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Background: We assessed the prognostic significance of absolute and percentage change in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels in patients hospitalised for acute decompensated heart failure with preservedejection fraction (HFpEF) versus heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF)., Methods: Patients with left ventricular ejection fraction ≥50% were categorised as HFpEF (n=283), while those with <40% as were categorised as HFrEF (n=776). Prognostic values of absolute and percentage change in NT-proBNP levels for 6 months all-cause mortality after discharge were assessed separately in patients with HFpEF and HFrEF by multivariable adjusted Cox regression analysis. Comorbidities were compared between heart failure groups., Results: Discharge NT-proBNP levels predicted outcome similarly in HFpEF and HFrEF: for any 2.7-factor increase in NT-proBNP levels, the HR for mortality was 2.14 for HFpEF (95% CI 1.48 to 3.09) and 1.96 for HFrEF (95% CI 1.60 to 2.40). Mortality prediction was equally possible for NT-proBNP reduction of ≤30% (HR 4.60, 95% CI 1.47 to 14.40 and HR 3.36, 95% CI 1.93 to 5.85 for HFpEF and HFrEF, respectively) and for >30%-60% (HR 3.28, 95% CI 1.07 to 10.12 and HR 1.79, 95% CI 0.99 to 3.26, respectively), compared with mortality in the reference groups of >60% reductions in NT-proBNP levels. Prognostically relevant comorbidities were more often present in patients with HFpEF than patients with HFrEF in low (≤3000 pg/mL) but not in high (>3000 pg/mL) NT-proBNP discharge categories., Conclusions: Our study highlights-after demonstrating that NT-proBNP levels confer the same relative risk information in HFpEF as in HFrEF-the possibility that comorbidities contribute relatively more to prognosis in patients with HFpEF with lower NT-proBNP levels than in patients with HFrEF., Competing Interests: Competing interests: YMP is a recipient of payments for lectures including service on speakers’ bureaus and research grants from Roche Diagnostics. YMP has an unrelated biomarker patent and stocks in a university spinoff company. WEK received a grant (2010B97) from the Dutch Heart Foundation for the PRIMA II study and has participated in advisory board meetings of Roche Diagnostics and Novartis. MM is a member of the board in Corthera and Novartis and receives payment for lectures including service on speakers’ bureaus from Servier or Stroder., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)

Objectives: The aim of this study was to analyze the prognostic value and attainability of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels in young and elderly acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients., Background: Less-effective NT-proBNP-guided therapy in chronic heart failure (HF) has been reported in elderly patients. Whether this can be attributed to differences in prognostic value of NT-proBNP or to differences in attaining a prognostic value is unclear. The authors studied this question in ADHF patients., Methods: Our study population comprised 7 ADHF cohorts. We defined absolute (<1,500 ng/l, <3,000 ng/l, <5,000 ng/l, and <15,000 ng/l) and relative NT-proBNP discharge cut-off levels (>30%, >50%, and >70%). Six-month all-cause mortality after discharge was studied for each level in Cox regression analyses, and compared between elderly (age >75 years) and young patients (age ≤75 years). Thereafter, we compared percentages of elderly and young patients attaining NT-proBNP levels (= attainability)., Results: A total of 1,235 patients (59% male, 45% >75 years of age) was studied. Admission levels of NT-proBNP were significantly higher in elderly versus younger patients. The prognostic value of absolute and relative NT-proBNP levels was similar in elderly and young patients. Attainability was significantly lower in elderly patients for all absolute levels and a >50% relative reduction, but not for >30% and >70%. For absolute levels, attainability differences between age groups were decreased to a large extent after correction for admission NT-proBNP and anemia at discharge. For relative levels, attainability differences disappeared after correction for HF etiology and anemia at discharge., Conclusions: In young and elderly ADHF patients, it is not the prognostic value of absolute and relative NT-proBNP levels that is different, but the attainability of these levels that is lower in the elderly. This can largely be attributed to factors other than age., (Copyright © 2016 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: The aim of this study was to analyze the dynamic changes in renal function in combination with dynamic changes in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in patients hospitalized for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF)., Background: Treatment of ADHF improves cardiac parameters, as reflected by lower levels of NT-proBNP. However this often comes at the cost of worsening renal parameters (e.g., serum creatinine, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], or serum urea). Both the cardiac and renal markers are validated indicators of prognosis, but it is not yet clear whether the benefits of lowering NT-proBNP are outweighed by the concomitant worsening of renal parameters., Methods: This study was