extent the available HMIS data address the needs and purposes of the staff at facilities and districts., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.)
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- 2023
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6. Effectiveness of international border control measures during the COVID-19 pandemic: a narrative synthesis of published systematic reviews.
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Grépin KA, Aston J, and Burns J
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- Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, Public Health, Publications, Systematic Reviews as Topic, COVID-19 epidemiology
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The effectiveness of international border control measures during the COVID-19 pandemic is not well understood. Using a narrative synthesis approach to published systematic reviews, we synthesized the evidence from both modelling and observational studies on the effects of border control measures on domestic transmission of the virus. We find that symptomatic screening measures were not particularly effective, but that diagnostic-based screening methods were more effective at identifying infected travellers. Targeted travel restrictions levied against travellers from Wuhan were likely temporarily effective but insufficient to stop the exportation of the virus to the rest of the world. Quarantine of inbound travellers was also likely effective at reducing transmission, but only with relatively long quarantine periods, and came with important economic and social effects. There is little evidence that most travel restrictions, including border closure and those implemented to stop the introduction of new variants of concern, were particularly effective. Border control measures played an important role in former elimination locations but only when coupled with strong domestic public health measures. In future outbreaks, if border control measures are to be adopted, they should be seen as part of a broader strategy that includes other non-pharmaceutical interventions. This article is part of the theme issue 'The effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the COVID-19 pandemic: the evidence'.
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- 2023
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7. An analysis of WHO's Temporary Recommendations on international travel and trade measures during Public Health Emergencies of International Concern.
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Worsnop CZ, Nass S, Grépin KA, and Lee K
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- Humans, World Health Organization, Emergencies, Pandemics, Public Health, COVID-19
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During Public Health Emergencies of International Concern (PHEICs), The International Health Regulations (IHR) require the WHO to issue Temporary Recommendations on the use of international travel and trade measures. During the COVID-19 pandemic, WHO's initial recommendation against 'any travel or trade restriction' has been questioned, and virtually all countries subsequently used international travel measures. WHO's Recommendations to States Parties also changed over the course of the pandemic. There is a need to understand how WHO's treatment of this issue compared with other PHEICs and why States Parties' actions diverged from WHO's initial Recommendations. This first analysis of WHO's Temporary Recommendations on international travel and trade measures during all seven PHEICs compares the guidance for clarity and consistency in several areas of substance and process. We find that lack of clarity and inconsistency in WHO guidance makes it difficult to interpret and relate back to IHR obligations. Based on this analysis, we offer recommendations to increase consistency and clarity of WHO's guidance on this issue during global health emergencies., Competing Interests: Competing interests: CZW was a member of a WHO guideline development group and technical consultation in 2019. KL was a member of two donor-funded reviews of WHO in 1995 and 1997. She was previously a codirector of the WHO Collaborating Centre on Global Change and Health, and has received WHO funding for research on globalisation and infectious diseases, global health governance, tobacco control and COVID-19. She is currently a member of an expert group and editorial board supporting the WHO Programme of Work on the Economic and Commercial Determinants of Health., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2023
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8. Do referrals improve the representation of women in mobile phone surveys?
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Glazerman S, Grépin KA, Mueller V, Rosenbaum M, and Wu N
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Random digit dial surveys with mobile phones risk under-representation of women. To address this, we compare the characteristics of women recruited directly with those of women recruited through referrals from male household members. The referral process improves representation of vulnerable groups, such as young women, the asset poor, and those living in areas with low connectivity. Among mobile phone users, we show a referral (rather than a direct dial) protocol includes more nationally representative proportions of women with these attributes. While seeking intra-household referrals may improve representation, we show that it does so at a higher cost., (© 2023 The Authors.)
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- 2023
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9. Unmasking the truth: Experimental evidence of facemask compliance in Bangladesh, Kenya, and Nigeria during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Grépin KA, Mueller V, Wu N, and Rabbani A
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High levels of compliance with public health measures are critical to ensure a successful response to the COVID-19 pandemic and other public health emergencies. However, most data on compliance are self-reported and the tendency to overreport due to social desirability could yield biased estimates of actual compliance. A list experiment is a widely used method to estimate social desirability bias in self-reported estimates of sensitive behaviours. We estimate rates of compliance with facemask mandates in Kenya, Nigeria, and Bangladesh using data from phone surveys conducted in March-April 2021. Data on compliance were collected from two different survey modules: a self-reported compliance module (stated) and a list experiment (elicited). We find large gaps between stated and elicited rates of facemask wearing for different groups depending on specific country contexts and high levels of overreporting of facemask compliance in self-reported surveys: there was an almost 40 percentage point gap in Kenya, 30 percentage points in Nigeria, and 20 percentage points in Bangladesh. We also observe differences in rates of self-reported facemask wearing among key groups but not using the elicited responses from the list experiment, which suggest that social desirability bias may vary by demographics. Data collected from self-reported surveys may not be reliable to monitor ongoing compliance with public health measures. Moreover, elicited compliance rates indicate levels of mask wearing are likely much lower than those estimated using self-reported data., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Grépin et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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10. Data flows during public health emergencies in LMICs: A people-centered mapping of data flows during the 2018 ebola epidemic in Equateur, DRC.
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Abramowitz S, Stevens LA, Kyomba G, Mayaka S, and Grépin KA
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- Humans, Public Health, Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Developing Countries, Emergencies, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola epidemiology
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In infectious outbreaks, rapid case detection and reporting, coordination, and context-specific strategies are needed for rapid containment. Data sharing between actors, and the speed and content of data flows, is essential for expediting epidemic response. In this study, researchers mapped data flows during the 2018 Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak in Equateur Province in the Democratic Republic of the Congo using semi-structured interviews, ethnographic research, and focus groups with EVD response actors. During this research, we mapped and tracked data collection, transmission, storage, sharing, and use patterns. Target participants included: key organizational actors in the EVD outbreaks responses, including local (primary health, community-based, hospital), provincial (MoPH, DRC Red Cross), and international (WHO, UN organizations, international first-responders) stakeholders. We found that a community-based surveillance system enabled the rapid detection of a hemorrhagic fever outbreak, resulting in the rapid laboratory confirmation of EVD. With the arrival of international organizations to provide support to the EVD response, routine surveillance systems continued to function robustly. However, the establishment of a vertical EVD response architecture created challenges for the response. Data flows during the Equateur outbreak were hampered by numerous challenges in the domains of early warning, line lists of cases, and contact tracing, which impeded surveillance and data flows. We therefore argue that structuring health information systems for preparedness requires taking a person-centered approach to data production, flow, and analysis., (Copyright © 2022. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2023
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11. Reconceptualizing successful pandemic preparedness and response: A feminist perspective.
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Smith J, Davies SE, Grépin KA, Harman S, Herten-Crabb A, Murage A, Morgan R, and Wenham C
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- Female, Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control
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Pandemic preparedness and COVID-19 response indicators focus on public health outcomes (such as infections, case fatalities, and vaccination rates), health system capacity, and/or the effects of the pandemic on the economy, yet this avoids more political questions regarding how responses were mobilized. Pandemic preparedness country rankings have been called into question due to their inability to predict COVID-19 response and outcomes, and COVID-19 response indicators have ignored one of the most well documented secondary effects of the pandemic - its disproportionate effects on women. This paper analyzes pandemic preparedness and response indicators from a feminist perspective to understand how indicators might consider the secondary effects of the pandemic on women and other equity deserving groups. Following a discussion of the tensions that exist between feminist methodologies and the reliance on indicators by policymakers in preparing and responding to health emergencies, we assess the strengths and weakness of current pandemic preparedness and COVID-19 response indicators. The risk with existing pandemic preparedness and response indicators is that they give only limited attention to secondary effects of pandemics and inequities in terms of who is disproportionately affected. There is an urgent need to reconceptualize what 'successful' pandemic preparedness and response entails, moving beyond epidemiological and economic measurements. We suggest how efforts to design COVID response indicators on gender inclusion could inform pandemic preparedness and associated indicators., (Copyright © 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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12. Unpacking multi-level governance of antimicrobial resistance policies: the case of Guangdong, China.
