44 results on '"Failure statistics"'
Search Results
2. Prevention of Crisis Situations During the Operation of the Critical Infrastructure of Railway Transport.
- Author
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Samsonkin, Valerii, Yurchenko, Oksana, Bulgakova, Iuliia, Soloviova, Oleksandra, and Akbaeva, Assem
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RISK managers ,TRANSPORTATION ,OPERATIONS management ,INDUSTRIAL management - Published
- 2023
- Full Text
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3. Vulnerability of water distribution networks with real-life pipe failure statistics
- Author
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Richárd Wéber, Tamás Huzsvár, and Csaba Hős
- Subjects
failure statistics ,pipe bursts ,segment graph ,vulnerability ,water distribution networks ,Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes ,TD201-500 ,River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General) ,TC401-506 - Abstract
Reasons for occasional, random pipe bursts in water distribution networks (WDNs) may come from numerous factors (e.g. pH value of the soil, pipeline material). Still, the isolation of the damaged section is inevitable. While the corresponding area is segregated by closing the isolation valves, there is a shortfall in drinking water service. This paper analyses the vulnerability of segments of WDNs from the viewpoint of the consumers that is the product of the failure rate and the relative demand loss. Real pipe failure database, pipe material and pipe age data are used to increase the accuracy of the failure rate estimation for 27 real-life WDNs from Hungary. The vulnerability analysis revealed the highly exposed nature of the local vulnerabilities; the distribution of local vulnerability values follows a power-law distribution. This phenomenon is also found by investigating the artificial WDNs from the literature using N rule in terms of isolation valve layout, namely the ky networks, with similar results. HIGHLIGHTS Definition of vulnerability is further generalized with actual pipe burst statistics.; Vulnerability analysis is performed in artificial and real-life WDNs.; The local vulnerability of all WDNs follow power-law trend.;
- Published
- 2022
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- View/download PDF
4. Determination of the Origin of Failures in the Operation of the Automatic Locomotive Signaling
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O. O. Hololobova, S. Y. Buriak, V. I. Havryliuk, R. V. Markul, A. M. Afanasov, and D. S. Bilukhin
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automatic locomotive signaling ,failure statistics ,failure cause analysis ,work interference ,receiving and transmitting equipment ,quantitative and qualitative failure rates ,Transportation engineering ,TA1001-1280 - Abstract
Purpose. The safety of the transportation process in railway transport and its continuous operation to a large extent depend on the reliability of the means of railway automation and communication. In this case, special role in ensuring the efficient and safe operation of railways belongs to the systems of interval control of the train movement, as well as automatic locomotive signaling in conjunction with the systems of monitoring the driver's vigilance and automatic train stop. Therefore, the main purpose of the article is a detailed analysis of the operation reliability of these systems, in order to be able to correct service techniques and improve operational work, based on the information received. Methodology. To prevent halting and failures in the operation of automatic locomotive signaling devices, it was analyzed the failure statistics of all devices of railway automatics, which can lead to disturbances in its work. It was identified the most responsible devices, whose control will greatly affect the system performance and increase the reliability of the work as a whole. Findings. Analysis of statistical data showed that the main causes of malfunctions in the automatic locomotive signaling system are the failure of the decoder, locomotive filter and amplifier, and the main reason for the malfunction is equipment wear. Originality. The results of the work aimed at increasing the efficiency and reliability of the operation of the railway equipment are continuously implemented in the operational work, automating a large number of technological processes and improving the failure rate performance. However, ignoring this, the analysis of the operation of devices on the railways for the period 2013–2017 showed that a significant part of the reasons for the deterioration of the reliability of all systems of railway automation and separately considered locomotive alarm system accrue to the human factor, embodied in violations of the technology of work and non-compliance with the requirements of technological maps and manuals, as well as poor repair and inspection of devices in repair and technological areas. Practical value. The analysis showed that the issue of improving both the systems themselves and the devices of railway automatics, as well as the methods of their inspection, operation and maintenance, will increase the level of safety and reliability of transportations.
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- 2021
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5. Reliability of vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser arrays with redundancy
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Dubravko Babić
- Subjects
vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser arrays ,integration ,reliability ,redundancy ,failure statistics ,Control engineering systems. Automatic machinery (General) ,TJ212-225 ,Automation ,T59.5 - Abstract
This paper describes theoretical reliability analysis of a system containing n optical ports in which each optical port contains m redundant vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers. We study the wearout failure statistics, modelled with lognormal distribution, for three different chip-level integration approaches: (A) each laser on its own chip, resulting in m·n chips, (B) m redundant lasers associated with one channel are on a single chip, resulting in n chips, and (C) all m·n lasers integrated on a single chip. We present a model that includes the run-to-run reliability parameter fluctuation and find that the three integration schemes consistently exhibit MTTF(C) ≥ MTTF(A) ≥ MTTF(B) for lognormal distribution shape parameters observed in commercial vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers. We also provide analytic approximations for the failure statistics for all three integration approaches enabling straightforward calculation of the failure statistics for any redundancy and channel number.
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- 2021
- Full Text
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6. Improving the Branded Service of Vehicles with Intelligent Driver Assistance Systems
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Makarova, Irina, Shubenkova, Ksenia, Tsybunov, Eduard, Giniyatullin, Ilsur, Parsin, Gleb, Kacprzyk, Janusz, Series Editor, Gomide, Fernando, Advisory Editor, Kaynak, Okyay, Advisory Editor, Liu, Derong, Advisory Editor, Pedrycz, Witold, Advisory Editor, Polycarpou, Marios M., Advisory Editor, Rudas, Imre J., Advisory Editor, Wang, Jun, Advisory Editor, Kabashkin, Igor, editor, Yatskiv, Irina, editor, and Prentkovskis, Olegas, editor
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- 2020
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7. Reliability of vertical-cavity surface-emitting laser arrays with redundancy.
- Author
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Babić, Dubravko
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SURFACE emitting lasers ,REDUNDANCY in engineering ,LOGNORMAL distribution ,LASERS ,RELIABILITY in engineering ,MICROCAVITY lasers - Abstract
This paper describes theoretical reliability analysis of a system containing n optical ports in which each optical port contains m redundant vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers. We study the wearout failure statistics, modelled with lognormal distribution, for three different chip-level integration approaches: (A) each laser on its own chip, resulting in m·n chips, (B) m redundant lasers associated with one channel are on a single chip, resulting in n chips, and (C) all m·n lasers integrated on a single chip. We present a model that includes the run-to-run reliability parameter fluctuation and find that the three integration schemes consistently exhibit MTTF(C) ≥ MTTF(A) ≥ MTTF(B) for lognormal distribution shape parameters observed in commercial vertical-cavity surface-emitting lasers. We also provide analytic approximations for the failure statistics for all three integration approaches enabling straightforward calculation of the failure statistics for any redundancy and channel number. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. A Simplified Probabilistic Model for Nanocrack Propagation and Its Implications for Tail Distribution of Structural Strength.
- Author
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Le, J.-L. and Xu, Z.
