Search

Machine learning (ML) methods are increasingly used to assess variable importance, but such black box models lack stability when limited in sample sizes, and do not formally indicate non-important factors. The Shapley variable importance cloud (ShapleyVIC) addresses these limitations by assessing variable importance from an ensemble of regression models, which enhances robustness while maintaining interpretability, and estimates uncertainty of overall importance to formally test its significance. In a clinical study, ShapleyVIC reasonably identified important variables when the random forest and XGBoost failed to, and generally reproduced the findings from smaller subsamples (n = 2500 and 500) when statistical power of the logistic regression became attenuated. Moreover, ShapleyVIC reasonably estimated non-significant importance of race to justify its exclusion from the final prediction model, as opposed to the race-dependent model from the conventional stepwise model building. Hence, ShapleyVIC is robust and interpretable for variable importance assessment, with potential contribution to fairer clinical risk prediction., Competing Interests: MEH Ong reports an advisory relationship with Global Healthcare SG, a commercial entity that manufactures cooling devices. MEH Ong has a licensing agreement and a patent filed (Application no: 13/047,348) with ZOLL Medical Corporation for a study titled "Method of predicting acute cardiopulmonary events and survivability of a patient". All other authors have no conflict of interests to declare., (Copyright: © 2024 Ning et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)

Background: Shock-refractory ventricular fibrillation (VF) or ventricular tachycardia (VT) is a treatment challenge in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models that could be implemented by emergency medical services (EMS) to predict refractory VF/VT in OHCA patients., Methods: This was a retrospective study examining adult non-traumatic OHCA patients brought into the emergency department by Singapore EMS from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) registry. Data from April 2010 to March 2020 were extracted for this study. Refractory VF/VT was defined as VF/VT persisting or recurring after at least one shock. Features were selected based on expert clinical opinion and availability to dispatch prior to arrival at scene. Multivariable logistic regression (MVR), LASSO and random forest (RF) models were investigated. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) area under curve (AUC) analysis and calibration plots., Results: 20,713 patients were included in this study, of which 860 (4.1%) fulfilled the criteria for refractory VF/VT. All models performed comparably and were moderately well-calibrated. ROC-AUC were 0.732 (95% CI, 0.695 - 0.769) for MVR, 0.738 (95% CI, 0.701 - 0.774) for LASSO, and 0.731 (95% CI, 0.690 - 0.773) for RF. The shared important predictors across all models included male gender and public location., Conclusion: The machine learning models developed have potential clinical utility to improve outcomes in cases of refractory VF/VT OHCA. Prediction of refractory VF/VT prior to arrival at patient's side may allow for increased options for intervention both by EMS and tertiary care centres., Competing Interests: The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests: YO has received a research grant from the ZOLL Foundation and an overseas scholarship from the FUKUDA Foundation for Medical Technology and the International Medical Research Foundation. MEHO reports grants from the Laerdal Foundation, Laerdal Medical, and Ramsey Social Justice Foundation for funding of the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study; an advisory relationship with Global Healthcare SG, a commercial entity that manufactures cooling devices; and funding from Laerdal Medical on an observation program to their Community CPR Training Centre Research Program in Norway. MEHO is a Scientific Advisor to TIIM Healthcare SG and Global Healthcare SG. These organizations have no role in the design of the study, the collection, analysis, or interpretation of data, or in writing the manuscript. All other authors reported no competing interests., (© 2024 The Authors.)

Background: Previous research indicated outcomes among refractory out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients with initial shockable rhythm were different in Singapore and Osaka, Japan, possibly due to the differences in access to extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. However, this previous study had a risk of selection bias. To address this concern, this study aimed to evaluate the outcomes between Singapore and Osaka for OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm using only population-based databases., Methods: This was a secondary analysis of two OHCA population-based databases in Osaka and Singapore, including adult OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm. A machine-learning-based prediction model was derived from the Osaka data (n = 3088) and applied to the PAROS-SG data (n = 2905). We calculated the observed-expected ratio (OE ratio) for good neurological outcomes observed in Singapore and the expected derived from the data in Osaka by dividing subgroups with or without prehospital ROSC., Results: The one-month good neurological outcomes in Osaka and Singapore among patients with prehospital ROSC were 70% (791/1,125) and 57% (440/773), and among patients without prehospital ROSC were 10% (196/1963) and 2.8% (60/2,132). After adjusting patient characteristics, the outcome in Singapore was slightly better than expected from Osaka in patients with ROSC (OE ratio, 1.067 [95%CI 1.012 to 1.125]), conversely, it was worse than expected in patients without prehospital ROSC (OE ratio, 0.238 [95%CI 0.173 to 0.294])., Conclusion: This study showed the outcomes of OHCA patients without prehospital ROSC in Singapore were worse than expected derived from Osaka data even using population-based databases. (249/250 words)., (© 2023. The Author(s).)

Background: Singapore and Osaka in Japan have comparable population sizes and prehospital management; however, the frequency of ECPR differs greatly for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients with initial shockable rhythm. Given this disparity, we hypothesized that the outcomes among the OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm in Singapore were different from those in Osaka. The aim of this study was to evaluate the outcomes of OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm in Singapore compared to the expected outcomes derived from Osaka data using machine learning-based prediction models., Methods: This was a secondary analysis of two OHCA databases: the Singapore PAROS database (SG-PAROS) and the Osaka-CRITICAL database from Osaka, Japan. This study included adult (18-74 years) OHCA patients with initial shockable rhythm. A machine learning-based prediction model was derived and validated using data from the Osaka-CRITICAL database (derivation data 2012-2017, validation data 2018-2019), and applied to the SG-PAROS database (2010-2016 data), to predict the risk-adjusted probability of favorable neurological outcomes. The observed and expected outcomes were compared using the observed-expected ratio (OE ratio) with 95% confidence intervals (CI)., Results: From the SG-PAROS database, 1,789 patients were included in the analysis. For OHCA patients who achieved return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) on hospital arrival, the observed favorable neurological outcome was at the same level as expected (OE ratio: 0.905 [95%CI: 0.784-1.036]). On the other hand, for those who had continued cardiac arrest on hospital arrival, the outcomes were lower than expected (shockable rhythm on hospital arrival, OE ratio: 0.369 [95%CI: 0.258-0.499], and nonshockable rhythm, OE ratio: 0.137 [95%CI: 0.065-0.235])., Conclusion: This observational study found that the outcomes for patients with initial shockable rhythm but who did not obtain ROSC on hospital arrival in Singapore were lower than expected from Osaka. We hypothesize this is mainly due to differences in the use of ECPR., (© 2023. BioMed Central Ltd., part of Springer Nature.)

