123 results on '"Francisco Rowe"'
Search Results
2. COVID-19 y movimientos de población entre la jerarquía urbana en México. Un análisis utilizando datos digitales
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Miguel González-Leonardo, Carmen Cabrera-Arnau, Ruth Neville, Andrea Nasuto, and Francisco Rowe
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movilidad humana ,“éxodo urbano” ,jerarquía urbana ,covid ,19 ,sur global ,américa latina ,méxico ,datos digitales ,facebook ,Human settlements. Communities ,HT51-65 ,Demography. Population. Vital events ,HB848-3697 - Abstract
Estudios previos en países del Norte Global han documentado un descenso de los movimientos internos de población durante la pandemia de COVID-19, acompañado de un aumento de los desplazamientos desde las grandes ciudades hacia áreas menos densamente pobladas. Sin embargo, no hay evidencias consistentes sobre el efecto de la pandemia en los movimientos de población a través de la jerarquía urbana en el Sur Global. En esta investigación se utilizan datos de telefonía móvil de usuarios de Facebook entre abril de 2020 y mayo de 2022 para analizar cómo cambiaron las intensidades y los patrones de movilidad de larga distancia (>100 km) entre diferentes categorías de densidad de población durante la COVID-19 en México. Los resultados muestran un descenso del 40% en los movimientos de usuarios en el periodo de abril a diciembre de 2020. Al contrario que en los países desarrollados, no se identificó un aumento en los desplazamientos desde las grandes ciudades, sino un descenso generalizado tanto en los flujos de salida como en los de entrada en todas las categorías de densidad de población, excepto en los movimientos interrurales. Además, la mayor reducción se registró en los desplazamientos desde y hacia las grandes ciudades, que cayeron 50%. Al igual que en el Norte Global, las intensidades y los patrones de movilidad recuperaron progresivamente los valores y tendencias observados con anterioridad a la COVID-19 durante 2021 y 2022, aunque las grandes ciudades mostraron una recuperación más lenta y siguieron registrando movimientos de salida y entrada ligeramente inferiores aún en mayo de 2022.
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- 2024
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3. Unraveling the Brexit–COVID-19 nexus: assessing the decline of EU student applications into UK universities
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Ruth Neville, Francisco Rowe, and Alex Singleton
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Brexit ,COVID-19 ,Difference-in-difference ,International Students ,Information technology ,T58.5-58.64 ,Political institutions and public administration (General) ,JF20-2112 - Abstract
While the number of international students attending UK universities has been increasing in recent years, the 2021/22 and 2022/23 academic years saw a decline in applications from EU-domiciled students. However, the extent and varying impact of this decline remain to be estimated and disentangled from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Using difference-in-differences (DID) in a hierarchical regression framework and Universities and Colleges Admissions Service (UCAS) data, we aim to quantify the decline in the number of student applications post-Brexit. We find evidence of an overall decline of 65% in the 2021 academic year in successful applications from EU students as a result of Brexit. This decline is more pronounced for non-Russell Group institutions, as well as for Health and Life Sciences and Arts and Languages. Furthermore, we explore the spatial heterogeneity of the impact of Brexit across EU countries of origin, observing the greatest effects for Poland and Germany, though this varies depending on institution type and subject. We also show that higher rates of COVID-19 stringency in the country of origin led to greater applications for UK higher education institutions. Our results are important for government and institutional policymakers seeking to understand where losses occur and how international students respond to external shocks and policy changes. Our study quantifies the distinct impacts of Brexit and COVID-19 and offers valuable insights to guide strategic interventions to sustain the UK’s attractiveness as a destination for international students.
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- 2024
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4. Understanding anti-immigration sentiment spreading on Twitter.
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Andrea Nasuto and Francisco Rowe
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Immigration is one of the most salient topics in public debate. Social media heavily influences opinions on immigration, often sparking polarized debates and offline tensions. Studying 220,870 immigration-related tweets in the UK, we assessed the extent of polarization, key content creators and disseminators, and the speed of content dissemination. We identify a high degree of online polarization between pro and anti-immigration communities. We found that the anti-migration community is small but denser and more active than the pro-immigration community with the top 1% of users responsible for over 23% of anti-immigration tweets and 21% of retweets. We also discovered that anti-immigration content spreads also 1.66 times faster than pro-immigration messages and bots have minimal impact on content dissemination. Our findings suggest that identifying and tracking highly active users could curb anti-immigration sentiment, potentially easing social polarization and shaping broader societal attitudes toward migration.
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- 2024
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5. A ‘donut effect’? Assessing housing transactions during COVID-19 across the Spanish rural–urban hierarchy
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Miguel González-Leonardo, Francisco Rowe, and Arturo Vegas-Sánchez
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housing purchases ,'donut effect' ,COVID-19 pandemic ,rural-urban continuum ,Spain ,Regional economics. Space in economics ,HT388 ,Regional planning ,HT390-395 - Abstract
ABSTRACTWe assess if a 'donut effect' has occurred in Spain during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our results show a synchronized 30% drop in housing purchases during the national lockdown in 2020, followed by a significant increase from 2021 across the rural-urban continuum, including core cities, suburbs, towns and rural areas, exceeding pre-pandemic levels. We thus found no evidence of a ‘donut effect’ in Spain.
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- 2023
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6. Using digital footprint data to monitor human mobility and support rapid humanitarian responses
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Francisco Rowe
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digital footprint data ,human mobility ,population displacement ,flooding ,Pakistan ,geographical data science ,Regional economics. Space in economics ,HT388 ,Regional planning ,HT390-395 - Abstract
Global warming is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events leading to an increased risk of large-scale population displacements. Since June 2022, Pakistan has recorded destructive flash flooding resulting from melting glaciers and torrential monsoon rainfall. Emergency responses have documented flood-related deaths, injuries and damaged infrastructure – less is known about population displacements resulting from recent floods. Information about these populations and mobility is critical to ensure the appropriate delivery of humanitarian assistance where it is most needed. Lack of granular spatial data in real time has been a key barrier. This article uses digital footprint data from Meta Facebook to identify the patterns of population displacement in Pakistan in near-real time.
