192 results on '"Friend, Andrew D."'
Search Results
2. Coupled climate–carbon cycle simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum atmospheric CO2 decrease using a large ensemble of modern plausible parameter sets
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Kemppinen, Krista MS, Holden, Philip B, Edwards, Neil R, Ridgwell, Andy, and Friend, Andrew D
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Earth Sciences ,Oceanography ,Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience ,Climate Change Science ,Climate Action ,Paleontology ,Climate change science - Abstract
During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), atmospheric CO2 was around 90 ppmv lower than during the pre-industrial period. The reasons for this decrease are most often elucidated through factorial experiments testing the impact of individual mechanisms. Due to uncertainty in our understanding of the real system, however, the different models used to conduct the experiments inevitably take on different parameter values and different structures. In this paper, the objective is therefore to take an uncertainty-based approach to investigating the LGM CO2 drop by simulating it with a large ensemble of parameter sets, designed to allow for a wide range of large-scale feedback response strengths. Our aim is not to definitely explain the causes of the CO2 drop but rather explore the range of possible responses. We find that the LGM CO2 decrease tends to predominantly be associated with decreasing sea surface temperatures (SSTs), increasing sea ice area, a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a strengthening of the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) cell in the Atlantic Ocean, a decreasing ocean biological productivity, an increasing CaCO3 weathering flux and an increasing deep-sea CaCO3 burial flux. The majority of our simulations also predict an increase in terrestrial carbon, coupled with a decrease in ocean and increase in lithospheric carbon. We attribute the increase in terrestrial carbon to a slower soil respiration rate, as well as the preservation rather than destruction of carbon by the LGM ice sheets. An initial comparison of these dominant changes with observations and paleoproxies other than carbon isotope and oxygen data (not evaluated directly in this study) suggests broad agreement. However, we advise more detailed comparisons in the future, and also note that, conceptually at least, our results can only be reconciled with carbon isotope and oxygen data if additional processes not included in our model are brought into play.
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- 2019
3. Wood structure explained by complex spatial source-sink interactions
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Friend, Andrew D., Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., and Tupker, Quinten
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Modeling Ambitions Outpace Observations of Forest Carbon Allocation
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Babst, Flurin, Friend, Andrew D., Karamihalaki, Maria, Wei, Jingshu, von Arx, Georg, Papale, Dario, and Peters, Richard L.
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- 2021
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5. Genomic evidence for the Pleistocene and recent population history of Native Americans
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Raghavan, Maanasa, Steinrücken, Matthias, Harris, Kelley, Schiffels, Stephan, Rasmussen, Simon, DeGiorgio, Michael, Albrechtsen, Anders, Valdiosera, Cristina, Ávila-Arcos, María C, Malaspinas, Anna-Sapfo, Eriksson, Anders, Moltke, Ida, Metspalu, Mait, Homburger, Julian R, Wall, Jeff, Cornejo, Omar E, Moreno-Mayar, J Víctor, Korneliussen, Thorfinn S, Pierre, Tracey, Rasmussen, Morten, Campos, Paula F, de Barros Damgaard, Peter, Allentoft, Morten E, Lindo, John, Metspalu, Ene, Rodríguez-Varela, Ricardo, Mansilla, Josefina, Henrickson, Celeste, Seguin-Orlando, Andaine, Malmström, Helena, Stafford, Thomas, Shringarpure, Suyash S, Moreno-Estrada, Andrés, Karmin, Monika, Tambets, Kristiina, Bergström, Anders, Xue, Yali, Warmuth, Vera, Friend, Andrew D, Singarayer, Joy, Valdes, Paul, Balloux, Francois, Leboreiro, Ilán, Vera, Jose Luis, Rangel-Villalobos, Hector, Pettener, Davide, Luiselli, Donata, Davis, Loren G, Heyer, Evelyne, Zollikofer, Christoph PE, Ponce de León, Marcia S, Smith, Colin I, Grimes, Vaughan, Pike, Kelly-Anne, Deal, Michael, Fuller, Benjamin T, Arriaza, Bernardo, Standen, Vivien, Luz, Maria F, Ricaut, Francois, Guidon, Niede, Osipova, Ludmila, Voevoda, Mikhail I, Posukh, Olga L, Balanovsky, Oleg, Lavryashina, Maria, Bogunov, Yuri, Khusnutdinova, Elza, Gubina, Marina, Balanovska, Elena, Fedorova, Sardana, Litvinov, Sergey, Malyarchuk, Boris, Derenko, Miroslava, Mosher, MJ, Archer, David, Cybulski, Jerome, Petzelt, Barbara, Mitchell, Joycelynn, Worl, Rosita, Norman, Paul J, Parham, Peter, Kemp, Brian M, Kivisild, Toomas, Tyler-Smith, Chris, Sandhu, Manjinder S, Crawford, Michael, Villems, Richard, Smith, David Glenn, Waters, Michael R, Goebel, Ted, Johnson, John R, Malhi, Ripan S, Jakobsson, Mattias, Meltzer, David J, Manica, Andrea, Durbin, Richard, Bustamante, Carlos D, Song, Yun S, and Nielsen, Rasmus
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Biological Sciences ,Genetics ,History ,Heritage and Archaeology ,Human Society ,Historical Studies ,Anthropology ,Minority Health ,Human Genome ,American Indian or Alaska Native ,Americas ,Gene Flow ,Genomics ,History ,Ancient ,Human Migration ,Humans ,Indians ,North American ,Models ,Genetic ,Siberia ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
How and when the Americas were populated remains contentious. Using ancient and modern genome-wide data, we found that the ancestors of all present-day Native Americans, including Athabascans and Amerindians, entered the Americas as a single migration wave from Siberia no earlier than 23 thousand years ago (ka) and after no more than an 8000-year isolation period in Beringia. After their arrival to the Americas, ancestral Native Americans diversified into two basal genetic branches around 13 ka, one that is now dispersed across North and South America and the other restricted to North America. Subsequent gene flow resulted in some Native Americans sharing ancestry with present-day East Asians (including Siberians) and, more distantly, Australo-Melanesians. Putative "Paleoamerican" relict populations, including the historical Mexican Pericúes and South American Fuego-Patagonians, are not directly related to modern Australo-Melanesians as suggested by the Paleoamerican Model.