an individual patient data analysis assembled from 6 prospective cohorts consisting of 1,232 patients hospitalized for ADHF. Endpoints were all-cause mortality and the composite of all-cause mortality and/or readmission for a cardiovascular reason within 180 days after discharge., Results: A significant reduction in NT-proBNP was not associated with worsening of renal function (WRF) or severe WRF (sWRF). A reduction of NT-proBNP of more than 30% during hospitalization determined prognosis (all-cause mortality hazard ratio [HR]: 1.81; 95% confidence Interval [CI]: 1.32 to 2.50; composite endpoint: HR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.64), regardless of changes in renal function and other clinical variables., Conclusions: When we defined prognosis, NT-proBNP changes during hospitalization for treatment of ADHF prevailed over parameters for worsening renal function. Severe WRF is a measure of prognosis, but is of lesser value than, and independent of the prognostic changes induced by adequate NT-proBNP reduction. This suggests that in ADHF patients it may be warranted to strive for an optimal decrease in NT-proBNP, even if this induces WRF., (Copyright © 2015 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Aims: NT-proBNP is a strong predictor for readmissions and mortality in acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients. We assessed whether absolute or relative NT-proBNP levels should be used as pre discharge treatment target., Methods and Results: Our study population was assembled from seven ADHF cohorts. We defined absolute (<1500, <3000, <5000, and <15 000 ng/L) and relative NT-proBNP targets (>30, >50, and >70%). Population attributable risk fraction (PARF) is the proportion of all-cause 6-month mortality in the population that would be reduced if all patients attain the NT-proBNP target. PARF was determined for each target as well as the percentage of patients attaining the NT-proBNP target. Attainability was investigated by logistic regression analysis. A total of 1266 patients [age 74 (64-80), 60% male] was studied. For every absolute NT-proBNP level, a corresponding percentage reduction was found that resulted in similar PARFs. The highest PARF (∼60-70%) was observed for <1500 or >70%, but attainability was low (27% and 22%, respectively). The strongest predictor for not attaining these targets was admission NT-proBNP. In admission NT-proBNP tertiles, PARFs were significantly different for absolute, but not for relative targets., Conclusion: In an ADHF population, pre-discharge absolute or relative NT-proBNP targets may both be useful as they have similar effects on PARF. However, depending on admission NT-proBNP, absolute targets show varying PARFs, while PARFs for relative targets were similar. A relative target is predicted to reduce mortality consistently across the whole spectrum of ADHF patients, while this is not the case using a single absolute target., (© 2015 The Authors European Journal of Heart Failure © 2015 European Society of Cardiology.)

Background: Limited data exist for the role of serum potassium changes during hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF). The present study investigated the long-term prognostic value of potassium changes during hospitalization in patients admitted for ADHF., Methods: Our study is a pooled individual patient data analysis assembled from 3 prospective cohorts comprising 754 patients hospitalized for ADHF. The endpoint was all-cause mortality within 180 days after discharge. Serum potassium levels and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels were measured at admission and at discharge., Results: A percentage decrease >15% in serum potassium levels occurred in 96 (13%) patients, and an absolute decrease of >0.7 mmol/L in serum potassium levels occurred in 85 (12%) patients; and both were predictors of poor outcome independent of admission or discharge serum potassium. After the addition of other strong predictors of mortality-a 30% change in NT-proBNP during hospitalization, discharge levels of NT-proBNP, renal markers, and other relevant clinical variables-the multivariate hazard ratio of serum potassium percentage reduction of >15% remained an independent predictor of 180-day mortality (hazard ratio 2.06, 95% CI 1.14-3.73)., Conclusions: A percentage serum potassium decline of >15% is an independent predictor of 180-day all-cause mortality on top of baseline potassium levels, NT-proBNP levels, renal variables, and other relevant clinical variables. This suggest that patients hospitalized for ADHF with a decline of >15% in serum potassium levels are at risk and thus monitoring and regulating of serum potassium level during hospitalization are needed in these patients., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objective: The aim of this work was to assess the prognostic value of absolute N-terminal-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) concentration in combination with changes during admission because of acute heart failure (AHF) and early after hospital discharge., Background: In AHF, readmission and mortality rates are high. Identifying those at highest risk for events early after hospital discharge might help to select patients in need of intensive outpatient monitoring., Methods and Results: We evaluated the