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- 2022
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7. The effect of leave policies on increasing fertility: a systematic review
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Jac Thomas, Francisco Rowe, Paul Williamson, and Eric S. Lin
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History of scholarship and learning. The humanities ,AZ20-999 ,Social Sciences - Abstract
Abstract Low fertility is set to worsen economic problems in many developed countries, and maternity, paternity, and parental leave have emerged as key pro-natal policies. Gender inequity in the balance of domestic and formal work has been identified as a key driver of low fertility, and leave can potentially equalise this balance and thereby promote fertility. However, the literature contends that evidence for the effect of leave on fertility is mixed. We conduct the first systematic review on this topic. By applying a rigorous search protocol, we identify and review empirical studies that quantify the impact of leave policies on fertility. We focus on experimental or quasi-experimental studies that can identify causal effects. We identify 11 papers published between 2009 and 2019, evaluating 23 policy changes across Europe and North America from 1977 to 2009. Results are a mixture of positive, negative, and null impacts on fertility. To explain these apparent inconsistencies, we extend the conceptual framework of Lalive and Zweimüller (2009), which decomposes the total effect of leave on fertility into the “current-child” and “future-child” effects. We decompose these into effects on women at different birth orders, and specify types of study design to identify each effect. We classify the 23 studies in terms of the type of effect identified, revealing that all the negative or null studies identify the current-child effect, and all the positive studies identify the future-child or total effect. Since the future-child and total effects are more important for promoting aggregate fertility, our findings show that leave does in fact increase fertility when benefit increases are generous. Furthermore, our extensions to Lalive and Zweimüller’s conceptual framework provide a more sophisticated way of understanding and classifying the effects of pro-natal policies on fertility. Additionally, we propose ways to adapt the ROBINS-I tool for evaluating risk of bias in pro-natal policy studies.
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- 2022
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8. Visualizing internal and international migration in the Spanish provinces during the COVID-19 pandemic
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Miguel González-Leonardo and Francisco Rowe
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internal migration ,international migration ,COVID-19 ,provinces ,population density ,Spain ,Regional economics. Space in economics ,HT388 ,Regional planning ,HT390-395 - Abstract
Drawing on register records from 2019 to 2021, we analyse the impact of COVID-19 on internal and international migration across the 50 Spanish provinces (NUTS-3 regions). Our results show that net-international migration declined in all the provinces during the pandemic, particularly in high-population-density areas. Certain depopulated provinces registered significant positive net-internal migration rates, while the most populous areas displayed population losses through internal migration. Generally, the total migration balance decreased in most provinces, primarily driven by the drop in international migration. Changes in internal and international migration persisted over time, although patterns tended to converge to pre-pandemic levels in late 2021.
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- 2022
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9. Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on immigration in receiving high-income countries
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Miguel González-Leonardo, Michaela Potančoková, Dilek Yildiz, and Francisco Rowe
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Previous studies have examined the impact of COVID-19 on mortality and fertility. However, little is known about the effect of the pandemic on constraining international migration. We use Eurostat and national statistics data on immigration and ARIMA time-series models to quantify the impact of COVID-19 on immigration flows in 15 high-income countries by forecasting their counterfactual levels in 2020, assuming no pandemic, and comparing these estimates with observed immigration counts. We then explore potential driving forces, such as stringency measures and increases in unemployment moderating the extent of immigration change. Our results show that immigration declined in all countries, except in Finland. Yet, significant cross-national variations exist. Australia (60%), Spain (45%) and Sweden (36%) display the largest declines, while immigration decreased by between 15% and 30% in seven countries, and by less than 15% in four nations where results were not statistically significant. International travel restrictions, mobility restrictions and stay-at-home requirements exhibit a relatively strong relationship with declines in immigration, although countries with similar levels of stringency witnessed varying levels of immigration decline. Work and school closings and unemployment show no relationship with changes in immigration.
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- 2023
10. A Major Uplift
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Francisco Rowe
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Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
This editorial describes improvements REGION implemented in the first months of 2022. Although they are not directly visible to authors or readers, they are important for the quality of the journal and for the visibility of the articles published in REGION.
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- 2022
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11. Functional signatures in Great Britain: A dataset
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Krasen Samardzhiev, Martin Fleischmann, Daniel Arribas-Bel, Alessia Calafiore, and Francisco Rowe
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Geographic data science ,Urban analytics ,Functional areas ,Spatial data ,Land use ,Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics ,R858-859.7 ,Science (General) ,Q1-390 - Abstract
The spatial distribution of activities and agents within cities, conceptualised as an urban function, profoundly affects how different areas are perceived and lived. This dataset introduces the concept of functional signatures - contiguous areas of a similar urban function delineated based on enclosed tessellation cells (ETC) - and applies it to the area of Great Britain. ETCs are granular spatial units, which capture function based on interpolations from open data inputs stretching from remote sensing to land use, census and points of interest data. The spatial extent of each signature type is defined by grouping ETCs using cluster analysis, based on similarity between their functional profiles, inferred by the data linked to each cell. This approach results in a dataset that reflects urban function as a composite of aspects, rather than a singular use, and is built up from granular spatial units. Furthermore, the underlying data are sourced from available open data products, which together with a method and code fully available, yields a fully reproducible pipeline and makes our dataset and open data product.Both the final classification composed of 17 types of functional signatures and the underlying data collected on the level of enclosed tessellation cells are included in the release and described in this report.