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- 2015
6. POPULATION GENETICS. Genomic evidence for the Pleistocene and recent population history of Native Americans.
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Raghavan, Maanasa, Steinrücken, Matthias, Harris, Kelley, Schiffels, Stephan, Rasmussen, Simon, DeGiorgio, Michael, Albrechtsen, Anders, Valdiosera, Cristina, Ávila-Arcos, María C, Malaspinas, Anna-Sapfo, Eriksson, Anders, Moltke, Ida, Metspalu, Mait, Homburger, Julian R, Wall, Jeff, Cornejo, Omar E, Moreno-Mayar, J Víctor, Korneliussen, Thorfinn S, Pierre, Tracey, Rasmussen, Morten, Campos, Paula F, de Barros Damgaard, Peter, Allentoft, Morten E, Lindo, John, Metspalu, Ene, Rodríguez-Varela, Ricardo, Mansilla, Josefina, Henrickson, Celeste, Seguin-Orlando, Andaine, Malmström, Helena, Stafford, Thomas, Shringarpure, Suyash S, Moreno-Estrada, Andrés, Karmin, Monika, Tambets, Kristiina, Bergström, Anders, Xue, Yali, Warmuth, Vera, Friend, Andrew D, Singarayer, Joy, Valdes, Paul, Balloux, Francois, Leboreiro, Ilán, Vera, Jose Luis, Rangel-Villalobos, Hector, Pettener, Davide, Luiselli, Donata, Davis, Loren G, Heyer, Evelyne, Zollikofer, Christoph PE, Ponce de León, Marcia S, Smith, Colin I, Grimes, Vaughan, Pike, Kelly-Anne, Deal, Michael, Fuller, Benjamin T, Arriaza, Bernardo, Standen, Vivien, Luz, Maria F, Ricaut, Francois, Guidon, Niede, Osipova, Ludmila, Voevoda, Mikhail I, Posukh, Olga L, Balanovsky, Oleg, Lavryashina, Maria, Bogunov, Yuri, Khusnutdinova, Elza, Gubina, Marina, Balanovska, Elena, Fedorova, Sardana, Litvinov, Sergey, Malyarchuk, Boris, Derenko, Miroslava, Mosher, MJ, Archer, David, Cybulski, Jerome, Petzelt, Barbara, Mitchell, Joycelynn, Worl, Rosita, Norman, Paul J, Parham, Peter, Kemp, Brian M, Kivisild, Toomas, Tyler-Smith, Chris, Sandhu, Manjinder S, Crawford, Michael, Villems, Richard, Smith, David Glenn, Waters, Michael R, Goebel, Ted, Johnson, John R, Malhi, Ripan S, Jakobsson, Mattias, Meltzer, David J, Manica, Andrea, Durbin, Richard, Bustamante, Carlos D, Song, Yun S, and Nielsen, Rasmus
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Humans ,Genomics ,Models ,Genetic ,History ,Ancient ,Indians ,North American ,Americas ,Siberia ,Gene Flow ,Human Migration ,Human Genome ,Genetics ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
How and when the Americas were populated remains contentious. Using ancient and modern genome-wide data, we found that the ancestors of all present-day Native Americans, including Athabascans and Amerindians, entered the Americas as a single migration wave from Siberia no earlier than 23 thousand years ago (ka) and after no more than an 8000-year isolation period in Beringia. After their arrival to the Americas, ancestral Native Americans diversified into two basal genetic branches around 13 ka, one that is now dispersed across North and South America and the other restricted to North America. Subsequent gene flow resulted in some Native Americans sharing ancestry with present-day East Asians (including Siberians) and, more distantly, Australo-Melanesians. Putative "Paleoamerican" relict populations, including the historical Mexican Pericúes and South American Fuego-Patagonians, are not directly related to modern Australo-Melanesians as suggested by the Paleoamerican Model.
- Published
- 2015
7. Modelling tropical forest responses to drought and El Niño with a stomatal optimization model based on xylem hydraulics
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Eller, Cleiton B., Rowland, Lucy, Oliveira, Rafael S., Bittencourt, Paulo R. L., Barros, Fernanda V., da Costa, Antonio C. L., Meir, Patrick, Friend, Andrew D., Mencuccini, Maurizio, Sitch, Stephen, and Cox, Peter
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- 2018
8. When tree rings go global: Challenges and opportunities for retro- and prospective insight
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Babst, Flurin, Bodesheim, Paul, Charney, Noah, Friend, Andrew D., Girardin, Martin P., Klesse, Stefan, Moore, David J.P., Seftigen, Kristina, Björklund, Jesper, Bouriaud, Olivier, Dawson, Andria, DeRose, R. Justin, Dietze, Michael C., Eckes, Annemarie H., Enquist, Brian, Frank, David C., Mahecha, Miguel D., Poulter, Benjamin, Record, Sydne, Trouet, Valerie, Turton, Rachael H., Zhang, Zhen, and Evans, Margaret E.K.
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- 2018
- Full Text
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9. Increased growth and reduced summer drought limitation at the southern limit of Fagus sylvatica L., despite regionally warmer and drier conditions
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Hacket-Pain, Andrew J. and Friend, Andrew D.
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- 2017
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10. Wood structure explained by complex spatial source-sink interactions
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Friend, Andrew D, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H, Tupker, Quinten, Friend, Andrew D [0000-0002-9029-1045], Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H [0000-0002-2453-3843], Tupker, Quinten [0000-0003-3885-6050], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
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Multidisciplinary ,Climate ,631/57/2283 ,Temperature ,Carbohydrates ,631/449/1736 ,article ,General Physics and Astronomy ,631/158/2454 ,Pinus sylvestris ,General Chemistry ,Wood ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology - Abstract
Wood is a remarkable material with great cultural, economic, and biogeochemical importance. However, our understanding of its formation is poor. Key properties that have not been explained include the anatomy of growth rings (with consistent transitions from low-density earlywood to high density latewood), strong temperature-dependence of latewood density (used for historical temperature reconstructions), the regulation of cell size, and overall growth-temperature relationships in conifer and ring-porous tree species. We have developed a theoretical framework based on observations on Pinus sylvestris L. in northern Sweden. The observed anatomical properties emerge from our framework as a consequence of interactions in time and space between the production of new cells, the dynamics of developmental zone widths, and the distribution of carbohydrates across the developing wood. Here we find that the diffusion of carbohydrates is critical to determining final ring anatomy, potentially overturning current understanding of how wood formation responds to environmental variability and transforming our interpretation of tree rings as proxies of past climates.
