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Background and ObjectivesProspective, deeply phenotyped research cohorts monitoring individuals with chronic neurologic conditions, such as multiple sclerosis (MS), depend on continued participant engagement. The COVID-19 pandemic restricted in-clinic research activities, threatening this longitudinal engagement, but also forced adoption of televideo-enabled care. This offered a natural experiment in which to analyze key dimensions of remote research: (1) comparison of remote vs in-clinic visit costs from multiple perspectives and (2) comparison of the remote with in-clinic measures in cross-sectional and longitudinal disability evaluations.MethodsBetween March 2020 and December 2021, 207 MS cohort participants underwent hybrid in-clinic and virtual research visits; 96 contributed 100 “matched visits,” that is, in-clinic (Neurostatus-Expanded Disability Status Scale [NS-EDSS]) and remote (televideo-enabled EDSS [tele-EDSS]; electronic patient-reported EDSS [ePR-EDSS]) evaluations. Clinical, demographic, and socioeconomic characteristics of participants were collected.ResultsThe costs of remote visits were lower than in-clinic visits for research investigators (facilities, personnel, parking, participant compensation) but also for participants (travel, caregiver time) and carbon footprint (p< 0.05 for each). Median cohort EDSS was similar between the 3 modalities (NS-EDSS: 2, tele-EDSS: 1.5, ePR-EDSS: 2, range 0.6.5); the remote evaluations were each noninferior to the NS-EDSS within ±0.5 EDSS point (TOST for noninferiority,p< 0.01 for each). Furthermore, year to year, the % of participants with worsening/stable/improved EDSS scores was similar, whether each annual evaluation used NS-EDSS or whether it switched from NS-EDSS to tele-EDSS.DiscussionAltogether, the current findings suggest that remote evaluations can reduce the costs of research participation for patients, while providing a reasonable evaluation of disability trajectory longitudinally. This could inform the design of remote research that is more inclusive of diverse participants.

A major challenge in multiple sclerosis (MS) research is the understanding of silent progression and Progressive MS. Using a novel method to accurately capture upper cervical cord area from legacy brain MRI scans we aimed to study the role of spinal cord and brain atrophy for silent progression and conversion to secondary progressive disease (SPMS).From a single-center observational study, all RRMS (n = 360) and SPMS (n = 47) patients and 80 matched controls were evaluated. RRMS patient subsets who converted to SPMS (n = 54) or silently progressed (n = 159), respectively, during the 12-year observation period were compared to clinically matched RRMS patients remaining RRMS (n = 54) or stable (n = 147), respectively. From brain MRI, we assessed the value of brain and spinal cord measures to predict silent progression and SPMS conversion.Patients who developed SPMS showed faster cord atrophy rates (-2.19%/yr) at least 4 years before conversion compared to their RRMS matches (-0.88%/yr, p 0.001). Spinal cord atrophy rates decelerated after conversion (-1.63%/yr, p = 0.010) towards those of SPMS patients from study entry (-1.04%). Each 1% faster spinal cord atrophy rate was associated with 69% (p 0.0001) and 53% (p 0.0001) shorter time to silent progression and SPMS conversion, respectively.Silent progression and conversion to secondary progressive disease are predominantly related to cervical cord atrophy. This atrophy is often present from the earliest disease stages and predicts the speed of silent progression and conversion to Progressive MS. Diagnosis of SPMS is rather a late recognition of this neurodegenerative process than a distinct disease phase. ANN NEUROL 2022;91:268-281.

Background: In persons with multiple sclerosis (MS), the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) is the criterion standard for assessing disability, but its in-person nature constrains patient participation in research and clinical assessments. Objective: The aim of this study was to develop and validate a scalable, electronic, unsupervised patient-reported EDSS (ePR-EDSS) that would capture MS-related disability across the spectrum of severity. Methods: We enrolled 136 adult MS patients, split into a preliminary testing Cohort 1 ( n = 50), and a validation Cohort 2 ( n = 86), which was evenly distributed across EDSS groups. Each patient completed an ePR-EDSS either immediately before or after a MS clinician’s Neurostatus EDSS evaluation. Results: In Cohort 2, mean age was 50.6 years (range = 26–80) and median EDSS was 3.5 (interquartile range (IQR) = [1.5, 5.5]). The ePR-EDSS and EDSS agreed within 1-point for 86% of examinations; kappa for agreement within 1-point was 0.85 ( p Discussion: The ePR-EDSS was highly correlated with EDSS, with good agreement even at lower EDSS levels. For clinical care, the ePR-EDSS could enable the longitudinal monitoring of a patient’s disability. For research, it provides a valid and rapid measure across the entire spectrum of disability and permits broader participation with fewer in-person assessments.

Author(s): University of California, San Francisco MS-EPIC Team; Cree, Bruce AC; Hollenbach, Jill A; Bove, Riley; Kirkish, Gina; Sacco, Simone; Caverzasi, Eduardo; Bischof, Antje; Gundel, Tristan; Zhu, Alyssa H; Papinutto, Nico; Stern, William A; Bevan, Carolyn; Romeo, Andrew; Goodin, Douglas S; Gelfand, Jeffrey M; Graves, Jennifer; Green, Ari J; Wilson, Michael R; Zamvil, Scott S; Zhao, Chao; Gomez, Refujia; Ragan, Nicholas R; Rush, Gillian Q; Barba, Patrick; Santaniello, Adam; Baranzini, Sergio E; Oksenberg, Jorge R; Henry, Roland G; Hauser, Stephen L | Abstract: ObjectiveRates of worsening and evolution to secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) may be substantially lower in actively treated patients compared to natural history studies from the pretreatment era. Nonetheless, in our recently reported prospective cohort, more than half of patients with relapsing MS accumulated significant new disability by the 10th year of follow-up. Notably, "no evidence of disease activity" at 2 years did not predict long-term stability. Here, we determined to what extent clinical relapses and radiographic evidence of disease activity contribute to long-term disability accumulation.MethodsDisability progression was defined as an increase in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) of 1.5, 1.0, or 0.5 (or greater) from baseline EDSS = 0, 1.0-5.0, and 5.5 or higher, respectively, assessed from baseline to year 5 (±1 year) and sustained to year 10 (±1 year). Longitudinal analysis of relative brain volume loss used a linear mixed model with sex, age, disease duration, and HLA-DRB1*15:01 as covariates.ResultsRelapses were associated with a transient increase in disability over 1-year intervals (p = 0.012) but not with confirmed disability progression (p = 0.551). Relative brain volume declined at a greater rate among individuals with disability progression compared to those who remained stable (p l 0.05).InterpretationLong-term worsening is common in relapsing MS patients, is largely independent of relapse activity, and is associated with accelerated brain atrophy. We propose the term silent progression to describe the insidious disability that accrues in many patients who satisfy traditional criteria for relapsing-remitting MS. Ann Neurol 2019;85:653-666.

