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Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Ian Yeoman (Hotel Management School Leeuwarden) interviews Dr Daniel Wright (University of Central Lancashire) about the future genre of science fiction and his publications. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview. Findings – Science fiction research is about asking difficult questions, the questions we feel uncomfortable asking and answering. Science fiction is a powerful medium to imagine the future, which students love as it is provocative. In the interview, Dr Wright reflects upon his own writing from immortality to the end of the world. Originality/value – The power of science fiction, as a genre of transformation, skepticism and thinking out of the box, is often missing in futures studies and scenario planning.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Stefan Hartman (head of department at the European Tourism Futures Institute, NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences) interviews Jeremy Sampson (CEO of The Travel Foundation) about his view on the evolution of the tourism industry and the need for systemic change. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview held on July, 16, 2024. Findings – Jeremy Sampson highlights the importance of scenario planning and strategic foresight and its evolution. Sampson elaborates on his personal career journey, the approach of the Travel Foundation and how this informed a strong focus on the ground impact as well as systemic change. Originality/value – The interview provides unique insights into the motivation of Sampson and The Travel Foundation and their approaches, aiming to be the change makers in the tourism industry. A role that is very much needed, perhaps particularly from a third sector organization such as The Travel Foundation.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th anniversary, Dr. Albert Postma (NHL Stenden University) interviews Professor Ian Yeoman (NHL Stenden University) as co-editor of the Journal of Tourism Futures and expert on scenario planning in tourism and hospitality. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview. Findings – Yeoman shares his expertise on the establishment and evolution of the Journal of Tourism Futures, in the context of the growth of futures thinking in tourism within a science and industry context. Originality/value – The interview provides insights in the evolution of futures thinking in tourism, reflected in the growth and growing reputation of the Journal of Tourism Futures.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Stefan Hartman (head of department at the European Tourism Futures Institute, NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences) interviews Prof. Albert Postma, professor of Strategic Foresight and Scenario Planning) about Evolution and Future of Scenario Planning. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview held on September 12, 2024. Findings – Albert Postma highlights the importance of scenario planning and strategic foresight and its evolution. Postma explains how he is taking a leading role in improving the impact of applications of scenario planning and strategic foresight in tourism practice. Originality/value – The interview provides insights into the directions of scenario planning and strategic foresight applications in tourism practice and promising pathways for future academic contribution to the Journal of Tourism Futures.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures (JTF) celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Ian Yeoman (Hotel Management School Leeuwarden) interviews Emeritus Professor Pauline Sheldon (University of Hawaiʻi) about transformation and the regenerative future of tourism, a special issue published by the journal in 2022. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview. Findings – Emeritus Professor Pauline Sheldon highlights the importance of regenerative tourism for the future and the role the JTF plays in this field. In particular, Sheldon highlights the pioneering research and practice of Dr Dianne Dredge, who has championed a pathway on regenerative tourism. Originality/value – The interview provides insights into the directions of regenerative tourism and research about the future of tourism.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th anniversary, Dr Ian Yeoman (Hotel Management School Leeuwarden) interviews Professor Heike Schänzel (Auckland University of Technology) about her role as the Associate Editor of the journal. Design/methodology/approach – Personal interview. Findings – Schänzel provides a guide to the role of the Associate Editors and discusses her own research. Originality/value – The interview provides insights about the role of Associate Editors in managing the future of tourism and the critical directions of family tourism, lesbian, children’s voices and social justice research.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Stefan Hartman (head of department at the European Tourism Futures Institute, NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences) interviews Bernadett Papp (senior researcher at the European Tourism Futures Institute (ETFI) at NHL Stenden University of Applied Sciences) about her recent work in tourism practice and academic and future perspectives on topics relevant to the future of tourism. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview was held on September 16, 2024. Findings – Bernadett Papp draws attention to the importance of bringing equity into debates on tourism development and destination governance. She sees a crucial role for governments, the redesign of institutional frameworks, monitoring and data collection and rethinking systems of governance. Originality/value – The interview provides unique insights into the viewpoints of Papp, highlighting the importance of the still understudied topic of equitable tourism. A topic that still requires a lot of work before hitting mainstream approaches to destination development, even though it should have been on the policy agendas for many years already.