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- 2022
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12. Estimating the Causal Impact of Non-Traditional Household Structures on Children's Educational Performance Using a Machine Learning Propensity Score
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Li-Dan Shang, Francisco Rowe, and Eric S. Lin
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Over the past two decades, family structures have diversified. International migration has led to a rise in the number of families in which at least one parent is foreign-born. Increases have also been observed in both the rate of partnership separation, leading to a greater number of single-parent households and an increase in the number of families where grandparents have assumed caring responsibilities for their grandchildren. Evidence indicates a strong relationship between family structure and children's educational outcomes. Parental involvement is well documented as a key ingredient for the educational success of children. Drawing on Taiwanese multi-wave survey data (Taiwan Assessment of Student Achievement) and a machine-learning-based propensity score algorithm for multiple treatments, this paper aims to determine the various relationships between children from different household structures (two-parent households, skipped generation households, single-parent households, and immigrant households) and their cognitive knowledge (measured by test scores). Key findings reveal that children from skipped generation households achieve the lowest performance scores and that those from immigrant households tend to perform even better than children from traditional two-parent households in certain disciplines. Our results suggest that policy interventions targeted at providing remedial education and/or financial assistance are needed to support children from skipped generation families to redress existing educational disadvantages in Taiwan.
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- 2024
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13. Mapping the spatial patterns of internal migration in Europe
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Francisco Rowe and Nikos Patias
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internal migration flows ,europe ,mapping ,mapbox ,Regional economics. Space in economics ,HT388 ,Regional planning ,HT390-395 - Abstract
Internal migration has replaced fertility and mortality as the primary demographic process shaping the spatial distribution of populations within countries. While a rich comparative literature has examined the intensity, composition and spatial impacts of population movement in Europe, the spatial structure of internal migration flows is less well understood. We present a flow map of internal migration flows within 38 European countries using the most recent data available. The graphic reveals the major role of national capital cities in the internal migration system, and an array of distinctive patterns of internal migration fostering population concentration in Northern, Central and Eastern Europe, and population deconcentration in Western and Southern Europe.
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- 2020
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14. Using Twitter to track immigration sentiment during early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic—ADDENDUM
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Francisco Rowe, Michael Mahony, Eduardo Graells-Garrido, Marzia Rango, and Niklas Sievers
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Information technology ,T58.5-58.64 ,Political institutions and public administration (General) ,JF20-2112 - Published
- 2022
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15. Identifying how COVID-19-related misinformation reacts to the announcement of the UK national lockdown: An interrupted time-series study
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Mark Green, Elena Musi, Francisco Rowe, Darren Charles, Frances Darlington Pollock, Chris Kypridemos, Andrew Morse, Patricia Rossini, John Tulloch, Andrew Davies, Emily Dearden, Henrdramoorthy Maheswaran, Alex Singleton, Roberto Vivancos, and Sally Sheard
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General Works - Abstract
COVID-19 is unique in that it is the first global pandemic occurring amidst a crowded information environment that has facilitated the proliferation of misinformation on social media. Dangerous misleading narratives have the potential to disrupt ‘official’ information sharing at major government announcements. Using an interrupted time-series design, we test the impact of the announcement of the first UK lockdown (8–8.30 p.m. 23 March 2020) on short-term trends of misinformation on Twitter. We utilise a novel dataset of all COVID-19-related social media posts on Twitter from the UK 48 hours before and 48 hours after the announcement (n = 2,531,888). We find that while the number of tweets increased immediately post announcement, there was no evidence of an increase in misinformation-related tweets. We found an increase in COVID-19-related bot activity post-announcement. Topic modelling of misinformation tweets revealed four distinct clusters: ‘government and policy’, ‘symptoms’, ‘pushing back against misinformation’ and ‘cures and treatments’.
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- 2021
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16. Using Twitter to track immigration sentiment during early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic
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Francisco Rowe, Michael Mahony, Eduardo Graells-Garrido, Marzia Rango, and Niklas Sievers
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immigration sentiment ,migration ,pandemic ,sentiment analysis ,topic modeling ,Twitter ,Information technology ,T58.5-58.64 ,Political institutions and public administration (General) ,JF20-2112 - Abstract
Large-scale coordinated efforts have been dedicated to understanding the global health and economic implications of the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, the rapid spread of discrimination and xenophobia against specific populations has largely been neglected. Understanding public attitudes toward migration is essential to counter discrimination against immigrants and promote social cohesion. Traditional data sources to monitor public opinion are often limited, notably due to slow collection and release activities. New forms of data, particularly from social media, can help overcome these limitations. While some bias exists, social media data are produced at an unprecedented temporal frequency, geographical granularity, are collected globally and accessible in real-time. Drawing on a data set of 30.39 million tweets and natural language processing, this article aims to measure shifts in public sentiment opinion about migration during early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Results show an increase of migration-related Tweets along with COVID-19 cases during national lockdowns in all five countries. Yet, we found no evidence of a significant increase in anti-immigration sentiment, as rises in the volume of negative messages are offset by comparable increases in positive messages. Additionally, we presented evidence of growing social polarization concerning migration, showing high concentrations of strongly positive and strongly negative sentiments.
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- 2021
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17. A city of cities: Measuring how 15-minutes urban accessibility shapes human mobility in Barcelona.
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Eduardo Graells-Garrido, Feliu Serra-Burriel, Francisco Rowe, Fernando M Cucchietti, and Patricio Reyes
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Medicine ,Science - Abstract
As cities expand, human mobility has become a central focus of urban planning and policy making to make cities more inclusive and sustainable. Initiatives such as the "15-minutes city" have been put in place to shift the attention from monocentric city configurations to polycentric structures, increasing the availability and diversity of local urban amenities. Ultimately they expect to increase local walkability and increase mobility within residential areas. While we know how urban amenities influence human mobility at the city level, little is known about spatial variations in this relationship. Here, we use mobile phone, census, and volunteered geographical data to measure geographic variations in the relationship between origin-destination flows and local urban accessibility in Barcelona. Using a Negative Binomial Geographically Weighted Regression model, we show that, globally, people tend to visit neighborhoods with better access to education and retail. Locally, these and other features change in sign and magnitude through the different neighborhoods of the city in ways that are not explained by administrative boundaries, and that provide deeper insights regarding urban characteristics such as rental prices. In conclusion, our work suggests that the qualities of a 15-minutes city can be measured at scale, delivering actionable insights on the polycentric structure of cities, and how people use and access this structure.