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- 2022
11. State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
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Schewe, Jacob, Gosling, Simon N., Reyer, Christopher, Zhao, Fang, Ciais, Philippe, Elliott, Joshua, Francois, Louis, Huber, Veronika, Lotze, Heike K., Seneviratne, Sonia I., van Vliet, Michelle T. H., Vautard, Robert, Wada, Yoshihide, Breuer, Lutz, Büchner, Matthias, Carozza, David A., Chang, Jinfeng, Coll, Marta, Deryng, Delphine, de Wit, Allard, Eddy, Tyler D., Folberth, Christian, Frieler, Katja, Friend, Andrew D., Gerten, Dieter, Gudmundsson, Lukas, Hanasaki, Naota, Ito, Akihiko, Khabarov, Nikolay, Kim, Hyungjun, Lawrence, Peter, Morfopoulos, Catherine, Müller, Christoph, Müller Schmied, Hannes, Orth, René, Ostberg, Sebastian, Pokhrel, Yadu, Pugh, Thomas A. M., Sakurai, Gen, Satoh, Yusuke, Schmid, Erwin, Stacke, Tobias, Steenbeek, Jeroen, Steinkamp, Jörg, Tang, Qiuhong, Tian, Hanqin, Tittensor, Derek P., Volkholz, Jan, Wang, Xuhui, and Warszawski, Lila
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- 2019
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12. Inter-annual and inter-species tree growth explained by phenology of xylogenesis
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Chen, Yizhao, Rademacher, Tim, Fonti, Patrick, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H, LeMoine, James M, Fonti, Marina V, Richardson, Andrew D, Friend, Andrew D, Chen, Yizhao [0000-0002-9218-6679], Rademacher, Tim [0000-0002-0627-6564], Fonti, Patrick [0000-0002-7070-3292], Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H [0000-0002-2453-3843], LeMoine, James M [0000-0002-1702-8339], Fonti, Marina V [0000-0002-2415-8019], Richardson, Andrew D [0000-0002-0148-6714], Friend, Andrew D [0000-0002-9029-1045], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
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xylogenesis ,ring porous ,nonstructural carbon hydrate ,Carbohydrates ,Pinus ,Wood ,wood phenology ,inter-annual variability ,Quercus ,Tracheophyta ,Xylem ,temperate forest ,diffuse porous ,cell enlargement ,Seasons ,Ecosystem - Abstract
Wood formation determines major long-term carbon (C) accumulation in trees and therefore provides a crucial ecosystem service in mitigating climate change. Nevertheless, we lack understanding of how species with contrasting wood anatomical types differ with respect to phenology and environmental controls on wood formation. In this study, we investigated the seasonality and rates of radial growth and their relationships with climatic factors, and the seasonal variations of stem nonstructural carbohydrates (NSC) in three species with contrasting wood anatomical types (red oak: ring-porous; red maple: diffuse-porous; white pine: coniferous) in a temperate mixed forest during 2017-2019. We found that the high ring width variability observed in both red oak and red maple was caused more by changes in growth duration than growth rate. Seasonal radial growth patterns did not vary following transient environmental factors for all three species. Both angiosperm species showed higher concentrations and lower inter-annual fluctuations of NSC than the coniferous species. Inter-annual variability of ring width varied by species with contrasting wood anatomical types. Due to the high dependence of annual ring width on growth duration, our study highlights the critical importance of xylem formation phenology for understanding and modelling the dynamics of wood formation.
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- 2022
13. Large-scale fire events substantially impact plant-soil water relations across ecosystem types
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Baur, Martin J., primary, Friend, Andrew D., additional, and Pellegrini, Adam F. A., additional
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- 2023
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14. Direct response of tree growth to soil water and its implications for terrestrial carbon cycle modelling
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Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H, Tiavlovsky, Egor, Chen, Yizhao, Fonti, Patrick, Friend, Andrew D, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H [0000-0002-2453-3843], Tiavlovsky, Egor [0000-0001-7341-7198], Chen, Yizhao [0000-0002-9218-6679], Fonti, Patrick [0000-0002-7070-3292], Friend, Andrew D [0000-0002-9029-1045], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
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0106 biological sciences ,soil moisture growth response ,Stomatal conductance ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,tree physiology ,tree growth ,Atmospheric sciences ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Carbon Cycle ,Trees ,Soil ,Environmental Chemistry ,Larix decidua Mill ,Picea ,Water content ,vegetation modelling ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,General Environmental Science ,xylogenesis ,Global and Planetary Change ,Ecology ,biology ,Norway ,Water ,Moisture stress ,Temperate forest ,Vegetation ,Evergreen ,biology.organism_classification ,tree rings ,Picea abies (L.) H. Karst ,source-sink ,Soil water ,Environmental science ,soil moisture ,Larch - Abstract
Wood growth constitutes the main process for long-term atmospheric carbon sequestration in vegetation. However, our understanding of the process of wood growth and its response to environmental drivers is limited. Current dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) are mainly photosynthesis-driven and thus do not explicitly include a direct environmental effect on tree growth. However, physiological evidence suggests that, to realistically model vegetation carbon allocation under increased climatic stressors, it is crucial to treat growth responses independently from photosynthesis. A plausible growth response function suitable for global simulations in DGVMs has been lacking. Here, we present the first soil water-growth response function and parameter range for deciduous and evergreen conifers. The response curve was calibrated against European larch and Norway spruce in a dry temperate forest in the Swiss Alps. We present a new data-driven approach based on a combination of tree ring width (TRW) records, growing season length and simulated subdaily soil hydrology to parameterize ring width increment simulations. We found that a simple linear response function, with an intercept at zero moisture stress, used in growth simulations reproduced 62.3% and 59.4% of observed TRW variability for larch and spruce respectively and, importantly, the response function slope was much steeper than literature values for soil moisture effects on photosynthesis and stomatal conductance. Specifically, we found stem growth stops at soil moisture potentials of -0.47 MPa for larch and -0.66 MPa for spruce, whereas photosynthesis in trees continues down to -1.2 MPa or lower, depending on species and measurement method. These results are strong evidence that the response functions of source and sink processes are indeed very different in trees, and need to be considered separately to correctly assess vegetation responses to environmental change. The results provide a parameterization for the explicit representation of growth responses to soil water in vegetation models.
