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Despite the rapid expansion of smart grids and large volumes of data at the individual consumer level, there are still various cases where adequate data collection to train accurate load forecasting models is challenging or even impossible. This paper proposes adapting an established model-agnostic meta-learning algorithm for short-term load forecasting in the context of few-shot learning. Specifically, the proposed method can rapidly adapt and generalize within any unknown load time series of arbitrary length using only minimal training samples. In this context, the meta-learning model learns an optimal set of initial parameters for a base-level learner recurrent neural network. The proposed model is evaluated using a dataset of historical load consumption data from real-world consumers. Despite the examined load series' short length, it produces accurate forecasts outperforming transfer learning and task-specific machine learning methods by $12.5\%$. To enhance robustness and fairness during model evaluation, a novel metric, mean average log percentage error, is proposed that alleviates the bias introduced by the commonly used MAPE metric. Finally, a series of studies to evaluate the model's robustness under different hyperparameters and time series lengths is also conducted, demonstrating that the proposed approach consistently outperforms all other models., Comment: This work has been submitted to the IEEE for possible publication

Graphene is promising for nanoscale, efficient, ultra-fast photo- and opto-electronic devices because of its remarkable electrical and optical properties, such as fast electron relaxation and heat dissipation. Here, we realize high-performance graphene integrated photonics platform enabled by gold-assisted transfer. Thanks to our optimized transfer technique, we fabricate and demonstrate (1) a microscale thermo-optic modulator with a tuning efficiency of 0.037 nm/mW and high heating performance of 67.4 K${\mu}m^{3}mW^{-1}$ on a small active area of 7.54 ${\mu}m^{2}$ and (2) a graphene electro-absorption modulator featuring an high modulation bandwidth up to 26.8 GHz and a high-speed data rate reaching 48 Gb/s, and (3) a graphene Mach-Zehnder interferometer modulator with a high normalized modulation efficiency of 0.027 dBV$^{-1}{\mu}m^{-1}$. Our graphene integrated photonics platform has far superior performances compared to state of the art in terms of efficiency, low process complexity, and compact device footage. Thus, our approach and results provide the background for the realization of high-performance integrated photonic circuits with CMOS compatibility.

Most tourist destinations are facing regular and consistent seasonality with significant economic and social impacts. This phenomenon is more pronounced in the post-covid era, where demand for travel has increased but unevenly among different geographic areas. To counter these problems that both customers and hoteliers are facing, we have developed two auctioning systems that allow hoteliers of lower popularity tier areas or during low season periods to auction their rooms in what we call a forward auction model, and also allows customers to initiate a bidding process whereby hoteliers in an area may make offers to the customer for their rooms, in what constitutes a reverse auction model initiated by the customer, similar to the bidding concept of priceline.com. We develop mathematical programming models that define explicitly both types of auctions, and show that in each type, there are significant benefits to be gained both on the side of the hotelier as well as on the side of the customer. We discuss algorithmic techniques for the approximate solution of these optimization problems, and present results using exact optimization solvers to solve them to guaranteed optimality. These techniques could be beneficial to both customer and hotelier reducing seasonality during middle and low season and providing the customer with attractive offers., Comment: 21 pages, 7 figures

Load shapes derived from smart meter data are frequently employed to analyze daily energy consumption patterns, particularly in the context of applications like Demand Response (DR). Nevertheless, one of the most important challenges to this endeavor lies in identifying the most suitable consumer clusters with similar consumption behaviors. In this paper, we present a novel machine learning based framework in order to achieve optimal load profiling through a real case study, utilizing data from almost 5000 households in London. Four widely used clustering algorithms are applied specifically K-means, K-medoids, Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering and Density-based Spatial Clustering. An empirical analysis as well as multiple evaluation metrics are leveraged to assess those algorithms. Following that, we redefine the problem as a probabilistic classification one, with the classifier emulating the behavior of a clustering algorithm,leveraging Explainable AI (xAI) to enhance the interpretability of our solution. According to the clustering algorithm analysis the optimal number of clusters for this case is seven. Despite that, our methodology shows that two of the clusters, almost 10\% of the dataset, exhibit significant internal dissimilarity and thus it splits them even further to create nine clusters in total. The scalability and versatility of our solution makes it an ideal choice for power utility companies aiming to segment their users for creating more targeted Demand Response programs., Comment: 29 pages, 19 figures