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- 2021
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18. The Potential of Notebooks for Scientific Publication, Reproducibility and Dissemination
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Francisco Rowe, Gunther Maier, Daniel Arribas-Bel, and Sergio Rey
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Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Published
- 2020
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19. A reproducible notebook to acquire, process and analyse satellite imagery
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Meixu Chen, Dominik Fahrner, Daniel Arribas-Bel, and Francisco Rowe
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Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
Satellite imagery is often used to study and monitor Earth surface changes. The open availability and extensive temporal coverage of Landsat imagery has enabled changes in temperature, wind, vegetation and ice melting speed for a period of up to 46 years. Yet, the use of satellite imagery to study cities has remained underutilised, partly due to the lack of a methodological approach to capture features and changes in the urban environment. This notebook offers a framework based on Python tools to demonstrate how to batch-download high-resolution satellite imagery; and enable the extraction, analysis and visualisation of features of the built environment to capture long-term urban changes.
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- 2020
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20. Fueling Research Transparency: Computational Notebooks and the Discussion Section
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Sierdjan Koster and Francisco Rowe
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Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Published
- 2020
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21. A Framework to Understand Attitudes towards Immigration through Twitter
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Yerka Freire-Vidal, Eduardo Graells-Garrido, and Francisco Rowe
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social network analysis ,attitude classification ,psycholinguistic analysis ,public policy ,migration ,Technology ,Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) ,TA1-2040 ,Biology (General) ,QH301-705.5 ,Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
Understanding public opinion towards immigrants is key to prevent acts of violence, discrimination and abuse. Traditional data sources, such as surveys, provide rich insights into the formation of such attitudes; yet, they are costly and offer limited temporal granularity, providing only a partial understanding of the dynamics of attitudes towards immigrants. Leveraging Twitter data and natural language processing, we propose a framework to measure attitudes towards immigration in online discussions. Grounded in theories of social psychology, the proposed framework enables the classification of users’ into profile stances of positive and negative attitudes towards immigrants and characterisation of these profiles quantitatively summarising users’ content and temporal stance trends. We use a Twitter sample composed of 36 K users and 160 K tweets discussing the topic in 2017, when the immigrant population in the country recorded an increase by a factor of four from 2010. We found that the negative attitude group of users is smaller than the positive group, and that both attitudes have different distributions of the volume of content. Both types of attitudes show fluctuations over time that seem to be influenced by news events related to immigration. Accounts with negative attitudes use arguments of labour competition and stricter regulation of immigration. In contrast, accounts with positive attitudes reflect arguments in support of immigrants’ human and civil rights. The framework and its application can inform policy makers about how people feel about immigration, with possible implications for policy communication and the design of interventions to improve negative attitudes.
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- 2021
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22. Impact of Internal Migration on Population Redistribution in Europe: Urbanisation, Counterurbanisation or Spatial Equilibrium?
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Francisco Rowe, Martin Bell, Aude Bernard, Elin Charles-Edwards, and Philipp Ueffing
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internal migration ,population redistribution ,maup ,europe ,cross-national analysis ,Urban groups. The city. Urban sociology ,HT101-395 ,City population. Including children in cities, immigration ,HT201-221 ,Demography. Population. Vital events ,HB848-3697 - Abstract
The classical foundations of migration research date from the 1880s with Ravenstein’s “Laws of migration”, which represent the first comparative analyses of internal migration. While his observations remain largely valid, the ensuing century has seen considerable progress in data collection practices and methods of analysis, which in turn has permitted theoretical advances in understanding the role of migration in population redistribution. Coupling the extensive range of migration data now available with these recent theoretical and methodological advances, we endeavour to advance beyond Ravenstein’s understanding by examining the direction of population redistribution and comparing the impact of internal migration on patterns of human settlement in 27 European countries. Results show that the overall redistributive impact of internal migration is low in most European countries but the mechanisms differ across the continent. In Southern and Eastern Europe migration effectiveness is above average but is offset by low migration intensities, whereas in Northern and Western Europe high intensities are absorbed in reciprocal flows resulting in low migration effectiveness. About half the European countries are experiencing a process of concentration toward urbanised regions, particularly in Northern, Central and Eastern Europe, whereas countries in the West and South are undergoing a process of population deconcentration. These results suggest that population deconcentration is now more common than it was in the 1990s when counterurbanisation was limited to Western Europe. The results show that 130 years on, Ravenstein’s law of migration streams and counter-streams remains a central facet of migration dynamics, while underlining the importance of simple yet robust indices for the spatial analysis of migration. * This article belongs to a special issue on “Internal Migration as a Driver of Regional Population Change in Europe: Updating Ravenstein”.
