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1. Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

Author

Natali, Susan M, Watts, Jennifer D, Rogers, Brendan M, Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M, Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F, Abbott, Benjamin W, Arndt, Kyle A, Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P, Bloom, A Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R, Christiansen, Casper T, Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J, Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E, Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S, Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P, Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E, Jastrow, Julie D, Kalhori, Aram AM, Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S, Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J, Larsen, Klaus S, Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M, Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C, Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W, Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M, Schuur, Edward AG, Semenchuk, Philipp R, Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C, Waldrop, Mark P, Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Subjects
Agricultural, Veterinary and Food Sciences, Biological Sciences, Forestry Sciences, Climate Action, Atmospheric Sciences, Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience, Environmental Science and Management
Abstract

Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1-3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is highly uncertain and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or by empirically-based estimates5,6. Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2 flux from arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1662 Tg C yr-1 from the permafrost region during the winter season (October through April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (-1032 Tg C yr-1). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions in 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario-Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5-and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario-RCP 8.5. Our results provide a new baseline for winter CO2 emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2 loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions.

Published
2019

2. Author Correction: Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Published
2019
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3. Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region

Author

Estop‐Aragonés, Cristian, primary, Olefeldt, David, additional, Abbott, Benjamin W., additional, Chanton, Jeffrey P., additional, Czimczik, Claudia I., additional, Dean, Joshua F., additional, Egan, Jocelyn E., additional, Gandois, Laure, additional, Garnett, Mark H., additional, Hartley, Iain P., additional, Hoyt, Alison, additional, Lupascu, Massimo, additional, Natali, Susan M., additional, O'Donnell, Jonathan A., additional, Raymond, Peter A., additional, Tanentzap, Andrew J., additional, Tank, Suzanne E., additional, Schuur, Edward A. G., additional, Turetsky, Merritt, additional, and Anthony, Katey Walter, additional

Published
2020
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4. Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region (vol 9, pg 852, 2019)

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Bjorkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Helene, Gockede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Published
2019
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5. Author Correction:Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region (Nature Climate Change, (2019), 9, 11, (852-857), 10.1038/s41558-019-0592-8)

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A.M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A.G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Abstract

In the version of this Letter originally published online, the descriptions of the solid blue and red lines in Fig. 4 were switched in the caption; the text should have read “Solid lines represent BRT-modelled results up to 2100 under RCP 4.5 (blue solid line) and RCP 8.5 (red solid line), with bootstrapped 95% confidence intervals indicated by shading.” This has now been corrected in all online versions.

Published
2019
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6. Technical Note: Isotopic corrections for the radiocarbon composition of CO2 in the soil gas environment must account for diffusion and diffusive mixing

Author

Egan, Jocelyn E., Bowling, David R., and Risk, David A.

Abstract

Earth system scientists working with radiocarbon in organic samples use a stable carbon isotope (δ13C) correction to account for mass-dependent fractionation, but it has not been evaluated for the soil gas environment, wherein both diffusive gas transport and diffusive mixing are important. Using theory and an analytical soil gas transport model, we demonstrate that the conventional correction is inappropriate for interpreting the radioisotopic composition of CO2 from biological production because it does not account for important gas transport mechanisms. Based on theory used to interpret δ13C of soil production from soil CO2, we propose a new solution for radiocarbon applications in the soil gas environment that fully accounts for both mass-dependent diffusion and mass-independent diffusive mixing.

Published
2019

7. Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region:[incl. correction]

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey P., Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, J. Mark, Larsen, Klaus Steenberg, Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, M. Schmidt, Niels, Schuur, Edward A.G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius R., Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey M., Wille, Christian, Xue, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Published
2019
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8. Large loss of CO2 in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, Zona, Donatella, Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Abstract

Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter(1-3), greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)(4). However, the amount of CO2 released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or empirically based estimates(5,6). Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2 flux from Arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1,662 TgC per year from the permafrost region during the winter season (October-April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (-1,032 TgC per year). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2 emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario-Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5-and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario-Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Our results provide a baseline for winter CO2 emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2 loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions.

Published
2019
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9. Isotopic fractionation corrections for the radiocarbon composition of CO2 in the soil gas environment must include diffusion and mixing

Author

Egan, Jocelyn E., Bowling, David R., and Risk, David A.

