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This paper characterizes the impacts of sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) and mesospheric coolings (MCs) on the light species distribution (i.e., helium [He], and atomic hydrogen [H]) of the thermosphere using a combined data‐modeling approach. Performing a set of numerical experiments with a general circulation model whose middle atmospheric dynamical and thermodynamical fields were constrained using a numerical weather prediction system, we simulate the effects of SSWs and MCs on light chemical species, and via comparisons with two data sets taken from the mesosphere and thermosphere, we quantify the associated variability in light species abundances and mass density. Large depletions in the observed and modeled polar H abundance in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) occur with MC onset, as opposed to SSW onset. Depletions in all light thermospheric species at high northern latitudes extend up to the exobase in our model simulations during the January 2013 SSW/MC period, with the largest depletions simulated for the lightest species. Further, our modeling work substantiates the paradigm of increased mixing in the MLT driven by a meridional residual circulation during SSWs resulting from enhanced small‐scale gravity wave and migrating semidiurnal tidal forcing; the former being the primary driver and the latter of secondary but notable importance in our model simulations. SSW/MC induced light species variability then gets projected upward into the thermosphere through molecular diffusion. Modeled light species variability during the January 2013 SSW/MC event suggests SSW/MC signatures could be present in the topside ionosphere and plasmasphere.

We investigate possible impact of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on the thermosphere by using long-term data of the global average thermospheric total mass density derived from satellite orbital drag during 1967–2013. Residuals are analyzed between the data and empirical Global Average Mass Density Model (GAMDM) that takes into account density variability due to solar activity, season, geomagnetic activity, and long-term trend. A superposed epoch analysis of 37 SSW events reveals a density reduction of 3–7% at 250–575 km around the time of maximum polar vortex weakening. The relative density perturbation is found to be greater at higher altitudes. The temperature perturbation is estimated to be −7.0 K at 400 km. We show that the density reduction can arise from enhanced wave forcing from the lower atmosphere.

[1] We present a model and observations of the evolution of equatorial ionospheric bubbles during a large auroral electrojet (AE) index increase in the recovery phase of a geomagnetic storm. Using a three-dimensional time-dependent numerical simulation model, we find, for the 19–21 October 1998 storm, that the equatorial bubble evolution is different during storm time as compared to quiet time conditions. We have found that the storm time vertical drift in conjunction with reduced off-equatorial E region shorting is the primary mechanism that distinguishes the large AE increase recovery phase storm time evolution from the quiet time case. Comparison of the simulation model with ground-based storm time radar observations is made.

[1] We use low- and mid-latitude wind data from the Wind Imaging Interferometer (WINDII) on board the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) to study the average response of nighttime upper thermospheric winds to geomagnetic activity. We calculate perturbation winds in magnetic coordinates and analyze them as a function of magnetic local time, latitude, geomagnetic activity, and solar EUV flux. The nighttime zonal disturbance winds are predominately westward, with the strongest effects extending from dusk at 70° to midnight at 45°. Westward disturbance winds are also observed throughout most of the night at low latitudes, where they change to eastward at dawn. Eastward perturbations occur in the post-midnight sector above 50°. The meridional disturbance winds are primarily equatorward above 40° and after 0300 MLT. In the midnight sector during low and moderate solar flux conditions, poleward winds are observed below 40°; during solar maximum, the perturbations are largely equatorward throughout the night.