Purpose – As the Journal of Tourism Futures celebrates its 10th Anniversary, Dr Ian Yeoman (Hotel Management School Leeuwarden) interviews Leslie Vella (Malta Tourism Authority) about the future of tourism in Malta, drawing upon a series of scenarios as a reflective learning tool. Design/methodology/approach – A personal interview. Findings – The interview discusses the future of tourism in Malta raising issues and reflections, through four scenarios that portray the Mediterranean island: Scenario 1: A Regenerative Future – Reposition, Realignment and Refocus (Transformation), Scenario 2: A Sustainable Pathway – Adaption and Innovative Growth (Growth), Scenario 3: Europe’s Second Class – Second Choice Destination (Stagnation) and Scenario 4: No Tourism (Collapse). Originality/value – Upon critical reflection, scenarios can be seen as a powerful learning device to frame, surface and discuss issues associated with tourism, in this case in Malta.

The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic posed a big obstacle for nations as it affected the anticipated cash flows from the tourism and hospitality industry. Many tourist destinations have suffered as a result of the coronavirus disease 2019 crisis. Tourism and hospitality have been major source of revenue, and nations depend on them to augment their budgetary issues and support the provision of basic public services. Ethical tourism, responsible tourism, social justice, and sustainable tourism promise to be effective tools to execute this reputation agenda, which scholars have ignored. This paper proposes a conceptual framework that shows the effect of sustainability actions and justice on stakeholders in the tourism and hospitality industries, presently and for future generations. An in-depth literature review was employed using papers on sustainability actions. Using Scopus-indexed journals, 88 articles from several databases were sourced using key words. The conceptual framework provides insights into how global crises such as coronavirus disease in 2019 can be used as a gate to launch social justice in the tourism and hospitality space for employees, local tourism communities, tourists, and stakeholders globally. It provides academics and practitioners in the tourism and hospitality sectors with a fairer perspective on the development of strategies to attract tourists and better investment initiatives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Journal of Iran Future Studies / Āyandah/pizhūhī-i Īrān is the property of Imam Khomeini International University and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Purpose – COVID-19 plunged tourism off the cliff in New Zealand. What did this mean for the country, how did we respond and what is the future? Design/methodology/approach – This is a personal account, reflecting on my thoughts and experiences as Chief Executive of Tourism Industry Aotearoa. Findings – It is a challenging time to try to predict the future given all the remaining COVID-19-related uncertainties. But there are a number of consistencies that will frame the revival of tourism in New Zealand, when international visitors do return. Government, industry and the community will all look to shape the future of tourism, and it is essential we take a balanced score card approach, building back better with a focus on value. However, we must never forget the customer, who may well have the biggest influence. Research limitations/implications – No specific research was completed for this article–it relies on the author's industry experience. Originality/value – We can only have a successful tourism future in Aotearoa if we deliver a broad range of quality products and services that enable us to meet the promise of an economically, socially, culturally and environmentally sustainable destination. The author’s message is to focus on providing customer value in order to achieve that future. It is simple as that.