OBJECTIVETo study the accumulation of MS-risk resulting from different combinations of MS-associated conserved-extended-haplotypes of the MHC and three non-MHC risk-loci nearby genes EOMES, ZFP36L1, CLEC16A.BACKGROUNDDefining “genetic-susceptibility” as having a non-zero probability of developing MS, both theoretical considerations and epidemiological observations indicate that only 2.2–4.5% of northern-populations can possibly be “genetically-susceptible” to MS. Nevertheless, many haplotypes (both within the MHC and elsewhere) are unequivocally MS-associated and, yet, have population-frequencies of >20%. Such frequency-disparities underscore the complex-interactions that must occur between these “risk-haplotypes” and MS-susceptibility.DESIGN/MEHTODSThe WTCCC dataset was statistically-phased at the MHC and at three other susceptibility-regions. Haplotypes were stratified by their impact on “MS-risk”. MS-associations for different combinations of “risk-haplotypes” were assessed. The appropriateness of both additive and multiplicative risk-accumulation models was determined.RESULTSCombinations of different “risk-haplotypes” produced an MS-risk that was considerably closer to an additive model than a multiplicative model. Nevertheless, neither of these simple probability-models adequately accounted for the accumulation of disease-risk in MS at these four loci.CONCLUSIONS“Genetic-susceptibility” to MS seems to depend upon the exact state at each “risk-locus” and upon specific gene-gene combinations across loci. Moreover, “genetic-susceptibility” is both rare in the population and, yet, is a necessary condition for MS to develop in any individual. In this sense, MS is a “genetic” disease. Nevertheless although, “genetic-susceptibility” is a necessary condition for MS to develop, environmental factors (whatever these may be) and stochastic processes are also necessary determinants of whether a “genetically-susceptible” individual will actually get MS.Author SummaryDefining a “genetically-susceptible” individual to be any person in the population who has any chance of developing multiple sclerosis (MS), we demonstrate that, at a theoretical level and using widely-accepted epidemiological observations, only 2.2-4.5% of individuals in northern populations can possibly be “genetically susceptible” to MS. Thus, more than 95.5% of individuals in these populations have no chance of getting MS, regardless of the environmental circumstances that they may experience.Nevertheless, certain “susceptibility-haplotypes” (e.g., HLA-DRB1*15:01~DQB1*06:02) have a far greater carrier-frequency than 2.2-4.5%. Consequently, most carriers of these “susceptibility-haplotypes” have no chance of getting MS and, therefore, their “susceptibility” must arise from some combination of these haplotypes with other “susceptibility-haplotypes”. By analyzing such combinatorial impacts at four susceptibility-loci, we found significant interactions both within and between the different “susceptibility-haplotypes”, thereby confirming the relationship between “genetic-susceptibility” and specific gene-gene combinations.The nature of “genetic-susceptibility” developed here is applicable to other complex genetic disorders. Indeed, any disease for which the MZ-twin concordance rate is substantially greater than the life-time risk in the general population, only a small fraction of the population can possibly be in the “genetically-susceptible” subset (i.e., have any chance of developing the disease).

Objective To explore the nature of genetic-susceptibility to multiple sclerosis (MS) in African-Americans. Background Recently, the number of genetic-associations with MS has exploded although the MS-associations of specific haplotypes within the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) have been known for decades. For example, the haplotypes HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02, and HLA-DRB1*03:01~ HLA-DQB1*02:01 have odds ratios (ORs) for an MS-association orders of magnitude stronger than many of these newly-discovered associations. Nevertheless, all these haplotypes are part of much larger conserved extended haplotypes (CEHs), which span both the Class I and Class II MHC regions. African-Americans are at greater risk of developing MS compared to a native Africans but at lesser risk compared to Europeans. It is the purpose of this manuscript to explore the relationship between MS-susceptibility and the CEH make-up of our African-American cohort. Design/methods The African-American (AA) cohort consisted of 1,305 patients with MS and 1,155 controls, who self-identified as being African-American. For comparison, we used the 18,492 controls and 11,144 MS-cases from the predominantly European Wellcome Trust Case Control Consortium (WTCCC) and the 28,557 phased native Africans from the multinational “Be the Match” registry. The WTCCC and the African-Americans were phased at each of five HLA loci (HLA-A, HLA-C, HLA-B, HLA-DRB1 and HLA-DQB1) and the at 11 SNPs (10 of which were in non-coding regions) surrounding the Class II region of the DRB1 gene using previously-published probabilistic phasing algorithms. Results Of the 32 most frequent CEHs, 18 (56%) occurred either more frequently or exclusively in Africans) whereas 9 (28%) occurred more frequently or exclusively in Europeans. The remaining 5 CEHs occurred in neither control group although, likely, these were African in origin. Eight of these CEHs carried the DRB1*15:03~DQB1*06:02~a36 haplotype and three carried the DRB1*15:01~DQB1*06:02~a1 haplotype. In African Americans, a single-copy of the European CEH (03:01_07:02_07:02_15:01_06:02_a1) was associated with considerable MS-risk (OR = 3.30; p = 0.0001)–similar to that observed in the WTCCC (OR = 3.25; p−168). By contrast, the MS-risk for the European CEH (02:01_07:02_07:02_15:01_06:02_a1) was less (OR = 1.49; ns)–again, similar to the WTCCC (OR = 2.2; p−38). Moreover, four African haplotypes were “protective” relative to a neutral reference, to three European CEHs, and also to the five other African CEHs. Conclusions The common CEHs in African Americans are divisible into those that are either African or European in origin, which are derived without modification from their source population. European CEHs, linked to MS-risk, in general, had similar impacts in African-Americans as they did in Europeans. By contrast, African CEHs had mixed MS-risks. For a few, the MS-risk exceeded that in a neutral-reference group whereas, for many others, these CEHs were “protective”–perhaps providing a partial rationale for the lower MS-risk in African-Americans compared to European-Americans.