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- 2020
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15. Photosynthesis in Global-Scale Models
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Friend, Andrew D., Geider, Richard J., Behrenfeld, Michael J., Still, Christopher J., Govindjee, editor, Laisk, Agu, editor, and Nedbal, Ladislav, editor
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- 2009
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16. Carbon residence time dominates uncertainty in terrestrial vegetation responses to future climate and atmospheric CO 2
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Friend, Andrew D., Lucht, Wolfgang, Rademacher, Tim T., Keribin, Rozenn, Betts, Richard, Cadule, Patricia, Ciais, Philippe, Clark, Douglas B., Dankers, Rutger, Falloon, Pete D., Ito, Akihiko, Kahana, Ron, Kleidon, Axel, Lomas, Mark R., Nishina, Kazuya, Ostberg, Sebastian, Pavlick, Ryan, Peylin, Philippe, Schaphoff, Sibyll, Vuichard, Nicolas, Warszawski, Lila, Wiltshire, Andy, and Woodward, F. Ian
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- 2014
17. Multisectoral climate impact hotspots in a warming world
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Piontek, Franziska, Müller, Christoph, Pugh, Thomas A. M., Clark, Douglas B., Deryng, Delphine, Elliott, Joshua, de Jesus Colón González, Felipe, Flörke, Martina, Folberth, Christian, Franssen, Wietse, Frieler, Katja, Friend, Andrew D., Gosling, Simon N., Hemming, Deborah, Khabarov, Nikolay, Kim, Hyungjun, Lomas, Mark R., Masaki, Yoshimitsu, Mengel, Matthias, Morse, Andrew, Neumann, Kathleen, Nishina, Kazuya, Ostberg, Sebastian, Pavlick, Ryan, Ruane, Alex C., Schewe, Jacob, Schmid, Erwin, Stacke, Tobias, Tang, Qiuhong, Tessler, Zachary D., Tompkins, Adrian M., Warszawski, Lila, Wisser, Dominik, and Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
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- 2014
18. Late Pleistocene climate change and the global expansion of anatomically modern humans
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Eriksson, Anders, Betti, Lia, Friend, Andrew D., Lycett, Stephen J., Singarayer, Joy S., von Cramon-Taubadel, Noreen, Valdes, Paul J., Balloux, Francois, and Manica, Andrea
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- 2012
19. Insights into source/sink controls on wood formation and photosynthesis from a stem chilling experiment in mature red maple
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Rademacher, Tim, primary, Fonti, Patrick, additional, LeMoine, James M., additional, Fonti, Marina V., additional, Bowles, Francis, additional, Chen, Yizhao, additional, Eckes‐Shephard, Annemarie H., additional, Friend, Andrew D., additional, and Richardson, Andrew D., additional
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- 2022
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20. Wood Formation Modeling – A Research Review and Future Perspectives
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Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier, Drew, David M., Rathgeber, Cyrille B. K., Friend, Andrew D., Friend, Andrew [0000-0002-9029-1045], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
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wood formation models ,xylogenesis ,growth–climate interactions ,forestry ,tree growth ,Plant Science ,dendroclimatology ,terrestrial carbon cycle - Abstract
Wood formation has received considerable attention across various research fields as a key process to model. Historical and contemporary models of wood formation from various disciplines have encapsulated hypotheses such as the influence of external (e.g., climatic) or internal (e.g., hormonal) factors on the successive stages of wood cell differentiation. This review covers 17 wood formation models from three different disciplines, the earliest from 1968 and the latest from 2020. The described processes, as well as their external and internal drivers and their level of complexity, are discussed. This work is the first systematic cataloging, characterization, and process-focused review of wood formation models. Remaining open questions concerning wood formation processes are identified, and relate to: (1) the extent of hormonal influence on the final tree ring structure; (2) the mechanism underlying the transition from earlywood to latewood in extratropical regions; and (3) the extent to which carbon plays a role as “active” driver or “passive” substrate for growth. We conclude by arguing that wood formation models remain to be fully exploited, with the potential to contribute to studies concerning individual tree carbon sequestration-storage dynamics and regional to global carbon sequestration dynamics in terrestrial vegetation models.
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- 2022
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21. Manipulating phloem transport affects wood formation but not local nonstructural carbon reserves in an evergreen conifer
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Rademacher, Tim, Fonti, Patrick, LeMoine, James M, Fonti, Marina V, Basler, David, Chen, Yizhao, Friend, Andrew D, Seyednasrollah, Bijan, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H, Richardson, Andrew D, Rademacher, Tim [0000-0002-0627-6564], Fonti, Patrick [0000-0002-7070-3292], Fonti, Marina V [0000-0002-2415-8019], Basler, David [0000-0002-4068-8319], Chen, Yizhao [0000-0002-9218-6679], Friend, Andrew D [0000-0002-9029-1045], Seyednasrollah, Bijan [0000-0002-5195-2074], Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H [0000-0002-2453-3843], Richardson, Andrew D [0000-0002-0148-6714], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
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xylogenesis ,Plant Stems ,growth ,girdling ,Biological Transport ,Carbon Dioxide ,Phloem ,Pinus ,Plant Roots ,Wood ,Carbon ,Pinus strobus ,Massachusetts ,allocation ,Cell Wall ,Xylem ,Plant Cells ,wood anatomy ,respiration - Abstract
How variations in carbon supply affect wood formation remains poorly understood in particular in mature forest trees. To elucidate how carbon supply affects carbon allocation and wood formation, we attempted to manipulate carbon supply to the cambial region by phloem girdling and compression during the mid- and late-growing season and measured effects on structural development, CO2 efflux and nonstructural carbon reserves in stems of mature white pines. Wood formation and stem CO2 efflux varied with a location relative to treatment (i.e., above or below the restriction). We observed up to twice as many tracheids formed above versus below the treatment after the phloem transport manipulation, whereas the cell-wall area decreased only slightly below the treatments, and cell size did not change relative to the control. Nonstructural carbon reserves in the xylem, needles and roots were largely unaffected by the treatments. Our results suggest that low and high carbon supply affects wood formation, primarily through a strong effect on cell proliferation, and respiration, but local nonstructural carbon concentrations appear to be maintained homeostatically. This contrasts with reports of decoupling of source activity and wood formation at the whole-tree or ecosystem level, highlighting the need to better understand organ-specific responses, within-tree feedbacks, as well as phenological and ontogenetic effects on sink-source dynamics.
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- 2021
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22. Terrestrial plant production and climate change
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Friend, Andrew D.
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- 2010
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23. Insights into source/sink controls on wood formation and photosynthesis from a stem chilling experiment in mature red maple
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Rademacher, Tim, Fonti, Patrick, LeMoine, James M, Fonti, Marina V, Bowles, Francis, Chen, Yizhao, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H, Friend, Andrew D, Richardson, Andrew D, Rademacher, Tim, Fonti, Patrick, LeMoine, James M, Fonti, Marina V, Bowles, Francis, Chen, Yizhao, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H, Friend, Andrew D, and Richardson, Andrew D
- Abstract
Whether sources or sinks control wood growth remains debated with a paucity of evidence from mature trees in natural settings. Here, we altered carbon supply rate in stems of mature red maples (Acer rubrum) within the growing season by restricting phloem transport using stem chilling; thereby increasing carbon supply above and decreasing carbon supply below the restrictions, respectively. Chilling successfully altered nonstructural carbon (NSC) concentrations in the phloem without detectable repercussions on bulk NSC in stems and roots. Ring width responded strongly to local variations in carbon supply with up to seven-fold differences along the stem of chilled trees; however, concurrent changes in the structural carbon were inconclusive at high carbon supply due to large local variability of wood growth. Above chilling-induced bottlenecks, we also observed higher leaf NSC concentrations, reduced photosynthetic capacity, and earlier leaf coloration and fall. Our results indicate that the cambial sink is affected by carbon supply, but within-tree feedbacks can downregulate source activity, when carbon supply exceeds demand. Such feedbacks have only been hypothesized in mature trees. Consequently, these findings constitute an important advance in understanding source-sink dynamics, suggesting that mature red maples operate close to both source- and sink-limitation in the early growing season.