[1] Low-latitude ionospheric electric fields and currents are often strongly disturbed during periods of enhanced geomagnetic activity. These perturbations can last for several hours after geomagnetic quieting. We use incoherent scatter radar measurements from Jicamarca and Arecibo during 19–21 October 1998 to study, for the first time, the low-latitude disturbance electric fields during the recovery phase of a large magnetic storm. On 19 October the Jicamarca data showed initially large and short-lived (time scale of about 10–20 min) upward and westward drift perturbations in the early afternoon sector, due to the penetration of strong magnetospheric electric fields probably driven by an increase in the solar wind dynamic pressure. Following the decrease of auroral activity, very strong afternoon and nighttime zonal and vertical disturbance dynamo drifts were observed over Jicamarca but, surprisingly, only small and sporadic perturbation drifts were present over Arecibo. The latitudinal variation of the daytime zonal disturbance dynamo drifts during this day is in good agreement with that previously observed for thermospheric disturbance winds. The disturbance dynamo drifts also indicate significantly different local, storm time, and possibly latitudinal dependences for their vertical/perpendicular and zonal drift components, suggesting large variations in both the amplitude and direction of the disturbance dynamo electric field vector. In the next day, during moderately disturbed conditions, the daytime perturbation drifts were small, but following transient increases in geomagnetic activity, large upward/perpendicular drifts were observed near dusk over Jicamarca and Arecibo, where simultaneous westward perturbation drifts were also seen. These perturbations are consistent with the occurrence of strong prompt penetration electric fields reaching the magnetic equator. The measured prompt penetration drift patterns are generally in good agreement with predictions from global convection models. Later at night, under moderately disturbed conditions, relatively large zonal and meridional disturbance dynamo electric fields were observed by the two radars. Our results illustrate the large variability of the low-latitude perturbation electric fields relative to their climatological values after large storms, probably due to the importance of additional disturbance processes. They also indicate that a much deeper understanding of solar-wind/magnetospheric/ionospheric processes is required for accurate predictions of these electric fields.

Between June 1999 and January 2003 three Starshine spacecraft were launched into low-earth orbits. Their lifetimes cover an extended period near the maximum of solar cycle 23. Two additional Starshine spacecraft are ready for launch near the minimum of solar cycle 23. The Starshine missions are especially suitable for estimating average upper atmospheric densities, since the orbits are approximately circular and the spacecraft are mirrored spheres for which ballistic coefficients are essentially independent of orientation with respect to the direction of motion. We have derived total neutral atmospheric mass densities along the Starshine spacecraft trajectories using quantities from their Two-Line Element sets (TLEs). We compare these densities with corresponding determinations by a semi-empirical model of upper atmospheric neutral densities developed at the Naval Research Laboratory. This model, NRLMSIS, has been formulated for both research and operational use from a database that now includes total mass densities from satellite accelerometers and orbit determinations, more recent temperatures from incoherent scatter radar, and molecular oxygen number densities from solar UV occultation. The Starshine orbits were not included in the NRLMSIS model formulation and thus provide independent validation of the modeled variations on time scales of days to months during a period of relatively high solar activity.

[1] Midlatitude nighttime thermospheric neutral winds are strongly dependent on season, solar activity, and latitude. We use an extensive database of wind measurements made during 1989–2001 by the Millstone Hill Fabry-Perot interferometer to study the detailed climatology of quiet time neutral winds near an altitude of 250 km. To facilitate the analysis of these data, we develop a local time, day-of-year, solar flux, and latitude-dependent empirical model, with the latitude dependence obtained by considering north looking and south looking observations separately. Our results show that the zonal winds are predominantly eastward after dusk and westward before dawn, with the strongest eastward winds occurring in the winter and with an east-to-west transition that occurs earliest in the summer. The zonal winds exhibit weak-to-moderate latitudinal gradients, with more westward values to the north. The zonal wind magnitudes decrease with increasing solar flux; the strongest trends occur during winter. The meridional winds are predominantly equatorward in all cases and exhibit strong latitudinal gradients, with larger values to the north. The maximum nighttime equatorward winds decrease with increasing solar flux, except during summer, when there is no significant solar activity variation. They are largest during the summer, except at solar minimum when a semiannual variation is observed and the peak winds occur during the equinoxes. Earlier studies of midlatitude wind measurements are generally consistent with our data, with our results providing a considerably more detailed description of the nighttime wind climatology at midlatitudes.

