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Business tendency surveys provide information which is valuable to the respondents themselves as well as to economic policy makers and analysts. This is an area of special interest for economists working in governments, national banks, statistical offices and for scientists. CIRET international conferences are the meeting place for top scientists of these areas from worldwide, and they successfully integrate the academic and business communities involved in business surveys and business cycles. The book contains a selection of topics that have been discussed at 35th CIRET Conference titled Economic Tendency Surveys And Economic Policy: Measuring Output Gaps and Growth Potentials, which took place from 15 to 17 September 2021 in Poznań, Poland. See more on the global and local CIRET Conference websites. The selection is driven around two goals. In the first part, the articles are related to the research methods, as well as the use regarding a broad range of methods applied in assessing the market economic situation. The second part of the book is focused on the use of methods and situation assessment. In the presented papers, the variety within the scientific area of business tendency is shown. The work allows to prove the strong position of Polish science in this area as well.

First published in 1998, this wide-ranging and in-depth volume from specialists in economics and statistics examines leading indicators, the timing of cyclical turning points, firm behaviour, financial indicators, economic policy recommendations, transition economies and the service sector in relation to Finland's bid for European Monetary Union membership.

This title was first published in 2000: This text offers a comprehensive collection of selected papers from the 24th Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (CIRET) conference. Areas selected include leading indicators and turning points, classifications of business cycles, survey data and policy decisions, attitudes and behaviour of firms, and economic forecasting. The text aims to be of interest to all those concerned with the use of business and consumer surveys in a global context.

Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. For research workers at universities and (semi)governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.

The implications of climate change for the environment and society depend on the rate and magnitude of climate change, but also on changes in technology, economics, lifestyles, and policy that will affect the capacity both for limiting and adapting to climate change. Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment reviews the state of science for considering socioeconomic changes over long time frames and clarifies definitions and concepts to facilitate communication across research communities. The book also explores driving forces and key uncertainties that will affect impacts, adaptation, vulnerability and mitigation in the future. Furthermore, it considers research needs and the elements of a strategy for describing socioeconomic and environmental futures for climate change research and assessment. Describing Socioeconomic Futures for Climate Change Research and Assessment explores the current state of science in scenario development and application, asserting that while little attention has been given to preparing quantitative and narrative socioeconomic information, advances in computing capacity are making development of such probabilistic scenarios a reality. It also addresses a number of specific methodological challenges and opportunities and discusses opportunities for a next round of assessments.

'The following chapters were selected from papers delivered at the 25th Annual Conference of the Political Economy of the World-System Section that was convened at Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University in April 2001'--Acknowledgements.

The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.

'This book is the product of a conference that was jointly sponsored by UNU/WIDER and the Institute of Development Studies of the University of Helsinki, and took place in Helsinki on 28 June 1993'--Pref.