OBJECTIVETo explore the nature of MS-susceptibility and, by extension, other complex-genetic diseases.BACKGROUNDBasic-epidemiological parameters of MS (e.g., prevalence, recurrence-risks for siblings and twins, time-dependent changes in sex-ratio, etc.) are well-established. Moreover, >200 genetic-loci are unequivocally MS-associated, especially the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 haplotype-association.DESIGN/METHODSWe define the “genetically-susceptible” subset-(G) to include everyone with any non-zero life-time chance of developing MS. We analyze, mathematically, the implications that these epidemiological observations have regarding genetic susceptibility. In addition, we use the sex-ratio change (observed over a 35-year interval), to derive the relationship between MS-probability and an increasing likelihood of a suitable environmental-exposure.RESULTSWe demonstrate that genetic-susceptibitly is restricted to less than 4.7% of populations across Europe and North America. Among carriers of the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 haplotype, fewer than 20% are even in the subset-(G). Women are less likely to be susceptible than men although their MS-penetrance is considerably greater. Response-curves for MS-probability increase with an increasing likelihood of a suitable environmental-exposure, especially among women. These environmental response-curves plateau at under 50% for women and at a significantly lower level for men.CONCLUSIONSMS is fundamentally a genetic disorder. Despite this, a suitable environmental-exposure is also critical for disease-pathogenesis. Genetic-susceptibility requires specific combinations of non-additive genetic risk-factors. For example, the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 haplotype, by itself, poses no MS-risk. Moreover, the fact that environmental-response-curves plateau below 50%, indicates that disease-pathogenesis is partly stochastic. By extension, other diseases for which monozygotic-twin recurrence-risks greatly exceed disease-prevalence (e.g., rheumatoid arthritis, diabetes, and celiac disease), must have a similar genetic basis.Author SummaryWe define a “genetic-susceptible” subset (G) of the general population (Z) to include everyone with any non-zero chance of developing MS over their life-time. Using well-established epidemiological data from across Europe and North America, we establish that genetic-susceptibility is confined to less than 4.7% of these populations. Thus, the large majority of individuals have no chance whatsoever of developing MS, irrespective of any environmental conditions that they may experience during their lifetimes. In this sense, MS is fundamentally a genetic disorder. And, indeed, more than 200 genetic-loci, in multiple genomic locations have now been well-established to be associated with MS. Notably, however, the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 or (H+) haplotype, which has, by far, the strongest MS-association of any, has a carrier frequency in the population of 23% in North America and Europe. Therefore, with genetic susceptibility in the population being less than 4.7%, more than 80% of (H+)-haplotype carriers, must not be genetically-susceptible and, thus, have no chance of developing MS. In this circumstance, genetic susceptibility to MS must arise from a combination of this haplotype with “susceptible states” at other genetic loci. By itself, the (H+)-haplotype poses no risk. Indeed, genetic-susceptibility, generally, seems to require specific combinations of non-additive genetic risk-factors.Naturally, the conclusion that MS is fundamentally genetic does not preclude the possibility the environmental events are also critical to disease-pathogenesis. Using epidemiological data about the world-wide increase in the (F:M) sex-ratio for MS to construct (for men and women separately) the response curves relating an increasing likelihood of MS to an increasing likelihood of a sufficient environmental exposure (i.e., an exposure sufficient to cause MS in a susceptible individual). This analysis provides insight to both disease-susceptibility and disease-pathogenesis. First, men are more likely to be susceptible than women although susceptible women are considerably more likely to actually develop MS. Second, men seem to have a lower environmental threshold than women for developing MS. Nevertheless, women are more responsive to changes in the environmental conditions compared to men. Third, even with a maximal environmental exposure, susceptible women never exceed a 50% chance of developing MS. By contrast, susceptible men have a significantly lower likelihood (Finally, the nature of genetic susceptibility developed here for MS is applicable to many other complex genetic disorders. Indeed, for any disease, in which the proband-wise MZ-twin concordance rate greatly exceeds the disease-prevalence in the population (e.g., type I diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, and celiac disease), only a small fraction of the population can possibly be genetically susceptible, as defined.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: MR imaging is essential for MS diagnosis and management, yet it has limitations in assessing axonal damage and remyelination. Gadolinium-based contrast agents add value by pinpointing acute inflammation and blood-brain barrier leakage, but with drawbacks in safety and cost. Neurite orientation dispersion and density imaging (NODDI) assesses microstructural features of neurites contributing to diffusion imaging signals. This approach may resolve the components of MS pathology, overcoming conventional MR imaging limitations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-one subjects with MS underwent serial enhanced MRIs (12.6 ± 9 months apart) including NODDI, whose key metrics are the neurite density and orientation dispersion index. Twenty-one age- and sex-matched healthy controls underwent unenhanced MR imaging with the same protocol. Fifty-eight gadolinium-enhancing and non-gadolinium-enhancing lesions were semiautomatically segmented at baseline and follow-up. Normal-appearing WM masks were generated by subtracting lesions and dirty-appearing WM from the whole WM. RESULTS: The orientation dispersion index was higher in gadolinium-enhancing compared with non-gadolinium-enhancing lesions; logistic regression indicated discrimination, with an area under the curve of 0.73. At follow-up, in the 58 previously enhancing lesions, we identified 2 subgroups based on the neurite density index change across time: Type 1 lesions showed increased neurite density values, whereas type 2 lesions showed decreased values. Type 1 lesions showed greater reduction in size with time compared with type 2 lesions. CONCLUSIONS: NODDI is a promising tool with the potential to detect acute MS inflammation. The observed heterogeneity among lesions may correspond to gradients in severity and clinical recovery after the acute phase.

Background: Long-term follow-up from the randomized trial of interferon beta-1b (IFNB-1b) permitted the assessment of different definitions of no evidence of disease activity (NEDA) for predicting long-term outcome in multiple sclerosis (MS). Objective: To examine the predictive validity of different NEDA definitions. Methods: Predictive validity for negative disability outcomes (NDOs) at 16 years and survival at 21 years post-randomization were assessed. NEDA in the first 2 years was defined as follows: clinical NEDA: no relapses or Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) progression from baseline to Year 2; NEDA-3a: no relapses, no confirmed ⩾1-point EDSS progression, and no new T2-active lesions; NEDA-3b: no relapses, no EDSS progression, and no increase in T2 burden of disease (T2-BOD); and NEDA-4: no relapses, no EDSS progression, and no increase in T2-BOD or atrophy. NDOs were defined as death, need for wheelchair, EDSS ⩾6, or progressive MS. Results: A total of 245 and 371 patients were evaluated at 16 and 21 years, respectively. Clinical NEDA predicted NDOs ( p = 0.0029), as did baseline EDSS ( p Conclusion: Clinical NEDA predicted long-term disability outcome. By contrast, definitions of NEDA that included on-therapy changes in magnetic resonance imaging variables did not increase the predictive validity.

Background: Electronic medical records (EMR) data are increasingly used in research, but no studies have yet evaluated similarity between EMR and research-quality data and between characteristics of an EMR multiple sclerosis (MS) population and known natural MS history. Objectives: To (1) identify MS patients in an EMR system and extract clinical data, (2) compare EMR-extracted data with gold-standard research data, and (3) compare EMR MS population characteristics to expected MS natural history. Methods: Algorithms were implemented to identify MS patients from the University of California San Francisco EMR, de-identify the data and extract clinical variables. EMR-extracted data were compared to research cohort data in a subset of patients. Results: We identified 4142 MS patients via search of the EMR and extracted their clinical data with good accuracy. EMR and research values showed good concordance for Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), timed-25-foot walk, and subtype. We replicated several expected MS epidemiological features from MS natural history including higher EDSS for progressive versus relapsing–remitting patients and for male versus female patients and increased EDSS with age at examination and disease duration. Conclusion: Large real-world cohorts algorithmically extracted from the EMR can expand opportunities for MS clinical research.

Establishing the relative efficacy and safety of the different disease modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) is critical to the choice of agent that clinicians recommend for individual MS patients. The best evidence for the relative efficacy of the different DMTs comes from head-to-head randomized clinical trials (RCTs). Understanding that outcome-measures with the best established validity are the relapse rate and the actual (not the "confirmed") change in the extended disability status scale (EDSS), we conclude from these head-to-head RCTs that interferon-beta (IFNβ) given subcutaneously multiple times per week (either IFNβ-1b or IFNβ-1a) and glatiramer acetate (GA) are about equivalent in terms of efficacy and that both of these agents, as well as many of the other DMTs, are superior to weekly intramuscular IFNβ-1a. Nevertheless, as ever-newer agents with novel mechanisms of action are brought to the marketplace, such direct head-to-head trials are becoming increasingly impractical, raising the need for alternative methods to draw reasonable inferences from less rigorous clinical data. One possible approach to judging comparative efficacy is to make comparisons across clinical trials using the complimentary analytic methods of calculating both the relative risk/rate and the absolute risk/rate reductions. A consideration and application of this analytic approach is undertaken here. It is only with an understanding of the safety and efficacy of the different agents that we can select, together with the patient, the right agent for the right person.