One of the most prevalent malignant tumors of the digestive tract is gastric cancer (GC). Age, high salt intake, Helicobacter pylori ( H. pylori ) infection, and a diet deficient in fruits and vegetables are risk factors for the illness. A significant risk factor for gastric cancer is infection with H. pylori . Infecting gastric epithelial cells with virulence agents secreted by H. pylori can cause methylation of tumor genes or carcinogenic signaling pathways to be activated. Regulate downstream genes' aberrant expression, albeit the precise mechanism by which this happens is unclear. Oncogene, oncosuppressor, and other gene modifications, as well as a number of different gene change types, are all directly associated to the carcinogenesis of gastric cancer. In this review, we describe comprehensive H. pylori and its virulence factors, as well as the activation of the NF-κB, MAPK, JAK/STAT signaling pathways, and DNA methylation following infection with host cells via virulence factors, resulting in abnormal gene expression. As a result, host-related proteins are regulated, and gastric cancer progression is influenced. This review provides insight into the H. pylori infection, summarizes a series of relevant papers, discusses the complex signaling pathways underlying molecular mechanisms, and proposes new approach to immunotherapy of this important disease., Competing Interests: The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest., (Copyright © 2023 Xi, Zhang, Luo, Gan, Liu, Shao and Mao.)

Competing Interests: None

Background: Survival with favorable neurological outcomes is an important indicator of successful resuscitation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We sought to validate the CaRdiac Arrest Survival Score (CRASS), derived using data from the German Resuscitation Registry, in predicting the likelihood of good neurological outcomes after OHCA in Singapore., Methods: We conducted a retrospective population-based validation study among EMS-attended OHCA patients (≥18 years) in Singapore, using data from the prospective Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study registry. Good neurological outcome was defined as a cerebral performance category of 1 or 2. To evaluate the CRASS score in light of the difference in patient characteristics, we used the default constant coefficient (0.8) and the adjusted coefficient (0.2) to calculate the probability of good neurological outcomes., Results: Out of 11,404 analyzed patients recruited between April 2010 and December 2018, 260 had good and 11,144 had poor neurological function. The CRASS score demonstrated good discrimination, with an area under the curve of 0.963 (95% confidence interval: 0.952-0.974). Using the default constant coefficient of 0.8, the CRASS score consistently overestimated the predicted probability of a good outcome. Following adjustment of the coefficient to 0.2, the CRASS score showed improved calibration., Conclusion: CRASS demonstrated good discrimination and moderate calibration in predicting favorable neurological outcomes in the validation Singapore cohort. Our study established a good foundation for future large-scale, cross-country validations of the CRASS score in diverse sociocultural, geographical, and clinical settings., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest MEH Ong reports funding from the Zoll Medical Corporation for a study involving mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation devices; grants from the Laerdal Foundation, Laerdal Medical, and Ramsey Social Justice Foundation for funding of the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study; an advisory relationship with Global Healthcare SG, a commercial entity that manufactures cooling devices; and funding from Laerdal Medical on an observation program to their Community CPR training Centre Research Program in Norway. MEH Ong has a licensing agreement and patent filed (Application no: 13/047,348) with ZOLL Medical Corporation for a study titled “Method of predicting acute cardiopulmonary events and survivability of a patient. He is also the co-founder and scientific advisor of TIIM Healthcare, a commercial entity which develops real-time prediction and risk stratification solutions at triage. All other authors have no conflict of interest to declare., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Hospital-based resuscitation interventions, such as therapeutic temperature management (TTM), emergency percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) can improve outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We investigated post-resuscitation interventions and hospital characteristics on OHCA outcomes across public hospitals in Singapore over a 9-year period., Methods: This was a prospective cohort study of all OHCA cases that presented to 6 hospitals in Singapore from 2010 to 2018. Data were extracted from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study Clinical Research Network (PAROS CRN) registry. We excluded patients younger than 18 years or were dead on arrival at the emergency department. The outcomes were 30-day survival post-arrest, survival to admission, and neurological outcome., Results: The study analysed 17,735 cases. There was an increasing rate of provision of TTM, emergency PCI and ECMO ( P <0.001) in hospitals, and a positive trend of survival outcomes ( P <0.001). Relative to hospital F, hospitals B and C had lower provision rates of TTM (≤5.2%). ECMO rate was consistently <1% in all hospitals except hospital F. Hospitals A, B, C, E had <6.5% rates of provision of emergency PCI. Relative to hospital F, OHCA cases from hospitals A, B and C had lower odds of 30-day survival (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]<1; P <0.05 for hospitals A-C) and lower odds of good neurological outcomes (aOR<1; P <0.05 for hospitals A-C). OHCA cases from academic hospitals had higher odds ratio (OR) of 30-day survival (OR 1.3, 95% CI 1.1-1.5) than cases from hospitals without an academic status., Conclusion: Post-resuscitation interventions for OHCA increased across all hospitals in Singapore from 2010 to 2018, correlating with survival rates. The academic status of hospitals was associated with improved survival.

Objective: We aimed to examine the survival outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients, stratified by the transportation modes to the Emergency Department (ED)., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of Singapore's Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study registry from Apr 2010-Dec 2017. The primary outcome was survival to discharge or 30 days post-arrest. Secondary outcomes were the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) rate and neurological outcomes. A subgroup analysis was performed for OHCA cases who collapsed enroute., Results: A total of 15,376 cases were analysed. 15,129 (98.4%) were conveyed by Emergency Medical Services (EMS), 111 (0.72%) by private ambulance, 106 (0.69%) by own transport and 30 (0.2%) by public transport. 80% of patients brought by public transport arrested enroute, compared to 48.1% by own transport, 25.2% by private ambulance and 2.5% in the EMS group. 33/120 (27.5%) of paediatric OHCA cases were brought in by non-EMS transport to paediatric hospitals. The EMS group had the lowest survival rate at 4.5%, compared to 13.3% for public transport, 11.3% for own transport and 14.4% for private ambulance. ROSC rate was statistically significant but not for neurological outcomes. For the subgroup analysis, there was no statistical difference for primary and secondary outcomes across the groups., Conclusion: In Singapore, most OHCA patients are conveyed by EMS to the hospital, but some OHCA patients still arrive via alternative transport without prehospital interventions like bystander CPR. More can be done to educate the public to recognise an impending cardiac arrest and to activate EMS early for such cases., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Sudden cardiac arrest with or without sudden cardiac death (SCD) represents a heterogeneous spectrum of underlying etiology but is often a catastrophic event. Despite improvements in pre-hospital response and post-resuscitation care, outcomes remain grim. Thus, we aim to evaluate the predictors of survival in out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCAs) and describe autopsy findings of those with the uncertain cause of death (COD)., Methods: This is a subgroup analysis of the Singapore cohort from the Pan Asian Resuscitation Outcome Study which studied 933 OHCAs admitted to two Singapore tertiary hospitals from April 2010 to May 2012., Results: Of the patients analysed, 30.2% ( n  = 282) had an initial return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) at the emergency department, 18.0% ( n  = 168) had sustained ROSC with subsequent admission and 3.4% ( n  = 32) had survival to discharge. On multivariate analysis, an initial shockable rhythm, a witnessed event, prehospital defibrillation, and shorter time to hospital predicted ROSC as well as survival to discharge. A total of 163 (17.5%) autopsies were performed of which a cardiac etiology of SCD was noted in 92.1% ( n  = 151). Ischemic heart disease accounted for 54.3% ( n  = 89) of the autopsy cohort, with acute myocardial infarction (26.9%, n  = 44) and myocarditis (3.7%, n  = 6) rounding out the top three causes of demise., Conclusion: OHCA remains a clinical presentation that portends a poor prognosis. Of those with uncertain COD, cardiac etiology appears to predominate from autopsy study. Identification of prognostic factors will play an important role in improving individual-level and systemic-level variables to further optimize outcomes., Competing Interests: MEH Ong reports funding from the Zoll Medical Corporation for a study involving mechanical cardiopulmonary resuscitation devices; grants from the Laerdal Foundation, Laerdal Medical, and Ramsey Social Justice Foundation for funding of the Pan‐Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study; an advisory relationship with Global Healthcare SG, a commercial entity that manufactures cooling devices; and funding from Laerdal Medical on an observation program to their Community CPR Training Centre Research Program in Norway. MEH Ong has a licensing agreement and a patent filed (Application no: 13/047,348) with ZOLL Medical Corporation for a study titled “Method of predicting acute cardiopulmonary events and survivability of a patient.” All other authors have no conflict of interest to disclose., (© 2022 The Authors. Journal of Arrhythmia published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of the Japanese Heart Rhythm Society.)