- Published
- 2019
23. Social determinants of multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations among the ageing population of England, 2002–2015
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Leo Singer, Mark Green, Francisco Rowe, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, and Karyn Morrissey
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Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
This study explores longitudinal relationships between material, psycho-social and behavioural social determinants of health and multimorbidity of people aged 50 years or older in England. We used data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing collected biannually between 2002 and 2015. Apart from the basic measure of multimorbidity (two or more diseases within a person) we constructed two distinct measures of health in order to take into account the biology of ageing (complex multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations).We found that the likelihood of multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations was consistently associated with the levels of household wealth, sense of control over one's life, physical activity and loneliness. Larger health inequalities were observed when health was measured as complex multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations than basic multimorbidity. Compared to the population group with the highest wealth, those with the lowest wealth had 47% higher odds of basic multimorbidity (95% C.I. 1.34-1.61), 73% higher odds of complex multimorbidity (95% C.I. 1.52-1.96) and 90% higher odds of having 10 or more functional limitations (95% C.I. 1.59-2.26). We did not find a dose-response relationship between alcohol consumption, smoking and multimorbidity but rather evidence of people in ill health actively moderating their health behaviour.We suggest that materialist models of multimorbidity and functional limitation at older age can not, on their own, explain the health inequalities as the behavioural and psycho-social factors play an important role. Policies aiming to reduce the risk of multimorbidity and functional limitation should address the issue at these three levels simultaneously, using the existing national infrastructure of General Practices. Keywords: Multimorbidity, Complex multimorbidity, Multiple functional limitations, Social determinansts of health, Ageing, Health inequalities
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- 2019
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24. Trends in multimorbidity, complex multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations in the ageing population of England, 2002–2015
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Leo Singer, Mark Green, Francisco Rowe, Yoav Ben-Shlomo, Hill Kulu, and Karyn Morrissey
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Medicine - Abstract
This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of three measures of multimorbidity among people aged 50 years or older in England. Beside the basic measure of two or more diseases within a person, we added a measure of three or more affected body systems (complex multimorbidity) and a measure of 10 or more functional limitations. We found that the three health outcomes became more prevalent between 2002 and 2015. They were more common among females than males and were becoming more common among younger age groups. While in 2002, the prevalence of basic multimorbidity overcame 50% from the 70–74 age group upwards, in 2015 it crossed the same threshold in the 65–69 age group. The distribution of multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations were stratified by the amount of household wealth. Multiple functional limitations reflected the largest differences between the most and the least affluent groups (5.9-fold in 2014/2015), followed by the measure of complex multimorbidity (2.8-fold in 2014/2015) and basic multimorbidity (1.9-fold) in 2014/2015.While age acted as a levelling factor for the wealth differences in basic multimorbidity, it had no such effect on the two other outcomes. Our study observed social polarization among multimorbid ageing population in England where complex multimorbidity and multiple functional limitations increase faster and reflect stronger inequality than basic multimorbidity.
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- 2019
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25. An Elon Musk Generalist or a Specialist? The Impacts of Interdisciplinary Learning on Post-Graduation Outcomes
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Ya-Wen Tseng, Francisco Rowe, and Eric S. Lin
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Interdisciplinary education has become increasingly prominent as a core instrument to prepare the next generation workforce. Yet, little is known about the impacts of long-term degree-oriented interdisciplinary education on post-graduation outcomes. This paper aims to investigate the influence of long-term degree-oriented interdisciplinary education on graduates' post-graduation plan choices and labour market outcomes using unique administrative micro-data and career-tracking data from a comprehensive research university. Our results indicate that higher levels of engagement in interdisciplinary learning increase the probability of pursuing future study and employment in a field that differs from a graduate's college degree, and are also associated with a higher probability to enter the workforce. Yet, this positive association between interdisciplinary learning and the probability of entering the workforce is specific to graduates from traditional disciplinary programmes. Additionally, our findings suggest that the impact of long-term degree-oriented interdisciplinary education on early labour market outcomes is overall beneficial but varies across degree fields. The findings of our study provided partial evidence in support of the influence of long-term degree-oriented interdisciplinary education on post-graduation plan choices and early labour market outcomes. We suggest that given resource constraints, higher education institutions could consider relaxing module choice restrictions in traditional disciplinary programmes to promote interdisciplinary education. However, it is important to note that higher education institutions should carefully consider the potential trade-off between the breadth of interdisciplinary content and the depth of specialist content, in order to strike a balance.
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- 2024
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26. ¿Contribuye la migración interna a reducir la segregación residencial? el caso de Santiago de Chile 1977-2002
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Jorge Rodríguez Vignoli and Francisco Rowe
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Segregación residencial ,Migración interna ,Movilidad residencial ,Desigualdad ,Social Sciences ,Demography. Population. Vital events ,HB848-3697 - Abstract
En el marco del debate sobre las denominadas mutaciones metropolitanas, la diversificación social de la periferia y las tendencias de la segregación socioeconómica residencial, se estima el efecto de la migración interna sobre la composición educativa de ámbitos intrametropolitanos y la segregación residencial, medida con el índice de disimilitud de varios grupos educativos, en Santiago, Chile. Se usa una metodología novedosa desarrollada en CELADE que utiliza microdatos censales. Los resultados indican que la migración contribuye a diversificar socioeducativamente a la periferia y es decisiva para la emergencia de núcleos de alta educación en zonas históricamente desaventajadas de la periferia. Pero, contra la narrativa predominante, la migración no reduce la segregación residencial, principalmente porque disminuye los niveles educativos en el pericentro, más bien pobre y en proceso de pauperización y, en cambio, los aumenta en la zona acomodada.
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- 2017
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27. The CHilean Internal Migration (CHIM) database: Temporally consistent spatial data for the analysis of human mobility
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Francisco Rowe
- Subjects
Migration ,Data ,Census ,Chile ,Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
Changes in zonal boundaries and coding schemes severely compromise temporal comparison of data. In Chile, the Population and Housing census is the only comprehensive source of internal migration data, but municipal boundaries and occupation and industry sector coding schemes have undergone various changes which hamper the temporal comparability of census data. This paper presents the CHilean Internal Migration database developed by Rowe and Bell (2013) which provides a temporally consistent framework for the analysis of internal migration over a period covering twenty-five years from 1977 to 2002. Specifically, it offers a hierarchical system of 304 municipalities, 51 provinces and 13 regions, and 10 occupational groups and 11 industrial sectors which are temporally consistent over the 1977-82, 1987-92 and 1997-2002 census intervals. The database can be downloaded from: https://s3.amazonaws.com/geoda/data/CHIM.zip.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Functional Labour Market Areas for Chile
- Author
-
Francisco Rowe
- Subjects
Spatial labour markets ,Labour ,Evolutionary ,Science (General) ,Q1-390 ,Social sciences (General) ,H1-99 - Abstract
Administrative areas are arbitrarily designed and do not necessarily reflect the geographical patterns of socio-economic and labour market activity. Labour market areas (LMAs) are required to analyse spatial labour market activity and provide a framework to guide spatially-explicit employment policy development. This resource describes a data source of a set of recently created labour market areas for Chile.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Comparing internal migration across the countries of Latin America: A multidimensional approach.