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Chan OSK, Wernli D, Liu P, Tun HM, Fukuda K, Lam W, Xiao Y, Zhou X, and Grépin KA
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- Animals, Anti-Bacterial Agents therapeutic use, China, Humans, Policy, Anti-Infective Agents pharmacology, Drug Resistance, Bacterial
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Against the backdrop of universal healthcare coverage and pre-existing policies on antimicrobial use, China has adopted a state-governed, multi-level, top-down policy governance approach around an antimicrobial resistance (AMR) national action plan (NAP). The Plan relies on tightening control over antimicrobial prescription and use in human and animal sectors. At the same time, medical doctors and veterinarians operate in an environment of high rates of infectious diseases, multi-drug resistance and poor livestock husbandry. In exploring the way that policy responsibilities are distributed, this study aims to describe how Guangdong as a province adopts national AMR policies in a tightly controlled public policy system and an economy with high disparity. We draw on an analysis of 225 AMR-relevant Chinese policy documents at the national and sub-national levels. We adopt a multi-level governance perspective and apply a temporal sequence framework to identify and analyse documents. To identify policy detail, we conducted keyword analysis using the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR) on policies that conserve antimicrobials. We also identify pre-existing medical and public policies associated with AMR. Our findings highlight the emphasis and policies around antimicrobial use regulation to address AMR in China., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.)
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- 2022
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13. The Unintended Consequences of Information Provision: The World Health Organization and Border Restrictions during COVID-19.
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Worsnop CZ, Grépin KA, Lee K, and Marion S
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Why do some international agreements fail to achieve their goals? Rather than states' engaging in cheap talk, evasion, or shallow commitments, the World Health Organization's (WHO) International Health Regulations (IHR)-the agreement governing states' and WHO's response to global health emergencies-point to the unintended consequences of information provision. The IHR have a dual goal of providing public health protection from health threats while minimizing unnecessary interference in international traffic. As such, during major outbreaks WHO provides information about spread and severity, as well as guidance about how states should respond, primarily regarding border policies. During COVID-19, border restrictions such as entry restrictions, flight suspensions, and border closures have been commonplace even though WHO recommended against such policies when it declared the outbreak a public health emergency in January 2020. Building on findings from the 2014 Ebola outbreak, we argue that without raising the cost of disregarding (or the benefits of following) recommendations against border restrictions, information from WHO about outbreak spread and severity leads states to impose border restrictions inconsistent with WHO's guidance. Using new data from COVID-19, we show that WHO's public health emergency declaration and pandemic announcement are associated with increases in the number of states imposing border restrictions., (© The Author(s) (2022). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Studies Association.)
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- 2022
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14. Understanding the challenges associated with the use of data from routine health information systems in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review.
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Hoxha K, Hung YW, Irwin BR, and Grépin KA
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- Data Collection, Delivery of Health Care, Developing Countries, Information Systems, Health Information Systems
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Background: Routine health information systems (RHISs) are crucial to informing decision-making at all levels of the health system. However, the use of RHIS data in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is limited due to concerns regarding quality, accuracy, timeliness, completeness and representativeness., Objective: This study systematically reviewed technical, behavioural and organisational/environmental challenges that hinder the use of RHIS data in LMICs and strategies implemented to overcome these challenges., Method: Four electronic databases were searched for studies describing challenges associated with the use of RHIS data and/or strategies implemented to circumvent these challenges in LMICs. Identified articles were screened against inclusion and exclusion criteria by two independent reviewers., Results: Sixty studies met the inclusion criteria and were included in this review, 55 of which described challenges in using RHIS data and 20 of which focused on strategies to address these challenges. Identified challenges and strategies were organised by their technical, behavioural and organisational/environmental determinants and by the core steps of the data process. Organisational/environmental challenges were the most commonly reported barriers to data use, while technical challenges were the most commonly addressed with strategies., Conclusion: Despite the known benefits of RHIS data for health system strengthening, numerous challenges continue to impede their use in practice., Implications: Additional research is needed to identify effective strategies for addressing the determinants of RHIS use, particularly given the disconnect identified between the type of challenge most commonly described in the literature and the type of challenge most commonly targeted for interventions.
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- 2022
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15. Long-term spill-over impact of COVID-19 on health and healthcare of people with non-communicable diseases: a study protocol for a population-based cohort and health economic study.
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Youn HM, Quan J, Mak IL, Yu EYT, Lau CS, Ip MSM, Tang SCW, Wong ICK, Lau KK, Lee MSF, Ng CS, Grépin KA, Chao DVK, Ko WWK, Lam CLK, and Wan EYF
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- Adolescent, Adult, Cohort Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Pandemics, COVID-19 epidemiology, Noncommunicable Diseases epidemiology, Noncommunicable Diseases therapy
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Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has a significant spill-over effect on people with non-communicable diseases (NCDs) over the long term, beyond the direct effect of COVID-19 infection. Evaluating changes in health outcomes, health service use and costs can provide evidence to optimise care for people with NCDs during and after the pandemic, and to better prepare outbreak responses in the future., Methods and Analysis: This is a population-based cohort study using electronic health records of the Hong Kong Hospital Authority (HA) CMS, economic modelling and serial cross-sectional surveys on health service use. This study includes people aged ≥18 years who have a documented diagnosis of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic respiratory disease or chronic kidney disease with at least one attendance at the HA hospital or clinic between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2019, and without COVID-19 infection. Changes in all-cause mortality, disease-specific outcomes, and health services use rates and costs will be assessed between pre-COVID-19 and-post-COVID-19 pandemic or during each wave using an interrupted time series analysis. The long-term health economic impact of healthcare disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic will be studied using microsimulation modelling. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression and Poisson/negative binomial regression will be used to evaluate the effect of different modes of supplementary care on health outcomes., Ethics and Dissemination: The study was approved by the institutional review board of the University of Hong Kong, the HA Hong Kong West Cluster (reference number UW 21-297). The study findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and international conferences., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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16. Using gender analysis matrixes to integrate a gender lens into infectious diseases outbreaks research.
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Morgan R, Davies SE, Feng H, Gan CCR, Grépin KA, Harman S, Herten-Crabb A, Smith J, and Wenham C
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- Disease Outbreaks, Female, Humans, Male, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, Communicable Diseases
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Evidence shows that infectious disease outbreaks are not gender-neutral, meaning that women, men and gender minorities are differentially affected. This evidence affirms the need to better incorporate a gender lens into infectious disease outbreaks. Despite this evidence, there has been a historic neglect of gender-based analysis in health, including during health crises. Recognizing the lack of available evidence on gender and pandemics in early 2020 the Gender and COVID-19 project set out to use a gender analysis matrix to conduct rapid, real-time analyses while the pandemic was unfolding to examine the gendered effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. This paper reports on what a gender analysis matrix is, how it can be used to systematically conduct a gender analysis, how it was implemented within the study, ways in which the findings from the matrix were applied and built upon, and challenges encountered when using the matrix methodology., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine.)
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- 2022
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17. Assessing routine health information system performance during the tenth outbreak of Ebola virus disease (2018-2020) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: A qualitative study in North Kivu.