Abstract

Earth system scientists working with radiocarbon in organic samples use a stable carbon isotope (δ13C) correction to account for mass-dependent fractionation caused primarily by photosynthesis. Although researchers apply this correction routinely, it has not been evaluated for the soil gas environment, where both diffusive gas transport and diffusive mixing are important. Towards this end we applied an analytical soil gas transport model across a range of soil diffusivities and biological CO2 production rates, allowing us to control the radiocarbon (Δ14C) and stable isotope (δ13C) compositions of modeled soil CO2 production and atmospheric CO2. This approach allowed us to assess the bias that results from using the conventional correction method for estimating Δ14C of soil production. We found that the conventional correction is inappropriate for interpreting the radio-isotopic composition of CO2 from biological production, because it does not account for diffusion and diffusive mixing. The resultant Δ14C bias associated with the traditional correction is highest (up to 150 ‰) in soils with low biological production and/or high soil diffusion rates. We propose a new solution for radiocarbon applications in the soil gas environment that fully accounts for diffusion and diffusive mixing.

Published
2018

11. Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region.

Author

Estop‐Aragonés, Cristian, Olefeldt, David, Abbott, Benjamin W., Chanton, Jeffrey P., Czimczik, Claudia I., Dean, Joshua F., Egan, Jocelyn E., Gandois, Laure, Garnett, Mark H., Hartley, Iain P., Hoyt, Alison, Lupascu, Massimo, Natali, Susan M., O'Donnell, Jonathan A., Raymond, Peter A., Tanentzap, Andrew J., Tank, Suzanne E., Schuur, Edward A. G., Turetsky, Merritt, and Anthony, Katey Walter

Subjects
TUNDRAS, PERMAFROST, CARBON in soils, COLLOIDAL carbon, THAWING, ECOLOGICAL disturbances
Abstract

The magnitude of future emissions of greenhouse gases from the northern permafrost region depends crucially on the mineralization of soil organic carbon (SOC) that has accumulated over millennia in these perennially frozen soils. Many recent studies have used radiocarbon (14C) to quantify the release of this "old" SOC as CO2 or CH4 to the atmosphere or as dissolved and particulate organic carbon (DOC and POC) to surface waters. We compiled ~1,900 14C measurements from 51 sites in the northern permafrost region to assess the vulnerability of thawing SOC in tundra, forest, peatland, lake, and river ecosystems. We found that growing season soil 14C‐CO2 emissions generally had a modern (post‐1950s) signature, but that well‐drained, oxic soils had increased CO2 emissions derived from older sources following recent thaw. The age of CO2 and CH4 emitted from lakes depended primarily on the age and quantity of SOC in sediments and on the mode of emission, and indicated substantial losses of previously frozen SOC from actively expanding thermokarst lakes. Increased fluvial export of aged DOC and POC occurred from sites where permafrost thaw caused soil thermal erosion. There was limited evidence supporting release of previously frozen SOC as CO2, CH4, and DOC from thawing peatlands with anoxic soils. This synthesis thus suggests widespread but not universal release of permafrost SOC following thaw. We show that different definitions of "old" sources among studies hamper the comparison of vulnerability of permafrost SOC across ecosystems and disturbances. We also highlight opportunities for future 14C studies in the permafrost region. Key Points: We compiled ~1,900 14C measurements of CO2, CH4, DOC, and POC from the northern permafrost regionOld carbon release increases in thawed oxic soils (CO2), thermokarst lakes (CH4 and CO2), and headwaters with thermal erosion (DOC and POC)Simultaneous and year‐long 14C analyses of CO2, CH4, DOC, and POC are needed to assess the vulnerability of permafrost carbon across ecosystems [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2020
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13. Isotopic fractionation corrections for the radiocarbon composition of CO2 in the soil gas environment must include diffusion and mixing.

Author

Egan, Jocelyn E., Bowling, David R., and Risk, David A.

Subjects
ISOTOPIC fractionation, ISOTOPIC analysis, RADIOCARBON dating, SOIL air, SOIL diffusion
Abstract

Earth system scientists working with radiocarbon in organic samples use a stable carbon isotope (δ13C) correction to account for mass-dependent fractionation caused primarily by photosynthesis. Although researchers apply this correction routinely, it has not been evaluated for the soil gas environment, where both diffusive gas transport and diffusive mixing are important. Towards this end we applied an analytical soil gas transport model across a range of soil diffusivities and biological CO2 production rates, allowing us to control the radiocarbon (Δ14C) and stable isotope (δ13C) compositions of modeled soil CO2 production and atmospheric CO2. This approach allowed us to assess the bias that results from using the conventional correction method for estimating Δ14C of soil production. We found that the conventional correction is inappropriate for interpreting the radio-isotopic composition of CO2 from biological production, because it does not account for diffusion and diffusive mixing. The resultant Δ14C bias associated with the traditional correction is highest (up to 150‰) in soils with low biological production and/or high soil diffusion rates. We propose a new solution for radiocarbon applications in the soil gas environment that fully accounts for diffusion and diffusive mixing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2018
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14. Large loss of CO2in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Bjo¨rkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Abstract