- Author
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Aude Bernard, Francisco Rowe, Martin Bell, Philipp Ueffing, and Elin Charles-Edwards
- Subjects
Medicine ,Science - Abstract
While considerable progress has been made in understanding the way particular aspects of internal migration, such as its intensity, age profile and spatial impact, vary between countries around the world, little attention to date has been given to establishing how these dimensions of migration interact in different national settings. We use recently developed measures of internal migration that are scale-independent to compare the overall intensity, age composition, spatial impact, and distance profile of internal migration in 19 Latin American countries. Comparisons reveal substantial cross-national variation but cluster analysis suggests the different dimensions of migration evolve systematically to form a broad sequence characterised by low intensities, young ages at migration, unbalanced flows and high friction of distance at lower levels of development, trending to high intensities, an older age profile of migration, more closely balanced flows and lower friction of distance at later stages of development. However, the transition is not linear and local contingencies, such as international migration and political control, often distort the migration-development nexus, leading to unique migration patterns in individual national contexts.
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. A Hierarchical Urban Forest Index Using Street-Level Imagery and Deep Learning
- Author
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Philip Stubbings, Joe Peskett, Francisco Rowe, and Dani Arribas-Bel
- Subjects
urban forestry ,green space ,street-level imagery ,deep learning ,image segmentation ,Science - Abstract
We develop a method based on computer vision and a hierarchical multilevel model to derive an Urban Street Tree Vegetation Index which aims to quantify the amount of vegetation visible from the point of view of a pedestrian. Our approach unfolds in two steps. First, areas of vegetation are detected within street-level imagery using a state-of-the-art deep neural network model. Second, information is combined from several images to derive an aggregated indicator at the area level using a hierarchical multilevel model. The comparative performance of our proposed approach is demonstrated against a widely used image segmentation technique based on a pre-labelled dataset. The approach is deployed to a real-world scenario for the city of Cardiff, Wales, using Google Street View imagery. Based on more than 200,000 street-level images, an urban tree street-level indicator is derived to measure the spatial distribution of tree cover, accounting for the presence of obstructing objects present in images at the Lower Layer Super Output Area (LSOA) level, corresponding to the most commonly used administrative areas for policy-making in the United Kingdom. The results show a high degree of correspondence between our tree street-level score and aerial tree cover estimates. They also evidence more accurate estimates at a pedestrian perspective from our tree score by more appropriately capturing tree cover in areas with large burial, woodland, formal open and informal open spaces where shallow trees are abundant, in high density residential areas with backyard trees, and along street networks with high density of high trees. The proposed approach is scalable and automatable. It can be applied to cities across the world and provides robust estimates of urban trees to advance our understanding of the link between mental health, well-being, green space and air pollution.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Differences in Attitudes towards Immigration between Australia and Germany: The Role of Immigration Policy
- Author
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Philipp Ueffing, Francisco Rowe, and Clara H. Mulder
- Subjects
Immigration ,Policy ,Attitudes ,Australia ,Germany ,Urban groups. The city. Urban sociology ,HT101-395 ,City population. Including children in cities, immigration ,HT201-221 ,Demography. Population. Vital events ,HB848-3697 - Abstract
This paper investigates the connection between national immigration policy and a society’s attitudes towards immigration. It argues that a country’s immigration policy framework plays an important role in the formation of attitudes towards immigration by shaping the local national context of the receiving country. It examines the influence of a country’s immigration policy framework by contrasting two countries – Australia and Germany – that developed remarkably different immigration policies in response to large immigration movements during the post-war period. We explore attitudes towards immigration on four dimensions: (1) the national economy, (2) the labour market, (3) the national culture, and (4) the level of immigrant influx. The analyses reveal three main findings. First, people in Australia tend to display more positive attitudes towards immigration than in Germany. Second, in both countries, attitudes towards immigration tend to be influenced in a similar way by an individual’s socio-economic background and feelings of national identity (in the form of nationalism and patriotism). Third, immigration policy represents a strong indicator of attitudes towards immigration. We found that the planned integrative immigration policy in Australia supports the formation of more positive attitudes towards immigration by influencing people’s perception on the economic and socio-cultural impacts of immigration.
- Published
- 2015
32. Unveiling the influence of behavioural, built environment and socio-economic features on the spatial and temporal variability of bus use using explainable machine learning.
- Author
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Sui Tao, Francisco Rowe, and Hongyu Shan
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Exposing Hate - Understanding Anti-Immigration Sentiment Spreading on Twitter.
- Author
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Andrea Nasuto and Francisco Rowe
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Developing two-dimensional indicators of transport demand and supply to promote sustainable transportation equity.
- Author
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Patrick Ballantyne, Gabriele Filomena, Francisco Rowe, and Alexander D. Singleton
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Open data products-A framework for creating valuable analysis ready data.
- Author
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Dani Arribas-Bel, Mark Green, Francisco Rowe, and Alex Singleton 0001
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Projecting the demographic impact of Syrian migration in a rapidly ageing society, Germany.
- Author
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Niall Newsham and Francisco Rowe
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
37. A Scalable Analytical Framework for Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Neighborhood Change: A Sequence Analysis Approach.
- Author
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Nikos Patias, Francisco Rowe, and Stefano Cavazzi
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Assessing Machine Learning Algorithms for Near-Real Time Bus Ridership Prediction During Extreme Weather.
- Author
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Francisco Rowe, Michael Mahony, and Sui Tao
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. A Generalisable Data Fusion Framework to Infer Mode of Transport Using Mobile Phone Data.
- Author
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Eduardo Graells-Garrido, Daniela Opitz, and Francisco Rowe
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Rural revival? The rise in internal migration to rural areas during the COVID-19 pandemic. Who moved and Where?
