1. Baseline Characteristics and Maintenance Therapy Choice on Symptom Control, Reliever Use, Exacerbation Risk in Moderate–Severe Asthma: A Clinical Modelling and Simulation Study.
- Author
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Paggiaro, Pierluigi, Garcia, Gabriel, Roche, Nicolas, Verma, Manish, Plank, Maximilian, Oosterholt, Sean, Duong, Janna K., Majumdar, Anurita, and Della Pasqua, Oscar
- Abstract
Introduction: Although some factors associated with asthma symptom deterioration and risk of exacerbation have been identified, these are not yet fully characterised. We conducted a clinical modelling and simulation study to understand baseline factors affecting symptom control, reliever use and exacerbation risk in patients with moderate–severe asthma during follow-up on regularly dosed inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) monotherapy, or ICS/long-acting beta
2 -agonist (LABA) combination therapy. Methods: Individual patient data from randomised clinical trials (undertaken between 2001 and 2019) were used to model the time course of symptoms (n = 7593), patterns of reliever medication use (n = 3768) and time-to-first exacerbation (n = 6763), considering patient-specific and extrinsic factors, including treatment. Model validation used standard graphical and statistical criteria. Change in symptom control scores (Asthma Control Questionnaire 5 [ACQ-5]), reduction in reliever use and annualised exacerbation rate were then simulated in patient cohorts with different baseline characteristics and treatment settings. Results: Being a smoker, having higher baseline ACQ-5 and body mass index affected symptom control scores, reliever use and exacerbation risk (p < 0.01). In addition, low forced expiratory volume in 1 s percent predicted, female sex, season and previous exacerbations were found to contribute to a further increase in exacerbation risk (p < 0.01), whereas long asthma history was associated with more frequent reliever use (p < 0.01). These effects were independent from the underlying maintenance therapy. In different scenarios, fluticasone furoate (FF)/vilanterol was associated with greater reductions in reliever use and exacerbation rates compared with FF or fluticasone propionate (FP) alone or budesonide/formoterol, independently from other factors (p < 0.01). Conclusions: This study provided further insight into the effects of individual baseline characteristics on treatment response and highlighted significant differences in the performance of ICS/LABA combination therapy on symptom control, reliever use and exacerbation risk. These factors should be incorporated into clinical practice as the basis for tailored management of patients with moderate–severe asthma. Plain Language Summary: In this study we quantified how individual baseline patient characteristics at the start of treatment influence the response to regular maintenance medication. Specifically, using computer modelling and simulations based on data from individual patients enrolled into clinical trials in moderate–severe asthma, we predicted how much reliever inhaler they need, how well they rate their asthma control, and how likely an asthma attack (exacerbation) is to occur within the next 12 months. Simulation scenarios were then implemented to evaluate opportunities to improve and personalise real-life management of patients in clinical practice. Considering symptom control level, reliever use and other patient-specific factors at the start of treatment, we assessed how well maintenance therapy with inhaled corticosteroids/bronchodilators contributes to symptom improvement and/or reduction in the risk of asthma attacks. These scenarios show that current smokers, people with higher asthma symptom scores, who are obese, and have a longer history of asthma tend to use their reliever inhalers more often. Moreover, this was linked to a higher risk of having an asthma attack and worse symptom control. This pattern appears to compensate in most cases for the effect of the same baseline factors on symptom control. Switching patients who are not responding well to initial treatment with the inhaled corticosteroid, fluticasone propionate, to fluticasone furoate/vilanterol resulted in a significantly greater reduction in reliever inhaler use and risk of asthma attack, compared with those switched to budesonide/formoterol. These findings highlight the importance of tailored choices for optimal management of patients with moderate–severe asthma. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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