Objective To understand the nature of genetic and environmental susceptibility to multiple sclerosis (MS) and, by extension, susceptibility to other complex genetic diseases. Background Certain basic epidemiological parameters of MS (e.g., population-prevalence of MS, recurrence-risks for MS in siblings and twins, proportion of women among MS patients, and the time-dependent changes in the sex-ratio) are well-established. In addition, more than 233 genetic-loci have now been identified as being unequivocally MS-associated, including 32 loci within the major histocompatibility complex (MHC), and one locus on the X chromosome. Despite this recent explosion in genetic associations, however, the association of MS with the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 (H+) haplotype has been known for decades. Design/Methods We define the “genetically-susceptible” subset (G) to include everyone with any non-zero life-time chance of developing MS. Individuals who have no chance of developing MS, regardless of their environmental experiences, belong to the mutually exclusive “non-susceptible” subset (G–). Using these well-established epidemiological parameters, we analyze, mathematically, the implications that these observations have regarding the genetic-susceptibility to MS. In addition, we use the sex-ratio change (observed over a 35-year interval in Canada), to derive the relationship between MS-probability and an increasing likelihood of a sufficient environmental exposure. Results We demonstrate that genetic-susceptibitly is confined to less than 7.3% of populations throughout Europe and North America. Consequently, more than 92.7% of individuals in these populations have no chance whatsoever of developing MS, regardless of their environmental experiences. Even among carriers of the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 haplotype, far fewer than 32% can possibly be members the (G) subset. Also, despite the current preponderance of women among MS patients, women are less likely to be in the susceptible (G) subset and have a higher environmental threshold for developing MS compared to men. Nevertheless, the penetrance of MS in susceptible women is considerably greater than it is in men. Moreover, the response-curves for MS-probability in susceptible individuals increases with an increasing likelihood of a sufficient environmental exposure, especially among women. However, these environmental response-curves plateau at under 50% for women and at a significantly lower level for men. Conclusions The pathogenesis of MS requires both a genetic predisposition and a suitable environmental exposure. Nevertheless, genetic-susceptibility is rare in the population (< 7.3%) and requires specific combinations of non-additive genetic risk-factors. For example, only a minority of carriers of the HLA-DRB1*15:01~HLA-DQB1*06:02~a1 haplotype are even in the (G) subset and, thus, genetic-susceptibility to MS in these carriers must result from the combined effect this haplotype together with the effects of certain other (as yet, unidentified) genetic factors. By itself, this haplotype poses no MS-risk. By contrast, a sufficient environmental exposure (however many events are involved, whenever these events need to act, and whatever these events might be) is common, currently occurring in, at least, 76% of susceptible individuals. In addition, the fact that environmental response-curves plateau well below 50% (especially in men), indicates that disease pathogenesis is partly stochastic. By extension, other diseases, for which monozygotic-twin recurrence-risks greatly exceed the disease-prevalence (e.g., rheumatoid arthritis, diabetes, and celiac disease), must have a similar genetic basis.

The pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS) involves both genetic-susceptibility and, at least, three sequential environmental-events. The first environmental-event is a maternal-factor, which acts near birth. The second acts subsequently but prior to approximately age 15 years and the third acts long after these first two events have already taken place. Two environmental-events strongly implicated in MS-pathogenesis are vitamin D deficiency and Epstein-Barr viral (EBV) infection. These factors seem well-suited to the first two environmental-events in this causal chain. If this notion is correct, it is likely that interrupting either of these factors (e.g. the timely supplementation of Vitamin D or the development of an EBV vaccine might be simple and effective methods for achieving primary disease prevention. In addition to these environmental-events, genetic factors are both crucial and complex. More than 110 genomic-regions have now been associated with MS-susceptibility and only a very small fraction of the population is genetically-susceptible. However, the actual genes involved are much more poorly defined than is often thought. For example, it turns out that the well-established association with the DRB1*1501 allele on chromosome 6, is, likely, not due to this allele itself but, rather, to something else that resides on the SNP-haplotype, which usually harbors this allele. Also, despite women being the large majority of MS patients, men are more likely to be genetically-susceptible. Nevertheless, women are more responsive to the changing environmental-exposures, which have occurred recently; thereby accounting for the changes in sex-ratio and MS-prevalence in women, which have been found in many regions.

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS), using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs), have yielded 110 non-human leucocyte antigen genomic regions that are associated with multiple sclerosis (MS). Despite this large number of associations, however, only 28% of MS-heritability can currently be explained. Here we compare the use of multi-SNP-haplotypes to the use of single-SNPs as alternative methods to describe MS genetic risk. SNP-haplotypes (of various lengths from 1 up to 15 contiguous SNPs) were constructed at each of the 110 previously identified, MS-associated, genomic regions. Even after correcting for the larger number of statistical comparisons made when using the haplotype-method, in 32 of the regions, the SNP-haplotype based model was markedly more significant than the single-SNP based model. By contrast, in no region was the single-SNP based model similarly more significant than the SNP-haplotype based model. Moreover, when we included the 932 MS-associated SNP-haplotypes (that we identified from 102 regions) as independent variables into a logistic linear model, the amount of MS-heritability, as assessed by Nagelkerke's R-squared, was 38%, which was considerably better than 29%, which was obtained by using only single-SNPs. This study demonstrates that SNP-haplotypes can be used to fine-map the genetic associations within regions of interest previously identified by single-SNP GWAS. Moreover, the amount of the MS genetic risk explained by the SNP-haplotype associations in the 110 MS-associated genomic regions was considerably greater when using SNP-haplotypes than when using single-SNPs. Also, the use of SNP-haplotypes can lead to the discovery of new regions of interest, which have not been identified by a single-SNP GWAS.

Background: Timely individualized treatment is essential to improving relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patient health outcomes, yet little is known about how patients make treatment decisions. We sought to evaluate RRMS patient preferences for risks and benefits of treatment. Methods: Fifty patients with RRMS completed conjoint analysis surveys with 16 hypothetical disease-modifying therapy (DMT) medication profiles developed using a fractional factorial design. Medication profiles were assigned preference ratings from 0 (not acceptable) to 10 (most favorable). Medication attributes included a range of benefits, adverse effects, administration routes, and market durations. Analytical models used linear mixed-effects regression. Results: Participants showed the highest preference for medication profiles that would improve their symptoms (β = 0.81–1.03, P < .001), not a proven DMT outcome. Preventing relapses, the main clinical trial outcome, was not associated with significant preferences (P = .35). Each year of preventing magnetic resonance imaging changes and disease symptom progression showed DMT preferences of 0.17 point (β = 0.17, P = .002) and 0.12 point (β = 0.12, P < .001), respectively. Daily oral administration was preferred over all parenteral routes (P < .001). A 1% increase in death or severe disability decreased relative DMT preference by 1.15 points (P < .001). Conclusions: Patient preference focused on symptoms and prevention of progression but not on relapse prevention, the proven drug outcome. Patients were willing to accept some level of serious risk for certain types and amounts of benefits, and they strongly preferred daily oral administration over all other options.