- Author
-
Miguel González-Leonardo, Francisco Rowe, and Alberto Fresolone-Caparrós
- Subjects
Sociology and Political Science ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Development - Abstract
During the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, anecdotal evidence of a "rural revival" emerged mirroring the "urban exodus" hypothesis. Currently, we know that internal migration to rural areas increased in some countries during 2020, although not with the intensity speculated by the media. However, little is known about the attributes of rural areas attracting migrants, demographic composition of migration inflows, and if counterurbanisation movements persisted over 2021. Drawing on administrative population register data, we analysed the main types of rural areas pulling internal migrants in Spain and their demographic characteristics, namely age, sex and place of birth during 2020 and 2020, using the period 2016-2019 as a benchmark. Our results show that in-migration increased in rural areas close to cities and with high prevalence of second homes during 2020, while out-migration declined. Exceptionally high inflows persisted over 2021, but outflows converged to figures observed prior to the pandemic. Inflows to rural areas comprised internal migrants across a wide age spectrum, from young adults and families to retired individuals. These flows also comprised foreign-born, particularly populations of a wide age range from Latin American countries.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. From bad to worse: examining the deteriorating labour market outcomes of international graduates in Australia
- Author
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Angelina Tang, Francisco Perales, Francisco Rowe, and Janeen Baxter
- Subjects
Demography - Abstract
International graduates have been shown to experience comparatively poor outcomes in their transition to the host labour market after course completion. In Australia, international graduates typically fare worse than domestic graduates in the labour market, with new evidence pointing to a deterioration in their relative labour market position over the years. The contributing factors for the deterioration, however, remain unclear. In this article, we analysed unique large-scale survey data from the Australian Graduate Survey to identify the factors underlying the deteriorating labour market outcomes of international graduates from 2000. Our findings indicate that the deteriorating labour market outcomes of international graduates can be largely linked to the declining share of these graduates who are a citizen or permanent resident of Australia. The rising percentage of international graduates who are non-native English-speakers also played a role, albeit a modest one. These findings call attention to the persistent labour market disadvantage of international graduates and highlight the inadequacies of existing policies aimed at temporary retention and stronger English language skills in promoting labour market integration.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. Tracking the Transit Divide: A Multilevel Modelling Approach of Urban Inequalities and Train Ridership Disparities in Chicago
- Author
-
Danial Owen, Daniel Arribas-Bel, and Francisco Rowe
- Subjects
Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Building and Construction ,Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law ,urban inequalities ,multilevel modelling ,spatial patterns ,COVID-19 ,mobility ,health inequalities - Abstract
Using a multilevel modelling approach, this study investigates the impact of urban inequalities on changes to rail ridership across Chicago’s “L” stations during the pandemic, the mass vaccination rollout, and the full reopening of the city. Initially believed to have an equal impact, COVID-19 disproportionally impacted the ability of lower socioeconomic status (SES) neighbourhoods’ to adhere to non-pharmaceutical interventions: working-from-home and social distancing. We find that “L” stations in predominately Black or African American and Hispanic or Latino neighbourhoods with high industrial land-use recorded the smallest behavioural change. The maintenance of higher public transport use at these stations is likely to have exacerbated existing health inequalities, worsening disparities in users’ risk of exposure, infection rates, and mortality rates. This study also finds that the vaccination rollout and city reopening did not significantly increase the number of users at stations in higher vaccinated, higher private vehicle ownership neighbourhoods, even after a year into the pandemic. A better understanding of the spatial and socioeconomic determinants of changes in ridership behaviour is crucial for policymakers in adjusting service routes and frequencies that will sustain reliant neighbourhoods’ access to essential services, and to encourage trips at stations which are the most impacted to revert the trend of declining public transport use.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Sensing population displacement from Ukraine using Facebook data: Identifying potential settlement areas within host countries
- Author
-
Miguel González-Leonardo, Ruth Neville, Sofia Gil-Clavel, and Francisco Rowe
- Abstract
The escalation of conflict in Ukraine has triggered the largest refugee crisis in Europe since WWII. As of mid-April 2023, over 8.2 million people have fled Ukraine. Large-scale efforts have been made to identify the major receiving countries. However, less is known about the sub-national areas within host countries where refugees have migrated. Identifying these areas is key for the appropriate allocation of humanitarian aid. By combining digital Facebook API data and traditional data from Eurostat, this paper aims to identify and characterise potential settlement areas of Ukrainians across the main destination countries in Europe. We identify high concentrations of Ukrainians in urban areas with a pre-existing diaspora and tight labour market conditions across southern, northern-west and central Poland and the city of Prague in Czech Republic. We also find potential settlements in key urban agglomerations with a moderate diaspora and high levels of unemployment in Spain. Only in Romania, refugees seem to have settled in rural areas which show a moderate diaspora but low levels of unemployment. Potential settlement areas in Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom are spread across the country. Surprisingly, we do not identify potential settlement areas in bordering regions with Ukraine within neighbouring countries, suggesting that refugees may have used them only as transit points. Our findings point out that different packages of humanitarian assistance may be needed according to the number of refugees and the characteristics of settlement areas.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Declining fertility in Taiwan: the deterring impact of housework imbalance
- Author
-
Jac Thomas, Francisco Rowe, and Eric S. Lin
- Subjects
Demography - Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. The going gets rougher: Exploring the labour market outcomes of international graduates in Australia
- Author
-
Francisco Perales, Angelina Tang, Francisco Rowe, and Janeen Baxter
- Subjects
Work (electrical) ,Political science ,media_common.quotation_subject ,education ,Unemployment ,Vulnerability ,Psychological intervention ,Demographic economics ,Economic shortage ,health care economics and organizations ,Work experience ,media_common ,Demography - Abstract