[1] Thermospheric neutral winds exhibit strong altitudinal and latitudinal variation during geomagnetically quiet and active times. We use daytime middle and low-latitude neutral winds measured by the Wind Imaging Interferometer (WINDII) instrument on board the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) over the 90–275 km height range to study the altitude and season dependent climatology of disturbance winds (i.e., with quiet time patterns removed) in magnetic coordinates. The daytime perturbations winds are generally equatorward and westward and decrease toward the magnetic equator. Both the zonal and meridional components decrease sharply below 120 km and are essentially insignificant below 100 km. The seasonal dependence of the disturbance winds is strongest in the early morning sector. The zonal disturbance winds are predominantly westward with largest magnitudes near 150 km at late afternoon upper midlatitudes (magnetic latitudes 50°–60°) and near 120 km in the early morning winter between 25° and 45°. At upper midlatitudes in the early morning sector, the zonal perturbation winds are eastward above ∼120 km in the summer hemisphere and between ∼120 and 180 km in the winter hemisphere. Eastward perturbations are also observed near the magnetic equator with largest values near noon at 250 km. The meridional perturbation winds are mostly equatorward and nearly height-independent above ∼150 km, with the largest magnitudes occurring in the early morning winter hemisphere. In the late afternoon sector the upper midlatitude meridional disturbance winds are poleward, and there is a small winter-to-summer flow at lower latitudes. In general, the storm-time dependence of the disturbance winds is quite complex. The perturbation winds begin to develop after 0–9 hours and tend to saturate 12–24 hours after storm onset. The development does not change much with altitude, and the seasonal dependence is generally important only at storm times greater than 6–12 hours.

[1] We use 630.0 nm nightglow Fabry-Perot measurements over Millstone Hill from 1989–1999 to study the climatology and storm time dependence of the midlatitude thermospheric winds. Our quiet time wind patterns are consistent with results from earlier studies. We determine the perturbation winds by subtracting from each measurement the corresponding quiet time averages. The climatological zonal disturbance winds are largely independent of season and solar flux and show large early night westward and small late-night eastward winds similar to disturbance ion drifts. The meridional perturbation winds vary strongly with season and solar flux. When the solar flux is low, the winter and equinox average meridional winds change from equatorward to poleward at ∼2200 LT, and the summer winds are equatorward throughout the night. The high solar flux meridional winds are poleward, with magnitudes increasing from dawn to dusk at all seasons. These disturbance winds patterns are in poor agreement with results from the empirical horizontal wind model, HWM-93. The zonal and meridional disturbance winds show very large variations relative to their average values. We have also studied the time-dependent response of the midlatitude thermospheric winds to enhanced magnetic activity. The early night westward winds build up to large amplitudes (about twice their climatological values) in ∼6 hours; the late-night eastward winds are smaller and reach their peak values ∼3 hours after the increase in magnetic activity. The storm time dependence of the meridional winds is considerably more complex than that of the zonal winds, and it varies with season and solar flux. Following enhanced magnetic activity, equatorward winds are observed at all local times and seasons, but the increase of their amplitudes with storm time is fastest in the late local time sector. Near midnight, and when the solar flux is low, the meridional winds reverse from equatorward to poleward ∼6–10 hours after the increase in magnetic activity. This reversal is fastest (slowest) during December (June) solstice. At later local times, and for high solar flux conditions, the variation of the meridional disturbance winds is season independent. The observed storm time dependence partly explains the large variability of the disturbance winds.

Thermospheric neutral winds play important roles on the dynamics of the upper atmosphere. We use extensive F region zonal and meridional wind data measured by the Wind Imaging Interferometer (WINDII) instrument on board the Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite (UARS) to study the mid-and low-latitude daytime average perturbation winds during magnetically disturbed periods. We have determined the perturbation winds by subtracting the quiet time wind values along the satellite orbits. Our data indicate large changes in the latitudinal profiles of both the zonal and meridional disturbance winds from morning to afternoon hours. The early morning zonal disturbance winds are eastward near the equator and at upper mid-latitudes (above 50°), and westward at lower mid-latitudes. The mid-morning and afternoon zonal disturbance wind patterns show very small amplitudes at low latitudes and increasing westward winds at mid-latitudes. These latitudinal profiles are in excellent agreement with the patterns derived from zonal wind measurements on board the DE-2 satellite. The meridional daytime perturbation winds are equatorward and have magnitudes increasing linearly with latitude, with largest values in the early morning sector. The zonal and meridional disturbance winds show an approximately linear increase with the Kp index during geomagnetically active conditions.