We evaluated the association between early coronary angiography (CAG) and outcomes in resuscitated out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients, by linking data from the Singapore Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study, with a national registry of cardiac procedures. The 30-day survival and neurological outcome were compared between patients undergoing early CAG (within 1-calender day), versus patients not undergoing early CAG. Inverse probability weighted estimates (IPWE) adjusted for non-randomized CAG. Of 976 resuscitated OHCA patients of cardiac etiology between 2011-2015 (mean(SD) age 64(13) years, 73.7% males), 337 (34.5%) underwent early CAG, of whom, 230 (68.2%) underwent PCI. Those who underwent early CAG were significantly younger (60(12) vs. 66(14) years old), healthier (42% vs. 59% with heart disease; 29% vs. 44% with diabetes), more likely males (86% vs. 67%), and presented with shockable rhythms (69% vs. 36%), compared with those who did not. Early CAG with PCI was associated with better survival and neurological outcome (adjusted odds ratio 1.91 and 1.82 respectively), findings robust to IPWE adjustment. The rates of bleeding and stroke were similar. CAG with PCI within 24 h was associated with improved clinical outcomes after OHCA, without increasing complications. Further studies are required to identify the characteristics of patients who would benefit most from this invasive strategy.

Objective: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with poor survival. Studies have demonstrated improved survival with early bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (BCPR). This study evaluated the impact of a dispatcher-assisted CPR (DA-CPR) program on BCPR rate and outcomes of OHCA in a developing emergency medical services (EMS) system setting., Methods: Data were extracted from the national cardiac arrest registry. A before-after analysis was performed between OHCA cases with cardiac etiology conveyed by EMS from April 2010-June 2012 (pre-intervention) and July 2012-December 2015 (post-intervention). Primary outcomes were survival-to-discharge/30 days post-arrest and favorable cerebral performance (Glasgow-Pittsburgh cerebral performance categories 1 and 2)., Results: 6365 OHCA cases were analyzed with 2129 in the pre-intervention and 4236 in the post-intervention group. In the post-intervention group, there was an increase in BCPR rates from 24.8% to 53.8% (p < 0.001), adjusted OR 3.67 (aOR; 95%CI: 3.26-4.13). OHCA outcomes also improved with survival-to-discharge rates increasing from 3.0%-4.5% (p < 0.01), aOR 2.10 (95%CI: 1.40-3.17) and favorable cerebral performance increasing from 1.6% to 2.7% (p < 0.05), aOR 2.82 (95%CI: 1.65-4.82). In patients with initial shockable rhythm, BCPR without dispatcher assistance was associated with significantly higher odds of survival-to-discharge (aOR 1.67, 95%CI: 1.06-2.64) and favorable cerebral performance (aOR 2.32, 95%CI: 1.26-4.27) compared to no BCPR., Conclusion: Our study showed that a simplified DA-CPR program can be successfully implemented in a developing EMS system and can contribute to higher BCPR rate and in turn, improve OHCA survival. Future studies can examine bystanders' characteristics and quality of the CPR performed to understand their impact on survival.

Background: Organ donation after brain death is the standard practice in many countries. Rates are low globally. This study explores the potential national number of candidates for uncontrolled donations after cardiac death (uDCD) amongst out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients and the influence of extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) on the candidacy of these potential organ donors using Singapore as a case study., Methods: Using Singapore data from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study, we identified all non-traumatic OHCA cases from 2010 to 2016. Four established criteria for identifying uDCD candidates (Madrid, San Carlos Madrid, Maastricht and Paris) were retrospectively applied onto the population. Within these four groups, a condensed ECPR eligibility criteria was employed and thereafter, an estimated ECPR survival rate was applied, extrapolating for possible neurologically intact survivors had ECPR been administered., Results: 12,546 OHCA cases (64.8% male, mean age 65.2 years old) qualified for analysis. The estimated number of OHCA patients who were eligible for uDCD ranged from 4.3 to 19.6%. The final projected percentage of potential uDCD donors readjusted for ECPR survivors was 4.2% (Paris criteria worst-case scenario, n = 532) to 19.4% of all OHCA cases (Maastricht criteria best-case scenario, n = 2428), for an estimated 14.3 to 65.4 uDCD donors per million population per year (pmp/year)., Conclusions: In Singapore case study, we demonstrated the potential numbers of candidates for uDCD among resuscitated OHCA cases. This sizeable pool of potential donors demonstrates the potential for an uDCD program to expand the organ donor pool. A small proportion of these patients might however survive had they been administered ECPR. Further research into the factors influencing local organ and patient outcomes following uDCD and ECPR is indicated., (© 2021. The Author(s).)

