1. R3-AFP score is a new composite tool to refine prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation
- Author
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Costentin, C, Piñero, F, Degroote, H, Notarpaolo, A, Boin, I, Boudjema, K, Baccaro, C, Podestá, L, Bachellier, P, Ettorre, G, Poniachik, J, Muscari, F, Dibenedetto, F, Hoyos Duque, S, Salame, E, Cillo, U, Marciano, S, Vanlemmens, C, Fagiuoli, S, Burra, P, Van Vlierberghe, H, Cherqui, D, Lai, Q, Silva, M, Rubinstein, F, Duvoux, C, Conti, F, Scatton, O, Bernard, P, Francoz, C, Durand, F, Dharancy, S, Woehl, M, Laurent, A, Radenne, S, Dumortier, J, Abergel, A, Barbier, L, Houssel-Debry, P, Pageaux, G, Chiche, L, Deledinghen, V, Hardwigsen, J, Gugenheim, J, Altieri, M, Hilleret, M, Decaens, T, Chagas, A, Costa, P, Cristina de Ataide, E, Quiñones, E, Duque, S, Anders, M, Varón, A, Zerega, A, Soza, A, Machaca, M, Arufe, D, Menéndez, J, Zapata, R, Vilatoba, M, Muñoz, L, Menéndez, R, Maraschio, M, Mccormack, L, Mattera, J, Gadano, A, Fatima Boin, I, Parente García, J, Carrilho, F, Magini, G, Miglioresi, L, Gambato, M, Benedetto, F, D’Ambrosio, C, Vitale, A, Colledan, M, Pinelli, D, Magistri, P, Vennarecci, G, Colasanti, M, Giannelli, V, Pellicelli, A, Vlierberghe, H, Eduard, C, Samuele, I, Jeroen, D, Jonas, S, Jacques, P, Chris, V, Dirk, Y, Peter, M, Valerio, L, Christophe, M, Olivier, D, Jean, D, Roberto, T, Paul, L, Costentin, Charlotte, Piñero, Federico, Degroote, Helena, Notarpaolo, Andrea, Boin, Ilka F., Boudjema, Karim, Baccaro, Cinzia, Podestá, Luis G., Bachellier, Philippe, Ettorre, Giuseppe Maria, Poniachik, Jaime, Muscari, Fabrice, Dibenedetto, Fabrizio, Hoyos Duque, Sergio, Salame, Ephrem, Cillo, Umberto, Marciano, Sebastian, Vanlemmens, Claire, Fagiuoli, Stefano, Burra, Patrizia, Van Vlierberghe, Hans, Cherqui, Daniel, Lai, Quirino, Silva, Marcelo, Rubinstein, Fernando, Duvoux, Christophe, Conti, Filomena, Scatton, Olivier, Bernard, Pierre Henri, Francoz, Claire, Durand, Francois, Dharancy, Sébastien, Woehl, Marie-lorraine., Laurent, Alexis, Radenne, Sylvie, Dumortier, Jérôme, Abergel, Armand, Barbier, Louise, Houssel-Debry, Pauline, Pageaux, Georges Philippe, Chiche, Laurence, Deledinghen, Victor, Hardwigsen, Jean, Gugenheim, J., altieri, M., Hilleret, Marie Noelle, Decaens, Thomas, Chagas, Aline, Costa, Paulo, Cristina de Ataide, Elaine, Quiñones, Emilio, Duque, Sergio Hoyos, Marciano, Sebastián, Anders, Margarita, Varón, Adriana, Zerega, Alina, Soza, Alejandro, Machaca, Martín Padilla, Arufe, Diego, Menéndez, Josemaría, Zapata, Rodrigo, Vilatoba, Mario, Muñoz, Linda, Menéndez, Ricardo Chong, Maraschio, Martín, McCormack, Lucas, Mattera, Juan, Gadano, Adrian, Fatima Boin, Ilka SF., Parente García, Jose Huygens, Carrilho, Flair, Magini, Giulia, Miglioresi, Lucia, Gambato, Martina, Benedetto, Fabrizio Di, D’Ambrosio, Cecilia, Vitale, Alessandro, Colledan, Michele, Pinelli, Domenico, Magistri, Paolo, Vennarecci, Giovanni, Colasanti, Marco, Giannelli, Valerio, Pellicelli, Adriano, Baccaro, Cizia, Vlierberghe, Hans Van, Eduard, Callebout, Samuele, Iesari, Jeroen, Dekervel, Jonas, Schreiber, Jacques, Pirenne, Chris, Verslype, Dirk, Ysebaert, Peter, Michielsen, Valerio, Lucidi, Christophe, Moreno, Olivier, Detry, Jean, Delwaide, Roberto, Troisi, Paul, Lerut Jan, Costentin, C, Piñero, F, Degroote, H, Notarpaolo, A, Boin, I, Boudjema, K, Baccaro, C, Podestá, L, Bachellier, P, Ettorre, G, Poniachik, J, Muscari, F, Dibenedetto, F, Hoyos Duque, S, Salame, E, Cillo, U, Marciano, S, Vanlemmens, C, Fagiuoli, S, Burra, P, Van Vlierberghe, H, Cherqui, D, Lai, Q, Silva, M, Rubinstein, F, Duvoux, C, Conti, F, Scatton, O, Bernard, P, Francoz, C, Durand, F, Dharancy, S, Woehl, M, Laurent, A, Radenne, S, Dumortier, J, Abergel, A, Barbier, L, Houssel-Debry, P, Pageaux, G, Chiche, L, Deledinghen, V, Hardwigsen, J, Gugenheim, J, Altieri, M, Hilleret, M, Decaens, T, Chagas, A, Costa, P, Cristina de Ataide, E, Quiñones, E, Duque, S, Anders, M, Varón, A, Zerega, A, Soza, A, Machaca, M, Arufe, D, Menéndez, J, Zapata, R, Vilatoba, M, Muñoz, L, Menéndez, R, Maraschio, M, Mccormack, L, Mattera, J, Gadano, A, Fatima Boin, I, Parente