The spread of autonomous vehicles (AVs) could fundamentally change tourism-related mobility in the near future. However, the empirical research on tourism impacts is still very limited. This research aims to systematize the expected tourism impacts of AVs and to explore how experts in different fields of tourism view the technological innovation ahead. The opinions of tourism experts (n = 21) involved in the research were analyzed using the Q methodology. Statements (n = 40) were formulated in topics derived from the literature. Based on the analysis, we distinguished four groups of opinions. An optimistic, technology-oriented group of experts suggested that AV-based sightseeing may emerge as a prominent unconventional service. An accessibility-focused group of experts predicting slow progress stressed that the spread of AVs could improve access to infrastructurally advanced destinations. A mobility-service-oriented group considered that the use of AVs is becoming conventional in terms of mobility, but its appearance remains unconventional for other tourism services. Due to the potential negative effects, a skeptical group of experts believes that AVs will not become conventional in tourism. The value of the research is the creation of groups based on tourism experts' attitudes, which can help prepare strategic tourism decisions in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study is about the expectations of the future of hoteliers in the tourism city of Antalya who intend to start a new firm during the recent (geo)political crisis in Turkey. The starting point of our analysis is that capitalism is a dynamic open system that is full of creativity and novelties. That is why entrepreneurs who plan to invest face a radical uncertainty about the future and can neither make rational decisions nor form rational expectations. Instead, their decisions are based on fictional expectations (Beckert) as a motivational basis of action that are not only individually but also socially constructed by a variety of social factors that are never discussed both in tourism and resilience literature. By doing a case study, the fictional expectations of starting hoteliers are explored. The main results are the fictional expectations of hoteliers are formed in interaction with other actors in the tourism industry and banks, and, notwithstanding the geopolitical crisis that severely hit tourism and future threats such as overtourism and pandemic, the hoteliers are optimistic about the future because of believing their luxury service of their (4 and 5) star hotels and the place quality of Antalya, Turkey. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The new Coronavirus (COVID-19) is challenging the world. Without warning, without vaccine and without sufficient medical and health capacity to cope with the pandemic, non-pharmaceutical interventions, especially those of social distancing and quarantine, are the main strategy to contain the spread of the virus. Global mobility restrictions and the cancellation of all tourism-related activities are causing the most serious disruption of the global economy since World War II. The COVID19 pandemic has surprised the tourism industry, more than the terrorist attacks, earthquakes, tsunamis or social and financial disasters of the last decade have done in the last twenty years. With international travel bans affecting over 90% of the world's population and widespread restrictions on gregarious relationships, tourism has largely ceased since March 2020. To date, statistical data on the impacts of canceling hotel reservations, air travel, cruises and the food and wine chain are devastating. Although highly uncertain, the first projections from the World Tourism Organization for this year 2020 suggest that international arrivals could decrease by 20-35% compared to 2019. Particularly susceptible to measures to counter the Coronavirus pandemic due to reduced mobility and of social distancing, contemporary tourism is under the interpretative lens of sociology, especially in terms of the future. Forecast analysis scholars (Barlow et al., 2016) emphasize the role of "anthropogenic" disasters in the future of tourism, characterized by human interference with the natural environment, from deforestation to the conversion of the remaining natural habitat (Lade et al ., 2020). In particular, climate change also exacerbates the risk of outbreaks of pathogens, as climate change will lead to human migration and diasporas, for example due to events of advanced drought, floods, fires (VSF, 2018). This forecasting framework obliges us to rethink forms of spatial adaptation of tourist flows that concern not only mobility, but also the relationship between the tourist community and the host community. The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to lead to a critical reconsideration of the global volume growth pattern for tourism, for reasons related to the risks involved in global travel and the tourism industry's contribution to global pollution, climate change, and more in general, to the socio-cultural instability of certain geographical areas of the world. This abstract proposes a reflection on the theme of the future of tourism by comparing, through forecasting analysis, the impacts of COVID-19 with previous epidemics and other types of social disasters and illustrating how the pandemic will change global tourism. The focus of the paper will be on how and why it is necessary to question the tourism model of growth in the volume of flows supported by UNWTO, ICAO, CLIA, WTTC and other world tourism organizations, limiting the tourist carrying capacity of the territories and providing tourism "on demand".

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the major political and economic changes in the world and the likely impact that these changes will bring to tourism and hospitality industries. Design/methodology/approach – The paper adopts a geopolitical perspective on the dynamics of tourist flows, stipulating that geopolitics has a major impact on the size, structure, and direction of these flows. Findings – The paper identifies six geopolitical drivers of tourist flows in the future, namely: the fall of the American Empire, the rise of the BRIC and the PINE countries, increased global political instability, increased importance of regional supranational organisations, greater control of the individuals on a global scale, and the greater importance and power of corporations than national governments. Originality/value – The paper critically evaluates the geopolitical drivers of tourist flows, their likely future development and the impact they have on tourism.

This timely paper explores the future of tourism and vocational career in the Covid-19 period from the perspective of undergraduate tourism students. The data were collected through semi-structured interviews with 30 students majoring in tourism faculty departments following the qualitative methodology. The findings demonstrate that vocational development and career planning in the Covid-19 era and the future of tourism are the main dimensions identifying students' perspectives. The vocational and psychological pandemic effects are shaping the future career decisions of students. Furthermore, the future of tourism includes the elements related to tourist expectations and behaviours and trends in the (post-)viral tourism. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This article presents a study that investigates the organizational transformation of regional tourism in Western Australia in order to make it fit for future. In principle, it explores how the past influences adaptation to upcoming challenges in the Asia-Pacific region (and beyond), such as for example reorganizing territorial dimensions in destination management. Specifically, the article considers how an imposed merger of two previously separate tourism regions affects the established communication and collaboration structures among stakeholders. To analyze the inhibiting force of historically grown destination network structures and the potential for changing these networks, the article combines the concepts of path dependence/path creation and stasis-based/change-based momentum with a quantitative social network analysis. The study provides evidence of remarkable persistence of destination networks. However, the study exhibits also path-creating processes: A transformation of destination networks to meet future challenges in tourism seems to depend largely on an effective governance of informal communication. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]