Background Outcomes of patients from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) vary widely globally because of differences in prehospital systems of emergency care. National efforts had gone into improving OHCA outcomes in Singapore in recent years including community and prehospital initiatives. We aimed to document the impact of implementation of a national 5-year Plan for prehospital emergency care in Singapore on OHCA outcomes from 2011 to 2016. Methods and Results Prospective, population-based data of OHCA brought to Emergency Departments were obtained from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study cohort. The primary outcome was Utstein (bystander witnessed, shockable rhythm) survival-to-discharge or 30-day postarrest. Mid-year population estimates were used to calculate age-standardized incidence. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify prehospital characteristics associated with survival-to-discharge across time. A total of 11 465 cases qualified for analysis. Age-standardized incidence increased from 26.1 per 100 000 in 2011 to 39.2 per 100 000 in 2016. From 2011 to 2016, Utstein survival rates nearly doubled from 11.6% to 23.1% ( P =0.006). Overall survival rates improved from 3.6% to 6.5% ( P <0.001). Bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation rates more than doubled from 21.9% to 56.3% and bystander automated external defibrillation rates also increased from 1.8% to 4.6%. Age ≤65 years, nonresidential location, witnessed arrest, shockable rhythm, bystander automated external defibrillation, and year 2016 were independently associated with improved survival. Conclusions Implementation of a national prehospital strategy doubled OHCA survival in Singapore from 2011 to 2016, along with corresponding increases in bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation and bystander automated external defibrillation. This can be an implementation model for other systems trying to improve OHCA outcomes.

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is an important public health problem, with very low survival rate. In treating OHCA patients, the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) represents the success of early resuscitation efforts. In this study, we developed a machine learning model to predict ROSC and compared it with the ROSC after cardiac arrest (RACA) score. Results demonstrated the usefulness of machine learning in deriving predictive models.

Aims: Singapore is highly-urbanized, with >90% of the population living in high-rise apartments. She has implemented several city-wide interventions such as dispatcher-assisted CPR, community CPR training and smartphone activation of volunteers to increase bystander CPR (BCPR) rates for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). These may have different impact on residential and non-residential OHCA. We aimed to evaluate the characteristics, processes-of-care and outcome differences between residential and non-residential OHCA and study the differences in temporal trends of BCPR rates., Methods: This was a national, observational study in Singapore from 2010 to 2016, using data from the prospective Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study. The primary outcome was survival (to-discharge or to-30-days). Multivariate logistic regression was performed to determine the effect of location-type on survival and a test of statistical interaction was performed to assess the difference in the temporal relationship of BCPR rates between location-type., Results: 8397 cases qualified for analysis, of which 5990 (71.3%) were residential. BCPR and bystander automated external defibrillator (AED) rates were significantly lower in residential as compared to non-residential arrests (41.0% vs 53.6%, p < 0.01; 0.4% vs 10.8%, p < 0.01 respectively). Residential BCPR increased from 15.8% (2010) to 57.1% (2016). Residential cardiac arrests had lower survival-to-discharge (2.9% vs 10.1%, p < 0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that location-type had an independent effect on survival, with residential arrests having poorer survival compared to non-residential cardiac arrests (adjusted OR 0.547 [0.435-0.688]). A test of statistical interaction showed a significant interaction effect between year and location-type for bystander CPR, with a narrowing of differences in bystander CPR between residential and non-residential cardiac arrests over the years., Conclusion: Residential cardiac arrests had poorer bystander intervention and survival from 2010 to 2016 in Singapore. BCPR had improved more in residential arrests compared to non-residential arrests over a period of city-wide interventions to improve BCPR., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Nursing home (NH) residents with out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) have unique resuscitation priorities. This study aimed to describe OHCA characteristics in NH residents and identify independent predictors of survival., Materials and Methods: OHCA cases between 2010-16 in the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study were retrospectively analysed. Patients aged <18 years old and non-emergency cases were excluded. Primary outcome was survival at discharge or 30 days. Good neurological outcome was defined as a cerebral performance score between 1-2., Results: A total of 12,112 cases were included. Of these, 449 (3.7%) were NH residents who were older (median age 79 years, range 69-87 years) and more likely to have a history of stroke, heart and respiratory diseases. Fewer NH OHCA had presumed cardiac aetiology (62% vs 70%, P <0.01) and initial shockable rhythm (8.9% vs 18%, P <0.01), but had higher incidence of bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (74% vs 43%, P <0.01) and defibrillator use (8.5% vs 2.8%, P <0.01). Non-NH (2.8%) residents had better neurological outcomes than NH (0.9%) residents ( P <0.05). Factors associated with survival for cardiac aetiology included age <65 years old, witnessed arrest, bystander defibrillator use and initial shockable rhythm; for non-cardiac aetiology, these included witnessed arrest (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] 3.8, P <0.001) and initial shockable rhythm (AOR 5.7, P <0.001)., Conclusion: Neurological outcomes were poorer in NH survivors of OHCA. These findings should inform health policies on termination of resuscitation, advance care directives and do-not-resuscitate orders in this population.