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- 2022
24. Inter‐annual and inter‐species tree growth explained by phenology of xylogenesis
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Chen, Yizhao, primary, Rademacher, Tim, additional, Fonti, Patrick, additional, Eckes‐Shephard, Annemarie H., additional, LeMoine, James M., additional, Fonti, Marina V., additional, Richardson, Andrew D., additional, and Friend, Andrew D., additional
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- 2022
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25. Observations of carbon allocation in the world’s forests must match pace with vegetation model development
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Babst, Flurin, primary, Friend, Andrew D, additional, Wei, Jingshu, additional, von Arx, Georg, additional, Papale, Dario, additional, and Peters, Richard L, additional
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- 2022
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26. Present-Day Atmospheric Simulations Using GISS ModelE : Comparison to In Situ, Satellite, and Reanalysis Data
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Schmidt, Gavin A., Ruedy, Reto, Hansen, James E., Aleinov, Igor, Bell, Nadine, Bauer, Mike, Bauer, Susanne, Cairns, Brian, Canuto, Vittorio, Cheng, Ye, Del Genio, Anthony, Faluvegi, Greg, Friend, Andrew D., Hall, Tim M., Hu, Yongyun, Kelley, Max, Kiang, Nancy Y., Koch, Dorothy, Lacis, Andy A., Lerner, Jean, Lo, Ken K., Miller, Ron L., Nazarenko, Larissa, Oinas, Valdar, Perlwitz, Jan, Perlwitz, Judith, Rind, David, Romanou, Anastasia, Russell, Gary L., Sato, Makiko, Shindell, Drew T., Stone, Peter H., Sun, Shan, Tausnev, Nick, Thresher, Duane, and Yao, Mao-Sung
- Published
- 2006
27. Land Surface Model Development for the GISS GCM : Effects of Improved Canopy Physiology on Simulated Climate
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Friend, Andrew D. and Kiang, Nancy Y.
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- 2005
28. Comparing two approaches for parsimonious vegetation modelling in semiarid regions using satellite data
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Pasquato, Marta, Medici, Chiara, Friend, Andrew D., and Francés, Félix
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- 2015
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29. The influence of masting phenomenon on growth–climate relationships in trees: explaining the influence of previous summersʼ climate on ring width
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Hacket-Pain, Andrew J., Friend, Andrew D., Lageard, Jonathan G.A., and Thomas, Peter A.
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- 2015
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30. Manipulating phloem transport affects wood formation but not local nonstructural carbon reserves in an evergreen conifer
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Rademacher, Tim, primary, Fonti, Patrick, additional, LeMoine, James M., additional, Fonti, Marina V., additional, Basler, David, additional, Chen, Yizhao, additional, Friend, Andrew D., additional, Seyednasrollah, Bijan, additional, Eckes‐Shephard, Annemarie H., additional, and Richardson, Andrew D., additional
- Published
- 2021
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31. Below-Ground Processes in Gap Models for Simulating Forest Response to Global Change
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Wullschleger, Stan D., Jackson, Robert B., Currie, William S., Friend, Andrew D., Luo, Yiqi, Mouillot, Florent, Pan, Yude, and Shao, Guofan
- Published
- 2001
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32. Photosynthesis in Global-Scale Models
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Friend, Andrew D., primary, Geider, Richard J., additional, Behrenfeld, Michael J., additional, and Still, Christopher J., additional
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- 2009
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33. Manipulating phloem transport affects wood formation but not nonstructural carbon concentrations in an evergreen conifer
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Rademacher, Tim, primary, Fonti, Patrick, additional, LeMoine, James M., additional, Fonti, Marina V., additional, Basler, David, additional, Chen, Yizhao, additional, Friend, Andrew D., additional, Seyednasrollah, Bijan, additional, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., additional, and Richardson, Andrew D., additional
- Published
- 2020
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34. Wood structure explained by complex spatial source-sink interactions
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Friend, Andrew D., primary
- Published
- 2020
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35. Coupled climate–carbon cycle simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum atmospheric CO2 decrease using a large ensemble of modern plausible parameter sets
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Kemppinen, Krista M. S., Holden, Philip B., Edwards, Neil R., Ridgwell, Andy, Friend, Andrew D., Friend, Andrew [0000-0002-9029-1045], and Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
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Climate Action ,13 Climate Action ,Paleontology ,37 Earth Sciences ,3708 Oceanography ,3709 Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience ,3702 Climate Change Science ,Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience - Abstract
During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), atmospheric CO2 was around 90 ppmv lower than during the pre-industrial period. The reasons for this decrease are most often elucidated through factorial experiments testing the impact of individual mechanisms. Due to uncertainty in our understanding of the real system, however, the different models used to conduct the experiments inevitably take on different parameter values and different structures. In this paper, the objective is therefore to take an uncertainty-based approach to investigating the LGM CO2 drop by simulating it with a large ensemble of parameter sets, designed to allow for a wide range of large-scale feedback response strengths. Our aim is not to definitely explain the causes of the CO2 drop but rather explore the range of possible responses. We find that the LGM CO2 decrease tends to predominantly be associated with decreasing sea surface temperatures (SSTs), increasing sea ice area, a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a strengthening of the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) cell in the Atlantic Ocean, a decreasing ocean biological productivity, an increasing CaCO3 weathering flux and an increasing deep-sea CaCO3 burial flux. The majority of our simulations also predict an increase in terrestrial carbon, coupled with a decrease in ocean and increase in lithospheric carbon. We attribute the increase in terrestrial carbon to a slower soil respiration rate, as well as the preservation rather than destruction of carbon by the LGM ice sheets. An initial comparison of these dominant changes with observations and paleoproxies other than carbon isotope and oxygen data (not evaluated directly in this study) suggests broad agreement. However, we advise more detailed comparisons in the future, and also note that, conceptually at least, our results can only be reconciled with carbon isotope and oxygen data if additional processes not included in our model are brought into play.
- Published
- 2019
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36. Using Direct Phloem Transport Manipulation to Advance Understanding of Carbon Dynamics in Forest Trees
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Rademacher, Tim T., primary, Basler, David, additional, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., additional, Fonti, Patrick, additional, Friend, Andrew D., additional, Le Moine, Jim, additional, and Richardson, Andrew D., additional
- Published
- 2019
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37. On the need to consider wood formation processes in global vegetation models and a suggested approach
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Friend, Andrew D., primary, Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., additional, Fonti, Patrick, additional, Rademacher, Tim T., additional, Rathgeber, Cyrille B. K., additional, Richardson, Andrew D., additional, and Turton, Rachael H., additional
- Published
- 2019
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38. On the need to consider wood formation processes in global vegetation models and a suggested approach
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Friend, Andrew D., Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., Fonti, Patrick, Rademacher, Tim T., Rathgeber, Cyrille B. K., Richardson, Andrew D., Turton, Rachael H., Friend, Andrew D., Eckes-Shephard, Annemarie H., Fonti, Patrick, Rademacher, Tim T., Rathgeber, Cyrille B. K., Richardson, Andrew D., and Turton, Rachael H.