prognostic value of NT-proBNP concentration on admission, at discharge, 1 month after hospital discharge and change over time in 309 patients included in the PRIMA (Can PRo-brain-natriuretic peptide guided therapy of chronic heart failure IMprove heart fAilure morbidity and mortality?) study. Primary outcome measures were mortality and the combined end point of heart failure (HF) readmission or mortality. In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, change in NT-proBNP concentration during admission, change from discharge to 1 month after discharge, and the absolute NT-proBNP concentration at 1 month after discharge were of independent prognostic value for both end points (hazard ratios for HF readmission or mortality: 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-2.60, Wald 6.4 [P = .011] versus 2.71, 95% CI 1.76-4.17, Wald 20.5 [P < .001] versus 1.81, 95% CI 1.13-2.89, Wald 6.1 [P = .014], respectively., Conclusions: Knowledge of change in NT-proBNP concentration during admission because of AHF in combination with change early after discharge and the absolute NT-proBNP concentration at 1 month after discharge allows accurate risk stratification., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Aims: Natriuretic peptide-guided (NP-guided) treatment of heart failure has been tested against standard clinically guided care in multiple studies, but findings have been limited by study size. We sought to perform an individual patient data meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of NP-guided treatment of heart failure on all-cause mortality., Methods and Results: Eligible randomized clinical trials were identified from searches of Medline and EMBASE databases and the Cochrane Clinical Trials Register. The primary pre-specified outcome, all-cause mortality was tested using a Cox proportional hazards regression model that included study of origin, age (<75 or ≥75 years), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF, ≤45 or >45%) as covariates. Secondary endpoints included heart failure or cardiovascular hospitalization. Of 11 eligible studies, 9 provided individual patient data and 2 aggregate data. For the primary endpoint individual data from 2000 patients were included, 994 randomized to clinically guided care and 1006 to NP-guided care. All-cause mortality was significantly reduced by NP-guided treatment [hazard ratio = 0.62 (0.45-0.86); P = 0.004] with no heterogeneity between studies or interaction with LVEF. The survival benefit from NP-guided therapy was seen in younger (<75 years) patients [0.62 (0.45-0.85); P = 0.004] but not older (≥75 years) patients [0.98 (0.75-1.27); P = 0.96]. Hospitalization due to heart failure [0.80 (0.67-0.94); P = 0.009] or cardiovascular disease [0.82 (0.67-0.99); P = 0.048] was significantly lower in NP-guided patients with no heterogeneity between studies and no interaction with age or LVEF., Conclusion: Natriuretic peptide-guided treatment of heart failure reduces all-cause mortality in patients aged <75 years and overall reduces heart failure and cardiovascular hospitalization., (© The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

Background: Models to stratify risk for patients hospitalised for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) do not include the change in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels during hospitalisation., Objective: The aim of our study was to develop a simple yet robust discharge prognostication score including NT-proBNP for this notorious high-risk population., Design: Individual patient data meta-analyses of prospective cohort studies., Setting: Seven prospective cohorts with in total 1301 patients., Patients: Our study population was assembled from the seven studies by selecting those patients admitted because of clinically validated ADHF, discharged alive, and NT-proBNP measurements available at admission and at discharge., Main Outcome Measures: The endpoints studied were all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and/or first readmission for cardiovascular reason within 180 days after discharge., Results: The model that incorporated NT-proBNP levels at discharge as well as the changes in NT-proBNP during hospitalisation in addition to age ≥75 years, peripheral oedema, systolic blood pressure ≤115 mm Hg, hyponatremia at admission, serum urea of ≥15 mmol/L and New York Heart Association (NYHA) class at discharge, yielded the best C-statistic (area under the curve, 0.78, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.82). The addition of NT-proBNP to a reference model significantly improved prediction of mortality as shown by the net reclassification improvement (62%, p<0.001). A simplified model was obtained from the final Cox regression model by assigning weights to individual risk markers proportional to their relative risks. The risk score we designed identified four clinically significant subgroups. The pattern of increasing event rates with increasing score was confirmed in the validation group (BOT-AcuteHF, n=325, p<0.001)., Conclusions: In patients hospitalised for ADHF, the addition of the discharge NT-proBNP values as well as the change in NT-proBNP to known risk markers, generates a relatively simple yet robust discharge risk score that importantly improves the prediction of adverse events.