Background: Our study aimed to identify a strategy that maximizes survival upon hospital discharge or 30-days post out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Singapore for fixed investments of S$1, S$5, or S$10 million. Four strategies were compared: (1) no additional investment; (2) reducing response time via leasing of more ambulances; (3) increasing number of people trained in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR); and (4) automated external defibrillators (AED)., Methods: We estimated the effect of ambulance response time, bystander CPR and AED on survival based on Singapore's 2010-2015 OHCA registry data. We simulated the changes in ambulance response times and likelihood of (1) CPR and (2) AED usage as a function of their increased availability, which was then combined with the effect of each factor to determine the increase in survival for each strategy., Results: Survival given no additional investment was 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%). The investments in ambulances, CPR training and AEDs for a given budget of S$1M changed survival to 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%), 4.04% (95% CI: 3.98%, 4.11%), and 4.44% (95% CI: 4.35%, 4.54%), respectively. This generated 0, 2 and 102 additional life years saved respectively. Given a budget of S$5M or S$10M, 509 or 886 additional life years could be saved, by investing in an additional 10,000 or 20,000 AEDs respectively. The strategies reached a saturation effect whereby improvement in survival was marginal when the budget was increased to ≥S$5M for investment in ambulances and CPR training., Conclusions: Investing in AEDs had the most gain in survival., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Aim: Survival is the most consistently captured outcome across countries for out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA), with return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) representing the earliest endpoint for 'unbiased' initial resuscitation success. The ROSC after cardiac arrest (RACA) score was developed to predict ROSC and has been validated in several European countries. In this study, we aimed to evaluate the performance of RACA in a Pan-Asian population., Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of data collected in the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) registry. We included OHCA cases from seven communities (Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, and United Arab Emirates) between January 2009 and December 2012. Paediatric cases, cases that were conveyed by non-emergency medical services (EMS), and cases with incomplete records were excluded from the study., Results: The RACA score showed similar discrimination performance as the original German study and various European validation studies. However, it had poor calibration with the original constant regression coefficient, which was primarily due to the low ROSC rate (8.2%) in the PAROS cohort. The calibration performance of RACA significantly improved after the constant coefficient was modified to adjust for the disparity in ROSC rates between Asia and Europe., Conclusion: This is the largest validation study of the RACA score. RACA consistently performs well in both Pan-Asian and European communities and can thus be a valuable tool for evaluating EMS systems. However, to implement it, the constant coefficient has to be modified in the RACA formula with local historical data., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: 70% of Out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) in Singapore occur in residential areas, and are associated with poorer outcomes. We hypothesized that an interventional bundle consisting of Save-A-life (SAL) initiative (cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR)/automated external defibrillator (AED) training and public-housing AED installation), dispatcher-assisted CPR (DA-CPR) program and myResponder (mobile application) will improve OHCA survival., Methods: This is pilot data from initial implementation of a stepped-wedge, before-after, real-world interventional bundle in six selected regions. Under the SAL initiative, 30,000 individuals were CPR/AED trained, with 360 AEDs installed. Data was obtained from Singapore's national OHCA Registry. We included all adult patients who experienced OHCA in Singapore from 2011 to 2016 within study regions, excluding EMS-witnessed cases and cases due to trauma/drowning/ electrocution. Cases occurring before and after intervention were allocated as control and intervention groups respectively. Survival was assessed via multivariable logistic regression., Results: 1241 patients were included for analysis (Intervention: 361; Control: 880). The intervention group had higher mean age (70 vs 67 years), survival (3.3% [12/361] vs. 2.2% [19/880]), pre-hospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) (9.1% [33/361] vs 5.1% [45/880]), bystander CPR (63.7% [230/361] vs 44.8% [394/880]) and bystander AED application (2.8% [10/361] vs 1.1% [10/880]). After adjusting for age, gender, race and significant covariates, the intervention was associated with increased odds ratio (OR) for survival (OR 2.39 [1.02-5.62]), pre-hospital ROSC (OR 1.94 [1.15-3.25]) and bystander CPR (OR 2.29 [1.77-2.96])., Conclusion: The OHCA interventional bundle (SAL initiative, DA-CPR, myResponder) significantly improved survival and is being scaled up as a national program., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: The objective was to compare the survival outcomes of emergency medical services (EMS)-witnessed to bystander-witnessed, and unwitnessed out-of-hospital cardiac arrests (OHCA) in Singapore. Secondary aims are to describe the 5-year trend in survival rates of EMS-witnessed arrests. Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of the Singapore's OHCA registry data from 2011 to 2015. Excluded from the analysis were patients younger than 18 years old, arrests of traumatic etiology, resuscitation not attempted, and cases not conveyed by EMS. The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge or 30 days post-arrest. Secondary outcomes were return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) and survival to hospital admission. Results: 8,394 cases were analyzed, with 650 (7.7%) EMS-witnessed arrests, 4480 (53.4%) bystander-witnessed arrests, and 3264 (38.9%) unwitnessed arrests. Among EMS-witnessed arrests, the majority were presumed to be of cardiac etiology (62.8%) and the most common presenting rhythm was pulseless electrical activity (PEA; 57.2%). Survival to discharge or 30 th day post-arrest was higher in EMS-witnessed arrests compared to bystander-witnessed and unwitnessed arrests (11.2% vs. 5.3% and 1.3%, p < 0.001). Survival to discharge for EMS-witnessed cases increased from 2011 (13.2%) to 2015 (18.9%). Conclusions: EMS-witnessed OHCAs were more likely to have favorable outcomes compared to bystander-witnessed and unwitnessed OHCAs. High PEA rates in EMS-witnessed arrests were associated with older patients with underlying preexisting medical conditions. Increasing public awareness on recognition of prodromal symptoms and early activation of EMS could improve post-arrest survival and neurological outcomes of OHCA.

Objective: We aimed to examine the association of ethnicity and socioeconomic status (SES) with Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) incidence and 30-day survival in Singapore. Methods: We analyzed the Singapore cohort of Pan-Asia Resuscitation Outcome Study (PAROS), a multi-center, prospective OHCA registry between 2010 and 2015. The Singapore Socioeconomic Disadvantage Index (SEDI) score, obtained according to zip code, was used as surrogate for neighborhood SES. Age-adjusted OHCA incidence and Utstein survival were calculated by ethnicity and SES. Utstein survival was defined as the number of cardiac OHCA cases with initial rhythm of ventricular fibrillation witnessed by a bystander who survived 30-days or until hospital discharge. Logistic regression was used to investigate association of ethnicity with 30-day and Utstein survivals. Results: Our study population comprised 8,900 patients: 6,453 Chinese, 1,472 Malays, and 975 Indians. The overall age-adjusted incidence ratios (95% CI) for Malay/Chinese and Indian/Chinese were 1.93 (1.83-2.04) and 1.95 (1.83-2.08), respectively. The overall age-adjusted incidence ratios (95% CI) for average/low and high/low SEDI group were 1.12 (0.95-1.33) and 1.29 (1.08-1.53), respectively. Malay showed lesser Utstein survival of 8.1% compared to Chinese (14.6%) and Indian (20.4%) [p = 0.018]. Ethnicity did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.072) in forward selection model of Utstein survival, while SEDI score and category were not significant (p > 0.2 and p = 0.349). Conclusions: We found Malay and Indian communities to be at higher risks of OHCA compared to Chinese, and additionally, the Malay community is at higher risk of subsequent mortality than the Chinese and Indian communities. These disparities were not explained by neighborhood SES.