- Abstract
Dynamic global vegetation models are key tools for interpreting and forecasting the responses of terrestrial ecosystems to climatic variation and other drivers. They estimate plant growth as the outcome of the supply of carbon through photosynthesis. However, growth is itself under direct control, and not simply controlled by the amount of available carbon. Therefore predictions by current photosynthesis-driven models of large increases in future vegetation biomass due to increasing concentrations of atmospheric CO 2 may be significant over-estimations. We describe how current understanding of wood formation can be used to reformulate global vegetation models, with potentially major implications for their behaviour.
- Published
- 2019
39. State-of-the-art global models underestimate impacts from climate extremes
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European Commission, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany), Schewe, Jacob, Gosling, Simon, Reyer, Christopher, Zhao, Fang, Ciais, Philippe, Elliott, Joshua, Francois, Louis M., Huber, Veronika, Lotze, Heike K., Seneviratne, Sonia I., van Vliet, Michelle, Vautard, Robert, Wada, Yoshihide, Breuer, Lutz, Büchner, Matthias, Carozza, David A., Chang, Jinfeng, Coll, Marta, Deryng, Delphine, de Wit, Allard, Eddy, Tyler D., Folberth, Christian, Frieler, Katja, Friend, Andrew D., Gerten, Dieter, Gudmundsson, Lukas, Hanasaki, Naota, Ito, Akihiko, Khabarov, Nikolay, Kim, Hyungjun, Lawrence, Peter, Morfopoulos, Catherine, Müller, Christoph, Schmied, Hannes Müller, Orth, René, Ostberg, Sebastian, Pokhrel, Yadu, Pugh, Thomas A.M., Sakurai, Gen, Satoh, Yusuke, Schmid, Erwin, Stacke, Tobias, Steenbeek, Jeroen, Steinkamp, Jörg, Tang, Qiuhong, Tian, Hanqin, Tittensor, Derek P., Volkholz, Jan, Wang, Xuhui, Warszawski, Lila, European Commission, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany), Schewe, Jacob, Gosling, Simon, Reyer, Christopher, Zhao, Fang, Ciais, Philippe, Elliott, Joshua, Francois, Louis M., Huber, Veronika, Lotze, Heike K., Seneviratne, Sonia I., van Vliet, Michelle, Vautard, Robert, Wada, Yoshihide, Breuer, Lutz, Büchner, Matthias, Carozza, David A., Chang, Jinfeng, Coll, Marta, Deryng, Delphine, de Wit, Allard, Eddy, Tyler D., Folberth, Christian, Frieler, Katja, Friend, Andrew D., Gerten, Dieter, Gudmundsson, Lukas, Hanasaki, Naota, Ito, Akihiko, Khabarov, Nikolay, Kim, Hyungjun, Lawrence, Peter, Morfopoulos, Catherine, Müller, Christoph, Schmied, Hannes Müller, Orth, René, Ostberg, Sebastian, Pokhrel, Yadu, Pugh, Thomas A.M., Sakurai, Gen, Satoh, Yusuke, Schmid, Erwin, Stacke, Tobias, Steenbeek, Jeroen, Steinkamp, Jörg, Tang, Qiuhong, Tian, Hanqin, Tittensor, Derek P., Volkholz, Jan, Wang, Xuhui, and Warszawski, Lila
- Abstract
Global impact models represent process-level understanding of how natural and human systems may be affected by climate change. Their projections are used in integrated assessments of climate change. Here we test, for the first time, systematically across many important systems, how well such impact models capture the impacts of extreme climate conditions. Using the 2003 European heat wave and drought as a historical analogue for comparable events in the future, we find that a majority of models underestimate the extremeness of impacts in important sectors such as agriculture, terrestrial ecosystems, and heat-related human mortality, while impacts on water resources and hydropower are overestimated in some river basins; and the spread across models is often large. This has important implications for economic assessments of climate change impacts that rely on these models. It also means that societal risks from future extreme events may be greater than previously thought
- Published
- 2019
40. Climatically controlled reproduction drives interannual growth variability in a temperate tree species
- Author
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Hacket-Pain, Andrew J., Ascoli, Davide, Vacchiano, Giorgio, Biondi, Franco, Cavin, Liam, Conedera, Marco, Drobyshev, Igor, Liñán, Isabel Dorado, Friend, Andrew D., Grabner, Michael, Hartl, Claudia, Kreyling, Juergen, Lebourgeois, François, Levanič, Tom, Menzel, Annette, van der Maaten, Ernst, van der Maaten-Theunissen, Marieke, Muffler, Lena, Motta, Renzo, Roibu, Catalin-Constantin, Popa, Ionel, Scharnweber, Tobias, Weigel, Robert, Wilmking, Martin, and Zang, Christian S.
- Subjects
ddc - Published
- 2018
41. Simulating the Impacts of Climate Extremes Across Sectors: The Case of the 2003 European Heat Wave
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Schewe, Jacob, Zhao, Fang, Reyer, Christopher, Breuer, Lutz, Coll, Marta, Deryng, Delphine, Eddy, Tyler D., Wright Elliott, Joshua, Francois, Louis M., Friend, Andrew D., Gerten, Dieter, Gosling, Simon, Gudmundsson, Lukas, Huber, Veronika, Kim, Hyungjun, Lotze, Heike K., Orth, René, Seneviratne, Sonia I., Tittensor, Derek P., Vautard, Robert, van Vliet, Michelle, Wada, Yoshihide, and ISIMIP2a modeling team
- Abstract
American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, 11-15 December 2017, New Orleans, Increased occurrence of extreme climate or weather events is one of the most damaging consequences of global climate change today and in the future. Estimating the impacts of such extreme events across different human and natural systems is crucial for quantifying overall risks from climate change. Are current models fit for this task? Here we use the 2003 European heat wave and drought (EHW) as a historical analogue for comparable events in the future, and evaluate how accurately its impacts are reproduced by a multi-sectoral >super-ensemble> of state-of-the-art impacts models. Our study combines, for the first time, impacts on agriculture, freshwater resources, terrestrial and marine ecosystems, energy, and human health in a consistent multi-model framework. We identify key impacts of the 2003 EHW reported in the literature and/or recorded in publicly available databases, and examine how closely the models reproduce those impacts, applying the same measure of impact magnitude across different sectors. Preliminary results are mixed: While the EHW's impacts on water resources (streamflow) are reproduced well by most global hydrological models, not all crop and natural vegetation models reproduce the magnitude of impacts on agriculture and ecosystem productivity, respectively, and their performance varies by country or region. A hydropower capacity model matches reported hydropower generation anomalies only in some countries, and estimates of heat-related excess mortality from a set of statistical models are consistent with literature reports only for some of the cities investigated. We present a synthesis of simulated and observed impacts across sectors, and reflect on potential improvements in modeling and analyzing cross-sectoral impacts
- Published
- 2017
42. Evaluation of climate-related carbon turnover processes in global vegetation models for boreal and temperate forests
- Author