- Abstract
This paper presents a simplified probabilistic model for thermally activated nanocrack propagation. In the continuum limit, the probabilistic motion of the nanocrack tip is mathematically described by the Fokker-Planck equation. In the model, the drift velocity is explicitly related to the energy release rate at the crack tip through the transition rate theory. The model is applied to analyze the propagation of an edge crack in a nanoscale element. The element is considered to reach failure when the nanocrack propagates to a critical length. The solution of the Fokker-Planck equation indicates that both the strength and lifetime distributions of the nanoscale element exhibit a power-law tail behavior but with different exponents. Meanwhile, the model also yields a mean stress-life curve of the nanoscale element. When the applied stress is sufficiently large, the mean stress-life curve resembles the nasquin law for fatigue failure. nased on a recently developed finite weakest-link model as well as level excursion analysis of the failure statistics of quasi-brittle structures, it is argued that the simulated power-law tail of strength distribution of the nanoscale element has important implications for the tail behavior of the strength distribution of macroscopic structures. It provides a physical justification for the two-parameter Weibull distribution for strength statistics of large-scale quasi-brittle structures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Анализ статистики отказов и сбоев в работе автоматической локомотивной сигнализа-ции
- Author
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Гололобова, O.O. and Буряк, C. Ю
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analysis of causes of failures ,автоматична локомотивна сигналізація ,quantitative and qualitative failure rates ,приймальна та передавальна апаратура ,interference in work ,приемная и передающая аппаратура ,завади у роботі ,автоматическая локомотивная сигнализация ,automatic locomotive signaling ,аналіз причин збоїв ,статистика відмов ,статистика отказов, анализ причин сбоев ,количественные и качественные показатели отказов ,помехи в работе ,кількісні та якісні показники відмов ,receiving and transmitting equipment ,failure statistics - Abstract
Objective. Safety on the railway transport and its uninterrupted operation depends considerably on the reliability of the work of the means of railway automation and communication. In this case, special role in ensuring the efficient and safe operation of railways belongs to the systems of interval control of the movement of trains, as well as automatic locomotive signaling in conjunction with the systems of monitoring the driver's vigilance and hitchhiking. Therefore, it is necessary to continuously investigate and perform a detailed analysis of the reliability of these systems' operations, in order to be able, based on the information received, to correct service techniques and improve operational work. Technique. To prevent halting and failures in the operation of automatic locomotive signaling devices, it was analyzed the statistics of failures of all devices of railway automatics, which can lead to disturbances in its work. It was identified the most responsible devices, whose control will greatly affect the system performance and increase the reliability of the work as a whole. Results. Analysis of statistical data showed that the main objects that led to violations of the automatic locomotive signaling system is the failure of decoders, amplifiers and locomotive filters, and the main reason causing the malfunction remains the wear of the equipment. Scientific novelty. The results of the work aimed at increasing the efficiency and reliability of the operation of the railway equipment are continuously implemented in the operational work, automating a large number of technological processes and increasing the probability of failure-free operation of the equipment. However, despite this, the analysis of the work of the railway equipment with the research for 2013-2017 has shown that the human factor, namely, the violation of the technology of production work, non-compliance with the requirements of technological cards and manuals, poor quality repair and verification of instruments in the repair and technological sites, remains significantly high the reliability of the operation of the railway equipment in general and in the systems of locomotive signaling in particular. Practical value. The analysis showed that the issue of improving both the systems themselves and the devices of railway automatics, as well as methods of their inspection, operation and maintenance, will increase the level of safety and reliability of transportations., Цель. Безопасность на железнодорожном транспорте и его бесперебойная работа значительно зависит от надежности работы средств железнодорожной автоматики и связи. При этом особая роль в обеспечении эффективной и безопасной работы железных дорог принадлежит системам интервального регулирования движения поездов, а также автоматической локомотивной сигнализации в сочетании с системами контроля бдительности машиниста и автостопом. Поэтому необходимо постоянно исследовать и делать детальный анализ надежности работы данных систем, чтобы иметь возможность на базе полученной информации корректировать методики обслуживания и совершенствовать эксплуатационную работу. Методика. Для предупреждения сбоев и отказов в работе устройств автоматической локомотивной сигнализации проанализирована статистика отказов всех устройств железнодорожной автоматики, которые могут привести к нарушениям в ее работе. Определены наиболее ответственные устройства, контроль которых значительно повлияет на работоспособность системы и повысит надежность работы в целом. Результаты. Анализ статистических данных показал, что основными объектами, которые привели к нарушениям действия системы автоматической локомотивной сигнализации, является неисправность дешифраторов, усилителей и локомотивных фильтров, а основной причиной, обуславливающей неисправности, остается изношенность аппаратуры. Научная новизна. Результаты разработок, которые направлены на повышение эффективности и надежности работы железнодорожных устройств, постоянно внедряются в эксплуатационную работу, автоматизируя большое количество технологических процессов и повышая вероятность безотказной работы аппаратуры. Однако, несмотря на это, анализ работы железнодорожных устройств за исследованные 2013-2017 годы показал, что человеческий фактор, а именно нарушение технологии производства работ, несоблюдение требований технологических карт и руководств по эксплуатации, некачественный ремонт и поверка приборов в РТД, остается существенно высоким в надежности работы железнодорожной аппаратуры в целом и в системах локомотивной сигнализации в частности. Практическая значимость. Проведенный анализ показал, что актуальным остается вопрос совершенствования как непосредственно самих систем и устройств железнодорожной автоматики, так и методов их проверки, эксплуатации и обслуживания, которые повысят уровень безопасности и надежности перевозок., Мета. Безпека на залізничному транспорті та його безперебійна робота значно залежить від надійності роботи засобів залізничної автоматики та зв’язку. При цьому особлива роль у забезпеченні безперервності перевізного процесу залізниць належить системам інтервального регулювання руху поїздів, а також автоматичній локомотивній сигналізації у поєднанні з системами контролю пильності машиніста та автостопом. Тому необхідно постійно досліджувати та робити детальний аналіз надійності роботи даних систем, щоб мати змогу на базі отриманої інформації корегувати методики обслуговування та вдосконалювати експлуатаційну роботу персоналу. Методика. Для попереджування збоїв та відмов у роботі пристроїв автоматичної локомотивної сигналізації проаналізовано статистику відмов всіх пристроїв залізничної автоматики, які можуть призвести до порушень у її роботі. Визначено найбільш відповідальні пристрої, контроль яких значно вплине на працездатність системи та підвищить надійність роботи в цілому. Результати. Аналіз статистичних даних показав що, основними об'єктами, що призводять до порушень дії системи автоматичної локомотивної сигналізації, є несправність дешифраторів, підсилювачів і локомотивних фільтрів, а основною причиною, що обумовлює несправності, залишається зношеність апаратури. Наукова новизна. Результати розробок, що направлені на підвищення ефективності та надійності роботи залізничних пристроїв, постійно впроваджуються в експлуатаційну роботу, автоматизуючи велику кількість технологічних процесів та підвищуючи ймовірність безвідмовної роботи апаратури. Проте, незважаючи на це, аналіз роботи залізничних пристроїв за дослідні 2013-2017 роки показав, що людський фактор, а саме порушення технології виконання робіт, недотримання вимог технологічних карт та керівництв з експлуатації, неякісний ремонт та перевірка приладів в ремонтно-технологічних ділянках, залишається суттєво високим в надійності роботи залізничної апаратури в цілому і в системах локомотивної сигналізації зокрема. Практична значимість. Проведений аналіз показав, що актуальним залишається питання вдосконалення як безпосередньо самих систем та пристроїв залізничної автоматики, так і методів їх перевірки, експлуатації та обслуговування, що підвищить рівень безпеки та надійності перевезень.