The retention of international graduates has been deemed a viable approach to redressing skill shortages in many countries mainly owing to their local academic credentials. Notwithstanding, there is growing, albeit fragmented, evidence that international graduates who stayed on after course completion struggle to integrate into the host labour market. Building on this evidence, this study examines patterns, trends and changes in the labour market outcomes of international graduates who remained in Australia at four months after course completion between 1998 and 2015. Drawing on the Australian Graduate Survey, this study shows that the share of international graduates who stayed on with the intention to work more than doubled during this period. The more recent cohorts, however, tended to come from non-English-speaking backgrounds, stay on with temporary visas and lack local work experience, all of which have been linked to poorer outcomes in the Australian labour market. In fact, this study reveals a clear trend of increasing economic inactivity, unemployment, part-time employment and qualification mismatch amongst international graduates who remained in Australia over the years. The worsening labour market outcomes highlight the vulnerability of international graduates against a backdrop of socio-political and economic changes in Australia. These findings point to a need to review and strengthen existing policies and interventions to help international graduates integrate into the host labour market.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Cambios de residencia en tiempos de COVID-19: un poco de oxígeno para el despoblamiento rural
- Author
-
Antonio Lopez-Gay, Francisco Rowe, Miguel González-Leonardo, and Joaquín Recaño
- Abstract
Tras la irrupción de la pandemia de COVID-19, diversas voces, sobre todo desde ámbitos no académicos, especularon acerca de un potencial éxodo urbano hacia las áreas rurales. Sin embargo, esta hipótesis no ha podido ser corroborada hasta ahora debido a la falta de datos con el detalle territorial adecuado. En este Perspectives Demogràfiques se muestran los principales resultados de una investigación liderada por el Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics y la Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona, analizando las migraciones internas entre las ciudades, los espacios periurbanos y las áreas rurales durante el año 2020, comparando con los cuatro años que preceden a la pandemia. Para el análisis, se utilizan los microdatos de la Estadística de Variaciones Residenciales (EVR) del Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE), que contienen todos los cambios de residencia entre los 8.131 municipios españoles. Los resultados muestran alteraciones reseñables en 2020, que se plasmaron principalmente en un descenso de los movimientos hacia las ciudades y en un aumento en las salidas desde ellas, especialmente hacia municipios rurales. Estos flujos de personas tuvieron un notable impacto demográfico en las áreas rurales. No obstante, a pesar de los cambios observados, la mayor parte de las migraciones internas fueron mayoritariamente entre ciudades, al igual que antes de la pandemia, y todo apunta a que se trató de un hecho coyuntural.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Canvis de residència en temps de COVID-19: una mica d’oxigen per al despoblament rural
- Author
-
Antonio Lopez-Gay, Francisco Rowe, Miguel González-Leonardo, and Joaquín Recaño
- Abstract
Després de la irrupció de la pandèmia de COVID-19, diverses veus, sobretot des d’àmbits no acadèmics, van especular sobre un potencial èxode urbà cap a les àrees rurals. Malgrat això, aquesta hipòtesi no ha pogut ser corroborada fins ara a causa de la manca de dades amb el detall territorial adequat. En aquest Perspectives Demogràfiques es mostren els principals resultats d’una recerca del Centre d’Estudis Demogràfics i la Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, que analitza les migracions internes entre les ciutats, els espais periurbans i les àrees rurals durant l’any 2020, i les compara amb els quatre anys que precedeixen la pandèmia. Per a l’anàlisi, s’utilitzen les microdades de l’Estadística de Variacions Residencials (EVR) de l’Institut Nacional d’Estadística (INE), que contenen tots els canvis de residència entre els 8.131 municipis espanyols. Els resultats de 2020 mostren alteracions remarcables, que es van plasmar principalment en un descens dels moviments cap a les ciutats i en un augment en les sortides des d’elles, especialment cap a municipis rurals. Aquests fluxos de persones van tenir un notable impacte demogràfic en les àrees rurals. Tanmateix, i malgrat els canvis observats, la major part de les migracions internes van ser majoritàriament entre ciutats, tal i com passava abans de la pandèmia, i tot apunta que es va tractar d’un fet conjuntural.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Virtual special issue: Internal migration in times of COVID‐19
- Author
-
Francisco Rowe, Miguel González‐Leonardo, and Tony Champion
- Subjects
Geography, Planning and Development ,Demography - Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has potentially altered the system of population movement around the world. As COVID-19 hit cities the hardest in the wake of the pandemic, apocalyptic headlines anticipated the ‘death of cities’. Yet, little was known about the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on cities and the ways it has shaped the patterns of internal population movement in and out of cities. This virtual special issue aims to consolidate our knowledge of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on internal migration, discuss key lessons we have learnt so far, and identify areas for future enquiry. It brings together evidence from six different countries: Australia, Germany, Japan, Spain, Sweden and the United Kingdom, covering the pandemic in varying temporal lengths. Systematic patterns emerge. A first commonality is an overall reduction of internal migration rates during the early days of the pandemic but to a lesser degree than expected. Second, the impacts of COVID-19 leading to out-migration from cities seem to have been temporary, though evidence from Spain and Britain points to scarring effects with persistent losses in highly dense areas. Third, changes in internal migration generated small impacts on the population structure of cities but large-scale changes in small, rural and low-density areas.
- Published
- 2023
49. Big data
- Author
-
Francisco Rowe
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Understanding Population Decline Trajectories in Spain using Sequence Analysis
- Author
-
Miguel González‐Leonardo, Niall Newsham, and Francisco Rowe
- Subjects
Geography, Planning and Development ,Earth-Surface Processes - Abstract
Population decline is a key contemporary demography challenge. Previous work has measured the national extent of population decline, and we know that it is more acute in Japan and Eastern Europe and is set to accelerate across many industrialized countries. Yet, little is known about the population trajectories leading to current trends of depopulation and their underpinning demographic and contextual factors. To address this gap, we aim to identify and characterize the different trajectories of depopulation in Spain from 2000 to 2020 at the small area level using sequence analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, decomposition techniques, and multinomial logistic modeling. We show that while Spain recorded an overall 17.2% national population growth between 2000 and 2020, 63% of municipalities experienced depopulation. We identify six trajectories of population decline, with a well-defined northwest-south divide. These trajectories include mostly rural municipalities, but also certain small- and medium-sized cities. Natural decline comprises the main demographic component underpinning differences in the extent of depopulation across trajectories, and international migration plays an important role in explaining transitions to decline since the financial crisis of 2008. Small and old populations, and, to a lesser extent, remoteness from cities are key features characterizing areas of high decline.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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