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Kyomba GK, Kiyombo GM, Grépin KA, Mayaka SM, Mambu TN, Hategeka C, Mapatano MA, Alcayna-Stevens L, Kapanga SK, Konde JN, Ngo DB, Babakazo PD, Mafuta EM, Lulebo AM, Ruton H, and Law MR
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The Democratic Republic of Congo has implemented reforms to its national routine health information system (RHIS) to improve timeliness, completeness, and use of quality data. However, outbreaks can undermine efforts to strengthen it. We assessed the functioning of the RHIS during the 2018-2020 outbreak of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) to identify opportunities for future development. We conducted a qualitative study in North Kivu, from March to May 2020. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 34 key informants purposively selected from among the personnel involved in the production of RHIS data. The topics discussed included RHIS functioning, tools, compilation, validation, quality, sharing, and the use of data. Audio recordings were transcribed verbatim and thematic analysis was used to study the interviewees' lived experience. The RHIS retained its structure, tools, and flow during the outbreak. The need for other types of data to inform the EVD response created other parallel systems to the RHIS. This included data from Ebola treatment centers, vaccination against Ebola, points of entry surveillance, and safe and dignified burial. The informants indicated that the availability of weekly surveillance data had improved, while timeliness and quality of monthly RHIS reporting declined. The compilation of data was late and validation meetings were irregular. The upsurge of patients following the implementation of the free care policy, the departure of healthcare workers for better-paid jobs, and the high prioritization of the outbreak response over routine activities led to RHIS disruptions. Delays in decision-making were one of the consequences of the decline in data timeliness. Adequate allocation of human resources, equitable salary policy, coordination, and integration of the response with local structures are necessary to ensure optimal functioning of the RHIS during an outbreak. Future research should assess the scale of data quality changes during outbreaks., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2022 Kyomba et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2022
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18. Isolation facilities for covid-19: towards a person centred approach.
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De Foo C, Haldane V, Jung AS, Grépin KA, Wu S, Singh S, Perera N, Miranda JJ, McKee M, and Legido-Quigley H
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- Humans, Patient-Centered Care, Surveys and Questionnaires, COVID-19
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Competing Interests: Competing interests: We have read and understood BMJ policy on declaration of interests and have the following interests to declare: All authors declare no conflicts of interest.
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- 2022
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19. The impact of institutional delivery on neonatal and maternal health outcomes: evidence from a road upgrade programme in India.
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Shajarizadeh A and Grépin KA
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- Educational Status, Family, Female, Humans, India epidemiology, Infant, Newborn, Infant Mortality, Maternal Health
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Introduction: Persistently high rates of neonatal and maternal mortality have been associated with home births in many low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, causal evidence of the effect of institutional deliveries on neonatal and maternal health outcomes is limited in these settings., Methods: We investigate the effect of institutional deliveries on neonatal mortality and maternal postpartum complications in rural India using data from the 2015-2016 Indian Demographic and Health Survey and an instrumental variable methodology to overcome selection bias issues inherent in observational studies. Specifically, we exploit plausibly exogenous variation in exposure to a road upgrade programme that quasi-randomly upgraded roads to villages across India., Results: We find large effects of the road construction programme on the probability that a woman delivered in a health facility: moving from an unconnected village to a connected village increased the probability of an institutional delivery by 13 percentage points, with the biggest increases in institutional delivery observed in public hospitals and among women with lower levels of education and from poorer households. However, we find no evidence that increased institutional delivery rates improved rates of neonatal mortality or postpartum complications, regardless of whether the delivery occurred in a public or private facility, or if it was with a skilled birth attendant., Conclusion: Policies that encourage institutional delivery do not always translate into increased health outcomes and should thus be complemented with efforts to improve the quality of care to improve neonatal and maternal health outcomes in LMICs., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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20. Understanding the societal factors of vaccine acceptance and hesitancy: evidence from Hong Kong.
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Lau BHP, Yuen SWH, Yue RPH, and Grépin KA
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- COVID-19 Vaccines, Hong Kong, Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, Patient Acceptance of Health Care, Vaccination, COVID-19, Vaccines
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Objectives: Vaccination is considered to be an important public health strategy for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic. Besides subjective evaluations of the vaccine and the health threat, societal factors have been seen as crucial to vaccination decisions. Based on a socioecological perspective, this study examines the role of societal factors in COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in Hong Kong., Study Design and Method: An online survey was fielded between 25 and 28 June 2021, collecting 2753 complete responses. Multinomial logistic regression was conducted to examine how subjective evaluations of the vaccine (summarised by the 5C model - Confidence, Collective responsibility, Constraints, Complacency and Calculation), threat perception, interpersonal influences and institutional trust contribute to explaining three types of decision - acceptant (vaccinated, scheduled or indicated 'Yes'), hesitant (unvaccinated and indicated 'Maybe' on intention) and resistant (unvaccinated and indicated 'No')., Results: A total of 43.2%, 21.7% and 35.1% of respondents were acceptant, hesitant and resistant. Although the 5C model remained useful in explaining vaccination decisions, respondents were heavily influenced by the decisions of their family, although they were less influenced by friends. Second, respondents tended to accept the vaccine when they had a weaker perception that the act is supportive of the government and were less resistant if they had stronger institutional trust., Conclusion: Under the low-incidence and low-trust environment such as Hong Kong, vaccination decisions are heavily influenced by family's decision and the perception of vaccination as socially and politically desirable. Our findings highlight the importance of a nuanced conception of interpersonal and political influence towards vaccine acceptance/hesitancy., (Copyright © 2022 The Royal Society for Public Health. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2022
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21. Estimating the impact of trained midwives and upgraded health facilities on institutional delivery rates in Nigeria using a quasi-experimental study design.
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Grépin KA, Chukwuma A, Holmlund M, Vera-Hernandez M, Wang Q, and Rosa-Dias P
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- Child, Female, Health Facilities, Humans, Nigeria, Parturition, Pregnancy, Prenatal Care, Maternal Health Services, Midwifery
- Abstract
Objectives: Studies have shown that demand-side interventions, such as conditional cash transfers and vouchers, can increase the proportion of women giving birth in a health facility in low-income and middle-income countries, but there is limited evidence of the effectiveness of supply-side interventions. We evaluated the impact of the Subsidy Reinvestment and Empowerment Programme Maternal and Child Health Project (SURE-P MCH) on rates of institutional delivery and antenatal care., Design, Setting and Participants: We used a differences-in-differences study design that compared changes in rates of institutional delivery and antenatal care in areas that had received additional support through the SURE-P MCH programme relative to areas that did not. Data on outcomes were obtained from the 2013 Nigerian Demographic and Health Survey., Results: We found that the programme significantly increased the proportion of women giving birth in a health facility by approximately 7 percentage points (p=0.069) or approximately 10% relative to the baseline after 9 months of implementation. The programme, however, did not significantly increase the use of antenatal care., Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest there could be important improvements in institutional delivery rates through greater investment in supply-side interventions., Competing Interests: Competing interests: Between 2012 and 2014, MV-H and PR-D declare receiving short-term consultancy fees from the World Bank to support this evaluation project. KAG, MH, QW and AC declare no competing interests., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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22. Understanding the Implementation of Antimicrobial Policies: Lessons from the Hong Kong Strategy and Action Plan.
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Song M, Deng Z, Chan O, and Grépin KA
- Abstract
In 2017, the Hong Kong Strategy and Action Plan on Antimicrobial Resistance 2017-2022 (HKSAP) was announced with the aim of tackling the growing threat of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in Hong Kong. However, little is known about how the planned activities have been implemented. In this study, we examine the status of implementation of the HKSAP using the Smith Policy Implementation Process Model. Semi-structured interviews with 17 informants found that important achievements have been made, including launching educational and training activities targeting the public, farmers, and healthcare professionals; upgrading the AMR surveillance system; and strengthening AMR stewardship and infection control. Nevertheless, participants also identified barriers to greater implementation, such as tensions across sectors, ongoing inappropriate drug use and prescription habits, insufficient human and technical resources, as well as a weak accountability framework. Environmental factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic also affected the implementation of HKSAP. Our study indicated that expanding engagement with the public and professionals, creating a collaborative environment for policy implementation, and building a well-functioning monitoring and evaluation system should be areas to focus on in future AMR policies.