- Published
- 2023
10. Open reliability information database
- Author
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Humer, Heinrich, Rasch, Martina, and Smith Paul
- Subjects
Deliverable ,Failure Statistics ,GA 957788 ,Maintenance ,H2020 ,Project ,European Union (EU) ,HYPERRIDE ,GeneralLiterature_MISCELLANEOUS ,Reliability Data Base - Abstract
Analysing and predicting system performance and availability depends largely upon reliabilityand maintenance data. Attaining statistically credible data can require observations from several years of operations. Fortunately, this data collection process can be quickened if this datais shared within the community of organisations in the same working domain. The goal of this task is to develop an open reliability information system to provide a common platform for storing and sharing reliability information on components in the area of energymanagement. The work is accompanied by a prototyping activity that shall prove the conceptand create a foundation for gathering reliability information about selected key systems. Aspecial care is taken to ensure technical efficiency and meeting the legal and administrativeconstraints emerging from cooperation with industrial partners and regulatory bodies. The open reliability information systems focuses on industrial infrastructures in large scale facilities. The shared data will consist of system and subsystem reliability and maintenancestatistics, information on system structure and operation conditions as well as estimation ondata quality. The data will be used in quantitative reliability and availability assessments. Thestored data and intended use differ from traditional maintenance databases that are used forstoring individual equipment failure events. The development of an open reliability database started in the context of the Future Circular Collider - Cern (FCC) research project, where a platform for sharing reliability informationplayed a big role in the area of accelerator technology and this community did not have a platform yet. However, successful examples of this concept exist in oil, nuclear and wind powerindustries and this existing knowledge shall be used to benefit this project. This knowledgeincludes OREDA, EIReDA, SPARTA and WInD-Pool projects and ISO 6527, ISO 14224 andISO/TR 12489 standards.
- Published
- 2022
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- View/download PDF
11. Bayesian information fusion for probabilistic health index of power transformer.
- Author
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Li, Shuaibing, Ma, Hui, Saha, Tapan, and Wu, Guangning
- Abstract
This study proposes a Bayesian information fusion approach for determining the probabilistic health index of power transformer. The proposed approach integrates a variety of data obtained from transformer measurements, maintenance records, and failure statistics. By making use of these data, an inference model is constructed using Bayesian belief network (BBN). In the inference model, the significance of each individual measurement on the corresponding component in the BBN is decided by both principal component analysis and expert's experience, and subsequently quantified with a score‐probability transform. Finally, the inference model is used to derive a probabilistic health index. Case studies are provided to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach for evaluating transformer condition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Statistical study of electromigration in gold interconnects.
- Author
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Ceric, H., de Orio, R.L., and Selberherr, S.
- Subjects
- *
ELECTRODIFFUSION , *GOLD , *INTEGRATED circuits , *UNITS of time , *STANDARD deviations - Abstract
During operation of integrated circuits, electromigration gradually degrades the metallic interconnects, eventually leading to complete failure. In recent decades, electromigration has been studied mainly for the widely used aluminum and copper interconnects, however, gold interconnects used for GaAs devices also experience significant electromigration degradation. We present physics-based modeling and simulation of electromigration in gold interconnects. A comprehensive analysis of the statistical properties of electromigration failure and the influence of varying temperature and geometric properties is performed. The previously published experimental observations on the behavior of the mean failure time and the associated standard deviation are in agreement with the obtained simulation results. In particular, the simulation reproduces an 85% decrease of the standard deviation for a via surface of 31. 36 μ m 2 compared to the value for a via surface of 6. 76 μ m 2 . • Application of the advanced full-physics electromigration models. • Development of methodology to model the effects of the microstructure on EM. • Explanation of EM failure of gold interconnects and the role of microstructure. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Визначення причин порушень у роботі автоматичної локомотивної сигналізації
- Subjects
статистика відмов ,quantitative and qualitative failure rates ,приймальна та передавальна апаратура ,автоматична локомотивна сигналізація (АЛС) ,завади в роботі ,кількісні та якісні показники відмов ,automatic locomotive signaling ,receiving and transmitting equipment ,аналіз причин збоїв ,failure cause analysis ,failure statistics ,work interference - Abstract
Purpose. The safety of the transportation process in railway transport and its continuous operation to a large extent depend on the reliability of the means of railway automation and communication. In this case, special role in ensuring the efficient and safe operation of railways belongs to the systems of interval control of the train movement, as well as automatic locomotive signaling in conjunction with the systems of monitoring the driver's vigilance and automatic train stop. Therefore, the main purpose of the article is a detailed analysis of the operation reliability of these systems, in order to be able to correct service techniques and improve operational work, based on the information received. Methodology. To prevent halting and failures in the operation of automatic locomotive signaling devices, it was analyzed the failure statistics of all devices of railway automatics, which can lead to disturbances in its work. It was identified the most responsible devices, whose control will greatly affect the system performance and increase the reliability of the work as a whole. Findings. Analysis of statistical data showed that the main causes of malfunctions in the automatic locomotive signaling system are the failure of the decoder, locomotive filter and amplifier, and the main reason for the malfunction is equipment wear. Originality. The results of the work aimed at increasing the efficiency and reliability of the operation of the railway equipment are continuously implemented in the operational work, automating a large number of technological processes and improving the failure rate performance. However, ignoring this, the analysis of the operation of devices on the railways for the period 2013–2017 showed that a significant part of the reasons for the deterioration of the reliability of all systems of railway automation and separately considered locomotive alarm system accrue to the human factor, embodied in violations of the technology of work and non-compliance with the requirements of technological maps and manuals, as well as poor repair and inspection of devices in repair and technological areas. Practical value. The analysis showed that the issue of improving both the systems themselves and the devices of railway automatics, as well as the methods of their inspection, operation and maintenance, will increase the level of safety and reliability of transportations., Мета. Безпечність перевізного процесу на залізничному транспорті та його безупинна робота значною мірою залежать від надійності роботи засобів залізничної автоматики та зв’язку. Особлива роль у забезпеченні безперервності перевізного процесу залізниць належить системам інтервального регулювання руху поїздів, а також автоматичній локомотивній сигналізації у поєднанні із системами контролю пильності машиніста та автостопом. Тому основною метою нашої статті є детальний аналіз надійності роботи цих систем, щоб мати змогу на базі отриманої інформації корегувати методики обслуговування та вдосконалювати експлуатаційну роботу персоналу. Методика. Для попередження збоїв та відмов у роботі пристроїв автоматичної локомотивної сигналізації проаналізовано статистику відмов усіх пристроїв залізничної автоматики, які можуть призвести до порушень. Визначено найбільш відповідальні пристрої, контроль яких значно вплине на працездатність системи та підвищить надійність роботи в цілому. Результати. Аналіз статистичних даних показав, що основною причиною порушень у роботі системи автоматичної локомотивної сигналізації є вихід із ладу дешифратора, локомотивного фільтра та підсилювача, а основною причиною, що обумовлює несправності, залишається зношеність апаратури. Наукова новизна. Результати розробок, спрямованих на підвищення ефективності та надійності роботи залізничних пристроїв, постійно впроваджують в експлуатаційну практику, автоматизуючи велику кількість технологічних процесів та поліпшуючи показники напрацювання апаратури на відмову. Попри це аналіз роботи пристроїв на залізницях за період 2013–2021 років засвідчив, що на людський фактор, позначений порушеннями технології виконання робіт і недотриманням вимог технологічних карт і посібників з експлуатації, а також неякісним ремонтом і перевіркою приладів на ремонтно-технологічних дільницях, припадає значна частка причин погіршення показників надійності роботи всіх систем залізничної автоматики та розглянутої системи локомотивної сигналізації. Практична значимість. Проведений аналіз показав, що вдосконалення як безпосередньо самих систем і пристроїв залізничної автоматики, так і методів їх перевірки, експлуатації та обслуговування підвищить рівень безпеки та надійності перевезень.