We present a precision medicine application developed for multiple sclerosis (MS): the MS BioScreen. This new tool addresses the challenges of dynamic management of a complex chronic disease; the interaction of clinicians and patients with such a tool illustrates the extent to which translational digital medicine-that is, the application of information technology to medicine-has the potential to radically transform medical practice. We introduce 3 key evolutionary phases in displaying data to health care providers, patients, and researchers: visualization (accessing data), contextualization (understanding the data), and actionable interpretation (real-time use of the data to assist decision making). Together, these form the stepping stones that are expected to accelerate standardization of data across platforms, promote evidence-based medicine, support shared decision making, and ultimately lead to improved outcomes.

Understanding patient preferences facilitates shared decision-making and focuses on patient-centered outcomes. Little is known about relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patient preferences for disease modifying therapies (DMTs). We use choice based conjoint (CBC) analysis to calculate patient preferences for risk/benefit trade-offs for hypothetical DMTs.Patients with RRMS were surveyed between 2012 and 2013. Our CBC survey mimicked the decision-making process and trade-offs of patients choosing DMTs, based on all possible DMT attributes. Mixed-effects logistic regression analyzed preferences. We estimated maximum acceptable risk trade-offs for various DMT benefits.Severe side-effect risks had the biggest impact on patient preference with a 1% risk, decreasing patient preference five-fold compared to no risk. (OR=0.22, p0.001). Symptom improvement was the most preferred benefit (OR=3.68, p0.001), followed by prevention of progression of 10 years (OR=2.4, p0.001). Daily oral administration had the third highest DMT preference rating (OR=2.08, p0.001). Patients were willing to accept 0.08% severe risk for a year delayed relapse, and 0.22% for 4 vs 2 year prevented progression.We provided patient preferences and risk-benefit trade-offs for attributes of all available DMTs. Evaluation of patient preferences is a key step in shared decision making and may significantly impact early drug initiation and compliance.

© 2014 American Neurological Association. Objective: In multiple sclerosis (MS), cerebral gray matter (GM) atrophy correlates more strongly than white matter (WM) atrophy with disability. The corresponding relationships in the spinal cord (SC) are unknown due to technical limitations in assessing SC GM atrophy. Using phase-sensitive inversion recovery (PSIR) magnetic resonance imaging, we determined the association of the SC GM and SC WM areas with MS disability and disease type. Methods: A total of 113 MS patients and 20 healthy controls were examined at 3T with a PSIR sequence acquired at the C2/C3 disk level. Two independent, clinically masked readers measured the cord WM and GM areas. Correlations between cord areas and Expanded Disability Status Score (EDSS) were determined. Differences in areas between groups were assessed with age and sex as covariates. Results: Relapsing MS (RMS) patients showed smaller SC GM areas than age- and sex-matched controls (p = 0.008) without significant differences in SC WM areas. Progressive MS patients showed smaller SC GM and SC WM areas compared to RMS patients (all p ≤ 0.004). SC GM, SC WM, and whole cord areas inversely correlated with EDSS (rho: -0.60, -0.32, -0.42, respectively; all p ≤ 0.001). The SC GM area was the strongest correlate of disability in multivariate models including brain GM and WM volumes, fluid-attenuated inversion recovery lesion load, T1 lesion load, SC WM area, number of SC T2 lesions, age, sex, and disease duration. Brain and spinal GM independently contributed to EDSS. Interpretation: SC GM atrophy is detectable in vivo in the absence of WM atrophy in RMS. It is more pronounced in progressive MS than RMS and contributes more to patient disability than SC WM or brain GM atrophy.

Mortality in patients with multiple sclerosis (MS) is significantly increased compared with the general population. Many questions concerning survival in MS are still unanswered due to the difficulty of comparing information collected at different times and in different geographic areas. The increasing incidence of MS, the improvement in care of the chronically disabled, and different methodologies may explain the lack of coherence among studies' results. Reported times to death from birth and from disease onset/diagnosis are highly variable. Patients older at onset or with primary progressive course have shorter survival; however, data on sex and mortality are contradictory. Changes in sex ratio in MS over time represent one possible explanation. MS is the main cause of death in ≥50% of patients and the incidence of deaths not due to MS varies among countries. Particularly, suicide is substantially increased in patients with MS, and, despite its varying incidence, mainly due to "cultural bias," it should be considered an MS-related cause of death. Recent results of the long-term follow-up study of interferon-β-1b demonstrated a significant reduction of mortality among treated patients. Notwithstanding its long latency, mortality is therefore an unambiguously valid long-term outcome in randomized controlled trials. It usefully combines the net impact of treatment efficacy on longevity and adverse events, which may reduce it.

The modern era of the therapy for multiple sclerosis began in the 1990s with introduction of interferon beta and glatiramer acetate. Now 20 years since the introduction of these disease modifying therapies, several alternatives have become available. Although, in many cases, these new agents seem especially effective, there is little head-to-head trial data to actually compare the efficacy of the newer agents to that of the older. Moreover, there is no doubt that these older agents are both effective and very safe - something which has not always proven true about the newer therapies. Consequently, there will continue to be a place for these injectable treatments, even as we move into an era where physicians are confronted with many treatment possibilities.

Background: Patient-Reported Expanded Disability Status Scale (PREDSS) tools are an attractive alternative to the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) during long term or geographically challenging studies, or in pressured clinical service environments. Objectives: Because the studies reporting these tools have used different metrics to compare the PREDSS and EDSS, we undertook an individual patient data level analysis of all available tools. Methods: Spearman’s rho and the Bland–Altman method were used to assess correlation and agreement respectively. Results: A systematic search for validated PREDSS tools covering the full EDSS range identified eight such tools. Individual patient data were available for five PREDSS tools. Excellent correlation was observed between EDSS and PREDSS with all tools. A higher level of agreement was observed with increasing levels of disability. In all tools, the 95% limits of agreement were greater than the minimum EDSS difference considered to be clinically significant. However, the intra-class coefficient was greater than that reported for EDSS raters of mixed seniority. The visual functional system was identified as the most significant predictor of the PREDSS–EDSS difference. Conclusion: This analysis will (1) enable researchers and service providers to make an informed choice of PREDSS tool, depending on their individual requirements, and (2) facilitate improvement of current PREDSS tools.