Objectives: The study aim was to determine the prognostic value of a multimarker strategy for risk-assessment in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with dyspnea., Background: Combining biomarkers with different pathophysiological backgrounds may improve risk stratification in dyspneic patients in the ED., Methods: The study prospectively investigated the prognostic value of the biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), Cystatin-C (Cys-C), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and Galectin-3 (Gal-3) for 90-day mortality in 603 patients presenting to the ED with dyspnea as primary complaint., Results: hs-CRP, hs-cTnT, Cyst-C, and NT-proBNP were independent predictors of 90-day mortality. The number of elevated biomarkers was highly associated with outcome (odds ratio: 2.94 per biomarker, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.29 to 3.78, p < 0.001). A multimarker approach had incremental value beyond a single-marker approach. Our multimarker emergency dyspnea-risk score (MARKED-risk score) incorporating age ≥75 years, systolic blood pressure <110 mm Hg, history of heart failure, dyspnea New York Heart Association functional class IV, hs-cTnT ≥0.04 μg/l, hs-CRP ≥25 mg/l, and Cys-C ≥1.125 mg/l had excellent prognostic performance (area under the curve: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.89), was robust in internal validation analyses and could identify patients with very low (<3 points), intermediate (≥3, <5 points), and high risk (≥5 points) of 90-day mortality (2%, 14%, and 44% respectively; p < 0.001)., Conclusions: A multimarker strategy provided superior risk stratification beyond any single-marker approach. The MARKED-risk score that incorporates hs-cTnT, hs-CRP, and Cys-C along with clinical risk factors accurately identifies patients with very low, intermediate, and high risk., (Copyright © 2012 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background: Cardiac troponin T measured by a high-sensitivity assay (hs-cTnT) recently proved to be of prognostic value in several populations. The hs-cTnT assay may also improve risk stratification in acute dyspnea., Methods: We prospectively studied the prognostic value of hs-cTnT in 678 consecutive patients presenting to the emergency department with acute dyspnea. On the basis of conventional cardiac troponin T assay (cTnT) and hs-cTnT assay measurements, patients were divided into 3 categories: (1) neither assay increased (cTnT<0.03 μg/L, hs-cTnT<0.016 μg/L), (2) only hs-cTnT increased≥0.016 μg/L (cTnT<0.03 μg/L), and (3) both assays increased (cTnT≥0.03 μg/L, hs-cTnT≥0.016 μg/L). Moreover, the prognostic value of hs-cTnT was investigated if cTnT was not detectable (<0.01)., Results: One hundred seventy-two patients were in the lowest, 282 patients in the middle, and 223 patients in the highest troponin category. Patients in the second and third categories had significantly higher mortality compared to those in the first category (90-day mortality rate 2%, 10%, and 26% in groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively, P<0.001; 1-year mortality rate 9%, 21%, and 39%, P<0.001). Importantly, in patients with undetectable cTnT (n=347, 51%), increased hs-cTnT indicated worse outcome [90-day mortality, odds ratio 4.26 (95% CI 1.19-15.21); 1-year mortality, hazard ratio 2.27 (1.19-4.36), P=0.013], whereas N-terminal pro-brain-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was not predictive of short-term outcome., Conclusions: hs-cTnT is associated with mortality in patients presenting with acute dyspnea. hs-cTnT concentrations provide additional prognostic information to cTnT and NT-proBNP testing in patients with cTnT concentrations below the detection limit. In particular, the hs-cTnT cutoff of 0.016 μg/L enables identification of low-risk patients.

Objectives: Our aim was to identify shortcomings in the management of patients with both atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF)., Background: AF and HF often coincide in cardiology practice, and they are known to worsen each other's prognosis, but little is known about the quality of care of this combination., Methods: In the observational Euro Heart Survey on AF, 5,333 AF patients were enrolled in 182 centers across 35 European Society of Cardiology member countries in 2003 and 2004. A follow-up survey was performed after 1 year., Results: At baseline, 1,816 patients (34%) had HF. Recommended therapy for HF with left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) with a beta-blocker and either an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin II receptor blocker was prescribed in 40% of HF patients, while 29% received the recommended drug therapy for both LVSD-HF and AF, consisting of the combination of a beta-blocker, either ACEI or angiotensin II receptor blocker, and oral anticoagulation. Rate control was insufficient with 40% of all HF patients with permanent AF having a heart rate < or =80 beats/min. In the total cohort, HF patients had a higher risk for mortality (9.5% vs. 3.3%; p < 0.001), (progression of) HF (24.8% vs. 5.0%; p < 0.001), and AF progression (35% vs. 19%; p < 0.001) during 1-year follow-up. Of all recommended drugs for AF and LVSD-HF, only ACEI prescription was associated with improved survival during 1-year follow-up (odds ratio: 0.51 [95% confidence interval: 0.31 to 0.85]; p = 0.011)., Conclusions: The prescription rate of guideline-recommended drug therapy for AF and LVSD-HF is low. Randomized controlled trials targeting this highly prevalent subgroup with AF and HF are warranted.