- Published
- 2021
14. Monitoring of strain of in-service railway switch rails through field experimentation.
- Author
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Cornish, Andrew, Smith, Roderick A., and Dear, John
- Abstract
In the financial year 2009/10, the Great Britain (GB) rail infrastructure manager, Network Rail, spent £32 million on the failures within switches and crossings. Approximately 53% of those failures occurred within the switch panel. In addition, two major incidents in GB in recent years have highlighted a lack of understanding of the loads and vibrations experienced by, and the consequent rates of deterioration of, switch panels. This paper describes work which has been undertaken to help improve understanding of in-service loads experienced by switch panels and their consequent deterioration rate. Field experimentation has been designed and installed on four sites around GB, with the same design of switch. The change in response to loading, and the rate of deterioration, of the switch panels at each site was monitored over time. The effect of the vehicles and the deterioration were analysed individually before a comparison between the four sites. The analysis from the strain gauge measurements showed that there was an increase in the variance and maximum strains generated on the stock rail with the switch closed compared to when the switch is open. Finite element analysis was used to validate variation recorded by the strain gauges under similar loads. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Determination of the Origin of Failures in the Operation of the Automatic Locomotive Signaling
- Abstract
Purpose. The safety of the transportation process in railway transport and its continuous operation to a large extent depend on the reliability of the means of railway automation and communication. In this case, special role in ensuring the efficient and safe operation of railways belongs to the systems of interval control of the train movement, as well as automatic locomotive signaling in conjunction with the systems of monitoring the driver's vigilance and automatic train stop. Therefore, the main purpose of the article is a detailed analysis of the operation reliability of these systems, in order to be able to correct service techniques and improve operational work, based on the information received. Methodology. To prevent halting and failures in the operation of automatic locomotive signaling devices, it was analyzed the failure statistics of all devices of railway automatics, which can lead to disturbances in its work. It was identified the most responsible devices, whose control will greatly affect the system performance and increase the reliability of the work as a whole. Findings. Analysis of statistical data showed that the main causes of malfunctions in the automatic locomotive signaling system are the failure of the decoder, locomotive filter and amplifier, and the main reason for the malfunction is equipment wear. Originality. The results of the work aimed at increasing the efficiency and reliability of the operation of the railway equipment are continuously implemented in the operational work, automating a large number of technological processes and improving the failure rate performance. However, ignoring this, the analysis of the operation of devices on the railways for the period 2013–2017 showed that a significant part of the reasons for the deterioration of the reliability of all systems of railway automation and separately considered locomotive alarm system accrue to the human factor, embodied in violations of the technology of work and non-compl
- Published
- 2021
16. Damage dynamics, rate laws, and failure statistics via Hamilton's principle.
- Author
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Cusumano, Joseph, Roy, Arjun, and Li, Qiang
- Abstract
We present a new model for studying the coupled-field nonlinear dynamics of systems with evolving distributed damage, focusing on the case of high-cycle fatigue. A 1D continuum model is developed using Hamilton's principle together with Griffith energy arguments. It captures the interaction between a damage field variable, representing the density of microcracks, and macroscopic vibrational displacements. We use the perturbation method of averaging to show that the nonautonomous coupled-field model yields an autonomous Paris-Erdogan rate law as a limiting case. Finite element simulations reveal a brittle limit for which the life cycle dynamics is dominated by leading-order power-law behavior. Space-time failure statistics are explored using large ensembles of simulations starting from random initial conditions. We display typical probability distributions for failure locations and times, as well as ' $$F{-}N$$ ' curves relating load to the number of cycles to failure. A universal time scale is identified for which the failure time statistics are independent of the applied load and the damage rate constant. We show that the evolution of the macro-displacement frequency response function, as well as the statistical variability of failure times, can vary substantially with changes in system parameters, both of which have significant implications for the design of failure diagnostic and prognostic systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Energetic-statistical size effect in fracture of bimaterial hybrid structures.
- Author
-
Le, Jia-Liang and Xue, Bing
- Subjects
- *
FRACTURE mechanics , *HYBRID systems , *STRAINS & stresses (Mechanics) , *STATISTICS , *COMPUTER simulation , *MATERIALS science - Abstract
Highlights: [•] This paper investigates the effect of stress singularities on the scaling of fracture of hybrid structures. [•] The scaling mechanism transits from energetic to statistical as the stress singularities get weaker. [•] The energetic-statistical scaling relation agrees well with the numerical simulations by a stochastic cohesive crack model. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Monitoring Offshore Wind Energy Use in Europe–Offshore∼WMEP.
- Author
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Faulstich, Stefan, Pfaffel, Sebastian, Kühn, Paul, and Lyding, Philipp
- Subjects
OFFSHORE wind power plants ,ENERGY consumption ,WIND turbines ,RELIABILITY in engineering ,ELECTRIC power production ,TECHNOLOGICAL innovations - Abstract
Abstract: Offshore wind energy use is commonly suggested to play an important role in future electricity supply. However, long-term experience with thousands of onshore wind turbines explicitly hint on possible barriers for a safe, efficient, economic and user friendly supply relying on offshore wind energy. A national German programme shall on the one hand support the wind energy sector improving technology and O&M procedures towards higher reliability and availability, and on the other hand monitor the development in terms of techniques, electricity yields and cost. In the following, this scientific monitoring programme, the ‘Offshore∼WMEP’, is presented. The actual challenge of this programme is to convince numerous players with diverse points of interest to collaborate in gathering data and providing it for a jointly utilized database. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. An implementation of risk-based inspection for elevator maintenance.
- Author
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Park, Seung-Tae and Yang, Bo-Suk
- Abstract
Elevators are devices that demand a high safety requirement. The elevator faults affect not only the operations of other assets but may also result in serious injuries or even death. Consequently, an elevator frequently requires the effective and appropriate maintenance strategy to sustain its functional operations. In this study, risk-based inspection, which is a technique for systematic decision-making to identify likely failed components and its consequences, is proposed for elevator maintenance due to a trade-off between economics and safety. The proposed technique is evaluated by using Korean disaster and failure statistic data. The results indicate that the proposed method offers an effective technique for elevator maintenance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Cable Life and the Cost of Risk.
