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This study was designed to test whether, using curved beam theory, a structural model of the proximal femur derived from two-dimensional dual energy x-ray absorptiometry could be used to predict femoral strength in an experimental simulation of a fall on the greater trochanter. A set of 22 fresh cadaveric femoral specimens were scanned with use of two-dimensional dual energy x-ray absorptiometry and then were tested to failure in a materials testing system, under three-point loading, with the ground impact vector, aligned within the plane and along the bisector of the femoral neck-shaft angle. Failure locations generally corresponded to stress peak locations predicted by the curved beam model. Predicted failure loads correlated well with measured failure loads for femoral neck fractures (r = 0.89; percent SE of estimate = 23%) and somewhat less well for intertrochanteric fractures (r = 0.83; percent SE of estimate = 29%). Overall predictions for failure load calculated from the maximum stress peak value over both locations corresponded to measured failure loads with an r value of 0.91 (percent SE of estimate = 21%). This kind of structural approach to the analysis of data for hip bone mass has the potential to provide mechanistic interpretations of the statistical associations frequently shown between conventional bone mineral measures and either hip fracture risk in vivo or bone strength in vitro.

A total of 626 U.S. male Marine Corps recruits underwent anthropometric measurements and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans of the femoral midshaft and the distal third of the tibia prior to a 12 week physical training program. Conventionally obtained frontal plane DXA scan data were used to measure the bone mineral density (BMD) as well as to derive the cross-sectional area, moment of inertia, section modulus, and bone width in the femur, tibia, and fibula. During training, 23 recruits (3.7%) presented with a total of 27 radiologically confirmed stress fractures in various locations in the lower extremity. After excluding 16 cases of shin splints, periostitis, and other stress reactions that did not meet fracture definition criteria, we compared anthropometric and bone structural geometry measurements between fracture cases and the remaining 587 normals. There was no significant difference in age (p = 0.8), femur length (p = 0.2), pelvic width (p = 0.08), and knee width at the femoral condyles (p = 0.06), but fracture cases were shorter (p = 0.01), lighter (p = 0.0006), and smaller in most anthropometric girth dimensions (p < 0.04). Fracture case bone cross-sectional areas (p < 0.001), moments of inertia (p < 0.001), section moduli (p < 0.001), and widths (p < 0.001) as well as BMD (p < 0.03) were significantly smaller in the tibia and femur. After correcting for body weight differences, the tibia cross-sectional area (p = 0.03), section modulus (p = 0.05), and width (p = 0.03) remained significantly smaller in fracture subjects. We conclude that both small body weight and small diaphyseal dimensions relative to body weight are factors predisposing to the development of stress fractures in this population. These results suggest that bone structural geometry measurements derived from DXA data may provide a simple noninvasive methodology for assessing the risk of stress fracture.