García, J, Carrilho, F, Magini, G, Miglioresi, L, Gambato, M, Benedetto, F, D’Ambrosio, C, Vitale, A, Colledan, M, Pinelli, D, Magistri, P, Vennarecci, G, Colasanti, M, Giannelli, V, Pellicelli, A, Vlierberghe, H, Eduard, C, Samuele, I, Jeroen, D, Jonas, S, Jacques, P, Chris, V, Dirk, Y, Peter, M, Valerio, L, Christophe, M, Olivier, D, Jean, D, Roberto, T, Paul, L, Costentin, Charlotte, Piñero, Federico, Degroote, Helena, Notarpaolo, Andrea, Boin, Ilka F., Boudjema, Karim, Baccaro, Cinzia, Podestá, Luis G., Bachellier, Philippe, Ettorre, Giuseppe Maria, Poniachik, Jaime, Muscari, Fabrice, Dibenedetto, Fabrizio, Hoyos Duque, Sergio, Salame, Ephrem, Cillo, Umberto, Marciano, Sebastian, Vanlemmens, Claire, Fagiuoli, Stefano, Burra, Patrizia, Van Vlierberghe, Hans, Cherqui, Daniel, Lai, Quirino, Silva, Marcelo, Rubinstein, Fernando, Duvoux, Christophe, Conti, Filomena, Scatton, Olivier, Bernard, Pierre Henri, Francoz, Claire, Durand, Francois, Dharancy, Sébastien, Woehl, Marie-lorraine., Laurent, Alexis, Radenne, Sylvie, Dumortier, Jérôme, Abergel, Armand, Barbier, Louise, Houssel-Debry, Pauline, Pageaux, Georges Philippe, Chiche, Laurence, Deledinghen, Victor, Hardwigsen, Jean, Gugenheim, J., altieri, M., Hilleret, Marie Noelle, Decaens, Thomas, Chagas, Aline, Costa, Paulo, Cristina de Ataide, Elaine, Quiñones, Emilio, Duque, Sergio Hoyos, Marciano, Sebastián, Anders, Margarita, Varón, Adriana, Zerega, Alina, Soza, Alejandro, Machaca, Martín Padilla, Arufe, Diego, Menéndez, Josemaría, Zapata, Rodrigo, Vilatoba, Mario, Muñoz, Linda, Menéndez, Ricardo Chong, Maraschio, Martín, McCormack, Lucas, Mattera, Juan, Gadano, Adrian, Fatima Boin, Ilka SF., Parente García, Jose Huygens, Carrilho, Flair, Magini, Giulia, Miglioresi, Lucia, Gambato, Martina, Benedetto, Fabrizio Di, D’Ambrosio, Cecilia, Vitale, Alessandro, Colledan, Michele, Pinelli, Domenico, Magistri, Paolo, Vennarecci, Giovanni, Colasanti, Marco, Giannelli, Valerio, Pellicelli, Adriano, Baccaro, Cizia, Vlierberghe, Hans Van, Eduard, Callebout, Samuele, Iesari, Jeroen, Dekervel, Jonas, Schreiber, Jacques, Pirenne, Chris, Verslype, Dirk, Ysebaert, Peter, Michielsen, Valerio, Lucidi, Christophe, Moreno, Olivier, Detry, Jean, Delwaide, Roberto, Troisi, and Paul, Lerut Jan
- Abstract
Background & Aims: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are selected for liver transplantation (LT) based on pre-LT imaging ± alpha-foetoprotein (AFP) level, but discrepancies between pre-LT tumour assessment and explant are frequent. Our aim was to design an explant-based recurrence risk reassessment score to refine prediction of recurrence after LT and provide a framework to guide post-LT management. Methods: Adult patients who underwent transplantation between 2000 and 2018 for HCC in 47 centres were included. A prediction model for recurrence was developed using competing-risk regression analysis in a European training cohort (TC; n = 1,359) and tested in a Latin American validation cohort (VC; n=1,085). Results: In the TC, 76.4% of patients with HCC met the Milan criteria, and 89.9% had an AFP score of ≤2 points. The recurrence risk reassessment (R3)-AFP model was designed based on variables independently associated with recurrence in the TC (with associated weights): ≥4 nodules (sub-distribution of hazard ratio [SHR] = 1.88, 1 point), size of largest nodule (3–6 cm: SHR = 1.83, 1 point; >6 cm: SHR = 5.82, 5 points), presence of microvascular invasion (MVI; SHR = 2.69, 2 points), nuclear grade >II (SHR = 1.20, 1 point), and last pre-LT AFP value (101–1,000 ng/ml: SHR = 1.57, 1 point; >1,000 ng/ml: SHR = 2.83, 2 points). Wolber's c-index was 0.76 (95% CI 0.72–0.80), significantly superior to an R3 model without AFP (0.75; 95% CI 0.72–0.79; p = 0.01). Four 5-year recurrence risk categories were identified: very low (score = 0; 5.5%), low (1–2 points; 15.1%), high (3–6 points; 39.1%), and very high (>6 points; 73.9%). The R3-AFP score performed well in the VC (Wolber's c-index of 0.78; 95% CI 0.73–0.83). Conclusions: The R3 score including the last pre-LT AFP value (R3-AFP score) provides a user-friendly, standardised framework to design post-LT surveillance strategies, protocols, or adjuvant therapy trials for HCC not limited to the Milan
- Published
- 2022