Recent warming in the Arctic, which has been amplified during the winter1–3, greatly enhances microbial decomposition of soil organic matter and subsequent release of carbon dioxide (CO2)4. However, the amount of CO2released in winter is not known and has not been well represented by ecosystem models or empirically based estimates5,6. Here we synthesize regional in situ observations of CO2flux from Arctic and boreal soils to assess current and future winter carbon losses from the northern permafrost domain. We estimate a contemporary loss of 1,662?TgC per year from the permafrost region during the winter season (October–April). This loss is greater than the average growing season carbon uptake for this region estimated from process models (-1,032?TgC per year). Extending model predictions to warmer conditions up to 2100 indicates that winter CO2emissions will increase 17% under a moderate mitigation scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5—and 41% under business-as-usual emissions scenario—Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Our results provide a baseline for winter CO2emissions from northern terrestrial regions and indicate that enhanced soil CO2loss due to winter warming may offset growing season carbon uptake under future climatic conditions.

Published
2019
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15. Author Correction: Large loss of CO2in winter observed across the northern permafrost region

Author

Natali, Susan M., Watts, Jennifer D., Rogers, Brendan M., Potter, Stefano, Ludwig, Sarah M., Selbmann, Anne-Katrin, Sullivan, Patrick F., Abbott, Benjamin W., Arndt, Kyle A., Birch, Leah, Björkman, Mats P., Bloom, A. Anthony, Celis, Gerardo, Christensen, Torben R., Christiansen, Casper T., Commane, Roisin, Cooper, Elisabeth J., Crill, Patrick, Czimczik, Claudia, Davydov, Sergey, Du, Jinyang, Egan, Jocelyn E., Elberling, Bo, Euskirchen, Eugenie S., Friborg, Thomas, Genet, Hélène, Göckede, Mathias, Goodrich, Jordan P., Grogan, Paul, Helbig, Manuel, Jafarov, Elchin E., Jastrow, Julie D., Kalhori, Aram A. M., Kim, Yongwon, Kimball, John S., Kutzbach, Lars, Lara, Mark J., Larsen, Klaus S., Lee, Bang-Yong, Liu, Zhihua, Loranty, Michael M., Lund, Magnus, Lupascu, Massimo, Madani, Nima, Malhotra, Avni, Matamala, Roser, McFarland, Jack, McGuire, A. David, Michelsen, Anders, Minions, Christina, Oechel, Walter C., Olefeldt, David, Parmentier, Frans-Jan W., Pirk, Norbert, Poulter, Ben, Quinton, William, Rezanezhad, Fereidoun, Risk, David, Sachs, Torsten, Schaefer, Kevin, Schmidt, Niels M., Schuur, Edward A. G., Semenchuk, Philipp R., Shaver, Gaius, Sonnentag, Oliver, Starr, Gregory, Treat, Claire C., Waldrop, Mark P., Wang, Yihui, Welker, Jeffrey, Wille, Christian, Xu, Xiaofeng, Zhang, Zhen, Zhuang, Qianlai, and Zona, Donatella

Abstract

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

Published
2019
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16. Assessing the Potential for Mobilization of Old Soil Carbon After Permafrost Thaw: A Synthesis of 14 C Measurements From the Northern Permafrost Region