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Thurner, Martin, Beer, Christian, Ciais, Philippe, Friend, Andrew D., Ito, Akihiko, Kleidon, Axel, Lomas, Mark R., Quegan, Shaun, Rademacher, Tim T., Schaphoff, Sibyll, Tum, Markus, Wiltshire, Andy, Carvalhais, Nuno, Department of Environmental Science and Analytical Chemistry [Stockholm] (ACES), Stockholm University, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (MPI-BGC), Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (LSCE), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), ICOS-ATC (ICOS-ATC), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), University of Cambridge [UK] (CAM), National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), University of Sheffield [Sheffield], Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), German Aerospace Center (DLR), United Kingdom Met Office [Exeter], Department of Biogeochemical Integration [Jena], Max-Planck-Gesellschaft-Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Thurner, Martin [0000-0003-2362-5161], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, and Long, Steve
- Subjects
[SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean, Atmosphere ,boreal and temperate forest ,Climate Change ,[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes ,global vegetation model evaluation ,ISI-MIP ,climate-related spatial gradients ,Forests ,Models, Theoretical ,Carbon ,Carbon Cycle ,Trees ,remote sensing based NPP and biomass ,forest mortality ,frost stress ,vegetation carbon turnover rate ,[SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces, environment ,Landoberfläche ,Ecosystem ,ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS ,drought stress and insect outbreaks - Abstract
Turnover concepts in state-of-the-art global vegetation models (GVMs) account for various processes, but are often highly simplified and may not include an adequate representation of the dominant processes that shape vegetation carbon turnover rates in real forest ecosystems at a large spatial scale. Here we evaluate vegetation carbon turnover processes in GVMs participating in the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP; including HYBRID4, JeDi, JULES, LPJml, ORCHIDEE, SDGVM, and VISIT) using estimates of vegetation carbon turnover rate (k) derived from a combination of remote sensing based products of biomass and net primary production (NPP). We find that current model limitations lead to considerable biases in the simulated biomass and in k (severe underestimations by all models except JeDi and VISIT compared to observation-based average k), likely contributing to underestimation of positive feedbacks of the northern forest carbon balance to climate change caused by changes in forest mortality. A need for improved turnover concepts related to frost damage, drought and insect outbreaks in order to better reproduce observation-based spatial patterns in k is identified. Since direct frost damage effects on mortality are usually not accounted for in these GVMs, simulated relationships between k and winter length in boreal forests are not consistent between different regions and strongly biased compared to the observation-based relationships. Some models show a response of k to drought in temperate forests as a result of impacts of water availability on NPP, growth efficiency or carbon balance dependent mortality as well as soil or litter moisture effects on leaf turnover or fire. However, further direct drought effects like carbon starvation (only in HYBRID4) or hydraulic failure are usually not taken into account by the investigated GVMs. While they are considered dominant large-scale mortality agents, mortality mechanisms related to insects and pathogens are not explicitly treated in these models. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2017
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43. Direct response of tree growth to soil water and its implications for terrestrial carbon cycle modelling.
- Author
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Eckes‐Shephard, Annemarie H., Tiavlovsky, Egor, Chen, Yizhao, Fonti, Patrick, and Friend, Andrew D.
- Subjects
CARBON cycle ,EUROPEAN larch ,TREE-rings ,CONIFERS ,GREEN'S functions ,TEMPERATE forests ,TREE growth - Abstract
Wood growth constitutes the main process for long‐term atmospheric carbon sequestration in vegetation. However, our understanding of the process of wood growth and its response to environmental drivers is limited. Current dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs) are mainly photosynthesis‐driven and thus do not explicitly include a direct environmental effect on tree growth. However, physiological evidence suggests that, to realistically model vegetation carbon allocation under increased climatic stressors, it is crucial to treat growth responses independently from photosynthesis. A plausible growth response function suitable for global simulations in DGVMs has been lacking. Here, we present the first soil water‐growth response function and parameter range for deciduous and evergreen conifers. The response curve was calibrated against European larch and Norway spruce in a dry temperate forest in the Swiss Alps. We present a new data‐driven approach based on a combination of tree ring width (TRW) records, growing season length and simulated subdaily soil hydrology to parameterize ring width increment simulations. We found that a simple linear response function, with an intercept at zero moisture stress, used in growth simulations reproduced 62.3% and 59.4% of observed TRW variability for larch and spruce respectively and, importantly, the response function slope was much steeper than literature values for soil moisture effects on photosynthesis and stomatal conductance. Specifically, we found stem growth stops at soil moisture potentials of −0.47 MPa for larch and −0.66 MPa for spruce, whereas photosynthesis in trees continues down to −1.2 MPa or lower, depending on species and measurement method. These results are strong evidence that the response functions of source and sink processes are indeed very different in trees, and need to be considered separately to correctly assess vegetation responses to environmental change. The results provide a parameterization for the explicit representation of growth responses to soil water in vegetation models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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- View/download PDF
44. Climatically controlled reproduction drives interannual growth variability in a temperate tree species
- Author
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Hacket‐Pain, Andrew J., primary, Ascoli, Davide, additional, Vacchiano, Giorgio, additional, Biondi, Franco, additional, Cavin, Liam, additional, Conedera, Marco, additional, Drobyshev, Igor, additional, Liñán, Isabel Dorado, additional, Friend, Andrew D., additional, Grabner, Michael, additional, Hartl, Claudia, additional, Kreyling, Juergen, additional, Lebourgeois, François, additional, Levanič, Tom, additional, Menzel, Annette, additional, van der Maaten, Ernst, additional, van der Maaten‐Theunissen, Marieke, additional, Muffler, Lena, additional, Motta, Renzo, additional, Roibu, Catalin‐Constantin, additional, Popa, Ionel, additional, Scharnweber, Tobias, additional, Weigel, Robert, additional, Wilmking, Martin, additional, and Zang, Christian S., additional
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Climate change impacts on ecosystems and the terrestrial carbon sink: a new assessment
- Author
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White, Andrew, Cannell, Melvin G.R., and Friend, Andrew D.