Background: A large proportion of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) cases occur in high-rise residential buildings. This study aims to investigate the effect of vertical location on survival outcomes and response times., Methods: This is a retrospective study based on data obtained from the Singapore cohort of the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) from January 2011 to December 2014. Study subjects were OHCA cases, unwitnessed and transported by EMS personnel, with known vertical location (floor) data. Traumatic arrests with no resuscitation attempted and missing vertical locations were excluded. The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge or 30 days post-cardiac arrest., Results: A total of 5678 OHCA cases were included in the study. The effect of floors on survival was manifested as a U-shaped response. Survival rates of 4.5% for the 4 pooled basement floors and 6.2% for the ground floor (floor 1) were contrasted by a substantial drop to 2.7% at floor 2 and continuing decline to 0.7% at floor 6. In a multivariable model using stepwise logistic regression, both linear (p = 0.0285) and quadratic (p = 0.0018) floor effects remained significant after adjustment for other significant risk factors, age, bystander witnessed arrest, first arrest rhythm, ROSC on scene/enroute, and EMS response times. Harrell's C-statistic for a predictive model incorporating these variables was 0.933., Conclusions: Vertical location is associated with OHCA survival probability with a U-shaped response, and this significance remained after adjustment for other significant OHCA variables. This relationship is likely multifactorial and more research is needed to elucidate the various factors., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a metabolic disease characterized by dysfunction of glycolipid metabolism. YLTZ is used to treat hyperlipidemia, yet its hypolipidemic and hypoglycemic mechanism on T2DM are unknown. Thus, UPLC/TOF/MS was applied in this study to identify the potential bio-markers, and deduce the possible metabolic pathways. According to bio-indexes, the increased blood lipid levels, including TC, TG, LDL and FA, and the decreased HDL, the elevated glucose, reduced insulin level and impaired OGTT were observed in diabetic rat model. While YLTZ can decrease the lipid levels and glucose content, as well as increased insulin standards and improve OGTT. After data from UPLC/TOF/MS processed, 17 metabolites were obtained, including phospholipids (LPCs, PCs and PGP (18:1)), beta-oxidation production (HAA, VAG and CNE) and precursors (THA), bile acid (CA, CDCA and IDCA), hydrolysate of TG (MG (22:4)), glycometabolism (G6P), cholesterol-driven synthetics (ADO) and production of arachidonate acid (THETA). As a result, YLTZ was able to reduce LPCs, PCs, PGP (18:1), HAA, VAG, CNE, CA, ADO and THETA, as well as enhance MG (22:4) and G6P. After analyzing results, several metabolic pathways were deduced, which containing, cholesterol synthesis and elimination, FA beta-oxidation, TG hydrolysis, phospholipids synthesis, glycolysis, gluconeogenesis and inflammation. Consequently, YLTZ performed to prohibit the FA beta-oxidation, synthesis of cholesterol and phospholipids, gluconeogenesis and inflammation level, as well as promote TG hydrolysis, glycolysis and blood circulation. Hence, applying metabonomics in TCM research can uncover its pharmacological edges, elucidating comprehensively that YLTZ has capacity of hypolipidemic, hypoglycemic and promoting blood circulation, matching the effect of removing blood stasis, eliminating phlegm and dampness., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Study Objective: The study aims to identify modifiable factors associated with improved out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival among communities in the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS) Clinical Research Network: Japan, Singapore, South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, Thailand, and the United Arab Emirates (Dubai)., Methods: This was a prospective, international, multicenter cohort study of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in the Asia-Pacific. Arrests caused by trauma, patients who were not transported by emergency medical services (EMS), and pediatric out-of-hospital cardiac arrest cases (<18 years) were excluded from the analysis. Modifiable out-of-hospital factors (bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation [CPR] and defibrillation, out-of-hospital defibrillation, advanced airway, and drug administration) were compared for all out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients presenting to EMS and participating hospitals. The primary outcome measure was survival to hospital discharge or 30 days of hospitalization (if not discharged). We used multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression models to identify factors independently associated with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival, accounting for clustering within each community., Results: Of 66,780 out-of-hospital cardiac arrest cases reported between January 2009 and December 2012, we included 56,765 in the analysis. In the adjusted model, modifiable factors associated with improved out-of-hospital cardiac arrest outcomes included bystander CPR (odds ratio [OR] 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.31 to 1.55), response time less than or equal to 8 minutes (OR 1.52; 95% CI 1.35 to 1.71), and out-of-hospital defibrillation (OR 2.31; 95% CI 1.96 to 2.72). Out-of-hospital advanced airway (OR 0.73; 95% CI 0.67 to 0.80) was negatively associated with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival., Conclusion: In the PAROS cohort, bystander CPR, out-of-hospital defibrillation, and response time less than or equal to 8 minutes were positively associated with increased out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival, whereas out-of-hospital advanced airway was associated with decreased out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival. Developing EMS systems should focus on basic life support interventions in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest resuscitation., (Copyright © 2017 American College of Emergency Physicians. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objective: The present study aimed to determine whether the time of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with survival rate and neurological outcome after OHCA, as well as to compare the effect size of time of OHCA across six Asian regions., Methods: We collected data from the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study registry, six Asian regions (Tokyo, Osaka, Aichi, Seoul, Taipei and Singapore) from 2009 to 2012. Adult OHCA cases were divided depending on the arrest time: I (00.01-06.00 hours), II (06.01-12.00 hours), III (12.01-18.00 hours) and IV (18.01-24.00 hours). Using a multivariable logistic regression analysis, we compared the outcomes of survival and good neurological recovery., Results: Of 65 413 cases treated by the emergency medical service, 36 706 (56.1%) cases were analysed. There was the lowest OHCA incidence in time block I. Compared with time block I, the adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the standardised survival rate were 1.6 (1.3-1.9) in time block II, 1.4 (1.2-1.7) in time block III and 1.2 (1.0-1.4) in time block IV. Regarding the good neurological recovery rate, compared with time block I, the adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were 1.9 (1.5-2.4) in time block II, 1.7 (1.3-2.1) in time block III and 1.4 (1.1-1.7) in time block IV. However, in the subgroup analysis, there were regional differences between Japan and the other regions., Conclusions: We found diurnal similarities in OHCA occurrence, as well as differences in survival rate and good neurological recovery rate among Asian regions., (© 2017 Australasian College for Emergency Medicine and Australasian Society for Emergency Medicine.)

Background and Objective: Mounting studies have illustrated an important role of autophagy in various diseases, but few studies have reported its contribution to rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and the underlying mechanism was largely unknown. This study aimed to investigate whether autophagy inhibitors could regulate apoptosis and proliferation through PI3K/AKT pathway in RA., Methods: RA animal model was established by collagen induction. General observations and degree of joint swelling were observed. Inflammatory response, cell survival related factors and apoptosis were also detected in synovial fibroblasts. In addition, cultured rheumatoid arthritis fibroblast-like synoviocytes (RA-FLS) were subjected to TNF-α treatment in vitro , and TNF-α induced cell autophagy, synovial cell proliferation and apoptosis were detected. Moreover, cell cycle and cytokine secretion protein, along with the above parameters, were analyzed., Results: Results from the animal model showed that autophagy inhibitors attenuated inflammatory reaction and synovial hyperplasia, while promoted synovial fibroblasts apoptosis. Meanwhile, inhibition of autophagy promoted cell apoptosis and reversed cell proliferation in vitro , also blocked cell in the G2/M arrest and reduced the S phase cells. Furthermore, we observed that inhibition of PI3K/AKT pathway reversed TNF-α mediated autophagy and cytokine secretion., Conclusion: autophagy inhibitors could mitigate inflammation response, inhibiting RA-FLS cell proliferation while promoting cell apoptosis by the PI3K/AKT pathway., Competing Interests: None.

Objective: There is often little consensus on the levels of trainees' performances, given the varied expertise and experience of the assessors, different tasks to be assessed and dynamic circumstances. Consequently, assessors are considered to be a major source of measurement error in workplace assessment. The aim of this pilot study is to assess the inter-rater reliability and agreement of a hybrid framework for assessment of nonspecialist doctors in our Emergency Department., Methods: A hybrid framework was used to evaluate two core competencies of medical knowledge and patient care of nonspecialist doctors in our Emergency Department. Pre and post scores of these doctors were obtained at the end of their posting., Results: The inter-rater agreement and reliability was markedly higher for the group of nonspecialist doctors with previous Emergency Medicine experience, with fair-to-good reliability of the ratings among the assessors after application of the framework., Conclusion: The use of our hybrid framework improved the inter-rater reliability and agreement in our Emergency Department for a specific group of learners who have had previous Emergency Medicine experience. To improve the reliability of ratings, faculty development has to address how observations and assessments should be synthesized into an overall rating.