Overview. The idea that physical trauma or psychological stress might be involved in either the causation or exacerbation of MS dates back to the time of Charcot and the earliest descriptions of the illness.1 In 1897, for example, Mendel reported four cases of MS that began within a year of severe skull or spinal injury.2 In 1901, Klausner found antecedent trauma in 24 of 126 (19.0%) new-onset cases of MS.3 Similarly, in 1902, Hoffman reported a series of 100 new-onset MS patients, of whom 8 (8%) had experienced trauma within the previous year.4 A 1922 report from a commission of the Association of Nervous and Mental Diseases concluded that “in a small percentage of cases the disease [MS] appears to be excited by trauma, but trauma cannot itself cause the disease.”5 Despite such assertions, however, the debate about the relationship between MS and trauma continued. In 1933, Harris reported 16 of 234 cases (6.8%) that developed shortly after severe injury to the back or head,6 and in 1934, Von Hoesslin found 58 of 516 cases (11.2%) that were precipitated by trauma occurring within the previous 2 months.7 In 1950, Keschner, defining trauma only as severe cranial or spinal injury, found a possible relationship between trauma and the onset of MS in only 4 of 255 patients (1.7%).8 He concluded, nonetheless, that “severe trauma to head or spinal column may aggravate the course of multiple sclerosis.”8 In 1952, McAlpine published the final results of the first controlled study of this relationship, reporting a history of trauma within the 3 months preceding the onset of MS in 36 of 250 patients (14.4%) compared with only 13 (5.2%) of 250 control subjects.9 However, in 1954, Kurland and Westlund, in a population-based case-controlled study …

Objective: To examine the effects of interferon beta (IFNβ)-1b on all-cause mortality over 21 years in the cohort of 372 patients who participated in the pivotal randomized clinical trial (RCT), retaining (in the analysis) the original randomized treatment-assignments. Methods: For this randomized long-term cohort study, the primary outcome, defined before data collection, was the comparison of all-cause mortality between the IFNβ-1b 250 μg and placebo groups from the time of randomization through the entire 21-year follow-up interval (intention-to-treat, log-rank test for Kaplan-Meier survival curves). All other survival outcomes were secondary. Results: After a median of 21.1 years from RCT enrollment, 98.4% (366 of 372) of patients were identified, and, of these, 81 deaths were recorded (22.1% [81 of 366]). Patients originally randomly assigned to IFNβ-1b 250 μg showed a significant reduction in all-cause mortality over the 21-year period compared with placebo ( p = 0.0173), with a hazard ratio of 0.532 (95% confidence interval 0.314–0.902). The hazard rate of death at long-term follow-up by Kaplan-Meier estimates was reduced by 46.8% among IFNβ-1b 250 μg–treated patients (46.0% among IFNβ-1b 50 μg–treated patients) compared with placebo. Baseline variables did not influence the observed treatment effect. Conclusions: There was a significant survival advantage in this cohort of patients receiving early IFNβ-1b treatment at either dose compared with placebo. Near-complete ascertainment, together with confirmatory findings from both active treatment groups, strengthens the evidence for an IFNβ-1b benefit on all-cause mortality. Classification of Evidence: This study provides Class III evidence that early treatment with IFNβ-1b is associated with prolonged survival in initially treatment-naive patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis.

Background Epidemiological observations regarding certain population-wide parameters (e.g., disease-prevalence, recurrence-risk in relatives, gender predilections, and the distribution of common genetic-variants) place important constraints on the possibilities for the genetic-basis underlying susceptibility to multiple sclerosis (MS). Methods Using very broad range-estimates for the different population-wide epidemiological parameters, a mathematical model can help elucidate the nature and the magnitude of these constraints. Results For MS no more than 8.5 % of the population can possibly be in the “genetically-susceptible” subset (defined as having a life-time MS-probability at least as high as the overall population average). Indeed, the expected MS-probability for this subset is more than 12 times that for every other person of the population who is not in this subset. Moreover, provided that those genetically susceptible persons (genotypes), who carry the well-established MS susceptibility allele (DRB1*1501), are equally or more likely to get MS than those susceptible persons, who don’t carry this allele, then at least 84 % of MS-cases must come from this “genetically susceptible” subset. Finally, because men, compared to women, are at least as likely (and possibly more likely) to be susceptible, it can be demonstrated that women are more responsive to the environmental factors that are involved in MS-pathogenesis (whatever these are) and, thus, susceptible women are more likely actually to develop MS than susceptible men. Finally, in contrast to genetic susceptibility, more than 70 % of men (and likely also women) must have an environmental experience (including all of the necessary factors), which is sufficient to produce MS in a susceptible individual. Conclusions As a result, because of these constraints, it is possible to distinguish two classes of persons, indicating either that MS can be caused by two fundamentally different pathophysiological mechanisms or that the large majority of the population is at no risk of the developing this disease regardless of their environmental experience. Moreover, although environmental-factors would play a critical role in both mechanisms (if both exist), there is no reason to expect that these factors are the same (or even similar) between the two. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12883-016-0575-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Objective: To evaluate whether spinal cord intraoperative monitoring (IOM) with somatosensory and transcranial electrical motor evoked potentials (EPs) predicts adverse surgical outcomes. Methods: A panel of experts reviewed the results of a comprehensive literature search and identified published studies relevant to the clinical question. These studies were classified according to the evidence-based methodology of the American Academy of Neurology. Objective outcomes of postoperative onset of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia were used because no randomized or masked studies were available. Results and Recommendations: Four Class I and 8 Class II studies met inclusion criteria for analysis. The 4 Class I studies and 7 of the 8 Class II studies reached significance in showing that paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia occurred in the IOM patients with EP changes compared with the IOM group without EP changes. All studies were consistent in showing all occurrences of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia in the IOM patients with EP changes, with no occurrences of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia in patients without EP changes. In the Class I studies, 16%–40% of the IOM patients with EP changes developed postoperative-onset paraparesis, paraplegia, or quadriplegia. IOM is established as effective to predict an increased risk of the adverse outcomes of paraparesis, paraplegia, and quadriplegia in spinal surgery (4 Class I and 7 Class II studies). Surgeons and other members of the operating team should be alerted to the increased risk of severe adverse neurologic outcomes in patients with important IOM changes (Level A). Neurology ® 2012;78:585–589

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic, demyelinating disorder of the central nervous system. It is characterised by progressive neurological disability, which is likely to occur as a result of permanent axonal damage. Such damage may be reflected by brain atrophy, which can be identified early in the course of the disease. Patients who present with an initial episode of inflammatory demyelination, commonly referred to as a clinically isolated syndrome, are at high risk of developing clinically definite multiple sclerosis, especially if their magnetic resonance imaging studies suggest the presence of multi-focal disease. Treatment with disease-modifying therapies at the initial episode of demyelination may postpone this development. In this review we present an overview of evidence supporting early treatment initiation. We focus on three large placebo-controlled trials of interferon beta therapy: Controlled High-Risk Avonex® Multiple Sclerosis Prevention Study, Early Treatment of Multiple Sclerosis and Betaferon ® in Newly Emerging Multiple Sclerosis for Initial Treatment. Results from these early treatment studies are presented, and the impact of using interferon beta treatment in the early stages of disease is discussed with the aim of considering optimal therapeutic strategies to improve long-term patient outcome.

Background: Health-related quality of life (HRQOL) is reduced in multiple sclerosis (MS). It is unclear whether HRQOL is associated with white matter lesion burden or measures of brain atrophy. Methods: A cross-sectional baseline analysis of 507 patients with MS in a prospective cohort study at the University of California, San Francisco was performed. Multivariate linear regression models were used to determine whether MRI measures were associated with the Emotional Well-Being and Thinking/Fatigue subscale scores of the Functional Assessment in Multiple Sclerosis, a validated HRQOL measure in MS. The difference in each MRI metric associated with a minimal clinically important difference in each HRQOL subscale was calculated. Results: Higher T1 lesion load (15 mL; p = 0.024), normalized T1 lesion volume (20 mL; p = 0.016), or T2 lesion load (25 mL; p = 0.028) was associated with worse scores for Emotional Well-Being. Meaningfully lower scores on this subscale were correlated with lower normalized gray matter volume (118 mL; p = 0.037). Reduced Thinking/Fatigue scores were associated with higher normalized T1 lesion volume (21 mL; p = 0.024), or T2 lesion load (22 mL; p = 0.010) and with lower normalized gray matter (87 mL; p = 0.004), white matter (85 mL; p = 0.025), or brain parenchymal (98 mL; p = 0.001) volume. Conclusions: Aspects of health-related quality of life (HRQOL) in multiple sclerosis are associated with MRI evidence of white matter lesions and brain atrophy. These findings strengthen the argument for the use of HRQOL outcome measures in trials and suggest that lesion burden on conventional MRI is important for HRQOL.