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- 2022
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23. #WuhanDiary and #WuhanLockdown: gendered posting patterns and behaviours on Weibo during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Gan CCR, Feng S, Feng H, Fu KW, Davies SE, Grépin KA, Morgan R, Smith J, and Wenham C
- Subjects
- Communicable Disease Control, Emergencies, Female, Humans, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Pandemics
- Abstract
Social media can be both a source of information and misinformation during health emergencies. During the COVID-19 pandemic, social media became a ubiquitous tool for people to communicate and represents a rich source of data researchers can use to analyse users' experiences, knowledge and sentiments. Research on social media posts during COVID-19 has identified, to date, the perpetuity of traditional gendered norms and experiences. Yet these studies are mostly based on Western social media platforms. Little is known about gendered experiences of lockdown communicated on non-Western social media platforms. Using data from Weibo, China's leading social media platform, we examine gendered user patterns and sentiment during the first wave of the pandemic between 1 January 2020 and 1 July 2020. We find that Weibo posts by self-identified women and men conformed with some gendered norms identified on other social media platforms during the COVID-19 pandemic (posting patterns and keyword usage) but not all (sentiment). This insight may be important for targeted public health messaging on social media during future health emergencies., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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24. Food insecurity and COVID-19 risk in low- and middle-income countries.
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Mueller V, Grépin KA, Rabbani A, Navia B, Ngunjiri ASW, and Wu N
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The COVID-19 pandemic prompted social distancing, workplace closures, and restrictions on mobility and trade that had cascading effects on economic activity, food prices, and employment in low- and middle-income countries. Using longitudinal data from Bangladesh, Kenya, and Nigeria covering a period from October 2020 to April 2021, the paper assesses whether knowledge of a person infected with COVID-19 is associated with food insecurity, job loss and business closures, and coping strategies to smooth consumption. The likelihood of households to experience food insecurity at the extensive and intensive margins increased among those who knew an infected person in Bangladesh and Kenya., (© 2021 Agricultural & Applied Economics Association.)
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- 2022
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25. Strengthening national capacities for pandemic preparedness: a cross-country analysis of COVID-19 cases and deaths.
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Duong DB, King AJ, Grépin KA, Hsu LY, Lim JF, Phillips C, Thai TT, Venkatachalam I, Vogt F, Yam ELY, Bazley S, Chang LD, Flaugh R, Nagle B, Ponniah JD, Sun P, Trad NK, and Berwick DM
- Subjects
- Global Health, Humans, Public Health, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Pandemics prevention & control
- Abstract
The International Health Regulations-State Party Annual Reporting (IHR-SPAR) index and the Global Health Security Index (GHSI) have been developed to aid in strengthening national capacities for pandemic preparedness. We examined the relationship between country-level rankings on these two indices, along with two additional indices (the Universal Health Coverage Service Coverage Index and World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicator (n = 195)) and compared them to the country-level reported coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases and deaths (Johns Hopkins University COVID-19 Dashboard) through 17 June 2020. Ordinary least squares regression models were used to compare weekly reported COVID-19 cases and death rates per million in the first 12 weeks of the pandemic between countries classified as low, middle and high ranking on each index while controlling for country socio-demographic information. Countries with higher GHSI and IHR-SPAR index scores experienced fewer reported COVID-19 cases and deaths but only for the first 8 weeks after the country's first case. For the GHSI, this association was further limited to countries with populations below 69.4 million. For both the GHSI and IHR-SPAR, countries with a higher sub-index score in human resources for pandemic preparedness reported fewer COVID-19 cases and deaths in the first 8 weeks after the country's first reported case. The Universal Health Coverage Service Coverage Index and Worldwide Governance Indicator country-level rankings were not associated with COVID-19 outcomes. The associations between GHSI and IHR-SPAR scores and COVID-19 outcomes observed in this study demonstrate that these two indices, although imperfect, may have value, especially in countries with a population under 69.4 million people for the GHSI. Preparedness indices may have value; however, they should continue to be evaluated as policy makers seek to better prepare for future global public health crises., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press in association with The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
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- 2022
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26. Disruptions in maternal health service use during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020: experiences from 37 health facilities in low-income and middle-income countries.
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Aranda Z, Binde T, Tashman K, Tadikonda A, Mawindo B, Maweu D, Boley EJ, Mphande I, Dumbuya I, Montaño M, Clisbee M, Mvula MG, Ndayizigiye M, Casella Jean-Baptiste M, Varney PF, Anyango S, Grépin KA, Law MR, Mugunga JC, Hedt-Gauthier B, and Fulcher IR
- Subjects
- Developing Countries, Female, Health Facilities, Humans, Pandemics prevention & control, Pregnancy, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Maternal Health Services
- Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has heterogeneously affected use of basic health services worldwide, with disruptions in some countries beginning in the early stages of the emergency in March 2020. These disruptions have occurred on both the supply and demand sides of healthcare, and have often been related to resource shortages to provide care and lower patient turnout associated with mobility restrictions and fear of contracting COVID-19 at facilities. In this paper, we assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the use of maternal health services using a time series modelling approach developed to monitor health service use during the pandemic using routinely collected health information systems data. We focus on data from 37 non-governmental organisation-supported health facilities in Haiti, Lesotho, Liberia, Malawi, Mexico and Sierra Leone. Overall, our analyses indicate significant declines in first antenatal care visits in Haiti (18% drop) and Sierra Leone (32% drop) and facility-based deliveries in all countries except Malawi from March to December 2020. Different strategies were adopted to maintain continuity of maternal health services, including communication campaigns, continuity of community health worker services, human resource capacity building to ensure compliance with international and national guidelines for front-line health workers, adapting spaces for safe distancing and ensuring the availability of personal protective equipment. We employ a local lens, providing prepandemic context and reporting results and strategies by country, to highlight the importance of developing context-specific interventions to design effective mitigation strategies., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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27. Determinants of out-of-district health facility bypassing in East Java, Indonesia.
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Putri NK, Wulandari RD, Syahansyah RJ, and Grépin KA
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- Humans, Indonesia, Insurance, Health, Universal Health Insurance, Health Facilities, Health Services Accessibility
- Abstract
Background: Several large-scale reforms, including policies aimed at achieving universal health coverage, have been implemented to overcome health disparities in Indonesia. However, access to health services remains unequal. Many people 'bypass' health services in their home district to access health services in neighbouring districts, even though their health insurance does not cover such services. This study aims to identify the factors that are associated with this out-of-district bypassing behaviour., Methods: We surveyed 500 respondents living in the outermost districts of East Java province. We used data on education, income, district, age, gender, household size, district accessibility, insurance coverage status and satisfaction with health facilities in the home district and logistic regression analysis to model the predictors of out-of-district health facility bypassing., Results: The most important predictors of the bypassing behaviour were education and poor access to health facilities in the home district. Open-ended data also found that the most important reason for seeking care in another district was mostly geographic. In contrast, health insurance coverage does not appear to be a significant predictor., Conclusions: Education and geographic factors are the main predictors of out-of-district bypassing behaviour, which appears to be how border communities express their health facility preferences. Local and central governments should continue their work to reduce inequality in access to health facilities in Indonesia's geographically challenged districts., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.)