- Published
- 1999
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46. Coupled climate-carbon cycle simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum atmospheric CO2 decrease using a large ensemble of modern plausible parameter sets
- Author
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Kemppinen, Krista M. S., primary, Holden, Philip B., additional, Edwards, Neil R., additional, Ridgwell, Andy, additional, and Friend, Andrew D., additional
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Modeling Tree Growth Taking into Account Carbon Source and Sink Limitations
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Hayat, Amaury, primary, Hacket-Pain, Andrew J., additional, Pretzsch, Hans, additional, Rademacher, Tim T., additional, and Friend, Andrew D., additional
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Modelling tree growth taking into account carbon source and sink limitations
- Author
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Hayat, Amaury, primary, Hacket-Pain, Andrew J., additional, Pretzsch, Hans, additional, Rademacher, Tim Tito, additional, and Friend, Andrew D., additional
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
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49. A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections: land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties
- Author
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Frieler, Katja, Levermann, Anders, Elliot, Joshua, Heinke, Jens, Arneth, Almut, Bierkens, Marc F. P., Ciais, Philippe, Clark, Douglas B., Deryng, Delphine, Döll, Petra, Falloon, Pete, Fekete, Balázs M., Folberth, Christian, Friend, Andrew D., Gellhorn, Catrin, Gosling, Simon N., Haddeland, Ingjerd, Khabarov, Nikolay, Lomas, Marc R., Masaki, Yusuke, Nishina, Kazuya, Neumann, Kathleen, Oki, Taikan, Pavlick, Ryan, Ruane, Alex C., Schmid, Erwin, Schmitz, Christoph, Stacke, Tobias, Stehfest, Elke, Tang, Qiuhong, Wisser, Dominik, Huber, Veronika, Piontek, Franziska, Warszawski, Lila, Schewe, Jacob, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Frieler, Katja, Levermann, Anders, Elliot, Joshua, Heinke, Jens, Arneth, Almut, Bierkens, Marc F. P., Ciais, Philippe, Clark, Douglas B., Deryng, Delphine, Döll, Petra, Falloon, Pete, Fekete, Balázs M., Folberth, Christian, Friend, Andrew D., Gellhorn, Catrin, Gosling, Simon N., Haddeland, Ingjerd, Khabarov, Nikolay, Lomas, Marc R., Masaki, Yusuke, Nishina, Kazuya, Neumann, Kathleen, Oki, Taikan, Pavlick, Ryan, Ruane, Alex C., Schmid, Erwin, Schmitz, Christoph, Stacke, Tobias, Stehfest, Elke, Tang, Qiuhong, Wisser, Dominik, Huber, Veronika, Piontek, Franziska, Warszawski, Lila, Schewe, Jacob, Lotze-Campen, Hermann, and Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
- Abstract
Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of large-scale tipping points (e.g. Lenton et al., 2008; Levermann et al., 2012; Schellnhuber, 2010) and changes in extreme meteorological events (Field et al., 2012) with complex impacts on societies (Hallegatte et al., 2013). Thus climate change mitigation is considered a necessary societal response for avoiding uncontrollable impacts (Conference of the Parties, 2010). On the other hand, large-scale climate change mitigation itself implies fundamental changes in, for example, the global energy system. The associated challenges come on top of others that derive from equally important ethical imperatives like the fulfilment of increasing food demand that may draw on the same resources. For example, ensuring food security for a growing population may require an expansion of cropland, thereby reducing natural carbon sinks or the area available for bio-energy production. So far, available studies addressing this problem have relied on individual impact models, ignoring uncertainty in crop model and biome model projections. Here, we propose a probabilistic decision framework that allows for an evaluation of agricultural management and mitigation options in a multi-impact-model setting. Based on simulations generated within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), we outline how cross-sectorally consistent multi-model impact simulations could be used to generate the information required for robust decision making. Using an illustrative future land use pattern, we discuss the trade-off between potential gains in crop production and associated losses in natural carbon sinks in the new multiple crop- and biome-model setting. In addition, crop and water model simulations are combined to explore irrigation incr
- Published
- 2015
50. Coupled climate-carbon cycle simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum atmospheric CO2 decrease using a large ensemble of modern plausible parameter sets.
- Author
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Kemppinen, Krista M. S., Holden, Philip B., Edwards, Neil R., Ridgwell, Andy, and Friend, Andrew D.
- Abstract
During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), atmospheric CO
2 was around 90 ppmv lower than during the preindustrial period. Despite years of research, however, the exact mechanisms leading to the glacial atmospheric CO2 drop are still not entirely understood. Here, a large (471-member) ensemble of GENIE-1 simulations is used to simulate the equilibrium LGM minus preindustrial atmospheric CO2 concentration difference (ΔCO2 ). The ensemble has previously been weakly constrained with modern observations and was designed to allow for a wide range of large-scale feedback response strengths. Out of the 471 simulations, 315 complete without evidence of numerical instability, and with a ΔCO2 that centres around -20 ppmv. Roughly a quarter of the 315 runs predict a more significant atmospheric CO2 drop, between ~ 30 and 90 ppmv. This range captures the error in the model's process representations and the impact of processes which may be important for ΔCO2 but are not included in the model. These runs jointly constitute what we refer to as the plausible glacial atmospheric CO2 change-filtered (PGACF) ensemble. Our analyses suggest that decreasing LGM atmospheric CO2 tends to be associated with decreasing SSTs, increasing sea ice area, a weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a strengthening of the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) cell in the Atlantic Ocean, a decreasing ocean biological productivity, an increasing CaCO3 weathering flux, an increasing terrestrial biosphere carbon inventory and an increasing deep-sea CaCO3 burial flux. The increases in terrestrial biosphere carbon are predominantly due to our choice to preserve rather than destroy carbon in ice sheet areas. However, the ensemble soil respiration also tends to decrease significantly more than net photosynthesis, resulting in relatively large increases in non-burial carbon. In a majority of simulations, the terrestrial biosphere carbon increases are also accompanied by decreases in ocean carbon and increases in lithospheric carbon. In total, however, we find there are 5 different ways of achieving a plausible ΔCO2 in terms of the sign of individual carbon reservoir changes. The PGACF ensemble members also predict both positive and negative changes in global particulate organic carbon (POC) flux, AMOC and AABW cell strengths, and global CaCO3 burial flux. Comparison of the PGACF ensemble results against observations suggests that the simulated LGM physical climate and biogeochemical changes are mostly of the right sign and magnitude or within the range of observational error, except for the change in global deep-sea CaCO3 burial flux - which tends to be overestimated. We note that changing CaCO3 weathering flux is a variable parameter (included to account for variation in both the CaCO3 weathering rate and the un-modelled CaCO3 shallow water deposition flux), and this parameter is strongly associated with changes in global CaCO3 burial rate. The increasing terrestrial carbon inventory is also likely to have contributed to the LGM increase in deep-sea CaCO3 burial flux via the process of carbonate compensation. However, we do not yet rule out either of these processes as causes of ΔCO2 since missing processes such as Si fertilisation, Si leakage and the effect of decreasing SSTs on CaCO3 production may have introduced a high LGM global CaCO3 burial rate bias. Including these processes would, all else held constant, lower the rain ratio seen by the sediments and result in a decrease in atmospheric CO2 and increase in ocean carbon. Despite not modelling Δ14 C(atm (DIC)) and δ13 C(atm (DIC)) , we also highlight some ways in which our results may potentially be reconciled with these records. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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