Objective: The neurophysiological correlates of mental activity and awareness are important to define, as they permit the objective study of these psychological phenomena. Methods: In a choice reaction task, subjects were asked to respond to tone pips by extending their fingers and to make non-semantic vocalizations as soon as they became aware of any errors. Results: In motor response-synchronized averages of instances in which subjects were aware of making errors, a biphasic cerebral potential occurred over the frontocentral scalp region 170 ms after the incorrect motor response and about 500 ms prior to any vocalization. It occurred 100 ms after the so-called error negativity (Ne), from which it was therefore distinguished. Conclusion: The recording of such activity may therefore provide an electrophysiological signature of perceptual awareness related to making errors. Significance: Recording this potential may facilitate the objective study of awareness to errors in other experimental contexts.

The discovery and broad application of MRI in medicine has led to an increased awareness in the number of patients with incidental white matter pathology in the CNS. Routinely encountered in clinical practice, the natural history or evolution of such individuals with respect to their risk of developing multiple sclerosis (MS) is unclear.To investigate the natural history of patients who exhibit incidental imaging findings highly suggestive of MS pathology.Detailed clinical and radiologic data were obtained from asymptomatic patients with MRI anomalies suggestive of MS.The cohort consisted of 41 female and 3 male subjects (median age = 38.5, range: 16.2-67.1). Clinical evaluations were performed in 44 patients at the time of initial imaging; longitudinal clinical follow-up occurred for 30 patients, and longitudinal MRI data were acquired for 41 patients. Neurologic examination at the time of the initial MRI scans was normal in nearly all cases. While radiologic progression was identified in 59% of cases, only 10 patients converted to either clinically isolated syndrome or definite MS. The presence of contrast-enhancing lesions on the initial MRI was predictive of dissemination in time on repeat imaging of the brain (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.4, 95% confidence interval [1.3, 8.7], p = 0.01).Individuals with MRI anomalies highly suggestive of demyelinating pathology, not better accounted for by another disease process, are very likely to experience subsequent radiologic or clinical events related to multiple sclerosis. Additional studies will be necessary to fully define this risk.

As new therapies become available for the treatment of multiple sclerosis, the relative value of established and newer disease-modifying therapies must be considered. However, comparing the apparent efficacy of different agents across clinical trials is not easy and can be misleading when different therapies have been studied during different time periods. There has been a shift in current clinical trials toward enrolling patients with less advanced or less active disease compared with trials undertaken when no effective therapies were available. If early treatment is more effective than late treatment, this practice will produce a bias in favor of newer agents. Head-to-head trials offer the most reliable means of comparing therapies, but these trials are expensive and time consuming. Consequently, cross-trial comparisons are necessary, but a reliable means to make such comparisons is needed. One useful (but imperfect) approach is to compute the relative risk of therapy and the number-needed-to-treat, applying both measures to any cross-trial comparison. These measures capture different aspects of the trials (relative and absolute differences) and, if they agree, this suggests that the cross-trial comparison may be valid. If the two methods disagree, no reliable conclusion about relative efficacy can be made. There are only two valid conclusions from the available head-to-head and cross-trial data. First, high-dose interferon-beta (IFN beta)-1a or IFN beta-1b subcutaneous has a greater impact than weekly IFN beta-1a IM on several clinical and MRI outcomes. Second, high-dose IFN beta-1a or IFN beta-1b subcutaneous has a similar clinical impact to glatiramer acetate, although IFN beta subcutaneous is superior on some MRI outcome measures.

It is not known whether the currently available treatment regimen of interferon beta-1b (IFNbeta-1b) 250 microg provides the maximum benefit possible in the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), or whether higher doses of IFNbeta-1b will prove to be more beneficial.The objective of the present study was to evaluate the tolerability and safety profile of IFNbeta-1b 500 microg compared with the currently approved 250-microg dose.A multicenter, randomized, double-blind, parallel-group pilot study was carried out to compare IFNbeta-1b 250 microg with IFNbeta-1b 500 microg, both self-administered SC QOD foror=12 weeks in patients with RRMS. Patients in both groups started with 25% (0.25 mL) of their final dose and were scheduled to increase the dose by 0.25 mL every 2 weeks, so that the full dose (1.0 mL, 250 microg or 500 microg) would be reached by week 7. The primary outcome measure was the percentage of patients experiencing each of the following adverse events (AEs): influenza-like symptoms (general term used to code the presence of1 symptom typical of influenza), fever, myalgia, asthenia, headache, injection-site reactions, injection-site pain, or liver or hematologic abnormalities. All patients underwent a priori magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with 0.1 mmol/kg gadolinium (Gd)-diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid as contrast medium at screening and at week 12. MRI evaluation was included as a safety measure to monitor for excessive new disease not visible through clinical symptoms.Seventy-seven patients were assessed for inclusion in the study. Of these, 6 patients were screening failures and the remaining 71 were randomized to treatment (38-250 and 33-500 microg IFNbeta-1b). The uneven numbers in the groups were a consequence of the randomization process. Two patients in the 250-microg group (withdrawal of consent) and 1 in the 500-microg group (not completing follow-up visit) prematurely discontinued medication. The demographic characteristics were not significantly different between the 250-microg (n=38; mean [SD] age, 37.9 [8.3] years; weight, 83.5 [19.0] kg; height, 168.4 [9.3] cm) and 500-microg (n=33; mean [SD] age, 37.8 [7.7] years; weight, 82.3 [19.5] kg; height, 169.9 [10.5] cm) treatment groups. The patients in both groups were mostly white (87% and 73%, respectively). Baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale scores also were not significantly different between the 2 groups (mean [SD] score, 2.8 [1.4] vs 2.0 [1.4], respectively). In the IFN(2)-1b 250-microg group, 97% of the patients titrated to the full dose at some point during the course of the study, compared with 91% of the 500-microg group (P=NS). A dose-response effect was observed in some of the more frequent AEs (no. [%]) that included influenza-like syndrome (250-microg group, 13 [34] vs 500-microg group, 16 [48]), asthenia (13 [34] vs 16 [48], respectively), headache (12 [32] vs 12 [36]), myalgia (10 [26] vs 13 [39]), hypesthesia (10 [26] vs 11 [33]), nausea (6 [16] vs 8 [24]), paresthesia (6 [16] vs 8 [24]), myasthenia (4 [11] vs 8 [24]), chills (3 [8] vs 6 [18]), depression (3 [8] vs 5 [15]), back pain (2 [5] vs 5 [15]), increased liver enzymes (4 [11] vs 6 [18]), lymphopenia (4 [11] vs 3 [9]), fever (2 [5] vs 4 [12]), and pain in extremities (1 [3] vs 4 [12]). The between-group incidence of injection-site reactions was not significantly different. No new or unexpected AEs were recorded. Changes in MRI parameters between screening and 12 weeks were not significantly different between dose groups; these included median T2 lesion volume, median Gd-enhanced lesion volume, median Gd-enhanced lesion number, and mean number of newly active lesions.IFNbeta-1b 500 microg administered SC QOD was generally well tolerated in these patients with RRMS. Large, randomized controlled studies are needed to determine if there are significant differences in MRI end points between the 250- and 500-microg doses.