Developing gaze estimation models that generalize well to unseen domains and in-the-wild conditions remains a challenge with no known best solution. This is mostly due to the difficulty of acquiring ground truth data that cover the distribution of faces, head poses, and environments that exist in the real world. Most recent methods attempt to close the gap between specific source and target domains using domain adaptation. In this work, we propose to train general gaze estimation models which can be directly employed in novel environments without adaptation. To do so, we leverage the observation that head, body, and hand pose estimation benefit from revising them as dense 3D coordinate prediction, and similarly express gaze estimation as regression of dense 3D eye meshes. To close the gap between image domains, we create a large-scale dataset of diverse faces with gaze pseudo-annotations, which we extract based on the 3D geometry of the scene, and design a multi-view supervision framework to balance their effect during training. We test our method in the task of gaze generalization, in which we demonstrate improvement of up to 30% compared to state-of-the-art when no ground truth data are available, and up to 10% when they are. The project material are available for research purposes at https://github.com/Vagver/3DGazeNet., Comment: 17 pages, 13 figures

We present Dynamic Neural Portraits, a novel approach to the problem of full-head reenactment. Our method generates photo-realistic video portraits by explicitly controlling head pose, facial expressions and eye gaze. Our proposed architecture is different from existing methods that rely on GAN-based image-to-image translation networks for transforming renderings of 3D faces into photo-realistic images. Instead, we build our system upon a 2D coordinate-based MLP with controllable dynamics. Our intuition to adopt a 2D-based representation, as opposed to recent 3D NeRF-like systems, stems from the fact that video portraits are captured by monocular stationary cameras, therefore, only a single viewpoint of the scene is available. Primarily, we condition our generative model on expression blendshapes, nonetheless, we show that our system can be successfully driven by audio features as well. Our experiments demonstrate that the proposed method is 270 times faster than recent NeRF-based reenactment methods, with our networks achieving speeds of 24 fps for resolutions up to 1024 x 1024, while outperforming prior works in terms of visual quality., Comment: In IEEE/CVF Winter Conference on Applications of Computer Vision (WACV) 2023

We present Free-HeadGAN, a person-generic neural talking head synthesis system. We show that modeling faces with sparse 3D facial landmarks are sufficient for achieving state-of-the-art generative performance, without relying on strong statistical priors of the face, such as 3D Morphable Models. Apart from 3D pose and facial expressions, our method is capable of fully transferring the eye gaze, from a driving actor to a source identity. Our complete pipeline consists of three components: a canonical 3D key-point estimator that regresses 3D pose and expression-related deformations, a gaze estimation network and a generator that is built upon the architecture of HeadGAN. We further experiment with an extension of our generator to accommodate few-shot learning using an attention mechanism, in case more than one source images are available. Compared to the latest models for reenactment and motion transfer, our system achieves higher photo-realism combined with superior identity preservation, while offering explicit gaze control.