- Author
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Liu, Ran and Boggs, Steven
- Subjects
CABLES ,CABLE structures ,STATISTICS ,DATA analysis ,RISK ,RISK management in business ,PRODUCT quality ,CAPITAL costs ,INDUSTRIAL costs ,MAINTENANCE ,MANAGEMENT - Abstract
The article focuses on the life of cables and the associated risks of using a cable with less-established reliability. It suggested a statistically-based definition of cable life, which is believed to be reasonably mutually related with the engineering meaning of the term which says that the life over which the failure rate is negligible. It also recommended a procedure for measuring the cost of risk associated with using a cable with less-established reliability relative. The analysis of the risk of using a cable with less-established reliability suggests that the cost of risk is considerably significant relative to the capital cost of the cable.
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Evaluation of Advanced Adhesives for Aerospace Structures.
- Author
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Stoyanov, P., Rodriguez, N., Dickinson, T., Huy Nguyen, D., Park, E., Foyos, J., Hernandez, V., Ogren, J., Berg, M., and Es-Said, O. S.
- Subjects
ADHESIVES ,POLYMERS ,AIRPLANES ,STRAINS & stresses (Mechanics) ,STRESS concentration ,NANOFIBERS - Abstract
Polymer adhesives are finding increased use in panel joining applications in aircraft and aerospace structures where the applied stresses permit their use and where a uniform stress distribution is needed. One such adhesive, Hysol EA-9394™, was compared to three other formulations in this study. The new formulations were Hysol EA-9396, Hysol EA-9396 filled with nickel nanofibers and mixed by machine (Jamesbury Blender), and Hysol EA-9396 filled with nickel nanofibers and hand mixed in the laboratory. The comparison consisted of measuring shear lap strengths of aluminum test pieces bonded together with the candidate adhesives. The mechanical tests were supplemented by a Weibull analysis of the strength data and by a visual inspection of the failure mode (adhesive/cohesive). The lap shear strengths (fracture stress values) of all three Hysol EA-9396 adhesives were greater than that of the baseline Hysol EA-9394 polymer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. A physics-based deconstruction of the percolation model of oxide breakdown
- Author
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Suñé, J., Wu, E.Y., and Tous, S.
- Subjects
- *
ALKALINE earth oxides , *PERCOLATION theory , *LATTICE theory , *OXIDES - Abstract
Abstract: The percolation model has been very successful to explain the gate oxide breakdown statistics and to establish a quantitative relation between the breakdown and the generation of defects. However, this simple geometric picture reaches its limit when the oxide thickness is scaled down and becomes comparable to the “size” of the involved defects. Moreover, the geometric definition of the breakdown as a path of interconnected defects is conceptually far from the measurement criteria used for breakdown detection during ultra-thin oxide stress experiments. In this work, we present a new version of the percolation model which is based on coupling a trap-assisted tunneling model with a statistical description of the position of the defects in the oxide. The model provides a description of the breakdown statistics as a function of the current level used for breakdown detection (ΔI BD ) and is much closer to the actual physics of the breakdown. Comparison with breakdown data demonstrates that the new model not only reproduces all the important results of the standard percolation picture but provides successful explanation for other experimental observations such as the change of the breakdown distribution with ΔI BD . [Copyright &y& Elsevier]
- Published
- 2007
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. North American axle failure experience.
- Author
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Lonsdale, C. and Stone, D.
- Subjects
AXLES ,STATISTICS ,STRAINS & stresses (Mechanics) ,RAILROADS - Abstract
North American railroads are experiencing an increased number of axle failures. The greatest increase has been observed in unit train coal wagons that are operated with 32 400 kg axle loads. This level of loading has recently been permitted in service and represents a 10 per cent increase in the formerly permitted level. Failure statistics and the resulting increase in stress are discussed and several solutions are presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Analysis of the failures in power transformers
- Author
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Mehmet Zile and Mühendislik Fakültesi
- Subjects
Engineering ,Environmental Engineering ,Failure Statistics ,Computer science ,Mühendislik ,Transformer failures,Power transformers,Failure statistics ,Transformer Failures ,Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering ,Power Transformers ,Reliability engineering - Abstract
In this study, the failures in Transformer Centers in Mersin Province Erdemli District have been investigated. The causes of the failures have been discussed. It is aimed to create a method for the reasons of possible failures of power transformer. The data have been collected by investigating the faults occurring at the Erdemli Substations. The failure statistics of the 200 power transformer failures that occurred between 2003 and 2019 in the Erdemli district of Mersin province have been examined. Examples of different power transformer failures have been given in fault analysis. The reasons of power transformer failures and the precautions to be taken have been explained.
- Published
- 2020
25. The future of tailings disposal in Europe.
- Author
-
Cambridge, Mike
- Subjects
- *
METAL tailings , *HAZARDOUS wastes , *MINERAL industries , *WASTE management laws , *MINING law - Abstract
Mining in Europe has survived numerous economic cycles, experiencing a resurgence in the late twentieth century. During this period the mining industry began to come to terms with the increase in scope and the prescriptive nature of legislation, particularly that related to mine waste management, and made significant advances in environmental performance. However, public opinion, often ill-informed, has led to political pressure for the withdrawal of governmental assistance in a number of countries, revocation of exploration licences and to mining companies withdrawing from potentially world-class operations in Europe. This paper presents an overview of current European mine tailings management and reviews environmental performance in the context of international practice, the impending legislation, and public perception of mining generally. The question is posed to governments, regulators and mining companies whether, without cooperation, there is a future for an environmentally conscious and sustainable minerals industry within Europe. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Failure statistics for diode laser array modules and replacement model in large-scale laser systems.
- Author
-
Carlson, N.W.
- Abstract
This paper presents a methodology for synthesizing diode-laser array module failure statistics from the failure statistics of constituent diode laser arrays. In addition, a model is elucidated for analyzing replacement strategies of systems containing large numbers of diode laser array modules. Simulations reveal the dependence of synthesized module failure statistics and replacement characteristics on module size and failure statistics of the constituent diode laser arrays. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]
- Published
- 2000
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Analys av olika positioneringssystem för Trafikförvaltningens järnvägsbanor
- Author
-
Berglund, Johan and Berglund, Johan
- Abstract
Positioneringssystem har en vital roll när det gäller att kontrollera säkra tågrörelser. Det finnsmånga olika typer av positioneringssystem. Det här arbetet behandlar hur axelräknare, communications-based train control (CBTC) och olika typer av spårledningar fungerar. Det innehåller ocksåen analys av växelströmsspårledningar och axelräknare med RAMS-parametrar (Reliability, Availability,Maintenance and Safety) som utgångspunkt för att dra slutsats om vilken typ som passar bästför Trafikförvaltningens spårburna banor. Genom intervjuer med erfarna personer inom järnvägsbranscheni Stockholm erhölls kunskap om för- och nackdelar med olika system. En felträdsanalys(FTA) utfördes för axelräknare och spårledningar för att åskådliggöra potentiellt farliga situationer.Felstatistik för två järnvägsbanor togs fram för att visa felfrekvens för en bana med axelräknare ochen bana med spårledningar. Resultatet är inte entydigt men visar ändå att axelräknare undvikerfelkällor som finns hos spårledningar. Det som tydligast kommit fram var att förvaltningen behöverstandardisera till färre typer av system för de olika banorna. Det skulle underlätta vid förvärvandetav personal med rätt kompetens som ska utföra underhåll. Det skulle också göra det lättare att säkerställatillgången till ersättningsprodukter., Positioning systems have a vital role in securing safe movement of trains. There are many differenttypes of positioning systems. This thesis is about how axle counters, communications-based traincontrol (CBTC) and different kinds of track circuits operate. It also contains an analysis of AC-trackcircuits and axle counters with RAMS-parameters (Reliability, Availability, Maintenance and Safety)as guide points to make a conclusion of what type of system that best suits for Stockholm PublicTransports railway tracks. Through interviews with experienced persons within the railway industryin Stockholm knowledge of pros and cons of different systems was obtained. A fault tree analyses(FTA) was made for axle counters and track circuits to visualize potentially hazardous situations.Failure statistics were produced to show failure frequency for one track with axle counters and onetrack with track circuits. A clear result was not shown but it can be concluded that sources of failurethat are prone to track circuit systems can be avoided using axle counters. What became evident isthat the management need to standardize to a fewer amount of different positioning systems. Itwould make it easier to find available personnel with the required skills for doing maintenance. Thiswould also have a benefit when securing maintenance supplies.