Author

Peter A. Raymond, Jocelyn Egan, Suzanne E. Tank, Iain P. Hartley, Claudia I. Czimczik, Jonathan A. O'Donnell, Massimo Lupascu, Susan M. Natali, Mark H. Garnett, Alison M. Hoyt, Edward A. G. Schuur, Benjamin W. Abbott, Andrew J. Tanentzap, Jeffrey P. Chanton, Laure Gandois, David Olefeldt, Katey M. Walter Anthony, Cristian Estop-Aragonés, Merritt R. Turetsky, Joshua F. Dean, Olefeldt, David, 1 Department of Renewable Resources University of Alberta Edmonton Canada, Abbott, Benjamin W., 3 Department of Plant and Wildlife Sciences Brigham Young University Provo UT USA, Chanton, Jeffrey P., 4 Department of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Science Florida State University Tallahassee FL USA, Czimczik, Claudia I., 5 Department of Earth System Science University of California Irvine CA USA, Dean, Joshua F., 6 School of Environmental Sciences University of Liverpool Liverpool UK, Egan, Jocelyn E., 7 Department of Earth Sciences Dalhousie University Halifax Canada, Gandois, Laure, 8 Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement Université de Toulouse, CNRS Toulouse France, Garnett, Mark H., 9 NEIF Radiocarbon Laboratory, Scottish Enterprise Technology Park, Rankine Avenue East Kilbride UK, Hartley, Iain P., 10 Geography, College of Life and Environmental Sciences University of Exeter Exeter UK, Hoyt, Alison, 11 Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry Jena Germany, Lupascu, Massimo, 12 Department of Geography National University of Singapore Singapore Singapore, Natali, Susan M., 13 Woodwell Climate Research Center Falmouth MA USA, O'Donnell, Jonathan A., 14 National Park Service, Arctic Network Anchorage AK USA, Raymond, Peter A., 15 Yale School of Forestry and Environmental Studies New Haven CT USA, Tanentzap, Andrew J., 16 Ecosystems and Global Change Group, Department of Plant Sciences University of Cambridge Cambridge UK, Tank, Suzanne E., 17 Department of Biological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton Canada, Schuur, Edward A. G., 18 Department of Biological Sciences Northern Arizona University Flagstaff AZ USA, Turetsky, Merritt, 19 Department of Integrative Biology University of Guelph Guelph Canada, Anthony, Katey Walter, 20 Water and Environmental Research Center University of Alaska Fairbanks Fairbanks AK USA, Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement (LEFE), Institut Ecologie et Environnement (INEE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3), Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier (UT3), Université de Toulouse (UT)-Université de Toulouse (UT)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France -Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Météo-France -Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), Université de Toulouse (UT), Laboratoire Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Environnement (ECOLAB), Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées (OMP), Météo France-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Météo France-Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse] (CNES)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National Polytechnique (Toulouse) (Toulouse INP), and Université Fédérale Toulouse Midi-Pyrénées

Subjects
particulate organic carbon, 0106 biological sciences, Atmospheric Science, 551.9, Peat, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, permafrost thaw, [SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes, Permafrost, 01 natural sciences, Thermokarst, Dissolved organic carbon, Environmental Chemistry, ComputingMilieux_MISCELLANEOUS, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, General Environmental Science, Global and Planetary Change, geography, geography.geographical_feature_category, methane, 010604 marine biology & hydrobiology, carbon dioxide, Soil carbon, 15. Life on land, dissolved organic carbon, Tundra, 13. Climate action, [SDE]Environmental Sciences, Soil water, radiocarbon, Erosion, Environmental science, Physical geography
Abstract

The magnitude of future emissions of greenhouse gases from the northern permafrost region depends crucially on the mineralization of soil organic carbon (SOC) that has accumulated over millennia in these perennially frozen soils. Many recent studies have used radiocarbon (14C) to quantify the release of this “old” SOC as CO2 or CH4 to the atmosphere or as dissolved and particulate organic carbon (DOC and POC) to surface waters. We compiled ~1,900 14C measurements from 51 sites in the northern permafrost region to assess the vulnerability of thawing SOC in tundra, forest, peatland, lake, and river ecosystems. We found that growing season soil 14C‐CO2 emissions generally had a modern (post‐1950s) signature, but that well‐drained, oxic soils had increased CO2 emissions derived from older sources following recent thaw. The age of CO2 and CH4 emitted from lakes depended primarily on the age and quantity of SOC in sediments and on the mode of emission, and indicated substantial losses of previously frozen SOC from actively expanding thermokarst lakes. Increased fluvial export of aged DOC and POC occurred from sites where permafrost thaw caused soil thermal erosion. There was limited evidence supporting release of previously frozen SOC as CO2, CH4, and DOC from thawing peatlands with anoxic soils. This synthesis thus suggests widespread but not universal release of permafrost SOC following thaw. We show that different definitions of “old” sources among studies hamper the comparison of vulnerability of permafrost SOC across ecosystems and disturbances. We also highlight opportunities for future 14C studies in the permafrost region., Key Points: We compiled ~1,900 14C measurements of CO2, CH4, DOC, and POC from the northern permafrost region. Old carbon release increases in thawed oxic soils (CO2), thermokarst lakes (CH4 and CO2), and headwaters with thermal erosion (DOC and POC). Simultaneous and year‐long 14C analyses of CO2, CH4, DOC, and POC are needed to assess the vulnerability of permafrost carbon across ecosystems., EC | H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (ERC) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100010663, Gouvernement du Canada | Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000038, National Science Foundation (NSF) http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/100000001

Published
2020
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