Radiomics uses quantitative medical imaging features to predict clinical outcomes. Currently, in a new clinical application, finding the optimal radiomics method out of the wide range of available options has to be done manually through a heuristic trial-and-error process. In this study we propose a framework for automatically optimizing the construction of radiomics workflows per application. To this end, we formulate radiomics as a modular workflow and include a large collection of common algorithms for each component. To optimize the workflow per application, we employ automated machine learning using a random search and ensembling. We evaluate our method in twelve different clinical applications, resulting in the following area under the curves: 1) liposarcoma (0.83); 2) desmoid-type fibromatosis (0.82); 3) primary liver tumors (0.80); 4) gastrointestinal stromal tumors (0.77); 5) colorectal liver metastases (0.61); 6) melanoma metastases (0.45); 7) hepatocellular carcinoma (0.75); 8) mesenteric fibrosis (0.80); 9) prostate cancer (0.72); 10) glioma (0.71); 11) Alzheimer's disease (0.87); and 12) head and neck cancer (0.84). We show that our framework has a competitive performance compared human experts, outperforms a radiomics baseline, and performs similar or superior to Bayesian optimization and more advanced ensemble approaches. Concluding, our method fully automatically optimizes the construction of radiomics workflows, thereby streamlining the search for radiomics biomarkers in new applications. To facilitate reproducibility and future research, we publicly release six datasets, the software implementation of our framework, and the code to reproduce this study., Comment: 33 pages, 4 figures, 4 tables, 2 supplementary figures, 3 supplementary table, submitted to Medical Image Analysis; revision

Over the past years, a substantial amount of work has been done on the problem of facial reenactment, with the solutions coming mainly from the graphics community. Head reenactment is an even more challenging task, which aims at transferring not only the facial expression, but also the entire head pose from a source person to a target. Current approaches either train person-specific systems, or use facial landmarks to model human heads, a representation that might transfer unwanted identity attributes from the source to the target. We propose head2headFS, a novel easily adaptable pipeline for head reenactment. We condition synthesis of the target person on dense 3D face shape information from the source, which enables high quality expression and pose transfer. Our video-based rendering network is fine-tuned under a few-shot learning strategy, using only a few samples. This allows for fast adaptation of a generic generator trained on a multiple-person dataset, into a person-specific one.

Histopathology-based survival modelling has two major hurdles. Firstly, a well-performing survival model has minimal clinical application if it does not contribute to the stratification of a cancer patient cohort into different risk groups, preferably driven by histologic morphologies. In the clinical setting, individuals are not given specific prognostic predictions, but are rather predicted to lie within a risk group which has a general survival trend. Thus, It is imperative that a survival model produces well-stratified risk groups. Secondly, until now, survival modelling was done in a two-stage approach (encoding and aggregation). The massive amount of pixels in digitized whole slide images were never utilized to their fullest extent due to technological constraints on data processing, forcing decoupled learning. EPIC-Survival bridges encoding and aggregation into an end-to-end survival modelling approach, while introducing stratification boosting to encourage the model to not only optimize ranking, but also to discriminate between risk groups. In this study we show that EPIC-Survival performs better than other approaches in modelling intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, a historically difficult cancer to model. Further, we show that stratification boosting improves further improves model performance, resulting in a concordance-index of 0.880 on a held-out test set. Finally, we were able to identify specific histologic differences, not commonly sought out in ICC, between low and high risk groups., Comment: co-first authors: Hassan Muhammad and Chensu Xie

Recent attempts to solve the problem of head reenactment using a single reference image have shown promising results. However, most of them either perform poorly in terms of photo-realism, or fail to meet the identity preservation problem, or do not fully transfer the driving pose and expression. We propose HeadGAN, a novel system that conditions synthesis on 3D face representations, which can be extracted from any driving video and adapted to the facial geometry of any reference image, disentangling identity from expression. We further improve mouth movements, by utilising audio features as a complementary input. The 3D face representation enables HeadGAN to be further used as an efficient method for compression and reconstruction and a tool for expression and pose editing., Comment: Accepted in IEEE International Conference on Computer Vision 2021 (ICCV 2021)

