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The aim of this study was to investigate the global epidemiological trends in the incidence and deaths of acute respiratory infections (ARIs), encompassing both upper respiratory infections (URIs) and lower respiratory infections (LRIs), from 1990 to 2021. Using data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021 (GBD 2021), we utilized the average annual percentage change (AAPC) to examine the trends in the age-standardized incidence rate and deaths rate (ASIR and ASDRs) of URIs and LRIs. In 2021, the global ASIR of URIs and LRIs were 166,770.73 (95 % UI: 148,098.16–189,487.93) per 100,000 and 4283.61 (95 % UI: 4057.03–4524.89) per 100,000, respectively. The highest ASIR of URIs occurred in high-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions (232744.64, 95 % UI: 206887.07–261694.81) per 100,000, whereas LRIs occurred in low-SDI regions (9261.1, 95 % UI: 8741.61–9820.86) per 100,000. In 2021, the global ASDRs of URIs and LRIs were 0.28 (95 % UI: 0.09–0.61) per 100,000 and 28.67 (95 % UI: 25.92–31.07) per 100,000, respectively. The highest ASDRs of both URIs and LRIs were observed in low-SDI regions, with 1.1 (95 % UI: 0.08–2.78) per 100,000 and 70.68 (95 % UI: 62.56–78.62) per 100,000, respectively. From 1990 to 2021, the global ASIR for URIs and LRIs decreased, with AAPCs of −0.17 % (95 % CI: 0.17 % to −0.16 %) and −1.28 % (95 % CI: −1.37 % to −1.22 %), respectively. The global ASDRs also decreased (−3.39 % for URIs; −2.46 % for LRIs). However, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the ASIR of URIs increased in many countries, especially in high-SDI regions (rate difference before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in ASIR was 2210.19 per 100,000.) and low-SDI regions (rate difference in ASIR: 111.26 per 100,000). The global incidence and deaths related to ARIs have decreased over the past 32 years. However, it remains a significant public health concern, particularly due to the notable incidence of URIs in high SDI regions and the deaths associated with both URIs and LRIs in low SDI regions. Furthermore, an increase in the incidence of URIs was observed in both high- and low-SDI regions during the COVID-19 pandemic, highlighting the need for increased attention.

In this article, we provided a comprehensive overview and in-depth analysis of global patterns and temporal trends in years lived with disability (YLDs) for musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders in individuals aged ≥70. Data on YLDs for MSK disorders in individuals aged ≥70 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to assess the temporal trends in the YLDs rate of MSK disorders. A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model was used to predict the YLDs rate up to the year 2040. In 2019, the global rate of YLDs for MSK disorders in individuals aged ≥70 were 4819.81 (95 % UI: 3402.91 - 6550.77) per 100,000 persons. The YLDs rate of MSK disorders in female was 1.36 times higher than that in male, and was highest in high SDI regions. From 1990 to 2019, the global YLDs rate showed a slightly downward trend (AAPC = −0.04 %, 95 % CI: −0.06 % to −0.03 %), while it significantly increased in high, low-middle, low SDI regions. Tobacco and high body mass index were the primary risk factors worldwide, while in low SDI regions, occupational risks emerged as the predominant factors. Up to 2040, the global YLDs rate of MSK disorders are expected to increase by 1.78 %, with 36.39 %, 20.66 %, 18.96 % and 5.32 % growth in other MSK disorders, rheumatoid arthritis, neck pain and osteoarthritis. MSK disorders are a significant and continuously growing public health concern among older adults. Tailored interventions should be developed for older adults, taking into account the variations across distributions, trends, and risk factors in terms of sex and SDI levels.

Objective: Understanding the global patterns of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is crucial for developing effective prevention and control strategies. Methods: Data on RSV-related burden were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019. Joinpoint regression models were used to assess the global temporal trends of RSV and further stratified analyses were conducted according to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), which is a composite measure of income, education, and total fertility. Age-period-cohort model was used to evaluate age, period, and cohort effects. Results: In 2019, the global age-standardized rate of mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASR-DALYs) of RSV were 4.79/100,000 (95% uncertainty interval [95% UI]: 1.82/100,000-9.32/100,000) and 218.34/100,000 (95% UI: 92.06/100,000-376.80/100,000), respectively. The burden of RSV was higher in men than women. The highest ASMR (10.26/100,000, 3.80/100,000-20.16/100,000) and ASR-DALYs (478.71/100,000, 202.40/100,000-840.85/100,000) were reported in low-SDI region. Although mortality and DALYs rates in all age groups declined globally, the pace of decline was not uniform across age groups. Mortality rate in the elderly over 70 years surpassed that in children under 5 years in 2019. Conclusion: This study highlights the need for targeted interventions to reduce the burden of RSV, particularly in low-SDI region, and among the elderly over 70 years.

IntroductionSeveral studies have reported on hepatitis E virus (HEV) prevalence in various regions of China, but the results vary widely. Herein, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the seroprevalence, RNA-positive rate, genotype distribution of HEV in China, and its risk factors.MethodsWe included 208 related studies involving 1,785,569 participants published between 1997 and 2022. Random-effects models were used to pool prevalence, and subgroup analyses were conducted by population, gender, age, study period, regions, and rural–urban distribution. The meta regression models and pooled odds ratios (OR) were performed to identify risk factors for HEV infections.ResultsThe pooled anti-HEV IgG, IgM, and Ag seroprevalence, and RNA detection rates in China from 1997 to 2022 were 23.17% [95% confidence interval (CI): 20.23–26.25], 0.73% (95% CI: 0.55–0.93), 0.12% (95% CI: 0.01–0.32), and 6.55% (95% CI: 3.46–12.05), respectively. The anti-HEV IgG seropositivity was higher in the occupational population (48.41%; 95% CI: 40.02–56.85) and older adult aged 50–59 years (40.87%; 95% CI: 31.95–50.11). The dominant genotype (GT) of hepatitis E in China was GT4. Notably, drinking non-tap water (OR = 1.82; 95% CI: 1.50–2.20), consumption of raw or undercooked meat (OR = 1.47; 95% CI: 1.17–1.84), and ethnic minorities (OR = 1.50; 95% CI: 1.29–1.73) were risk factors of anti-HEV IgG seroprevalence.DiscussionsOverall, the prevalence of hepatitis E was relatively high in China, especially among older adults, ethnic minorities, and humans with occupational exposure to pigs. Thus, there is a need for preventive measures, including HEV infection screening and surveillance, health education, and hepatitis E vaccine intervention in high-risk areas and populations.Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD42023397036.