Aim: Futile resuscitation can lead to unnecessary transports for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). The Basic Life Support (BLS) and Advanced Life Support (ALS) termination of resuscitation (TOR) guidelines have been validated with good results in North America. This study aims to evaluate the performance of these two rules in predicting neurological outcomes of OHCA patients in Singapore, which has an intermediate life support Emergency Medical Services (EMS) system., Methods: A retrospective cohort study was carried out on Singapore OHCA data collected from April 2010 to May 2012 for the Pan-Asian Resuscitation Outcomes Study (PAROS). The outcomes of each rule were compared to the actual neurological outcomes of the patients. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and predicted transport rates of each test were evaluated., Results: A total of 2,193 patients had cardiac arrest of presumed cardiac etiology. TOR was recommended for 1,411 patients with the BLS-TOR rule, with a specificity of 100% (91.9, 100.0) for predicting poor neurological outcomes, PPV 100% (99.7, 100.0), sensitivity 65.7% (63.6, 67.7), NPV 5.6% (4.1, 7.5), and transportation rate 35.6%. Using the ALS-TOR rule, TOR was recommended for 587 patients, specificity 100% (91.9, 100.0) for predicting poor neurological outcomes, PPV 100% (99.4, 100.0), sensitivity 27.3% (25.4, 29.3), NPV 2.7% (2.0, 3.7), and transportation rate 73.2%. BLS-TOR predicted survival (any neurological outcome) with specificity 93.4% (95% CI 85.3, 97.8) versus ALS-TOR 98.7% (95% CI 92.9, 99.8)., Conclusion: Both the BLS and ALS-TOR rules had high specificities and PPV values in predicting neurological outcomes, the BLS-TOR rule had a lower predicted transport rate while the ALS-TOR rule was more accurate in predicting futility of resuscitation. Further research into unique local cultural issues would be useful to evaluate the feasibility of any system-wide implementation of TOR.

Aim: To evaluate the effects of a comprehensive dispatcher-assisted CPR (DACPR) training program on bystander CPR (BCPR) rate and the outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Singapore., Methods: This is an initial program evaluation of a national DACPR intervention. A before-after analysis was conducted using OHCA cases retrieved from a local registry and DACPR information derived from audio recordings and ambulance notes. The primary outcomes were survival to admission, survival at 30 days post-arrest and good functional recovery., Results: Data was collected before the intervention (April 2010 to December 2011), during the run-in period (January 2012 to June 2012) and after the intervention (July 2012 to February 2013). A total of 2968 cases were included in the study with a mean age of 65.6. Overall survival rate was 3.9% (116) with good functional recovery in 2.2% (66) of the patients. BCPR rate increased from 22.4% to 42.1% (p<0.001) with odds ratio (OR) of 2.52 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.09-3.04) and ROSC increased significantly from 26.5% to 31.2% (p=0.02) with OR of 1.26 (95%CI: 1.04-1.53) after the intervention. Significantly higher survival at 30 days was observed for patients who received BCPR from a trained person as compared to no BCPR (p=0.001, OR=2.07 [95%CI: 1.41-3.02]) and DACPR (p=0.04, OR=0.30 [95%CI: 0.04-2.18])., Conclusion: A significant increase in BCPR and ROSC was observed after the intervention. There was a trend to suggest improved survival outcomes with the intervention pending further results from the trial., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Aim: We aim to study if there has been an improvement in survival for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) in Singapore, the effects of various interventional strategies over the past 10 years, and identify strategies that contributed to improved survival., Methods: Rates of OHCA survival were compared between 2001-2004 and 2010-2012, using nationwide data for all OHCA presenting to EMS and public hospitals. A multivariate logistic regression model for survival to discharge was constructed to identify strategies with significant impact., Results: A total of 5453 cases were included, 2428 cases from 2001 to 2004 and 3025 cases from 2010 to 2012. There was significant improvement in Utstein (witnessed, shockable) survival to discharge from 2001-2004 (2.5%) to 2010-2012 (11.0%), adjusted odds ratio (OR) 9.6 [95% CI: 2.2-41.9]). Overall survival to discharge increased from 1.6% to 3.2% (adjusted OR 2.2 [1.5-3.3]). Bystander CPR rates increased from 19.7% to 22.4% (p=0.02). The multivariate regression model (adjusted for important non-modifiable risk factors) showed that response time <8min (OR 1.5 [1.0-2.3]), bystander AED (OR 5.8 [2.0-16.2]), and post-resuscitation hypothermia (OR 30.0 [11.5-78.0]) were significantly associated with survival to hospital discharge. Conversely, pre-hospital epinephrine (OR 0.6 [0.4-0.9]) was associated negatively with survival., Conclusions: OHCA survival has improved in Singapore over the past 10 years. Improvement in response time, public AEDs and post-resuscitation hypothermia appear to have contributed to the increase in survival. Singapore's experience might suggest that developing EMS systems should focus on reducing times to basic life support, including bystander defibrillation and post-resuscitation care., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: Endotracheal intubation (ETI) is currently considered superior to supraglottic airway devices (SGA) for survival and other outcomes among adults with non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). We aimed to determine if the research supports this conclusion by conducting a systematic review., Methods: We searched the MEDLINE, Scopus and CINAHL databases for studies published between January 1, 1980, and 30 April 30, 2013, which compared pre-hospital use of ETI with SGA for outcomes of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC); survival to hospital admission; survival to hospital discharge; and favorable neurological or functional status. We selected studies using pre-specified criteria. Included studies were independently screened for quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. We did not pool results because of study variability. Study outcomes were extracted and results presented as summed odds ratios with 95% CI., Results: We identified five eligible studies: one quasi-randomized controlled trial and four cohort studies, involving 303,348 patients in total. Only three of the five studies reported a higher proportion of ROSC with ETI versus SGA with no difference reported in the remaining two. None found significant differences between ETI and SGA for survival to hospital admission or discharge. One study reported better functional status at discharge for ETI versus SGA. Two studies reported no significant difference for favorable neurological status between ETI and SGA., Conclusion: Current evidence does not conclusively support the superiority of ETI over SGA for multiple outcomes among adults with OHCA.