- Published
- 2019
28. Monitoring of strain of in-service railway switch rails through field experimentation
- Author
-
John P. Dear, Roderick A. Smith, and Andrew Cornish
- Subjects
Technology ,Engineering, Civil ,Engineering ,Service (systems architecture) ,Switches and crossings ,Transportation ,02 engineering and technology ,Field tests ,TRAIN ,Deterioration rate ,strain ,0203 mechanical engineering ,DYNAMIC INTERACTION ,Forensic engineering ,failure statistics ,Strain gauge ,Science & Technology ,business.industry ,Mechanical Engineering ,Transportation Science & Technology ,field experimentation ,020302 automobile design & engineering ,Structural engineering ,Engineering, Mechanical ,020303 mechanical engineering & transports ,Work (electrical) ,SIMULATION ,TURNOUT ,business ,Rail infrastructure ,0913 Mechanical Engineering - Abstract
In the financial year 2009/10, the Great Britain (GB) rail infrastructure manager, Network Rail, spent £32 million on the failures within switches and crossings. Approximately 53% of those failures occurred within the switch panel. In addition, two major incidents in GB in recent years have highlighted a lack of understanding of the loads and vibrations experienced by, and the consequent rates of deterioration of, switch panels. This paper describes work which has been undertaken to help improve understanding of in-service loads experienced by switch panels and their consequent deterioration rate. Field experimentation has been designed and installed on four sites around GB, with the same design of switch. The change in response to loading, and the rate of deterioration, of the switch panels at each site was monitored over time. The effect of the vehicles and the deterioration were analysed individually before a comparison between the four sites. The analysis from the strain gauge measurements showed that there was an increase in the variance and maximum strains generated on the stock rail with the switch closed compared to when the switch is open. Finite element analysis was used to validate variation recorded by the strain gauges under similar loads.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Effects of microstructure on interconnect and via reliability: Multimodal failure statistics.
- Author
-
Thompson, C. and Kahn, H.
- Abstract
The reliability of interconnects and contacts depends on their microstructure. However, a large change in the average grain size does not necessarily positively affect reliability. When grain sizes and feature sizes are comparable, interconnect and via reliability depends much more strongly on the nature of the grain size distribution and the probability of occurrence of specific microstructural features, than on the average grain size. Also, when grain sizes and feature sizes are comparable, different microstructure-specific failure mechanisms can occur, and multimodal failure statistics are often observed. In this case, if failure data are incorrectly fit to a single failure-time distribution, the resulting reliability assessment may be pessimistic or optimistic, but is in any case, incorrect. In this regime, accurate reliability assessment requires a detailed knowledge of the microstructure of the interconnects, and a characterization of the failure of the weakest microstructural features present in the population to be assessed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1993
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. A simplified probabilistic model for nanocrack propagation and its implications for tail distribution of structural strength
- Author
-
Le, Jia-Liang and Zhifeng Xu
- Subjects
transition rate theory ,распределение Вейбулла ,квазихрупкие материалы ,теория вероятности переходов ,уравнение Фоккера-Планка ,quasibrittle materials ,Fokker-Planck equation ,Weibull distribution ,статистика разрушения ,failure statistics - Abstract
This paper presents a simplified probabilistic model for thermally activated propagation of a nanocrack. In the continuum limit, the probabilistic motion of the nanocrack tip is mathematically described by the Fokker-Planck equation. In the model, the drift velocity is explicitly related to the energy release rate at the crack tip through the transition rate theory. The model is applied to analyze the propagation of an edge crack in a nanoscale element. The element is considered to reach failure when the nanocrack propagates to a critical length. The solution of the Fokker-Planck equation indicates that both the strength and lifetime distributions of the nanoscale element exhibit a power-law tail behavior but with different exponents. Meanwhile, the model also yields a mean stress-life curve of the nanoscale element. When the applied stress is sufficiently large, the mean stress-life curve resembles the Basquin law for fatigue failure. Based on a recently developed finite weakest-link model as well as level excursion analysis of the failure statistics of quasibrittle structures, it is argued that the simulated power-law tail of strength distribution of the nanoscale element has important implications for the tail behavior of the strength distribution of macroscopic structures. It provides a physical justification for the two-parameter Weibull distribution for strength statistics of large-scale quasibrittle structures, В статье предложена упрощенная вероятностная модель термоактивированного распространения нанотрещины. В континуальном пределе вероятностное движение вершины нанотрещины математически описывается уравнением Фоккера-Планка. В рамках модели скорость роста явным образом связана со скоростью высвобождения энергии в вершине трещины с использованием теории вероятности переходов. Рассмотрено распространение краевой трещины в наноразмерном элементе. При достижении критической длины нанотрещины происходит разрушение элемента. Решение уравнения Фоккера-Планка показывает, что распределения прочности и времени жизни наноразмерного элемента имеют степенные хвосты с различными показателями степени. Модель также позволяет получить зависимость среднего времени жизни наноразмерного элемента от уровня напряжений. В случае достаточно больших значений напряжений кривая зависимости среднего времени жизни наноразмерного элемента от напряжения соответствует соотношению Баскина для усталостного разрушения. На основе недавно разработанной модели слабейшего звена, а также анализа отклонений по уровням, используемых в статистике разрушения квазихрупких структур, показано, что степенной хвост распределения прочности наноразмерного элемента имеет большое значение для описания хвоста распределения прочности макроскопических структур. С его помощью можно получить физическое обоснование двухпараметрического распределения Вейбулла для описания статистики прочности большеразмерных квазихрупких структур.