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- 2021
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28. Addressing missing values in routine health information system data: an evaluation of imputation methods using data from the Democratic Republic of the Congo during the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Feng S, Hategeka C, and Grépin KA
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- Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Humans, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Health Information Systems
- Abstract
Background: Poor data quality is limiting the use of data sourced from routine health information systems (RHIS), especially in low- and middle-income countries. An important component of this data quality issue comes from missing values, where health facilities, for a variety of reasons, fail to report to the central system., Methods: Using data from the health management information system in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and the advent of COVID-19 pandemic as an illustrative case study, we implemented seven commonly used imputation methods and evaluated their performance in terms of minimizing bias in imputed values and parameter estimates generated through subsequent analytical techniques, namely segmented regression, which is widely used in interrupted time series studies, and pre-post-comparisons through paired Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. We also examined the performance of these imputation methods under different missing mechanisms and tested their stability to changes in the data., Results: For regression analyses, there were no substantial differences found in the coefficient estimates generated from all methods except mean imputation and exclusion and interpolation when the data contained less than 20% missing values. However, as the missing proportion grew, k-NN started to produce biased estimates. Machine learning algorithms, i.e. missForest and k-NN, were also found to lack robustness to small changes in the data or consecutive missingness. On the other hand, multiple imputation methods generated the overall most unbiased estimates and were the most robust to all changes in data. They also produced smaller standard errors than single imputations. For pre-post-comparisons, all methods produced p values less than 0.01, regardless of the amount of missingness introduced, suggesting low sensitivity of Wilcoxon rank-sum tests to the imputation method used., Conclusions: We recommend the use of multiple imputation in addressing missing values in RHIS datasets and appropriate handling of data structure to minimize imputation standard errors. In cases where necessary computing resources are unavailable for multiple imputation, one may consider seasonal decomposition as the next best method. Mean imputation and exclusion and interpolation, however, always produced biased and misleading results in the subsequent analyses, and thus, their use in the handling of missing values should be discouraged., (© 2021. The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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29. Navigating from SARS-CoV-2 elimination to endemicity in Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, and Singapore.
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De Foo C, Grépin KA, Cook AR, Hsu LY, Bartos M, Singh S, Asgari N, Teo YY, Heymann DL, and Legido-Quigley H
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- Australia epidemiology, Hong Kong epidemiology, Humans, New Zealand epidemiology, SARS-CoV-2, Singapore epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Communicable Disease Control methods, Disease Eradication, Endemic Diseases prevention & control, Health Policy
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- 2021
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30. A tale of two city-states: A comparison of the state-led vs civil society-led responses to COVID-19 in Singapore and Hong Kong.
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Yuen S, Cheng EW, Or NHK, Grépin KA, Fu KW, Yung KC, and Yue RPH
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- Hong Kong epidemiology, Humans, Singapore epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Politics
- Abstract
The East Asian experience in tackling COVID-19 has been highly praised, but this high-level generalisation neglects variation in pandemic response measures adopted across countries as well as the socio-political factors that shaped them. This paper compares the early pandemic response in Singapore and Hong Kong, two Asian city-states of similar sizes, a shared history of SARS, and advanced medical systems. Although both were able to contain the virus, they did so using two very different approaches. Drawing upon data from a cross-national, probability sample Internet survey conducted in May 2020 as well as media and mobility data, we argue that the different approaches were the result of the relative strength of civil society vs. the state at the outset of the outbreak. In protest-ridden Hong Kong, low governmental trust bolstered civil society, which focused on self-mobilisation and community mutual-help. In Singapore, a state-led response model that marginalised civil society brought early success but failed to stem an outbreak among its segregated migrant population. Our findings show that an active civil society is pivotal to effective outbreak response and that trust in government may not have been as important as a factor in these contexts.
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- 2021
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31. More than a public health crisis: A feminist political economic analysis of COVID-19.
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Smith J, Davies SE, Feng H, Gan CCR, Grépin KA, Harman S, Herten-Crabb A, Morgan R, Vandan N, and Wenham C
- Subjects
- Canada epidemiology, China epidemiology, Female, Hong Kong epidemiology, Humans, Male, Socioeconomic Factors, United Kingdom epidemiology, COVID-19 epidemiology, Feminism, Pandemics, Politics
- Abstract
Gender norms, roles and relations differentially affect women, men, and non-binary individuals' vulnerability to disease. Outbreak response measures also have immediate and long-term gendered effects. However, gender-based analysis of outbreaks and responses is limited by lack of data and little integration of feminist analysis within global health scholarship. Recognising these barriers, this paper applies a gender matrix methodology, grounded in feminist political economy approaches, to evaluate the gendered effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and response in four case studies: China, Hong Kong, Canada, and the UK. Through a rapid scoping of documentation of the gendered effects of the outbreak, it applies the matrix framework to analyse findings, identifying common themes across the case studies: financial discrimination, crisis in care, and unequal risks and secondary effects. Results point to transnational structural conditions which put women on the front lines of the pandemic at work and at home while denying them health, economic and personal security - effects that are exacerbated where racism and other forms of discrimination intersect with gender inequities. Given that women and people living at the intersections of multiple inequities are made additionally vulnerable by pandemic responses, intersectional feminist responses should be prioritised at the beginning of any crises.
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- 2021
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32. The failure of private health services: COVID-19 induced crises in low- and middle-income country (LMIC) health systems.
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David Williams O, Yung KC, and Grépin KA
- Subjects
- Health Services Research, Humans, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 therapy, Delivery of Health Care organization & administration, Developing Countries, Pandemics, Private Sector
- Abstract
For decades, governments and development partners promoted neoliberal policies in the health sector in many LMICs, largely motivated by the belief that governments in these countries were too weak to provide all the health services necessary to meet population needs. Private health markets became the governance and policy solution to improve the delivery of health services which allowed embedded forms of market failure to persist in these countries and which were exposed during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, we analyse the manifestations of these market failures using data from an assembled database of COVID-19 related news items sourced from the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone. Specifically, we identify how pre-existing market failure and failures of redistribution have led to the rise of three urgent crises in LMICs: a financial and liquidity crisis among private providers, a crisis of service provision and pricing, and an attendant crisis in state-provider relations. The COVID-19 pandemic has therfore exposed important failures of the public-private models of health systems and provides an opportunity to rethink the future orientation of national health systems and commitments towards Universal Health Coverage.
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- 2021
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33. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and response on the utilisation of health services in public facilities during the first wave in Kinshasa, the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
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Hategeka C, Carter SE, Chenge FM, Katanga EN, Lurton G, Mayaka SM, Mwamba DK, van Kleef E, Vanlerberghe V, and Grépin KA
- Subjects
- Communicable Disease Control, Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Health Services, Humans, Public Facilities, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Pandemics prevention & control
- Abstract
Introduction: Health service use among the public can decline during outbreaks and had been predicted among low and middle-income countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. In March 2020, the government of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) started implementing public health measures across Kinshasa, including strict lockdown measures in the Gombe health zone., Methods: Using monthly time series data from the DRC Health Management Information System (January 2018 to December 2020) and interrupted time series with mixed effects segmented Poisson regression models, we evaluated the impact of the pandemic on the use of essential health services (outpatient visits, maternal health, vaccinations, visits for common infectious diseases and non-communicable diseases) during the first wave of the pandemic in Kinshasa. Analyses were stratified by age, sex, health facility and lockdown policy (ie, Gombe vs other health zones)., Results: Health service use dropped rapidly following the start of the pandemic and ranged from 16% for visits for hypertension to 39% for visits for diabetes. However, reductions were highly concentrated in Gombe (81% decline in outpatient visits) relative to other health zones. When the lockdown was lifted, total visits and visits for infectious diseases and non-communicable diseases increased approximately twofold. Hospitals were more affected than health centres. Overall, the use of maternal health services and vaccinations was not significantly affected., Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in important reductions in health service utilisation in Kinshasa, particularly Gombe. Lifting of lockdown led to a rebound in the level of health service use but it remained lower than prepandemic levels., Competing Interests: Competing interests: GL works for Bluesquare, which has ongoing contracts with a variety of organisations in DRC including the Ministry of Health and the World Bank., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2021
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34. Managing borders during public health emergencies of international concern: a proposed typology of cross-border health measures.