MS-pathogenesis involves both genetic-susceptibility and environmental determinants. Three (or more) sequential environmental-factors are implicated. The first acts near birth, the second acts during childhood/adolescence, and the third acts subsequently. Two candidate factors (vitamin D deficiency and Epstein-Barr viral infection) seem particularly well-suited to the first two environmental-events but other factors (e.g., obesity and smoking behavior) seem also to be involved in the causal scheme. MS-pathogenesis can be modeled by incorporating both the environmental and genetic-factors into a causal scheme, which can then help to explain some of the changes in MS-epidemiology (e.g., increasing disease-prevalence, changing sex-ratio, and regional-variations in monozygotic-twin-concordance-rates), which have been taking place recently. This model suggests that genetic-susceptibility is overwhelmingly the most important determinant of MS and that, at least, 92.5% of individuals (and likely much more) are, essentially, incapable of developing MS, regardless of their specific environmental-exposures. Nevertheless, the genetics is complex and the contribution of any specific gene to MS-susceptibility seems to be quite modest. Thus, even for the DRB1*1501 allele (the strongest known MS-susceptibility marker), most carriers are not in the genetically-susceptible group. Moreover, 45-50% of individuals with MS lack this allele entirely and some of the haplotypes that carry this allele don't also confer any disease-risk. Finally, because the prevalence of genetic-susceptibility seems to be so similar throughout North America and Europe, and despite the crucial importance of a person's genetic make-up to disease pathogenesis, it is the environmental-factors, which largely responsible for the observed regional variations in disease-characteristics. Thus, despite MS being more common in women, men are more likely to be genetically-susceptible. This apparent paradox seems to relate to the fact that women are much more responsive than men to the recent changes in environmental-exposure (whatever these have been). These gender-differences may help to explain changes in the sex-ratio and the increasing disease-prevalence, which have both been observed recently. The potential importance of these conclusions regarding the role of environment in MS-pathogenesis is that they open the door to the possibility of pursuing strategies for primary primary disease prevention in the future.

Early experience in MS generated concerns that interferon beta treatment might provoke onset or worsening of depression. The objective of the study was to compare depression incidence in relapsing–remitting MS patients receiving interferon beta-1b (IFNB-1b) or glatiramer acetate (GA) in the BEYOND trial. 891/897 (99 %) of English, French, Spanish and Italian speakers among 2244 patients randomized (2:2:1) to receive either IFNB-1b 500 µg, 250 µg, or GA 20 mg QD for 2–3.5 years submitted Beck Depression Inventory Second Edition (BDI-II) scores at screening and serially thereafter, in which scores ≥14 indicated depression. Baseline BDI-II scores ≥14 were reported in 232/891 patients (26.3 %), with no meaningful difference among the three treatment arms noted at this or at any other time during the study including trial end. Percentages of patients depressed by BDI-II scores deviated little in any arm at any time (IFNB-1b 500 µg: 24.7 %, IFNB-1b 250 µg: 24.4 %, GA: 32.4 %). Antidepressant usage was likewise similar among the three treatment arms (IFNB-1b 500 µg: 33.7 %, IFNB-1b 250 µg: 31.8 %, GA: 28.8 %) as was depression severity and the frequency with which non-blinded treating physicians recorded depression as an adverse event (IFNB-1b 500 µg: 17.2 %, IFNB-1b 250 µg: 17.0 %, GA: 14.4 %). Treating physicians attributed depression to IFNB-1b 250 µg therapy in 53.6 % and to GA in 21.9 % of instances. This large, prospective, randomized-controlled MS dataset showed no increased risk of depression above baseline values with standard or double-dose IFNB-1b or GA QD treatment. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00415-016-8146-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The clinical and radiologic impact of developing neutralizing antibodies (NAbs) to interferon beta (IFNβ) while on this therapy for multiple sclerosis (MS) is assessed. On the basis of Class II and III evidence, it is concluded that treatment of patients with MS with IFNβ (Avonex, Betaseron, or Rebif) is associated with the production of NAbs (Level A). NAbs in the serum are probably associated with a reduction in the radiographic and clinical effectiveness of IFNβ treatment (Level B). In addition, the rate of NAb production is probably less with IFNβ-1a treatment than with IFNβ-1b treatment, although the magnitude and persistence of this difference is difficult to determine (Level B). Finally, it is probable that there is a difference in seroprevalence due to variability in the dose of IFNβ injected or in the frequency or route of its administration (Level B). Regardless of the explanation, it seems clear that IFNβ-1a (as it is currently formulated for IM injection) is less immunogenic than the current IFNβ preparations (either IFNβ-1a or IFNβ-1b) given multiple times per week subcutaneously (Level A). However, because NAbs disappear in some patients even with continued IFNβ treatment (especially in patients with low titers), the persistence of this difference is difficult to determine (Level B). Although the finding of sustained high-titer NAbs (>100 to 200 NU/mL) is associated with a reduction in the therapeutic effects of IFNβ on radiographic and clinical measures of MS disease activity, there is insufficient information on the utilization of NAb testing to provide specific recommendations regarding when to test, which test to use, how many tests are necessary, or which cutoff titer to apply (Level U).

© 2015 American Medical Association. All rights reserved. Importance In multiple sclerosis (MS), upper cervical cord gray matter (GM) atrophy correlates more strongly with disability than does brain or cord white matter (WM) atrophy. The corresponding relationships in the thoracic cord are unknown owing to technical difficulties in assessing GMandWMcompartments by conventional magnetic resonance imaging techniques. Objectives To investigate the associations between MS disability and disease type with lower thoracic cord GM andWMareas using phase-sensitive inversion recovery magnetic resonance imaging at 3 T, as well as to compare these relationships with those obtained at upper cervical levels. Design, Setting, and Participants Between July 2013 and March 2014, a total of 142 patients with MS (aged 25-75 years; 86 women) and 20 healthy control individuals were included in this cross-sectional observational study conducted at an academic university hospital. Main Outcomes and Measures Total cord areas (TCAs), GM areas, andWMareas at the disc levels C2/C3, C3/C4, T8/9, and T9/10. Area differences between groups were assessed, with age and sex as covariates. Results Patients with relapsingMS (RMS) had smaller thoracic cord GM areas than did ageand sex-matched control individuals (mean differences [coefficient of variation (COV)]: 0.98 mm2 [9.2%]; P =.003 at T8/T9 and 0.93mm2[8.0%]; P =.01 at T9/T10); however, there were no significant differences in either theWMarea or TCA. Patients with progressiveMS showed smaller GM areas (mean differences [COV]: 1.02mm2[10.6%]; P