Search

The three discussions are interesting articles in their own right, offering different and insightful points of view on compliance analysis in clinical trials. We all seem to agree, more or [...]

Background: Tests for resistance to HIV drugs are available for clinical use; however, their predictive value has not been fully assessed.Objectives: To determine HIV-1 genotypic predictors of a virologic response to saquinavir-ritonavir therapy in patients in whom at least one previous protease inhibitor-containing regimen had failed and to compare the predictive value of baseline genotype with that of standard clinical evaluation.Design: Retrospective clinical cohort study.Setting: University-based HIV clinic.Patients: 54 HIV-1-infected adults treated with saquinavir-ritonavir who had experienced virologic failure while receiving a protease inhibitor-containing regimen for at least 3 months.Measurements: HIV-1 reverse transcriptase and protease gene sequences, CD4 cell counts, clinical characteristics, detailed antiretroviral treatment history, and plasma HIV-1 RNA levels at baseline and at three follow-up time points (median, 4, 12, and 26 weeks). Virologic failure was defined as a plasma HIV RNA level greater than 1000 copies/mL.Results: In 22 patients (41%), a plasma HIV-1 RNA level less than 500 copies/mL was achieved by week 12; in 15 patients (28%), this response was maintained through week 26. Clinical characteristics predicting a poorer response included a diagnosis of AIDS, lower CD4 cell count, and higher plasma HIV RNA level (P<0.03). Number of previous nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors, previous protease inhibitor therapy, and duration of previous protease inhibitor therapy were predictors of poorer response (P<0.01). Multivariate regression models revealed that protease mutations present at the initiation of saquinavir-ritonavir therapy were the strongest predictors of virologic response. A model of clinical features explained up to 45% of the variation in virologic outcomes by week 12, whereas the explained variance was 71% when genotypic predictors were included.Conclusions: In patients in whom protease inhibitor-containing antiretroviral therapy fails, HIV-1 genotype is predictive of virologic response to subsequent therapy. This predictive capacity adds to that of standard clinical evaluation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Describes some promising developments in computer-intensive statistical methodology. Examples involve bootstrap methods, nonparametric regression, generalized additive models and classification and regression trees.

Objective: To determine the frequency and pattern of development of specific drug resistance mutations for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) reverse transcriptase in patients switched from zidovudine to didanosine therapy and to examine the relation of the didanosine resistance mutation at codon 74 of the HIV reverse-transcriptase gene to CD4+ T-cell changes and virus burden.Design: Retrospective analysis of all patients enrolled at Stanford University in protocols where patients were switched from zidovudine to didanosine monotherapy.Setting: A university hospital.Patients: 64 patients infected with HIV who were switched from zidovudine to didanosine monotherapy. Patients had the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), AIDS-related complex, or were asymptomatic (mean [+/- SD] starting CD4+ T-cell count of 129 +/- 88 cells/mm3).Measurements: Serial serum specimens were tested for the didanosine resistance mutation at codon 74 of the HIV reverse-transcriptase gene and for a zidovudine resistance mutation at codon 215 using selective polymerase chain reactions (PCR). Serum HIV RNA levels were determined by quantitative PCR. CD4+ T-cell counts were determined at serial time points.Results: By 24 weeks of didanosine therapy, the proportion of patients with the didanosine resistance mutation at codon 74 increased from 0% to 56% (36 of 64). In contrast, the proportion of patients with the zidovudine resistance mutation at codon 215 decreased from 84% at the start to 59% after 24 weeks of didanosine therapy (a 25% decrease, 95% lower CI, 15%; P < 0.0001). Patients who developed the codon 74 mutation had a greater decrease in CD4+ T cells after the development of the mutation than did patients without the mutation (P < 0.001). In addition, after 24 weeks of didanosine, patients who developed the codon 74 mutation had a greater serum HIV RNA burden than patients who remained wild type (did not have the mutation) at codon 74 (225,000 compared with 82,400 HIV RNA copies/mL serum; P = 0.01).Conclusions: Among patients infected with HIV who had advanced disease and were switched from zidovudine to didanosine therapy, more than one half developed the didanosine resistance mutation at codon 74 by 24 weeks of didanosine therapy. Patients who developed the codon 74 mutation had a greater decline in CD4+ T cells after the development of the mutation and had a greater serum virus burden than did patients without the codon 74 mutation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]