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Lee K, Grépin KA, Worsnop C, Marion S, Piper J, and Song M
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- COVID-19 epidemiology, Humans, COVID-19 prevention & control, Communicable Diseases, Imported prevention & control, Global Health, Public Policy, Travel legislation & jurisprudence
- Abstract
Background: The near universal adoption of cross-border health measures during the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide has prompted significant debate about their effectiveness and compliance with international law. The number of measures used, and the range of measures applied, have far exceeded previous public health emergencies of international concern. However, efforts to advance research, policy and practice to support their effective use has been hindered by a lack of clear and consistent definition., Results: Based on a review of existing datasets for cross-border health measures, such as the Oxford Coronavirus Government Response Tracker and World Health Organization Public Health and Social Measures, along with analysis of secondary and grey literature, we propose six categories to define measures more clearly and consistently - policy goal, type of movement (travel and trade), adopted by public or private sector, level of jurisdiction applied, stage of journey, and degree of restrictiveness. These categories are then brought together into a proposed typology that can support research with generalizable findings and comparative analyses across jurisdictions. Addressing the current gaps in evidence about travel measures, including how different jurisdictions apply such measures with varying effects, in turn, enhances the potential for evidence-informed decision-making based on fuller understanding of policy trade-offs and externalities. Finally, through the adoption of standardized terminology and creation of an agreed evidentiary base recognized across jurisdictions, the typology can support efforts to strengthen coordinated global responses to outbreaks and inform future efforts to revise the WHO International Health Regulations (2005)., Conclusions: The widespread use of cross-border health measures during the COVID-19 pandemic has prompted significant reflection on available evidence, previous practice and existing legal frameworks. The typology put forth in this paper aims to provide a starting point for strengthening research, policy and practice.
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- 2021
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35. Evidence of the effectiveness of travel-related measures during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid systematic review.
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Grépin KA, Ho TL, Liu Z, Marion S, Piper J, Worsnop CZ, and Lee K
- Subjects
- China, Global Health, Humans, Pandemics, SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Communicable Disease Control methods, Communicable Disease Control statistics & numerical data, Travel
- Abstract
Objective: To review the effectiveness of travel measures implemented during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic to inform changes on how evidence is incorporated in the International Health Regulations (2005) (IHR)., Design: We used an abbreviated Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols to identify studies that investigated the effectiveness of travel-related measures preprinted or published by 1 June 2020., Results: We identified 29 studies, of which 26 were modelled. Thirteen studies investigated international measures, while 17 investigated domestic measures (one investigated both). There was a high level of agreement that the adoption of travel measures led to important changes in the dynamics of the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic: the Wuhan measures reduced the number of cases exported internationally by 70%-80% and led to important reductions in transmission within Mainland China. Additional travel measures, including flight restrictions to and from China, may have led to additional reductions in the number of exported cases. Few studies investigated the effectiveness of measures implemented in other contexts. Early implementation was identified as a determinant of effectiveness. Most studies of international travel measures did not account for domestic travel measures thus likely leading to biased estimates., Conclusion: Travel measures played an important role in shaping the early transmission dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic. There is an urgent need to address important evidence gaps and also a need to review how evidence is incorporated in the IHR in the early phases of a novel infectious disease outbreak., Competing Interests: Competing interests: KL was a member of two donor-funded reviews of WHO in 1995 and 1997. She has previously received funding from WHO to conduct research on global health governance and global tobacco control and review evidence on the impacts of globalisation and infectious diseases. CZW was a member of a WHO guideline development group and technical consultation in 2019., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2021
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36. Is the lack of smartphone data skewing wealth indices in low-income settings?
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Poirier MJP, Bärnighausen T, Harling G, Sié A, and Grépin KA
- Subjects
- Cross-Sectional Studies, Family Characteristics, Humans, Socioeconomic Factors, Poverty, Smartphone
- Abstract
Background: Smartphones have rapidly become an important marker of wealth in low- and middle-income countries, but international household surveys do not regularly gather data on smartphone ownership and these data are rarely used to calculate wealth indices., Methods: We developed a cross-sectional survey module delivered to 3028 households in rural northwest Burkina Faso to measure the effects of this absence. Wealth indices were calculated using both principal components analysis (PCA) and polychoric PCA for a base model using only ownership of any cell phone, and a full model using data on smartphone ownership, the number of cell phones, and the purchase of mobile data. Four outcomes (household expenditure, education level, and prevalence of frailty and diabetes) were used to evaluate changes in the composition of wealth index quintiles using ordinary least squares and logistic regressions and Wald tests., Results: Households that own smartphones have higher monthly expenditures and own a greater quantity and quality of household assets. Expenditure and education levels are significantly higher at the fifth (richest) socioeconomic status (SES) quintile of full model wealth indices as compared to base models. Similarly, diabetes prevalence is significantly higher at the fifth SES quintile using PCA wealth index full models, but this is not observed for frailty prevalence, which is more prevalent among lower SES households. These effects are not present when using polychoric PCA, suggesting that this method provides additional robustness to missing asset data to measure underlying latent SES by proxy., Conclusions: The lack of smartphone data can skew PCA-based wealth index performance in a low-income context for the top of the socioeconomic spectrum. While some PCA variants may be robust to the omission of smartphone ownership, eliciting smartphone ownership data in household surveys is likely to substantially improve the validity and utility of wealth estimates.
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- 2021
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37. "We also deserve help during the pandemic": The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on foreign domestic workers in Hong Kong.
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Lui ID, Vandan N, Davies SE, Harman S, Morgan R, Smith J, Wenham C, and Grépin KA
- Abstract
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic poses particular challenges for migrant workers around the world. This study explores the unique experiences of foreign domestic workers (FDWs) in Hong Kong, and how COVID-19 impacted their health and economic wellbeing. Interviews with FDWs ( n = 15) and key informants ( n = 3) were conducted between May and August 2020. FDWs reported a dual-country experience of the pandemic, where they expressed concerns about local transmission risks as well as worries about their family members in their home country. Changes to their current work situation included how their employers treated them, as well as their employment status. FDWs also cited blind spots in the Hong Kong policy response that also affected their experience of the pandemic, including a lack of support from the Hong Kong government. Additional support is needed to mitigate the particularly negative effects of the pandemic on FDWs., Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests., (© 2021 The Author(s).)
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- 2021
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38. On the Measurement of Financial Protection: An Assessment of the Usefulness of the Catastrophic Health Expenditure Indicator to Monitor Progress Towards Universal Health Coverage.
- Author
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Grépin KA, Irwin BR, and Sas Trakinsky B
- Subjects
- Catastrophic Illness economics, Health Policy, Humans, Sustainable Development trends, Universal Health Insurance economics, Universal Health Insurance trends
- Abstract
Ensuring financial protection (FP) against health expenditures is a key component of Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3.8, which aims to achieve Universal Health Coverage (UHC). While the proportion of households with catastrophic health expenditures exceeding a proportion of their total income or consumption has been adopted as the official SDG indicator, other approaches exist and it is unclear how useful the official indicator is in tracking progress toward the FP sub-target across countries and across time. This paper evaluates the usefulness of the official SDG indicator to measure FP using the RACER framework and discusses how alternative indicators may improve upon the limitations of the official SDG indicator for global monitoring purposes. We find that while all FP indicators have some disadvantages, the official SDG indicator has some properties that severely limit its usefulness for global monitoring purposes. We recommend more research to understand how alternative indicators may enhance global monitoring, as well as improvements to the quality and quantity of underlying data to construct FP indicators in order to improve efforts to monitor progress toward UHC.
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- 2020
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39. Limited Early Warnings and Public Attention to Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China, January-February, 2020: A Longitudinal Cohort of Randomly Sampled Weibo Users.
- Author
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Zhu Y, Fu KW, Grépin KA, Liang H, and Fung IC
- Subjects
- COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 transmission, China epidemiology, Cohort Studies, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Quarantine methods, Quarantine standards, Quarantine statistics & numerical data, COVID-19 prevention & control, Social Media instrumentation, Social Media trends
- Abstract
Objective: Awareness and attentiveness have implications for the acceptance and adoption of disease prevention and control measures. Social media posts provide a record of the public's attention to an outbreak. To measure the attention of Chinese netizens to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a pre-established nationally representative cohort of Weibo users was searched for COVID-19-related key words in their posts., Methods: COVID-19-related posts (N = 1101) were retrieved from a longitudinal cohort of 52 268 randomly sampled Weibo accounts (December 31, 2019-February 12, 2020)., Results: Attention to COVID-19 was limited prior to China openly acknowledging human-to-human transmission on January 20. Following this date, attention quickly increased and has remained high over time. Particularly high levels of social media traffic appeared around when Wuhan was first placed in quarantine (January 23-24, 8-9% of the overall posts), when a scandal associated with the Red Cross Society of China occurred (February 1, 8%), and, following the death of Dr Li Wenliang (February 6-7, 11%), one of the whistleblowers who was reprimanded by the Chinese police in early January for discussing this outbreak online., Conclusion: Limited early warnings represent missed opportunities to engage citizens earlier in the outbreak. Governments should more proactively communicate early warnings to the public in a transparent manner.