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Bayesian Network representation of meaningful patterns in electricity distribution grids
- Author
-
Sławomir Nowaczyk, Hassan Mashad Nemati, and Anita Pinheiro Sant'Anna
- Subjects
Engineering ,Association rule learning ,Smart Grids ,Machine learning ,computer.software_genre ,Fault (power engineering) ,01 natural sciences ,Maintenance engineering ,Annan data- och informationsvetenskap ,0103 physical sciences ,Data Mining ,Sannolikhetsteori och statistik ,0101 mathematics ,Probability Theory and Statistics ,Representation (mathematics) ,010302 applied physics ,Bioinformatics (Computational Biology) ,Electric power distribution ,Computer Sciences ,business.industry ,010102 general mathematics ,Bayesian network ,Association Rules ,Visualization ,Datavetenskap (datalogi) ,Failure Statistics ,Bioinformatik (beräkningsbiologi) ,Bayesian Networks ,Probability distribution ,Artificial intelligence ,Data mining ,business ,Condition Monitoring ,Other Computer and Information Science ,computer - Abstract
The diversity of components in electricity distribution grids makes it impossible, or at least very expensive, to deploy monitoring and fault diagnostics to every individual element. Therefore, power distribution companies are looking for cheap and reliable approaches that can help them to estimate the condition of their assets and to predict the when and where the faults may occur. In this paper we propose a simplified representation of failure patterns within historical faults database, which facilitates visualization of association rules using Bayesian Networks. Our approach is based on exploring the failure history and detecting correlations between different features available in those records. We show that a small subset of the most interesting rules is enough to obtain a good and sufficiently accurate approximation of the original dataset. A Bayesian Network created from those rules can serve as an easy to understand visualization of the most relevant failure patterns. In addition, by varying the threshold values of support and confidence that we consider interesting, we are able to control the tradeoff between accuracy of the model and its complexity in an intuitive way. © 2016 IEEE
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Monitoring Offshore Wind Energy Use in Europe–Offshore∼WMEP
- Author
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Sebastian Pfaffel, Philipp Lyding, Stefan Faulstich, and Paul Kühn
- Subjects
Reliability of wind turbines ,Engineering ,User Friendly ,Mains electricity ,Wind power ,Monitoring ,Common database ,business.industry ,Reliability (computer networking) ,Development ,Environmental economics ,Offshore wind power ,Energy(all) ,Sea breeze ,Forensic engineering ,Submarine pipeline ,Electricity ,business ,Failure statistics - Abstract
Offshore wind energy use is commonly suggested to play an important role in future electricity supply. However, long-term experience with thousands of onshore wind turbines explicitly hint on possible barriers for a safe, efficient, economic and user friendly supply relying on offshore wind energy. A national German programme shall on the one hand support the wind energy sector improving technology and O&M procedures towards higher reliability and availability, and on the other hand monitor the development in terms of techniques, electricity yields and cost. In the following, this scientific monitoring programme, the ‘Offshore∼WMEP’, is presented. The actual challenge of this programme is to convince numerous players with diverse points of interest to collaborate in gathering data and providing it for a jointly utilized database.
- Published
- 2012
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Strength distribution of planar local load-sharing bundles
- Author
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Sivasambu Mahesh and C. N. Irfan Habeeb
- Subjects
Physics ,Failure simulation ,Fiber strength ,Monte Carlo method ,Mathematical analysis ,Strength distribution ,Monte Carlo methods ,Poisson process ,General Medicine ,Unit square ,Bundle strengths ,Fibers ,Local load sharing ,Probability distributions ,Probabilistic modeling ,Bundle ,Statistics ,Intelligent systems ,Probability distribution ,Fiber ,Failure statistics ,Scaling ,Distribution (differential geometry) ,Weibull distribution - Abstract
Monte Carlo simulations and probabilistic modeling are employed to understand the strength distribution of a planar bundle of local load-sharing fibers. The fibers are distributed randomly within a unit square according to a Poisson process, and the fiber strengths are Weibull distributed with exponent ?. Monte Carlo failure simulations of bundles comprised of up to 105 fibers suggests that the bundle strength distribution obeys weakest-link scaling for all ?. Also, a probabilistic model of the weakest-link event is proposed. This model introduces a failure event at a size scale between that of the fiber and that of the bundle, whose failure statistics follows that of equal load-sharing bundles. The weakest-link event is modelled as the growth of a tight cluster of these equal load-sharing bundles. The size of the equal load-sharing bundles increases with decreasing ?. The simulated bundle strength distributions and those predicted by the model are compared, and excellent agreement is obtained. � 2015 American Physical Society.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. Bayesian Network Representation of Meaningful Patterns in Electricity Distribution Grids
- Author
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Mashad Nemati, Hassan, Sant´Anna, Anita, Nowaczyk, Sławomir, Mashad Nemati, Hassan, Sant´Anna, Anita, and Nowaczyk, Sławomir
- Abstract
The diversity of components in electricity distribution grids makes it impossible, or at least very expensive, to deploy monitoring and fault diagnostics to every individual element. Therefore, power distribution companies are looking for cheap and reliable approaches that can help them to estimate the condition of their assets and to predict the when and where the faults may occur. In this paper we propose a simplified representation of failure patterns within historical faults database, which facilitates visualization of association rules using Bayesian Networks. Our approach is based on exploring the failure history and detecting correlations between different features available in those records. We show that a small subset of the most interesting rules is enough to obtain a good and sufficiently accurate approximation of the original dataset. A Bayesian Network created from those rules can serve as an easy to understand visualization of the most relevant failure patterns. In addition, by varying the threshold values of support and confidence that we consider interesting, we are able to control the tradeoff between accuracy of the model and its complexity in an intuitive way. © 2016 IEEE
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Categorization and Review of Failure Rate Factors Used in Power Systems
- Author
-
Niklas Ekstedt and Patrik Hilber
- Subjects
Engineering ,failure rate factors ,business.industry ,Failure rate ,Context (language use) ,Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering ,failure analysis ,Reliability engineering ,Electric power system ,Categorization ,Statistics ,Safety engineering ,Table (database) ,power system reliability ,business ,Elektroteknik och elektronik ,Failure mode and effects analysis ,Reliability (statistics) ,failure rate ,failure statistics - Abstract
To evaluate the reliability of power systems, good estimates of the failure rates of the included components are needed. Better predictions can be performed if relevant factors that affect the failure rates are used, and an increasing number of models that include different types of factors have been presented recently. This paper proposes a categorization of failure rate factors into seven categories, based on the type of information for the factors. The categorization can be used to map future studies in the context of similar work. Furthermore, the paper presents a review of a number of publications that uses different factors to model the failure rate of different power system components. The failure rate factors used in the reviewed publications are categorized into the proposed seven categories and a comprehensive summary table is included. The used models and methods to estimate the failure rate in the reviewed publications are also noted in the summary table. This work was sponsored by SweGRIDS.QC 20141030 Reliability decision support based on existing data
- Published
- 2014
36. Monitoring offshore wind energy use in Europe - OffshoreWMEP
- Author
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Faulstich, S., Pfaffel, S., Kühn, P., Lyding, P., and Publica
- Subjects
monitoring ,reliability of wind turbines ,common database ,development ,Failure statistics - Abstract
Offshore wind energy use is commonly suggested to play an important role in future electricity supply. However, long-term experience with thousands of onshore wind turbines explicitly hint on possible barriers for a safe, efficient, economic and user friendly supply relying on offshore wind energy. A national German programme shall on the one hand support the wind energy sector improving technology and O&M procedures towards higher reliability and availability, and on the other hand monitor the development in terms of techniques, electricity yields and cost. In the following, this scientific monitoring programme, the 'OffshoreWMEP', is presented. The actual challenge of this programme is to convince numerous players with diverse points of interest to collaborate in gathering data and providing it for a jointly utilized database.