Facial video re-targeting is a challenging problem aiming to modify the facial attributes of a target subject in a seamless manner by a driving monocular sequence. We leverage the 3D geometry of faces and Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to design a novel deep learning architecture for the task of facial and head reenactment. Our method is different to purely 3D model-based approaches, or recent image-based methods that use Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNNs) to generate individual frames. We manage to capture the complex non-rigid facial motion from the driving monocular performances and synthesise temporally consistent videos, with the aid of a sequential Generator and an ad-hoc Dynamics Discriminator network. We conduct a comprehensive set of quantitative and qualitative tests and demonstrate experimentally that our proposed method can successfully transfer facial expressions, head pose and eye gaze from a source video to a target subject, in a photo-realistic and faithful fashion, better than other state-of-the-art methods. Most importantly, our system performs end-to-end reenactment in nearly real-time speed (18 fps)., Comment: Published in IEEE Transactions on Biometrics, Behavior, and Identity Science (Volume: 3, Issue: 1, Jan. 2021)

Video-to-video synthesis is a challenging problem aiming at learning a translation function between a sequence of semantic maps and a photo-realistic video depicting the characteristics of a driving video. We propose a head-to-head system of our own implementation capable of fully transferring the human head 3D pose, facial expressions and eye gaze from a source to a target actor, while preserving the identity of the target actor. Our system produces high-fidelity, temporally-smooth and photo-realistic synthetic videos faithfully transferring the human time-varying head attributes from the source to the target actor. Our proposed implementation: 1) works in real time ($\sim 20$ fps), 2) runs on a commodity laptop with a webcam as the only input, 3) is interactive, allowing the participant to drive a target person, e.g. a celebrity, politician, etc, instantly by varying their expressions, head pose, and eye gaze, and visualising the synthesised video concurrently., Comment: to be published in 15th IEEE International Conference on Automatic Face and Gesture Recognition (FG 2020)

In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning architecture for facial reenactment. In particular, contrary to the model-based approaches or recent frame-based methods that use Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (DCNNs) to generate individual frames, we propose a novel method that (a) exploits the special structure of facial motion (paying particular attention to mouth motion) and (b) enforces temporal consistency. We demonstrate that the proposed method can transfer facial expressions, pose and gaze of a source actor to a target video in a photo-realistic fashion more accurately than state-of-the-art methods., Comment: To be published in 15th IEEE International Conference on Automatic Face and Gesture Recognition (FG 2020)

Despite remarkable success in image-to-image translation that celebrates the advancements of generative adversarial networks (GANs), very limited attempts are known for video domain translation. We study the task of video-to-video translation in the context of visual speech generation, where the goal is to transform an input video of any spoken word to an output video of a different word. This is a multi-domain translation, where each word forms a domain of videos uttering this word. Adaptation of the state-of-the-art image-to-image translation model (StarGAN) to this setting falls short with a large vocabulary size. Instead we propose to use character encodings of the words and design a novel character-based GANs architecture for video-to-video translation called Visual Speech GAN (ViSpGAN). We are the first to demonstrate video-to-video translation with a vocabulary of 500 words.

Unlike common cancers, such as those of the prostate and breast, tumor grading in rare cancers is difficult and largely undefined because of small sample sizes, the sheer volume of time needed to undertake on such a task, and the inherent difficulty of extracting human-observed patterns. One of the most challenging examples is intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC), a primary liver cancer arising from the biliary system, for which there is well-recognized tumor heterogeneity and no grading paradigm or prognostic biomarkers. In this paper, we propose a new unsupervised deep convolutional autoencoder-based clustering model that groups together cellular and structural morphologies of tumor in 246 ICC digitized whole slides, based on visual similarity. From this visual dictionary of histologic patterns, we use the clusters as covariates to train Cox-proportional hazard survival models. In univariate analysis, three clusters were significantly associated with recurrence-free survival. Combinations of these clusters were significant in multivariate analysis. In a multivariate analysis of all clusters, five showed significance to recurrence-free survival, however the overall model was not measured to be significant. Finally, a pathologist assigned clinical terminology to the significant clusters in the visual dictionary and found evidence supporting the hypothesis that collagen-enriched fibrosis plays a role in disease severity. These results offer insight into the future of cancer subtyping and show that computational pathology can contribute to disease prognostication, especially in rare cancers., Comment: 10 pages, 6 figures