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- 2020
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40. Measuring Service Quality and Assessing Its Relationship to Contraceptive Discontinuation: A Prospective Cohort Study in Pakistan and Uganda.
- Author
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Chang KT, Chakraborty NM, Kalamar AM, Hameed W, Bellows B, Grépin KA, Gul AX, Bradley SEK, Atuyambe LM, and Montagu D
- Subjects
- Adolescent, Adult, Family Planning Services economics, Family Planning Services standards, Female, Humans, Middle Aged, Pakistan, Proportional Hazards Models, Uganda, Young Adult, Contraception methods, Contraception Behavior, Family Planning Services organization & administration, Quality Indicators, Health Care standards, Quality of Health Care organization & administration
- Abstract
Background: The quality of contraceptive counseling that women receive from their provider can influence their future contraceptive continuation. We examined (1) whether the quality of contraceptive service provision could be measured in a consistent way by using existing tools from 2 large-scale social franchises, and (2) whether facility quality measures based on these tools were consistently associated with contraceptive discontinuation., Methods: We linked existing, routinely collected facility audit data from social franchise clinics in Pakistan and Uganda with client data. Clients were women aged 15-49 who initiated a modern, reversible contraceptive method from a sampled clinic. Consented participants completed an exit interview and were contacted 3, 6, and 12 months later. We collapsed indicators into quality domains using theory-based categorization, created summative quality domain scores, and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the relationship between these quality domains and discontinuation while in need of contraception., Results: The 12-month all-modern method discontinuation rate was 12.5% among the 813 enrolled women in Pakistan and 5.1% among the 1,185 women in Uganda. We did not observe similar associations between facility-level quality measures and discontinuation across these 2 settings. In Pakistan, an increase in the structural privacy domain was associated with a 60% lower risk of discontinuation, adjusting for age and baseline method ( P <.001). In Uganda, an increase in the management support domain was associated with a 33% reduction in discontinuation risk, controlling for age and baseline method ( P =.005)., Conclusions: We were not able to leverage existing, widely used quality measurement tools to create quality domains that were consistently associated with discontinuation in 2 study settings. Given the importance of contraceptive service quality and recent advances in indicator standardization in other areas, we recommend further effort to harmonize and simplify measurement tools to measure and improve contraceptive quality of care for all., (© Chang et al.)
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- 2020
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41. Using routine health information data for research in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.
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Hung YW, Hoxha K, Irwin BR, Law MR, and Grépin KA
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- Adult, Child, Child Health, Developing Countries, Epidemiologic Methods, Female, Global Health, Health Services, Humans, Malaria, Male, Maternal Health, Policy Making, Biomedical Research methods, Health Information Systems, Health Planning
- Abstract
Background: Routine health information systems (RHISs) support resource allocation and management decisions at all levels of the health system, as well as strategy development and policy-making in many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Although RHIS data represent a rich source of information, such data are currently underused for research purposes, largely due to concerns over data quality. Given that substantial investments have been made in strengthening RHISs in LMICs in recent years, and that there is a growing demand for more real-time data from researchers, this systematic review builds upon the existing literature to summarize the extent to which RHIS data have been used in peer-reviewed research publications., Methods: Using terms 'routine health information system', 'health information system', or 'health management information system' and a list of LMICs, four electronic peer-review literature databases were searched from inception to February 202,019: PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE, and EconLit. Articles were assessed for inclusion based on pre-determined eligibility criteria and study characteristics were extracted from included articles using a piloted data extraction form., Results: We identified 132 studies that met our inclusion criteria, originating in 37 different countries. Overall, the majority of the studies identified were from Sub-Saharan Africa and were published within the last 5 years. Malaria and maternal health were the most commonly studied health conditions, although a number of other health conditions and health services were also explored., Conclusions: Our study identified an increasing use of RHIS data for research purposes, with many studies applying rigorous study designs and analytic methods to advance program evaluation, monitoring and assessing services, and epidemiological studies in LMICs. RHIS data represent an underused source of data and should be made more available and further embraced by the research community in LMIC health systems.
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- 2020
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42. Impact of a free care policy on the utilisation of health services during an Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo: an interrupted time-series analysis.
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Hung YW, Law MR, Cheng L, Abramowitz S, Alcayna-Stevens L, Lurton G, Mayaka SM, Olekhnovitch R, Kyomba G, Ruton H, Ramazani SY, and Grépin KA
- Subjects
- Democratic Republic of the Congo epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Female, Health Services, Humans, Policy, Pregnancy, Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola epidemiology, Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola prevention & control, Interrupted Time Series Analysis
- Abstract
Background: During past outbreaks of Ebola virus disease (EVD) and other infectious diseases, health service utilisation declined among the general public, delaying health seeking behaviour and affecting population health. From May to July 2018, the Democratic Republic of Congo experienced an outbreak of EVD in Equateur province. The Ministry of Public Health introduced a free care policy (FCP) in both affected and neighbouring health zones. We evaluated the impact of this policy on health service utilisation., Methods: Using monthly data from the national Health Management Information System from January 2017 to January 2019, we examined rates of the use of nine health services at primary health facilities: total visits; first and fourth antenatal care visits; institutional deliveries; postnatal care visits; diphtheria, pertussis and tetanus (DTP) vaccinations and visits for uncomplicated malaria, pneumonia and diarrhoea. We used controlled interrupted time series analysis with a mixed effects model to estimate changes in the rates of services use during the policy (June-September 2018) and afterwards., Findings: Overall, use of most services increased compared to control health zones, including EVD affected areas. Total visits and visits for pneumonia and diarrhoea initially increased more than two-fold relative to the control areas (p<0.001), while institutional deliveries and first antenatal care increased between 20% and 50% (p<0.01). Visits for DTP, fourth antenatal care visits and postnatal care visits were not significantly affected. During the FCP period, visit rates followed a downward trend. Most increases did not persist after the policy ended., Interpretation: The FCP was effective at rapidly increasing the use of some health services both EVD affected and not affected health zones, but this effect was not sustained post FCP. Such policies may mitigate the adverse impact of infectious disease outbreaks on population health., Competing Interests: Competing interests: MRL has consulted for Health Canada, the Health Employees’ Union, the Conference Board of Canada, and provided expert witness testimony for the Attorney General of Canada. Bluesquare has ongoing contracts with a variety of organisations in DRC including the Ministry of Health and the World Bank. SI, LA-S, SMM, and HR were paid as individual consultants as part of their collaboration with this project., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2020
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43. Women are most affected by pandemics - lessons from past outbreaks.
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Wenham C, Smith J, Davies SE, Feng H, Grépin KA, Harman S, Herten-Crabb A, and Morgan R
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- Abortion, Induced statistics & numerical data, COVID-19, Coronavirus Infections economics, Domestic Violence prevention & control, Domestic Violence statistics & numerical data, Female, Humans, Internationality, Male, Pneumonia, Viral economics, Sex Offenses statistics & numerical data, Vulnerable Populations, Zika Virus Infection epidemiology, Coronavirus Infections epidemiology, Gender Identity, Pandemics economics, Pneumonia, Viral epidemiology, Reproductive Health statistics & numerical data, Socioeconomic Factors, Women's Health statistics & numerical data
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- 2020
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44. Global coordination on cross-border travel and trade measures crucial to COVID-19 response.
