Search

Aims: Age over 75 years and logistic Euroscore over 20% have been jointly proposed by European scientific associations as the criteria for aortic valve stenosis patients to be considered 'high-risk' for surgical aortic valve replacement (AVR) and candidates for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). We aimed to verify traditional AVR outcomes in the presence of the above criteria., Methods: Between January 2001 and January 2011, 180 patients with severe aortic valve stenosis (mean aortic valve area = 0.4±0.1 cm/m), with age range 75-88 years (mean 78.2±3), logistic Euroscore between 4.5 and 40% (mean 12.6±7.4%), underwent surgical AVR. The patient population was divided into group A (118 patients between 75 and 79 years of age), further divided into subgroups A1 (76 patients) and A2 (42 patients) with logistic Euroscore, respectively, less than 20% and at least 20%; and group B (62 patients between 80 and 88 years of age), subdivided into B1 (34 patients) and B2 (28 patients) with logistic Euroscore, respectively, less than 20% and at least 20%. Hospital outcomes were retrospectively evaluated. Univariate and multivariate analyses, including age and logistic Euroscore, were performed to individuate predictors of hospital mortality., Results: Overall observed/expected mortality ratio was 0.4. Hospital mortality was 5.3% in group A1, 4.8% in A2, 5.9% in B1, 3.6% in B2 (P=NS). Mortality with age over 75 and Euroscore at least 20% was 4.3%. As regards postoperative morbidity, atrio-ventricular bock indicating pacemaker implantation occurred in four patients, pneumonia in three, stroke in two, perioperative myocardial infarction in one. Age and Euroscore were not independent predictors of mortality, morbidity or composite endpoint in multivariable analysis., Conclusion: Age and logistic Euroscore might be inadequate criteria for the identification of patients with severe aortic stenosis unsuitable for AVR and addressable to TAVI.

The need for a specific risk score system for infective endocarditis (IE) surgery has been previously claimed. In a single-center pilot study, preliminary to future multicentric development and validation, bivariate and multivariate (logistic regression) analysis of early postoperative mortality predictors in 440 native valve IE patients were performed. Mathematical procedures assigned scores to the independent predictors emerged (AUC of the ROC curve: 0.88). Overall mortality was 9.1%. Six predictors were identified and assigned scores, including age (5-13 points), renal failure (5), NYHA class IV (9), critical preoperative state (11), lack of preoperative attainment of blood culture negativity (5), perivalvular involvement (5). Four risk classes were drawn ranging from "very low risk" (≤5 points, mean predicted mortality 1%), and to "very high risk" (≥20 points, 43% mortality). IE-specific risk stratification models are both needed, as disease-specific factors (e.g., cultures, abscess), beside the generic ones (e.g., age, renal impairment) affect mortality, and feasible.