- Published
- 2012
37. Categorization and Review of Failure Rate Factors Used in Power Systems
- Author
-
Ekstedt, Niklas, Hilber, Patrik, Ekstedt, Niklas, and Hilber, Patrik
- Abstract
To evaluate the reliability of power systems, good estimates of the failure rates of the included components are needed. Better predictions can be performed if relevant factors that affect the failure rates are used, and an increasing number of models that include different types of factors have been presented recently. This paper proposes a categorization of failure rate factors into seven categories, based on the type of information for the factors. The categorization can be used to map future studies in the context of similar work. Furthermore, the paper presents a review of a number of publications that uses different factors to model the failure rate of different power system components. The failure rate factors used in the reviewed publications are categorized into the proposed seven categories and a comprehensive summary table is included. The used models and methods to estimate the failure rate in the reviewed publications are also noted in the summary table., This work was sponsored by SweGRIDS.QC 20141030, Reliability decision support based on existing data
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Analysing failure statistics of wind turbines in Finland
- Author
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Stenberg, Anders and Holttinen, Hannele
- Subjects
statistics ,wind energy ,downtime ,wind power ,failure statistics - Abstract
The wind turbine statistics in Finland comprise data on monthly production and downtime from grid connected turbines. Production statistics have been compiled since 1992 and failure statistics since 1996. This analysis examines the failure statistics from 72 wind turbines between the years 1996-2008 and presents the disturbance time of different components as a function of the life time of turbines. The result is an estimate for the downtime of each component and can be used when developing systematic methodologies for preventive maintenance. Wind technology has developed rapidly during this period of time which has also had an effect on the type of failures occurring in wind turbines and the reasons for downtime.
- Published
- 2010
39. Analysing failure statistics of wind turbines in Finland
- Subjects
statistics ,wind energy ,downtime ,wind power ,failure statistics - Abstract
The wind turbine statistics in Finland comprise data on monthly production and downtime from grid connected turbines. Production statistics have been compiled since 1992 and failure statistics since 1996. This analysis examines the failure statistics from 72 wind turbines between the years 1996-2008 and presents the disturbance time of different components as a function of the life time of turbines. The result is an estimate for the downtime of each component and can be used when developing systematic methodologies for preventive maintenance. Wind technology has developed rapidly during this period of time which has also had an effect on the type of failures occurring in wind turbines and the reasons for downtime.
- Published
- 2010
40. Influence of age on the reliability of high voltage equipment
- Author
-
Bergmann, B., Carvalho, A., Cormenzana, M.L., Dessanti, S., Furuta, H., Giboulet, A., Grieshaber, W., Hyrczak, A., Kopejtkova, D., Krone, J.G., Kudoke, M., Makareinis, D., Mansuy, B., Martins, J.F., Meštrović, Krešimir, Östlund, J., Park, K.J., Patel, J., Protze, C., Runde, M., Skog, J.E., Sölver, C.E., Sweeney, B., Tsukao, S., and Waite, F.
- Subjects
high voltage apparatus ,failure statistics ,aging ,service experience - Abstract
CIGRÉ WG A3.06 is undertaking a survey of reliability and failures of high voltage equipment in service. The time period covered by the survey is 2004 - 2007, and the equipment types under consideration are circuit breakers, disconnectors/earthing switches, instrument transformers and gas insulated substations. The information collected so far has been examined with the purpose of assessing the effect of age, or more precisely: the year of manufacture, on the failure characteristics. It appears that single pressure SF6 circuit breakers manufactured after 1994 shows only a slightly lower major failure rate than older ones. Thus, puffer breakers of the first generation appear not to have reached the end of their service life yet. The major failure rates for disconnector and earthing switches are strongly correlated with age. Equipment more that 30 years old have failure rates that are around five to ten times higher than recently installed equipment. Instrument transformers failure rates generally show little correlation with year of installation. However, one exception exists ; old capacitive voltage transformers have a higher failure rate. Gas insulated substations manufactured after 1994 have substantially lower major failure rates than those manufactured earlier. Quantitative results and more detailed assessments will be available after the survey has been completed and all the collected information has been analysed.
- Published
- 2008
41. Field experimentation and analysis at switches and crossings in uk
- Author
-
Cornish, A., Kassa, Elias, Smith, R., Cornish, A., Kassa, Elias, and Smith, R.
- Abstract
Switch and crossing (S&C) dynamic loads are investigated through the use of field experimentation in the UK and analysis of the collected data. A design of experiments was set up from a previous investigation into the failure statistics, using delay data and failure understanding from the infrastructure owner. Strains, velocity and acceleration are measured on a selection of S&C, focusing on mid-speed switches due to their industrial relevance, high delay and rectification costs. The analysis of the data includes peak-to-peak values, and frequency content of the dynamic loading., QC 20150506
- Published
- 2012
42. Investigation of failure statistics for switches and crossings in the UK
- Author
-
Gebretsadik, Elias Kassa, Cornish, Andrew, Smith, Roderick, Gebretsadik, Elias Kassa, Cornish, Andrew, and Smith, Roderick
- Abstract
Switches and crossings (S&Cs) failure statistics for the UK rail industry are investigated for the various types of S&C in the network with varying geometry, switch length and allowable speed limit. The analysis is based on recorded delay and failure rectification costs for a single (financial) year. The overall cumulative delay cost and the cost per unit have been included in the investigation. Wear has been shown to be the common damage type in all lengths of S&C in terms of delays and rectifications costs, since one of the rectification procedures for such failure type is replacement of the asset. Mid speed switches, such as C length and D length switches, have high industrial relevance due to the high costs in terms of failure delays. The normalised delay per total population showed a highest delay cost for the high speed G+ length switch., QC 20120214
- Published
- 2011
43. Differential Entropy and the Statistics of Instantaneous Failure.
- Author
-
NAVAL RESEARCH LAB WASHINGTON DC, Rajagopal,A K, Ngai,K L, Teitler,S, NAVAL RESEARCH LAB WASHINGTON DC, Rajagopal,A K, Ngai,K L, and Teitler,S
- Abstract
The dimensionless differential entropy for failure statistics is shown to be equal to unity plus the negative of the expectation of the logarithm of the hazard function. The effect of transformation of the ordering parameter on the latter due to changes in physical conditions is discussed. (Author)
- Published
- 1985
44. An Entropy Maximum Principle and Instantaneous Failure Statistics.
- Author
-
NAVAL RESEARCH LAB WASHINGTON DC, Teitler,S, Rajagopal,A K, Ngai,K L, NAVAL RESEARCH LAB WASHINGTON DC, Teitler,S, Rajagopal,A K, and Ngai,K L
- Abstract
A Shannon entropy for instantaneous failure statistics is defined in terms of an integral over the full epoch of possible failure times. An entropy maximum principle subject only to the normalization of the probability density integral and the existence of a mean time to failure yields an exponential distribution as the fundamental probability distribution for instantaneous failure statistics. It is observed that the time scale of measurements does not necessarily coincide with the time scale on which the probability distribution takes its fundamental form. Time scale transformations are considered. The maximum entropy density is taken to be form-invariant independent of the time scale used in its description, and the resulting epoch entropy is itself taken to be an invariant. This latter invariance leads to a relation between the time unit of a transformed time scale and the time unit of the fundamental scale. The invariance relation is employed in consideration of the effect of parameter scaling in particular devices, and in the discussion of the behavior of parameters that arise in accelerated testing. (Author)
- Published
- 1984
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