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Lee K, Worsnop CZ, Grépin KA, and Kamradt-Scott A
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- Betacoronavirus, COVID-19, Communicable Disease Control methods, Humans, SARS-CoV-2, World Health Organization, Commerce, Communicable Disease Control organization & administration, Coronavirus Infections prevention & control, International Cooperation, Pandemics prevention & control, Pneumonia, Viral prevention & control, Travel
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- 2020
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45. Conceptualising the effect of access to electricity on health in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review.
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Irwin BR, Hoxha K, and Grépin KA
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- Humans, Developing Countries, Electricity, Family Characteristics, Health Status Indicators
- Abstract
Access to electricity is an important issue in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) however its health implications are poorly understood. This paper systematically reviews the health effects of access to electricity and develops a conceptual model to summarise the pathways through which these effects may occur. The databases CINAHL, Embase, and MEDLINE were searched for studies examining the effects of access to electricity on health in LMICs. Thirty-three studies met the inclusion criteria: 23 focusing on electrification and 10 focusing on electricity reliability. Using a modified socio-ecological model, 4 main levels of influence were identified: (1) individual, (2) household, (3) community, and (4) institutional. Electrification was generally associated with positive health outcomes, such as reduced mortality, lower rates of disease, and improved quality of and access to care, while poor electricity reliability was associated with negative health outcomes, including increased morbidity and mortality, lower quality of care, and reduced utilisation of health services. Although the overall quality of the evidence was weak, given the many potential pathways through which electricity may affect health, efforts should be made not only to increase the number of connected households globally, but to improve the reliability of the electricity supply as well.
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- 2020
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46. An empirical evaluation of the performance of financial protection indicators for UHC monitoring: Evidence from Burkina Faso.
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Sas Trakinsky B, Irwin BR, Guéné HJ, and Grépin KA
- Abstract
Achieving Universal Health Coverage (UHC) has been recognized as one of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and includes both ensuring access to health services and providing financial protection (FP) against using these services. Currently, progress towards achieving the FP component of UHC is assessed using the catastrophic health expenditure budget share indicator, which estimates the proportion of the population with health expenditures exceeding 10% of total income or consumption. Other indicators exist, however, and are widely used in the literature, yet few studies have compared the usefulness of these indicators for UHC monitoring. Using panel data from Burkina Faso, this paper seeks to evaluate the performance of common FP indicators based on three properties: (1) their ability to identify those most at risk of financial hardship (i.e. the poor), (2) their ability to detect households with health shocks, and (3) their sensitivity to seasonal variation. Our results indicate that, while some indicators perform better in certain conditions than others, none are without limitation. Indeed, despite being the best able to differentiate households who have experienced a health shock, the official SDG indicator performs the worst at identifying the poorest group of the population and is the most sensitive to seasonal variation. As such, more research is needed in order to improve the measurement of FP such that progress towards achieving UHC can be accurately monitored., (© 2020 The Authors.)
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- 2020
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47. Gendered geography: an analysis of authors in The Lancet Global Health.
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Morgan R, Lundine J, Irwin B, and Grépin KA
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- Female, Humans, Male, Authorship, Global Health, Periodicals as Topic
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- 2019
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48. The socio-economic distribution of exposure to Ebola: Survey evidence from Liberia and Sierra Leone.
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Grépin KA, Poirier MJP, and Fox AM
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Socio-economic factors are widely believed to have been an important driver of the transmission of Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) during the West African outbreak of 2014-16, however, studies that have investigated the relationship between socio-economic status (SES) and EVD have found inconsistent results. Using nationally representative household survey data on whether respondents knew a close friend or family member with Ebola, we explore the SES determinants of EVD exposure along individual, household, and community lines in Liberia and Sierra Leone. While we find no overall association between household wealth and EVD exposure, we find that pooled data mask important differences observed within countries with higher wealth households more likely to have been exposed to EVD in Sierra Leone and the opposite relationship in Liberia. Finally, we also generally find a positive association between education and EVD exposure both at the individual and the community levels in the full sample. There is an urgent need to better understand these relationships to examine both why the outbreak spread and to help prepare for future outbreaks., (© 2019 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
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- 2019
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49. Measuring and explaining changing patterns of inequality in institutional deliveries between urban and rural women in Ghana: a decomposition analysis.
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Amporfu E and Grépin KA
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- Adult, Female, Ghana, Health Facilities statistics & numerical data, Health Surveys, Humans, Maternal Health Services statistics & numerical data, Middle Aged, Pregnancy, Prenatal Care statistics & numerical data, Social Class, Young Adult, Health Services Accessibility statistics & numerical data, Healthcare Disparities statistics & numerical data, Rural Population statistics & numerical data, Socioeconomic Factors, Urban Population statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: Despite recent progress in improving access to maternal health services, the utilization of these services remains inequitable among women in developing countries, and rural women are particularly disadvantaged. This study sought to measure i) disparities in the rates of institutional births between rural and urban women in Ghana, ii) the extent to which existing disparities are due to differences in the distribution of the determinants of institutional delivery between rural and urban women, and iii) the extent to which existing disparities are due to discrimination in resource availability., Methods: Using Demographic and Health Survey data from 2003, 2008, and 2014, this study decomposed inequalities in institutional delivery rates among urban and rural Ghanaian woman using the Oaxaca, the Blinder, and related decompositions for non-linear models. The determinants of the observed inequalities were also analyzed., Results: Institutional delivery rates in urban areas exceeded those of rural areas by 32.4 percentage points due to differences in distribution of the determinants of institutional delivery between the two areas. The main determinants driving the observed disparities were wealth, which contributed to about 16.1% of the gap, followed by education level, and number of antenatal visits., Conclusion: Relative to urban women, rural women have lower rates of institutional deliveries due primarily to lower levels of wealth, which results in financial barriers in accessing maternal health services. Economic empowerment of rural women is crucial in order to close the gap in institutional delivery between urban and rural women.
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- 2019
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50. The G20 and development assistance for health: historical trends and crucial questions to inform a new era.
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Dieleman JL, Cowling K, Agyepong IA, Alkenbrack S, Bollyky TJ, Bump JB, Chen CS, Grépin KA, Haakenstad A, Harle AC, Kates J, Lavado RF, Micah AE, Ottersen T, Tandon A, Tsakalos G, Wu J, Zhao Y, Zlavog BS, and Murray CJL
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- Forecasting, Health Expenditures trends, Humans, International Cooperation, Global Health economics, Global Health trends, Health Policy, Healthcare Financing
- Abstract
One of the most important gatherings of the world's economic leaders, the G20 Summit and ministerial meetings, takes place in June, 2019. The Summit presents a valuable opportunity to reflect on the provision and receipt of development assistance for health (DAH) and the role the G20 can have in shaping the future of health financing. The participants at the G20 Summit (ie, the world's largest providers of DAH, emerging donors, and DAH recipients) and this Summit's particular focus on global health and the Sustainable Development Goals offers a unique forum to consider the changing DAH context and its pressing questions. In this Health Policy perspective, we examined trends in DAH and its evolution over time, with a particular focus on G20 countries; pointed to persistent and emerging challenges for discussion at the G20 Summit; and highlighted key questions for G20 leaders to address to put the future of DAH on course to meet the expansive Sustainable Development Goals. Key questions include how to best focus DAH for equitable health gains, how to deliver DAH to strengthen health systems, and how to support domestic resource mobilisation and transformative partnerships for sustainable impact. These issues are discussed in the context of the growing effects of climate change, demographic and epidemiological transitions, and a global political shift towards increasing prioritisation of national interests. Although not all these questions are new, novel approaches to allocating DAH that prioritise equity, efficiency, and sustainability, particularly through domestic resource use and mobilisation are needed. Wrestling with difficult questions in a changing landscape is essential to develop a DAH financing system capable of supporting and sustaining crucial global health goals., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2019
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