Background: Bystander Cardio-Pulmonary Resuscitation (BCPR) can improve survival for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA). This study aimed to investigate the geographic variation of BCPR provision and survival to discharge outcomes among residential OHCA cases, evaluate this variation with individual and population characteristics and identify high-risk residential areas with low relative risk (RR) of BCPR and high RR of OHCA at the development guide plan (DGP) census tract levels in Singapore., Methods: This was a retrospective, secondary analysis of two prospectively-collected registries in Singapore from 2001 to 2011. We used Bayesian conditional autoregressive spatial models to examine predictors at the DGP level and calculate smoothed RR to identify high-risk areas. We used multi-level mixed-effects logistic regression models to examine the independent effects of individual and neighborhood factors., Results: We found a total of 3942 OHCA with a BCPR rate of 20.3% and a survival to discharge rate of 1.9% and 3578 cases eligible for BCPR. After adjusting for age, witnessed status, presumed cardiac etiology and longer response time, the risk of BCPR provision significantly increased by 0.02% for every 1% increase in the proportion of household size 5 and above in the DGP area (odds ratio 1.02, 95%CI=1.002-1.038, p<0.026). We identified 10 high-risk residential areas with low RR of BCPR and high RR of OHCA., Conclusion: This study informed that neighborhood household size could have played a significant role in the provision of BCPR and occurrence of high-risk areas. It demonstrates the public health potential of combining geospatial and epidemiological analysis for improving health., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: The American Heart Association recommends automated external defibrillator placement in public areas with a high probability (>1) of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) occurring in 5 years. We aimed to determine the incidence rate of OHCA for different location categories in Singapore., Methods: Cardiac arrest incidence was obtained from a national registry. Denominators for the actual number of sites per location category were obtained from public accessible sources, government officers and purchased statistics. Analysis was performed and expressed in terms of the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI)., Results: From 1 October 2001 to 14 October 2004, 2254 non-trauma OHCA cases were included. Mean age for arrests was 62.2 years, with 67.5% men. The location category with the highest incidence of cardiac arrests per site per 5 years was Port/Airport/Immigration Checkpoints (5.24 CI [3.66-7.20]). Top individual site with high average incidence of cardiac arrests per 5 years was Changi Airport (25.0 CI [16.18-36.90]). Seventy-one per cent of arrests occurred in residential areas. The postal sector with the highest average incidence per 100 000 population was Bedok Reservoir (54.89), whereas that with the highest population density was Bukit Merah/Alexandra with 348.14 population per 100 km(2) ., Conclusion: In this study, we found the categories and individual sites that clearly fulfilled the American Heart Association criteria of at least 1 OHCA per site per 5 years. This study provides a model of how cardiac arrest registry data can be used to guide local health policy on automated external defibrillator deployment., (© 2014 Australasian College for Emergency Medicine and Australasian Society for Emergency Medicine.)

Aim: This study aimed to assess knowledge, attitudes and practices among Singapore residents towards life-saving skills and providing emergency assistance in the community using a population representative sample., Methods: A population based, random sample of 7840 household addresses were selected from a validated national sampling frame. Respondents were interviewed using face-to-face interview method. One adult aged between 18 and 69 years within each household was randomly selected using the "next birthday" method., Results: The response rate achieved was 65.2% with 4192 respondents. The distribution of age, gender and ethnic group were similar to the Singapore resident population for 2009. A high proportion of participants believed that adults should be trained in first aid (89.1%) and cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) (82.6%) while a lower proportion (57.2%) believed this for automated external defibrillator (AED). Proportion who had ever been trained in first aid was 34.3%, CPR was 31.4% and AED was 10.7%. In an emergency, respondents were most willing to use life-saving skills on family members or relatives (87.6%), followed by friends and colleagues (80.7%) and complete strangers (61.3%). Common barriers to applying life-saving skills were lack of knowledge (36%), fear of doing harm (22.1%) and lack of confidence (15.3%). Respondents who were more likely to have current life-saving certification were younger employed Malay male (p<0.05)., Conclusion: This study found that although a high proportion of respondents believed that adults should be trained in first aid, CPR and AED, the proportion who had ever been trained in these skills are much lower., (Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Introduction: This study aims to study how the effect of the location of patient collapses from cardiac arrest, in the residential and non-residential areas within Singapore, relates to certain survival outcomes., Materials and Methods: A retrospective cohort study of data were done from the Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation Epidemiology (CARE) project. Out-of- hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) data from October 2001 to October 2004 (CARE) were used. All patients with OHCA as confirmed by the absence of a pulse, unresponsiveness and apnoea were included. All events had occurred in Singapore. Analysis was performed and expressed in terms of the odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI)., Results: A total of 2375 cases were used for this analysis. Outcomes for OHCA in residential areas were poorer than in non-residential areas-1638 (68.9%) patients collapsed in residential areas, and 14 (0.9%) survived to discharge. This was significantly less than the 2.7% of patients who survived after collapsing in a non-residential area (OR 0.31 [0.16 - 0.62]). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that location alone had no independent effect on survival (adjusted OR 1.13 [0.32 - 4.05]); instead, underlying factors such as bystander CPR (OR 3.67 [1.13 - 11.97]) and initial shockable rhythms (OR 6.78 [1.95 - 23.53]) gave rise to better outcomes., Conclusion: Efforts to improve survival from OHCA in residential areas should include increasing CPR by family members, and reducing ambulance response times.

Introduction: Prompt recognition of cardiac arrest and initiation of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and defibrillation is necessary for good outcomes from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). This study aims to describe the recognition and treatment of OHCA in patients conveyed by non-emergency ambulance services (EAS) in Singapore., Materials and Methods: This is a multi-centre, retrospective chart review, of cases presenting to public emergency departments (EDs), conveyed by non-EAS and found to be in cardiac arrest upon ED arrival. The study was from October 2002 to August 2009. The following variables were examined: ability to recognise cardiac arrest, whether CPR was carried out by the ambulance crew and whether an automated external defibrillator (AED) was applied., Results: Eighty-six patients were conveyed by non-EAS and found to be in cardiac arrest upon ED arrival. Mean age was 63 years (SD 21.8), 70.9% were males. A total of 53.5% of arrests occurred in the ambulance while 70.9% were found to be asystolic upon ED arrival. Seven patients had a known terminal illness. Survival to discharge was 3.5%. Cardiac arrest went unrecognised by the ambulance crew in 38 patients (44.2%). CPR was performed in 35 patients (40.7%) of the 86 patients and AED was applied in only 10 patients (11.6%)., Conclusion: We found inadequate recognition and delayed initiation of treatment for OHCA. Possible reasons include a lack of training in patient monitoring and detection of cardiac arrest, lack of CPR training, lack of confidence in performing CPR, lack of AEDs on ambulances and lack of training in their use.

Portal venous gas is a well-established radiological finding in neonates. With the advancement in diagnostic imaging, more cases are being reported in adults. We present a 55-year-old man with radiological findings of both portal venous gas and pneumatosis intestinalis secondary to ischaemic necrotising enterocolitis, with subsequent fatality. The significance of finding portal venous gas and its possible aetiology is discussed.