Guillaume Latombe, Hanno Seebens, Bernd Lenzner, Franck Courchamp, Stefan Dullinger, Marina Golivets, Ingolf Kühn, Brian Leung, Núria Roura-Pascual, Emma Cebrian, Wayne Dawson, Christophe Diagne, Jonathan M. Jeschke, Cristian Pérez-Granados, Dietmar Moser, Anna Turbelin, Piero Visconti, Franz Essl, University of Vienna [Vienna], University of Edinburgh, Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F), Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main-Senckenberg – Leibniz Institution for Biodiversity and Earth System Research - Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung, Leibniz Association-Leibniz Association, Ecologie Systématique et Evolution (ESE), AgroParisTech-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Helmholtz Zentrum für Umweltforschung = Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Department of Geobotany and Botanical Garden, Martin-Luther-Universität Halle Wittenberg (MLU), McGill University = Université McGill [Montréal, Canada], Universitat de Girona [Girona], Universitat de Girona (UdG), Departament de Ciencies Ambientals, Centre d'Estudis Avançats de Blanes (CEAB), Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas [Madrid] (CSIC), Institute of Aquatic Ecology, Durham University, Centre de Biologie pour la Gestion des Populations (UMR CBGP), Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [France-Sud])-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Institut Agro Montpellier, Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Université de Montpellier (UM), Freie Universität Berlin, Leibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries (IGB), Berlin-Brandenburg Institute of Advanced Biodiversity Research (BBIB), Universidad de Alicante, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis [Laxenburg] (IIASA), This research was funded through the 2017-2018 Belmont Forum and BiodivERsA joint call for research proposals, under the BiodivScen ERA-Net COFUND programme, and with the funding organisations FWF (project no I 4011-B32–GL, BeL, SD, DM, FE), MCIN/AEI/https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 (PCI2018-092966–NRP, CPG, EC), BMBF (16LC1807C–MG, IK, 16LC1807A–HS, 16LC1807B–JMJ) and ANR (NR-18-EBI4-0004–FC, CB, CD, AT)., Universidad de Alicante. Departamento de Ecología, Ecología y Conservación de Poblaciones y Comunidades Animales (ECPCA), Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, Institute of Biology/Geobotany and Botanical Garden, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv), Institute of Biology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Departamento de Ecología, Universidad de Alicante, Alicante, Spain, This research was funded through the 2017-2018 Belmont Forum and BiodivERsA joint call for research proposals, under the BiodivScen ERA-Net COFUND programme, and with the funding organisations FWF (project no I 4011-B32-GL, BeL, SD, DM, FE), MCIN/AEI/https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011033 (PCI2018-092966NRP, CPG, EC), BMBF (16LC1807C-MG, IK, 16LC1807A-HS, 16LC1807B-JMJ) and ANR (ANR-18-EBI4-0004-FC, CB, CD, AT).Document Information, and ANR-18-EBI4-0004,AlienScenarios,Developing and applying scenarios of biological invasions for the 21st century(2018)
Este artículo contiene 19 páginas, 4 figuras, 2 tablas., The extent and impacts of biological invasions on biodiversity are largely shaped by an array of socio-economic and environmental factors, which exhibit high variation among countries. Yet, a global analysis of how these factors vary across countries is currently lacking. Here, we investigate how five broad, country-specific socio-economic and environmental indices (Governance, Trade, Environmental Performance, Lifestyle and Education, Innovation) explain country-level (1) established alien species (EAS) richness of eight taxonomic groups, and (2) proactive or reactive capacity to prevent and manage biological invasions and their impacts. These indices underpin many aspects of the invasion process, including the introduction, establishment, spread and management of alien species. They are also general enough to enable a global comparison across countries, and are therefore essential for defining future scenarios for biological invasions. Models including Trade, Governance, Lifestyle and Education, or a combination of these, best explained EAS richness across taxonomic groups and national proactive or reactive capacity. Historical (1996 or averaged over 1996–2015) levels of Governance and Trade better explained both EAS richness and the capacity of countries to manage invasions than more recent (2015) levels, revealing a historical legacy with important implications for the future of biological invasions. Using Governance and Trade to define a two-dimensional socio-economic space in which the position of a country captures its capacity to address issues of biological invasions, we identified four main clusters of countries in 2015. Most countries had an increase in Trade over the past 25 years, but trajectories were more geographically heterogeneous for Governance. Declines in levels of Governance are concerning as they may be responsible for larger levels of invasions in the future. By identifying the factors influencing EAS richness and the regions most susceptible to changes in these factors, our results provide novel insights to integrate biological invasions into scenarios of biodiversity change to better inform decision-making for policy and the management of biological invasions., This research was funded through the 2017-2018 Belmont Forum and BiodivERsA joint call for research proposals, under the BiodivScen ERA-Net COFUND programme, and with the funding organisations FWF (project no I 4011-B32–GL, BeL, SD, DM, FE), MCIN/AEI/https:// doi. org/ 10. 13039/ 50110 00110 33 (PCI2018-092966– NRP, CPG, EC), BMBF (16LC1807C–MG, IK; 16LC1807A–HS; 16LC1807B–JMJ) and ANR (NR-18-EBI4-0004–FC, CB, CD, AT).